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Synchronizing Market Optimization with Network Optimization An Offensive War Strategy Mobile Network Optimization Asia Pacific 2011 Bangkok 22 nd -23 rd March 2011 9/8/2012 1 confidential - Mothilal Mothilal De Silva www.telcovisionnlife.net

Synchronizing Market Optimization with Network ... Market... · Synchronizing Market Optimization with Network Optimization ... Put the Telco on war footing ... ROIC < WACC –low

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Synchronizing Market Optimization with Network Optimization – An

Offensive War Strategy

Mobile Network Optimization Asia Pacific 2011

Bangkok

22nd-23rd March 2011

9/8/2012 1 confidential - Mothilal

Mothilal De Silva www.telcovisionnlife.net

Key Issues

• Low utilization of existing capacity

• Lack of effective ROI focus for market and networking planning

• Lack of focus in regional campaigns to increase revenue in underutilized sites

• Synchronization issues between commercial and technical functions

9/8/2012 2 confidential - Mothilal

Synchronizing – Network/Market Planning/Optimization

9/8/2012 confidential - Mothilal 3

9/8/2012 confidential - Mothilal 4

Market Planning and Network Planning Synchronization

Key :

• ROI and Pay Back Period Calculation for each Base Station – For decision making in the BP cycle and budgetary planning -

prioritizing Base station investments

– Planning • Procurement Planning

• Site Acquisition Planning

• Facilities Planning – Power, Access Roads

• Network Planning – Transport, Backhaul, Core and Access

• HR Planning

• Marketing Planning – Subscriber Acquisition , Promotions, Advertising

9/8/2012 5 confidential - Mothilal

ROI Calculation • Study the adjacent sites to find number of potential

subscribers, mErl/sub in BH, Revenue/Erlang and other multiplication factors

• Add a weightage to the potential of the area

• Estimate the monthly traffic in Erlangs and total estimated Revenue of the targeted site

• Estimate CAPEX and annual OPEX

• ROI =(Annual Rev- Annual OPEX)*100/ Investment

• Prioritized the sites depending on the availability of funds

9/8/2012 6 confidential - Mothilal

9/8/2012 confidential - Mothilal 7

WAR – an Offensive , not Defensive

Put the Telco on war footing

There is no chance of survival

( except through fighting )

9/8/2012 confidential - Mothilal 8

How the presentation is organized ?

• Part 1 – Selecting the battleground and targeting the enemy . (

presenting two Action Models ) • GSM Voice – Developing an Action Model based on BTS wise

Utilization Vs Chargeable MoU or ARPU to enhance revenue / optimize resources

• Positioning data technologies to suit different user requirements and geography to optimize resources – Quad play Co using multiple wireless Broadband Technologies

• PART 2 – Restructuring the organization to facilitate WAR effort

Part 1

9/8/2012 confidential - Mothilal 9

9/8/2012 confidential - Mothilal 10

Targeting the Enemy

No Carpet Bombing

• No “Bloodbaths” Out come of an open fight are

– Revenue loss

– low RPM , ARPU

– Prolong ROI , ROIC < WACC

– low yield

– No value addition for Shareholders

9/8/2012 confidential - Mothilal 11

Instead Fight discretely by Choosing the

Battleground

9/8/2012 confidential - Mothilal 12

Graph for randomly selected sites

-

50

100

150

200

250

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

Uti

lizati

on

%

AR

PU

(R

s.)

Site Name

ARPU Vs. Utilization (Randomly Selected Sites)

ARPU (Rs.)

Identify battlegrounds – Analyze using BI tools UAVs of Telecom

9/8/2012 confidential - Mothilal 13

Introduce data packages –HSPA

VAS Promotion

Half Rate Calls / add more sub

Entrapped Ground – Can

not exit but

Upgrade capacity , QoS , Coverage

Introduce Data / HSPA & VAS

Loyalty Campaigns / Advertising

Acquisition - target high end

Key Ground - defend at all

cost .

Acquisition campaigns – Groupon

type of campaigns

Switch off or adjust power and TRXs

during off peak

Relocation of TRXs

Site Sharing

Indifferent Ground –

Profitable retreat . Strike back when

the situation is good

Conduct site wise aggressive

campaigns for acquisition

Dynamic Discounting

Improve QoS

Well coordinated program

Frontier Ground -

probably a shallow penetration into

enemy territory . Equally

advantageous to enemy . A high

prospect enemy target

High

Low

Utilization

Low

High Total Site Revenue / Number of users in BTS area (Chargeable MoU per user)

- 50 100 150 200 250

- 200 400 600 800

1,000 1,200 1,400

Uti

lizati

on

%

AR

PU

(R

s.)

