Tape Reading and Active Trading

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Richard Wyckoff's original course on day trading and tape reading.

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  • .Division 2 4, t 2

    . ,. 9.

    A COURSE OF INSTRUCTIONdi-3

    IN h\ .TAPE READING AND ACTIVE TRADING 4.

    =4j . ^ L lR-Y.

    ..+%!-q

    C O P Y R I G H T 1932

    RICHARD D. WYCKOFF, ON ENiw York.

  • TABLEOF CONTENTS

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    34445678991011

    INTRODUCTION

    JUDGINGTHE IMMEDIATETRl#fDBuyingand SellingWavesWave Chartof the Leaders

    BUYINGAND SELLINGWAVES- PART II

    HOW TO LINK THE WAVE CHARTWITH THE STOCKIN WHICHYOUiWE TRADING

    A VerticalLine Chartand ContinuousLine Chart

    TRM)INGAREASAND HOW TO PROFITBY THNMTradingArea of AuburnMotors

    THE TAPE READINGCHARTTapeReadingChartof J. 1. Case

    HOW TO SPOTTHE BUYINGAND SELLING POINTS WITHIN A SMALLFRACTION

    JUDGINGSTR$NGTHOR.W3AKNESS

    HOWTO KEEP PERCENTiiGEIN YOURFAVOR

    TRADINGON INITIALACTIVITY

    mGING THE MARKETBY TESTSAND RESPONSES

    THE BEST STOCKSFOR ACTIVETRAI)lNG

    STOP ORDERSAND OTHERVITALPOINTSJud@ng XQur FtficimcyTradingin UniformLotsDow-Jone$AverageflTradingon PaperTradeat the MarketPut a Time Limit cm Your TradesQualificationsof a SuccessfulSpeculatorlhvmrAsk AdviceFallacyof AveragingCapitalRaquiredHow Prc)fitsAccumulateWhereto TradeChoiceot BrokersStudyyour Losses

    Copyright1934 by RichardD. Wyckoff,Inc.

  • SEC. P.

    12 12

    Cs 1w 1Cs 3Cs 5Cs 7CsCs 1?

    PractiaePersistently

    CHARTSTUDIESAmwriad Telephoneat Bottomof ReactionAmericanTelephoneat Top of RallyAlliedChmical at Bottomof ReactionAlliedChmicd at Top of ~lyJ. 1. (laseat Bottomof ReactionAmericanCan CombinedwithFiveLeaders

  • 00URSE

    J@du Ction.section1.

    UMiM the#Mlrtl

    section3.

    Trading&QML%section4.

    Tane Readinggi&$.i& ~.

    cop~igllt1932

    SUMMARYOFTHE RICHARD D.IOFINSTRUCTIONIN TAPE READING

    Generalprimiples involvedinthe minorfluctuations.

    WUXOFFAND ACTIVE

    tradingto

    TRADING.

    takeadvantageof

    Basingjudgmenton impartialanalysisof avai.lab~efactginsteadof ill advisedimDUJPeSa

    How to internrettam actio~and learnto make YO1.W OWll&Q&3mn cknt d%$cidon~ with a highdegreeof accuracy.

    How to constructend~terrm% a Wave Chart.

    The selectionofstocksthatrefli]ct.loadorshinand haveo=Q~~~~ c CIIWAI.LtYL

    How to detectthe minor pricesurgesand estimatetheirsignificance.

    How to recognizethe symptomsof a reversalof the trend.

    How to employthe barometricquality of the Wave Chartinjudgingthe trendof the individualstockwhordnyou aretrading.

    How to operatein harmonywith the Law of Supplyand Dwand.

    The general significanceof c,tradingarea and the exception-al tradingopportunitiesit may offer.

    How to judgewhethera stockin a tradingareabecomesb~~ ish OXbearish.

    How to decidewhen to tradecloseto the dangerlinewithrelativelysmallrisk.

    Correlationof price movement,volumeand time.

    How to interpretthe fractionalpricechangesand the var-iationsin volumeduringminorfluctuations.

    The logical1imitatims of risk and readjustmentof stopQZ!@Xk

    How to recognizeconditionswhermlnderthe risk maY be 1Lmitedto a $Mlaufr~ction.

    by RichardD. Wyckoff

  • andEQJFJdU

    Section6.

    iiwmimlorSection7.

    S63ction9.

    section 10.

    Best StocksFor ActiveTrading,Section11.

    2-- -.

    How to so~.tthe buyingand sellinglevelswithina smallfraction.

    How the marketis _nun&y 1 Eivinrinformatia~to thosewho COIlgoad the ~

    HoW to avoidover$txa the market.

    How to WQ MD Y@+lra d what to do at the turningpoints.

    Recognizingthe evidencesof technicalstrengthor weakness.

    Whet constitutesa normalrallyor rco.ction,and why.

    How you may @NelQn Your jUMment so thnt accumulatingsymptomsof strengthor weaknessbecomerecordsof subconsciousmemoryrad resultingd~ciaons are Vhtud.lY intuitivcl,

    How to ld.mi~,roducqand elhinatq the risk.

    How to Lnsur@Your PM its,

    How to developa tradingpolicywhereinrisksare consistentwith probableprofits.

    The generalsignificanceof incrensedLctivitY.

    How to interpretchangesin the degreeof activity.

    The imnortance of volumewxzes in tradingzonesandfollowingth$ formationof an apex.

    HOIJthe operatorteststhe technicalconditionof the market.

    How the individualtradermay secure,withoutexpense,the ben-efit of the largeoperators testsof the marketsstrength.

    Linesof resistanee; how to recoznize themand profito..ccordingly.

    How to observewhen the marketis in an overbou~htor oversoldcondition.

    How

    Thethe

    How

    to recognize evidenceof manipul~tion.

    significnnccof the marketsresponseto news itemshavingelementof surprise.

    to selectthe best stocksfor fictivetrading.

    Recognitionof changingleadership.

    The importanceof uverngepricer:mgemd its relutiontoflo:~tingsupply.

    Copyright1932 by Ri.chmd D, Wyckoff

  • -3-

    Use ofStop Orders.Section 12.

    MiscellaneousVital Points.Section 12.

    ChartStudies.

    The advantage of familio.ritywith the chief characteristicsof leadingj active issues.

    HOW and when to use stop orders.

    The scientific location and road.jus+,mentof stop orders.

    Substitutes for stop orders.

    Judging your efficiency.

    Consistent trading policies.

    hlh?rr)r~t~t~on of the averages.

    Testing your trading ability without monetary risk.

    ~b~arketorders vs. limited orders.

    Limiting the duration of a trade.

    How to avoid the dangers of ill-advised ad~ice and tips.

    Dangerou~ pitfalls and kiov~ to avoid them.

    HOIWto select your broker and judge his efficiency.

    Tape reading charts of leading active stocks and tP.eirinterpretation.

    Typical trading maneuvers illustrated, wiih comentsjsuggestions and explanations.

    How to recognize the termination of a reaction, and thesubsequent buying signals.

    How to recognize the termination of a rally, and theusual indication of impending reaction.

    How to use the combination trading chart and wave chart ofbarometric letadcrs.

    Copyright 1952 by Richard D. Wyckofft

  • TAPE READING AND ACTIVE TRADTNG

    For the three to five-point moves

    with risk limited to

    one-half to one-point

    The majority of those who follow our Method devote an hour

    day, more or less, to studying and planning their campaigns. But we

    have learned that an increasing number wish to trade in the market

    continuously, either in their brokers offices or in private offices

    of their own, equipped with a ticker and other facilities. From these

    traders we have received many requests for further detailed information

    on Tape Reading; and as the technique of active trading from the tape

    is different from that outlined in the first part of our Course, we

    have prepared the following to meet the requirements mentioned.

    This Division of our Course of Instructionj like the First Divi-

    sion, is based on judgment of the technical position: Supply and demand --

    support and pressure.

    No news, earnings or other corporate or fundamental statistics

    are considered; we use only tho~e which relate to the factors: Price

    Movement, Volume and Time.

    The active trader who is a Tape Reader is concerned only with

    Copyright 1932 by Richard D. Wyckoff TR Section 1 Page 1

  • the immediate*rendof the smallmovesin the murket. This trendcan be

    detectedby thisMethodsoona.i%er~hc openingof the StockExchangeat

    ten o~clockdai~g It may changefrom bQUsh to bmrish, or vice versa$

    and reverseitselffrom one to threetimesduringe.whdays session.

    We instructsuch tradershow to followthesetrends,changing

    or reversingtheirpositionsas oftenas the marketaffordstradingoppor-

    tunities.

    In most instancestradesare closedout the sameday theyare

    made,but i??thereare strongreasonsfor carryingany stockovernight,

    thismay be done.

    Detailedinstructionsare givenas to the best stocksto choose

    and the exacttimeto make commitments,basedon methodsformulatedand

    successfullyemployedfor over twentyyearsof tradingand advisorywork.

