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Sustainable Nanotechnology
(and Other Emerging Technologies)
Tim HarperCientifica Ltd / Envision ALR
1
1Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Sustainable Nanotechnology
(and Other Emerging Technologies)
Tim HarperCientifica Ltd / Envision ALR
1
1Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Tim Harper
• Engineer at European Space Agency
• Serial Entrepreneur
• Founder of European NanoBusiness Association
• Chair / Chief Advisor of Several National Funding Bodies
• World Economic Forum Emerging Technologies Council
• President, Nanotechnologies at Envision ALR
2
2Wednesday, 12 May 2010
We Wrote The Book on “Nano” in 2002
“The Nanotechnology Opportunity Report is a breakthrough - it is the first complete report of the state of our field”
-Meyya Meyyappan director of the Center for Nanotechnology at NASA Ames, March 2002
3
3Wednesday, 12 May 2010
And Rewrote It In 2008
"Almost a billion dollars of investors cash has been poured down the drain by investors who did not understand the crucial difference between a science project and a successful company, egged on by a plethora of nanotech ‘experts,’ while large corporations have laughed all the way to the bank”
4
4Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Envision A Living Revolution (“Envision”) was launched in 2006 with the vision of becoming a leading integrated operating company in the markets of
• Healthcare
• Energy
• Green Chemicals & Materials
• Water
Envision ALR
5Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Envision ALREnvision builds strategic and profitable positions in these markets by acquiring & commercialising underexploited technology platforms in the scientific fields of:
• Regenerative Medicine
• Nanotechnology
• Industrial Biotechnology
Envision employs an integrated operating model and full life-cycle funding approach allowing it to drive commercialization from the point of technology acquisition all the way through manufacturing and marketing
Envision develops products that can be marketed under Envision’s own brand, or marketed by partners, under their own brands
6Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Sustainable Technologies -
From A Passive To An Active Role
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7Wednesday, 12 May 2010
5000 Years of Science
8
8Wednesday, 12 May 2010
5000 Years of Science
Humans have
8
8Wednesday, 12 May 2010
5000 Years of Science
Humans have
• Been observing the world for 5000 years
8
8Wednesday, 12 May 2010
5000 Years of Science
Humans have
• Been observing the world for 5000 years
• Significantly changing it for 100 years
8
8Wednesday, 12 May 2010
5000 Years of Science
Humans have
• Been observing the world for 5000 years
• Significantly changing it for 100 years
• Understanding our actions for 20 years
8
8Wednesday, 12 May 2010
How Do We Use Technology For Good?
9
9Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Control Over Materials
Materials Have Always Been Vital to Humanity
• Clothing,
• Heating, hunting tools
• Coal, iron, oil, copper
• Semiconductors
• Satellites
10
10Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Materials Have Shaped Our Culture
10,000 BC
Stone & Wood
Nanotechnology
Adapted from Herrmann, W. Chem. Eng. Technol. 21(7), 549 (1998)
Synthetic Biology
0
Cement Steel
1800
Iron
1000 BC 1900’s
PolymersComposites
2000 2010
11
11Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Science Enables New Technologies
1650 1950 2050
Com
plex
ity
Con
trol
12
12Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Science Enables New Technologies
1650 1950 2050
Com
plex
ity
Con
trol
12
12Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Science Enables New Technologies
1650 1950 2050
Com
plex
ity
Con
trol
12
12Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Science Enables New Technologies
1650 1950 2050
Com
plex
ity
Con
trol
12
12Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Science Enables New Technologies
1650 1950 2050
Com
plex
ity
Con
trol
12
12Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Science Enables New Technologies
1650 1950 2050
Com
plex
ity
Con
trol
12
12Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Science Enables New Technologies
1650 1950 2050Semiconductors
Com
plex
ity
Con
trol
12
12Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Science Enables New Technologies
1650 1950 2050Semiconductors
Biotechnology
Com
plex
ity
Con
trol
12
12Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Science Enables New Technologies
1650 1950 2050Semiconductors
BiotechnologyNanotechnologies
Com
plex
ity
Con
trol
12
12Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Science Enables New Technologies
1650 1950 2050Semiconductors
BiotechnologyNanotechnologies
Synthetic Biology
Com
plex
ity
Con
trol
12
12Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Science Enables New Technologies
1650 1950 2050Semiconductors
BiotechnologyNanotechnologies
Synthetic Biology
Com
plex
ity
Geoengineering?
Con
trol
12
12Wednesday, 12 May 2010
With This13
13Wednesday, 12 May 2010
And This14
14Wednesday, 12 May 2010
And This15
15Wednesday, 12 May 2010
16
16Wednesday, 12 May 2010
And Even This17
17Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Moving From Control Of Materials to Control of
Things
18
18Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Moving From Control Of Materials to Control of
Things
Materials• Metals
• Semiconductors
• Food Processing
Passive18
18Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Moving From Control Of Materials to Control of
Things
Materials• Metals
• Semiconductors
• Food Processing
Things• Crops
• Cells
• The Planet?
