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Table 1 Student Enrollment Data: Historical, Current, and Projected Enrollment 1990 - 2027 12/27/2017 C:\Users\halseysm\Documents\CIP\Current and Projected Enrollment Special KG 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th Total % Chg 6th 7th 8th Total % Chg 9th 10th 11th 12th Total % Chg # # # Chg % Chg 1990 3,294 3,517 3,422 3,482 3,397 3,443 20,702 3,096 3,145 3,079 9,320 3,226 3,016 2,654 2,742 11,638 686 42,346 1991 3,345 3,595 3,526 3,508 3,506 3,396 20,984 1.4% 3,491 3,199 3,171 9,861 5.8% 3,565 2,902 2,772 2,607 11,846 1.8% 709 43,400 1,054 2.5% 1992 3,483 3,794 3,666 3,623 3,580 3,607 21,768 3.7% 3,443 3,523 3,246 10,212 3.6% 3,746 3,047 2,619 2,766 12,178 2.8% 712 44,870 1,470 3.4% 1993 3,240 3,704 3,707 3,664 3,678 3,595 21,605 -0.7% 3,618 3,530 3,506 10,654 4.3% 3,866 3,149 2,753 2,733 12,501 2.7% 779 45,539 669 1.5% 1994 3,447 3,551 3,715 3,665 3,684 3,764 21,826 1.0% 3,625 3,624 3,484 10,733 0.7% 3,996 3,135 2,821 2,870 12,822 2.6% 900 46,281 742 1.6% 1995 3,677 3,818 3,682 3,737 3,752 3,807 22,473 3.0% 3,782 3,666 3,637 11,085 3.3% 4,281 3,304 2,867 2,877 13,329 4.0% 825 47,712 1,431 3.1% 1996 3,611 4,051 3,884 3,781 3,775 3,784 22,886 1.8% 3,790 3,857 3,680 11,327 2.2% 4,328 3,511 2,980 3,009 13,828 3.7% 760 48,801 1,089 2.3% 1997 3,634 4,103 4,046 3,983 3,909 3,854 23,529 2.8% 3,892 3,830 3,914 11,636 2.7% 4,453 3,574 3,187 3,152 14,366 3.9% 751 50,282 1,481 3.0% 1998 3,531 4,119 4,189 4,118 4,105 3,982 24,044 2.2% 3,888 3,957 3,899 11,744 0.9% 4,286 3,893 3,401 3,259 14,839 3.3% 994 51,621 1,339 2.7% 1999 3,545 4,188 4,244 4,280 4,254 4,179 24,690 2.7% 4,066 4,024 4,122 12,212 4.0% 4,367 4,022 3,506 3,397 15,292 3.1% 868 53,062 1,441 2.8% 2000 3,615 4,303 4,347 4,456 4,461 4,471 25,653 3.9% 4,348 4,184 4,242 12,774 4.6% 4,926 3,995 3,696 3,462 16,079 5.1% 633 55,139 2,077 3.9% 2001 3,966 4,494 4,416 4,596 4,640 4,702 26,814 4.5% 4,581 4,525 4,339 13,445 5.3% 5,482 4,082 3,702 3,615 16,881 5.0% 683 57,823 2,684 4.9% 2002 4,072 4,772 4,597 4,625 4,815 4,836 27,717 3.4% 4,912 4,705 4,639 14,256 6.0% 5,471 4,503 3,841 3,743 17,558 4.0% 698 60,229 2,406 4.2% 2003 4,431 4,901 4,885 4,806 4,845 4,952 28,820 4.0% 5,074 5,063 4,898 15,035 5.5% 5,979 4,546 4,074 3,926 18,525 5.5% 719 63,099 2,870 4.8% 2004 4,607 5,315 5,066 5,042 5,034 5,037 30,101 4.4% 5,119 5,197 5,262 15,580 3.6% 6,143 4,975 4,300 4,227 19,652 6.1% 760 66,093 2,994 4.7% 2005 5,058 5,507 5,270 5,133 5,161 5,157 31,286 3.9% 5,091 5,236 5,296 15,623 0.3% 6,477 5,084 4,574 4,306 20,448 4.1% 877 68,234 2,141 3.2% 2006 5,298 5,844 5,564 5,345 5,333 5,320 32,704 4.5% 5,262 5,155 5,331 15,748 0.8% 6,433 5,498 4,751 4,546 21,228 3.8% 1,003 70,683 2,449 3.6% 2007 5,711 5,824 5,833 5,576 5,492 5,422 33,858 3.5% 5,406 5,367 5,267 16,040 1.9% 6,450 5,498 5,051 4,793 21,792 2.7% 964 72,654 1,971 2.8% 2008 5,641 6,001 5,857 5,756 5,652 5,521 34,428 1.7% 5,428 5,509 5,336 16,273 1.5% 6,276 5,509 5,091 5,054 21,930 0.6% 1,027 73,657 1,003 1.4% 2009 5,925 6,065 6,181 6,003 6,008 5,873 36,055 4.7% 5,697 5,663 5,674 17,034 4.7% 6,428 5,514 5,189 5,197 22,328 1.8% 1,239 76,656 2,999 4.1% 2010 5,986 6,377 6,198 6,326 6,192 6,182 37,261 3.3% 6,027 5,877 5,796 17,700 3.9% 6,453 5,752 5,323 5,329 22,857 2.4% 1,298 79,115 2,459 3.2% 2011 6,439 6,405 6,482 6,300 6,467 6,343 38,436 3.2% 6,254 6,125 5,972 18,351 3.7% 6,675 5,989 5,485 5,351 23,500 2.8% 1,348 81,635 2,520 3.2% 2012 6,459 6,829 6,472 6,552 6,375 6,582 39,269 2.2% 6,417 6,268 6,217 18,902 3.0% 6,734 6,104 5,666 5,511 24,015 2.2% 1,365 83,551 1,916 2.3% 2013 6,250 6,806 6,888 6,524 6,619 6,451 39,538 0.7% 6,621 6,444 6,408 19,473 3.0% 6,884 6,227 5,827 5,727 24,665 2.7% 1,379 85,055 1,504 1.8% 2014 6,365 6,529 6,888 6,913 6,545 6,680 39,920 1.0% 6,441 6,705 6,557 19,703 1.2% 7,240 6,420 5,706 5,883 25,249 2.4% 1,337 86,209 1,154 1.4% 2015 6,271 6,675 6,630 6,899 6,953 6,642 40,070 0.4% 6,724 6,483 6,797 20,004 1.5% 7,162 6,840 6,016 5,843 25,861 2.4% 1,319 87,253 1,045 1.2% 2016 6,256 6,611 6,778 6,783 7,071 7,070 40,569 1.2% 6,692 6,839 6,564 20,095 0.5% 7,514 6,957 6,350 6,103 26,923 4.1% 1,333 88,920 1,667 1.9% 2017 6,435 6,548 6,675 6,860 6,862 7,102 40,482 -0.2% 7,086 6,748 6,879 20,713 3.1% 7,192 7,291 6,470 6,308 27,261 1.3% 1,405 89,861 941 1.1% 2018 6,504 6,773 6,648 6,794 6,985 6,942 40,646 0.4% 7,156 7,186 6,827 21,169 2.2% 7,580 6,998 6,807 6,493 27,879 2.3% 1,360 91,054 1,193 1.3% 2019 6,547 6,818 6,848 6,738 6,889 7,037 40,878 0.6% 6,966 7,227 7,240 21,434 1.2% 7,492 7,345 6,507 6,803 28,147 1.0% 1,376 91,834 780 0.9% 2020 6,623 6,896 6,927 6,975 6,866 6,975 41,261 0.9% 7,096 7,070 7,317 21,483 0.2% 7,984 7,295 6,863 6,535 28,677 1.9% 1,392 92,813 979 1.1% 2021 6,734 7,012 7,043 7,092 7,144 6,987 42,012 1.8% 7,070 7,239 7,195 21,504 0.1% 8,111 7,815 6,851 6,928 29,706 3.6% 1,408 94,630 1,816 2.0% 2022 6,841 7,124 7,155 7,205 7,259 7,265 42,849 2.0% 7,077 7,207 7,362 21,645 0.7% 7,969 7,933 7,334 6,911 30,148 1.5% 1,423 96,066 1,436 1.5% 2023 6,958 7,246 7,278 7,329 7,383 7,389 43,584 1.7% 7,366 7,222 7,337 21,926 1.3% 8,163 7,803 7,453 7,407 30,827 2.3% 1,440 97,777 1,711 1.8% 2024 7,070 7,362 7,395 7,447 7,501 7,508 44,283 1.6% 7,485 7,510 7,345 22,339 1.9% 8,127 7,985 7,324 7,519 30,955 0.4% 1,456 99,034 1,257 1.3% 2025 7,212 7,510 7,543 7,596 7,651 7,658 45,169 2.0% 7,634 7,660 7,667 22,961 2.8% 8,168 7,980 7,523 7,417 31,088 0.4% 1,478 100,695 1,661 1.7% 2026 7,334 7,637 7,671 7,725 7,781 7,788 45,936 1.7% 7,764 7,790 7,797 23,351 1.7% 8,501 7,996 7,497 7,596 31,590 1.6% 1,496 102,373 1,678 1.7% 2027 7,451 7,759 7,793 7,848 7,906 7,912 46,669 1.6% 7,888 7,914 7,922 23,724 1.6% 8,636 8,314 7,504 7,562 32,016 1.3% 1,512 103,921 1,547 1.5% Year PWCS Enrollment Elementary Middle High Total Enrollment