    Stop ordersare placedon every trade,from one-halfto one point

    awayfrom the buyingor sellingprice. Thesestopsmust be constantly

    watchedsnd movedas quicklyas the marketpermitsin orderto reduce

    risk,thenprotectprofits.

    This form of tradingdisregardsthe long trendof the market,

    as well iisthe intermediatetrends. It takesinstantadvantngeof the

    technicalralliesand reactionsthatpromiseto yielda profitin the

    same stockmarketsession,on eitherthe long or the shortsideof the

    market.

    -M * *

    Tape Readingis tho art of determiningthe immediatecours~or

    trendof pricesfrom the actionof the marketas it appearson the tape

    of the stockticker. It mims to detectthe mows that are Lik@y to occur

    Copyright1932 by RichardD. Wyckoff TR Section1 Page 2

  • in the next few minutes or hours; gettingin when they beginand getting

    out when they culminate.

    It requiresactivityand flexibilityof mind;readinessto change

    or reverseonesopinionquickly;slsonerve,poise,decision,promptness,

    courageand absoluteindependenceof judgment.

    Its purpos~is to derivean averageprofitfrom a seriesof trades.

    By keepingthe riskdown t~ a minimumand constantlystrivingto reduceit;

    by clevermsmipul.ationof stoporders,a net profitover comiwission~,taxes

    and lossescan be realized.

    All commitmentsare temporary-- theirdurntionis

    ited to hours. They are intended to take advantage of the

    ate fluctuations.

    with this

    (andwork for your

    preferto go home

    Method you, as a trader, search for your

    usuallylim-

    small,imm@i-

    opportunit.ies

    profithare and ~-- today. In mo~;tcasesyou will

    with a clesm sheet -- with no commitments orI either

    sideof the market. Thus v:hen you start trading nuxt morning your mind

    is clearfor new impressions;your judgmentis unbiasedby reasonof your

    neutralposition.

    At eachmo.rninglsopeningyou make

    sensethe trend;decideon the best stock,

    a swiftanalysisof the market;

    and if conditionsare favorable,

    you make your commitment.Thenyou watchthe marketfor a confirmationor

    contradictionof the correctnessof your position. il.1.so for the psycholog-

    ical. moment for noving stops, closingtrades or crowding stops so close to

    the market price that you leavethe way openfor n furtherprofit,or you

    are closedout on stopat a smallfractionfrom the extremehigh or low.

    Tradingthus, you are afforded several times as many opportun-

    Copyright 1932 by Richard D. Wyckoff TR Sectior~1 Page 3

  • itiesin thesesmallswingsw you wouldhave if you wz~itedfor the more

    importantswingsof ten to thirtypoints.

    If a tradedoesnot make goodat once,you closeit out,whether

    it standseven or at a smallloss. You will nevertradewithouta stop,

    foryour risk must be kept down to a minimum. You will nevertakea big

    loss. You will neverbe tiedup. You can claanhousein an instant.

    And you can stayaway from the tickeras oftentandas long m you wish.

    This form of tradingis entirelydistinctand dlffcrentfrom

    thatdescribedin the otherMvi.sionof our Method,whichaims to secure

    profitsfrom the ten, twentyand thirtypoint swings. It meetsthe re-

    quirementsof thosewho wish to trademore or less constantly.

    Includedin thisDivisionof the Courseis a plan for charting

    the detailedtransactionsin certainstocksas they appearon the tape,

    by which you can sense the immediatetrend;figurethe exactpointsfor

    placingyour stopordersand whereta move them to reduceriskwhen the

    marketgoesin your favor. It showsyou how to C1OEWyour tradesthe

    sameday at the most advantageousmomentsby watchingtheseTapeRead-

    ing Chartindicationsand gettingout near the extremepointsin the

    advancesand declines.

    Under tlzisMethodyou mighttakenew positionsfrom one to

    threetimesa day, dependingupon the activityof the market. It is

    the nearestappronchyet devised,so far as I know,to tradingon the

    floorof the StockExchange.

    But the most importantadv,ontageof a combinationof Tape

    Reading end tradingfor the longorswingsis thatit will aid you in

    increasingyour profitsin thisway: Sections11 and 12 of the First

    Divisionof our Courseshowhow to determinewhich stocksshouldmove

    Copyright1932 by ~chard D. Wyckoff i%SectionL Page 4

  • threetc fivepointsin a certaindirection. You applythe TapeReading

    Methodin makingyour trade:ltthe most favorablenoment,and the poGi-

    tionyou then takewith a smallrisk of one-halfto one pointmay later

    developinto Position2 on the long side,or Position4 on the short

    side,and in{dicutea run of ten,twentyor thirtypointsin your favor.

    By thus tradingwith a fractionor a pointoriginalrisk and letting

    your profitrun into the many pointsindicatedin your forecastof the

    probabled3.stancein points,you will greatlywidenyour marginof profit.

    For this reason,theseTapeReadinginstructions,combinedwith our lcmger-

    swingplanwill materiallyenhancethe profitpossibilitiesin bothDivi-

    sionsof the Course.

    Copyright1932by RichardD. P?yckoff

  • ,JUDGINGTHE IMMEDIATETREND.

    For thispurposewe use a Wave Chart,made up of the priceof

    five of the most activeleadingstocks. The pricesof theseare added

    togd+her,and plottedon a sheetof crosssectionpaper,with the time

    scaleat the bottomof the verticallines, and the pricescaleat the

    left,correspondingwith the horizontallines. Specimensheetfollows.

    All movementsin the marketare made up of alternatingbuying

    and sellingwaves. We judgethe strengthor weaknessof the market

    by the distancein pointsand fractionsrecordedby thesewaves;we

    combinethis distancewith the lengthof time eachwave takesto run

    its course.

    In studyingthe distanceand durationof eschwave,if the buy-

    ing wavesare longerin durationand travelfartherthan the selling

    waves,we get an indicationthat the immediatetrendis upward. If

    the sellingwavesexceedthe buyingwavesin timeand distance,the

    immediatetrendis downward. Wheneverthe buyingand sellingwaves

    seemto offseteachotherond no material.strengthor weaknessis in-

    dicated,the immediatetrendis in doubt. Our positionshouldthen

    be neutral.

    Selectthe five leading stocks. At the openingof the market

    add the pricesof theirfirstsales,includingthe fractions,which

    shouldbe addedin eighths. Put a mark at the pricerepresentingtheir

    totalat the properplaceon the price scaleand on the 10 otclockvor-

    Copyright1932 by RichardD. Wyckoff TR Section2 Page 1

  • ticalline. Next wretchfor eithernn upwardor downwardswingto ex-

    haustitself.When it smns to stop,put u dot on the chartat the

    propertime and priceleval. Xf the marketthen reverms its direc-

    tion this prows that tiw po$$tionof the dot is correct. If it goes

    on in the sa@@direction,chmmgethe dot until the movementagainhesi-

    tatesand sh~w~siguoof a reversal.

    Them watchthe new waveuntilit seemsto cam to an end. Place

    the dot, TM marketwill confirmcm contradictyour estimateof that

    turningpoint. And so on untilyou are thoroughlyfomilinrwith judg-

    ing and recordingthe start,durationand finishof each successivewave.

    The ~mmediatotramdis Lndicatodas soanas one buyingand one

    sellingwave havo been complwtmd.You thenknow on which sideis the

    mostpower-. the buyingor the sailingside. And all you have to do is

    to go with that tiido.

    But you must alwayshe on the lookoutfor a changein thisimmedi-

    ate trad. It is likelyto chmge its directionfrom one to threetimes

    in n singleEMZlswion.Thio is how you datectthe change: In an up trend,

    when the selung wavoabeginto increasein time and distancesor the

    buyingwavw mhorten. E$$heror bothwill be an indicationof a change

    in the immediatetrend. Applythe sam reasoningto a dom trend. Watch

    closelyfor thesechamgesfor they tellyou when to buy and sell;when

    to get long or short;when to closeyour presenttradeand reverseyour

    position. IhUtherdetailsare on thQ chart,Page 4-A.

