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Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50 th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

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Page 1: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

Status of Three Neutrino Mixing

50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015

Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

Page 2: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

PROLOGUE: 50 years of Rencontres de Moriond ...

...and ~500 years of a remarkable world map...

*  

*  We are here

Page 3: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

[Now at Royal Library, Windsor Collection. Executed by one of Leonardo’s workshop assistants.]

(A.D. 1514 ±1)

“Mappa Mundi” by Leonardo da Vinci

3  

Northern hemisphere Southern hemisphere

Page 4: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

... made with octant projections

4  

Earliest known world map ...

XX century octant map

Page 5: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

... made with octant projections

... showing the name “America” for the New World

5  

Earliest known world map ...

Page 6: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

... made with octant projections

... showing the name “America” for the New World

... with America’s west coast disconnected from Asia

6  

Earliest known world map ...

Page 7: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

Earliest known world map ...

... made with octant projections

... showing the name “America” for the New World

... with America’s west coast disconnected from Asia

... indicating a large Southern continent

7  

Page 8: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

But, A.D. ~1514 too early to...

... avoid mapping distortions and biases

8  

1 2 3 4

1 2

4 3

Page 9: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

... know about Australian continent (~ 90 years later)

?

9  

But, A.D. ~1514 too early to...

... avoid mapping distortions and biases

Page 10: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

...we are in a similar situation in neutrino (and particle) physics: - being excited by recent discoveries - mapping (quasi)known lands (with biases?) - planning expeditions to unknown lands Global analyses may give some guidance in this (probably) long & challenging enterprise, largely driven by new experiments.

10  

500 years later...

Page 11: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

TALK OUTLINE: - being excited by recent discoveries - mapping (quasi)known lands (with biases?) - planning expeditions to unknown lands [ i.e., charting the neutrino world ]

11  

Page 12: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

Recent discoveries: α à β oscillations in vacuum and matter

a

b

c

d

e

f

g

eàe ( δm2 , θ12 )

eàe ( δm2 , θ12 )

µàµ ( Δm2 , θ23 )

µàµ ( Δm2 , θ23 )

eàe ( Δm2 , θ13 )

µàe ( Δm2 , θ13 , θ23 )

µàτ ( Δm2 , θ23 ) Data from various types of neutrino experiments: (a) solar, (b) long-baseline reactor, (c) atmospheric, (d) long-baseline accelerator, (e) short-baseline reactor, (f,g) long baseline accelerator (and, in part, atmospheric). (a) KamLAND [plot]; (b) Borexino [plot], Homestake, Super-K, SAGE, GALLEX/GNO, SNO; (c) Super-K atmosph. [plot], MACRO, MINOS etc.; (d) T2K (plot), MINOS, K2K; (e) Daya Bay [plot], RENO, Double Chooz; (f) T2K [plot], MINOS; (g) OPERA [plot], Super-K atmospheric.

Page 13: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

Can be charted in a simple 3ν theoretical framework

a

b

c

d

e

f

g

eàe ( δm2 , θ12 )

eàe ( δm2 , θ12 )

µàµ ( Δm2 , θ23 )

µàµ ( Δm2 , θ23 )

eàe ( Δm2 , θ13 )

µàe ( Δm2 , θ13 , θ23 )

µàτ ( Δm2 , θ23 )

δm2 |Δm2|

θ12 θ23 θ13  

Terra cognita:

Page 14: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

U↵i =

2

41 0 00 c23 s230 �s23 c23

3

5

2

4c13 0 s13e�i�

0 1 0�s13ei� 0 c13

3

5

2

4c12 s12 0�s12 c12 00 0 1

3

5

2

41 0 00 ei↵/2 00 0 ei�/2

3

5

Pontecorvo-Maki-Nakagawa-Sakata (PMNS) matrix

[ only if Majorana ]

Mass-squared spectrum (up to absolute scale)

Mixing angles θ23, θ13, θ12 : known ✔ CP-violat. phase(s) δ (α, β) : unknown ✗

1 2

1 2

δm2

δm2 Δm2

Δm2 “Normal” Hierarchy

“Inverted” Hierarchy

δm2, |Δm2|: known ✔ Matter effects (solar ν): ✔ Hierarchy : unknown ✗

[ + contribution in matter ~ GF . E . density ]

