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SUPRA-net:Chronological information and uncertainty
Radiocarbon dating & calibration - Paula Reimer
Age-depth modeling – Maarten Blaauw
Optical stimulated luminescence – Mark Bateman
Tephrochronology – David Lowe
U series dating – David Richards*
Combining multiple dating techniques – Andrew Millard
Ice Cores: Overview of dating methods - Regine Röthlisberger
Stratigraphical constraints on marine reservoir corrections –Luke Skinner
Modeling marine reservoir corrections – Gerrit Lohmann
Common sources of chronological uncertainties•Sampling interval
•Material dated vs. time of event or proxy change
•Transfer of timescale to companion cores
•Hiatuses and other sedimentary processes
•Bioturbation
Austin et al. 1995
https://cams.llnl.gov/
Radiocarbon dating & calibration uncertainties
•Sampling
Measurement
•Age calculation
•Contamination
•Calibration
•Marine reservoircorrections
S7 2QW,
Radiometric dating (no daugher decay)
S7 2QW,
Measurement uncertainties
Animation: M. Blaauw
Poisson nature of radioactivedecay and AMS counts
Animation: M.Blaauw
Vogel et al. 2004
Age calculation uncertainties
Libby half-life
5568 ± 30 years – canceled in calibration
Isotope fractionation correction: 13C uncertainty
• Estimated ± 1 - 2 ‰ (± 8-32 years)• Measured off-line ± 0.2 ‰ (± 2)- ok in gas counting systems- may not be equivalent to fractionation in AMS machine)• Measured in AMS ± 1 ‰ (± 16 years)
Age calculation and uncertainties
Measurement uncertainties
TIRI 1993 (Scott et al. 2003)
Estimating laboratory precision through replicates
14C age BP
Num
ber
ofsa
mpl
esDendrodated wood
scatter/ meas = 1.17
(lab error multiplier)
14C calibration uncertainties
Animation: M. Blaauw
Constant initial 14C
IntCal04Calibration curve
IntCal04 Radiocarbon calibration
Tree-ring 14C
Proposed IntCal extension 2008
Fairbanks corals
Bard corals
Iberian forams
Cariaco forams
Cutler corals
Atmospheric nuclear testing 14C
Courtesy Stewart Fallon
marine reservoir correction uncertaintiesPresent – limited pre-bomb measurements Past variations – N. Atlantic example
R values
Cape of Good Hope 224± 51
Natal 213 ± 57
St. Helena 325 ± 18Bondevik et al. 2006
Age-depth modeling – Maarten Blaauw
Uncertainty accumulation
Which age-depth model?
800 cm core
9 14C dates
surface = recent
Linear interpol.
Too much weight onindividual dates?
Which age-depth model?
800 cm core
9 14C dates
surface = recent
Linear interpol.
Linear regression
Polyn. regression
Smooth spline 470 cm = hiatus
Stratigraphic order dates
Christen, 1994. Appl Stat 43:489-503
Only accept iterations with correct order
Reduces error ranges
Removes outliers
Hard to question
Easy in Bcal / OxCal
Wiggle-match dating
Assume linear accumulation (Bpeat)
age = a*depth + b
Include additional information
prior outlierprobabilities
prior outlierprobabilities
other dates:tephra, pollen,210Pb, U/Th, ...
hiatus, size
Grey-scale ghost graphs
Comparing multiple archives
Wunsch 2006Neff et al 2001
Comparing multiple archives
Luminescence Dating – Mark Bateman
‘I also brought it [a diamond] to somekind of glimmering light by taking intobed with me, and holding it a goodwhile upon a warm part of my nakedbody’.
Robert Boyle 1663
Includes – Thermoluminescence (TL), Optically stimulated luminescence (OSL),infrared stimulated luminescence (IRSL), Green light stimulated luminescence(GLSL) and blue light stimulated luminescence (BLSL)
TephrochronologyTephrochronology
David J. Lowe
Photo: M. Gehrels
Age estimates
“all ages are model ages”…
Growth models
“…even more so for interpolated ages”
U-Series Dating – David Richards
Multiple dating methods – a problemAndrew Millard
How to combine 14C and 210Pb dates?
Current ‘obvious’ approach is: Calculate 210Pb dates based on a sediment accumulation
model combine with 14C dates to give new accumulation model which may not be consistent with the initial accumulation
model!
Uncertainties are not properly quantified
One event
chronometricdata
date
other parameterse.g. half-life
repeat for multiplemethods
Multiple events
chronometricdata 1
date 1
other parametersmethod 1
chronometricdata 2
date 2
processmodel
Multiple events
chronometricdata 1
date 1
other parametersmethod 1
chronometricdata 2
date 2
processmodel
chronometricdata 3
date 3
other parametersmethod 2
U-series at theBourgeoisDelaunay
Bed 6
LC11 LC12
LC31LC1 & LC2
Beds 8-10
on Bed 7
Bed 7
LC2-1LC47C3 LC14D
LC47C2
LC47C1
LC2-1
LC2-1
LC14C
LC14B
LC14A
Bed 11
40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260
79 LC11-1 top
79 LC11-3 top
79 LC12-1 base
77 LC1-1
77 LC1-2
81 LC31-2
81LC31-3
81 LC47C-3
81 LC47C-2
81 LC47C-1
77 LC2-1
77 LC2-2
77 LC2-4
79 LC14D
79 LC14C-2
79 LC14B
79 LC14A-1
79 LC14A-2
Sam
ple
refe
renc
e
Date (ka)
Bed
11O
nB
ed7
Bed
7
Combining 14C and 210Pb
210Pb data date 1
sedimentaccumulation
model
14C data date 2
210Pb data date 3
14C data date 4
210Pb parameters
14C parameters
Ice Cores: Overview of dating methods - RegineRöthlisberger