    Rmmber you havenothingto do with the othertrendsof the

    market-- d.thar the long trendor tlw intermediateswingsof 10 to 30

    points. The latterswingsare the basisof the FirstDivisionof this

    Coursein [email protected] Technique. Tradingfor such wings

    is .anentirelydifforentproposition,reqwiringless time and attention,

    Copyright1932 by Rial%mxlD. Wyakoff l% Sect&on2 Page 2

  • but havh$

    uatmg2 m

    Wtv$eC1kmrt

    AJtht$qgh the buying or tlm mmdag WLWQB &ay M $nmic$snt on

    certaindays to carrythe marketin e certaindirectionuntilth~ close,

    thisdoes not man thatit will eontimm to dc so the next day. And it

    do%nnot fnmn thatyOU $hotidWLmy

    Tomorrowf 8 trendwill dofim its~f

    any tmdtxi overnightfor

    in the sameW~. Lnd it

    to go into tommrow~B ses$iomwith any stockson handunlem

    this rmwn.

    is bestnot

    threeis acme

    extrmrdintqf reason in the action of the market. Such a rcmon wouldbe,for example,a strongdmmkapmnt of powerMar the beginningof what looks

    like an %mportAntbull or km swing,$mlicated~ increasingactivityand

    volm in a @ten direction~with scamdy any pointsof llesitntion,or

    ralb$ or reac$im$ ZM the mm may be. In suchinstonces,a longpmition,

    for exmpla$ mightbe allow$xito run with R frequentraisingof stopsso

    thata tmdo originallymd~ with a half to one pointstopmightrun into

    mvmal or many pointsand thu$ixmrmso the net averageof profiton all

    yo@ tra$wlfor the month. Full advantageof sucha situationmy be

    takenby them who understandcw IWthod of +awUnfg for the largarstings

    and cm forecm% the probablemmiimr of

    anc$Ba tradeis Xnadoon $dW Str(wagth of

    @A$ well may from the startingpoint,

    points certainstocksshouldmove.

    dimctiarm hmd.n, and its price

    and imdicate&,accmding to the

    othatMvisim of our Methodsthatit will probabLydmmlop a move of

    M to 30 pm!.ntsethe traderU.owflhia profitto run accordingto instruc-

    tiOXiS, and lmg#!profitsshouldrm~t.

    The Wawo Charttwdwm Tape Reading. Afteryou have used it for

    a while,you ~ not need it. Yom aye and brainwill seo and record

    Copytight1932 w E4idmrdD. Wgckoff TR Section2 Page 3

  • the wave

    you have

    CM&t too quicklyand do not mpoct intuitionto comeuntil

    had long wpmienca and much practice.

    ***

    Tho fiveleaders$hculdalwaysbe repr~sentativeof tho market.

    At timeswhm a leading railhu~ considerableeffectit shouldbe in-

    cluded. At othertimesa ut$ll,ty,like ConsolidatedGas,mightcoae

    to the front;it shouldtak~the placeof somootherleaderso long as

    this ColditicmLmate. Selwtion of tlwse leadersmay btilikenedto ob-

    smwingtho pullingpowerof a &oup of fivehorses: If you ware driving

    t?nwh a groupamd you naticmione horselaggingin tae tr~aeasnd another

    [email protected] aheadof the rw$t,you wouldat oncedecidethatthe fcxmr

    shouldba [email protected] that the Iattw is the real leader. Applythis

    roason$ngin Ice@ping your fivm leaders amcmgtho most reprosmtative of

    all the stock~in the mark~tin theirabilityto influencethe rest of

    the list. Keep weiglxtngthe$Qfrom day to day. Wood out poor ones,

    whichmmns thosethathaw lost theirinflucance,or have becometoo in-

    activeto be included.

    **-W

    Chartof the previousday shouldbe beforeyou when

    so thatyw get the relationof todaytsmarketto that

    of ywterday.

    Copyright193$? by Fti.chwd D. Wyckoff TR Section2 Page 4

  • -4

    \

  • BUYINGAND SELLINGWAVES

    (IhelVaveChart-PartII)

    In the FirstDivisionof our Courseof Instruction,Section

    4, we presentedPart I on the use of the Wave Chart. The materialin

    Part I di~cussasin somowhatgreaterdetailthe instructionsset forth

    in TR Section2 of the Second Division;therefore,it may be substi-

    tutedfor this last-namedSection. Or, if you prefer,you may remove

    PartsI and 11 from theirpresentbindersand placethornin a separate

    loose-leaffolder. You will then havea completetextbook on the theory

    of the Wave Clurtas I havedevelopedand expandedit.

    On pages 7 to 9 of Part I, I showedyou how to interpretthe

    Wave Chartfrom the standpointof pricemovement,durationof each buy-

    ing and sellingwave,and comparf.i.tive supportor pressure. The follow-

    ing illustrationwill showin more detailhow to applythe additional

    factorsof volumeand activityto your analysisof the smallwaves.

    Copyright1934 by RichardD. Wyckoff,Inc. TR Section2-A Page 1.

  • Fl 340335FIG.1

    In thisillustration(Figure1),

    it will be seenthatvolumeand activity

    both shrinkto very smallproportionson

    the littlebuyingand sellingwavesfrom

    10 olclockto 1:40P.M. The day starts

    with a smallrallywhichis promptlyfol-

    lowedby a smalldip. Bullsand bearsare

    evidentlywellmatchedat thispoint.

    Afterthe firstdip (Period2), the bulls

    try to put pricesup, but theyfail to at-

    tracta following,as shownby the failurein fnctjht thereit iS iKI ~ nutshell. Do not let its

    brevitydisguim its value.

    When you see the runn?agcw!workingback and forthover a trad-

    ing area,you till genmnlly findyour individualstockdoingthe same.

    Not always,however. All stocksdo not move alike,ss you know. Your

    zavarage~may be in a tradingzoneund otherstocksmay have small,medium

    or wide wings withoutaffectingthese. Your stockmay not be included

    in the+averaga$;whetherit is or not, rememberyouare tradingin q

    X and not in the averages.

    The upperand lowerboundariesof thesetradingswingsrepresent

    the points(at the tops)wheresupplyovercomw demandand (at the bottoms)

    wheredemandexceedssupply. Unlessthe actionof your stockindicates

    (bymethod$we shall.explain)thatit is goingout of its presenttrad-

    ing range,youm purchasesshouldbe mado aroupclthe bottomsof these

    shortswingsand your sales~long or shart~around.the tops. This seems

    a simplething,but very few peoplecan do it. That is becau8etheyhave

    not had the properinstruction,or thqyhavenot studiedand practiced

    it. We will showyou how to do this accordingto our Tape ReXiingChart

    the most perfeatmethodthat,ao far an we know,haa ever been dwised

    for thosewho tradefrom the tape,in an office,or on the floorof the

    StockExchange. If one is a mmbcr of tho Exchangeand cun tradefrom

    the tape on thtifloor,thiswill be found,allthe more valuable. It is

    qlained in Saction5 of thisDivisionof the Ccur8e.

    Mmntinc conaidorthe positionof a singlestockwith its move-

    mentsplottedon the !&we Chart,and in connectionwith its location

    Copyright3932by Riahmd D. Wyckoi3? TR SQctlon& Page 2

  • in it#3 trading area. lf it it3 0- b@tVJW#Ek 30 @Ud 35 ~ ShC@dglvs incmcu!k%g atlmtiom to its bwy$mgopportawaitim a$ it approaches

    30,and its su~ m it n8arS 35. lhidtdcms not meanthat you are

    to buy or EoU at or near $hcm paints, Imt that you are to watoh

    out for CMUMMMfor profit inticati by the action of your atmk on the

    WaveCkrt, ax@ on the Tapa Ramiing Chart referred to above. You nevar

    know, when a atmk appmacbw the upper or lower level$ d a trading

    rangs vkthar, this time, it will go on through; so you do not take a

    poaition until you have all the fmts awmmbhd, i.Q., transferred

    frm tha tape to yaur Wave Chart and your Tape Reading Chart.

    * * or Mttom is a small turning point, and even a small

    one maydevelop into one that is important.

    Cop~ght 1932by Ftidmd D. W@koff TRSIWtion~ Page3

  • TRADINGAREAOF AUBURNMOTORS

    DURINGMAYANDEARLYJUNE,1952ILLUSTRATEDIN LINECHARTFORM

    SHOWINGACCUMULATIONIN PRWARATIONFORAN ADVANCE.

    CONFIRMATIONOF TRENDX INDICATEDBY THECORRESPONDING

    TAPEREADINGCHART

    w

    50

    APRIL /WA Y ~UfVE

    Copyright19$52by RichardD. Wyckoff TR Section4 Page3-A

  • THE TAPE REAl)UW

    It iEltwanty-fivayearssince

    WART.

    I firstbeganto fmocaW the

    owing movemmts of the mrket from its own actionas it appearedon

    #* tapeof the stockticker. M&ny mmorendawere mcessary at the

    bqinnirig, bwt

    duced q notm

    tim possible.

    as I developedeffioimcyin thisart,I graduallyre-

    and chartsto a minim, wheneverI found sim@ifica-

    It &$ one thingto learnto read the tapeand to develop

    therefromonors$@mnt md intuition,and another to teachother

    peoplehow W do it, makingeverythingperfeotlyclearand practical.

    I have dooid~dthat tho ~wsiestway form to teachand for you to

    learnTape R8ading

    dmwibed bdOW.

    This Chart

    Vohm and l%m in

    is by mmns of the Tape ReadingChartwhichis

    CQIUIXLIMWthe three wkttil fttctow PriceMovexmmt,moh a ww thata tradercan see at a glancejust

    what a certa$nstockis doing?howit

    tions;the valumeof-a; the

    cldmm?;the proportionof tha rallies

    aats on the rallies and retac-

    progressof the advancesand de-

    ad rmotdms to previousswings)

    the lines of! mpply and dmand; the best

    M6MUM of d63C$dillgwhen to U!OV9 stops

    fact,combimm, on one page,most of

    TapeReader.