14  

Page 15: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

15  

Current 3ν picture in just one slide (with 1-digit accuracy) Flavors = e µ τ

+Δm2

δm2 m2ν ν2

ν1

ν3

ν3

-Δm2

Abs.scale Normal hierarchy… or… Inverted hierarchy mass2 split

δm2 ~ 8 x 10-5 eV2

Δm2 ~ 2 x 10-3 eV2

sin2θ12 ~ 0.3 sin2θ23 ~ 0.5 sin2θ13 ~ 0.02

δ (CP) sign(Δm2) octant(θ23) absolute mass scale Dirac/Majorana nature

Terra Cognita: Terra Incognita:

Page 16: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

Charting 3ν-land with more digits: global analysis à

Analysis includes increasingly rich oscill. data sets:

LBL Acc + Solar + KL LBL Acc + Solar + KL + SBL Reactor LBL Acc + Solar + KL + SBL Reactor + SK Atm.

Parameters not shown are marginalized away.

C.L.’s refer to Nσ = √ Δχ2 = 1, 2, 3, ...

16  

Results from Capozzi et al., arXiv:1312.2878, updated with “Reactor 2014” See also: Forero et al., 1405.7540; Gonzalez-Garcia et al., 1409.5439.

Page 17: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

17  

12e2sin0.25 0.30 0.35

0

1

2

3

4

23e2sin0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7

13e2sin0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04

2 eV -5/102mb6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.50

1

2

3

4

2 eV -3/102m62.0 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8

//b0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

LBL Acc + Solar + KL + SBL Reactors + SK AtmmN

mNNHIH

Current accuracy in charting

Terra Cognita:

δm2 2.6 % Δm2 2.6 % sin2θ12 5.4 % sin2θ13 8.5 % sin2θ23 ~ 10 % *

*(but... in which octant?)

θ23  

π/4

12e2sin0.25 0.30 0.35

0

1

2

3

4

23e2sin0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7

13e2sin0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04

2 eV -5/102mb6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.50

1

2

3

4

2 eV -3/102m62.0 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8

//b0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

LBL Acc + Solar + KL + SBL Reactors + SK Atm

mNmN

NHIH

Note: Δm2 = (Δm2

31 + Δm232)/2

Single parameters – Terra Cognita

Page 18: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

Mixing parameters: are they suggestive of some “simmetry”?

Or the symmetry is only in our mind... and there is just randomness?

θ12

θ23 θ13

18  

Many interesting ideas, but still looking for an “illumination”... Selection of ideas will highly benefit from new data

Page 19: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

19  

12e2sin0.25 0.30 0.35

0

1

2

3

4

23e2sin0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7

13e2sin0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04

2 eV -5/102mb6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.50

1

2

3

4

2 eV -3/102m62.0 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8

//b0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

LBL Acc + Solar + KL + SBL Reactors

mNmN

NHIH

δCP  

LBL+Sol+KL +SBL Reac +SK atm

intriguing, sin δ ~ -1 (or sin δ < 0) favored

12e2sin0.25 0.30 0.35

0

1

2

3

4

23e2sin0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7

13e2sin0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04

2 eV -5/102mb6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.50

1

2

3

4

2 eV -3/102m62.0 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8

//b0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

LBL Acc + Solar + KL

mNmN

NHIH

12e2sin0.25 0.30 0.35

0

1

2

3

4

23e2sin0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7

13e2sin0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04

2 eV -5/102mb6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.50

1

2

3

4

2 eV -3/102m62.0 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8

//b0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

LBL Acc + Solar + KL + SBL Reactors

mNmN

NHIH

12e2sin0.25 0.30 0.35

0

1

2

3

4

23e2sin0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7

13e2sin0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04

2 eV -5/102mb6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.50

1

2

3

4

2 eV -3/102m62.0 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8

//b0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

LBL Acc + Solar + KL + SBL Reactors + SK Atm

mNmN

NHIH

θ23

Δχ2 (IH-NH)  

