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MSc in Supply Chain Management Assignment: Supply Chain Strategy Module No: EBU 4008 Student Number : 1010203 Marking Tutor : Dr Julian Coleman

Supply Chain Strategy

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Page 1: Supply Chain Strategy

MSc in Supply Chain Management

Assignment: Supply Chain Strategy

Module No: EBU 4008

Student Number : 1010203Marking Tutor : Dr Julian Coleman

Page 2: Supply Chain Strategy

1. Introduction

The purpose of the report is to;

a. Review the supply chain strategy of Total Malawi Limited and implement an

effective supply chain strategy to manage quality, value chain and distribution

strategies, and strategic alliances with stakeholders.

This review has been done using tools and techniques relevant to supply chain

strategy such as PESTELE, Porters Five Forces, Order Winning/Qualifying

Factors which have been detailed in the report.

b. Structure of the Report

a. Introduction

b. Total Malawi Overview

c. Total Malawi Business Strategy

d. PESTELE Analysis of Total Malawi

e. Evaluation of Total Malawi’s Competitive Forces Using Porters Five

Forces

f. Evaluations Of Customer Requirements Using Order Winner and Order

Qualifier

g. Review Of Total Malawi Current Supply Chain

h. Recommendation on Total Malawi Supply Chain

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i. References

2. Total Malawi Overview

2.1.Company Background

Total Malawi Limited (TML), is the second leading oil marketing company (OMC) in

Malawi with a market share of 34% as of the year 2010. Apart from selling

fuels/white products (Petrol, Diesel and Paraffin), high performance Lubricants and

Car Care Products distinct TML from its competitors

TML is a subsidiary of Total Group, an international oil company with its

headquarters in Paris, France. Total came into Malawi in 1976 and by end 2006 it

had gained a market share of 14%. In 2007 Total acquired Exxon Mobil assets in

Malawi which increased its market share to 27%. With the merger in 2007 the

business has grown tremendously having an average annual net income of 810

Million Kwacha ($6m), with an increase in market share of 7% by end of 2010. TML

is heading towards is vision to become the number one OMC in Malawi.

2.2.Supply Chain Background

2.2.1. Operations

TML has 71 permanent employees, 52 service stations, 84 Industrial customer

sites and 4 distribution depots. The core departments for the organisation are

Commercial, Finance and Operations headed by the Commercial manager,

Finance Manager and the Operations Manager respectively. The head of

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departments report to the Managing Director. The head office for TML is in

Blantyre the commercial city of Malawi.

TML gets its fuel products from Mozambique and Tanzania which are imported

in Malawi by Petroleum Importers Limited (PIL). PIL is a consortium that was

formed by TML in partnership with the other key OMC’s (BP, Chevron and

Petroda). Fuel products are transported by road and rail into Malawi by

International Haulage Brokers and Central East African Railways; these are

transport companies contracted by PIL. PIL distributes the product to the

OMC’s storage sites/depots as a percentage which is agreed by the four

OMC’s at the beginning of every year. Importation of fuel products in the

country is regulated by the Government of Malawi (GoM); PIL is the only legal

importer of fuels in Malawi.

TML distributes the fuels from its four storage depots to all its sites using third

party logistics.

TML imports Lubricants and Car Care products directly from its sister

companies in South Africa, Egypt and United Arab Emirates (UAE). These are

transported by sea or road depending on the supplier’s geographical position.

Collection from TML storage depots is done by the customer.

2.2.2. Customers

Malawi’s economy is heavily dependent on agriculture (Tobacco, sugar and

tea). TML biggest customer is Illovo Sugar, the sole manufacture of sugar in

Malawi, this business accounts for 15% of TML annual volume. TML’s peak

business period is between March and February with tobacco transporters as

big customers. This is the period when the tobacco auction floors are open.

70% of the fuels sales comes from the service stations and 30% from the

industrial customers (Illovo, Lafarge, Mota Engil, Raiply, ESCOM, General

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Farming, etc.). Automotive lubricants and Car Care products are sold in service

stations while the Industrial Lubricants are sold directly to specified industries.