    It cm be kept on a sheetof

    oblomgin

    (33p&i#rt

    the

    locationfor stoporders;the

    how far, etc. This Chart,in

    indicationsrequiredby the

    crossewtion paper. If thisbe

    -- of th fiveleadersand of a

    TR t%ctin 5 PqB 1

  • single stick-- can be kept on the samesheet,so thata complete

    pictureof the marketmay be had in combination with tho TapeReading

    Chart. If severalindividualstocksare charted on separatesheets

    in thisform,the WavQ Chartcan be recordedon a sheetof transparent

    paper,half this sire,so thatIt can be laid over any individualstock

    chartin oral@to see how that stockis actingin comparisonwith tha

    five haders.

    Let UEIstudythe

    the specimen~heetwhich

    Canstrnctionof

    follows. This

    this Tape

    dmuld be

    binderand kid besidethis textin orderfullyto

    placations.Tho Charthas a price scaleat the left. The full figures

    ReadingChartfrom

    takenout of the

    understandthe ex-

    are in one column and the fractionsin the next. The figuresrecorded

    in the chartareprice, When the

    in at the proper

    the totalnumberof sharesdeslt in at each fractional

    pricechsnges,the volumeat the newprioe is filbd

    levelon the chart. WNn a prhe is skippeda cipher

    is @nt@redat the fract$onwhere thre were no sales. Now watchthis

    pointvery carefullybocau$eon it

    in makingW9 kind of a chart;it

    get it clearlyinto your mindyour

    saleat a certainprice,you enter

    #are 18

    Cohmn.

    Imtz$at

    blankspaceat the pH3pW

    dependsyour gettingthe rightstart

    is simpleenough,but ifycnado not

    chartwill not be correct. Aftera

    the next salein the w _ u

    level,aboveor below,in that same

    But if that spacesaboveor below,be filled,you make the

    the next vacantspace~~-. This will b~ perfectly

    clearwhan you go over the folkowingdetailedexplanation.

    Your Chart,recordingthe movementsof J. I. Case beginsat

    10 A. M. with totalsaibsd 300sharesat 4.0, This%)0 mi$ht h8Ve

    beenmade

    Cqlymq$lt

    up og severallot~;so long aa scalescontinuedat thatprice

    1932bYRicbiIwd m wpkm TRSecti43m5 Paga 2

  • thaywere addedtogetherand recordedall at oncemen the mice than~ed,

    Not until tnendo you know thattharewill be no uore salesat thatprice

    for the moment.

    The ne$ctsaleis 100 at 40-1/4. As thcxwwereno salesat 40-1/8,

    a cipheris enteredat the 40-1/8level,and the figure1 is enteredon

    tha 40-1/4I.inB.Now you have threefiguresin the firstcolumn 9 on

    the 40 level;O on the 1/8 leveland 1 on the 1/4 level.

    The nsdctsaleis 40-1/8,only 100 shares;next 200 at 40. These

    two figuresmust go in the secondcolumnas the firstcolumn5.sfilled

    on thosetwo levels;next sale40-1/8(100);then200 at 40-3/8(O on the

    40-1./4level);then 100 at 1/2;no salesat 5/8; a totnlof 2100at 40-3/4;

    none at i$o-7/8~ 200 at 41.; norm at 41-1/8;200 at 41-1/4;200 at 41.-3/8.

    All theseitem@were recordedin the thirdcolumnbecausethe advance

    continuedstre4.ghtup to 4.3.-3/8withouta singlefractionalreaction.

    The next tremmction is 100 at Q, so in the fourthcolumnwe

    must anterO on the 41.-l./4and 43.-1/8levels. Next s~.e100 at U-U8*

    As the spaceabove the previoussoleis alrenclyoccupiedby u cipherwe

    must enterthibin the next column,and when the followingsaletakes

    pkacaat u it goes justbelowthe previoussale-- in the samecolumn.

    with that exphnationas to how to startkt?cping& chartofthiskind~

    whichis redly Q l/8-pointfigurechart,combiningvolumeand price

    movoment}I WW proceedwith the instructionsas to how this cmt

    shouldbe used in actualtradingand forecasting.

    On JaKNWY19, 1932,Case opensat 40. Our positionis neutral.

    We wish to make n tradoon eitherthe long or the shortsideas soonr-s

    Copykight1932by RichardD. Wyckoff TR Section5 Page 3

  • the stock sham a tendency. Let us as~ume that the indications on the

    Wave Chart sow after tlds opining were bullish, but that we wish to

    wait until the stock itself has givsn some sign of a definite tendency.

    There may be an opening bu%ge M.rt this may not be its true direction,

    00 we shall wsit until the indications are definilm enough to promise

    a worthwhile swing. We allow1/2 a pointfor commissionend taxes,so

    it is best not to go into a trade

    points. If we had the background

    wouldknow be~terjustwharethis

    that dotsnot promisethreeto five

    of the previousdsylstrading,we

    stockstands;but startingfrom scratch,

    We must wait ~til the stocktellsUS what it is probablygoingto do be-

    forewe make a commitment.

    In learningto read thesecharts,it is best to cQverwith a

    sheetof papermost of the chart,sxposingone columnat a time ~

    drawingthe sheett the right. In this way there is 10ss temdamcy

    to form judgmqptson the basisof what alreadyap~)earson the chart.

    ThisMethodnqy be followedin a studyof all formsof charts,care

    beingtakennot to see the goncralformationin detailbeforestudy

    is

    at

    at

    begun.

    Afterthe

    @-1/~; 100 at

    opening 900 Aares at 40--

    l/8; 200 at 40; 100 at 40-1/8;

    40-1/2; and a total of 2,100 at 40-3/4. Then

    the tape shows 100

    200 at 40-3/8; 100

    200 at &l; 200 at .

    4=/4; 200 at &3/8 -. R rise of 1-3/8 from the opening. Tho re-

    actionrecordedby 100 sharessellingat 42.marksfor the presentthe

    boundaryline of that tradingrangeof 1-3/8 for the day so far. We

    do not wish to take a positionuntilthe stockclearlyindicatesthat

    it is goingout of thatrange. TO tradewithinit mightnot giveus

    enoughroom to turn aroundin, and PW

    Comght 1932 by Richard D. Wyckoff

    l/2-point for overhead.

    TR Section5 Pago 4

  • Next the tape records 10(3 at &l-1/8 j 100 at @; 300 at &l-1/8;

    300 at 43.;300 at 41-1/8j 100 at 41-1/4;200 at 41-1/8;100 at 41-1/4.

    The tradingrangehas narrowedto 1/4 of a point; we are still in doubt.

    Next saleis 3000at 40-3/4-- a sign of weakness, becausetherewere

    no salesbetwaen43.-1/4and 40-3/4;thisindicates@ thinmarket. Next

    900 at 40-5/8;800 at 40-1/2;500 at 40-3/8;300 at 40-1/4. Those sales

    total 35OO shaxes,all takenwithinthe rangeof 40-3/4down to @-1/4.

    Hereis same a%rength,but it may mean only temporarysupport. The chart

    must tellus what the insidersare tryingto do with theirstock. Are

    they supportingit becausetheywant to sellat higherprices,or do they

    r@wXlywant to acquirea lot of the stock? They take 900 at 40-1/2,mak-

    ing@ aroundthatlevel;then300 at 40-5/8;WO at 40-7/8;and 1000

    at 43. That is 6,OOOmhareaon the way down to 40-1/4and up to Q. That

    dossnot lookMke tnqhg for the sakeof accumulation.If they really

    wantedthis stocktheywcWd not have bid up for it; theywouldhaveput

    it down. So hereis our indicationthat the pool is tr@ng to selland

    not to buy. We form a tentativelybearishattitudeand wait for the

    marketto confirm,cancelor reverseit.

    The biddingup proceeds~400 at 41.-l/8;600 at 41-1/4;1.400at

    41-1/2. Now the pricestundsat a new high for the day whichhas the

    appearanceof an artificialbulgemade by the pool in order to attract

    outsidebuying, It required8400 shams to be takenin orderto advance

    the stockl-1/&points. Thisis not bullishbecauseof the way theydid

    it; tkrefore, bearish. Unlessthis stockgoes on upwardand its volume

    increasesas it advancos$we are lookingfor a chanceto go short.

    The tapenext records700 at &L-3/8and 400 at 41-1/2;then

    (k)pyright1932 by RichardD. Wyckdf TR Section5 Page 5

  • 400 at &b3/8. So far the rise is checked. Tk poolor someoneis

    tryingto sell,for tha tape sqm $00 at 41-1/4;then100 at Q and

    400 at 40-7/8, Thisis a half-wayreactiorIfollowingthe bulgefrom

    40-1/4 to 41-1/2. Thik reactionconfirmsthe checkingof the rise and

    narrowsthe tradingrangeto 5/$ -- between40-7/8and 41-1/2. We

    shouldgo with the stockwhan it goesout of that range;thatis, we

    shouldsellit shorton a bulge,andaworing to get as high a price

    as possibleso as to keep our riskdowm to a minimum. Remmber that

    we are tradingnow with a 1/2 to 1 pointstop end it wouldbe betterto

    lose opportunities,becausethereare plentyof them,thanto be so eager

    to tradethatwe takean a risk largerthanthe dove.