octant

-1.4 -0.9 -0.1

currently unstable, fragile

negligible 12e2sin

0.25 0.30 0.350

1

2

3

4

23e2sin0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7

13e2sin0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04

2 eV -5/102mb6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.50

1

2

3

4

2 eV -3/102m62.0 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8

//b0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

LBL Acc + Solar + KL

mNmN

NHIH

12e2sin0.25 0.30 0.35

0

1

2

3

4

23e2sin0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7

13e2sin0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04

2 eV -5/102mb6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.50

1

2

3

4

2 eV -3/102m62.0 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8

//b0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

LBL Acc + Solar + KL + SBL Reactors

mNmN

NHIH

12e2sin0.25 0.30 0.35

0

1

2

3

4

23e2sin0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7

13e2sin0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04

2 eV -5/102mb6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.50

1

2

3

4

2 eV -3/102m62.0 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8

//b0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

LBL Acc + Solar + KL + SBL Reactors

mNmN

NHIH

Single parameters – Terra Incognita

12e2sin0.25 0.30 0.35

0

1

2

3

4

23e2sin0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7

13e2sin0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04

2 eV -5/102mb6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.50

1

2

3

4

2 eV -3/102m62.0 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8

//b0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

LBL Acc + Solar + KL + SBL Reactors + SK Atm

mNmN

NHIH

Page 20: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

20  

Comments on θ23 octant Current instability stems from the data themselves

MINOS+, IceCube & T2K, SK atm. 2014/15 (*) <π/4 ∼π/4 >π/4

(*) To be included in our next global analysis.

Page 21: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

21  

Comments on hierarchy No hints so far, but we’ll get there via oscillations...

δm2  

δm2  

+Δm2   -Δm2  

... if we can observe interference of oscill. driven by ±Δm2 with oscill. driven by another quantity Q with known sign. Three options:

Q = δm2 (medium-baseline reactors)

Q = 2√ 2 GF Ne E (matter effects in accel./atmosph. ν)

Q = 2√ 2 GF Nν E (collective effects in supernovae)

(IH) (NH)

Nonoscillation searches may provide further handles!

Page 22: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

22  

Comments on CPV phase

sin2θ13  

δ/π  

Leading appearance amplitude at LBL Acc. ~ sin2θ23 sin2(2θ13) à uncertainty on θ23 somewhat affects subleading terms Subleading CPV appearance amplitude for ν ~ -sinδ à T2K signal maximized for sinδ ~ -1 (δ ~ 1.5π)

0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.00.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0LBL Acc + Solar + KL + SBL Reactors + SK Atm

13e2sin 13e2sin 13e2sin

13e2sin 13e2sin 13e2sin

//b//b

m1 m2 m3

Norm

al Hierarchy

Inverted Hierarchy

From variances to covariances: analysis of a 2D plot

Page 23: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

23  

Each wavy band is in part determined by superposition of “two bands” for the two θ23 octants [it was more evident in older fits]

For the relatively “low” value sin2θ13~0.02 preferred by Solar + KL data, appearance ν signal in T2K maximized by subleading

CP-odd term for sinδ < 0 [i.e., 1<δ/π<2] Best agreement with relatively “strong” T2K appearance signal is for δ/π ∼ 1.5,

irrespective of the hierarchy. This trend wins over weaker MINOS appearance signal, which tends to prefer sinδ > 0 at best fit.

0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.00.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0LBL Acc + Solar + KL + SBL Reactors + SK Atm

13e2sin 13e2sin 13e2sin

13e2sin 13e2sin 13e2sin

//b//b

m1 m2 m3

Norm

al Hierarchy

Inverted Hierarchy

NH

IH

Page 24: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

24  

Reactor data shrink the band around sin2θ13 ~ 0.022, a bit higher than Solar+SK but still on the leftmost side of the band: preference for δ/π ~ 1.5 persists

0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.00.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0LBL Acc + Solar + KL + SBL Reactors + SK Atm

13e2sin 13e2sin 13e2sin

13e2sin 13e2sin 13e2sin

//b//b

m1 m2 m3

Norm

al Hierarchy

Inverted Hierarchy

Page 25: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

25  

SK atm: in combination, these data further shrink the allowed regions and slightly lower the preferred value to δ/π ~ 1.3-1.4

0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.00.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.060.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0LBL Acc + Solar + KL + SBL Reactors + SK Atm

13e2sin 13e2sin 13e2sin

13e2sin 13e2sin 13e2sin

//b//b

m1 m2 m3

Norm

al Hierarchy

Inverted Hierarchy

Page 26: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

26  

12e2sin0.25 0.30 0.35

0

1

2

3

4

23e2sin0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7

13e2sin0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04

2 eV -5/102mb6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.50

1

2

3

4

2 eV -3/102m62.0 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8

//b0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

LBL Acc + Solar + KL + SBL Reactors + SK Atm

mNmN

NHIH

12e2sin0.25 0.30 0.35

0

1

2

3

4

23e2sin0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7

13e2sin0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04

2 eV -5/102mb6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.50

1

2

3

4

2 eV -3/102m62.0 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8

//b0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

LBL Acc + Solar + KL + SBL Reactors

mNmN

NHIH

NH

This talk Forero et al. G.-Garcia et al.

