23
Structured Finance www.fitchratings.com 28 April 2016 Asset-Backed Securities / Australia Driver Australia Three Trust New Issue Capital Structure Class a Rating b Outlook Amount (m) CE (%) c Final Maturity TT (%) d TTLM (x) e A AAAsf Stable 500.0 14.0 May 2024 87.2 44.9 B AA-sf Stable 31.0 8.6 May 2024 5.4 2.8 Subordinated loan NRsf n.a. 36.7 n.a. May 2024 6.4 n.a. Collateral loan NRsf n.a. 5.7 n.a. May 2024 1.0 n.a. Total issuance 573.5 Cash Collateral Account (CCA) 6.9 a Overcollateralisation is provided via collateral loan b NRsf Not Rated; c Fitch’s rating analysis is inclusive of credit to the cash collateral account d Tranche Thickness (TT) percentage ratio of class size to collateral balance e Tranche Thickness Loss Multiple TT% divided by Fitch's base-case loss expectation See also Structured Finance Tranche Thickness Metrics Transaction Summary Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings to the Driver Australia Three Trust’s pass-through floating-rate notes. The issuance consists of notes backed by a pool of first-ranking Australian automotive loan receivables originated by Volkswagen Financial Services Australia Pty Ltd (VWFSA). The notes have been issued by Perpetual Corporate Trust Limited as trustee for Driver Australia Three Trust (the issuer). Key Rating Drivers Credit Support: The class A and B notes benefit from credit enhancement (CE) of 14.0% and 8.6%, respectively, provided by the subordinated loan and overcollateralisation via the collateral loan. A cash collateral account (CCA) will be fully funded at closing to cover any potential interest shortfalls on the rated notes. Any amounts outstanding in the account at final maturity are available to cover any principal shortfalls on the notes. Discounted Assets: The aggregate nominal amount of the notes, plus the subordinated loan and overcollateralisation via the collateral loan, equals the present value of the purchased receivables discounted at issuance using the discount rate. The transaction, therefore, yields no excess income to cover losses, or to reimburse losses. VWFSA Risk: There is no back-up servicer, and the transaction is dependent on VWFSA’s operational and credit assessment capabilities. VWFSA is an unrated entity; and, as such, an advance mechanism is in place so that collections are prepaid and segregated from VWFSA’s own funds. The transaction is reliant on VWFSA making compensation payments to cover interest shortfalls if borrowers on interest rates higher than that of the discount rate prepay. This risk has been included within Fitch’s cash-flow analysis under various stressed scenarios. Balloon Loans Within Portfolio: Obligors that are subject to balloon payments are required to make such payments if balloon payments cannot be refinanced. The pool, by balance, contains 56.8% that are subject to balloon payments, which is higher than peer transactions. Fitch expects higher default risk if limited refinancing options exist within the market. This could be the case under more severe economic stress. Fitch has incorporated this risk in its analysis. Impact of Emissions Allegation: In accordance with the transaction documents, any legally permissible reduction of instalments, or termination, of contracts by obligors would be a breach of warranty made to the issuer by the seller. Fitch has also considered higher price declines for 7.4% of the discounted portfolio balance that are affected vehicles. Inside This Report Transaction Summary 1 Key Rating Drivers 1 Key Differences with Previous Driver Australia Transactions 2 Base-Case Assumptions and Credit Enhancement Levels 2 Expected Rating Sensitivity 2 Historical Performance 3 Asset Analysis 5 Model, Criteria Application and Data Adequacy 7 Credit Analysis 7 Transaction and Legal Structure 10 Counterparty Risk 15 Appendix A: Outlook 19 Appendix B: Eligibility Criteria 20 Appendix C: Transaction Summary 22 Related New Issue Appendix Driver Australia Three Trust Appendix Related Criteria Global Structured Finance Rating Criteria (July 2015) Global Consumer ABS Rating Criteria (December 2015) Counterparty Criteria for Structured Finance and Covered Bonds (May 2014) Counterparty Criteria for Structured Finance and Covered Bonds: Derivative Addendum (May 2014) Exposure Draft: Counterparty Criteria for Structured Finance and Covered Bonds (April 2016) Exposure Draft: Counterparty Criteria for Structured Finance and Covered Bonds Derivative Addendum (April 2016) Analysts Spencer Wilson +61 2 8256 0320 [email protected] Ben Newey +61 2 8256 0341 [email protected] Performance Analytics James Zanesi +61 2 8256 0306 [email protected]

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Page 1: Structured Finance - Volkswagen Finanzdienstleistungen · PDF fileVWFSA Portfolio vs. Fitch ABS Dinkum Index. Structured Finance Driver Australia Three Trust April 2016 4 Figure 6

Structured Finance

www.fitchratings.com 28 April 2016

Asset-Backed Securities / Australia

Driver Australia Three Trust New Issue

Capital Structure Class

a Rating

b Outlook Amount (m) CE (%)

c Final Maturity TT (%)

d TTLM (x)

e

A AAAsf Stable 500.0 14.0 May 2024 87.2 44.9 B AA-sf Stable 31.0 8.6 May 2024 5.4 2.8 Subordinated loan NRsf n.a. 36.7 n.a. May 2024 6.4 n.a. Collateral loan NRsf n.a. 5.7 n.a. May 2024 1.0 n.a. Total issuance 573.5 Cash Collateral Account (CCA) 6.9 a Overcollateralisation is provided via collateral loan

b NRsf – Not Rated;

c Fitch’s rating analysis is inclusive of credit to the cash collateral account

d Tranche Thickness (TT) percentage – ratio of class size to collateral balance

e Tranche Thickness Loss Multiple – TT% divided by Fitch's base-case loss expectation

See also Structured Finance Tranche Thickness Metrics

Transaction Summary

Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings to the Driver Australia Three Trust’s pass-through

floating-rate notes. The issuance consists of notes backed by a pool of first-ranking Australian

automotive loan receivables originated by Volkswagen Financial Services Australia Pty Ltd

(VWFSA). The notes have been issued by Perpetual Corporate Trust Limited as trustee for

Driver Australia Three Trust (the issuer).

Key Rating Drivers

Credit Support: The class A and B notes benefit from credit enhancement (CE) of 14.0% and

8.6%, respectively, provided by the subordinated loan and overcollateralisation via the

collateral loan. A cash collateral account (CCA) will be fully funded at closing to cover any

potential interest shortfalls on the rated notes. Any amounts outstanding in the account at final

maturity are available to cover any principal shortfalls on the notes.

Discounted Assets: The aggregate nominal amount of the notes, plus the subordinated loan

and overcollateralisation via the collateral loan, equals the present value of the purchased

receivables discounted at issuance using the discount rate. The transaction, therefore, yields

no excess income to cover losses, or to reimburse losses.

VWFSA Risk: There is no back-up servicer, and the transaction is dependent on VWFSA’s

operational and credit assessment capabilities. VWFSA is an unrated entity; and, as such, an

advance mechanism is in place so that collections are prepaid and segregated from VWFSA’s

own funds. The transaction is reliant on VWFSA making compensation payments to cover

interest shortfalls if borrowers on interest rates higher than that of the discount rate prepay.

This risk has been included within Fitch’s cash-flow analysis under various stressed scenarios.

Balloon Loans Within Portfolio: Obligors that are subject to balloon payments are required to

make such payments if balloon payments cannot be refinanced. The pool, by balance, contains

56.8% that are subject to balloon payments, which is higher than peer transactions. Fitch

expects higher default risk if limited refinancing options exist within the market. This could be

the case under more severe economic stress. Fitch has incorporated this risk in its analysis.

Impact of Emissions Allegation: In accordance with the transaction documents, any legally

permissible reduction of instalments, or termination, of contracts by obligors would be a breach

of warranty made to the issuer by the seller. Fitch has also considered higher price declines for

7.4% of the discounted portfolio balance that are affected vehicles.