Passive Active18
18Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Resources Are Getting Scarcer
• Global competition for resources
• Demand driven by increasing and increasingly affluent population
• Some resources are almost exhausted
19
19Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Metal Remaining Supply*
Indium 5-10 yearsAntinomy 15-20 yearsPlatinum 15 yearsHafnium 10 yearsTantalum 20-30 yearsUranium 30-40 years
Scarce Resources
Armin Reller, U. Augsburg, Tom Graedel, Yale
* Pre Global Economic Crisis20
20Wednesday, 12 May 2010
The Rare Earth
• Global demand for rare earths has tripled from 40,000 tonnes to 120,000 tonnes over the past 10 years
• China now controls 97% of the global supply of 17 rare earths
• 25% of new green technologies rely on minor metals and rare earths
21
21Wednesday, 12 May 2010
A Fuel Efficient Resource Hog
• Each electric Prius motor requires 1 Kg of neodymium
• Each battery uses 10 to 15 kg of lanthanum
22
22Wednesday, 12 May 2010
$0.5B
2006 20112007 2008 2009 2010
$3.0B
$2.5B
$2.0B
$1.5B
$1.0B
Global Market for Transparent Conductors
LCD Displays
Solar Cells
Touch Screens,& other electronics
-
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
1 2 3 4 5 6
Uses of Indium
23
23Wednesday, 12 May 2010
He Could Be Right!
“Rare earths are to China as oil is to the Middle East”
- Deng Xiaoping (1992)
24
24Wednesday, 12 May 2010
What Can We Do?
25
25Wednesday, 12 May 2010
We Have The Tools
26
26Wednesday, 12 May 2010
How To Use Them?
27
27Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Using Emerging Technologies
• Emerging technologies are critical to long-term global prosperity
• Innovative technologies do not conform to conventional technology development paradigms
• Effective policies for nurturing and employing emerging technologies are largely absent or poorly formed in government, industry and other stakeholder organisations
28
28Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Understanding Nature
29
29Wednesday, 12 May 2010
A Top Down Approach
30
30Wednesday, 12 May 2010
A Bottom Up Approach
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31Wednesday, 12 May 2010
By Copying This Trick
Reducing friction between container ships hull & water could
• Save 1% of global oil consumption or
• 850,000 barrels per day
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32Wednesday, 12 May 2010
An Old Trick For Textiles
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33Wednesday, 12 May 2010
3 Emerging Technologies
34
34Wednesday, 12 May 2010
3 Emerging Technologies
• Nanotechnology
34
34Wednesday, 12 May 2010
3 Emerging Technologies
• Nanotechnology
• Synthetic Biology
34
34Wednesday, 12 May 2010
3 Emerging Technologies
• Nanotechnology
• Synthetic Biology
• Geoengineering
34
34Wednesday, 12 May 2010
35
35Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Nanotech Already In Use
36
36Wednesday, 12 May 2010
• Composite Materials
• Conducting Polymers
• Thin Film Photovoltaics
Nanotech Already In Use
36
36Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Nanotech Already In Use
Drug Delivery
Tissue EngineeringCatalysis
Filtration
Water Treatment
Computer Memory
Data Storage
DisplaysFood
Textiles
Cosmetics
Sunscreen
Lighting
Coatings
Household Cleaners Sporting Equipment
Construction
Insulation
Anti Corrosion
Paints
36
36Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Nanotech Already In Use
36
36Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Composite Applications
• Automotive body parts
• Aerospace composites & coatings
• Packaging
• Conducting polymers
37
37Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Nanocomposite Materials
• Polymer + nanoparticle, nanofibre or clay
• Increases strength & rigidity
• Lowers weight
• Much of value is in the formulation rather than the filler
38
38Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Nanocomposite Materials
• Polymer + nanoparticle, nanofibre or clay
• Increases strength & rigidity
• Lowers weight
• Much of value is in the formulation rather than the filler
Abalone Shell - Nanoscale Engineering38
38Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Nanocomposite Use In Automotive Industry
• Conducting composites for better paintability
• Moulding cycle time reduction
• Improved mechanical properties
• High scratch resistance paints
39
39Wednesday, 12 May 2010
• Demand Drivers
• Rising demand for touch screens and flat panel displays
• Increasing use of thin film solar panels
• Solar applications and displays require better materials than Indium Tin Oxide
• Global supply of Indium is limited
Replacing Indium With Conductive Inks
40
40Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Conducting Polymers at Envision
41
41Wednesday, 12 May 2010
42
42Wednesday, 12 May 2010
iLab
43
43Wednesday, 12 May 2010
A Paradigm Shift in Medical Diagnostics
Broad range of Point-of-Care applications
• Complete blood profiling
• HIV/STD testing
• Infectious diseases
• Molecular Diagnostics:
• Cardiovascular diseases
• Cancer diagnostics
• Animal health
44
44Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Nanosolar
45
45Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Nanosolar
45
45Wednesday, 12 May 2010
market volume (Billion $)
200
150
100
50
0
Siliconsemiconductors
Printedsemiconductors
19801985
19901995
20002005
20102015
20202025
2030
Market forecast SIA, IDTechEx 200646
46Wednesday, 12 May 2010
market volume (Billion $)
200
150
100
50
0
Siliconsemiconductors
Printedsemiconductors
19801985
19901995
20002005
20102015
20202025
2030
Market forecast SIA, IDTechEx 200646
46Wednesday, 12 May 2010
• It will take ten to twenty years for new sources for renewables to become competitive with existing sources
• Market forces will drive up the cost of dwindling resources in the meantime
• Current investment levels in renewables have priced many investors out of the market
No Quick Returns?
