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U.S. Public and Nonpublic High School Graduates, to Peaked in at 3.4 million following 17 straight years of growth averaging 2.3% annually
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Strategic Planning 2022Steering Committee MeetingExternal / Internal Analysis
Presented by Paul Todd
February 19, 2016
Environmental TrendsFive Trends to Watch in Higher Education1. Declining revenue
Enrollment is flat or declining State funding decline is a long term trend
2. Demand for Higher ROI Investment is outpacing the return Student debt versus employment prospects
Boston Consulting Group, April 20142
U.S. Public and Nonpublic High School Graduates, 1996-97 to
2027-28
1996
-97
1997
-98
1998
-99
1999-00
2000-0
1
2001-02
2002
-03
2003
-04
2004
-05
2005
-06
2006
-07
2007
-08
2008
-09
2009
-10
2010
-11
2011
-12
2012-13
2013
-14
2014
-15
2015
-16
2016
-17
2017-1
8
2018-19
2019-2
0
2020
-21
2021
-22
2022
-23
2023
-24
2024
-25
2025
-26
2026
-27
2027
-282,200,000.0
2,400,000.0
2,600,000.0
2,800,000.0
3,000,000.0
3,200,000.0
3,400,000.0
3,600,000.0
Milli
ons
Peaked in 2010-11 at 3.4 million following 17 straight years of growth averaging
2.3% annually
State Funding Decline
4
In the Public Sector, a Growing Dependence on Net Tuition Revenue
State
Net Tuition Revenue Share, FY2014
Change in % Points Since
1986Vermont 81.6% 23.6Colorado 72.9% 32.8Pennsylvania 71.7% 33.4Ohio 63.0% 27.3Virginia 61.5% 32.1New Jersey 59.3% 38.5Kentucky 48.1% 22.5Washington 48.0% 26.3Texas 38.9% 19.0Georgia 37.9% 17.3New York 36.1% 17.6Florida 35.0% 16.5Illinois 33.6% 14.3North Carolina 33.5% 20.5California 21.7% 10.9Wyoming 14.9% 5.5Source: SHEEO SHEF
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
76.8%
53.4%
23.2%
46.6%
Share of Public Institutions’ Discretionary Revenues
Educational AppropriationsNet Tuition Revenue
No USG tuition increase for 2016-2017
Rising Tuition = Debt
6
External Trends3. Universities are being challenged to
improve student outcomes Graduation & competency data Performance-based funding
4. New business & delivery methods Certifications & accelerated degrees Online/hybrid delivery (post-MOOC)
5. Globalization is accelerating International students in the US US universities with a global footprint 7
SWOT Feedback 19 Listening Sessions About 75 faculty/staff/students Anonymous, open forum Aggregated responses
Ranked by number of similar responses Supplemented by Extended Cabinet
retreat data8
Strengths Diverse student body (20); diverse faculty
(8) Faculty committed to student success (19) Beautiful campus (17) Small class size (16); small school (5) Location within metro Atlanta (15) Value/lower cost (15) Engagement with the community, e.g. PACE
(14) Collegiality/cooperation among faculty &
staff (12) Qualified/committed faculty; quality
instruction (8) Strong leadership support (7) Top 100 workplace in Atlanta (Extended
Cabinet) Growing dual enrollment program (EC)
9
WeaknessesLow level of CSU awareness / need for more marketing (26)Lack of resources for new graduate programs (20)Unreliable IT infrastructure (17)Lack of support staff for faculty (13)Perception of crime (11)Low alumni involvement (10)Low/uncompetitive salaries (9)No school spirit (9)Pressure to increase enrollment (8)Inconsistent online offerings (7) 10
Weaknesses (cont.)Faculty staff turnover (7)Poor-quality talent pool in local high schools (7)Association with Clayton County School System (7)Lack of childcare (5)Poor communication within campus (5)Need for greater external funding/endowment (EC)Enrollment, retention, graduation rates (EC)
11
OpportunitiesMarketing and recruiting (26) “Lack of awareness is an opportunity”Expand partnerships: corporate/healthcare/government (14)Increase external funding: grants/sponsorships/gifts (11)Expand online, with training and support (11)Film & television (10)Campus expansion / proactive consolidation (8)Expand degree programs (8)Get more international students (7)Growth in graduate programs – more variety (7)12
Opportunities (cont.)Convert more dual-enrolment students (7) Childcare program (6)Embrace the current student population demographic (5)Increasing economic development on south
side, e.g., aerotropolis, Porsche, Ft. Gillem, Ft. McPherson, Pinewood (EC)
13
College of BusinessOpportunities• Market Segment Focus
Growing minority segments (e.g. Latino) Military veterans Degree-completion Boomers needing re-skilling
14
High School Graduates by Race/Ethnicity, 1996-97 to 2008-09 (Actual); 2009-10 to 2027-28
(Projected)
0.0
500,000.0
1,000,000.0
1,500,000.0
2,000,000.0
2,500,000.0
3,000,000.0
3,500,000.0 Total Public & Nonpublic
50% of public high school graduates
Projections of Postsecondary Enrollmentof Adults 25 and Older
• Adult enrollment is projected to grow by 22 percent between Fall 2010 and Fall 2021.
Source: National Center for Education Statistics, Projections of Education Statistics to 2021, Table 21.
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
7,000,000.0
7,500,000.0
8,000,000.0
8,500,000.0
9,000,000.0
9,500,000.0
10,000,000.0
10,500,000.0
11,000,000.0
ThreatsEnrollment / funding cycle jeopardizes finances (26)Competitors: USG/private/for profit (24);
E-Core/online (8) Student debt, student financial health (13)Faculty-staff workload/low salary leading to turnover (12)USG Consolidation (11)Declining local economy (10)Outdated facilities/IT systems (9)Declining academic readiness of students (6)Lack of focus/strategy (6) “Cannot be all things to all people”
17
Threats (cont.)Declining resources – state funding, reductions in financial aid programs (EC)Pace of change in state’s workforce needs vs. ability to adapt with new programs and majors (EC)
18
Next Step in Process
19
Strategy
Internal
External
Mission
Values
Vision
Scorecard
TacticsAnalysis
To Think AboutGiven our vision-mission-values, the environmental trends, and our SWOT factors . . 1. Name three ways we can strategically
differentiate ourselves in the marketplace, e.g., for targeted student populations, granting agencies, or external partners.
2. What should be our top three strategic priorities?
3. Given the priorities, what major initiatives (i.e., projects like PACE) do we need to pursue now to insure a prosperous future in 2022?
20