Inside This Report

Transaction Summary 1 Key Rating Drivers 1 Key Differences with Previous Driver Australia Transactions 2 Base-Case Assumptions and Credit Enhancement Levels 2 Expected Rating Sensitivity 2 Historical Performance 3 Asset Analysis 5 Model, Criteria Application and Data Adequacy 7 Credit Analysis 7 Transaction and Legal Structure 10 Counterparty Risk 15 Appendix A: Outlook 19 Appendix B: Eligibility Criteria 20 Appendix C: Transaction Summary 22

Related New Issue Appendix

dffffff Driver Australia Three Trust Appendix

Related Criteria

Global Structured Finance Rating Criteria (July 2015)

Global Consumer ABS Rating Criteria (December 2015)

Counterparty Criteria for Structured Finance and Covered Bonds (May 2014)

Counterparty Criteria for Structured Finance and Covered Bonds: Derivative Addendum (May 2014)

Exposure Draft: Counterparty Criteria for Structured Finance and Covered Bonds (April 2016)

Exposure Draft: Counterparty Criteria for Structured Finance and Covered Bonds – Derivative Addendum (April 2016)

Analysts

Spencer Wilson +61 2 8256 0320 [email protected] Ben Newey +61 2 8256 0341 [email protected]

Performance Analytics James Zanesi +61 2 8256 0306 [email protected]

Page 2: Structured Finance - Volkswagen Finanzdienstleistungen · PDF fileVWFSA Portfolio vs. Fitch ABS Dinkum Index. Structured Finance Driver Australia Three Trust April 2016 4 Figure 6

Structured Finance

Driver Australia Three Trust

April 2016 2

Key Differences with Previous Driver Australia Transactions

The collateral characteristics are consistent with previous VWFSA transactions across average

balance, seasoning, composition of product type, and both geographic composition and

concentration. The collateral pool is similar to Driver Australia Two, with marginal increases in

remaining term from Driver Australia One – from 35.3 months to 45.6 months – while the

weighted-average (WA) interest rate of the pool has decreased to 6.5% from 7.7%. The

transaction structure replicates the previous Driver Australia Two and Driver Australia One

transactions.

Base-Case Assumptions and Credit Enhancement Levels

Figure 2 Base-Case Loss and Recovery Summary (%) Pool Gross loss Recovery rate

a Net loss

New cars 88.9 3.0 57.6 1.3 Used cars 11.1 5.0 44.6 2.8 Portfolio weighted 100.0 3.2 56.1 1.4 a 10% haircut applied to 6.3% new vehicles, and 1% used vehicles that have been affected by recent emissions incident

Source: Fitch

Figure 3 Credit Enhancement Levels (%) Gross loss Recovery rate Net loss Current hard CE

a

AAAsf 16.1 28.1 11.7 14.0

AA-sf 11.8 35.6 7.7 8.6 a Current Hard CE; current subordination provided by the lower notes/loans and the CCA (1.2%)

Source: Fitch

Rating Sensitivity1

Unanticipated increases in the frequency of defaults and loss severity on defaulted receivables

could produce loss levels higher than Fitch’s base case, and is likely to result in a decline in CE

and remaining loss-coverage levels available to the notes. Decreased CE may make certain

note ratings susceptible to potential negative rating actions, depending on the extent of the

decline in coverage. Hence, Fitch conducts sensitivity analysis by stressing a transaction’s

initial base-case assumptions.

This section of the report provides better insight into the model-implied sensitivities the

transaction faces when one risk factor is stressed, while holding others equal. The modelling

process first uses the estimation and stress of base-case assumptions to reflect asset

performance in a stressed environment; and second, the structural protection is analysed in a

customised proprietary cash flow model (see Cash Flow Analysis). The results below should

only be considered as one potential outcome, given that the transaction is exposed to multiple

risk factors that are dynamic variables.

Rating Sensitivity to Increased Default Rates Class A Class B

Original Rating AAAsf AA-sf Defaults increase 10% AA+sf A+sf Defaults increase 25% AA+sf Asf Defaults increase 50% AA-sf A-sf

Source: Fitch

1 These sensitivities only describe the model-implied impact of a change in one of the input variables.

This is designed to provide information about the sensitivity of the rating to model assumptions. It should not be used as an indicator of possible future performance.

Figure 1 Portfolio Characteristics

Current balance AUD573,467,754

Number of receivables

15,495

Average obligor balance

AUD35,210

WA seasoning (months)

11.0

WA current remaining maturity (months)

44.6

WA balloon percentage (% of original balance)

37.6

New vehicles (%) 88.9 Used vehicles (%) 11.1 Consumer loans (%)

34.9

Chattel mortgage (%)

64.7

Hire purchase (%) 0.4 Pool cut-off date 31-Mar-2016

Source: Fitch

Related Research

Auto ABS Index – Australia: The Dinkum Index – 3Q15 (November 2015)

Australia (April 2016)

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Structured Finance

Driver Australia Three Trust

April 2016 3

Rating Sensitivity to Reduced Recovery Rates Class A Class B

Original Rating AAAsf AA-sf Recoveries decrease 10% AAAsf A+sf Recoveries decrease 25% AA+sf A+sf Recoveries decrease 50% AA+sf A-sf

Source: Fitch

Rating Sensitivity to Increased Defaults and Reduced Recoveries

Class A Class B

Original Rating AAAsf AA-sf Defaults increase 10%/recoveries decrease 10% AA+sf Asf Defaults increase 25%/recoveries decrease 25% AAsf A-sf Defaults increase 50%/recoveries decrease 50% Asf BBB-sf

Source: Fitch

Fitch, in its analysis, modelled various loss distributions and recovery profiles, as well as

prepayment speeds. Under Fitch’s ‘AAA’ rating, the class A notes can withstand 5.0x the

expected base case loss, plus lower recovery rates than are currently being experienced on the

VWFSA portfolio. For a ‘AA-’ rating, the class B notes can withstand more than 3.7x the

expected base case losses.

Historical Performance

Historical net losses for the Fitch-rated Driver Australia transactions have remained under

0.25%. The portfolio weighted average net loss for previous Driver transactions range between

0.06% and 0.21%.

Delinquencies more than 30 days have traditionally tracked below 1.6% for the VWFSA’s book.

Figure 5 includes all commercial and consumer receivables.

Figure 4

Figure 5

0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.20

0.25

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30

(Losses (%))

Cumulative Net Loss (%)

Driver Australia one Driver Australia two

Source: VWFSA & Fitch

(Months from closing)

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

Ja

n 1

2

Apr

12

Ju

l 12

Oct 12

Ja

n 1

3

Apr

13

Ju

l 13

Oct 13

Ja

n 1

4

Apr

14

Ju

l 14

Oct 14

Ja

n 1

5

Apr

15

Ju

l 15

Oct 15

Ja

n 1

6

(Arrears (%))

30-60 day arrears 61+ day arrears 30+ days ABS Dinkum 60+ days ABS Dinkum

Source: VWFSA & Fitch

VWFSA Portfolio vs. Fitch ABS Dinkum Index

Page 4: Structured Finance - Volkswagen Finanzdienstleistungen · PDF fileVWFSA Portfolio vs. Fitch ABS Dinkum Index. Structured Finance Driver Australia Three Trust April 2016 4 Figure 6

Structured Finance

Driver Australia Three Trust

April 2016 4

Figure 6 Transaction Comparison Table

SMART 2015-4E

Driver Australia

One

Driver Australia

Two

Driver Australia

Three

Closing date Nov 15 Dec 13 Mar 15 Apr 16 Total issuance (AUDm equivalent) 915.0 506 506 580 Final bond structure (%)

c

Class A (All class A notes) 86.0 86.6 87.2 87.2 Class B 2.5 5.2 5.4 5.4 Class C n.a. 6.8 6.0 6.4 Class D n.a. 1.4 1.4 1.0 Class E n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. Seller 11.5 n.a. n.a. n.a. Liquidity reserve (%) 1.0

a 1.2 1.2 1.2

Liquidity reserve floor (AUD) 300,000 A&B notesb A&B notes

b A&B notes

b

Portfolio Collateral balance (AUDm) 905.8 500.0 500.0 573.5 Number of loans 30,322 16,499 13,049 15,495 Average current balance per borrower (AUD) 30,477 30,305 38,317 35,210 Maximum current balance (AUD) 884,909 305,555 426,912 420,241 WA seasoning (months) 8.5 21.3 11.9 11.0 WA remaining term to maturity (months) 47.8 35.3 44.1 44.6 WA balloon percentage (% of original balance)

16.7 46.2 36.9 37.6

Balloon greater than 40% of receivable balance (% of original balance)