2.2.3. Competitors

Malawi has got six OMC’s; TML being the second in market share and the

biggest in terms of infrastructure. The five competitors are BP, Chevron,

Petroda, Injena and Energem.

3. Total Malawi Business Strategy

3.1.TML Mission

To offer our customers within a vast, varied and risky perimeter, the high

quality oil services and products that are tailored to their needs.

To put ethics, respect for the environment and safety at the core of our

concerns.

To create value by ensuring high profitability tailored to the context of our

facilities.

To make our actions long term by promoting local development

3.2.TML Strategy

Build one new station in Blantyre.

Depots and stations invariants programme implementation (meet minimum

safety and environmental standards in all facilities)

Construct LPG Plant in Lilongwe.

SAP\TL Implementation. Go live date: 1 May 2010

Kanengo Depot upgrade- ( Storage capacity & Fire fighting)

Pass International small storage Safety Rating System (IssSRS) with level

2.

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Implement simple , efficient and reactive organization which enable

everyone to excel

Enhance staff member professionalism by rigor in hiring, quality

training, acknowledgement of performance and promoting the best while

avoiding poor performance, frustration and Low Productivity through

involuntary exists.

Promote and support unity in diversity of profiles and draw from its

strength.

Promote equal career opportunities and fast track top performers

4. PESTELE Analysis of Total Malawi

PESTLE analysis stands for "Political, Economic, Social, Technological, Legal and

Environmental analysis" and describes a framework of macro-environmental factors

used in the environmental scanning component of strategic management. It is a part of

the external analysis when conducting a strategic analysis or doing market research,

and gives an overview of the different macro environmental factors that the company

has to take into consideration. It is a useful strategic tool for understanding market

growth or decline, business position, potential and direction for operations. This tool

assists organisations to enhance the opportunities as well as minimise the threats.

4.1.Political Factors

Political factors are how and to what degree a government intervenes in the

economy. Specifically, political factors include areas such as tax policy, labour law,

environmental law, trade restrictions, tariffs, and political stability. Furthermore

governments have great influence on the health, education, and infrastructure of a

nation.

Political Factors Affecting TML

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Opportunities Threats

The Malawi Energy Regulatory Authority (MERA) was just formed two years ago and it’s still developing its policies

The sales margins for fuels are controlled by the government

Funding for investments not concerned with the government

100 percent owned by Total

4.2.Economic Factors

Economic factors include economic growth, interest rates, exchange rates and the inflation

rate. These factors have major impacts on how businesses operate and make decisions. For

example, interest rates affect a firm's cost of capital and therefore to what extent a business

grows and expands. Exchange rates affect the costs of exporting goods and the supply and

price of imported goods in an economy

Economic Factors Affecting TML

Opportunities Threats

High bank lending interest rates in Malawi

Shortage of foreign currency in Malawi resulting on fuel shortage because PIL can not import product.

Economic growth in Malawi (increased Infrastructure development , growth in automotive industry)

Unstable exchange rates in Malawi

Seasonal market (High sales during the tobacco season)

New OMC entering the market through business takeover

BP and Chevron pulling out of Malawi

4.3.Social Cultural Factors

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Social factors include the cultural aspects and include health consciousness,

population growth rate, age distribution, career attitudes and emphasis on

safety. Trends in social factors affect the demand for a company's products and

how that company operates. For example, an ageing population may imply a

smaller and less-willing workforce (thus increasing the cost of labor). Furthermore,

companies may change various management strategies to adapt to these social

trends (such as recruiting older workers).