SK(atm) coll.

SK+θ13 SK+T2K+θ13

IH NH

SK(atm) coll. T2K coll.

Status of representative CP phase values (in various fits): δ/π ~ 3/2: preferred (nearly maximal CPV with sinδ ~ -1 ) δ/π ~ 1/5: disfavored (by ~2-2.6 sigma w.r.t. to preferred value) δ/π ~ 0 or ~1: in between (~1-1.3 sigma away from best fit)

For comparison:

Page 27: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

27  

Reminder: CP violation requires genuine 3ν oscillations, distinct from 2ν limits...

27  

Page 28: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

28  

3 mixing angles should be nonvanishing ✔

2 mass gaps should be nonvanishing ✔

1 Dirac phase should be nonvanishing ...

Nature has already provided us with 5 favorable conditions at terrestrial scales ...

Let us hope that the 6th condition is also

(maximally) realized, as the hints suggest!

[and, if neutrinos are Majorana... CPV bonanza with 2 more phases ! ]

Page 29: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

29  

A previous hint that grew up... Andre de Gouvea Northwestern

Hint for Non-Zero ✓13

in the Current Data?

G.L. Fogli et al, arXiv:0806.2649 [hep-ph]

October 28, 2008 ⌫ Overview

Andre de Gouvea Northwestern

Hint for Non-Zero ✓13

in the Current Data?

G.L. Fogli et al, arXiv:0806.2649 [hep-ph]

October 28, 2008 ⌫ Overview

Page 30: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

30  

(mβ, mββ, Σ)

β decay, sensitive to the “effective electron neutrino mass”:

0νββ decay: only if Majorana. “Effective Majorana mass”:

Cosmology: Dominantly sensitive to sum of neutrino masses:

Note 1: These observables may provide handles to distinguish NH/IH. Note 2: Majorana case gives a new source of CPV (unconstrained) Note 2: The three observables are correlated by oscillation dataà

More on 3ν Terra Incognita: absolute mass observables

Page 31: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

31  

-1.2 -1.0 -0.8 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4-4.0

-3.5

-3.0

-2.5

-2.0

-1.5

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

-110 1-310

-210

-110

1

-3.0 -2.5 -2.0 -1.5 -1.0 -0.5 0.0-4.0

-3.5

-3.0

-2.5

-2.0

-1.5

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

-310 -210 -110 1-310

-210

-110

1-1.4 -1.2 -1.0 -0.8 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4

-2.0

-1.5

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

-110 1-310

-210

-110

1

(NH)m2 (IH)m2

(eV)Y (eV)`m

(eV)

``m

(eV)

`m

β    :  Mainz+Troitsk

Σ : CMB+LSS 0νββ  :  GERDA, EXO, KL-Zen, ...

oscillation constraints

Upper limits on mβ,  mββ,  Σ  (up to some syst.) + osc. constraints

mββ  spread due to

Majorana CP phase(s):

accessible in principle

[Clearly, the inverted hierarchy case would make life easier...]

Page 32: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

32  

-1.2 -1.0 -0.8 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4-4.0

-3.5

-3.0

-2.5

-2.0

-1.5

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

-110 1-310

-210

-110

1

-3.0 -2.5 -2.0 -1.5 -1.0 -0.5 0.0-4.0

-3.5

-3.0

-2.5

-2.0

-1.5

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

-310 -210 -110 1-310

-210

-110

1-1.4 -1.2 -1.0 -0.8 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4

-2.0

-1.5

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

-110 1-310

-210

-110

1

(NH)m2 (IH)m2

(eV)Y (eV)`m

(eV)

``m

(eV)

`m

β    :  KATRIN

Σ : Precision Cosmology 0νββ  :  Upgraded/New expt. (+ NME)

oscillation constraints

Upper limits on mβ,  mββ,  Σ   in ~10 years ?