10.8 n.a. n.a. n.a

Used vehicles (%) 41.4 12.3 10.8 11.1 Novated contracts (%) 40.8 n.a. n.a. n.a. Non-novated contracts (%) 59.2 n.a. n.a. n.a. Passenger vehicles (%) 70.4 n.a. n.a. n.a. Light commercial vehicles (%) 21.2 n.a. n.a. n.a. Equipment (%) 4.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 Consumer (%) 29.4 51.3 34.3 34.9 Geographical distribution (%) New South Wales 36.1 45.0 48.4 49.7 Victoria 28.2 24.6 22.3 21.5 Queensland 15.4 13.8 14.0 14.4 Western Australia 10.9 7.2 6.7 6.7 South Australia 4.0 6.0 5.2 3.8 Australian Capital Territory 2.8 3.0 3.1 3.6 Northern Territory 1.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 Tasmania 1.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 a Liquidity reserve: Funded at closing date by over issuance of notes

b The floor is the aggregate balance of the class A & B Notes at the time

c For all Driver transactions, the subordinated loan and collateral loan are shown as the class C and D notes,

respectively. Source: Transaction documents, Fitch

Figure 7 Transaction Parties Role Name Fitch Rating

Issuer Perpetual Corporate Trust Limited as trustee for Driver Australia Three Trust

n.a.

Seller/servicer/originator Volkswagen Financial Services Australia Pty Ltd Not Rated Trust manager Perpetual Nominees Limited Not Rated Lead managers Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ANZ) AA−/Stable/F1+ The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking

Corporation Limited, Sydney Branch (HSBC) AA-/Stable/F1+

Collateral account holder Australia and New Zealand Banking Group AA−/Stable/F1+ Collection account holder Australia and New Zealand Banking Group AA−/Stable/F1+ Interest rate swap Australia and New Zealand Banking Group AA−/Stable/F1+ Security trustee P.T Limited Not Rated Subordinated lender An affiliate of Volkswagen AG n.a. Sub-trust manager Volkswagen Financial Services Australia Pty Ltd Not Rated

Source: Fitch

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Structured Finance

Driver Australia Three Trust

April 2016 5

Asset Analysis

Servicing and Origination

VWFSA is 100%-owned by Volkswagen Financial Services AG, which forms part of the wider

Volkswagen AG (BBB+/Negative/F2). VWFSA’s auto-financing model allows the borrowers to

incorporate the original purchase price of the vehicle with optional extras including upgraded

vehicle componentry. This allows VWFSA greater long-term retention prospects.

Through a network of dealerships and sales personnel, VWFSA reaches into both the

wholesale and retail market, with its greatest exposure being the retail sector (about 72%). The

sales force is remunerated through commission payments and fully supporting dealerships are

offered additional volume bonuses and wholesale rate discounts. The claw-back of commission

and bonus payments will occur on the early termination of contracts or upon a contract being

put into salvage. The sales force operation is segregated from the credit-decision process,

which is carried out by dedicated business managers.

VWFSA offers finance solutions through three main products:

commercial hire purchase (2% of total book)

commercial chattel mortgage (47% of total book)

consumer loans (45% of total book)

The origination of these products is carried out via VWFSA’s direct channels or primarily

through its supporting dealerships across the country. VWFSA places a particular focus on

retention, and fosters long-term consumer and business relationships through its dealership

network. Both commercial hire purchase and chattel mortgage products that are offered have

lending terms of between 0-60 months, and are provided for business purposes. Lending terms

of 0-84 months are permitted under VWFSA’s current product guidelines for consumer loans.

The commercial hire purchase and chattel mortgage products are offered for business

purposes, and are classified as unregulated, therefore not bound by the National Consumer

Credit Protection Act (NCCP). Only Consumer Loans are bound by the NCCP. The borrowers

that opt for a commercial hire purchase or commercial chattel mortgage product must stipulate

that the vehicle is primarily for business use.

All applications are assessed by VWFSA’s retail credit team using a credit scoring system and

automated checks that are verified against policy. There are two scorecards used by VWFSA:

one that involves the assessment of the individual borrower; the other at the company level, if

applicable. The submission is either auto approved, referred or declined once the scorecard

overlay has been completed. All submissions undergo automated credit risk checks that

include − but are not limited to − employment status, verifying company registration, bureau file

age and activity checks, loan-to-value (LVR), capacity to pay, vehicle age, and fraud. Any

referred applicants, or large transactions, undergo a more rigorous manual review process that

includes further due diligence and may involve reference checks.

All credit officers have delegated lending authority based on position, which is subject to

maximum LVR limits, serviceability thresholds, and total commitment levels. The credit team

consists of eight staff, seven of which are credit officers.

Any large transaction, or any application, which increases the exposure of a customer above a

threshold will automatically undergo a manual assessment, with further detailed verification and

financial analysis required. The settlements team will ensure all supporting documents and

forms of verification match system entries, and that all approval conditions have been satisfied

prior to remitting the finds to the dealership.

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Structured Finance

Driver Australia Three Trust

April 2016 6

Servicing

VWFSA’s servicing and collections team (nine staff) is at its head office in Chullora, Sydney.

Daily servicing of the loan receivable portfolio is undertaken in-house through a highly

automated system, with at least 95.7% of all contracts initially electing to pay via electronic

funds direct debit, and 4% paid via BPAY, an electronic bill payment system in Australia. All

collections officers are responsible for accounts up to the repossession stage, while the

customer service team is responsible for loan contract administration. VWFSA uses external

specialist agents for all repossessions. Specialist roles also cover debt recovery after the sale

of an asset, insolvency management, and large high-value ledgers.

All repossessed vehicles are sold via two external auction houses to achieve fair market value,

with one auction house specialising in high-end and luxury vehicles. If necessary, VWFSA will

assess further recovery action on a case-by-case basis to determine the cost benefit of

pursuing the borrower for amounts outstanding.

Portfolio Summary

As of the cut-off date, the pool of eligible receivables consisted of receivables totalling

AUD573m. The receivables were originated by VWFSA during the ordinary course of its

business and through its dealer network. The pool comprises consumer loans, commercial

hire-purchase agreements, and chattel mortgages.

The collateral backing the portfolio is made up of new cars and light commercial vehicles

(88.9%) and used cars and light commercial vehicles (11.1%). Due to the distinct difference in

historical experience, Fitch has applied separate loss and recovery assumptions on new and

used vehicles of the portfolio (see Static Loss Analysis).

All receivables are amortising principal and interest facilities; pay a fixed rate of interest, with

varying balloon amounts payable at maturity and with a maximum receivable remaining term of

82 months. The pool has an average receivable size of AUD37,010 and a maximum

receivable contract balance of AUD420,241. The WA borrower interest rate for the pool is 6.9%.

The WA remaining term of the pool at the cut-off date was 44.6 months. The WA seasoning of

the pool was 11 months; however, Fitch did not give any credit to seasoning.

Geographic Concentration

The portfolio is geographically diversified, with 49.7% of the exposure in New South Wales,

21.5% in Victoria, 14.4% in Queensland, 0.2% in Tasmania, 0.1% in Northern Territory; 3.8%

in South Australia, 6.7% in Western Australia and 3.6% in the Australia Capital Territory. The

diversity partially insulates the portfolio from regional downturns.

Eligibility Criteria

The receivables must adhere to certain conditions to be deemed eligible. The seller represents

and warrants that all receivables in the pool are eligible; should there be a breach of eligibility,

the seller is obligated to take appropriate remedial action within a specified timeframe. All

contracts offered use standardised agreements, and one-off documentation is not permitted.

For a full list of eligibility criteria refer to Appendix B.

Representations and Warranties

APAC ABS transactions typically feature a country-specific standard set of representations and

warranties (R&Ws) with regards to the mortgage collateral provided by the seller. Fitch‘s

analysis is focused on assessing the risk of R&W breaches. Fitch expects an extensive

performance history, a solid R&W track record, or structural protection. Effectively aligned

incentives between originator and investor interests through retention arrangements can be

viewed as an additional mitigant to the potential for R&W breaches.