    There$s a rallyof 3/8 on a single100 sharesat 41-1/4. It

    looksllke a m@c-up ~ the specialist,or an odd lot houseMy#mg to

    Won up. Another100 at 4&l/8, them600 at Q. The stockis heavy.

    W look for a rallyon whichto sell. Thisis confirmedby the next

    sale700 at i&3/4, whichis lJ8 underthe previouelow; then MOO at

    40-7/8j200 at Q; 100 at &l/8 -- decreasingvolumeon the rally.

    - w a m _ Q M ~d we get & for it. we ~t a l-point

    stopat 42 [in$icatedby an S) in the 42 space. 300 sharesmore are

    soldat thatpkice~makingit 400, followedby 100 at 40-7/8snd 800

    at 40-3/4.

    The chartnow has a slab-sideddownwardformation,made by sever-

    al lemming tops. A rallyto 41.1/4occurs cm lightvolume,confirming

    the prwious b$arishindic~tion.Someoneelse triesto sell.300 and gets

    Q foxit, folkowedby 100 at @-7/8. The l/4 pointrallywhichfollows

    at &l/8 is the weak~atya%. Then comes300 at Q; 200 at 40-3/4;100

    at i@-5/8-- a now fractionallow on the down ting sinceit made 41-1./2,

    Mtt30 dwmnd at the low level. (lhddo the stockis bid up 5/8 snd

  • 1300 shareschangehandsat 41-1/4.It looksartificial,particul.mly

    when a quickslumpto 40-5/8follows. Now observe1/8 pointrallyto

    4&3/4j a returnto the 40.5/8low on 100; anotherweak rallyup to @(n lowertop)3 then t!m real slumpbegins.

    When the stockreaches40-1/2we reduceour stopto 41-1/2--

    our riskis only 1/2 of a pointnow, for overhead.

    Thereis only one rallyof 1/8 on 100 sharesat 40-3/8. Then

    a new ).OWat 39-3/4;anoth~rrallyof 1/8 on 400 shares to 39-7/8;

    thena new low at 39.1/2.Note that the volumeincreasedon the down

    side. Therewere only mall lots soldin the upper40s. More sub-

    stantiallotswere soldmound 40 and under. Add the salesat 39-3/4

    acrossthe page horizontallyand you find they

    thesetakingsare not sufficientto absorbthe

    dip to a new low -- 11OG at 39-3/8. When this

    * to 40-1/$.

    are 4400 shares. But

    supply,as provenby a

    Ocxmrs~-QJ&

    The declinecontinuesanother3/4point with a totalof 2300

    at 39, and a low levelof 38-5/8,then200 at 38-3/4;200 at 3~7/8;

    100 at 38-3/4;600 at 3g-5/8;then a 1/4pointrallyto 38-7/8. Note

    thatofferingsare gettingvery thinhere;that is, the volumemound

    this levelis light. When the stockagaindips to 38-5/8,we bringour

    stopdown to 39, becausewe do not want it to rallyeven1/8 abovethe

    38-7/8levelwithouttakingour profit.

    and we must not let thatprofitget awe.y

    with a cleansheet. Thereis a rallyto

    at 38-3/4;@O at 38-7/8and500at 39.

    have our profitfor th~ day.

    Our initialriskwas 1 point,or

    Copyri@t 1932 by RichardD. Wyckoff

    It is gettingtoward3 otclock

    fromus if we went to go home

    38-7/$on 100 shares;then100

    Thiscatchesour stopemd we

    1-1/2allowingfor overhead.

    TR Section5 Page 7

  • dewere able to reducethatrisk to 1/2 point,then reduceit to nothing--

    the flatpride (meaningthe priceat whichit was sold);then to 40-1,/8

    whichassureda 7/8 grm!$ ptofit;then to 39, whichwas 3/8 from the

    dayslow, at whichpricethe tradewas closodwith a net profitof

    1-1/2points.

    Thereis a littlestockfor saleon the closingrallybut we

    get no cue fnom it for the next daylssassion;M fnctjwe would

    rathernot carryany impressionshone withus as we preferto have

    am unbiasedopinionwhen the marketopensin the morning.

    ***

    Note: A numberof otherchartsand interpretationsof thiskind will befoundin the ChartStudies,followingSection1.2.Additionalstudias will be addedlateron. Many detaihd instructionsinChartReadingare includedin Mvision 1 of thisCourse.

    Copyri&@t 1932 by RichardD. Wyckoff TllSection5 Page 8

  • .

    --

    i

    TAPEREADINGCHART

    OF J. 1. CASE JAN. 19, 1932

    In FigureChartFormShowingEach l/8 PointMowWithVolumeat EachPrice

    UNIT OF VOLUME= 100 SiARli3

  • HOW TO SPOTTHE BUYING

    WITHIN A SMALL

    AND SELLINGPOINTS

    FRACTION.

    Numerousexampleeas to how this shouldbe doneare foundin

    the explanationsof the TapeReadingC!harts.But thereare some

    finepointswhichmay be made a littleniore

    this: V/emust learnto anticipatethe high

    dayismovesby assemblingin our minds,and

    factorsthatpointto a certainconclusion,

    clear. One of theseis

    and low spotsin the

    from the chart,all the

    and if this conclusion

    is justifiedat what we believeto be the rightmoment,it becomes

    a commandto lx%de. Thusit will be seen that thereare two important

    steps: makingthe diagnoaisand actingupon it.

    The marketis cdnt$nuallygivinginformationas to its tech-

    nical.position. It does thisthroughthe Wave Chart,whichfdrmsyour

    background,and forecaststho immediatetrend. It givesfurtherin-

    formationas to the particularstockin whichyou are tradingif you

    will plot a Wave Chartof that stockon the sane sheetwith tha Wave

    Chartof the fiveleadingstocks.

    all the littledetailoif you will

    stockon the same sheetas the two

    In additionto the above,you get

    keep the Tape ReadingChartof that

    Wave Charts. With thesethreeand

    your eye on the tapeyou am well equipped.

    Thus fortifiedtherewill be no reasonto buy on bulgesand

    sellon wmk spots;for$in this form of trading,theseare not oppor-

    tunities to m&e profitsbut to make lossQs. If you sellon weakness

    with a shortstopyou increaseyour chances of havingthat stop caught.

    Oopyright1932 by MoW D. Wyckoff 1RSection6 Page 1

  • But if you forma beariehconclusionand mit for z bulgeon whichto

    tie your position,the chancesfavora profit. All suchtechnique

    must be takeninto consideration.You must mieavor in everymy to

    increasethe percantagoin your favor.

    Ono of the nest importantways of doingthisis to learnto do

    your buyingon whatI call the drivedown;thatis, duringa selling

    wave end at ju$tabouta minutebeforethiswave ands-- whilethe

    pressureis on~ not wha you see it hesito.to,but a minutebefore

    that,beccuscit takesa minutefor your orderto get into the crowd

    and be executed. (Ifit ttakosmore than th:.~ton the average,your

    brokeris slowor he has too much businesson hand to giveyou the

    rightexecutions.)

    Sellingon the driveup is justas important. Most of the

    bulgesin a stackare made by pools,specialists,manipulatorsand

    floortradersto induceoutsidersto buy. If you lenrnto spotthese

    play$,you have all thwe interestsworkingfor insteadof againstyou.

    Take advantageof the pl,ablictstendencyto buy on bulgesand

    sellon wwkneas by doingthe reverseof this. It is betterto get out

    too soonthan to overstay. The publicusunllyoverstays.

    Watch the Y?aveChartfor your cue. If you expectto buy, and

    the five leadersare showingan up trendfor the timebeing,wait for

    the sellingwave. Look back and see how long the previousdownwave

    lastd; judge~ thatand the actionon the tapeabouthow far thisdown

    wava will go, Watch the Wave Chartof the individualstockycJuare trad-

    ing in, almo the TapeReadingChartfor volumes,comparativestrengthor

    weakmss, and 41 the othertechnicalpointsmentionedin chartinter-

    pretation. Learn to combineall thesevariousLndicationainto a sound

    Copyright1932 by Fu.cmrd D. Wycdmff IllSeetion6 Page 2

  • conclusion,and when you hmvemade it, timeyour

    momentwhenyou givethe order,just as you time

    to hit a golfball correctly.

    stroke;thatis, the

    your strokein order

    Watchfor the pausesthatmark the end of the buyingand sell-

    ing waves. They indicatethatthe forces that producedthe wave have

    cmhaustodthemselves. For a mouentor two, evenin a fairlyactive

    market,the tiokeris quiet. Theseare likeperiodsat the end of

    paragraphs;a naw phaseof the tapetsstoryusuallyfollows.

