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SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty Radiocarbon dating & calibration - Paula Reimer Age-depth modeling – Maarten Blaauw Optical stimulated luminescence – Mark Bateman Tephrochronology – David Lowe U series dating – David Richards* Combining multiple dating techniques – Andrew Millard Ice Cores: Overview of dating methods - Regine Röthlisberger Stratigraphical constraints on marine reservoir corrections – Luke Skinner Modeling marine reservoir corrections – Gerrit Lohmann

SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty

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Page 1: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty

SUPRA-net:Chronological information and uncertainty

Radiocarbon dating & calibration - Paula Reimer

Age-depth modeling – Maarten Blaauw

Optical stimulated luminescence – Mark Bateman

Tephrochronology – David Lowe

U series dating – David Richards*

Combining multiple dating techniques – Andrew Millard

Ice Cores: Overview of dating methods - Regine Röthlisberger

Stratigraphical constraints on marine reservoir corrections –Luke Skinner

Modeling marine reservoir corrections – Gerrit Lohmann

Page 2: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty

Common sources of chronological uncertainties•Sampling interval

•Material dated vs. time of event or proxy change

•Transfer of timescale to companion cores

•Hiatuses and other sedimentary processes

•Bioturbation

Austin et al. 1995

Page 3: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty

https://cams.llnl.gov/

Radiocarbon dating & calibration uncertainties

•Sampling

Measurement

•Age calculation

•Contamination

•Calibration

•Marine reservoircorrections

S7 2QW,

Page 4: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty

Radiometric dating (no daugher decay)

S7 2QW,

Page 5: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty

Measurement uncertainties

Animation: M. Blaauw

Poisson nature of radioactivedecay and AMS counts

Animation: M.Blaauw

Vogel et al. 2004

Page 6: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty
Page 7: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty

Age calculation uncertainties

Libby half-life

5568 ± 30 years – canceled in calibration

Isotope fractionation correction: 13C uncertainty

• Estimated ± 1 - 2 ‰ (± 8-32 years)• Measured off-line ± 0.2 ‰ (± 2)- ok in gas counting systems- may not be equivalent to fractionation in AMS machine)• Measured in AMS ± 1 ‰ (± 16 years)

Page 8: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty

Age calculation and uncertainties

Page 9: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty
Page 10: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty

Measurement uncertainties

TIRI 1993 (Scott et al. 2003)

Page 11: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty

Estimating laboratory precision through replicates

14C age BP

Num

ber

ofsa

mpl

esDendrodated wood

scatter/ meas = 1.17

(lab error multiplier)

Page 12: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty

14C calibration uncertainties

Animation: M. Blaauw

Page 13: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty

Constant initial 14C

IntCal04Calibration curve

IntCal04 Radiocarbon calibration

Tree-ring 14C

Page 14: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty

Proposed IntCal extension 2008

Fairbanks corals

Bard corals

Iberian forams

Cariaco forams

Cutler corals

Page 15: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty

Atmospheric nuclear testing 14C

Courtesy Stewart Fallon

Page 16: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty

marine reservoir correction uncertaintiesPresent – limited pre-bomb measurements Past variations – N. Atlantic example

R values

Cape of Good Hope 224± 51

Natal 213 ± 57

St. Helena 325 ± 18Bondevik et al. 2006

Page 17: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty

Age-depth modeling – Maarten Blaauw

Page 18: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty

Uncertainty accumulation

Page 19: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty

Which age-depth model?

800 cm core

9 14C dates

surface = recent

Linear interpol.

Too much weight onindividual dates?

Page 20: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty

Which age-depth model?

800 cm core

9 14C dates

surface = recent

Linear interpol.

Linear regression

Polyn. regression

Smooth spline 470 cm = hiatus

Page 21: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty

Stratigraphic order dates

Christen, 1994. Appl Stat 43:489-503

Only accept iterations with correct order

Reduces error ranges

Removes outliers

Hard to question

Easy in Bcal / OxCal

Page 22: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty

Wiggle-match dating

Assume linear accumulation (Bpeat)‏

age = a*depth + b

Page 23: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty

Include additional information

prior outlierprobabilities

prior outlierprobabilities

other dates:tephra, pollen,210Pb, U/Th, ...

hiatus, size

Page 24: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty

Grey-scale ghost graphs

Page 25: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty

Comparing multiple archives

Wunsch 2006Neff et al 2001

Page 26: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty

Comparing multiple archives

Page 27: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty

Luminescence Dating – Mark Bateman

‘I also brought it [a diamond] to somekind of glimmering light by taking intobed with me, and holding it a goodwhile upon a warm part of my nakedbody’.

Robert Boyle 1663

Includes – Thermoluminescence (TL), Optically stimulated luminescence (OSL),infrared stimulated luminescence (IRSL), Green light stimulated luminescence(GLSL) and blue light stimulated luminescence (BLSL)

Page 28: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty

TephrochronologyTephrochronology

David J. Lowe

Photo: M. Gehrels

Page 29: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty

Age estimates

“all ages are model ages”…

Growth models

“…even more so for interpolated ages”

U-Series Dating – David Richards

Page 30: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty

Multiple dating methods – a problemAndrew Millard

How to combine 14C and 210Pb dates?

Current ‘obvious’ approach is: Calculate 210Pb dates based on a sediment accumulation

model combine with 14C dates to give new accumulation model which may not be consistent with the initial accumulation

model!

Uncertainties are not properly quantified

Page 31: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty

One event

chronometricdata

date

other parameterse.g. half-life

repeat for multiplemethods

Page 32: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty

Multiple events

chronometricdata 1

date 1

other parametersmethod 1

chronometricdata 2

date 2

processmodel

Page 33: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty

Multiple events

chronometricdata 1

date 1

other parametersmethod 1

chronometricdata 2

date 2

processmodel

chronometricdata 3

date 3

other parametersmethod 2

Page 34: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty

U-series at theBourgeoisDelaunay

Bed 6

LC11 LC12

LC31LC1 & LC2

Beds 8-10

on Bed 7

Bed 7

LC2-1LC47C3 LC14D

LC47C2

LC47C1

LC2-1

LC2-1

LC14C

LC14B

LC14A

Bed 11

40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260

79 LC11-1 top

79 LC11-3 top

79 LC12-1 base

77 LC1-1

77 LC1-2

81 LC31-2

81LC31-3

81 LC47C-3

81 LC47C-2

81 LC47C-1

77 LC2-1

77 LC2-2

77 LC2-4

79 LC14D

79 LC14C-2

79 LC14B

79 LC14A-1

79 LC14A-2

Sam

ple

refe

renc

e

Date (ka)

Bed

11O

nB

ed7

Bed

7

Page 35: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty

Combining 14C and 210Pb

210Pb data date 1

sedimentaccumulation

model

14C data date 2

210Pb data date 3

14C data date 4

210Pb parameters

14C parameters

Page 36: SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertaintycaitlin-buck.staff.shef.ac.uk/SUPRAnet/presentations/chronology.pdf · SUPRA-net: Chronological information and uncertainty

Ice Cores: Overview of dating methods - RegineRöthlisberger