Step 1a&b: Risk Assessment Form for Local Authorities ...€¦ · Conduct risk assessment of local authority service areas using Risk Assessment Methodology and 5x5 Matrix Step 1a&b:

Name of Local Authority: Northamptonshire CC Service Area Assessed: Emergency Planning Date of CRA: 18/11/2009

A B C D E F G H I J K L M

2020s 2050s 2080s 2020s 2050s 2080s

1 Increasing summer

temperatures The Higher summer temperatures

Customer/citizen

Specific plans for large

companies eg. Scott Bader

(chemical factory)2 3 1 2

Economic 2 3 1 2

Technological 2 3 2 3

Logistics/Infrastructure 2 3 2 3

Assets/Property 2 3 3 4

Contractual/Supplier 2 3 2 3

Customer/citizen 2 3 4 5

Economic 2 3 3 4



Reputation 1 2 2 3

Legal 1 2 2 3



Customer/citizen Grid Lock Plan 1 2 2 3


Economic 2 3 3 4

Customer/citizen Feeding Plan 2 3 4 5

Logistics/Infrastructure Transport Plan 2 3 3 4


Staff 2 2 3 4

Legal 2 2 2 3

© East Midlands NI 188 Planning to Adapt Project 2009

Risk/Opportunity *8 & Timescales *9

Date of Review:

Likelihood of

consequence *10

Severity of

consequence *11Who or What is

Impacted *6

Control Measures or

Safeguards currently in

place *7

Conduct risk assessment of local authority service areas using Risk

Assessment Methodology and 5x5 Matrix

Step 1a&b: Risk Assessment Form for Local Authorities

PLEASE NOTE: You are REQUIRED TO USE THE RISK ASSESSMENT METHODOLOGY DOCUMENT during template completion

Ref.

No.

*1

Future climatic condition *2 Impact *3Identified Risk and/or

Opportunity *4Consequence * 5

1

Increasing summer

temperatures The

projected changes are:

Increase in summer mean

temperature is: 0.4 (1.4) 2.5

°C by 2020s / 1.1 (2.5) 4.7°C

by 2050s / 1.2 (3.5) 7.3°C by

2080s;


daily maximum is: 0.5 (1.9)

3.5°C by 2020s / 1.1 (3.3)

6.6°C by 2050s / 1.2 (4.7)

10.3°C by 2080s;


daily minimum is: 0.6 (1.5)

2.7°C by 2020s / 1.1 (2.7)

5.5°C by 2050s / 1.3 (3.8)

8.2°C by 2080s.

Higher summer temperatures

Elevated temperatures in

buildings

Overheating of

electrical/industrial equipment

leading to system failure

eg.substations/computers

2

Overheating of transport

infrastructure

Structural damage to

infrastructure eg. Buckling train

tracks/melting roads (leading

to up to 30 fatalities and up to

100 casualties)

Emergency response time

affected if roads, access routes

and transport infrastructure

impassable for considerable

length of time.

Transport strandings

Increased severity/spread of

viruses and disease

Possible pandemic/endemic.

Becomes Emergency Planning

responsibility when a serious

epidemic is of much greater

severity than the usual

seasonal flu. Weekly GP

consultations for new episodes

of flu-like illness exceed 400

per 100,000 of population at

the peak.



tracks/melting roads

Disruption to food supply

N O P Q R S T U V W X Y Z

Risk/Opportunity

2020s 2050s 2080s

1 0 0 0

2 6 0 -

2 6 0 -

4 9 0 -

4 9 0 -

6 12 0 -

4 9 0 -

8 15 0 -

6 12 0 -

6 12 0 -

4 10 0 -

2 6 0 -

2 6 0 -

2 6 0 -

1 4 0 -

2 6 0 -

2 6 0 -

6 12 0 -

8 15 0 -

6 12 0 -

8 10 0 -

6 8 0 -

4 6 0 -

Ref.

No.

*1

Risk/Opportunity


Date action

required by: *16

Date action

completed: *16

Risk Number *12Notes of Decision of

Assignment *13

Observations and

recommendations to reduce

vulnerability *14

Cost* 14

Resource

Requirements

*15

+ve

or -

ve

*18


Coordinated response

required with other local

authority areas? *16

Potential Adaptation Measures *14

Action required by

whom *16




2020s 2050s 2080s 2020s 2050s 2080s



Date of Review:

Likelihood of

consequence *10

Severity of


Impacted *6

Control Measures or


place *7





Ref.

No.