    V?hena stockhesitatesit notifiesyou thatit has lost its

    momentumin the directionin whichit has been traveling. YOU should

    thenquicklymnkeup your ruindwhetherit is advisableto buy or sell

    or moveyour stoporder. Any haltmay be the finalturningpoint

    thatmove. If you have studiedthe FirstMvision of this Course

    knowhow to judgethe distancewhicha stockshouldmove,you are

    in

    and

    well

    fortified;you can more easilydi6tin@sh the haltingplacesfrom the

    probableturningpoints. Thereare more haltingplacesthan turning

    points. The periodsof hesitationusuallyindicatea reversalof

    temporarytrend. They also oftenmark the beginningof a nsw trading area.

    Everymove startsat the end of a previousmove. If thereare

    indicationsth~tthe comingmove will be important,take advantageof it.

    If thereare no suchindications,let it pass.

    Alwaysbe expectinga change. Be constantlyon your guardand

    readyto closeyour tradeat the firstsignof danger. (Seeillustra-

    tionsin the TapeReadingCharts.)

    Even WBenyou havemovedyour stopcloseto the marketpricefor

    your ~tock,t~ to do betterby sellingon a strongspotor buying on

    w%ahmas if yow reallydesireto closeyour trede.

    Copyright1932 byltiohardD. Wyokoff TR Sectian6 ?age 3

  • When am upwardor dawnwwd move is losingaoraeof its forceit

    will be indicatedby a shorteningof the upwardor downwardthrustsas

    shownon the T@e ReadingChart.

    NeverXes,chfor a stockaxceptin somecaseswhereyou are pyra-

    midingand have a substantialprofiton paper. Even at such timesthere

    is frequentlyan opportunityto buy on CLreactionaftera breakthrough

    on the up sidesor a rallyfollowinga breakthroughon the down side.

    Copyri@xt1932 by Ridmrd D. ?@kdf TsRSecWcm 6 Page k

  • JUDOXNG

    We do not

    Sl%WWTHORWSAKWWSBY

    subscribeto the thf30~

    equalin the Stockmarketbecausev#Jhave

    in a prmcticalway. Evenif it were trne

    see how one couldmake any moneythere~.

    gainedby watchingthe half-waypointson

    for judgingst#engthor weakness.

    m w WAYpoINTS.

    that actionand reactionare

    rarelyfoundit to work

    in the stockmarket,we

    But thereis advsntage

    out

    do not

    to be

    rallies

    When a stockadvancestwo pointsand then

    may be calleda normalreaction;but if it reacts

    givm us an indicationof strength. If it reacts

    thereis sn indicationof weakness. Used in this

    and reactionsas a basis

    reactsone point,it

    less than a point,it

    more than a pointP

    ways with the half-

    way point as a sort of measuring stick, we can really derivean advantage

    Thisis provenby the numerousexamplesexplainedin the text acccmqmny-

    ing our Tape RaadingCharts.

    Other signswhichmay be includedunderthis head are thoseex-

    treme caseswhere,aftera movement

    direction,Q reversemovementtakes

    all of the precedingmove. A stock

    greaterthanthe sellingpower;but

    of say threepointsin a certain

    placeto the extentof all or nearlyA

    advancesbecausethe buyingpoweris

    if it doesnot hold this advcwe: if

    it immediately reversesand losesall or most of what it has gained,this

    tellsus that ~omeoneet once took advantage of the strengthand soldthe

    stockback to its starting point by offering more shares than the buyers

    were willing tO accept.

    co-t %932 by FNdMu@ TRSa4#3n 7 Pa&&i1

  • The saxwillustrationmay be appliedto a raidor drivedown

    of say threepo$ntsmore or less,folhwsd ~ a recoveryof practically

    tie sameamount. ThisiB a signof strengthbeoausethe reboundshowed

    thattharewas more Wam@h thanweakness. This signis more bullish

    thanbearishbeqausethe sellers,hming spenttheirforce,are met and

    ovwx%xneby the buyars,who, at the momentof completionof the recovery?,.,

    are in a comparativelystrongpodtion. They have takenall offerings

    on the way down and whataverstoodin theirway on the advance. The

    floatingsupply~s thus reduced;unlessfurtherofferingsappearhigher

    up thatthey are not MJM.ng to take,the way is thenopen for a still

    further advance.

    Studyand learnall thesetechnicalpoints. Considereve~-

    thhg that appearson the tape as an evidencaof supportand I.Mting

    power,or pressureand sellingpower. Continuallycomparethe strength

    of theseforces. Use all th~ judgmentand reasoningpowerat your

    command. Endeavorto improveyour judgmmt by constantstudyand prac-

    tice. Striveto liftyour Judgmmt from commonplaceto good;from good

    to better;from betterto excellent.

    When your judgmentha~ becomeexcellentthroughyour own efforts

    mkwmborthat

    tion; so that

    psycholckgiml

    you can carryit to a higherpointby trainingyour intui-

    aftera whileyou wLLl get the pulseof the marketand the

    momentfor tradingdown to sucha finepointthatyou can

    form conclusionswithoutconsciousreasoning.You can learnto act on

    theseintuitiveconclusionsamd tha go back and chackup your recsons

    in orderto find out how goodyour intuition$@ becoming.

    Copyfi$ht1932 by Riehatrd D. Wyckoff TRs&?ctiom7 Page 2

  • MM TO KEEP A PEWEMTAGEIN YOURFAVOR.

    Thisis accomplishedchieflythroughthe IMtation, reduc-

    ticmand d.iillh~tiOtl af risk. Thatswum: (1) You must immediately

    placea stoporderas soonw eachn~ tradeis executed. (2) You

    mast move thie stopto reduceyour risk as soonas the marketwill.

    permitwithoutendangeringthe lifeof your trade. (3) You must

    furthermove the stopso as to covorthe priceat whichthe trade

    was made,end (4) you must move your stop stillfurtherwheneveryou

    havea chanceto insurethme~ a part or most of your profit. These

    four stepsare vitalto this form of trading. Unlessyou carrythem

    out cold-bloodedly-- withouthope or fear -- and persistentlyand.

    with determination,you will greatlyreduceyour chancesfor success.

    Baaedon your intentionof tradingfor the swingsof 3 to 5

    pointsthat occurin a dny!s session,or perhapstwo or threedaysin

    succession,your riskis kept down to a smallpercentageof your pros-

    pectiveprofitby placingstopOrders1/2 to 1 pointawey;but %fyou

    shouldfail to use thesestopsin the way indicated,you are positive-

    ly incraesingthe percentageof your risk.

    At 1/2 pointr$sk and 3./2pointfor commissions and otherover-

    head?you can bo wrongtw$ceout of threetimesif you realizeon the

    thirdtradea profitof threepoints. Your two losseswouldbe 1 point

    each,or a tdal. of 2 points,includingoverhead;the thirdtradewould

    carryan overhoadof 1/2 point, making 2-1/2. Henceyour net profit

  • wouldbe 1/2 pointon the threetrades~

    On a W30ratical.1 pointriskwith

    you are wrongtwicefor 1 pointeach time,

    a 5 pointobjective,if

    thatwouldbe 2 pointslost.

    Iiyour profiton the thirdtradewere

    duct the two losses(2 points)and the

    wouldtotal14/2 points,making3.1/2

    5 points,you wouldhave to d+

    overheadon threetrades,which

    pointsdebitand 5 pointscredit;

    a net of 1-1/2pointson the threetrades;or an averageof l/2-point

    on eachtrade.

    We do not claimthatyou cen make cut and driedtransactions

    likethis,but we emphasizethe pointthatyou mustkeepyour los~es

    plus overheadin suchproportionto your profitsthatyou will have a

    [email protected] the good. This whc)leplan for activetradinginvolvosbuy-

    ing rightand sellingright,and lettingtradesrun in your favoruntil

    you observetechnicalindicationsthat theyhave gone as far as you can

    reasonablyexpecton the strengthof

    whichyou startwith anticipationof

    severalpointsand helpyour average

    On the otherhand,your risk

    your diagnosis. Thus many a trade

    a pc~intor two profitmay run into

    profitfor the week or month.

    is strictlylimitedfrom the start;

    it is ~evor increased. It is frequentlydecreased.Many timesyou can

    plug a profitwith a stoporderso thatit cannotget away fromyou.

    Thereinliesyour expectationfor success. You aim at n largerprofit

    thanloss in everytrade. You keep a percentagein your favor.

    Rememberthatwe have by thismethodeliminatedall guessing;

    all tradingon tips,hopes,hunches,hearsay,news,information,sta-

    tistic; snd thatwe are tradingon the basisof stockmarkettechnique

    whichhas its rootsin th~ law of suppQ and demand,the onlyreal funda-

    mental on whicha

    copyright1932w

    soundmethodmy be

    Richard D. Nyckoff

    based.

    J%section8 Page 2

  • TRADINGON INITIAL ACTIVITY.