Site Name

ARPU Vs. Utilization (Randomly Selected Sites)

ARPU (Rs.)

Model for Site Wise Targeted Strategies

9/8/2012 confidential - Mothilal 14

Targeting the Enemy

• Areas that have distinct advantage

• Area ignored by enemy

15

4 Quadrant Model – layering on a Google Map

High

Low

UTILIZATION

Low

High

REVENUE

Introduce new packages

VAS Promotion

Half Rate Calls / add more sub

Entrapped Ground

Can not exit but

Upgrade capacity , QoS , Coverage

Introduce Data / HSPA & VAS

Loyalty Campaigns / Advertising

Retention

Key Ground

Defend at all cost

Conduct site wise aggressive campaigns

for acquisition

Improve Capacity , Coverage , QoS

Well coordinated program

Frontier Ground

Probably a shallow penetration into

enemy territory . Equally

advantageous to enemy . A high prospect enemy target

Acquisition campaigns

Switch off during off peak

Relocation of TRXs

Site Sharing

Indifferent Ground

Profitable retreat . Strike back when

the situation is good

9/8/2012 confidential - Mothilal

Market and Network Optimization

9/8/2012 confidential - Mothilal 16

High

Low

UTILIZATION

Low

High

REVENUE

Introduce new packages

VAS PromotionHalf Rate Calls / add more sub

Entrapped Ground

Can not exit but

Upgrade capacity , QoS , Coverage

Introduce Data / HSPA & VAS Loyalty Campaigns / Advertising

Retention

Key Ground

Defend at all cost

Conduct site wise aggressive campaigns

for acquisition Improve Capacity , Coverage , QoS

Well coordinated program

Frontier Ground

Probably a shallow penetration into

enemy territory . Equally

advantageous to enemy . A high

prospect enemy target

Acquisition campaigns

Switch off during off peakRelocation of TRXs

Site Sharing

Indifferent Ground

Profitable retreat . Strike back when

the situation is good

4Quadrant Model for Optimization Layering of Information

17

Quadrant Model Outcome Real Example

Overall view of areas of 4-Quadrants

9/8/2012 confidential - Mothilal

18

Quadrant Model Outcome Comparison between Two Regions

9/8/2012 confidential - Mothilal

19

Quadrant Model Outcome Comparison between Two Regions

9/8/2012 confidential - Mothilal

9/8/2012 confidential - Mothilal 20

Logistics for Deep Penetration Unit

• Design 4 types of campaigns for Entrapped , Key , Frontier and Indifferent grounds .

• Change and adjust the campaigns /offers dynamically , quickly , moving from impact calculations to system readiness and media communication from 3-10 days . Use BI ( UAV ) heavily to stimulate impact and supported by a lean decision making process regarding offers , sales commission , channels to be used and type of communication .

• Varied and segmented channel offers ( lower price – direct to the retailer / lower commission by passing the main Ds )

• Use regional , grass root level communication channels.

Dynamic , Distributed , Deceptive .

Catch the enemy off guard . Subdue the enemy without a direct battle .

Campaigns for different grounds

• Campaigns for underutilized areas - YM

• Dynamic Discounting to increase usage

9/8/2012 21 confidential - Mothilal

Yield management

A concept of utilizing under-utilized network resources

Can be used as a revenue increasing method as well as a loyalty building tool

Discount offers based on cell utilization and under-utilized time bands

9/8/2012 22 confidential - Mothilal

CYM - Architecture

9/8/2012 23 confidential - Mothilal

Operational Flow Identify the possible list of cells and time band

Select a group of cells representing a geographical area

Select an offer from a set of developed offers and configure the offer, time band and cells in application

Cell broadcast accordingly using CB Home Zone channel . Ex: “ out going 60% discount in Zone A from 9AM to 11AM – Dial #677#”

Customers can request the offer and end eligible customers are registered for a defined time period and notified via SMS

The offer is removed after the defined time period

9/8/2012 24 confidential - Mothilal

Some Points To Note

• Initially this can be offered to prepaid and later extend to postpaid

• Need to educate the customers on the offer at regional level

• Language barriers

• CB display, some phones it is not prominent.

9/8/2012 25 confidential - Mothilal

Case Study 2

• An Quadruple Play operator in Asia • Offering multiple Broadband solutions on

WiMax, HSPA, 3G , CDMA 450 . • Compete with xDSL broadband solution offered

by another Quadruple play Tier 1 operator

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9/8/2012 confidential - Mothilal 27

Single Broadband Strategy for a convergent operator

Invade DSL profitably

Make HSPA , WiMax ( and EDGE , CDMA ) an alternative . Avoid product Conflict and Confusion .