Table 1 Student Enrollment Data: Historical, Current, and … · Table 1 Student Enrollment Data: Historical, Current, and Projected Enrollment 1990 - 2027 12/27/2017 C:\Users\halseysm\Documents\CIP\Current

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  • Table 1

    Student Enrollment Data: Historical, Current, and Projected Enrollment 1990 - 2027

    12/27/2017C:\Users\halseysm\Documents\CIP\Current and Projected Enrollment

    SpecialKG 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th Total % Chg 6th 7th 8th Total % Chg 9th 10th 11th 12th Total % Chg # # # Chg % Chg

    1990 3,294 3,517 3,422 3,482 3,397 3,443 20,702 3,096 3,145 3,079 9,320 3,226 3,016 2,654 2,742 11,638 686 42,3461991 3,345 3,595 3,526 3,508 3,506 3,396 20,984 1.4% 3,491 3,199 3,171 9,861 5.8% 3,565 2,902 2,772 2,607 11,846 1.8% 709 43,400 1,054 2.5%1992 3,483 3,794 3,666 3,623 3,580 3,607 21,768 3.7% 3,443 3,523 3,246 10,212 3.6% 3,746 3,047 2,619 2,766 12,178 2.8% 712 44,870 1,470 3.4%1993 3,240 3,704 3,707 3,664 3,678 3,595 21,605 -0.7% 3,618 3,530 3,506 10,654 4.3% 3,866 3,149 2,753 2,733 12,501 2.7% 779 45,539 669 1.5%1994 3,447 3,551 3,715 3,665 3,684 3,764 21,826 1.0% 3,625 3,624 3,484 10,733 0.7% 3,996 3,135 2,821 2,870 12,822 2.6% 900 46,281 742 1.6%1995 3,677 3,818 3,682 3,737 3,752 3,807 22,473 3.0% 3,782 3,666 3,637 11,085 3.3% 4,281 3,304 2,867 2,877 13,329 4.0% 825 47,712 1,431 3.1%1996 3,611 4,051 3,884 3,781 3,775 3,784 22,886 1.8% 3,790 3,857 3,680 11,327 2.2% 4,328 3,511 2,980 3,009 13,828 3.7% 760 48,801 1,089 2.3%1997 3,634 4,103 4,046 3,983 3,909 3,854 23,529 2.8% 3,892 3,830 3,914 11,636 2.7% 4,453 3,574 3,187 3,152 14,366 3.9% 751 50,282 1,481 3.0%1998 3,531 4,119 4,189 4,118 4,105 3,982 24,044 2.2% 3,888 3,957 3,899 11,744 0.9% 4,286 3,893 3,401 3,259 14,839 3.3% 994 51,621 1,339 2.7%1999 3,545 4,188 4,244 4,280 4,254 4,179 24,690 2.7% 4,066 4,024 4,122 12,212 4.0% 4,367 4,022 3,506 3,397 15,292 3.1% 868 53,062 1,441 2.8%2000 3,615 4,303 4,347 4,456 4,461 4,471 25,653 3.9% 4,348 4,184 4,242 12,774 4.6% 4,926 3,995 3,696 3,462 16,079 5.1% 633 55,139 2,077 3.9%2001 3,966 4,494 4,416 4,596 4,640 4,702 26,814 4.5% 4,581 4,525 4,339 13,445 5.3% 5,482 4,082 3,702 3,615 16,881 5.0% 683 57,823 2,684 4.9%2002 4,072 4,772 4,597 4,625 4,815 4,836 27,717 3.4% 4,912 4,705 4,639 14,256 6.0% 5,471 4,503 3,841 3,743 17,558 4.0% 698 60,229 2,406 4.2%2003 4,431 4,901 4,885 4,806 4,845 4,952 28,820 4.0% 5,074 5,063 4,898 15,035 5.5% 5,979 4,546 4,074 3,926 18,525 5.5% 719 63,099 2,870 4.8%2004 4,607 5,315 5,066 5,042 5,034 5,037 30,101 4.4% 5,119 5,197 5,262 15,580 3.6% 6,143 4,975 4,300 4,227 19,652 6.1% 760 66,093 2,994 4.7%2005 5,058 5,507 5,270 5,133 5,161 5,157 31,286 3.9% 5,091 5,236 5,296 15,623 0.3% 6,477 5,084 4,574 4,306 20,448 4.1% 877 68,234 2,141 3.2%2006 5,298 5,844 5,564 5,345 5,333 5,320 32,704 4.5% 5,262 5,155 5,331 15,748 0.8% 6,433 5,498 4,751 4,546 21,228 3.8% 1,003 70,683 2,449 3.6%2007 5,711 5,824 5,833 5,576 5,492 5,422 33,858 3.5% 5,406 5,367 5,267 16,040 1.9% 6,450 5,498 5,051 4,793 21,792 2.7% 964 72,654 1,971 2.8%2008 5,641 6,001 5,857 5,756 5,652 5,521 34,428 1.7% 5,428 5,509 5,336 16,273 1.5% 6,276 5,509 5,091 5,054 21,930 0.6% 1,027 73,657 1,003 1.4%2009 5,925 6,065 6,181 6,003 6,008 5,873 36,055 4.7% 5,697 5,663 5,674 17,034 4.7% 6,428 5,514 5,189 5,197 22,328 1.8% 1,239 76,656 2,999 4.1%2010 5,986 6,377 6,198 6,326 6,192 6,182 37,261 3.3% 6,027 5,877 5,796 17,700 3.9% 6,453 5,752 5,323 5,329 22,857 2.4% 1,298 79,115 2,459 3.2%2011 6,439 6,405 6,482 6,300 6,467 6,343 38,436 3.2% 6,254 6,125 5,972 18,351 3.7% 6,675 5,989 5,485 5,351 23,500 2.8% 1,348 81,635 2,520 3.2%2012 6,459 6,829 6,472 6,552 6,375 6,582 39,269 2.2% 6,417 6,268 6,217 18,902 3.0% 6,734 6,104 5,666 5,511 24,015 2.2% 1,365 83,551 1,916 2.3%2013 6,250 6,806 6,888 6,524 6,619 6,451 39,538 0.7% 6,621 6,444 6,408 19,473 3.0% 6,884 6,227 5,827 5,727 24,665 2.7% 1,379 85,055 1,504 1.8%2014 6,365 6,529 6,888 6,913 6,545 6,680 39,920 1.0% 6,441 6,705 6,557 19,703 1.2% 7,240 6,420 5,706 5,883 25,249 2.4% 1,337 86,209 1,154 1.4%2015 6,271 6,675 6,630 6,899 6,953 6,642 40,070 0.4% 6,724 6,483 6,797 20,004 1.5% 7,162 6,840 6,016 5,843 25,861 2.4% 1,319 87,253 1,045 1.2%2016 6,256 6,611 6,778 6,783 7,071 7,070 40,569 1.2% 6,692 6,839 6,564 20,095 0.5% 7,514 6,957 6,350 6,103 26,923 4.1% 1,333 88,920 1,667 1.9%2017 6,435 6,548 6,675 6,860 6,862 7,102 40,482 -0.2% 7,086 6,748 6,879 20,713 3.1% 7,192 7,291 6,470 6,308 27,261 1.3% 1,405 89,861 941 1.1%2018 6,504 6,773 6,648 6,794 6,985 6,942 40,646 0.4% 7,156 7,186 6,827 21,169 2.2% 7,580 6,998 6,807 6,493 27,879 2.3% 1,360 91,054 1,193 1.3%2019 6,547 6,818 6,848 6,738 6,889 7,037 40,878 0.6% 6,966 7,227 7,240 21,434 1.2% 7,492 7,345 6,507 6,803 28,147 1.0% 1,376 91,834 780 0.9%2020 6,623 6,896 6,927 6,975 6,866 6,975 41,261 0.9% 7,096 7,070 7,317 21,483 0.2% 7,984 7,295 6,863 6,535 28,677 1.9% 1,392 92,813 979 1.1%2021 6,734 7,012 7,043 7,092 7,144 6,987 42,012 1.8% 7,070 7,239 7,195 21,504 0.1% 8,111 7,815 6,851 6,928 29,706 3.6% 1,408 94,630 1,816 2.0%2022 6,841 7,124 7,155 7,205 7,259 7,265 42,849 2.0% 7,077 7,207 7,362 21,645 0.7% 7,969 7,933 7,334 6,911 30,148 1.5% 1,423 96,066 1,436 1.5%2023 6,958 7,246 7,278 7,329 7,383 7,389 43,584 1.7% 7,366 7,222 7,337 21,926 1.3% 8,163 7,803 7,453 7,407 30,827 2.3% 1,440 97,777 1,711 1.8%2024 7,070 7,362 7,395 7,447 7,501 7,508 44,283 1.6% 7,485 7,510 7,345 22,339 1.9% 8,127 7,985 7,324 7,519 30,955 0.4% 1,456 99,034 1,257 1.3%2025 7,212 7,510 7,543 7,596 7,651 7,658 45,169 2.0% 7,634 7,660 7,667 22,961 2.8% 8,168 7,980 7,523 7,417 31,088 0.4% 1,478 100,695 1,661 1.7%2026 7,334 7,637 7,671 7,725 7,781 7,788 45,936 1.7% 7,764 7,790 7,797 23,351 1.7% 8,501 7,996 7,497 7,596 31,590 1.6% 1,496 102,373 1,678 1.7%2027 7,451 7,759 7,793 7,848 7,906 7,912 46,669 1.6% 7,888 7,914 7,922 23,724 1.6% 8,636 8,314 7,504 7,562 32,016 1.3% 1,512 103,921 1,547 1.5%