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Structured Finance

Driver Australia Three Trust

April 2016 7

Model, Criteria Application and Data Adequacy

VWFSA provided Fitch with 10 years of static gross and net loss data by monthly originations

for all asset types and products (new and used vehicles, consumer loans, chattel mortgage and

hire purchase). The static pool data were stratified into two sub-segments based on the

collateral type:

new vehicles;

used vehicles.

Fitch converted this data to quarterly loss vintages by new and used vehicles to derive a base-

case default and recovery estimate which was then used to calculate an expected base-case

cumulative net loss (CNL) for each of the static pools. Fitch utilised 120 forecast loss proxies to

determine the initial base-case CNL for each sub-segment.

Fitch has assessed the potential losses through a complete loan receivable maturity cycle.

Fitch projected current losses forward to arrive at a conservative gross loss assumption.

Stresses were then applied to the base-case loss assumptions to determine credit

enhancement for higher investment-grade ratings.

Fitch used its own cash-flow model in its analytical process to simulate stresses to a

transaction and determine the sufficiency of available enhancement for each class. The agency

customised its proprietary cash-flow model to replicate the flow of funds outlined in the

transaction documents, and grouped the loan collateral into representative pools based on the

original and remaining loan-term, seasoning, and balloon amount.

VWFSA has provided Fitch with a comprehensive set of stratification tables, which includes

various data fields generally used in the agency’s analysis of automotive receivables.

Fitch conducted a file review of a sample of 10 loan files, the review focused on the

underwriting procedures conducted by the originators compared with the originators credit

policy at the time of underwriting. No major discrepancies were noted in the underwriting

practices of originators. The file review also checked the accuracy of the data file provided to

Fitch for its rating analysis. The file review reported no significant errors that would have an

impact on Fitch‘s rating analysis. Fitch also reviewed the results of agreed-upon procedures

(AUP) conducted on the portfolio, the AUP checked the accuracy of the data file provided to

Fitch for its rating analysis. The AUP reported no material errors that would have an impact on

Fitch’s rating analysis

Credit Analysis

In addition to an underwriting and servicing review, Fitch analyses portfolio growth, portfolio

performance and expected pool performance, as measured by static data and overall portfolio

characteristics.

Static Loss Analysis

To assess the potential losses through a complete receivable maturity cycle, Fitch analysed the

static pool to determine an expected base-case loss estimate. All quarterly vintages had at

least 24 months seasoning; the projected cumulative gross losses for all receivables originated

by VWFSA are 3.0% for new vehicles, 5.0% for used vehicles of the original balance originated.

Fitch also analysed historical recovery data to arrive at a base-case recovery assumption of

58% for new vehicles, and 45% for used vehicles.

Stresses were then applied to the base-case default assumption and base-case recovery

assumption to determine credit enhancement for higher-investment-grade ratings.

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Structured Finance

Driver Australia Three Trust

April 2016 8

Cash Flow Analysis

As mentioned above, Fitch customises its proprietary cash-flow model to replicate the flow of

funds outlined in the documentation. Performance variables − including loss distribution, losses,

prepayment rates, delinquencies, and coupon rates − are modelled to enable Fitch to generate

more realistic collateral cash flows. This results in improved accuracy when determining the

availability of excess spread to cover losses.

From a cash flow perspective, the collateral balance is reduced either through principal

collections or losses, both of which are passed through to investors as either principal

payments or realised losses. Delinquencies, loss frequency and loss severity are increased

under Fitch’s stress scenarios. The transaction, by virtue of the discount rate applied, does not

yield any excess spread and therefore the rated classes will rely upon credit enhancement

provided by the subordinated loan and collateral loan to absorb losses of any shortfall in

principal payments. At final maturity, the balance of the CCA can be applied to cover any

outstanding principal on the rated notes.

Fitch also stressed factors such as the timing of losses and the recovery period. A worst-case

scenario results in more defaults in the early period of the deal and fewer defaults in the later

period. This is in part due the majority of the premium paid for the initial purchase of the pool is

recovered in the first 24 months from closing.

The transaction is reliant on VWFSA to make compensation payments. This has been factored

into our cash-flow analysis at each month and under various prepayment stresses. The loss

amount was deducted from collections at each month under various prepayment stresses

within our cash-flow analysis. Fitch has adjusted its default prepayment assumption within its

cash-flow analysis to account for historical VWFSA prepayment rates.

Recoveries were analysed taking into consideration historical performance. The agency applied

haircuts as a reduction to the base-case recovery assumption in different stress scenarios. The

recent emissions scandal involving the rigging of exhaust gas emissions software by

Volkswagen Group may, at least temporarily, have an impact on used-vehicle prices for

affected vehicles. Fitch has therefore applied a 10% haircut to affected vehicles.

The agency also stressed recovery time; the longer the time to recovery, the greater the strain

on cash flows in the transaction. Fitch assumed a two-month recovery period. Delinquent

interest stresses were applied to account for the portion of interest not collected on collateral

due to non-payment. Full and timely payment of principal and interest was made to each

respective class of notes rated by Fitch in each modelled rating scenario.

Concentration Risk

The underlying pool is made up of 15,495 receivables totalling AUD573m, with the maximum

receivable contract balance being AUD420,241. Concentration risk may arise due to the

inclusion in the structure of a principal pro rata payment method (see Principal Repayment and

the Targeted OC Levels), which ensures that the overcollateralisation available to class A notes

will not exceed 30% prior to the call date, unless a trigger level 2 is breached.

At the call date the aggregate discounted principal balance of the notes will not be more than

AUD50m. Losses on any one loan receivable can at this point form a more significant

proportion of the available subordination than is the case in similar transactions with sequential

paydown structures.

Figure 8 Modelling Assumptions (%)

WA base case gross loss 3.2 Default speed Month 3-9 30.0 Month 10-15 30.0 Month 16-21 20.0 Month 22-27 15.0 Month 28-33 5.0 Month 34-39 0.0 WA recovery rate 56.1 Recovery lag (months) 2.0 Seasoning credit 0.0 Prepayment vector options (average per annum rates)

Fast 23.0 Medium 13.0 Slow 0.0

Source: Fitch

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Figure 9 Obligor Concentration Rank Cumulative balance (AUD) Pool by balance (%)

1 420,241 0.07 2 818,902 0.14 3 1,162,188 0.20 4 1,500,190 0.26 5 1,838,192 0.32 6 2,173,478 0.38 7 2,496,780 0.44 8 2,790,408 0.49 9 3,071,029 0.54 10 3,348,291 0.58 15 4,611,325 0.80 20 5,814,481 1.01

Source: VWFSA

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Fitch tested for obligor concentration risk at the call date; the agency’s model takes into

consideration this concentration risk by analysing a default of the largest receivables and its

effect on the rating of the senior notes.

Prepayment Losses

The transaction is reliant on borrowers paying their scheduled obligations because the

receivables are bought by the trust at a premium. The difference between the actual interest

rate and the assumed discount rate will not be received if borrowers whose loans have interest

rates higher than that of the discount rate prepay (an “interest compensation event”). An

interest compensation event occurs on the full discharge of the payment obligations of the

debtor, this also includes the cancellation of a contract by VWFSA or any event where the

customer legitimately terminates or invalidates a contract. The transaction is exposed to the

risk of a shortfall between the interest rate of a prepaid loan and the discount rate for loans with

interest rates above the discount rate (approximately 50% of the portfolio). This shows the

issuer purchased at least half of the loan receivables at a premium to their present value via

the application of the contractual interest rate.

This risk is mitigated through VWFSA’s obligation to make a compensation payment at the

point in which the loan is discharged from the pool. This risk would only become relevant if

VWFSA was no longer able to make such payments. This risk within Fitch’s cash-flow analysis

under various stressed scenarios has been considered, including historical VWFSA

prepayment rates.

Impact of Emissions Allegation

The current scandal involving the tampering of exhaust emissions software by the Volkswagen

Group may, at least temporarily, have an impact on resale values of affected vehicles. Fitch

has incorporated into its analysis an additional 10% haircut for affected vehicles, which stands

at 7.4% of the discounted principal balance at closing.