*1



Social/People 1 1 3 4

Legal 1 1 2 3

Political 1 1 3 4


Legal 3 4 3 4

Staff 3 4 4 5

Staff 1 2 3 4


More uncomfortable

living/working conditionsLogistics/Infrastructure 1 2 3 4


Legal 2 2 4 4

Staff 2 2 4 4


Legal 1 2 4 5

Staff 1 2 4 5


Reputation 2 3 3 4

Environmental 2 3 4 5

Increase in blue green algae

affecting water supply

Change in exotic species'

ranges

Increasing summer

temperatures The




°C by 2020s / 1.1 (2.5) 4.7°C

by 2050s / 1.2 (3.5) 7.3°C by

2080s;



3.5°C by 2020s / 1.1 (3.3)

6.6°C by 2050s / 1.2 (4.7)

10.3°C by 2080s;



2.7°C by 2020s / 1.1 (2.7)

5.5°C by 2050s / 1.3 (3.8)

8.2°C by 2080s.



viruses and disease

Heightened social disorder

More uncomfortable

living/working conditions

Increased frequency of

dehydration/ heat stroke

among vulnerable groups

More air conditioning used in

buildings

Chance of disease outbreak

eg. Legionella. Becomes

Emergency Planning

responsibility when localised

outbreak of a disease causes

up to 10 fatalities and up to 50

casualties, with no variation in

likelihood between localities


ranges

Vector-borne diseases eg.

Malaria. Becomes an

Emergency Planning

responsibility when there are

up to 100 fatalities and 2000

casualties.

More uncomfortable

living/working conditionsIncreased industrial action.

Becomes an Emergency

Planning responsibility when

there are a number of three

day strikes of Emergency

Services and other workers

providing a service critical to

the preservation of life (e.g.

doctors and nurses).


Risk/Opportunity

2020s 2050s 2080s

Ref.

No.

*1

Risk/Opportunity


Date action

required by: *16

Date action

completed: *16


Assignment *13

Observations and


vulnerability *14

Cost* 14

Resource

Requirements

*15

+ve

or -

ve

*18






Action required by

whom *16


3 4 0 -

2 3 0 -

3 4 0 -

12 16 0 -

9 16 0 -

12 20 0 -

Improve policy in order to

enforce a maximum

temperature threshold within

the workplace

3 8 0 -

4 10 0 -

3 8 0 -

8 8 0 -

8 8 0 -

8 8 0 -

4 10 0 -

4 10 0 -

4 10 0 -

8 15 0 -

6 12 0 -

8 15 0 -



2020s 2050s 2080s 2020s 2050s 2080s



Date of Review:

Likelihood of

consequence *10

Severity of


Impacted *6

Control Measures or


place *7





Ref.

No.

*1



Economic

Animal diseases plan

(Emergency Planning and

Trading standards

responsibility)

2 3 3 4


2

Increasing summer

temperatures The



temperature is: 0.4 (1.4) 2.5 °C

by 2020s / 1.1 (2.5) 4.7°C by

2050s / 1.2 (3.5) 7.3°C by 2080s;

Increase in summer mean daily

maximum is: 0.5 (1.9) 3.5°C by

2020s / 1.1 (3.3) 6.6°C by 2050s /

1.2 (4.7) 10.3°C by 2080s;

Increase in summer mean daily

minimum is: 0.6 (1.5) 2.7°C by

2020s / 1.1 (2.7) 5.5°C by 2050s /

Heat waves



daily maximum temperatures

are in excess of 32°C and

minimum temperatures in

excess of 15°C over most of

the area for at least 5

consecutive days and nights.

Heat wave plan

Customer/citizen


companies eg. Scott Bader

(chemical factory)2 3 1 2

Economic 2 3 1 2





Customer/citizen

"Grid Lock" plan in place

although damage to highways

is the responsibility of the

Highways Agency

3 4 3 4

Economic Transport Plan 3 4 3 4

Increase in animal diseases

eg. Blue tongue/avian flu/foot &

mouth

Need for mass vaccination of

livestock. Becomes

Emergency Planning

responsibility when it affects

20,000 to 20 million sheep and

cattle for 8 months to the

disease becoming endemic

due to climate change.

Increasing summer

temperatures The




°C by 2020s / 1.1 (2.5) 4.7°C

by 2050s / 1.2 (3.5) 7.3°C by

2080s;



3.5°C by 2020s / 1.1 (3.3)

6.6°C by 2050s / 1.2 (4.7)

10.3°C by 2080s;



2.7°C by 2020s / 1.1 (2.7)

5.5°C by 2050s / 1.3 (3.8)

8.2°C by 2080s.


Increasing summer

temperatures The




°C by 2020s / 1.1 (2.5) 4.7°C

by 2050s / 1.2 (3.5) 7.3°C by

2080s;



3.5°C by 2020s / 1.1 (3.3)

6.6°C by 2050s / 1.2 (4.7)

10.3°C by 2080s;



2.7°C by 2020s / 1.1 (2.7)

5.5°C by 2050s / 1.3 (3.8)

8.2°C by 2080s.

Heat waves

Prolonged elevated

temperatures in buildings

Overheating of

electrical/industrial equipment

leading to system failure

eg.substations/computers


infrastructure





Risk/Opportunity

2020s 2050s 2080s

Ref.

No.