    YearPWCS Enrollment

    Elementary Middle High Total Enrollment

  • Table 2

    Student Enrollment Data: Current and Projected EnrollmentElementary School, 2017-2027

    1/2/2018C:\Users\halseysm\Documents\CIP\Current and Projected Enrollment

    Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization

    Alvey 857 688 169 80.3% 653 204 76.2% 658 199 76.8% 665 192 77.7% 702 155 81.9% 730 127 85.2%Antietam 569 1 660 -91 116.0% 660 -91 116.0% 656 -87 115.4% 657 -88 115.4% 669 -100 117.6% 694 -125 122.0%Ashland 979 780 199 79.7% 779 200 79.6% 763 216 77.9% 770 209 78.7% 798 181 81.5% 828 151 84.6%Bel Air 449 1 400 49 89.1% 391 58 87.0% 403 46 89.6% 403 46 89.7% 408 41 90.8% 423 26 94.2%Belmont 540 1 447 93 82.8% 457 83 84.6% 460 80 85.1% 475 65 88.0% 518 22 95.9% 619 -79 114.6%Bennett 847 668 179 78.9% 666 181 78.6% 664 183 78.4% 678 169 80.0% 726 121 85.7% 780 67 92.1%Bristow Run 795 663 132 83.4% 636 159 80.0% 665 130 83.6% 664 131 83.6% 681 114 85.6% 714 81 89.7%Buckland Mills 938 651 287 69.4% 659 279 70.3% 660 278 70.3% 664 274 70.8% 706 232 75.3% 843 95 89.9%Cedar Point 874 569 305 65.1% 532 342 60.9% 529 345 60.5% 529 345 60.5% 539 335 61.6% 559 315 63.9%Coles 469 3 419 50 89.3% 401 68 85.5% 390 79 83.1% 392 77 83.6% 406 63 86.5% 423 46 90.3%Covington-Harper 750 543 207 72.4% 626 124 83.5% 686 64 91.5% 810 -60 108.0% 1,137 -387 151.6% 1,524 -774 203.2%Dale City 347 4 446 -99 128.5% 446 -99 128.6% 424 -77 122.1% 423 -76 122.0% 434 -87 125.0% 451 -104 130.0%Dumfries 419 4 439 -20 104.8% 438 -19 104.6% 435 -16 103.8% 436 -17 104.0% 450 -31 107.4% 472 -53 112.5%Ellis 481 3 565 -84 117.5% 571 -90 118.7% 562 -81 116.8% 562 -81 116.8% 576 -95 119.7% 835 -354 173.5%Enterprise 444 1 422 22 95.0% 425 19 95.7% 423 21 95.3% 423 21 95.2% 430 14 96.9% 446 -2 100.5%Featherstone 425 3 505 -80 118.8% 538 -113 126.5% 534 -109 125.7% 536 -111 126.0% 550 -125 129.3% 570 -145 134.2%Fitzgerald 776 2 810 -34 104.4% 828 -52 106.7% 859 -83 110.7% 881 -105 113.5% 939 -163 121.1% 999 -223 128.7%Glenkirk 839 760 79 90.6% 757 82 90.3% 760 79 90.6% 759 80 90.5% 777 62 92.6% 806 33 96.1%Gravely 955 779 176 81.6% 771 184 80.8% 796 159 83.3% 811 144 84.9% 854 101 89.4% 895 60 93.7%Haymarket 946 825 121 87.2% 818 128 86.5% 855 91 90.4% 867 79 91.6% 904 42 95.6% 1,005 -59 106.2%Henderson 808 813 -5 100.6% 831 -23 102.8% 829 -21 102.6% 840 -32 103.9% 874 -66 108.2% 907 -99 112.3%Kerrydale 345 6 469 -124 135.9% 447 -102 129.7% 461 -116 133.7% 461 -116 133.7% 467 -122 135.4% 484 -139 140.4%Kilby 646 709 -63 109.8% 727 -81 112.5% 707 -61 109.5% 713 -67 110.3% 738 -92 114.3% 865 -219 134.0%King 431 400 31 92.8% 389 42 90.3% 399 32 92.7% 403 28 93.5% 419 12 97.1% 442 -11 102.6%Lake Ridge 535 7 588 -53 109.9% 589 -54 110.1% 587 -52 109.7% 586 -51 109.6% 600 -65 112.2% 623 -88 116.4%Leesylvania 631 2 779 -148 123.5% 776 -145 123.1% 794 -163 125.9% 803 -172 127.3% 839 -208 132.9% 905 -274 143.4%Loch Lomond 433 6 544 -111 125.6% 545 -112 126.0% 551 -118 127.3% 551 -118 127.2% 562 -129 129.7% 583 -150 134.6%Marshall 770 648 122 84.2% 655 115 85.1% 653 117 84.8% 654 116 84.9% 667 103 86.6% 696 74 90.4%Marumsco Hills 589 5 636 -47 108.0% 637 -48 108.1% 650 -61 110.3% 652 -63 110.7% 664 -75 112.7% 693 -104 117.6%McAuliffe 436 443 -7 101.6% 428 8 98.3% 427 9 97.9% 427 9 98.0% 435 1 99.8% 451 -15 103.5%Minnieville 447 1 509 -62 113.9% 513 -66 114.8% 497 -50 111.2% 496 -49 111.1% 508 -61 113.5% 533 -86 119.3%Montclair 735 589 146 80.1% 601 134 81.8% 567 168 77.2% 572 163 77.8% 590 145 80.3% 613 122 83.4%Mountain View 722 584 138 80.9% 546 176 75.6% 545 177 75.4% 545 177 75.5% 555 167 76.9% 625 97 86.6%Mullen 707 754 -47 106.6% 789 -82 111.6% 774 -67 109.5% 776 -69 109.7% 788 -81 111.5% 900 -193 127.3%Neabsco 679 12 808 -129 119.0% 815 -136 120.0% 840 -161 123.7% 841 -162 123.8% 861 -182 126.8% 897 -218 132.2%Nokesville School, The 659 619 40 93.9% 617 42 93.6% 619 40 93.9% 632 27 95.9% 669 -10 101.5% 747 -88 113.3%Occoquan 419 6 631 -212 150.6% 655 -236 156.4% 647 -228 154.5% 648 -229 154.6% 662 -243 158.1% 690 -271 164.7%Old Bridge 553 1 735 -182 132.9% 727 -174 131.4% 711 -158 128.6% 711 -158 128.6% 724 -171 130.9% 752 -199 136.0%Parks 853 717 136 84.1% 682 171 80.0% 698 155 81.8% 697 156 81.7% 723 130 84.7% 751 102 88.0%Pattie 795 705 90 88.7% 695 100 87.4% 704 91 88.5% 706 89 88.8% 723 72 91.0% 750 45 94.4%Penn 797 3 854 -57 107.2% 878 -81 110.2% 876 -79 109.9% 886 -89 111.2% 929 -132 116.5% 972 -175 122.0%Pennington 365 408 -43 111.8% 405 -40 111.0% 405 -40 111.0% 405 -40 111.0% 405 -40 111.0% 405 -40 111.0%Piney Branch 965 810 155 83.9% 803 162 83.2% 811 154 84.1% 813 152 84.3% 828 137 85.8% 862 103 89.3%

