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Written by KPMG and Bocconi University February 2018
Study on State asset management in the EU
Final study report for Pillar 1 – Denmark
Contract: ECFIN/187/2016/740792
EUROPEAN COMMISSION
Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs Directorate Fiscal policy and policy mix and Directorate Investment, growth and structural reforms European Commission B-1049 Brussels
Denmark
1. PSHS IN THE DANISH ECONOMY
This Country fiche presents a quantitative overview of the mix of equity owned by the
Danish General Government.
The Danish Government has stakes in 399 firms1, and the large majority of these are
under full ownership and Government control. The Government also owns 14 listed
companies.
The contribution PSHs make to the Danish economy ranges from 0.8% of Employment
to 4% of domestic stock Market capitalization. The 59 PSHs operating in the Financial
services sector also have a marginal role in their industry, with impact, across the main
impact measures, on average, equivalent to less than 1%.
Figure 1 Breakdown of PSHs by level of ownership, 2015
Source: KPMG and Bocconi University calculations on Orbis (BvD) database
Figure 2 Breakdown of PSHs with no ownership data by sector, 2015
1 For Denmark, the promotional bank Vækstfonden was considered for this Study but since our Source (Orbis) did not report any data, it was not included in the sample.
385
173
36
57
105
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
n°
of PSH
s
147
Influential
62(15.5%)
5
Level of ownershipNO DATA on shareholders
stakes
105(26.3%)
0
Minority
21(5.3%)
Control
38(9.5%)
2
Fully public
173(43.4%)
Total
399(100%)
14
UnlistedListed
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35Nr
Country fiches
Denmark
4
Source: KPMG and Bocconi University calculations on Orbis (BvD) database
Figure 3 Breakdown of PSHs’ total assets by level of ownership, 2015, weighted
Source: KPMG and Bocconi University calculations on Orbis (BvD) database. (1) Values have been weighted by stake(s) owned by the Public sector into PSHs.
Figure 4 Non-financial PSHs contribution to the Danish economy, 2015, weighted
422
121
8
991
207
15,000
5,000
0
25,000
20,000
10,000
30,000
55,000
40,000
50,000
35,000
45,000
Weig
hte
dassets
(Mn E
ur)
Minority
1,621(3.0%)
Control
15,388(28.0%)
841
2,396
9,995
Fully public
37,408(68.1%)
Level of ownership
12,512
Total
54,927(100.0%)
26,280
14,916
24,896
2,513
232
Influential
150
510(0.9%)
11,218
Non-financial unlistedFinancial unlistedNon-financial listedFinancial listed
Country fiches
Denmark
5
Source: KPMG and Bocconi University calculations on Orbis (BvD) database; Eurostat. (1) Values have been weighted by stake(s) owned by the Public sector into PSHs. Value added has been scaled
by GDP (GDP data retrivied from Eurostat). (2) Market capitalization is considered only for listed companies while shareholders’ funds are considered only
for unlisted companies. (3) Market capitalization is reported as of 6th March 2017.
Figure 5 PSHs contribution to the national financial sector, 2015, weighted
Source: KPMG and Bocconi University calculations on Orbis (BvD) database; Eurostat (1) Values have been weighted by stake(s) owned by the Public sector into PSHs. (2) Market capitalization is considered only for listed companies while shareholders’ funds are considered only
for unlisted companies. (3) Market capitalization is reported as of 6th March 2017.
1.1. Distribution of Non-financial PSHs by sector
The most relevant sectors across most measures of economic impact are Electricity (D),
Water supply (E) and Professional, scientific and technical activities (M). The relevance
Rest of the Economy PSHs Fully public Control Influential Minority
Rest of the Economy PSHs Fully public Control Influential Minority
Country fiches
Denmark
6
of the Electricity sector (D) is significant for all impact measures, accounting on average
for 20% of the sector as a whole in terms of Assets.
Figure 5 Distribution of Non-financial PSHs by sector, 2015, unweighted
Source: KPMG and Bocconi University calculations on Orbis (BvD) database.