There is limited VW-related risk as provisions in the terms and conditions within individual

contracts ensure all payments must be made in full and free of any set-off, while “hell and high

water” clauses ensure the obligation to pay continues regardless of any defect in, or lack of

performance, of the vehicles. However in the event that a contract is terminated legally, or

there becomes a right of set-off, by the customer, or any breach in warranty for that matter, an

early settlement amount subject to any interest compensation payment will be paid by VWFSA

pursuant to the receivables purchase agreement. Although this mitigates any potential loss for

the transaction, this may also increase the credit dependency on VWFSA to make such early

settlement payments and VW, the manufacturer, to fix affected vehicles.

According to transaction counsel the trust has further protection as it is not a linked credit

provider in relation to the financing contracts and consequently borrowers will have no rights

under the credit linked provisions of the National Credit Code against the trust. Fitch is aware

that all borrowers whose credit is provided on the basis that the vehicle is predominantly used

for business use (non-regulated borrowers) have no rights under the credit linked provisions of

the National Credit Code. A small proportion of affected contracts are regulated borrowers

(2.6% of the discounted principal balance at closing) that may exercise their right under the

linked credit provider provisions of the National Credit Code against VWFSA, the finance

provider, in connection with any loss or damage suffered as a result of any misrepresentation

made by VWFSA.

Transaction and Legal Structure

Legal Structure

Driver Australia Three is a bankruptcy-remote special-purpose vehicle (SPV) created pursuant

to a master trust deed.

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The master trust deed provides for the creation of an unlimited number of trusts. Each trust is

separate and distinct from any other trusts established under the master trust deed and under

the security trust deed; its assets are only available to meet its related liabilities. The

transaction is governed by the laws of New South Wales.

The trustee’s obligations in respect of the notes are secured under the master trust deed and

the issuer security deed between the trustee and the security trustee, and also by a fixed and

floating charge in favour of the security trustee. Under the receivables purchase agreement, the

seller offers to sell to the issuer the sellers rights, title and interest in the receivables and

insurance rights for a purchase price. In accordance with the issuer security deed, the issuer

appoints the security trustee to act in the fiduciary interest of the noteholders by granting a

security interest in the issuer’s right, title, benefit and interest in all secured property to which

the Personal Property Securities Act (PPSA) applies, and a first-ranking fixed charge over any

secured property to which the PPSA does not apply. In an event of default, the security trustee

can take various action – including taking possession of the assets of Driver Australia Three, to

protect the series’ secured creditors.

Transaction Structure

In summary two classes of notes will be issued: class A and B notes. The class A notes will

rank senior to the class B notes, the subordinated loan and the collateral loan in the priority of

payments. The class A notes will benefit from the initial 14% subordination provided by the

class B notes, the subordinated loan and collateral loan. At maturity, any outstanding cash

collateral balance may be used to repay the notes.

Figure 10

Structure Diagram

Note: This diagram represents Fitch’s interpretation of the transaction structure as represented in the transaction documents

Source: Transaction documents

Class A Floating-Rate Notes

(‘AAAsf’)

Trust Manager

Perpetual Nominees

Limited

Collateral Account Provider

Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Limited

(‘AA-‘/F1+)

Assets

Security Trustee

P.T. Limited

Noteholders

TrusteePerpetual Corporate Trust Limited

IssuerDriver Australia Three Trust

Class B Floating-Rate Notes

(‘AA-sf’)

Subordinated Lender

An Affiliate of Volkswagen AG

Note Interest

and Principal

Proceeds

from the

Issuance of

the Notes

Seller/Servicer Volkswagen Financial

Services Australia Pty. Ltd.

Purchase

Price

Interest Rate Swap Provider

Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Limited

(‘AA-‘/F1+)

Sale of Loan

Receivables/

Collections

(i) Payments in respect of liquidity shortfalls and losses and

(ii) if balance exceeds “Specified Cash Collateral Amount” repayment to

the subordinated lender, followed by collateral loan lender

(ii) at maturity, to repay outstanding principal to the class A and B notes

Payments via Order of Priority

up to Specified Cash Collateral

Amount

Repayment of

Interest and

Principal that is

Subordinated to

Noteholder Claims

Subordinated

Loan Amount

Floating-Rate

Payments

Fixed-Rate

Payments

Collections Account Provider

Australia and New Zealand

Banking Group Limited

(‘AA-‘/F1+)

Issuer Security

Sub-Trust Manager

Volkswagen Financial

Services Australia Pty. Ltd.

Transfer of

Loan

Receivables/

Collections

Collateral Loan Lender

Volkswagen Financial Services Australia Pty. Ltd.Collateral loan

Amount

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At closing, the issuer’s assets and liabilities are expected as follows:

Figure 11

Driver Australia Three Trust

Asset (AUD) Liabilities (AUD) Size as % of

receivables’ balance

Receivables 573,467,754 Class A 500,000,000 87.2 Class B 31,000,000 5.4

Subordinated loan 36,733,254 6.4

Collateral loan 5,734,500 1.0

Total 573,467,754 573,467,754

Cash collateral amount 6,881,613 1.2

Source: Transaction documents, Fitch

The aggregate proceeds from the issue of the class A and B notes, together with the proceeds

from the subordinated loan and the collateral loan will be used to purchase the receivables, and

to fund the cash collateral amount.

Figure 12 Priority of Payments Pre-Enforcement 1-8. Senior expenses 9. Payments due to the swap counterparty, including termination fees, except where the termination

is attributable to the swap counterparty 10. Accrued and unpaid interest on the class A notes 11. Accrued and unpaid interest on the class B notes 12. Replenishment of the CCA up to the specified CCA balance 13. Reduction of principal on the class A notes down to the targeted class A note balance (see table,

Targeted OC Levels) 14. Reduction of principal on the class B notes down to the targeted class B note balance (see table,

Targeted OC Levels) 15. Amounts payable by the issuer in respect of any penalty payments 16. Following a swap termination attributable to the swap counterparty, all amounts due and payable

under the swap agreement 17. Amounts payable in respect of accrued and unpaid interest on the subordinated loan 18. To the subordinated lender, until the aggregate principal amount of the subordinated loan has

been reduced to zero 19. Amounts payable in respect of accrued and unpaid interest on the collateral loan 20. To the collateral loan lender, until the aggregate principal amount of the collateral loan has been

reduced to zero 21. To VWFSA, until the aggregate principal amount of the issuer subordinated notes has been

reduced to zero 22. Remaining balance to the seller, as the final service fee

Required payments are all payment from sections 1 – 11 in the above interest priority of payments Source: Transaction documents, Fitch

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Principal Repayment and the Targeted OC Levels

The notes start to amortise sequentially from closing until the relevant targeted

overcollateralisation (OC) levels are reached. The class A and the class B notes will amortise

on a pro-rata basis if the relevant OC levels equal the relevant targeted OC level, subject to

cumulative net loss triggers at various points in time (Figure 13).

Figure 13 Target OC Levels (%)a Class A target OC Class B target OC

Initial OC level available 12.8 7.4 No trigger breached 26.0 18.0 Level 1 trigger breached 30.0 21.0 Level 2 trigger breached or asset balance amortised below 10%

b 100.0 100.0

Credit enhancement increase conditions Cumulative net loss ratio

c

Level 1 Level 2 The first 12 months from closing 0.4 n.a. From 13th month until the 24th month from closing 0.8 n.a. From 25th month and any payment date thereafter 1.2 n.a. Any payment date from closing n.a. 1.8 a OC is calculated by deducting the CCA from the credit enhancement levels

b The clean-up call date

c The cumulative net loss ratio is the sum of all written off amounts divided by the aggregate discounted principal balance

at closing Source: Transaction documents, Fitch

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Discount Rate

All securitised loan receivables in the portfolio are discounted with a single discount rate that is

equal to the aggregate of (i) fixed swap rate (including margins), and (ii) senior expenses and

servicing fees.

Figure 14 Discount Rate Calculation (%)

Swap rate 4.14 Servicing fee 1.03 Senior expenses 0.20 Total 5.36

Source: Transaction documents, Fitch

Determination of Legal Maturity

The legal final maturity date allows for an 18-month foreclosure period after the longest dated

loan in the portfolio.

Clean-Up Call Option

The issuer holds the right to call the remaining notes on issue at any payment date when the

aggregate outstanding discounted principal balance of the receivables is less than 10% of the

aggregate discounted principal balance at closing.

Credit Enhancement

Credit enhancement is provided by the subordination of the junior notes, the subordinate and

collateral loan.