    Portable Class-rooms

    Program CapacityElementary School

    2027-282022-232020-212019-202017-18 2018-19

  • Table 2

    Student Enrollment Data: Current and Projected EnrollmentElementary School, 2017-2027

    1/2/2018C:\Users\halseysm\Documents\CIP\Current and Projected Enrollment

    Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization

    Portable Class-rooms

    Program CapacityElementary School

    2027-282022-232020-212019-202017-18 2018-19

    Porter 375 419 -44 111.7% 420 -45 112.0% 420 -45 112.0% 420 -45 112.0% 420 -45 112.0% 420 -45 112.0%Potomac View 529 10 693 -164 131.0% 706 -177 133.5% 710 -181 134.1% 709 -180 134.0% 722 -193 136.6% 749 -220 141.6%River Oaks 633 2 686 -53 108.4% 721 -88 113.9% 693 -60 109.5% 693 -60 109.5% 708 -75 111.9% 752 -119 118.8%Rockledge 522 3 630 -108 120.7% 663 -141 127.1% 639 -117 122.5% 644 -122 123.3% 668 -146 127.9% 695 -173 133.1%Signal Hill 803 1 744 59 92.7% 755 48 94.0% 770 33 95.9% 793 10 98.7% 848 -45 105.6% 1,019 -216 126.9%Sinclair 682 728 -46 106.7% 694 -12 101.7% 690 -8 101.2% 690 -8 101.2% 703 -21 103.0% 729 -47 106.9%Springwoods 593 7 709 -116 119.6% 707 -114 119.3% 701 -108 118.2% 701 -108 118.1% 714 -121 120.4% 741 -148 124.9%Sudley 640 1 687 -47 107.3% 670 -30 104.7% 649 -9 101.4% 648 -8 101.3% 660 -20 103.1% 685 -45 107.0%Swans Creek 653 1 673 -20 103.1% 671 -18 102.8% 655 -2 100.4% 660 -7 101.0% 679 -26 104.0% 731 -78 111.9%Triangle 743 779 -36 104.8% 799 -56 107.5% 787 -44 105.9% 789 -46 106.2% 819 -76 110.2% 860 -117 115.8%Tyler 558 502 56 90.0% 465 93 83.2% 492 66 88.1% 493 65 88.4% 508 50 91.1% 542 16 97.1%Vaughan 607 3 627 -20 103.3% 606 1 99.9% 627 -20 103.4% 630 -23 103.8% 650 -43 107.0% 684 -77 112.7%Victory 935 686 249 73.4% 796 139 85.1% 831 104 88.9% 830 105 88.8% 842 93 90.1% 874 61 93.5%West Gate 516 1 522 -6 101.2% 530 -14 102.8% 525 -9 101.7% 525 -9 101.7% 535 -19 103.6% 586 -70 113.5%Westridge 710 2 746 -36 105.1% 750 -40 105.6% 723 -13 101.9% 723 -13 101.8% 737 -27 103.8% 765 -55 107.7%Williams 707 4 747 -40 105.7% 735 -28 104.0% 756 -49 107.0% 757 -50 107.0% 767 -60 108.5% 802 -95 113.5%Wilson 997 742 255 74.4% 743 254 74.5% 733 264 73.5% 742 255 74.4% 773 224 77.5% 817 180 82.0%Wood 998 900 98 90.2% 888 110 89.0% 894 104 89.6% 895 103 89.7% 917 81 91.9% 965 33 96.7%Yorkshire 793 3 821 -28 103.5% 856 -63 108.0% 881 -88 111.1% 880 -87 111.0% 895 -102 112.9% 930 -137 117.3%Yung 1,041 650 391 62.4% 650 391 62.4% 748 293 71.9% 801 240 77.0% 834 207 80.1% 1,543 -502 148.2%

    Total 42,051 110 40,482 1,569 96.3% 40,646 1,405 96.7% 40,878 1,173 97.2% 41,261 790 98.1% 42,849 -798 101.9% 46,669 -4,618 111.0%

  • Table 3

    Student Enrollment Data: Current and Projected EnrollmentMiddle School, 2017 - 2027

    1/2/2018C:\Users\halseysm\Documents\CIP\Current and Projected Enrollment

    Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization Students Space UtilizationBenton 1,464 1,425 39 97.3% 1,382 82 94.4% 1,333 131 91.0% 1,220 244 83.3% 1,173 291 80.1% 1,235 229 84.3%Beville 1,191 1,121 70 94.1% 1,102 89 92.6% 1,092 99 91.7% 1,059 132 88.9% 1,069 122 89.7% 1,119 72 94.0%Bull Run 1,233 1,166 67 94.6% 1,228 5 99.6% 1,258 -25 102.1% 1,263 -30 102.4% 1,183 50 96.0% 1,381 -148 112.0%Gainesville 1,233 7 1,436 -203 116.5% 1,474 -241 119.5% 1,443 -210 117.0% 1,446 -213 117.3% 1,467 -234 119.0% 1,720 -487 139.5%Graham Park 867 8 1,034 -167 119.3% 1,053 -186 121.4% 1,023 -156 118.0% 1,086 -219 125.3% 1,116 -249 128.7% 1,169 -302 134.9%Hampton 982 2 1,087 -105 110.7% 1,118 -136 113.8% 1,118 -136 113.9% 1,128 -146 114.9% 1,157 -175 117.8% 1,215 -233 123.7%