    Deciding upon the stock in whichto trademay sometimesbe

    done tQ adventage by letting the marketitselftellyou thathere is

    an opportuni~.

    You watchthe tqpe. You have no commitments.

    of the five leadersis beforeyou, on a sheetof chart

    Your Wsve Chart

    paper. You make

    mentalnote of the pricesthatare flowingacrossthe Tape or Translux.

    You wait for impressions.

    Suddenlyyou noticea certainstockgettingactiveon the up

    or down side. If it is movingin harmonywith the trendof the five

    leaders,you immediatelytakea positionin it, long or short,with a

    stop1/29 3/4 or 1 pointawqy. Thenyou go back over the tape and make

    a Tape ReadingChartof it from the openingor from some r@uonabh dis-

    tanceback. Iithe high and low pricesare on the quotationboardbe-

    foreyou,you ean mark theseon the left sideof your chartas a guide

    to the daytsr≱thenif you have a verticalline chartof that stock

    in your collectionyou cen see whereit stands;whetherit is in a narrow

    tradingrange,or movingout of it on the up or the down side,heading

    towarda new level.

    Your incentiveto tradeis due to the fact that this stockwhich

    has been idlingalongin a very narrowrangeand with smallvolume,is

    now becominga~tive. lhisactivitymmn~ that somebodyis gettingbusy

    in it and

    Copyri$lt

    you inferthathe may be in pomswmion of informationlikelyto

    1932~ RZchmrdD. Wydw)ff !FRSection9 Page 1

  • MlLwrm sup$dy m dummd or thatits t$dkmiml positionis suchthattheyWlleve theyc-anmoveAt to aao4#mxMval ad realisea profit.

    You, thereforq,hop m th@ etm!kmd Ad% along with whoever iS en-

    glnm%ng the Imve. l!hw you hmre him workingfor you. You are tak-

    ing a ride,M to spedq m a qmz%al traincharteredand pUd for by

    mmane @lse.

    Your Mpe ReadingGhartwill giveyou all tie details. You mu

    judgenot onl#by what he does but & what he dom not do, for it must

    be yuur first precmut$m to see thathe is not makinga falsemove %n

    the appositedirectiontowmd whid he intendsto melm his P*. That

    ia$ he may be pl- a down wing, eo M first bids the stockup a

    po$mtor twc in orderto attracta followingof buyersto whomhe can

    13ella largerquantity-- -eitheron the my up or beginningat the top

    and mZIAng it back. If he intendsto bull tho stockhe may driveit

    dawn firstso as to CMMII out the stop ozdersbelowond mcum all the

    stockhc can find aroundthe 2017 kvel. Hence you must be on your guard

    tith your stoporderfor it ia ymr onlyprotectionagainsta sudden

    revoraaland a big 10SS.

    If, hawever,the aperatm is reallybull$ngthe stock(or bear-

    ing it, ae the casemy be) d raullygoes on with the deal the my he

    startedit, your stoporderis safe,so long aQ you do not gd it up too

    closeto the priceof the @ock so thatyou are kickedout on a small

    reaction. Keepyour stopat a safedistance- on the wl aide below

    the bottom of the lastdip, and on the bear aideabovethe top of the

    lad rdly$ untilthe timouppmmlm for 404ng the trade.

    Watchjnmr !l%p Re_g -t, W watchth@ trendof the five

    lmdera to mako sure* we not iticatimg a turningpdnt in the dayss

    MmYri$kt 1932 by lMh@rd D. WyckMf ~ &3CtiiO139 pA&i 2

  • thn Iwy bwk again

    WMIMWlws on the

    Y@lM!

    thwl to buy

    Cmb on the

    Im3aom ttw th$m *8 that the C)permtor will

    h faaaof indlomt$onsthatthemarketisd@Nrmry,ho wi2Aprdtdity do justwhat I

    probably not con-

    aboutto sell

    am tailingym

    a~ @W his #tQok a suddan6*; themsell.Outsllhe Carl80 86 to

    ZW3UW Ms line and thus providepurohming poworaroundthelowpoint

    of tha! OomingReading Cha?t

    These

    dip. You follow hi$ IM3W8 closdy andwhen your Tape

    #!MlJV3he $a bW@JI~ th#M bSCk,buy -6 baok.

    paintain tradingare bwed on standardpracticeamong

    -pert floort@@Qrs,pml managersand otherimportantoperaknwwho

    knowthegame. If you expectto make money,youmustnot tradothe

    waythepublicdoes;yQU mwt wb marelybuy, sit and hope, You must

    @ $n and out at th rightmoments,tradingthe way warlmttach-

    nieiam do.

    It mwt be your codxnt aim to refineand poli~ ywr jud~

    mont w thatyou will be able to keep yourulndclearandunbiasedand

    firm yet flexible+Hsverbacomoprejudicedin fmm oftiemarket, for if you do you will b like a shipthat

    to &hwQ on high tido and is strandedthere.

    vw to pqwxw for tradingopportunitieson initialc&Av-

    @t yOUrOQMWUd a k??$erwmborOf V@l%iCC.~~ine ChWtS

    Thisdoes notmoanthatyouwillhaw to makethe dmily

    Qntriea on a large rmmbn yartmlf al? through your .cmim?mt, foryow

  • TR$$wlwm9 lhgs4

  • JUDGINGTHE WIKE1BY TEGTSAND RESPONSES.

  • Next he tmtw out Steel, Tdepbne or Can in tho sam my. He

    gat~ somefoULowingin Cam, a littlein Telephoneand nothiiigmuch in

    Stiel. Them he triesout the utikL~ groupand getsa Mttie more em-

    courqp#m@ltOP the bull side,

    From $his seriesd? teatshe now knows

    maxwethe marlmtby bullingCan. liefeell?lout

    that he can b~st ad-

    the other stocks that

    sometimesr~spondti the loadarshipof Can so as to get help or at

    laaatsupportfrom othorBectionsof the market. He f2ndsa little

    mbre

    gcml

    most

    avoids

    hand.

    rmponse in otherindustrialsend wlwm he has thesesizedup he

    aheadand bullsthe ones that showthe N3st rwqxmse -- Want seem

    to inflw$ncethe rest of the Lh3t.

    Olwwre thathe followsthe

    bullingthe railsMcauao he

    He dm$ not want to take big

    his way; Sonmlne elm am 40 that.

    Une of leastresistance.He

    wouldtherehAve to play a luno

    ~OCk8 Of StO&@ I?hi&h standin

    He advamcss$ha ones that are easi-

    est to put up whilerequitingthe mnlhst purchmes on MS part. After

    a while the mnallMl&s whichhe has producedW MS testingopmations,

    followed~ the mom activobiddingup of a Mm@@rnumbarof stocks,m-

    ccnlregefloortradmraand the publicto get in on tho bull aide. Am

    ixmwasing mwber of stiochadvame on expandingvolumeand a buU mlmg

    of sub~tantialproportionsis underwqy.

    The C. O, furtherencowagaJsthis bullishness~ helphg along

    wharovorhe O*. If he w#s ca%ain stQckBor groupelsgging,he will

    senda brokerinto thosecrowdsto bid themup. If wealmcssbrwdcsat

    anywhere, he WJJJ1give support. As a good generalhe is alwaysemdaam-

    ing to hold & $inesagairwt attaok and to advauaehis frontMnes (tops)

    as far as he @mm.

    @W%@t 1932 by RkWMWd IA Wywoff TR Section%0 Pago 2

  • Supptase the bull $vting has now Wan runningfor severaldays and

    afterd.%ingup the situation~ a swi3s of tests,he findsthatthe

    buyingpowerhas temporarilybecomesomewhatexhaustmd;thatis, most

    of the peoplewho couldbo influcmcedto go in and buy imvedone so;

    they csnnotwend that samemoneytwicennd thereis a scarcityof

    otherbuyers to take theirplaces. Demandhas shrunk.

    Ho rlOQ#SU@i$?Y WiWtWcX the marketwill take;hc WIUS fill

    ho cxin around the top of the swingand on the way down. If the rise

    in the cwra~s has amountedto 10 points,he may keep on sellinguntil

    it has declined6 points;then

    not by biddingup thasQstocks

    he may beginto

    but takingthem

    buy backwhat he has sold--

    as theynre offered. Out

    of 1,000 sharesofferedat ,atort.ninpri,cehe may take 600 or 700l~i~v-

    ing 300 stillofferedsnd the marketunchanged. His reaccumulationis

    not apparent. Tho marketis stillhecvyalthoughhe is buyingback on

    the reaction.

    Aftera whilehe absorbsmost of the floating

    abouthalf way back from the top. The sellingpower

    supplyat a level

    is now lessening;

    in fact,he is unableto buy back all ho wants;so he drivesseveral

    stocksdownwardto weakenthe marketso he can completehis purchases

    on the reaction. Thesedrivesare alsohis txxjts.Whilothesestocks

    are weak,othorsadvancea littleas a resultof his raisingbuyinglimi-

    ts. Thus the averagesare scarcelyaltered. Peoplewho are bearish

    pointto the few weak stocksand decidethat the marketis goingmuch

    lower. They make some

    to buy more. He takes

    With the bears

    ventures on the short side. Thesehelp the C. O.

    theiroffarings.

    makingno progressand no more stockpressing

    for sale, the market is now in a position technically known as Itsold out!!