Excess Income

The components include, under the discount method, the exact costs under the servicing

agreement, plus the swap rate; as such, the transaction does not yield any excess spread. As

noted, all losses will be absorbed by firstly the collateral loan, and the subordinated loan, and

then the notes.

Subordination of Notes

Receivables purchased by the proceeds of the subordinated loan − which have an initial share

of 6.4% of the total receivables’ balance − together with the collateral loan (1.0%) and the CCA

(1.2%), provide credit enhancement (CE) to the class B notes of 8.6%. The class A notes have

additional protection by the subordination provided by the class B notes, leading to CE of

14.0%. The CCA provides credit support throughout the deal which will only be utilised at the

maturity date to repay any principal outstanding on the notes to the extent it has not been

utilised as liquidity support. This account has been funded through proceeds of the collateral

loan, together with the proceeds of note issuance and the subordinated loan.

In the event of security being enforced, with respect to all payments of interest and principal,

the available distribution amount will be allocated sequentially toward interest then principal

due to the class A, the B notes, then toward interest and principal due to the subordinated

lender, and collateral loan provider. All collections received will be allocated and paid in

accordance with the order of priority set out in the terms of the issue supplement.

Liquidity Support

Where the available interest collections on any determination date are insufficient to meet the

total required payments for that month, liquidity support will be sought to ensure that trust

obligations are met in a timely manner. Liquidity support will be provided by initially drawing

from the cash collateral account.

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Principal Draws

Although no specific principal draws are made, by virtue of a combined interest and principal

waterfall, principal that makes up part of the available distribution amount may be used initially

to meet required payments.

Cash Collateral Account

If the available distribution amount is insufficient to meet required payments, the CCA is

available to the trustee to fund required payments. It is initially fully funded to AUD6.9m (initial

cash collateral amount) at issuance via the proceeds of the issue and the collateral loan and

subordinated loan, and subsequently will be maintained at the lesser of 1.2% of the aggregate

discounted principal balance of the assets at closing (AUD6.9m) and the aggregate balance of

the class A and B notes at that time (the specified CCA balance).

Draws under the CCA are reimbursed from the available distribution amount in accordance with

the order of priority. If, on any determination date that no credit enhancement triggers or

foreclosure events are subsisting, any excess funds above-specified CCA limit may be

allocated in accordance with the order of priority. This is initially toward the payment of interest

due and unpaid, followed by principal amounts due, to the subordinated loan provider, followed

by the amounts due to the collateral loan lender.

By virtue of the order of priority, the available distribution amount, (the monthly collections) that

includes all interest and principal collections, is initially available to make required payments,

followed by the application of the CCA. The balance of the CCA will be available at maturity to

repay principal on the class A and B notes, if outstanding.

Counterparty Risk

VWFSA

Fitch performed a review of VWFSA’s origination and servicing operations as part of its rating

process, and found them to be acceptable.

Strengths and Weaknesses

Fitch considered several strengths and concerns as part of the operational review. Fitch

believes VWFSA’s strengths include an experienced management team, with many of its

managers being longstanding employees, and all of which have significant industry experience.

VWFSA has well-formed risk management policies, including segregation of duties, with a

robust risk management framework imposed by VWFSA’s parent VW group. In addition, its

underwriting policies are flexible enough to be amended in response to rapidly changing

economic conditions. The underwriting process incorporates a wide range of credit

requirements in an automated process, while referred applicants or large transactions are

assessed manually.

The main concerns included: the slowdown in both global and Australian economic growth; the

exposure to the used-car market; reputational risks associated with model-wide recalls of

emissions-affected vehicles; the decline in liquidity within the Australian economy; and the

effect this may have on the ability of individuals to meet their ongoing receivable payments.

VWFSA’s management was quick to respond to the economic crisis, with an increased focus

on credit, operational, balloon and residual value risk, and added restrictions and enhancement

of credit policy rules. This strategy appears to have been effective in containing arrears and

losses within historical levels.

Arrears Management/Recoveries

The collections function is split into categories: collections; asset repossession; and debt

recovery. The collections team targets accounts that are overdue, with a particular focus on

reducing the volume of accounts that are referred to asset repossession and debt recovery.

The collections process commences when a scheduled payment has not been processed

through the system. Phone contact will be made with the borrower within the first seven days

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the payment is overdue for higher risk borrowers, with additional follow-ups and reminder

letters sent in accordance with agreed policy.

Where direct debit arrangements are missed or seven days have elapsed since the initial due

date, a courtesy call and letter requesting payment is made. An SMS is subsequently sent at

10 days overdue. At 14 days overdue, an additional courtesy letter is sent requesting payment,

and a statutory default notice is issued at 21 days overdue. Throughout this time regular phone

contact continues to be made with the borrower. The post-default stage is any account that is

overdue from 21-90 days in arrears in which a further default letter is issued. The customer

service manager must authorise any arrangements to issue the account to recovery agents.

The average timing of repossession sales for VWFSA is one to three months, and is done

through two licensed auctioneers. In some cases, hardship extensions may be granted where it

is identified borrowers are having issues meeting repayments that are likely to be rectified with

temporary relief of payments. The collections team work closely with the borrower to provide

assistance through financial difficulty. The assessment process looks at a range of variables

including the borrowers financial situation, credit bureau information, LVR and capacity to repay.

Risk Management

VWFSA maintains a risk management regime, with hindsight reviews performed on a continual

basis to ensure credit standards. A credit-risk monitoring process is carried out annually. The

results of each review are used to identify systemic or reoccurring weaknesses, which are

reported to management and the monitoring of not only credit risk, but also operational and

residual value risk. The credit-risk review will provide recommendations, where applicable, for

corrective action via a consultation process.

Corrective measures are monitored throughout an implementation process. The process will

review all findings and identify any shortfalls in the current credit policy, and provide further

recommendations where considered appropriate. All processing is carried out in-house; no

third-party involvement ensures complete control over each of the segregated duties within the

financing process − from the business manager, retail credit team, settlements and accounts

payable through to the customer service and collections team.

VWFSA’s business continuity plans (BCP) and its disaster recovery (DR) infrastructure are

based on VWFSA’s enterprise continuity framework. BCP tests are undertaken annually, and

securitisation systems are fully restored using the services of a third-party provider, Interactive

Pty Ltd. An agreement with Interactive provides dedicated server racks in the data centre, and

access to workstations and office space. All critical systems are tested annually with

comprehensive intrusion testing, while external audits are carried out annually on BCP tests.

Back-Up Servicing

There is no named back-up servicer on this transaction. However, under the transaction

documents, in the event of a servicer replacement event the transfer of the servicing

obligations is not complete until a replacement servicer is found.

The agency believes the servicing fee amount is appropriate to take into account the likely

increased cost to the transaction should a servicer-transfer event occur. The amount of the

servicer fee also provides a financial incentive for replacement servicers. This will improve the

prospects of finding a suitable replacement. A comfortable liquidity provision provided by the

cash-collateral account mitigates payment disruption risk in the event of a servicer default that

may cause delays in the servicing and collections processes.

Document Custody

Documents are held on site; then sent off site and stored electronically. VWFSA will act as

custodian of the security documents under the custody agreement. A document custody audit

is conducted annually by a reputable third-party auditor.

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Hedge Provider

The issuer trustee will enter into one or more swap transactions to the extent necessary to

effect an exchange of cash flows that will cause the cash flows from the receivables to satisfy

the payment obligations under each issued note.

The swap provisions are in line with Fitch’s current criteria. For further details of Fitch’s

counterparty criteria, see Counterparty Criteria for Structured Finance and Covered Bonds and

Counterparty Criteria for Structured Finance and Covered Bonds: Derivative Addendum.

Fixed/Floating-Rate Swap

The trustee will enter into a swap arrangement for a fixed/floating-rate swap to hedge the

interest-rate risk between the fixed rate on the underlying loan receivables and the floating-rate

obligations of the trust. The fixed/floating-rate swap operates as follows: on each payment date

the trustee will pay the relevant swap counterparty an amount equal to the notional amount of

the notes multiplied by a fixed-rate margin. In return, the trustee will receive the one-month

bank bill swap rate plus a margin from ANZ, the interest rate swap provider.