• Analogy - STF for the East and Commandos for the North

• WiMAX is positioned as a “ Fixed , SME / SOHO with strict SLAs , robust product “ , HSPA as a “ retail , individual , household , mobility , Best Effort , youth “ product .

• WiMax is put up in business areas such as major cities , EPZs , Industrial Parks , Export Processing Parks where data usage and user density is high .

• Bundle WiMax with solutions and VoIP .

• Restructure and establish one command structure for WiMax and HSPA ( and EDGE and CDMA )

9/8/2012 confidential - Mothilal 28

Selecting the Battleground and the Platoon

• Avoid Bloodbath

• For existing investments - Do a combine BTS wise data usage , revenue study for WiMax , HSPA , EDGE , CDMA 450 based on current usage figures .

• For planned and existing investments – use a positioning model to position different data technologies

• Relocate HSPA , WiMax and other base stations profitably and change the “ machine gun “ approach .

• Target the enemy . Do the maximum damage .

9/8/2012 confidential - Mothilal 29

Different platoons to different geographies to suit different purpose .

• In Planning , use the Technology Positioning model , illustrated in slide 30 . This is based on the variation of user density and data requirements . This model will help to position the technology in order to find the optimum solution .

• Different access technologies can be positioned in a multi dimensional grid to suit different users ( on capacity , fixed , mobility ) and different geographies .

• There is no “ one fits all “ . As shown in the grids , different data Packages can be introduced for different segments and geographies .

9/8/2012 confidential - Mothilal 30

Different platoons for different terrains Positioning the Technology

9/8/2012 confidential - Mothilal 31

Part 2 Organize the battalions

•Create a lean organization to target the enemy

• Need a lean organization structure to make war decisions fast , arrange logistics and implement programs swiftly

9/8/2012 confidential - Mothilal 32

Existing Mechanism Mobile SBU DBN

Technical Finance

Sales

Marketing

Cx Service

Finance & CP

Marketing & Sales

CS

SBU CEO

Strategy

Product Management

GRP Mktg GRP Tech GRP SD Finance

MarCom Media

Promos &

Publications

Group Loyalty

Access NW

Core NW

IT

SSU Tech SSU Mktng SSU SD SSU Finance

Strategy

SSU HR

Strategy

TRP

Access NW Channels FLCS

Billing & Rev svs

Knowledge & PM

Product Mgt

Access CS

IN PS

VAS

DTI SBU

Technical

Finance Accnt Mgt

Corp Planning

SBU CEO

Infra

Tx Power

S A

Global

Technical

Commercial Finance

Roaming

SBU CEO

Int NW Plng

In NW ops

SBU CEO

Technical NW ops & NOC

CPS ISP

Access

Core NW

GFSS

IP Core

National ops & maintain

Distributions Franchise mgt ECM

Recruitments

Learning & Dev

Emp relations Operations

GCTO GCMO

SSU Legal

Legal Services

GRP Legal

Corp Services

Enforcement & Litigation

Regulatory & Compliance

CFO

Operations Strategy

IS & BI

QS

CP & PM

Chief Strategy Officer

GRP HR & Facilities

Strategy & Dev

OPS

Facilities Mgt Chief Corp

Officer GSVP HR &

Facilities

Advisory & Policy

Chief Cx

Officer

CRM

Integration & Compliance

Resource Mgt New

Tech

R&D

9/8/2012 confidential - Mothilal 33

Key Problems in silo organization

• SBUs with large/ many divisions with narrow scope

• Functional overlaps

• Difficult to establish accountability for certain end-to-end processes

• Complicated process landscape

9/8/2012 confidential - Mothilal 34

Customer

Products

Group Technology Mgt Team

Group Customer

Operations Mgt Team

SBU Product Development & Mgt Team

Customer Operations

Network

Group Corporate Strategy Team

Group Support

Functions

HR & Facilities

Legal

SCM

Finance

EPMO

Customer Driven Model & Synchronized Mechanism Revenue

NW & Business Intelligence System

SBU - Customer

Operations Mgt Team

9/8/2012 confidential - Mothilal 35

Enhancement of Business Intelligence Role

Present Business Intelligence role played by Group Corporate Strategy Team to be extended

towards Network & Business Intelligence.

Geo- Mapped View of Network & Business Intelligence System

9/8/2012 confidential - Mothilal 36

Mothilal De Silva [email protected] Mobile: +94777331122 www.telcovisionnlife.net

Thank You !