*1

Risk/Opportunity


Date action

required by: *16

Date action

completed: *16


Assignment *13

Observations and


vulnerability *14

Cost* 14

Resource

Requirements

*15

+ve

or -

ve

*18






Action required by

whom *16


6 12 0 -

8 15 0 -

0 0 0

2 6 0 -

2 6 0 -

4 9 0 -

4 9 0 -

9 16 0 -

6 12 0 -

9 16 0 -

9 16 0 -



2020s 2050s 2080s 2020s 2050s 2080s



Date of Review:

Likelihood of

consequence *10

Severity of


Impacted *6

Control Measures or


place *7





Ref.

No.

*1



Logistics/Infrastructure

"Grid Lock" plan in place

although damage to highways

is the responsibility of the

Highways Agency

3 4 3 4


Reputation 1 2 2 3

Legal 1 2 2 3



Customer/citizen

"Grid Lock" plan in place eg.

Distribution of water to drivers.

If situation becomes critical,

evacuation takes place.

1 2 2 3


Economic 2 3 3 4

Customer/citizen Feeding Plan 2 3 4 5

Logistics/Infrastructure Transport Plan 2 3 3 4





Economic 1 2 3 4

Customer/citizen Diseases plan 2 2 4 5

Staff 2 2 3 4

Legal 2 2 2 3

Staff 1 1 3 3

Reputation 1 1 3 4

Customer/citizen 1 1 2 3Increased industrial action

Increasing summer

temperatures The




°C by 2020s / 1.1 (2.5) 4.7°C

by 2050s / 1.2 (3.5) 7.3°C by

2080s;



3.5°C by 2020s / 1.1 (3.3)

6.6°C by 2050s / 1.2 (4.7)

10.3°C by 2080s;



2.7°C by 2020s / 1.1 (2.7)

5.5°C by 2050s / 1.3 (3.8)

8.2°C by 2080s.

Heat waves


infrastructure




Emergency response time

affected

Transport strandings


viruses and disease

Possible pandemic and need

for increased contingency

planning




Disruption to food supply

Dry conditions in rural areas for

prolonged periodForest fires


Risk/Opportunity

2020s 2050s 2080s

Ref.

No.

*1

Risk/Opportunity


Date action

required by: *16

Date action

completed: *16


Assignment *13

Observations and


vulnerability *14

Cost* 14

Resource

Requirements

*15

+ve

or -

ve

*18






Action required by

whom *16


9 16 0 -

Liaise with Highways Agency

through Local Resilience

Forum. Maintain supplies of

grit all year round.

Highways Agency

4 10 0 -

2 6 0 -

2 6 0 -

2 6 0 -

1 4 0 -

2 6 0 -

Discussion with Local

Resilience Forum that situation

will worsen. Regular

improvements of plans.

Highways Agency and

Emergency Planning

team

2 6 0 -

6 12 0 -

8 15 0 -

6 12 0 -

3 8 0 -

Increase preparedness

especially in light of National

Forest plans

3 8 0 -

3 8 0 -

4 10 0 -

3 8 0 -

8 10 0 -

6 8 0 -

4 6 0 -

3 3 0 -

3 4 0 -

2 3 0 -



2020s 2050s 2080s 2020s 2050s 2080s



Date of Review:

Likelihood of

consequence *10

Severity of


Impacted *6

Control Measures or


place *7





Ref.

No.

*1





Legal 1 1 2 3

Political 1 1 3 4

Customer/citizen

Healthcare information on how

to cool down and remain

hydrated during heat waves

(health service responsibility)

3 4 4 5

Legal 3 4 3 4

Staff 3 4 4 5

Staff 3 4 2 3

Economic 3 4 3 4

Reputation 3 4 2 3

Customer/citizen

Responsibility of

Environmental Health Officer

to continue monitoring air

conditioning units

2 3 4 4

Legal 2 3 4 4

Staff 2 3 4 4


Legal 1 2 4 5

Staff 1 2 4 5


Reputation 2 3 3 4

Increased industrial action

Heightened social disorder

Increasing summer

temperatures The




°C by 2020s / 1.1 (2.5) 4.7°C

by 2050s / 1.2 (3.5) 7.3°C by

2080s;



3.5°C by 2020s / 1.1 (3.3)

6.6°C by 2050s / 1.2 (4.7)

10.3°C by 2080s;



2.7°C by 2020s / 1.1 (2.7)

5.5°C by 2050s / 1.3 (3.8)

8.2°C by 2080s.

Heat waves


viruses and disease

More uncomfortable

living/working conditions

Increased frequency of

dehydration/ heat stroke

among vulnerable groups

Increased hospital admissions Pressure on care services

More air conditioning used in

buildings

Chance of disease outbreak

eg. Legionella. Becomes

Emergency Planning

responsibility when localised

outbreak of a disease causes

up to 10 fatalities and up to 50

casualties, with no variation in

likelihood between localities

Vector-borne diseases eg.

Malaria. Becomes an

Emergency Planning

responsibility when there are

up to 100 fatalities and 2000

casualties.Change in exotic species'

ranges




Risk/Opportunity

2020s 2050s 2080s

Ref.

No.