0
10
20
30
40
50
0
3,000
6,000
9,000
12,000
15,000
% of industryMn Eur Total assets
PSHs Share of PSHs in the industry
0
10
20
30
40
50
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
% of industryNr Number of employees
PSHs Share of PSHs in the industry
0
10
20
30
40
50
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
% of industryMn Eur Operating revenues
PSHs Share of PSHs in the industry
0
10
20
30
40
50
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
D-Elect. H-Trans. C-Manu. J-Info F-Constr.
% of industryMn Eur Value added
PSHs Share of PSHs in the industry
Country fiches
Denmark
7
(1) A - Agriculture, forestry and fishing; B - Mining and quarrying; C – Manufacturing; D - Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply; E - Water supply, sewerage, waste management and remediation activities; F – Construction; G - Wholesale and retail trade, repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles; H - Transportation and storage; I - Accommodation and food service activities; J - Information and communication; L - Real estate activities; M - Professional, scientific and technical activities; N - Administrative and support service activities; O - Public administration and defence, compulsory social security; P – Education; Q - Human health and social work activities; R - Arts, entertainment and recreation; S - Other service activities; T - Activities of households as employers, undifferentiated goods- and services-producing activities of households for own use; U - Activities of extraterritorial organisations and bodies
(2) Some sectors are not represented in the graphs above, because of two different, mutually excluding reasons; either because no data on those particular sectors are available in our database; or because there are no PSHs operating in those particular sectors in this country.
(3) Values have been weighted by stake of public ownership of the PSHs.
2. FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OF PSHS AND MARKET ATTRACTIVENESS
2.1. Non-financial PSHs
At a broader level, the aggregate operating performance of the Danish PSHs features a
higher level of profitability, measured in terms of EBITDA, with respect to firms under
Government control, but a lower ROA.
Labor costs, relatively to Revenues, show a mixed scenario: majority-owned companies
seem to be in line with the Industry, whereas the minority-owned companies exhibit
significantly higher values.
All main sectors where PSHs operate show high profitability and strong sales growth.
Across key sectors of PSHs activity, high profitability is reported in the fully public cluster
limited to PSHs operating in the Transportation sector (H). For the other sectors, the
only discernible pattern is a general higher incidence of Cost of labour relative to
Revenues than Industry counterparts.
Figure 6 Performance indicators of Non-financial PSHs in comparison to the national
economy, 2011–2015, yearly averages
Source: KPMG and Bocconi University calculations on Orbis (BvD) database.
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
% EBITDA Margin (%)
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
% ROA (%)
0
10
20
30
40
50
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
%Labour costs as % of
operating revenues
0
40
80
120
160
200
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
% Debt to Equity ratio (%)
Whole economyPSHs with stake ≤ 50% PSHs with stake > 50%
Country fiches
Denmark
8
Figure 7 National market attractiveness of Non-financial PSHs, 2015
Source: KPMG and Bocconi University calculations on Orbis (BvD) database, 2015 [downloaded in December 2016]. (1) The Figure shows only the top 5 markets with the largest contribution to the Gross Domestic Product in
terms of Value Added generated by PSHs. Values of Value Added have been weighted by stake(s) owned by the Public sector into PSHs.
(2) The right upper quadrant identifies sectors with high profitability and positive growth, whereas the sectors with low profitability and negative growth tend to be located further down in the left lower quadrant.
(3) Revenue growth rates have been calculated using the Compound Annual Growth Rate of 2011-2015 values; for Value Added and EBITDA margin the value of 2015. For Revenue growth rates estimation, only companies with turnover higher than 50 Mn € are considered.
Figure 8 Profitability profile of Non-financial PSHs by sector and level of ownership,
2015, unweighted
Source: KPMG and Bocconi University calculations on Orbis (BvD) database, 2015 [downloaded in December 2016]. (1) Some PSHs clusters may not be represented in the graphs above, because of two different, mutually
excluding reasons; either because no data on those particular clusters are available in our database; or because there are no PSHs belonging to those particular PSHs clusters.
