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ST5218: Advanced Statistical Methods in Finance
Spring, 2015
Instructor: Dr. Fang Xiao
Email: [email protected]: 65168949Office: Room S16 06-115
Lecture Hours: Friday 19:0022:00. Lecture Venue: LT20Office Hour: Friday, 13:00-14:00.
Prerequisite: Basic knowledge in Probability and Statistics: Random variables; distri-bution function; expectation and variance; conditional distribution/expectation; centrallimit theorem; stochastic processes; estimation; confidence intervals; hypothesis testing;etc. No previous knowledge in Finance is required.
Aims and objectives: The objectives are three: (1) to introduce students to the basicconcepts and models in Finance; (2) to equip students with various statistical tools tosolve problems in Finance; and (3) use of statistical software R.
Text:Statistics and Data Analysis for Financial Engineering David Ruppert (Springer).
References:Analysis of Financial Time Series 3rd Edition, Ruey S. Tsay (Wiley).Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives 8th Edition, John C. Hull (Pearson).
Tentative syllabus:
Topics in Finance: returns; portfolio theory; cointegration; capital asset pricingmodel.
Topics in Statistics: exploratory data analysis; modeling univariate and multivariatedistributions; copulas; resampling; time series.
The following topics may also be discussed: principal component analysis; Markovchain Monte Carlo simulation; risk management; nonparametric regression; Black-Scholes formula.
Things I will NOT cover: regression; Bayesian statistics.
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Assessment:
Project: 50%34 students form a discussion group working on the same project.Group members fixed in Week 3.One-page project plan submitted the week after the mid-term reading week.Each student writes a report (less than 5 pages) separately. The report is due in last
class.One representative of each group present their result in last class for 15 minutes.Final test: 50%. Time: 6 May 2015 (Wednesday), 5 pm Venue: TBAClosed-book, two A4 sized help sheets (both sides) are allowed, only non-programmable
calculators are allowed.
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