*1

Risk/Opportunity


Date action

required by: *16

Date action

completed: *16


Assignment *13

Observations and


vulnerability *14

Cost* 14

Resource

Requirements

*15

+ve

or -

ve

*18






Action required by

whom *16


2 3 0 -

3 4 0 -

2 3 0 -

3 4 0 -

12 20 0 -

Maintain supplies of cooling

equipment in care

homes/hospitals/schools (led

by health care service)

Healthcare service

9 16 0 -

12 20 0 -

Improve policy in order to

enforce a maximum

temperature threshold within

the workplace

6 12 0 -

9 16 0 -

6 12 0 -

8 12 0 -Environmental Health

service

8 12 0 -

8 12 0 -

Homeworking/flexible working

to ensure safety of vulnerable

patients

4 10 0 -

4 10 0 -

4 10 0 -

8 15 0 -

6 12 0 -



2020s 2050s 2080s 2020s 2050s 2080s



Date of Review:

Likelihood of

consequence *10

Severity of


Impacted *6

Control Measures or


place *7





Ref.

No.

*1




Economic

Animal diseases plan

(Emergency Planning and

Trading standards

responsibility)

2 3 3 4


3 Increasing winter

temperature The Milder winters

Increasing winter

temperature The Milder winters Assets/Property 1 2 2 3

Staff 1 2 2 3



Economic 1 2 2 3



Economic 2 3 4 5

Customer/Citizen 2 3 4 5

Customer/Citizen Diseases Plan 1 2 3 4

Legal 1 2 2 3

Staff 1 2 2 3

4 Increasing winter

temperature The

** Low temperatures / Cold

spells ** Low temperatures / Cold

spells Assets/Property 2 1 2 2



Increasing summer

temperatures The




°C by 2020s / 1.1 (2.5) 4.7°C

by 2050s / 1.2 (3.5) 7.3°C by

2080s;



3.5°C by 2020s / 1.1 (3.3)

6.6°C by 2050s / 1.2 (4.7)

10.3°C by 2080s;



2.7°C by 2020s / 1.1 (2.7)

5.5°C by 2050s / 1.3 (3.8)

8.2°C by 2080s.

Heat waves

Increase in animal diseases

eg. Blue tongue/avian flu/foot &

mouth

Need for mass vaccination of

livestock. Becomes

Emergency Planning

responsibility when it affects

20,000 to 20 million sheep and

cattle for 8 months to the

disease becoming endemic

due to climate change.

Structural damage to buildings

Damage to buildings (eg. Roof

beam failure)


viruses and disease

Possible pandemic and need

for increased contingency

planning

Agricultural losses

Changes to subsoil conditionsBuilding foundations affected

leading to structural damage


ranges



Increase in pest species

Changes to subsoil conditions


Risk/Opportunity

2020s 2050s 2080s

Ref.

No.

*1

Risk/Opportunity


Date action

required by: *16

Date action

completed: *16


Assignment *13

Observations and


vulnerability *14

Cost* 14

Resource

Requirements

*15

+ve

or -

ve

*18






Action required by

whom *16


8 15 0 -

6 12 0 -

8 15 0 -

3 0 0 0

2 6 0 -

2 6 0 -

2 6 0 -

2 6 0 -

2 6 0 -

6 12 0 -

6 12 0 -

8 15 0 -

8 15 0 -

3 8 0 -

2 6 0 -

2 6 0 -

4 0 0 0

4 2 0 -

4 2 0 -

4 2 0 -



2020s 2050s 2080s 2020s 2050s 2080s



Date of Review:

Likelihood of

consequence *10

Severity of


Impacted *6

Control Measures or


place *7





Ref.

No.

*1



5

Increasing winter

temperature The


Increase in winter mean

temperature is: 0.5 (1.3) 2.2°C by

2020s / 0.9 (2.2) 3.8°C by 2050s /

1.4 (3.0) 5.5°C by 2080s.

** Even though winter

temperatures are projected to

increase it is inevitable that cold

spells and associated frost, snow

and ice events will occur (albeit at

a lower frequency)

** Frost / Snow / Ice



snow lies over most of the

country for at least one week

and most inland areas

experience some snow falls in

excess of 10cm, some drifts in

excess of 50cm, and a period

of at least 7 consecutive days

with daily mean temperatures

below -3 degrees centigrade.

Increasing winter

temperature The ** Frost / Snow / Ice Assets/Property 2 2 3 3


Logistics/Infrastructure Severe weather plan 2 2 3 3


Staff 1 1 3 3



Legal 1 1 4 4

Staff 1 1 5 5


Staff 2 2 2 2



Increased black ice Transport accidents

High snow load

Damage to buildings (e.g roof

beam failure)

Cause of injury/death due to

collapsing structures

Frost damageStructural damage to

buildings/utilites


Risk/Opportunity

2020s 2050s 2080s

Ref.

No.