    1,1911

    1,4642

    Lynn 1,170 1,080 90 92.3% 1,084 86 92.6% 1,148 22 98.1% 1,179 -9 100.8% 1,220 -50 104.3% 1,379 -209 117.9%Marsteller 1,233 5 1,344 -111 109.0% 1,312 -79 106.4% 1,258 -25 102.0% 1,214 19 98.5% 1,134 99 92.0% 1,297 -64 105.2%Nokesville School, The 439 368 71 83.8% 358 81 81.6% 354 85 80.6% 356 83 81.2% 347 92 79.1% 411 28 93.7%Parkside 1,453 1,313 140 90.4% 1,400 53 96.3% 1,502 -49 103.4% 1,519 -66 104.6% 1,537 -84 105.8% 1,713 -260 117.9%Pennington 243 235 8 96.7% 243 0 100.0% 243 0 100.0% 243 0 100.0% 243 0 100.0% 243 0 100.0%Porter 252 264 -12 104.8% 252 0 100.0% 252 0 100.0% 252 0 100.0% 252 0 100.0% 252 0 100.0%Potomac 1,464 1,253 211 85.6% 1,319 145 90.1% 1,355 109 92.5% 1,371 93 93.7% 1,553 -89 106.1% 1,831 -367 125.1%Reagan 1,233 1,383 -150 112.2% 1,368 -135 110.9% 1,402 -169 113.7% 1,356 -123 109.9% 1,370 -137 111.1% 1,493 -260 121.1%Rippon 1,390 1,289 101 92.7% 1,331 59 95.8% 1,384 6 99.5% 1,399 -9 100.6% 1,543 -153 111.0% 1,691 -301 121.7%Saunders 1,212 1,168 44 96.4% 1,178 34 97.2% 1,182 30 97.5% 1,207 5 99.6% 1,112 100 91.7% 1,160 52 95.7%Stonewall 1,003 5 1,112 -109 110.9% 1,207 -204 120.4% 1,223 -220 122.0% 1,289 -286 128.5% 1,327 -324 132.3% 1,419 -416 141.5%Woodbridge 1,066 9 1,360 -294 127.6% 1,343 -277 126.0% 1,387 -321 130.1% 1,400 -334 131.3% 1,354 -288 127.0% 1,422 -356 133.4%

    20,3191

    20,5922

    Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization Students Space Utilization Students Space UtilizationBattlefield 2,053 16 2,941 -888 143.3% 3,022 -969 147.2% 2,979 -926 145.1% 3,006 -953 146.4% 3,131 -1,078 152.5% 3,289 -1,236 160.2%Brentsville 1,110 1,023 87 92.2% 1,021 89 92.0% 941 169 84.8% 958 152 86.3% 982 128 88.5% 976 134 87.9%Colgan 2,053 2,250 -197 109.6% 2,503 -450 121.9% 2,617 -564 127.5% 2,679 -626 130.5% 2,578 -525 125.5% 2,278 -225 111.0%Forest Park 2,053 2,165 -112 105.5% 2,138 -85 104.1% 2,163 -110 105.4% 2,107 -54 102.6% 2,116 -63 103.1% 1,884 169 91.8%Freedom 2,053 6 2,258 -205 110.0% 2,225 -172 108.4% 2,263 -210 110.2% 2,291 -238 111.6% 2,571 -518 125.2% 3,234 -1,181 157.5%Gar-Field 2,839 2,403 436 84.6% 2,373 466 83.6% 2,353 486 82.9% 2,294 545 80.8% 2,483 356 87.5% 2,995 -156 105.5%Hylton 2,053 2,263 -210 110.2% 2,226 -173 108.4% 2,269 -216 110.5% 2,306 -253 112.3% 2,219 -166 108.1% 1,718 335 83.7%Osbourn Park 2,430 2,173 257 89.4% 2,316 114 95.3% 2,339 91 96.2% 2,459 -29 101.2% 2,562 -132 105.4% 1,954 476 80.4%Patriot 2,053 20 2,688 -635 130.9% 2,668 -615 130.0% 2,631 -578 128.2% 2,674 -621 130.2% 2,668 -615 129.9% 2,783 -730 135.5%Potomac 2,357 1,961 397 83.2% 2,024 333 85.9% 2,048 309 86.9% 2,153 204 91.3% 2,534 -177 107.5% 3,402 -1,045 144.3%Stonewall Jackson 2,409 7 2,554 -145 106.0% 2,671 -262 110.9% 2,825 -416 117.3% 2,899 -490 120.3% 3,273 -864 135.8% 4,328 -1,919 179.7%Woodbridge 2,734 2,583 151 94.5% 2,690 44 98.4% 2,720 14 99.5% 2,850 -116 104.3% 3,032 -298 110.9% 3,175 -441 116.1%

    Total 26,197 49 27,261 -1,064 104.1% 27,879 -1,682 106.4% 28,147 -1,950 107.4% 28,677 -2,480 109.5% 30,148 -3,951 115.1% 32,016 -5,819 122.2%

    Note: Tables 2-4 numbers are rounded up to the nearest whole number; thus totals, may be affected because of rounding.

    23,724 -3,132 115.2%Total -891 104.3% 21,645 -1,053 105.1%

    1,566 -102 107.0%

    1 Planning Capacity on which available space is calculated for the 2017-18 school years.2 Planning Capacity on which available space is calculated for the 2018-19 through 2027-28 school years. It reflects the 13-classroom addition opening at Lake Ridge MS in 2018-19.

    36 20,713 -394 101.9% 21,169 -577 102.8% 21,434 -842 104.1% 21,483

    Lake Ridge 100.2% 1,482 -18 101.2%

    2027-28

    Table 4High School, 2017 - 2027

    2020-21 2022-23 2027-28

    High SchoolProgram Capacity

    Portable Class-rooms

    2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21

    Middle SchoolPlanning Capacity

    1,275

    Portable Class-rooms

    2017-18 2018-19 2019-20

    2022-23

    -84 107.1% 1,407 57 96.1% 1,467 -3 1,478 -14 101.0%

  • Elementary School Spacewith Approved and Proposed CIP Solutions

    2017-27

    12/29/2017

    C:\Users\halseysm\Documents\CIP\Overall Space Needs 2017 v4

    2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28Total (current) 3,506 20 3,877 -280 -317 -346 -378 -446 -518 -568 -601 -637 -671 -705

    Bel Air 449 1 468 49 58 46 46 46 41 38 35 32 29 26 6

    Dale City 347 4 418 -99 -99 -77 -76 -82 -87 -90 -95 -98 -101 -104 4Fitzgerald 776 2 815 -34 -52 -83 -105 -132 -163 -189 -196 -206 -215 -223 0Henderson 808 0 808 -5 -23 -21 -32 -50 -66 -73 -80 -86 -93 -99 10

    Minnieville 447 1 466 -62 -66 -50 -49 -55 -61 -64 -69 -75 -81 -86 10

    Neabsco 679 12 903 -129 -136 -161 -162 -173 -182 -189 -197 -204 -211 -218 8

    Total (After CIP) -280 69 226 194 126 54 4 -29 -65 -99 -133 912New SchoolAddition Space 186 186 186 186 186 186 186 186 186

    Boundary Change 386 386 386 386 386 386 386 386 386 386

    Addl Space Location Minnieville- 10Total 4,700 11 4,915 128 15 -16 -150 -367 -583 -805 -1,019 -1,081 -1,137 -1,191

    Covington-Harper 750 750 207 124 64 -60 -229 -387 -562 -734 -748 -761 -774Dumfries 419 4 494 -20 -19 -16 -17 -25 -31 -37 -42 -45 -49 -53 0

    Pattie 795 795 90 100 91 89 81 72 66 61 55 50 45 10

    River Oaks 633 2 670 -53 -88 -60 -60 -68 -75 -81 -88 -100 -110 -119 0Swans Creek 653 1 674 -20 -18 -2 -7 -14 -26 -38 -49 -59 -69 -78 0Triangle 743 743 -36 -56 -44 -46 -60 -76 -88 -95 -103 -110 -117 0Williams 707 4 790 -40 -28 -49 -50 -52 -60 -66 -72 -81 -88 -95 0

    Total (After CIP) 128 15 -16 -150 -367 -583 -55 -269 -331 -387 -441 240New School 750 750 750 750 750Addition Rooms

    Addl Space LocationPattie-10 (no cap

    increase)

    Potomac Shores ES

    #2

    Potomac Shores ES

    #2

    Planning Area Elementary School

    Capacity

    Portable Class-rooms

    Potential Additional

    Classrooms

    Cardinal

    Cherry Hill

    Capacity w/ Portables

    Space Available (based on Permanent Capacity)

  • Elementary School Spacewith Approved and Proposed CIP Solutions

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    C:\Users\halseysm\Documents\CIP\Overall Space Needs 2017 v4

    2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28

    Planning Area Elementary School

    Capacity

    Portable Class-rooms

    Potential Additional

    ClassroomsCapacity w/ Portables

    Space Available (based on Permanent Capacity)