Social Factors Affecting TML

Opportunities Threats

Customer attitude and opinion on product brand

BP is good at advertising and has good publicity

Life style trends (high improved living standards in Malawi)

4.4.Technological Factors

Technological factors include ecological and environmental aspects, such as R&D activity,

automation, technology incentives and the rate of technological change. They can

determine barriers to entry, minimum efficient production level and influence outsourcing

decisions. Furthermore, technological shifts can affect costs, quality, and lead to innovation

Technological Factors Affecting TML

Opportunities Threats

TML has very good Competing technology development (fuel card system)

TML need to replace some of its technological equipment i.e. fuel pumps

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Maturity of technology (TML has a very mature IT system all sites are on network)

Loss of business due to network failure

ICT changes, TML is not resistant to change, in may 2010 it changed from SUN system to SAP

4.5.Legal Factors

Legal factors include discrimination law, consumer law, antitrust law, employment law, and

health, safety and environmental law. These factors can affect how a company operates, its

costs, and the demand for its products.

Legal Factors Affecting TML

Opportunities Threats

Regulatory bodies and processes are just new in Malawi

Environmental regulations (TML has very high safety standards as compared to the industry norms)

Industry specific regulations, industrial regulations are lower than the set standards for TML, TML is being involved in structuring the industrial standards

4.6.Environmental Factors

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Environmental factors include weather, climate, and climate change, which may

especially affect industries such as tourism, farming, and insurance. Furthermore,

growing awareness to climate change is affecting how companies operate and the

products they offer. Climate change is both creating new markets and diminishing

or destroying existing ones. This also looks at the work environment in terms of

staff attitude, management style, staff engagement, organizational culture and staff

morale.

Environmental Factors Affecting TML

Opportunities Threats

Environmental issues / policies (International ,National and local) TML follows international environmental standards

Very old infrastructure (Buildings), some do not have shops.

Ecological (Climate change), TML is taking part in fighting climate change through several sustainable development climate change projects i.e. solar projects

Organisation culture, Staff attitude and Engagement.

Staff morale, is low in some staff members due to unaligned salary and job grades

5. Evaluation of Total Malawi’s Competitive Forces Using Porters Five Forces

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Porter’s Five Forces of Competition provides a convenient framework for exploring

the economic factors that affect the profitability of an organization as determined by

five sources of competitive pressure. These five forces of competition include three

sources of “horizontal” competition: competition from substitutes, competition from

entrants, and competition from established rivals; and two sources of “vertical”

competition: the bargaining power of suppliers and buyers. See the figure below

5.1.Barrier to Entry

Although fuel is not unique, it is not easy for new entrants since TML has the

following advantages;

It has an international brand, and customers are loyal to the brand.

Access to inputs (fuels) by new entrants is not easy. Fuel in Malawi is

imported by PIL; new entrants have to pick product from any of the four

OMC at a service charge.

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The cost of getting established in the oil marketing industry in Malawi is very

high. Constructing an average fuel storage facility costs $10 million and a

standard service station cost $1.7 million.

5.2.Rivalry Among the Existing Players

Rivalry among players in the oil marketing industry is very high although it is an

oligopoly market. There are six OMC with a common strategy of rapid growth.

One of TML competitors has got very good infrastructure and it is an

international brand as well, this competitor puts a lot of pressure on TML. Both

TML and this competitor has got 34% market share in retail business while the

competitor has got 58% market share in industrial business, this 58% is as a

result of steep discounts and generous credit. This is not possible in the retail

business because pump price is regulated by GoM. TML manages the

competition by providing very good pre and post sales services.

5.3.Threat to Substitutes

All OMC in Malawi sell the same fuel, threat to substitutes comes in when it

comes to lubricants. TML has got an upper had because it has a wide range of

products that fits different segments of the market.

5.4.Supplier Power

Although PIL is the sole supplier of fuels for all OMC, it has no power over

pricing since it is a consortium formed by the four merger OMC and the board

consist of managers from the OMCs.

5.5.Buyer Power

The buying power in retail market is very weak than the industrial market

because the pump price is regulated by GoM. TML has also reduced the

buying power of some of its industrial customers by signing long term contracts

and making partnerships with them in some sustainable development projects.