*1

Risk/Opportunity


Date action

required by: *16

Date action

completed: *16


Assignment *13

Observations and


vulnerability *14

Cost* 14

Resource

Requirements

*15

+ve

or -

ve

*18






Action required by

whom *16


0 0 0

6 6 0 -

8 8 0 -

6 6 0 -

3 3 0 -

3 3 0 -

2 2 0 -

5 5 0 -

4 4 0 -

5 5 0 -

4 4 0 -

4 4 0 -

2 2 0 -

2 2 0 -



2020s 2050s 2080s 2020s 2050s 2080s



Date of Review:

Likelihood of

consequence *10

Severity of


Impacted *6

Control Measures or


place *7





Ref.

No.

*1



6

Decreasing summer

precipitation

The projected changes are:

Decrease in summer mean

precipitation is:

-22 (-5) 15% by 2020s /

-37 (-15) 13% by 2050s /

-50 (-19) 11% by 2080s

Drought



periodic water supply

interruptions affect 385,000

businesses in London for up to

10 months. Emergency

Drought Orders in place

authorising rota cuts in supply

according to needs of priority

users as directed by Secretary

of State.

Customer/citizen

Only 3 day supply of food for

the county due to panic buying -

Feeding Plan if necessary

3 4 4 5


Economic 3 4 4 5





Economic 1 2 3 4


Economic 2 3 4 5


Customer/citizen Landfill Sites Plan 2 3 4 5


Staff 2 3 3 4

Legal 2 3 4 5

Customer/citizen Diseases Plan 1 2 3 4

Staff 1 2 3 4

Drier soil conditions leading to

structural damage

Damage/collapse of mineral

workings/ disused landfill sites

leading to potential methane

release

Health and Safety risks

Less water for agriculture Loss of food supply

Reduction in drinking water

availability

Increased disease

Increased subsidence leading

to damage/ collapse of

buildings

Dry conditions in rural areas for

prolonged periodForest fires


Risk/Opportunity

2020s 2050s 2080s

Ref.

No.

*1

Risk/Opportunity


Date action

required by: *16

Date action

completed: *16


Assignment *13

Observations and


vulnerability *14

Cost* 14

Resource

Requirements

*15

+ve

or -

ve

*18






Action required by

whom *16


6 0 0 0

12 20 0 -

12 20 0 -

12 20 0 -

3 8 0 -

Increase preparedness

especially in light of National

Forest plans

3 8 0 -

3 8 0 -

4 10 0 -

3 8 0 -

6 12 0 -

8 15 0 -

8 15 0 -

8 15 0 -

6 12 0 -

6 12 0 -

8 15 0 -

3 8 0 -

3 8 0 -



2020s 2050s 2080s 2020s 2050s 2080s



Date of Review:

Likelihood of

consequence *10

Severity of


Impacted *6

Control Measures or


place *7





Ref.

No.

*1



Legal 1 2 2 3


Staff 2 3 3 4


Legal 2 3 2 3

Economic 2 3 2 3

Staff 1 2 3 4

Reputation 1 2 3 4




Legal 1 2 3 4

Political 1 2 3 4

Contractual/Supplier


companies eg. COMAH - Scott

Bader1 2 3 4




Economic 1 2 3 4


Reduction in drinking water

availability

Increased disease

Industrial action if government

contingency is inadequate

Dehydration of people and

livestock

Social unrest

Lack of water for industryIndustrial technical failure eg.

Power stations/mills


Risk/Opportunity

2020s 2050s 2080s

Ref.

No.

*1

Risk/Opportunity


Date action

required by: *16

Date action

completed: *16


Assignment *13

Observations and


vulnerability *14

Cost* 14

Resource

Requirements

*15

+ve

or -

ve

*18






Action required by

whom *16


2 6 0 -

6 12 0 -

6 12 0 -

4 9 0 -

4 9 0 -

4 9 0 -

3 8 0 -

3 8 0 -

2 6 0 -

2 6 0 -

3 8 0 -

3 8 0 -

3 8 0 -

3 8 0 -Health and Safety

Executive

4 10 0 -

3 8 0 -

4 10 0 -

3 8 0 -

3 8 0 -



2020s 2050s 2080s 2020s 2050s 2080s



Date of Review:

Likelihood of

consequence *10

Severity of


Impacted *6

Control Measures or


place *7





Ref.

No.

*1



7

Increasing winter

precipitation The projected changes are:


precipitation is: -2 (6) 16% by

2020s / 1 (14) 33% by 2050s / 3

(18) 53% by 2080s

Periods of heavy and / or

persitant rain

Pluvial flooding (flash floods

from rainfall)



there is a sustained period of

heavy rainfall extending over

two weeks, perhaps combined

with snow melt, resulting in

steadily rising river levels

across entire counties and

could threaten a large urban

town. Localised flooding of 100

to 1,000 properties for 2-7

days. Up to 5 fatalities and 50

casualties. Up to 5,000 people

evacuated.

Funding given to improve flood

planning (eg. catchment

profiles and definition of high

priority management areas)

after Northampton was listed

as the 70th most vulnerable

community to flooding in the

UK by the EA. In addition BBC

produced flood zone maps of

Northampton.