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
-20,0 -15,0 -10,0 -5,0 0,0 5,0 10,0 15,0 20,0
J - Information and communication
F - Construction
H - Transportation and storage
C - Manufacturing
D - Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply
EBITDA margin Industry (%)
CAGR Revenues 2011-2015 (%)
Positive GrowthHigh profitability
Positive GrowthLow profitability
Negative GrowthLow profitability
Negative GrowthHigh profitability
The size of the bubbles shows weighted value added generated by PSHs scaled by GDP
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
D - Electricity,gas, steam andair conditioning
supply
C -Manufacturing
H -Transportationand storage
F - Construction J - Informationand
communication
% EBITDA Margin (%)
Fully public Control Influential Minority Industry
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
D - Electricity,gas, steam andair conditioning
supply
C -Manufacturing
H -Transportationand storage
F - Construction J - Informationand
communication
%ROA (%)
Fully public Control Influential Minority Industry
Country fiches
Denmark
9
Figure 9 Operating efficiency of Non-financial PSHs, 2015, unweighted
Source: KPMG and Bocconi University calculations on Orbis (BvD) database, 2015 [downloaded in December 2016]. (1) Some PSHs clusters may not be represented in the graphs above, because of two different, mutually
excluding reasons; either because no data on those particular clusters are available in our database; or because there are no PSHs belonging to those particular PSHs clusters.
Figure 10 The leverage of Non-financial PSHs, 2015, unweighted
Source: KPMG and Bocconi University calculations on Orbis (BvD) database, 2015 [downloaded in December 2016]. (1) Some PSHs clusters may not be represented in the graphs above, because of two different, mutually
excluding reasons; either because no data on those particular clusters are available in our database; or because there are no PSHs belonging to those particular PSHs clusters.
2.1. Financial PSHs
PSHs operating in the Banking sector show, on average, higher performance values than
the Industry in terms of ROE. Danish PSHs controlled by the Government tend to be
burdened by Non-performing Loans and more financially fragile than the Industry as a
whole. The rest of the PSHs operating in the Financial sector performs in line with
benchmarks. The other state-owned financial institutions operating in Denmark tend to
generate lower net profitability than Industry peers.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
D - Electricity,gas, steam andair conditioning
supply
C -Manufacturing
H -Transportationand storage
F - Construction J - Informationand
communication
% Labour costs as % of revenues
Fully public Control Influential Minority Industry
0
50
100
150
200
250
D - Electricity,gas, steam andair conditioning
supply
C -Manufacturing
H -Transportationand storage
F - Construction J - Informationand
communication
% Debt to Equity ratio (%)
Fully public Control Influential Minority Industry
Country fiches
Denmark
10
Figure 11 Relevant KPIs for PSHs in the Banking sector in Denmark, 2015,
unweighted
Source: KPMG and Bocconi University calculations on Orbis (BvD) database, 2015 [downloaded in December 2016].
(1) Some PSHs clusters may not be represented in the graphs above, because of two different, mutually excluding reasons; either because no data on those particular clusters are available in our database; or
because there are no PSHs belonging to those particular PSHs clusters.
Figure 12 Relevant KPIs for Other financial PSHs, 2015, weighted
Source: KPMG and Bocconi University calculations on Orbis (BvD) database, 2015 [downloaded in December 2016]. (1) Some PSHs clusters may not be represented in the graphs above, because of two different, mutually
excluding reasons; either because no data on those particular clusters are available in our database; or because there are no PSHs belonging to those particular PSHs clusters.
3. PUBLIC FINANCE EFFECTS OF PSHS
At an aggregate level, PSHs generate profits which are almost equal to losses. In 2015,
PSHs generated a slightly negative net income worth about 150 Mn Euro. Total assets
IndustryFully public Control Influential Minority
IndustryFully public Control Influential Minority
Country fiches
Denmark
11
account for 29.5% of the size of the national GDP, and the net financial position of PSHs
is positive, with more than 54 Bn Euro of net worth (about 38 Bn Euro considering the
weighted net worth). The distributed dividends and outstanding liabilities represent
0.2% and 31% of the Danish GDP respectively.
Table 1 Public Finance Effects of PSHs, 2015, unweighted
Source: (a) Orbis data (values not weighted for stake of public ownership) and (c) Eurostat. Data retrieved on 19th September 2017. (b) Net Worth value has been weighted by stake(s) owned by the Public sector into PSHs. (d) Total outstanding liabilities of government controlled entities classified outside general government are
considered. (e) Figures in red represent negative numbers.
Country fiches
Denmark
Appendix I Denmark
Table A Breakdown of PSHs’ total assets by level of ownership, 2015, weighted
Source: KPMG and Bocconi University calculations on Orbis (BvD) database. (1) Values have been weighted by stake(s) owned by the Public sector into PSHs.