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In fuels market, customers can not easily switch competitors because we sell

the same product at the same price, switching can just be costly on their part.

6. Evaluations Of Customer Requirements Using Order Winner/Qualifier

6.1.Order Winner/Qualifying Factors

Order Winning Criteria or Market Criteria are the factors that customers use to

decide among competing sellers.

Terry hill defines an order qualifier as a characteristic of a product or service

that is required. (Slack et al, 2007)

Raising performance in an order winning and qualifying factor will either result

in more business or improve the chances of gaining more business.

These factors have been evaluated using hill methodology, see the table below.

  1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Price               Х  

Quality       Х          

Delivery Speed     Х          

Delivery Dependability       Х          

Availability Х                

Product/Service Range     Х            

Product/Service Design             Х    

Brand Image   Х            

After Sales Service     Х            

From the analysis above, it shows that the priority for TML should be

availability of product followed by good services range, good after sales

services and maintaining its brand image.

7. Evaluation Of Performance Of Competitor Supply Chain

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The performance of the competitor for TML will be evaluated using Hill methodology.

See table below. In this case, I have chosen BP Malawi which is the greatest

competitor for TML.

  1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Price          Х      

Quality Х  

Delivery Speed Х  

Delivery Dependability Х  

Availability Х  

Product/Service Range Х  

Product/Service Design Х  

Brand Image Х  

After Sales Service Х  

From the analysis above, it shows that BP Malawi’s supply chain performance

is better that TML because of its good brand image.

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8. Review Of Total Malawi Current Supply Chain

8.1.Locations

TML operates in Malawi with its head office in Blantyre, three customer service

centres (Blantyre, Lilongwe and Mzuzu), Four distribution depots one in each

region of the country. TML has the best geographical presentation than any other

OMC in Malawi, with 52 service stations and 84 industrial customers and present in

21 out of 27 districts of Malawi. See the figures below;

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8.2.Capacity of Operation

TML has a storage capacity of 6 million litres which is fully utilised. Mostly is hand

to mouth type of operation in the depots. See the graph below.

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-

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

DEPOT

STORAGE Vs THRUPUT

CAPACITY(m³) 2,230 1,390 1,810 610 6,040

THRUPUT(m³) 3,750 297 3,056 1,470 8,523

UTILISATION 168% 21% 169% 240% 142%

LMB MAKATA KNG MZ TOTAL

VOLU

ME

(M3)

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8.3.Transportation

TML takes ownership of Transportation once the products have been delivered in

its storage depots. TML uses third party transporters which are on a 5 years

contract to deliver its products from the depots to its respective customers. TML

has a total of 10 trucks with on board computers to monitor the driver behaviour.

The age of these trucks range from 3 to 15 years and all the truck drivers undergo

a defensive truck driving training. Average transport for 2010 was 1.2cents/litre.

8.4.Key skills, Knowledge and Experience of Supply Chain Personnel

Supply chain team consist of two sections; logistics which is under operations and

customer service which is under commercial. Logistics handles the product from

receipt to delivery. This involves product receipt from PIL trucks, Inventory control

in our depots, 3PL trucks management and delivery to the customer. Customer

service gets and processes orders from customers and prepares delivery plans.

The logistics section is headed by a 12 years experienced logistics manager (Bsc

Mechanical) who has five qualified mechanical engineers (4 plus years experience)

under him working as depot managers and one as a logistics engineer. Customer

service section is headed by a 15 years experience customer service manager with

five (four with O level certificates and one Bcom Business Administartion) customer

service representatives under him.

8.5.Supply Chain Information Systems

TML has got a very good supply chain information system. TML uses SAP as its

accounting package. Product receipt, stock management (reconciliations on daily

basis), customer orders, delivery plans, customer accounts are all managed from

the system.

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8.6.Supply Chain Performance Measures

The key supply chain performance measures are; Safety in Operations, Product

(throughput) availability, Inventory control, Transport management, Equipment

availability, Timely Delivery Plans.