Increasing winter

precipitation The projected changes are:


precipitation is: -2 (6) 16% by


persitant rain

Pluvial flooding (flash floods

from rainfall)Customer/citizen

Surface water/ flood

management plans

(Environment Agency)

3 4 4 5

Reputation 3 4 3 4

Legal 3 4 3 4


Displaced people Economic 3 4 4 5

Social/PeoplePrewarning system from Met

Office 3 4 4 5

Economic 2 3 4 5

Environmental

Sand bags distributed in South

Northamptonshire however

litigation may be a problem

2 3 4 5


Staff 1 2 5 5

Contamination of water/food

supply by toxic waste/

sewerage leading to persistent

and/or extensive effect on land

quality. Becomes an

Emergency Planning

responsibility when there is a

loss of or non-availability for

drinking, of the piped water

supply, for up to 50,000

people, for more than 24 hours

and up to 3 days.

Injury/death from drowning

Contamination of residences

and need for increased waste

collection after event


Risk/Opportunity

2020s 2050s 2080s

Ref.

No.

*1

Risk/Opportunity


Date action

required by: *16

Date action

completed: *16


Assignment *13

Observations and


vulnerability *14

Cost* 14

Resource

Requirements

*15

+ve

or -

ve

*18






Action required by

whom *16


7 0 0 0

Environment Agency

before incident,

Emergency Planning after

incident

12 20 0 -

Environment Agency

before incident,

Emergency Planning after

incident

9 16 0 -

9 16 0 -

12 20 0 -

12 20 0 -

12 20 0 -Aim to not build on flood plains.

PPG/PPS 25

8 15 0 -

8 15 0 -

5 10 0 -

5 10 0 -



2020s 2050s 2080s 2020s 2050s 2080s



Date of Review:

Likelihood of

consequence *10

Severity of


Impacted *6

Control Measures or


place *7





Ref.

No.

*1



Legal 1 2 5 5




TechnologicalCritical national infrastructure

plans2 3 4 5

Economic 2 3 4 5


Logistics/InfrastructureFire and Rescue training and

exercise for flood events1 2 2 3

Reputation 1 2 3 4






Dam inundation plans

(responsibility of Local

Authority and Environment

Agency)

2 3 4 5

Environmental

Prewarning system from Met

Office including soil analysis of

multiple rainfall scenarios

2 3 4 5



Reputation 3 4 4 4


8 Increasing winter

precipitation


persitant rain Fluvial flooding (river flooding)

Increasing winter

precipitation


persitant rain Fluvial flooding (river flooding) Customer/citizen Surface water/ flood

management plans 3 4 4 5

Reputation 3 4 3 4


Industrial technical failure

eg.substation/ sewerage

pumping station

Pressure on emergency

services - shortages of search

and rescue equipment

Traffic accidents

Structural damage to roads

and flood defences

eg.Erosion/landslides

Limited access for emergency

vehicles





quality. Becomes an

Emergency Planning






and up to 3 days.


Risk/Opportunity

2020s 2050s 2080s

Ref.

No.

*1

Risk/Opportunity


Date action

required by: *16

Date action

completed: *16


Assignment *13

Observations and


vulnerability *14

Cost* 14

Resource

Requirements

*15

+ve

or -

ve

*18






Action required by

whom *16


5 10 0 -

6 12 0 -Anglian Water/ central

networks

6 12 0 -

8 15 0 -

8 15 0 -

8 15 0 -

6 12 0 -

2 6 0 -

3 8 0 -

4 10 0 -

3 8 0 -

4 10 0 -

3 8 0 -

8 15 0 -

8 15 0 -

6 12 0 -

15 20 0 -

12 16 0 -

15 20 0 -

0 0 0

12 20 0 -

9 16 0 -



2020s 2050s 2080s 2020s 2050s 2080s



Date of Review:

Likelihood of

consequence *10

Severity of


Impacted *6

Control Measures or


place *7





Ref.

No.

*1



Legal 3 4 3 4


Displaced people Economic 3 4 4 5

Social/People Feeding Plan/ Flood Plan 3 4 4 5

Economic 2 3 4 5

Environmental

Sand bags distributed in South

Northamptonshire however

litigation may be a problem

2 3 4 5




TechnologicalCritical national infrastructure

plans2 3 4 5

Economic 2 3 4 5



Staff 1 2 5 5

Legal 1 2 5 5

Logistics/InfrastructureFire and Rescue training and

exercise for flood events1 2 2 3

Reputation 1 2 3 4

Industrial technical failure

eg.substation/ sewerage

pumping station





quality. Becomes an

Emergency Planning






and up to 3 days.


Contamination of residences

and need for increased waste

collection after event





Risk/Opportunity

2020s 2050s 2080s

Ref.

No.