Upon a downgrade of the swap provider below ‘A’ and/or ‘F1’, it must, within 14 calendar days

following such a downgrade, cash-collateralise its obligations under the swap, or within 30

calendar days novate its obligations to an entity rated at least ‘F1’ and/or ‘A’, appoint a suitable

guarantor, or take any other action that will not adversely affect the rating of the notes. If the

counterparty is further downgraded below ‘F3’/‘BBB−’, the choice to cash-collateralise will no

longer be available if the rating of the highest rated note is ‘AAAsf’, the swap provider must,

within 30 days, either novate the swap or appoint a suitable guarantor.

Account Bank

The servicer, VWFSA, is an unrated entity. Therefore, in accordance with the transaction

documents, collections will be prepaid twice monthly, to mitigate commingling risk, by using an

advance mechanism to post collateral. All collections will be held on trust for the benefit of the

trustee, while the distribution account will be held by, and in the name of, the trustee. The

account will be held with a counterpart that satisfies Fitch’s counterparty criteria.

Set-Off

Borrowers are not permitted to set-off any credit balances that they may have set-off elsewhere

within the VW group. VWFSA represents and warrants to the issuer in respect of the purchased

receivables that the terms of the receivables contracts are made to the seller free of set-off.

Personal Property Security Act (PPSA)

Compliance with the new PPSA was mandatory for VWFSA from 30 January 2012, in which all

security interests have been registered on the Personal Property Securities Register (PPSR).

The registration of a security interest in the PPSR protects the title holder in the event of

insolvency of the borrower, as failure to do so will result in having no legal claim over the asset.

The registrar replaces many of the existing registrars, such as The ASIC Register of Charges,

and the Register of Encumbered Vehicles (REVs), which is based on legal form and the

holding of title. The PPSA aims to streamline insolvency by moving to a single regime.

Disclaimer

For the avoidance of doubt, Fitch relies in its credit analysis on legal and/or tax opinions

provided by transaction counsel. As Fitch has always made clear, it does not provide legal

and/or tax advice or confirm that the legal and/or tax opinions or any other transaction

documents or any transaction structures are sufficient for any purpose. The disclaimer at the

foot of this report makes it clear that this report does not constitute legal, tax and/or structuring

advice from Fitch, and should not be used or interpreted as legal, tax and/or structuring advice

from Fitch. Should readers of this report need legal, tax and/or structuring advice, they are

urged to contact relevant advisers in the relevant jurisdictions.

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Performance Analytics

Fitch will monitor the transaction regularly. The performance analytics team will receive monthly

investor reports detailing the performance of the portfolio. These reports will provide the basis

for the agency’s surveillance of the transaction’s performance against both base-case

expectations and the performance of the industry as a whole. Where appropriate, the agency

may request to monitor further data from the originator or the servicer. The agency’s structured

finance performance analytics team ensures that the assigned ratings remain, in the agency’s

view, an appropriate reflection of the issued notes’ credit risk.

Details of the transaction’s performance are available at www.fitchratings.com.

Please call the Fitch analysts listed on the first page of this report with any queries regarding

the initial analysis or the ongoing performance.

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Appendix A: Outlook

Sovereign

Australia’s Long-Term Foreign-Currency and Local-Currency IDRs of ‘AAA’ reflect the country’s

fundamental credit strengths, including a strongly developed, high-income and flexible

economy, supported by a credible policy framework and effective political and social institutions.

This provides a high degree of resiliency to shocks.

Australia faces an ageing demographic profile and the end of the mining investment boom. Its

commodity dependence coupled with its relatively high external debt load, suggests that debt

tolerance may be lower than for some other high-grade sovereigns.

Australia’s real GDP growth has outperformed the median of ‘AAA’-rated peers, with the

average real GDP growth rate 2.7% over the past five years. Fitch expects real GDP growth

was 2.3% for 2015, and will rise to 2.7% for 2016 and 3.0% for 2017.

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) views a pick-up in the housing market as important to the

transmission of the accommodative monetary policy. House prices increased by about 8% in

2014 nationwide, and 7.8% in 2015. Credit growth has picked up in 2015, increasing by 6.6%,

with housing credit growth rising by 7.5%. A sustained housing market boom may, nonetheless,

lead to a build-up of vulnerabilities, which could at some stage have an impact on GDP growth

and bank balance sheets. The RBA has maintained the cash rate at its record low of 2.0% after

a 25bp cut in May 2015. The unemployment rate was 5.8% in 4Q15, 0.3% lower than a year

earlier. Rising services exports, boosted by a weaker exchange rate, have helped to boost job

growth and offset some of the impact from slowing mining investment

Financial Institutions

The Australian banking system is generally robust. A significant downturn in the region,

particularly China, is likely to result in significant asset-quality deterioration for the banks.

However, this is not Fitch’s base case; rather, we expect a modest slowdown in China.

Strengthened capitalisation and recently tightened underwriting standards are expected to

offset slower profit growth and modest asset-quality pressure in 2016. Profit growth is likely to

slow due to ongoing asset competition, potentially higher funding costs, and an increase in

loan-impairment charges.

Credit standards are likely to improve following the Australian Prudential Regulatory Authority

(APRA) review in early 2015. APRA has indicated that underwriting standards had weakened

as a result of strong competition in the mortgage market. Banks made significant changes in

borrower-serviceability assessment, and limited annual growth in investor mortgages.

The system remains reliant on wholesale funding (including that from offshore markets), which

leaves it susceptible to any prolonged dislocation in funding markets. However, the risks

associated with this funding mix are generally well managed, and there is a continued shift

toward more stable forms of funding (retail deposits and long-term wholesale) at the expense of

short-term wholesale funding.

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Appendix B: Eligibility Criteria

The securitised loan receivable, inter alia, must satisfy the following criteria:

a) no consent to the sale of the purchased receivables or notice of that sale is required to be

given by or to any person, including without limitation, the relevant debtors and the

purchased receivables are assignable;

b) the obligations of the relevant debtors under the receivables contracts relating to the

purchased receivables and other related documents to which they are parties relating to

the purchased receivables are legal, valid, binding and enforceable against it in

accordance with their terms (subject to insolvency laws and equitable principles affecting

creditors generally);

c) at the time each receivables contract was entered into, the purchased receivable was

approved and originated by the Seller in the ordinary course of the Seller's business;

d) at the time each receivables contract was entered into, the Seller had not received any

notice of insolvency or the bankruptcy of the relevant debtor in relation to that Purchased

Receivable, or notice that such debtor did not have the legal capacity to enter into the

relevant receivables contract or other related documents;

e) immediately prior to the sale to the Issuer, the seller is the sole legal and beneficial owner

of the purchased receivables and any financed objects and no prior ranking security

interest has been granted by it to any person (other than the Issuer) in relation to its right,

title and interest in the purchased receivables or any financed objects;

f) the servicing standards require that the seller's interest in any security in relation to the

purchased receivable has been duly registered on the PPS Register;

g) the seller’s interest in any security interest in relation to the purchased receivable is

perfected by registration on the PPS Register and to the best of the seller’s knowledge no

prior ranking security interest exists;

h) in relation to each purchased receivable arising under or pursuant to a chattel mortgage

contract or consumer loan contract, the relevant debtor has fully drawn down the credit

limit available under that chattel mortgage contract or consumer loan contract and the

seller has no obligation to make any further advance under that chattel mortgage contract

or consumer loan contract;

i) each receivables contract together with the related documents which are required to be

stamped in an Australian state or territory have been or will be stamped with all applicable

duty;

j) each purchased receivable has not been satisfied, cancelled, discharged or rescinded;

k) the seller holds, in accordance with the servicing standards all documents which it should

hold to enforce the provisions of, and security created by, the securities relating to the

purchased receivables and to recover in full the purchased receivables ;

l) other than the receivables contracts relating to the purchased receivables, related

documents and documents entered into in accordance with the servicing standards, there

are no documents entered into by the seller and the debtors or any other relevant party in

relation to the purchased receivables which would qualify or vary the terms of the

purchased receivables ;

m) under each receivables contract, the relevant debtor is required by the seller to maintain

insurance in respect of the financed object against loss, damage, destruction and any other

risks that the seller requires and for an amount acceptable to the seller;

n) the terms of the receivables contracts relating to the purchased receivables require

payments in respect of the purchased receivable to be made to the seller free of set-off;