    Total 5,344 4 5,441 832 895 944 918 838 771 722 679 641 606 572Ashland 979 979 199 200 216 209 192 181 174 169 162 157 151 0Coles 469 3 545 50 68 79 77 69 63 59 56 52 49 46 12Enterprise 444 1 465 22 19 21 21 18 14 10 7 4 1 -2 10King 431 431 31 42 32 28 22 12 6 1 -4 -8 -11 9McAuliffe 436 436 -7 8 9 9 5 1 -2 -6 -9 -12 -15 10Montclair 735 735 146 134 168 163 153 145 140 136 131 127 122 0Parks 853 853 136 171 155 156 138 130 124 119 113 108 102 0Wilson 997 997 255 254 264 255 240 224 210 198 191 186 180

    Total (After CIP) 832 509 558 532 452 385 336 293 255 220 186 984New SchoolAddition Rooms

    Boundary Change -386 -386 -386 -386 -386 -386 -386 -386 -386 -386

    Addl Space LocationTotal 4,976 4,976 947 1,064 971 931 855 746 656 595 500 417 336

    Alvey 857 857 169 204 199 192 176 155 148 143 137 132 127 0Buckland Mills 938 938 287 279 278 274 252 232 209 189 156 125 95 0Gravely 955 955 176 184 159 144 127 101 86 79 73 66 60 0Haymarket 946 946 121 128 91 79 68 42 5 -8 -27 -43 -59 0Mountain View 722 722 138 176 177 177 173 167 162 153 131 113 97 8Tyler 558 558 56 93 66 65 59 50 45 40 31 23 16 6

    Total (After CIP) 947 1,064 971 931 855 746 656 595 500 417 336 336New SchoolNew / Addn SpaceAddl Space Location

    Haymarket

    Ferlazzo

  • Elementary School Spacewith Approved and Proposed CIP Solutions

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    C:\Users\halseysm\Documents\CIP\Overall Space Needs 2017 v4

    2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28

    Planning Area Elementary School

    Capacity

    Portable Class-rooms

    Potential Additional

    ClassroomsCapacity w/ Portables

    Space Available (based on Permanent Capacity)

    Total 3,901 27 4,532 -798 -851 -764 -768 -815 -874 -915 -950 -987 -1,023 -1,058Antietam 569 1 594 -91 -91 -87 -88 -93 -100 -105 -110 -115 -120 -125 13Lake Ridge 535 7 712 -53 -54 -52 -51 -59 -65 -70 -75 -79 -83 -88 7Occoquan 419 6 537 -212 -236 -228 -229 -235 -243 -250 -255 -261 -266 -271 0Old Bridge 553 1 574 -182 -174 -158 -158 -163 -171 -177 -182 -188 -193 -199 2Rockledge 522 3 584 -108 -141 -117 -122 -133 -146 -153 -158 -163 -168 -173 0Springwoods 593 7 770 -116 -114 -108 -108 -113 -121 -127 -132 -137 -142 -148 5Westridge 710 2 761 -36 -40 -13 -13 -19 -27 -33 -38 -44 -49 -55 0

    Total (After CIP) -798 -851 318 314 267 208 201 166 129 93 58 648New School 95 95 95 95 129 129 129 129 129Addition Rooms 987 987 987 987 987 987 987 987 987

    Addl Space Location

    Parkway ES(95);

    Antietam (13) Lake Ridge

    (13) Springwoods

    (13)

    Occ/ Woodbdg ES (5%) -

    [Site Needed]

    Total 7,106 7,106 1,449 1,427 1,249 1,181 1,099 1,020 958 822 512 265 38Bristow Run 795 795 132 159 130 131 122 114 108 102 95 88 81Cedar Point 874 874 305 342 345 345 341 335 331 327 323 319 315Glenkirk 839 839 79 82 79 80 70 62 56 50 44 38 33Nokesville School (ES) 659 659 40 42 40 27 6 -10 -24 -37 -57 -73 -88Piney Branch 965 965 155 162 154 152 147 137 131 125 117 110 103Victory 935 935 249 139 104 105 102 93 86 80 73 67 61Wood 998 998 98 110 104 103 91 81 74 66 54 43 33Yung 1,041 1,041 391 391 293 240 220 207 195 109 -138 -329 -502

    Total (After CIP) 1,449 1,427 1,249 1,181 1,099 1,020 958 822 512 265 38 0New SchoolAddition Rooms

    Addl Space Location

    Lake Ridge

    Linton Hall

  • Elementary School Spacewith Approved and Proposed CIP Solutions

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    C:\Users\halseysm\Documents\CIP\Overall Space Needs 2017 v4

    2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28

    Planning Area Elementary School

    Capacity

    Portable Class-rooms

    Potential Additional

    ClassroomsCapacity w/ Portables

    Space Available (based on Permanent Capacity)

    Total 1,912 9 2,100 -59 -69 -78 -89 -115 -151 -173 -189 -207 -224 -241Kerrydale 345 6 457 -124 -102 -116 -116 -117 -122 -126 -129 -133 -136 -139 8

    Marshall 770 770 122 115 117 116 110 103 98 92 86 80 74 6

    Penn 797 3 873 -57 -81 -79 -89 -109 -132 -145 -152 -160 -168 -175Total (After CIP) -59 -69 76 65 39 3 83 68 49 32 15 336New School 154 154 154 154 256 256 256 256 256Addition Rooms

    Addl Space Location Parkway ES (+154)

    Occ/ Woodbdg

    ES (15%) - [Site

    Needed]Total 3,967 24 4,386 -429 -480 -515 -550 -626 -713 -809 -876 -968 -1,046 -1,119

    Belmont 540 1 559 93 83 80 65 44 22 -9 -30 -49 -64 -79 10Featherstone 425 3 478 -80 -113 -109 -111 -118 -125 -129 -133 -137 -141 -145 6Kilby 646 646 -63 -81 -61 -67 -78 -92 -108 -127 -164 -193 -219 4Leesylvania 631 2 672 -148 -145 -163 -172 -189 -208 -231 -239 -252 -263 -274 0Marumsco Hills 589 5 682 -47 -48 -61 -63 -68 -75 -80 -85 -92 -98 -104 0Potomac View 529 10 686 -164 -177 -181 -180 -186 -193 -199 -204 -210 -215 -220 13Vaughan 607 3 663 -20 1 -20 -23 -31 -43 -53 -58 -65 -71 -77 0

    Total (After CIP) -429 -480 29 -6 -82 -169 281 213 121 44 -29 792New School 461 461 461 461 1,007 1,007 1,007 1,007 1,007Addition Rooms 83 83 83 83 83 83 83 83 83

    Addl Space LocationParkway ES-

    (+461), Leesyl-vania

    - 4

    Occ/ Woodbdg

    ES (80%) - [Site

    Needed]

    Total 3,026 5 3,117 -230 -228 -174 -175 -201 -235 -260 -322 -468 -591 -707Ellis 481 3 537 -84 -90 -81 -81 -89 -95 -99 -131 -221 -290 -354Mullen 707 707 -47 -82 -67 -69 -73 -81 -87 -102 -138 -166 -193Sinclair 682 682 -46 -12 -8 -8 -13 -21 -26 -31 -37 -42 -47Sudley 640 1 660 -47 -30 -9 -8 -13 -20 -25 -30 -35 -40 -45West Gate 516 1 532 -6 -14 -9 -9 -13 -19 -23 -27 -37 -52 -70

    Total (After CIP) -230 -228 -174 -175 -201 461 436 582 436 312 196 0New School 696 696 903 903 903 903Addition Rooms

    Addl Space LocationStonewall Area ES-

    Site Needed

    25% of Yorkshire ES 2022

    Mid-County

    Neabsco Mills /

    Northern Route 1

    Stonewall

  • Elementary School Spacewith Approved and Proposed CIP Solutions

    2017-27

    12/29/2017

    C:\Users\halseysm\Documents\CIP\Overall Space Needs 2017 v4

    2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28

    Planning Area Elementary School

    Capacity

    Portable Class-rooms

    Potential Additional

    ClassroomsCapacity w/ Portables

    Space Available (based on Permanent Capacity)