*1

Risk/Opportunity


Date action

required by: *16

Date action

completed: *16


Assignment *13

Observations and


vulnerability *14

Cost* 14

Resource

Requirements

*15

+ve

or -

ve

*18






Action required by

whom *16


9 16 0 -

12 20 0 -

12 20 0 -

12 20 0 -Aim to not build on flood plains.

PPG/PPS 25

LRF and flood group

working on Pitt review

recommendations

8 15 0 -

8 15 0 -

6 12 0 -Anglian Water/ central

networks

6 12 0 -

8 15 0 -

8 15 0 -

8 15 0 -

6 12 0 -

5 10 0 -

5 10 0 -

5 10 0 -

2 6 0 -

3 8 0 -



2020s 2050s 2080s 2020s 2050s 2080s



Date of Review:

Likelihood of

consequence *10

Severity of


Impacted *6

Control Measures or


place *7





Ref.

No.

*1




Environmental

Prewarning system from Met

Office including soil analysis of

multiple rainfall scenarios

2 3 4 5


Reputation 2 3 3 4


Customer/citizen

"Grid lock" plan ( eg.

amphibious vehicle belonging

to Fire and Rescue service)

3 4 4 5


Flat-bottomed rowing boats

provided by Spartan

Contractors

3 4 3 4

Economic 2 3 3 4



Flooding of transport networks Disruption to food supply Customer/citizen 2 3 4 5



Reputation 3 4 4 4


9 Increasing winter

precipitation


persitant rain

Damp and / or water logged

soils Increasing winter

precipitation


persitant rain Assets/Property 1 2 3 4



Staff 1 2 4 5

Legal 1 2 3 4

NFU Farmwatch - Farmers'

flood awareness network




Erosion/destruction of river

banks/ flood defences

Traffic strandings

Limited access for emergency

vehicles

Soil structure changes

resulting in structural instability

Damp conditionsHealth problems eg.

Pneumonia/ legionella

Damp and / or water logged

soils

Agricultural losses affecting

food supply


Risk/Opportunity

2020s 2050s 2080s

Ref.

No.

*1

Risk/Opportunity


Date action

required by: *16

Date action

completed: *16


Assignment *13

Observations and


vulnerability *14

Cost* 14

Resource

Requirements

*15

+ve

or -

ve

*18






Action required by

whom *16


4 10 0 - Spartan contractors

8 15 0 -

8 15 0 -

6 12 0 -

9 16 0 -

12 20 0 -

9 16 0 -

6 12 0 -

8 15 0 -

6 12 0 -

8 15 0

8 15 0

15 20 0 -

12 16 0 -

15 20 0 -

0 0 0

3 8 0 -

4 10 0 -

4 10 0 -

4 10 0 -

3 8 0 -



2020s 2050s 2080s 2020s 2050s 2080s



Date of Review:

Likelihood of

consequence *10

Severity of


Impacted *6

Control Measures or


place *7





Ref.

No.

*1



10 Combined climatic effects Storms / High winds


Planning responsibilty when

storm force winds affect most

of the country for at least 6

hours and most inland, lowland

areas experience mean

speeds in excess of 55mph

with gusts in excess of 85mph

Combined climatic effects Storms / High winds Contractual/Supplier 2 3 5 5

Customer/CitizenPublic can sign up to recieve

early warning from EA2 3 5 5

Logistics/InfrastructureBusiness Contiuity plans for

individual services2 3 5 5


Professional/Managerial Pre warning from Met Office 2 3 5 5






Professional/Managerial 2 3 5 5


Economic 1 2 4 5


Staff 1 2 5 5

Legal 1 2 4 4


Staff 1 2 4 5

Legal 1 2 4 5


Trees blown onto power lines

Loss of telecommunications.



there is a loss of

telecommunications for up to

100,000 people for up to 72

hours.

Loss of electricity supply.



there are partial or total

blackout for up to 3 days.

Windy conditions

Structural damage

Injury/death

Trees blown onto transport

networks/ infrastructure

Injury/death

Disruption to food supplies


Risk/Opportunity

2020s 2050s 2080s

Ref.

No.

*1

Risk/Opportunity


Date action

required by: *16

Date action

completed: *16


Assignment *13

Observations and


vulnerability *14

Cost* 14

Resource

Requirements

*15

+ve

or -

ve

*18






Action required by

whom *16


10 0 0 0

10 15 0 -

10 15 0 -

10 15 0 - Environment Agency

10 15 0 -

10 15 0 -

10 15 0 -

10 15 0 -

10 15 0 -

10 15 0 -

10 15 0 -

4 10 0 -

4 10 0 -

5 10 0 -

5 10 0 -

4 8 0 -

4 10 0 -

4 10 0 -

4 10 0 -

10 15 0 -



2020s 2050s 2080s 2020s 2050s 2080s



Date of Review:

Likelihood of

consequence *10

Severity of


Impacted *6

Control Measures or


place *7





Ref.

No.