Table B Non-financial PSHs contribution to the Danish economy, 2015
Source: KPMG and Bocconi University calculations on Orbis (BvD) database. (*) Absolute value. (1) Values have been weighted by stake(s) owned by the Public sector into PSHs. Value added has been scaled
by GDP (GDP data retrivied from Eurostat). (2) Market capitalization is considered only for listed companies while shareholders’ funds are considered only
for unlisted companies. (3) Market capitalization is reported as of 6th March 2017. (4) It must be noted that the total number of PSHs (sum of Number of PSHs Table B and Table C) is lower
than the overall number of PSHs reported earlier in Figure 1, due to missing data on PSHs’ shareholders’ stakes.
Table C PSHs contribution to the national financial sector, 2015, weighted
Source: KPMG and Bocconi University calculations on Orbis (BvD) database. (*) Absolute value. (1) Values have been weighted by stake(s) owned by the Public sector into PSHs. (2) Market capitalization is considered only for listed companies while shareholders’ funds are considered only
for unlisted companies. (3) Market capitalization is reported as of 6th March 2017. (4) It must be noted that the total number of PSHs (sum of Number of PSHs Table B and Table C) is lower
than the overall number of PSHs reported earlier in Figure 1, due to missing data on PSHs’ shareholders’ stakes.
Data in Mn Eur
Ownership cluster Unlisted Listed Total Unlisted Listed Total
Fully Public 24,896 - 24,896 12,512 - 12,512
Control 841 9,995 10,836 2,396 2,156 4,552
Influential 422 991 1,414 0 207 207
Minority 121 232 352 8 150 158
Total 26,280 11,218 37,498 14,916 2,513 17,429
Non-financial Financial
Non-financial PSHsNumber
of PSHs
of which
listed
Employees
(%)
Total assets
(%)
Revenues
(%)
Value added
(%)
Market cap
(%)
Shareholders'
funds (%)
Fully Public 131 0 0.3 2.2 0.8 0.0 0.0 3.4
Control 31 1 0.2 1.0 1.1 0.7 2.8 0.1
Influential 56 4 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.0 0.1
Minority 17 6 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0
PSHs' share to the total economy 235(*) 11(*) 0.8 3.3 2.1 0.9 4.0 3.6
Financial PSHsNumber
of PSHs
of which
listed
Employees
(%)
Total assets
(%)
Revenues
(%)
Market cap
(%)
Shareholders'
funds (%)
Fully Public 42 0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 2.1
Control 7 1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.4
Influential 6 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
Minority 4 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
PSHs' share to the total economy 59(*) 3(*) 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.6 2.4
Table D PSHs distribution by sector, 2015, weighted
Source: KPMG and Bocconi University calculations on Orbis (BvD) database, 2015 [downloaded in December 2016]. (a) Other financial institutions category includes all PSHs which are classified within the NACE K sector other
than banks and insurance. (1) NACE sectors “T - Activities of households as employers; undifferentiated goods-and services-producing
activities of households for own use” and “U - Activities of extraterritorial organisations and bodies” are not reported here, since they lack comprehensive financial data, and therefore the aggregate value reported in Figure 4 might slight differ.
(2) For Banks, the value of “total assets” corresponds to the “total earning assets”, and “Operating revenues” corresponds to “Interest and other operating revenues”.
(3) For Insurance, the value of “operating revenues” corresponds to the “net premium written”. (4) For Insurance, the latest available data refers to the year 2014. (5) The total number of PSHs reported here does not match the total number reported in Figure 1, because
companies for which no data on ownership level and/or financial information were available have been excluded.
(6) Values have been weighted by stake(s) owned by the Public sector into PSHs. n.a.=not available
Sector
Average
public
ownership
Total
Sector
Value
Added
Year 2015
of
which
listed
Average % Mn Eur% of
sectorNr
% of
sectorMn Eur
% of
sectorMn Eur
% of
sectorMn Eur
A - Agriculture, forestry and fishing 6 0 25.3 3 0.0 14 0.2 4 0.2 n.a. n.a. -33
C - Manufacturing 9 7 10.3 681 0.5 3,408 0.8 732 0.6 284 1.2 24,523
D - Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply 21 1 95.3 12,263 18.1 3,803 10.8 6,767 15.6 2,185 31.6 6,920
E - Water supply; sewerage, waste management and remediation
activities44 0 99.5 7,593 29.3 1,157 16.8 625 19.4 n.a. n.a. n.a.
F - Construction 5 1 58.1 168 0.8 406 0.6 104 0.8 34 4.1 827
G - Wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and
motorcycles2 0 100.0 840 0.7 2,010 0.6 954 0.7 n.a. n.a. 428
H - Transportation and storage 15 1 67.0 3,957 5.9 2,813 2.4 605 1.2 160 7.2 2,232
I - Accommodation and food service activities 3 0 33.0 2 0.0 25 0.1 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 65
J - Information and communication 12 1 36.0 561 1.6 1,753 2.1 495 2.6 12 0.5 2,454
L - Real estate activities 19 0 41.1 369 0.1 171 0.6 125 0.9 n.a. n.a. 234
M - Professional, scientific and technical activities 33 0 82.6 9,692 12.9 1,344 0.7 908 2.2 n.a. n.a. 112
N - Administrative and support service activities 9 0 54.3 426 0.5 142 0.0 28 0.0 n.a. n.a. 21,666
O - Public administration and defence; compulsory social security 6 0 59.2 108 3.1 10 0.1 11 n.a. n.a. n.a. -511
R - Arts, entertainment and recreation 5 0 64.6 262 9.1 299 4.6 468 33.3 n.a. n.a. 111
NON-FINANCIAL 189 11 70.5 36,925 3.4 17,356 0.8 11,827 2.2 2,675 4.5 58,984
BANKS 3 3 39.6 2,513 0.1 456 0.0 125 0.0 n.a. n.a. n.a.
INSURANCE n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
OTHER FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS(a) 56 0 86.2 14,916 0.6 3,503 0.3 1,837 0.7 n.a. n.a. n.a.
Number of
PSHsTotal assets Number of employees Operating revenue Value added
14
Table E Top 20 PSHs by Total assets, 2015, weighted
Source: KPMG and Bocconi University calculations on Orbis (BvD) database (1) Values have been weighted by
Company name Listed/Unlisted IndustryOwnership
stake
Total assets
(Mn EUR)
DONG ENERGY A/S Listed D - Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply 50.4 9,995
SUND OG BALT HOLDING A/S Unlisted M - Professional, scientific and technical activities 100.0 5,845
HOFOR FORSYNING HOLDING P/S Unlisted K - Financial and insurance activities 100.0 3,826
METROSELSKABET I/S Unlisted H - Transportation and storage 100.0 2,328
VESTJYSK BANK A/S Listed K - Financial and insurance activities 80.6 2,156
AARHUS VAND A/S UnlistedE - Water supply; sewerage, waste management and
remediation activities100.0 1,387
AALBORG VAND HOLDING A/S Unlisted M - Professional, scientific and technical activities 100.0 893
VANDCENTER SYD HOLDING A/S Unlisted K - Financial and insurance activities 77.0 882
HMN NATURGAS I/S Unlisted D - Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply 100.0 705
FORS HOLDING A/S Unlisted K - Financial and insurance activities 81.0 653
ROYAL GREENLAND A/S UnlistedG - Wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles
and motorcycles100.0 538
SILKEBORG FORSYNING A/S Unlisted K - Financial and insurance activities 100.0 533
HJORRING VANDSELSKAB A/S UnlistedE - Water supply; sewerage, waste management and
remediation activities100.0 510
HOVEDSTADENS LETBANE I/S Unlisted H - Transportation and storage 100.0 501
FREDERIKSHAVN FORSYNING A/S Unlisted D - Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply 100.0 497
RANDERS SPILDEVAND A/S UnlistedE - Water supply; sewerage, waste management and
remediation activities100.0 485
COPENHAGEN AIRPORTS A/S Listed H - Transportation and storage 33.0 474
LOLLAND ENERGI HOLDING A/S Unlisted K - Financial and insurance activities 100.0 460
FJERNVARME FYN A/S Unlisted K - Financial and insurance activities 90.0 457
FORSYNING HELSINGOR A/S Unlisted K - Financial and insurance activities 100.0 444