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The State of Lending in America and its Impact on U.S. Households America’s Household Balance Sheet M William Sermons December 12, 2012

State of Lending 2012 - Household Balance Sheet Overview

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This presentation covers the key findings of the "Household Balance Sheet" section of our report on the State of Lending in America and it's Impact on U.S. Households.

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Page 1: State of Lending 2012 - Household Balance Sheet Overview

The State of Lending in Americaand its Impact on U.S. Households

America’s Household Balance Sheet

M William SermonsDecember 12, 2012

Page 2: State of Lending 2012 - Household Balance Sheet Overview

Strong consumer financial status is important for U.S. economy

Consumer spending is key element of US economic activity

$0

$2,000

$4,000

$6,000

$8,000

$10,000

$12,000

$14,000

$16,000

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

GDP

($Bi

llion

)

Annual GDP, Current Year and Real Dollars

Annual GDP, Current Year Annual GDP, Inflation Adjusted

Source: CRL Tabulations of Bureau of Economic Analysis data

Consumer Expenditures as a Percent of U.S. GDP

(average annual share)

1961-1970 61.8%

1971-1980 62.5%

1981-1990 64.6%

1991-2000 67.3%

2001-2010 70.0%

SOURCE: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.

Page 3: State of Lending 2012 - Household Balance Sheet Overview

Many American families have littlefinancial breathing room

Typical household has just $100 left each month, after covering basic expenses, debt payments, etc.

Item Value ($)Yearly Income (less taxes and insurance/pension contributions) Annual non–discretionary expenses Housing (including upkeep and operation) Transportation Food Utilities Health Care Education (including reading) Other expenses (excluding alcohol, tobacco,

entertainment)Annual debt payments (excluding mortgage and auto) Discretionary annual income

$ 41,516

$ (37,651)(11,455)

(7,160)(5,596)(3,603)(3,068)

(594)(6,175)

($ 2,658)

$ 1,207

Page 4: State of Lending 2012 - Household Balance Sheet Overview

Reason #1: Declining incomes

• Happened even though workers increased productivity by 20%• African Americans and Latinos especially hard-hit because of job losses in

manufacturing and construction.

$-

$10,000

$20,000

$30,000

$40,000

$50,000

$60,000

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

Real Income

Median Income; $ 2010 Black Households Hispanic Households

Source: Current Population Survey, U.S. Census Bureau

Page 5: State of Lending 2012 - Household Balance Sheet Overview

Reason #2: Increasing cost of living

Many non-discretionary expenses (e.g. education, medical, utilities and housing) grew faster than inflation

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%

Increase in Nominal Household Spending

Source: Consumer Expenditure Survey, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Page 6: State of Lending 2012 - Household Balance Sheet Overview

Reason #3: Recession depleted assets

2001 2004 2007 2010

% of Families 93.4% 93.8% 93.9% 94.0%Value $34,400 $26,600 $30,200 $21,500

$0

$10,000

$20,000

$30,000

$40,000

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Media

n Valu

e

% Fam

ilies H

olding

Asset

Asset Holding and Median Value ($2010), Financial Assets

Source: 2010 Survey of Consumer Finances Chartbook

2001 2004 2007 2010

% Families 67.7% 69.1% 68.6% 67.3%Value $151,300 $184,700 $209,500 $170,000

$0

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

$200,000

$250,000

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Med

ian Va

lue

% Fa

milie

s Hol

ding

Asse

t

Asset Holding and Median Value ($2010), Home Values

Source: 2010 Survey of Consumer Finances Chartbook

Values dropped for both household financial assets and homes - $7 trillion drop in home equity alone

Page 7: State of Lending 2012 - Household Balance Sheet Overview

Reason #4: More debt

Increases primarily in mortgages and student loans, with lower credit card balances and auto loans

2001 2004 2007 2010

% Families 75.1% 76.4% 77.0% 74.9%Value $47,700 $63,800 $70,600 $70,700

$0$10,000$20,000$30,000$40,000$50,000$60,000$70,000$80,000

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

Me

dia

n V

alu

e

% F

amil

ies

Ho

ldin

g D

eb

tDebt Holding and Median Value (2010 $'s), Any Debt

Source: 2010 Survey of Consumer Finances Chartbook

Page 8: State of Lending 2012 - Household Balance Sheet Overview

Financial snapshot: 2007 vs. 2010

2007 2010Median household net worth

$126,400 $77,300

Families with credit card debt

46.1% 39.4%

Families with student loans

15.2% 19.2%

Median amount of home equity

$110,000 $75,000

Source: Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finances. All figures adjusted for inflation

Page 9: State of Lending 2012 - Household Balance Sheet Overview

Household wealth now down to pre-1995 levels

• 40% drop from 2007-2010• Wider wealth disparity between white and African–American or

Hispanic households

$-

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010

Median family net worth by race/ethnicity, 2010 $'s

All Families Non-white or Hispanic

Source: 2010 Survey of Consumer Finances Chartbook

Page 10: State of Lending 2012 - Household Balance Sheet Overview

Keys to rebuilding household balance sheets

• Promote access to safe and affordable credit

• Provide strong protections to prevent predatory lending practices

CRL’s State of Lending report offers our perspective on how to achieve these.

Page 11: State of Lending 2012 - Household Balance Sheet Overview

For More Information

See all CRL research: http://rspnsb.li/UpZetS

Contact us:Bill Sermons (DC): 202-349-1851

Kathleen Day (DC): 202-349-1871Graciela Aponte (CA): 510-379-5518Ginna Green (SC): 510-866-5989