8.6.1. Safety in Operations

Zero Fatalities

Zero Accidents & Incidents,

Zero Lost Time Injuries(LTI),

Zero Product Spills,

Zero Product Crossovers

8.6.2. Product Throughput (Availability)

Depot target per year

Limbe and Makata 50 million litres

Kanengo (Lilongwe) 46 million litres

Mzuzu 24 million litres

8.6.3. Inventory Control

Product losses to be within Oil Loss Tolerances (Petrol 0.15%, Diesel

0.08% and Paraffin 0.10%)

Daily SAP Vs Physical Stock Variations Reconciliations explanations

and clearing

8.6.4. Transport Management

Zero Fatalities

Zero Accidents

Zero Crossovers

Zero Spills

Zero product theft

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Well maintained trucks – image enhancement

Driver training

Truck and transporter quarterly assessments

Average transport cost of 1.3 cents per litre

24 hour truck availability

8.6.5. Equipment Availability

24 hours equipment availability

Attend to equipment break down within 24hours from time reported

Preventive maintenance for all equipment

8.6.6. Timely Delivery Plans

Delivery plans ready 24 hours before delivery time

Route utilisation

9. Recommendation on Total Malawi Supply Chain

Using the analysis that has been done; PESTELE, Porters Five Forces, Order

Winning/Qualifier and Competitors Positioning, TML needs to align its supply chain

strategy as follows;

9.1.Locations

Order winning/qualifier analysis has shown that brand image is very key for getting

and qualifying for an order while PESTELE has shown that BP is a threat due to its

enhanced brand image. As much as TML has the best geographical presentation,

it has a task to improve its brand image in its service stations in order to compete

effectively on the market. This will also assist TML in threatening new entrants as

per evaluation of porters’ five forces.

PESTELE analysis has shown that one of the opportunities for TML is Economic

growth in Malawi (increased Infrastructure development, growth in automotive

industry). The GoM is constructing an inland port in Nsanje, TML through PIL

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should propose to the GoM to construct a pipeline from this port to its depots. This

can increase its margins since transportation cost will be minimised.

9.2.Capacity of Operation

Order winning/qualifier analysis has shown that product availability is very key for

getting and qualifying for an order; looking at the statistics for Mzuzu depot, it

shows that the depot is over utilised (240%) meaning it is hardly meeting its

customer demand. PESTELE analysis has shown that one of the opportunities for

TML is Economic growth in Malawi (increased Infrastructure development, growth

in automotive industry) and if we leave Mzuzu depot capacity as it is, soon it will

not manage to supply the demand. This calls for increase in Mzuzu depot storage

capacity.

9.3.Transportation

Order winning/qualifier analysis has shown that speed to delivery has to be within

industry standards to get and qualify for an order and PESTELE has shown that old

equipment is one of the threats for TML. TML having a fleet aging up to 15 years

results in frequent break downs which results in delayed deliveries. TML should

revise its transport contracts to have trucks not more than 8 years old.

9.4.Key skills, Knowledge and Experience of Supply Chain Personnel

PESTELE analysis and Porter’s Five Forces have indicated that brand image and

advertising are very useful for competition and threatening new entrants. TML

needs to have a Customer Service Executive in its customer service section whose

main purpose will be to give TML customers the global picture of the organisation.

The executive will also be conducting market research to assist in strategy

formulation of TML.

There is also a need to employ Depot Supervisors who will be assisting depot

managers in their day to day work.

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9.5.Supply Chain Information Systems

PESTELE analysis has revealed that network failure is one of the threats of TML

since it results in loss of business for a period. TML should have a standby internet

service provider to be TML cushion when the network for the main provider is

down. Another way is for TML to revive its VSat system that is just idol for standby

purposes.

9.6.Supply Chain Performance Measures

TML has to include green supply chain as one of its key performance indicators

when developing its supply chain strategy. “From virtually nowhere a year ago,

organisations are now bombarded about their “green” performance. Investors want

to know that your organisation and supply chain is green. Shareholders,

employees, and customers are eager to be associated with or purchase from a

green company.” Stokes, S., and Tohamy, N. (2009). This will help TML have a

good brand image and get customers who are climate change sensitive.