Large phase space for discoveries about ν mass and nature.

Page 33: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

33  

-1.2 -1.0 -0.8 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4-4.0

-3.5

-3.0

-2.5

-2.0

-1.5

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

-110 1-310

-210

-110

1

-3.0 -2.5 -2.0 -1.5 -1.0 -0.5 0.0-4.0

-3.5

-3.0

-2.5

-2.0

-1.5

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

-310 -210 -110 1-310

-210

-110

1-1.4 -1.2 -1.0 -0.8 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4

-2.0

-1.5

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

-110 1-310

-210

-110

1

(NH)m2 (IH)m2

(eV)Y (eV)`m

(eV)

``m

(eV)

`m

β    :  KATRIN

Σ : Precision Cosmology 0νββ  :  Upgraded/New expt. (+ NME)

oscillation constraints

Upper limits on mβ,  mββ,  Σ   in ~10 years ?

Cosmology first? Be prepared to Σ>0 (or IH rejection) claims!

Page 34: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

We should not be biased by the success of the 3ν scheme... If we sail too close to the 3ν coastline ... we might miss an entire new continent: new neutrino states and interactions!

νS? NSI?

34  

Comments about future tests of 3ν paradigm

Page 35: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

35  

δm2 ~ 8x10-5 eV2

Δm2 ~ 2x10-3 eV2

sin2θ12 ~ 0.3 sin2θ23 ~ 0.5 sin2θ13 ~ 0.02

EPILOGUE We are mapping accurately ~½ of the 3ν param. space ....

3ν Terra Cognita...

Page 36: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

36  

δm2 ~ 8x10-5 eV2

Δm2 ~ 2x10-3 eV2

sin2θ12 ~ 0.3 sin2θ23 ~ 0.5 sin2θ13 ~ 0.02

δ (CP) sign(Δm2) octant(θ23) absolute masses Dirac/Majorana

EPILOGUE ... sending expeditions to the other ½ ...

3ν Terra Incognita... 3ν Terra Cognita...

Page 37: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

37  

δm2 ~ 8x10-5 eV2

Δm2 ~ 2x10-3 eV2

sin2θ12 ~ 0.3 sin2θ23 ~ 0.5 sin2θ13 ~ 0.02

δ (CP) sign(Δm2) octant(θ23) absolute masses Dirac/Majorana

EPILOGUE

3ν Terra Incognita... ... beyond 3ν ... 3ν Terra Cognita... new light states

new heavy states nonstandard inter. flavor structures lepton/baryon asym

... hoping to discover more distant lands ...

Page 38: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

38  

δm2 ~ 8x10-5 eV2

Δm2 ~ 2x10-3 eV2

sin2θ12 ~ 0.3 sin2θ23 ~ 0.5 sin2θ13 ~ 0.02

δ (CP) sign(Δm2) octant(θ23) absolute masses Dirac/Majorana

EPILOGUE

3ν Terra Incognita... 3ν Terra Cognita...

Thank you for your attention.

new light states

new heavy states nonstandard inter. flavor structures lepton/baryon asym

... beyond 3ν ...

Page 39: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

39  

Extra slides

Page 40: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

40  

sin2θ23  

sin

2 θ13  

Leading appearance amplitude at LBL Acc. ~ sin2θ23 sin2(2θ13) à anticorrelates θ23 and θ13 Leading disappearence amplitude at SBL Reac. ~ sin2(2θ13) Subleading disappearence effects in Solar + KL ~ sin2θ13 à indirectly helps in selecting high vs low θ23

0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.70.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.70.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.70.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.060.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.70.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.70.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.70.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06LBL Acc + Solar + KL + SBL Reactors + SK Atm

23e2sin 23e2sin 23e2sin

23e2sin 23e2sin 23e2sin

13e2si

n13e2

sin

m1 m2 m3

Norm

al Hierarchy

Inverted Hierarchy

Page 41: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

MINOS disappearance prefers nonmaximal mixing (still wins over T2K preference for ~maximal) à two degenerate minima for θ23

T2K + MINOS appearance anticorrelate the minima with θ13: the higher θ23, the lower θ13

Contours extend to relatively high sin2θ13 to accommodate the relatively “strong” T2K appearance signal, especially in IH In the combination, Solar + KL data lift the degeneracy and prefer the second octant solution, associated with “low” sin2θ13~0.02

41  

0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.70.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.70.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.70.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.060.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.70.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.70.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.70.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06LBL Acc + Solar + KL + SBL Reactors + SK Atm

23e2sin 23e2sin 23e2sin

23e2sin 23e2sin 23e2sin

13e2si

n13e2

sin

m1 m2 m3

Norm

al Hierarchy

Inverted Hierarchy

Page 42: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

Reactor data prefer sin2θ13~0.022, slightly higher than Solar+KL: enough to flip the octant in NH, but not enough to do so in IH.