    Total 2,876 10 3,063 99 54 10 -25 -76 -155 -231 -266 -316 -374 -436Bennett 847 847 179 181 183 169 149 121 99 91 82 74 67 0Loch Lomond 433 6 539 -111 -112 -118 -118 -123 -129 -133 -137 -141 -146 -150 0Signal Hill 803 1 828 59 48 33 10 -11 -45 -87 -103 -133 -172 -216 0Yorkshire 793 3 849 -28 -63 -88 -87 -93 -102 -109 -116 -123 -130 -137 0

    Total (After CIP) 99 54 10 -25 -76 -155 -231 356 306 248 186 0New School 622 622 622 622Addition Rooms

    Addl Space Location

    Yorkshire Area ES (75%)-

    Site Needed

    Total (prior to CIP measures) 41,314 110 43,515 1,659 1,510 1,280 895 145 -692 -1,425 -2,125 -3,012 -3,778 -4,511

    Total (including CIP measures) 1,659 1,510 3,246 2,861 2,111 1,970 2,669 2,798 1,911 1,145 412 4,248

    New School Space 0 0 710 710 710 1,406 2,838 3,667 3,667 3,667 3,667

    Addition Space 0 0 1,256 1,256 1,256 1,256 1,256 1,256 1,256 1,256 1,256

    Addition Classrooms 0 0 52 52 52 52 52 52 52 52 52

    Elementary School Total

    Yorkshire

  • Middle School Spacewith Approved and Proposed CIP Solutions

    2017-27

    12/29/2017

    C:\Users\halseysm\Documents\CIP\Overall Space Needs 2017 v4

    2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28

    20,3191 21,0751

    20,5922 21,3482

    Reagan 1,233 0 1,233 -150 -135 -169 -123 -133 -137 -130 -157 -204 -237 -260 11Bull Run 1,233 0 1,233 67 5 -25 -30 36 50 57 25 -16 -42 -148 11Gainesville 1,233 7 1,380 -203 -241 -210 -213 -178 -234 -216 -258 -320 -361 -487 11Marsteller 1,233 5 1,338 -111 -79 -25 19 77 99 116 88 26 -16 -64 11Nokesville School (MS) 439 0 439 71 81 85 83 97 92 72 62 45 33 28Stonewall 1,003 5 1,108 -109 -204 -220 -286 -281 -324 -344 -360 -391 -413 -416 19Parkside 1,453 0 1,453 140 53 -49 -66 -72 -84 -121 -147 -193 -222 -260Benton 1,464 0 1,464 39 82 131 244 240 291 287 273 245 229 229Saunders 1,212 0 1,212 44 34 30 5 70 100 102 89 65 51 52 12Beville 1,191 0 1,191 70 89 99 132 133 122 123 110 85 71 72 13Hampton 982 2 1,024 -105 -136 -136 -146 -146 -175 -173 -192 -218 -232 -233 17

    1,1911 1,1911

    1,4642 1,4642

    Lynn 1,170 0 1,170 90 86 22 -9 -48 -50 -101 -126 -165 -189 -209 14Woodbridge 1,066 9 1,255 -294 -277 -321 -334 -321 -288 -289 -305 -338 -357 -356 18Rippon 1,390 0 1,390 101 59 6 -9 -101 -153 -217 -237 -277 -300 -301 15Potomac 1,464 0 1,464 211 145 109 93 -21 -89 -209 -292 -334 -359 -367 0Graham Park 867 8 1,035 -167 -186 -156 -219 -227 -249 -248 -263 -288 -303 -302 26Pennington (MS) 243 0 243 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0Porter (MS) 252 0 252 -12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

    -394 -568 -475 -522 919 777 494 1,544 923 533 160

    Potomac Shores MS

    Potomac Shores MS

    MS (Linton Hall Area)

    1,464 1,464 1,464 2,928 2,928 2,928 2,928

    LRMS (13) Stonewall MS (17)357 357 357 357 357 357 357 357 357

    1 Planning Capacity on which available space is calculated for the 2017-18 school years.2 Planning Capacity on which available space is calculated for the 2018-19 through 2027-28 school years. It reflects 13-classroom addition opening at LRMS in 2018-19.

    Total 36 -394 -568 -832 -879 -902 -1,044 -1,327

    Middle SchoolCapacity

    Portable Class-rooms

    Capacity w/ Portables

    Space Available (based on Permanent Capacity) Potential Additional Classrooms

    -3,125 178

    Lake Ridge 0 -84 57 -35 -53

    -1,741 -2,362 -2,752

    -85 -104 -102

    Additions LocationAdd'l Space

    Proposed and Approved CIP Solutions

    New Schools Location

    Add'l Space

    Total (including CIP measures)

    -3 -18 -26 -14

  • High School Spacewith Approved and Proposed CIP Solutions

    2017-27

    12/29/2017

    C:\Users\halseysm\Documents\CIP\Overall Space Needs 2017 v4

    2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28

    Total 26,197 49 27,226 -1,064 -1,681 -1,950 -2,480 -3,508 -3,950 -4,629 -4,758 -4,891 -5,393 -5,819

    Battlefield 2,053 16 2,389 -888 -969 -926 -953 -1,096 -1,078 -1,082 -1,086 -1,096 -1,134 -1,236Brentsville 1,110 1,110 87 89 169 152 134 128 113 123 126 122 134Colgan 2,053 2,053 -197 -450 -564 -626 -571 -525 -468 -402 -335 -297 -225Forest Park 2,053 2,053 -112 -85 -110 -54 -56 -63 6 52 97 120 169Freedom 2,053 6 2,179 -205 -172 -210 -238 -324 -518 -726 -828 -932 -1,076 -1,181Gar-Field 2,839 2,839 436 466 486 545 410 356 266 170 74 -58 -156Hylton 2,053 2,053 -210 -173 -216 -253 -286 -166 -113 11 128 220 335Osbourn Park 2,430 2,430 257 114 91 -29 -111 -132 -136 53 230 371 476Patriot 2,053 20 2,473 -635 -615 -578 -621 -689 -615 -588 -619 -643 -699 -730Potomac 2,357 2,357 397 333 309 204 31 -177 -393 -597 -727 -900 -1,045Stonewall Jackson 2,409 7 2,556 -145 -262 -416 -490 -712 -864 -1,088 -1,223 -1,406 -1,623 -1,919Woodbridge 2,734 2,734 151 44 14 -116 -237 -298 -420 -413 -408 -437 -441

    -1,064 -1,681 -1,950 -2,480 -951 -1,393 -2,072 356 223 -279 1,852

    Location 13th HS (West)

    14th HS (Mid-

    County)

    14th HS (Mid-

    County)

    15th High School

    15th High School

    Add'l Space 2,557 2,557 2,557 5,114 5,114 5,114 7,671

    Location

    Add'l Space

    Additions

    High SchoolCapacity

    Portable Class-rooms

    Capacity w/ Portables

    Space Available (based on Permanent Capacity) Potential Additional

    Classrooms

    Total (including CIP measures)

    Proposed and Approved CIP Solutions

    New Schools

  • 66,0

    93

    68,2

    34

    70,6

    83

    72,6

    54

    73,6

    57

    76,6

    56

    79,1

    15

    81,6

    35

    83,5

    51

    85,0

    55

    86,2

    09

    87,2

    53

    88,9

    20

    89,8

    61

    91,0

    54

    91,8

    34

    92,8

    13

    94,6

    30

    96,0

    66

    97,7

    77

    99,0

    34

    100,

    695

    102,

    373

    103,

    921

    0

    20,000

    40,000

    60,000

    80,000

    100,000

    120,000

    Prince William County Public Schools

    Historical and Projected Enrollment

    Historical Projected

  • 5,000

    10,000

    15,000

    20,000

    25,000

    30,000

    35,000

    40,000

    45,000

    50,000

    55,000

    Prince William County Public Schools

    Historical and Projected Enrollment by School Level

    Elementary

    Middle

    High

    Historical Projected

  • 1,464 1,446

    1,976

    2,342

    3,895

    3,179

    2,761 2,708

    2,912

    4,151 4,153

    4,734

    4,293

    5,129

    6,343

    3,518

    2,615

    2,868

    2,093 2,128

    1,551

    1,964

    1,296

    2,955

    2,177 2,238

    532

    1,750 1,750 1,750 1,800 1,700

    1,900 1,750

    2,400

    1,950 1,800

    -

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    5,000

    6,000

    7,000

    Prince William County

    Historical and Projected Annual Housing Unit Change

    Historical Projected

  • 1,464 1,446

    1,976

    2,342

    3,895

    3,179

    2,761 2,708

    2,912

    4,151 4,153

    4,734

    4,293

    5,129

    6,343

    3,518

    2,615

    2,868

    2,093 2,128

    1,551

    1,964

    1,296

    2,955

    2,177 2,238

    532

    1,750 1,750 1,750 1,800 1,700

    1,900 1,750

    2,400

    1,950 1,800

    -

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    5,000

    6,000

    7,000

    Prince William County

    Historical and Projected Annual Housing Unit Change

    Historical Projected

    0.100

    0.150

    0.200

    0.250

    0.300

    Stu

    de

    nts

    pe

    r H

    ou

    sin

    g U

    nit

    Prince William County Public Schools

    Student Generation Rates (2017 Projections)