47
47Wednesday, 12 May 2010
It Takes $1Bn To Get In The Solar Game
• Konarka Technologies burned through over $100 million in VC funding
• Nanosolar has raised $295 million to date
• Realistic opportunities are enabled by organic solar, not producing solar
48
48Wednesday, 12 May 2010
The Rise Of Biotech49
Source: Rob Carlson synthesis.cc
49Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Synthetic BiologyLongest Published DNA Sequence
50Source: Rob Carlson synthesis.cc
50Wednesday, 12 May 2010
A Lot Like Moore’s Law51
51Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Not Just Biofuels
Converting waste products into feedstock
• Wheat & Rice Straw to Sugars
➡Sugars to Glycol
➡Glycol to Bioplastics
52
52Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Reducing Our Dependence On This
53
53Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Cleaning Up The Mess
54Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Geoengineering - Could We? Should We?
55
55Wednesday, 12 May 2010
“There are no current proposals that have clear validity at the moment, but I think we are faced with such an enormous problem that we need to do all the research we can to see if there are any geo-engineering proposals that work through to the marketplace”
- Sir David King, former UK Chief Scientist
Geoengineering - Could We? Should We?
55
55Wednesday, 12 May 2010
56
56Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Should We Do It?
57
57Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Should We Do It?
Not if we can help it - but we do need a ‘Plan B’
57
57Wednesday, 12 May 2010
What We NeedSector Need Solution
FoodImprove Yields
Address Malnutrition GM CropsGolden Rice
EnergyReduce Consumption
Generate Clean energy
CompositesPhotovoltaicsWind/ Tidal
ClimateAlternative Fuels
Make Better Use of What We Have
Industrial BiotechSynthetic BiologyNanomaterials
Disease Earlier & Cheaper DetectionEffective Treatment
Synthetic BiologyTargeted Nanoparticle Drug
Delivery
58
58Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Can We Do It?
59
59Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Can We Do It?
Well...
59
59Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Can We Do It?
Well...
• The innovation process is inefficient
59
59Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Can We Do It?
Well...
• The innovation process is inefficient
• Capital for Emerging Technologies is Poorly Educated
59
59Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Can We Do It?
Well...
• The innovation process is inefficient
• Capital for Emerging Technologies is Poorly Educated
• Governments Lack Foresight
59
59Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Inefficient Innovation
60
60Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Inefficient Innovation
To get there we need
60
60Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Inefficient Innovation
To get there we need
• Scientists to realise commercial potential
60
60Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Inefficient Innovation
To get there we need
• Scientists to realise commercial potential
• Investor to both ‘get it’ and have liquidity
60
60Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Inefficient Innovation
To get there we need
• Scientists to realise commercial potential
• Investor to both ‘get it’ and have liquidity
• Quality management to take it to market
60
60Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Inefficient Innovation
To get there we need
• Scientists to realise commercial potential
• Investor to both ‘get it’ and have liquidity
• Quality management to take it to market
• Market pull rather than technology push
60
60Wednesday, 12 May 2010
VC investments are highly concentrated• 6 of 17 industries receive >73% of investment• “Me too” company investments are common
Sectors are selected with inexperience• Example: $ Billions invested into biofuels
• Investments have unrealistic expectations• > $100 MM in annual revenue targets• Ignoring advances and “foundation technologies”
The Capital Gap
61
61Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Government Foresight
• Huge pressure on finances
• Hard to second guess the market
• Governments have a poor record of picking winners
62
62Wednesday, 12 May 2010
In The End...
63
63Wednesday, 12 May 2010
In The End...
• Technology has lead every economic and social advance for the last 10,000 years
63
63Wednesday, 12 May 2010
In The End...
• Technology has lead every economic and social advance for the last 10,000 years
• It can create and clear up problems (e.g Ozone layer depletion)
63
63Wednesday, 12 May 2010
In The End...
• Technology has lead every economic and social advance for the last 10,000 years
• It can create and clear up problems (e.g Ozone layer depletion)
• It is human nature to innovate
63
63Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Conclusions
64
64Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Conclusions
Nanotechnologies and biosciences will be as important to the 21st Century as oil, polymers and semiconductors were to the 20th Century
64
64Wednesday, 12 May 2010
Conclusions
Nanotechnologies and biosciences will be as important to the 21st Century as oil, polymers and semiconductors were to the 20th Century
We have the tools, lets use them wisely
64
64Wednesday, 12 May 2010
[email protected]@tim_harper
65Wednesday, 12 May 2010