PESTELE has shown that old equipment is one of the threats for TML, the old

meters that TML has in its depots, frequently break down (release a lot of product

than what is registered on the meter), this brings a lot of losses to the company.

TML need to put a program in place for meter replacement in depots and pump

replacement in service stations.

Analysing the value chain (series of processes, each of which adds value to the

product or service for each customer) for TML, see figure below; versus PESTELE

and Porters Five Forces.

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TML need to do business process re-engineering in the following processes as

follows;

1. As it has been indicated by PESTELE, that TML has very old buildings. TML

needs to upgrade its infrastructure; build shops and car service bays. This

will enhance brand image and improve turn-in-ratio. This will assist TML to

have Non fuel revenue which will not be depended on fuel availability which

is also a threat to TML. This will also improve its brand image beyond its

competitors.

2. TML need to come up with a proper salary and job grades to motivate the

employees that have lost their morale due to this misalignment.

3. TML needs to propose to PIL that their product supply contract with PIL be

flexible enough to revise its nominations (amount of product to pick) during

product shortage periods i.e. to have a clause saying that the product

nomination for TML will increase by 10% during crisis periods.

4. When reconciling physical stock versus SAP stock, physical stocks are

measured manually; this results in a lot of variations due to dipping errors

and tank configuration. It would be very good for TML to introduce automatic

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tank gauging which will indicate the exact amount of product in the tank.

This system can also be directly linked with SAP to avoid manipulation of

figures by human and quick update of physical stock in the system.

5. TML has very good services in its service station, but the service varies from

station to station. There is need to standardise these services so as to make

the customer home and loyal to the brand

6. TML needs to improve on its advertising and publicity image which is one of

its threats. TML has got a very good fuel card system but it is a few

individuals that know this technology. The same with its lubricants, a small

segment know the goodness of TML lubricants. It could have been much

better if TML could have these in billboards; most people are visual

sensitive.

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10.References

Barratt, M., Rabinovich, E., Sodero, A. (2010), “Inventory Accurancy: Essential, but

Often Overlooked”, Supply Chain Management Review, Vol.14 No.2, pp. 36.

Blackwell(2010), “Industrial Analysis: The Foundamentals”, Sample Chapters,

Wiley Blackwell Publications. Retrieved from web on 5th December 2010:

http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/grant/pdfs/CSA5eC03.pdf

Cohen, S., Roussel, J., (2005), “Strategic Supply Chain Management: The 5

Disciplines for Top Performance”, McGraw Hill, NY.

Faulkner, M. (2010), “Business Review: Total Malawi Limited”, Presentation to

Total Group CEO, Paris, France.

Fawcett, S., Andraski, J., Fawcett, A., Magnan, G. (2009), ”The Art of Supply Chain

Managemnet”, Supply Chain Management Review, Vol.13 No.8, pp. 8.

Frazelle, E., (2002), “Supply Chain Strategy : The Logistics of Supply Chain

Management”, McGraw-Hill, NY.

Harvard(2000), “Harvard Business Review On Managing the Value Chain”,

Harvard Business School Press, Boston, MA.

Porter, M. (1985), “Competitive Advantage: Creating and Sustaining Superior

Performance”, Free Press, NY.

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Purdue(2010), “Industrial Analysis: The Five Forces”, Educational Materials,

Purdue University. Retrieved from web on 5th December 2010:

http://www.extension.purdue.edu/extmedia/EC/EC-722.pdf

Slack, N., Chambers, S., and Johnston, R. (2001), “Operations Strategy”, Financial

Times, Prentice Hall, NY.

Stokes, S., Tohany, N. (2009), “7 Treats of a Green Supply Chain”, Supply Chain

Management Review, Vol.13 No.7, pp. 8.

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