    ES GenFact

    MS GenFact

    HS GenFact

    Historical Forecasted

  • Prince William County Public Schools

    Change in Enrollment Projections 2016-17 to 2017-18

    Housing

    UnitsES MS HS SE Total

    Housing

    UnitsES MS HS SE Total

    Housing

    UnitsES MS HS SE Total

    Annual

    Incremental

    Change

    2017 148,503 40,482 20,713 27,261 1,405 89,861 2017 150,659 40,869 20,887 27,541 1,339 90,636 2017 (2,156) (387) (174) (280) 66 (775)

    2018 150,253 40,646 21,169 27,879 1,360 91,054 2018 152,544 41,153 21,550 28,223 1,356 92,282 2018 (2,291) (507) (381) (344) 4 (1,228) (453)

    2019 152,003 40,878 21,434 28,147 1,376 91,834 2019 154,281 41,600 22,109 28,710 1,371 93,790 2019 (2,278) (722) (675) (563) 4 (1,956) (728)

    2020 153,753 41,261 21,483 28,677 1,392 92,813 2020 156,381 42,060 22,411 29,459 1,390 95,320 2020 (2,628) (799) (928) (782) 2 (2,507) (551)

    2021 155,553 42,012 21,504 29,706 1,408 94,630 2021 158,846 42,757 22,549 30,698 1,412 97,416 2021 (3,293) (745) (1,046) (992) (4) (2,786) (279)

    2022 157,253 42,849 21,645 30,148 1,423 96,066 2022 161,046 43,504 22,788 31,323 1,431 99,047 2022 (3,793) (655) (1,143) (1,175) (8) (2,981) (195)

    2023 159,153 43,584 21,926 30,827 1,440 97,777 2023 163,646 44,453 23,012 32,241 1,454 101,161 2023 (4,493) (870) (1,086) (1,414) (14) (3,384) (403)

    2024 160,903 44,283 22,339 30,955 1,456 99,034 2024 166,496 45,480 23,479 32,771 1,480 103,210 2024 (5,593) (1,197) (1,140) (1,816) (24) (4,176) (792)

    2025 163,303 45,169 22,961 31,088 1,478 100,695 2025 168,696 46,339 23,944 32,983 1,499 104,765 2025 (5,393) (1,170) (983) (1,895) (21) (4,070) 106

    2026 165,253 45,936 23,351 31,590 1,496 102,373 2026 171,046 47,337 24,436 33,475 1,520 106,768 2026 (5,793) (1,400) (1,084) (1,885) (25) (4,394) (324)

    2027 167,053 46,669 23,724 32,016 1,512 103,921

    Equivalent

    Schools (1.52) (0.74) (0.74)

    Change 2016 to 2017

    Year

    2017

    Enrollment Projections

    Year

    2016

    Enrollment Projections

    Year

    R:\Shared\Planning\Enrollment Forecast\2017-18\County-Wide\PWC Growth_2017_Frank_Hunt_HU

  • 2.5%

    3.4%

    1.5%1.6%

    3.1%

    2.3%

    3.0%

    2.7%2.8%

    3.9%

    4.9%

    4.2%

    4.8%4.7%

    3.2%

    3.6%

    2.8%

    1.4%

    4.1%

    3.2%3.2%

    2.3%

    1.8%

    1.4%1.2%

    1.9%

    1.1%

    0.0%

    1.0%

    2.0%

    3.0%

    4.0%

    5.0%

    6.0%

    Prince William County Public Schools

    Annual Percentage Change in Enrollment

  • -1.0%

    0.0%

    1.0%

    2.0%

    3.0%

    4.0%

    5.0%

    6.0%

    7.0%

    Prince William County Public Schools

    Annual Percentage Change in Enrollment by School Level

    Elementary

    Middle

    High

    Total Enrollment

  • Portable Classrooms Totals By Year and School Type

    Year Elementary Middle High AlternativeSpecial

    EducationTotal

    1998 101 21 28 0 5 155

    1999 109 25 25 0 5 164

    2000 118 31 5 10 5 169

    2001 122 37 2 10 5 176

    2002 130 26 2 10 5 173

    2003 141 16 2 10 5 174

    2004 168 19 2 10 5 204

    2005 185 40 5 10 5 245

    2006 179 27 8 10 5 229

    2007 184 20 14 10 10 238

    2008 171 20 21 10 10 232

    2009 150 21 36 10 7 224

    2010 145 21 37 10 10 223

    2011 132 31 21 10 10 204

    2012 136 29 18 10 9 202

    2013 126 23 30 11 9 199

    2014 121 22 37 11 9 200

    2015 122 27 46 11 9 215

    2016 128 30 41 11 1 211

    2017 110 36 49 11 1 207

    Note: Portable classrooms used for instruction.

    12/20/2017 R:\Shared\Planning\School Facilities\Trailers\Trailers_Historical

  • Students Generated per Built-Out Development2018-2027

    Esri, HERE, DeLorme, MapmyIndia, © OpenStreetMapcontributors, and the GIS user community

    Path C:\Users\boydrd\Documents\Working\2017 Data Requests\2019-2028 CIP Backup Information\2019-2028 CIP Backup Information.aprx

    ¯Data:Dev18_12_19_17.shpBuild_Out_Tot_Stu_by_Development.dbfRoadsSimplifiedntyBnd.shp

    Prepared by Robert Boyd, GIS Analyst IPrince William County Public Schools

    Office of Facilities ServicesJanuary 2018

    Less Than 20 Students20 - 40 Students40 - 60 Students60 - 80 Students80 - 100 Students

    Students Generated by Development

  • Elementary School Capacity Utilization

    Path C:\Users\boydrd\Documents\Working\2017 Data Requests\2019-2028 CIP Backup Information\2019-2028 CIP Backup Information.aprx

    Prepared by Robert Boyd, GIS Analyst IPrince William County Public Schools

    Office of Facilities ServicesJanuary 2018

    ¯DataSimplifiedCntyBnd.shpES17a

    Less Than 90% 90% - 100% 100% - 110% 110% - 120% Greater Than 120%

    2017 2022 2027

  • Middle School Capacity Utilization

    Path C:\Users\boydrd\Documents\Working\2017 Data Requests\2019-2028 CIP Backup Information\2019-2028 CIP Backup Information.aprx

    Less Than 90% 90% - 100% 100% - 110% 110% - 120% Greater Than 120%

    Prepared by Robert Boyd, GIS Analyst IPrince William County Public Schools

    Office of Facilities ServicesJanuary 2018

    Data:MS16aMS18aSimplifiedCntyBnd.shp

    2017 2022 2027

  • High School Capacity Utilization

    Path C:\Users\boydrd\Documents\Working\2017 Data Requests\2019-2028 CIP Backup Information\2019-2028 CIP Backup Information.aprx

    Prepared by Robert Boyd, GIS Analyst IPrince William County Public Schools

    Office of Facilities ServicesJanuary 2018

    ¯Data:HS16bSimplifiedCntyBnd.shp

    Less Than 90% 90% - 100% 100% - 110% 110% - 120% Greater Than 120%

    2017 2022 2027

    Student Enrollment DataElementaryMiddleHigh