*1








Economic 2 3 4 5

11 Combined climatic effects Lightning

Combined climatic effects Lightning Contractual/Supplier 2 3 5 5








Contractual/SupplierBusiness Contiuity plans for





12 Combined climatic effects Fog / Mist / Low cloud

Combined climatic effects Fog / Mist / Low cloud Assets/Property 1 2 3 4



13 Indirect impacts resulting

from climate changePower disruption

Indirect impacts resulting

from climate changePower disruption Customer/Citizen 2 3 5 5

Staff 2 3 5 5

Trees blown onto transport

networks/ infrastructure

Disruption to food supplies

Disruption to transport network

eg. Bridges/railways/roads

Damage to property

Lightning strike

Loss of telecommunications.



there is a loss of

telecommunications for up to

100,000 people for up to 72

hours.

Structural damage

Loss of electricity supply.



there are partial or total

blackout for up to 3 days.

Poor visibility Traffic accidents

Loss of heating, lighting, power Operational problems


Risk/Opportunity

2020s 2050s 2080s

Ref.

No.

*1

Risk/Opportunity


Date action

required by: *16

Date action

completed: *16


Assignment *13

Observations and


vulnerability *14

Cost* 14

Resource

Requirements

*15

+ve

or -

ve

*18






Action required by

whom *16


10 15 0 -

10 15 0 -

10 15 0 -

10 15 0 -

8 15 0 -

8 15 0 -

0 0 0

10 15 0 -

10 15 0 -

10 15 0 -

10 15 0 -

5 10 0 -

4 10 0 -

3 8 0 -

5 10 0 -

5 10 0 -

5 10 0 -

5 10 0 -

0 0 0

3 8 0 -

4 10 0 -

4 10 0 -

13 0 0 0

10 15 0 -

10 15 0 -



2020s 2050s 2080s 2020s 2050s 2080s



Date of Review:

Likelihood of

consequence *10

Severity of


Impacted *6

Control Measures or


place *7





Ref.

No.

*1





14Indirect impacts resulting

from climate changeSea level rise Social/People

"Invacuation" plans in place

with Lincolnshire residents

planned to enter

Northamptonshire in the event

of substantial sea level rise

1 2 3 4


Economic 1 2 3 4

Economic 1 2 4 5



from climate changeSea level rise Assets/Property 2 3 4 5


Logistics/Infrastructure Flood Plan 2 3 3 4


Staff 1 2 4 5

Legal 1 2 4 5

15Indirect impacts resulting

from climate changeClimate enforced immigration


from climate changeSocial/People 1 2 3 4

Logistics/Infrastructure Feeding Plan 1 2 3 4

Economic 1 2 3 4

Economic 1 2 3 4


16 Indirect impacts resulting

from climate changeSocial disorder


from climate changeSocial disorder Social/People 1 2 4 5

Legal 1 2 3 4

Political 1 2 3 4

Long-term consequences Social/People 1 2 4 5

Damaged property/loss of lifeLong-term health and

psychological consequences

Social instability - Immigrants

needing

employment/resources. Only

tolerable for so long for local

residents.

Social disorder

Loss of heating, lighting, power Operational problems

Flooding

Climate enforced immigration

Overcrowding/need for

accommodation/food

Pressure on schools and

health care

Coastal residents migrating to

landlocked areas

Overcrowding/need for

accommodation/food

Pressure on schools and

health care

Coastal residents migrating to

landlocked areas

Flooding of buildings

Injury/death


Risk/Opportunity

2020s 2050s 2080s

Ref.

No.

*1

Risk/Opportunity


Date action

required by: *16

Date action

completed: *16


Assignment *13

Observations and


vulnerability *14

Cost* 14

Resource

Requirements

*15

+ve

or -

ve

*18






Action required by

whom *16


10 15 0 -

3 8 0 -"Spare room system" as was

required during WWII

3 8 0 -

3 8 0 -

4 10 0 -

4 10 0 -

8 15 0 -

8 15 0 -

6 12 0 -

4 10 0 -

4 10 0 -

4 10 0 -

0 0 0

3 8 0 -

3 8 0 -

3 8 0 -

3 8 0 -

4 10 0 -

0 0 0

4 10 0 -

3 8 0 -

3 8 0 -

4 10 0 -



2020s 2050s 2080s 2020s 2050s 2080s



Date of Review:

Likelihood of

consequence *10

Severity of


Impacted *6

Control Measures or


place *7





Ref.

No.

*1



Economic 1 2 2 3


Staff 1 2 3 4

Damaged property/loss of lifeLong-term health and

psychological consequences Pressure on health care

services


Risk/Opportunity

2020s 2050s 2080s

Ref.

No.

*1

Risk/Opportunity


Date action

required by: *16

Date action

completed: *16


Assignment *13

Observations and


vulnerability *14

Cost* 14

Resource

Requirements

*15

+ve

or -

ve

*18






Action required by

whom *16


2 6 0 -

2 6 0 -

3 8 0 -

Documents

Step 1a&b: Risk Assessment Form for Local Authorities ...€¦ · Conduct risk assessment of local authority service areas using Risk Assessment Methodology and 5x5 Matrix Step 1a&b: