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Myanmar – status and outlook Summary of recent oil and gas conference in Yangon November 2014 Willy H Olsen

Summary of recent oil and gas conference in Yangon November

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Page 1: Summary of recent oil and gas conference in Yangon November

Myanmar – status and outlook

Summary of recent oil and gas conference in Yangon November 2014 Willy H Olsen

Page 2: Summary of recent oil and gas conference in Yangon November

• Deepwater Myanmar has attracted some of the worlds top explorers and many proven deepwater players

• How fast can they move?

• It was the theme for several presentations during the three days

• Final contracts for the award of blocks to be signed soon..

• The conclusions on timing seemed to be:

• EIA/SIA Seismic 2015

• Drilling Shallow Water 2017

• Drilling Deep Water 2018

• Minimum 5 years of activities for exploration

Ministry of Energy focus areas

Shale, refining and privatization

Page 3: Summary of recent oil and gas conference in Yangon November

“We are doing our best with optimized efforts to conduct responsible business with international norm in the country.

Especially, we preserve the natural environment while doing business particularly in oil and gas sector which can threat the environment by undesirable impacts”

U Aung Myat Soe

Deputy General Manager

Ministry of Energy

Yangon, 27 October 2014

Page 4: Summary of recent oil and gas conference in Yangon November

• The Ministry of Energy is preparing a study for unconventional exploration such as shale gas, shale oil and tight sands.

• Myanmar will purchase 50,000 barrels of crude oil per day after construction of Myanmar-China oil pipeline is finished

• The Ministry is preparing to build a mega size refinery • Location and design not yet decided.

• The Ministry is going to introduce privatization and diversification for energy business.

• Not only the refineries but also the other energy related fields are to be operated by joint ventures with interested parties.

Ministry of Energy focus areas

Shale, refining and privatization

Page 5: Summary of recent oil and gas conference in Yangon November

• Myanmar will auction nine offshore oil and gas blocks for exploration next year

• Four shallow and five deep water blocks will be available ‘

• 65 % of the shallow blocks have proven hydrocarbons

• The deep water blocks are unproven,

• MOGE has done some exploration but did not have the right technology to assess how much oil there is

Than Tun, director (offshore) of MOGE.

More blocks on offer

New licensing round planned next year

Page 6: Summary of recent oil and gas conference in Yangon November

• Existing projects:

• Yadana: Exporting gas to Thailand since 1998

• Yetagun: Exporting gas to Thailand since 2000

• Shwe: Exporting gas to China and domestic use since 2013

• Zawtika: Exporting gas to Thailand and domestic use since August 2014

• Future project:

• Block M-3: New discovery

Myanmar – the gas exporter

The existing and future projects

Page 7: Summary of recent oil and gas conference in Yangon November

• Total plans to drill an exploration well at Yadana next year

• Petronas "needs to do more exploration and maintenance" at Yetagun

• PTTEP is drilling 10 appraisal wells at Zawtika

• Undertaking more exploration and appraisal work on M-3

• The Aung Sinkha discovery is just north of Yadana

• Plans to start development in 2016

More drilling planned next year

PTTEP planning to develop new discovery

Page 8: Summary of recent oil and gas conference in Yangon November

0

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2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Myanmar – the economy

Continuous GDP growth

%

Page 9: Summary of recent oil and gas conference in Yangon November

0

0,5

1

1,5

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2,5

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2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Myanmar – the economy

Foreign direct investment has stagnated

US

bill

ion

Page 10: Summary of recent oil and gas conference in Yangon November

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3,5

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4,5

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2011 2012 2013

Myanmar – the economy

The export value of natural gas

US

bill

ion

Page 11: Summary of recent oil and gas conference in Yangon November

Gas consumption in 2013

Power Industry Transport Feedstock Other

Gas consumption in 2013

Most of the gas used in power sector

Page 12: Summary of recent oil and gas conference in Yangon November

Offshore Onshore

Operating 19 blocks

Recent awards 16 blocks

Open 10 blocks

Open 11 blocks Operating

20 blocks

Recent awards 20 blocks

Myanmar – the oil and gas sector

The blocks onshore and offshore

Page 13: Summary of recent oil and gas conference in Yangon November

Myanmar – the oil and gas sector

The number of wells drilled in recent years

0

10

20

30

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60

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Page 14: Summary of recent oil and gas conference in Yangon November

1. Daewoo Int'l Corp A1, A3, AD7 Shwe field

2. MPRL A6

3. CNPC AD1, 6, 8

4. PetroVietnam M2

5. PTTEP M3, 9, 11 Zawtika field

6. PTTEP MD-7, MD-8

7. Total E&P M5, M6 Yatana field

8. Petronas M12, 13, 14 Yetagun field

Myanmar – the oil and gas sector

The operators in the offshore sector

Offshore operations impacted by: Tropical cyclones and depressions Monsoon conditions

Page 15: Summary of recent oil and gas conference in Yangon November

1. A-4 BG/Woodside

2. A-5 Chevron

3. A-7 Woodside

4. M-4 Oil India

5. M-7 ROC Oil Co.

6. M-8 Berlanga

7. M-15 Transcontinental

8. M-17 Reliance

9. M-18 Reliance

10. YEB Oil India

Myanmar – shallow water blocks

Waiting for the final signatures

1. AD-2 BG Exploration

2. AD-3 Ophir Energy

3. AD-5 Woodside

4. AD-9 Shell

5. AD-10 Statoil

6. AD-11 Shell

7. MD-2 Eni

8. MD-4 Eni

9. MD-5 Shell

10. YWB Total E&P

Shallow water Deep water

Page 16: Summary of recent oil and gas conference in Yangon November

• Total is operator for the M5-M6 Joint Venture

• Total’s national staff development • 332 permanent employed – 735 contracted staff

• Myanmar nationals : ~90% of staff

• 13 Myanmar nationals in international assignment

• Training • Approx. 3,000 man-days of training annually

• Technical Training Center for operators & technicians

• 115 Million USD invested in training for 150 technicians & engineers since 1995

• Employee dialogue • Staff representatives - last election held in May 2014

Total in Myanmar

Most of the employees are local

Page 17: Summary of recent oil and gas conference in Yangon November

• Woodside is poised to become the Rakhine Basin’s largest acreage holder

• Farm-ins to AD-7 and A-6 early 2013

• Four blocks awarded in offshore bid round; two as operator

• Two next generation 3D’s acquired within first year in country

• Woodside has shot over 3,000 sq km of 3D seismic

• First well planned Q4 2015

• Rakhine Basin – much to learn, early signs promising. • Working petroleum systems, geological complexity.

• Challenges exist, but can be mitigated.

• Opportunities for cooperation.

Woodside in Myanmar

Building a significant position

Page 18: Summary of recent oil and gas conference in Yangon November

• BG Group provisionally awarded four blocks

• Large blocks in frontier basin

• Several play types

• Significant challenges associated with exploration in deepwater: • Technical, schedule and cost

• The partnership

• BG/Woodside/MPRL

• Comprehensive work program planned

• Large seismic programs

• Accelerated technical evaluation

• Gas is expected to fuel the future growth of Myanmar’s economy

BG in Myanmar

Comprehensive work program

Page 19: Summary of recent oil and gas conference in Yangon November

• Awarded Block AD-03 in the deep-water Rakhine Basin

• Partnership with Myanmar company, Parami Energy

• Initial study period to re-process 2D seismic and acquire 3D seismic data

• Yangon office to be opened Q4 2014

• Acquire 3D seismic as soon after PSC signing as possible

• Asset Manager in-country

• Ophir’s cornerstone asset in South East Asia

• Ophir has expanded in recent years in Tanzania, Equatorial Guinea and recently in Indonesia

Ophir in Myanmar

Ready to moved when the PSC is signed

Page 20: Summary of recent oil and gas conference in Yangon November

• GoldPetrol IOR-2 Chauk oil field since 1900

• GoldPetrol MOGE-1 Yenangyaung oil field

• SINOPEC PSC-D Mahudaung

• Nobel Oil PSC-A Hukawng

• Nobel Oil PSC B-1 Uyu

• Nobel Oil PSC-E Myingyan

• PTTEP PSC-G Taungdwinggyi

• PTTEP EP-2 Aunglan

• PTTEP MOGE-3 Padaukpin-Natmi

• ENI B.V K Yamethin

• ENI RSF-5 Ondwe

• ONGC B-2 Zebyutaung-Nandaw

• ONGC EP-3 Thegon-Shwegu

• Petronas IOR-5 Htantabin

• Petronas IOR-7 ShwePyiTha

Myanmar – the onshore fields

Wide range of companies involved

Page 21: Summary of recent oil and gas conference in Yangon November

• MPRL E&P MOGE-2 Mann oil field

• MPRL IOR-4 Pyay

• MPRL IOR-6 Myanaung

• NPCC PSC-F Ngahlaingtwin

• SNOG PSC-R Mepale

• GeoPetrol RSF-9 Pyalo-Paukkhaung

• PCM Inc RSF-2 Tuyintaung-Myaing(S)

• PCM Inc SF-3 Gwegyo-Ngashandaung

• Jubilant PSC-I Hinthada

• Istech Energy EP-5 Inbin-Tegyigon

• Bashneft EP-4 Mayaman

• Pacific Hunt C-1 Yenan-Indaw

• Pacific Hunt PSC-H Taungoo-Pyinmana

• Brunei NOC EP-1 Kyaukkyi-Mindon

• CAOG MOGE-4 Myinthar

Myanmar – the onshore fields

Many smaller companies involved

Page 22: Summary of recent oil and gas conference in Yangon November

The energy management committee

Many ministries have a role to play

• The following ministries are designated as responsible focal points for different energy sectors:

• Oil & Gas (Ministry of Energy)

• Electric Power (Ministry of Electric Power)

• Coal ( Ministry of Mines)

• Firewood/Charcoal (Ministry of Forestry)

• Renewable Energy (Ministry of Science & Technology)

• Energy Efficiency & Conservation (Ministry of Industry)

• Nuclear Energy (Ministry of Science & Technology)

• The overall focal point representing Myanmar energy sector in the ASEAN Energy Program is the Ministry of Energy

Page 23: Summary of recent oil and gas conference in Yangon November

• Oil companies shall endeavor to employ qualified Myanmar citizens in accordance with the Foreign Investment Law, rules and regulation of the Republic of the Union of Myanmar.

• They shall submit a staffing plan for the development and production operations at all levels up to the management level

• The employment of Myanmar nationals shall be reviewed from time to time by the Management Committee

• Give preference to goods and services which are available in Myanmar or rendered by Myanmar nationals approved by MOGE

Employment of local people

Preference for local goods and services

Page 24: Summary of recent oil and gas conference in Yangon November

• Myanmar Centre for Responsible Business has interviewed and profiled over 1,200 SMEs across 25 sectors;

• Produced 200 matchmaking reports including over 500 unique SMEs for 40 buyers

• Facilitated 130 contracts for a total value of US $11m;

• Conducted 50 training sessions for over 250 businesses (960 individual attendants);

• Disseminated 2,500 tenders on myanmar-opportunities.org;

• Held more than 60 meetings with aid organizations and procurement officer

• The Centre is a joint initiative of the Institute for Human Rights and Business and the Danish Institute for Human Rights

Denmark is funding a major program

Encouraging responsible business

Vicky Bowman Director, Myanmar Centre for Responsible Business

Page 25: Summary of recent oil and gas conference in Yangon November

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60 The Ministry of Science and Technology is responsible for conducting engineering education and vocational training in Myanmar

Source: U Win Khaing, President Myanmar Engineering Society

Huge need for education

Limited number of professional engineers

Page 26: Summary of recent oil and gas conference in Yangon November

• Myanmar understand the need and gives priority for the development of it's human resources

• The importance of human capital and the value of knowledge, skills and experience are recognized at the very top level

• Myanmar understand the present limited human resources available and expectations from the international companies interested to invest in Myanmar

• Myanmar understand the need to develop the middle management level in all sectors of the economy

• Some companies are sending Myanmar engineers and workers for training at their home manufacturing plants

Leadership understand the limited capacity

Development of human resources critical

Page 27: Summary of recent oil and gas conference in Yangon November

• Many Myanmar academia and government staff are sent for training overseas

• Many Myanmar young people are studying at many overseas universities

• The government has established an overseas scholarship fund to support students to study abroad

• The new National Education Policy will enhance the capacity and capability of the universities and technical & vocational schools to produce much needed qualified engineers and technicians as per industry demand and requirements

• Many Myanmar skilled and other semi-skilled workers are working overseas and form a potential huge trained labour force

Leadership understand the limited capacity

Supporting students sent for training