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April 2016 21

o) the receivables contracts and other related documents, which in each case relate to the

purchased receivables , are governed by the laws of one of the following Australian states

or territories: New South Wales, Victoria, Queensland, South Australia, Tasmania, Western

Australia, the Northern Territory or the Australian Capital Territory;

p) each debtor in respect of a purchased receivable is a corporation or a registrable

Australian body which has an Australian company number or Australian business number,

a registered scheme with an Australian registered service number, an entity otherwise

established under Australian law (including a partnership, association or Government

Agency), a permanent resident or citizen of Australia or a citizen of New Zealand, or a

person residing in Australia on a work visa basis whose work entitlements have been

verified and whose application for the provision of credit by the seller under the relevant

receivables contract has been assessed under considerations of internal guidelines, which

include special consideration of, inter alia, the loan term relative to the remaining visa term,

the deposit or trade and the inclusion of a residual or balloon payment;

q) under the terms of the relevant receivables contracts, each purchased receivable will

mature no earlier than 3 months after the cut-off date and no later than 84 months of the

date of origination of the relevant receivables contracts;

r) the total outstanding amount of the purchased receivables resulting from the receivables

contracts with any one debtor does not exceed A$500,000;

s) and other related documents complied in all material respects with all applicable laws

(including the Consumer Credit Laws);

t) the purchased receivable is denominated and payable in Australian dollars in Australia;

u) the purchased receivable arises from the financing of new or used financed objects;

v) the purchased receivable is not in arrears;

w) on the cut-off date at least two instalments have been paid in respect of each of the

purchased receivables and the related receivables contracts require substantially equal

monthly payments to be made within eighty four (84) months of the date of origination of

the receivables contract and may also provide for a final balloon payment;

x) the purchased receivable is subject to the seller's standard terms and conditions;

y) the date of the origination of the purchased receivable is on or after 1 January 2006; and

z) each purchased receivable has been serviced in accordance with the servicing standards

in all material respects since the purchased receivable was originated.

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April 2016 22

Appendix C: Transaction Summary

Driver Australia Three Trust ABS/Australia Figure 15 Capital Structure

Class Rating Outlook Size (%) Size (AUDm) CE (%)a Interest rate PMT freq. Maturity Margin ISIN

A AAAsf Stable 87.2 500.0 14.0 1M BBSW + margin Monthly May 2024 1.70% AU3FN0030474 B AA-sf Stable 5.4 31.0 8.6 1M BBSW + margin Monthly May 2024 2.65% AU3FN0030482 Subordinated Loan NRsf n.a. 6.4 36.7 n.a. 1M BBSW + margin Monthly May 2024 Undisclosed n.a Collateral Loan NRsf n.a. 1.0 5.7 n.a. 1M BBSW + margin Monthly May 2024 Undisclosed n.a Total 573.5 Cash collateral account 1.2% 6.9m First interest payment date: 23 May 2016 Clean-up call: 10% of pool a Credit enhancement – includes the 1.2% cash collateral account that is available to repay principal on the class A and B notes at final maturity

Source: Fitch

Key Information Closing date 28 April 2016 Parties

Country of assets Australia Seller/servicer/sub-trust manager/collateral loan lender Volkswagen Financial Services Australia Pty Ltd Country of SPV Australia Issuer Perpetual Corporate Trust Limited as trustee for Driver Australia Three Trust Structure Pass-through Security trustee P.T Limited Listing n.a. Lead manager Australia and New Zealand Banking Group

Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited, Sydney Branch Collateral account holder Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Analysts Collection account holder Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Spencer Wilson +61 2 8256 0320 Interest rate swap counterparty Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ben Newey +61 2 8256 0341 Subordinated lender An affiliate of Volkswagen AG

Source: Fitch

Summary Rating drivers

Credit Support: The class A and B notes benefit from credit enhancement (CE) of 14.0% and 8.6%, respectively, provided by the subordinated loan and overcollateralisation via the collateral loan. A cash collateral account (CCA) will be fully funded at closing to cover any potential interest shortfalls on the rated notes. Any amounts outstanding in the account at final maturity are available to cover any principal shortfalls on the notes.

Discounted Assets: The aggregate nominal amount of the notes, plus the

subordinated loan and overcollateralisation via the collateral loan, equals the present value of the purchased receivables discounted at issuance using the discount rate. The transaction, therefore, yields no excess income to cover losses, or to reimburse losses.

VWFSA Risk: There is no back-up servicer, and the transaction is dependent on

VWFSA’s operational and credit assessment capabilities. VWFSA is an unrated entity; and, as such, an advance mechanism is in place so that collections are prepaid and segregated from VWFSA’s own funds. The transaction is reliant on VWFSA making compensation payments to cover interest shortfalls if borrowers on interest rates higher than that of the discount rate prepay. This risk has been included within Fitch’s cash-flow analysis under various stressed scenarios.

Balloon Loans within Portfolio: Obligors that are subject to balloon payments are

required to make such payments if balloon payments cannot be refinanced. The pool, by balance, contains 56.8% that are subject to balloon payments, which is higher than peer transactions. Fitch expects higher default risk if limited refinancing options exist within the market. This could be the case under more severe economic stress. Fitch has incorporated this risk in its analysis.

Impact of Emissions Allegation: In accordance with the transaction documents, any

legally permissible reduction of instalments, or termination, of contracts by obligors would be a breach of warranty made to the issuer by the seller. Fitch has also considered higher price declines for 7.4% of the discounted portfolio balance that are affected vehicles.

Source: Fitch

Credit Enhancement Levels

(%) Gross loss Recovery rate Net loss Current hard CE a

AAAsf 16.1 28.1 11.7 14.0 AA-sf 11.8 35.6 7.7 8.6 a Current Hard CE; current subordination provided by the lower notes/loans and the CCA (1.2%)

Source: Fitch

Base-Case Loss & Recovery Summary (%) Pool Gross loss Recovery rate Net loss

New cars 88.9 3.0 57.6 1.3 Used cars 11.1 5.0 44.6 2.8 Portfolio weighted 100.0 3.2 56.1 1.4

Source: Fitch

Collateral Summary Pool characteristics (as of 31 January 2016)

Number of receivables 15,495 Geographical distribution (%) Total receivables pool balance (AUD) 573,467,754 New South Wales 49.7 Average receivable size (AUD) 35,210 Victoria 21.5 Maximum current balance (AUD) 420,241 Queensland 14.4 Weighted-average seasoning (months) 11.0 Western Australia 6.7 Weighted-average term to maturity (months) 44.6 South Australia 3.8 New motor vehicles (%) 88.9 Australian Capital Territory 3.6 Used motor vehicles (%) 11.1 Northern Territory 0.1 Consumer loans (%) 34.9 Tasmania 0.2 Chattel Mortgage (%) 64.7 Hire Purchase (%) 0.4 Payments Weighted-average balloon payment (% of original balance) 37.6 Performing contracts (%) 100 Vehicles affected by emissions allegations 7.4 Payment method Direct debit or BPAY

Source: VWFSA, Fitch

Simplified Structure Diagram

Class A Floating-Rate Notes

(‘AAAsf’)

Trust Manager

Perpetual Nominees

Limited

Collateral Account Provider

Australia and New Zealand Banking

Group Limited (‘AA-‘/F1+)

Assets

Security Trustee

P.T. Limited

Noteholders

TrusteePerpetual Corporate Trust

Limited

IssuerDriver Australia Three Trust

Class B Floating-Rate Notes

(‘AA-sf’)

Subordinated Lender

An Affiliate of Volkswagen AG

Seller/Servicer Volkswagen Financial Services Australia Pty.

Ltd.

Interest Rate Swap Provider

Australia and New Zealand Banking Group

Limited (‘AA-‘/F1+)

Collections Account

Provider

Australia and New

Zealand Banking Group

Limited (‘AA-‘/F1+)

Sub-Trust Manager

Volkswagen Financial

Services Australia Pty. Ltd.

Collateral Loan Lender

Volkswagen Financial Services Australia Pty. Ltd.

Note: This diagram represents Fitch’s interpretation of the transaction structure as represented in the transaction documents

Source: Transaction documents

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