42  

0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.70.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.70.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.70.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.060.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.70.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.70.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.70.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06LBL Acc + Solar + KL + SBL Reactors + SK Atm

23e2sin 23e2sin 23e2sin

23e2sin 23e2sin 23e2sin

13e2si

n13e2

sin

m1 m2 m3

Norm

al Hierarchy

Inverted Hierarchy

Page 43: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

43  

0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.70.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.70.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.70.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.060.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.70.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.70.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.70.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06LBL Acc + Solar + KL + SBL Reactors + SK Atm

23e2sin 23e2sin 23e2sin

23e2sin 23e2sin 23e2sin

13e2si

n13e2

sin

m1 m2 m3

Norm

al Hierarchy

Inverted Hierarchy

SK atm: In our analysis we still find an overall preference of these data for 1st octant. But, global octant balance rather fragile.

Page 44: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

Linking two fundamental research expeditions:

1. Test Higgs sector

2. Find ν masses

44  

Page 45: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

ν ?

 cou

pling  to  Higgs    à

 

 1  +  2        Where  are  the  ν’s  on  this  plot?    Why  are  they  so  light?    

par=cle  mass  à                <  1  eV  45  

Page 46: Status of Three Neutrino Mixing - IN2P3 Events Directory ... · Status of Three Neutrino Mixing 50th Rencontres de Moriond (EW) La Thuile, Italy, 2015 Eligio Lisi INFN, Bari, Italy

ν

Dirac:  neutrinos  “talk”    very  weakly  to  the    Higgs  boson,  y  <  10-­‐12  for  unknown  reasons...  

             <  1  eV  

�  

Options:

par=cle  mass  à  

 cou

pling  to  Higgs    à

 

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ν

Majorana:  neutrinos  talk    “normally”  to  the  Higgs,    but  also  to  other  (much)    higher  scale(s)  M  -­‐-­‐>  suppression  yMH/M    

             <  1  eV  

�  

Options:

�  �  �  

par=cle  mass  à  

 cou

pling  to  Higgs    à

 

47  

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MH  

m(ν)  

M  Neutrinos masses may offer a great opportunity to jump beyond the EW framework via see-saw ...

... and to address fundamental physics issues, such as: � new sources of CP violation at low and high energies � lepton number violation and associated phenomena � matter-antimatter asymmetry of the universe ...

48  

�  �  �  �  

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M  ~  GUT  scale  

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�  �  �  �  

CP-violating decays of heavy neutrinos at scale M may generate lepton asymmetry (leptogenesis): Discovery of leptonic CP violation and of Majorana nature (+ proton decay?) would be important steps towards this scenario.

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M  ~  low  scale  

50  

�  �  �  �  

CP-violating decays of heavy neutrinos at scale M may generate lepton asymmetry (leptogenesis). Discovery of leptonic CP violation and of Majorana nature (+ proton decay?) would be important steps towards this scenario.

At the other end of the spectrum, low-scale (e.g. EW) see-saw may also generate (at the price of fine-tuning) additional interesting phenomenology: dark matter candidates, di-lepton and heavy lepton events in HEP

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51  

�  �  �  �  

CP-violating decays of heavy neutrinos at scale M may generate lepton asymmetry (leptogenesis). Discovery of leptonic CP violation and of Majorana nature (+ proton decay?) would be important steps towards this scenario.

At the other end of the spectrum, low-scale (e.g. EW) see-saw may also generate (at the price of fine-tuning) additional interesting phenomenology: dark matter candidates, di-lepton and heavy lepton events in HEP

In principle, several sterile states might even be split among widely difference energy scales, and contribute to various phenomena in (astro)particle physics. Let us remain open-minded!