    Copyright 1932 byl?iiahwd l?. Wyckoff TR Section10 Page 3

  • for 12M timebeing. AU the offerings of thosewho sold on the way back

    from the top are now absorbed;h@nce,for the n~t five pointsup -- on

    the averages-- thereis littleoppositionto an advance. The C. 0,

    thereforeadds to his limos,b@ng as careM.ly as he can, to ae not

    to advancepl?iCfi?S.

    Afterthe averageshave recoveredabout3 pointsout of the 5

    theylost,ha has replacedaboutQIl the stockhe wantsand beginsa

    rapidbiddingup of pricesall aroundthe room. The marketadvances

    to the levelof the previoustop. Here R lot of thosewho boughtat

    thattime ,nndwho held throughthe reactionplacesellingordersso

    they can get out evenor at a smallprofit. Thismakesa lot of activ.

    ity and narrowswingsaro~d the old top and chartobserverssay: Here

    is a doubletop;we shouldsell shorton this. But the C. O. finds

    thatthe long sellingcombhed with the shortsellingis not sufficient

    to stopthe advanceof the market. Thereis a latentbuyingpowerthat

    appearsto intreaseon advunces. He bids certainstocksup to new highs

    in orderto emcouragethisoutsidabqyingpower.

    The strengthspreadsto otherissuesand the marketgoeson

    throughthe old high for the averages;bears,findingtheyare wrong,

    begin to cover; their stop~are caughtin many cases. BUUS who have

    beenholdingback comein and buy. The bullprocessionwidensand

    deqans -- more buyers,a greater numberof stocksdealtin, a larger

    volumeof tradingall throughthe list.

    And so the C. 0. continueshis operationson the bull side--

    with the characteristicsof the marketin its variousphasesmuch likeone

    anotherin principlelxztdifferingin detail-- untilthe bull wave has

    Copyri&t 1934by Richard1).Vfyckotf

  • lusted SO long and atendmd to SO WUIY

    buyersthatthe C. O.

    his long stocks; hat,

    the remaining demand,

    throughthe &Lst. He

    is able not otily

    as his unloading

    stocksand broughtin so many

    to unloadeverylust shareof

    sucha large9upplyovercomf33

    he also beginsto put out a line of shortsall

    keepson sellinguntilall of the aemandat the

    high level i.s satisfied.The marketis now saturatedwith stocksend

    thareis no buyingpowm left to lift thattremendousloadwhi.chwould

    have to be movedin orderto advancepricesto a new Mgh lavol.

    The C. O. seesthis situationand knowsthattho timeis ripe

    for a break. He bids up severalleadinghigh-pricedstocksto new high

    levc+ls,whiahcausesthe publicto say: The nverugcsare up into Q new

    high. We shouldbuy xnora.

    Meanwhile he has been sellingso many otherntocksthat their

    prices are tmgging under the weight. He keepson selling,gettingout

    of the ones he bid up, and gettingshort of thornalso. No~j~he is adding

    everyhour to the supplyof stocks. The reactionhas broughtthe public

    throughthe successivestagesof hesitationto cautionend theninto a

    stateof fear. That is, theyfear the marketis goingdown but theyhope

    it will racaverenoughto let themout. This emotionalconflicton thb

    part of the public

    The market

    causespeopleto hang on and do nothing.

    goes lowerand loworbecausothereare few buyersex-

    ceptoccasionalshortscovering. Pricesare falling

    Supplyis vastlyheavierthandemand. The C. O. has

    a big profiton his shorts,to be sddedto the great

    of theirown weight.

    only to wtit to red.ize

    profitho has already

    gatheredon his longs. And with this vast sum at his commandhe knowsthat

    he can buy a tremendousnumberof stocksat the bottomof the dd.ine, pay-

    ing greatlyraducedpricmscomparedwith thoseat whichhe sold.

    NOW I hav~ explainedall this so thatyou will get a clearidea of

    ...

    Copyrightlq~~ by RkdmuwlD. Wyckoff TRS43ctdJ3nMI Page5b

  • what is goingon under the mrfsce in the stocksmrket. Thereis no

    Compos$teOperator,but tha effectof the cmdxknedoperationsof bank-

    ers$pools,la#$eopmators,floor tradersand the pub~c is$ whenbcdhd down an the tape,of the same effectas if it were produoedby

    one mensOparhtiowl$.It is importentthatyou observethe marketfrom

    this standpoint,end thatyour tradingoperationsare based,not on what

    you formerlyNgarded as t~ marketlscharacteristicsbut on the ftuxk

    meuatallaw of @upplyand dmemd$ whichis at the bottomof everymove

    thatis made i~ eva~ stockin the marketat all times. Tlxislaw is

    workingand will continueto work alwaysand forever. Therecan bQ no

    gettingawsy ftomit. It doesriotmatterwhetherthe bufingand the

    WLling$ or both,are gmuine or artificial;thatis, manipulative;

    designedfor a purpose.

    Studym applythiBlaw in the way outlinedhere,by meansof

    tlw Wave Chartwhich showsthe comparativestrengthof the Supplyand

    the Demand;by the TapeReadingChartswhichare a micro~cop$crepro-

    ductionof the sesmIaw$soperations;and from the actionof the market

    as it appearson the tapeof the StockTicker. All theoecan be turned

    to your advsmtsgeif you will followthe methodexplainedin thisCour8e,

    con@antly studyingand practicingit so thatyou will.becomehighly

    efficientin due time.

    ***

    The manketis QUJO oontinul,ly beingtestedby the variousnews

    itemsand developmentsaffeoting$Znglestooks,groupsreprasemtingin-

    dustries,the fdmncial or businesssituation,etc. A testof the

    stm$ngthor weaknessof my stock,or any kind of a market,is frequently

    affordsdby thase. For example, thwe were rumorsin June,1932,that

    Copyrigh%1932hy RidMWd I).W@coff TR Section10 Page 6

  • bothAlliedChemicaland AmericanCm wouldpass theirdividends. 30@

    stockswere heavy. Allied Chabxl made a low of 43-5/8em hour or so

    baforethe divid~d was announced,and whn the reportcamethat the

    r&piLardivi~md had been declared,therewas a half-heartedrallyto

    47, a goodpm% of whichwas quicklylost. This affordedQ testof the

    timperof the market,whichWLM bearish. Bullishnews had only a momentary

    effecton Ws stockand littleor none on the rest of the list. The

    tapereaderl$ cue wmld have been to selleitherthis stock,or others

    thatrespondedpoorlywhUe the strengthstillappeared

    One more word abmt thesetests$ No matterwho

    the CompositeMan, a poolmanager,largeoperator,or a

    in AlliedChlemical.

    me.kmithem --

    big floortrader,

    the resultof the tewtsshowimmediatelyon the tape. You, sittingat

    the ticker,@n observ~at oncawhetherthesetestsbringa bullishor

    lmzrishrespanse;and you are just as free to act upon themm if you

    M made th-yourself. Therefore,neverfail to observetheseand

    othardetaildin Tape Reading. You can neverWll what thaynwy lead

    to, or Bighi$. I have

    tionswhichwst people

    to be hi@ly observant.

    darivedsomelargeptofitsfrom tapeix@Lca-

    owerlookad.you CSll dO the Sm% Whi31!l YOU learn

    copyright1932~lMLdWd D. V@dWMf

  • BEST STOCKSFOR ACTIVETRADING.

    For this purposethereare two chiefrequirements:(1) Wid&

    dailyswings${2) A closemarket-- tit enablesa traderto get in

    and out closeto the last sale. A thirdmd less importantadvantage

    is in a larg#volumeof shareslistedin a stock;thisis sortcd?a

    guaranteetMtwham activitybeginsa largenumberof investorsand

    traderswill participatein the campaignand thus aid in maintoAninga

    C1OW market.

    Wide dailyswingsare vital,for withoutthemthereis little

    chanceto buy end sell,pay overheadtand.realizea profit.A stockwith

    a dailyaverageswingof only a pointwouldbe of no use for our pur-

    pose,for in orderto realizea half pointnet profitwe wouldhave to

    buy at the bottomeighth,sellat the top eighthand deducta half point

    for commissiam,etc. Such stocksshould,therefore,be avoided. As

    the dailyswingswiden,a stockbecomm more attractiveas a trading

    madium.

    A clowemarketin a stockis greatlyaidedby its activity

    becausethisattractsa largenumberof tradersin the officesand on

    the floor;competitionis keen;fhor traderstry to get theirbids end

    offersaheadof the restof the crowdso as to benefitby fractional

    moves. AU thiskeeps the marketvery closeto the last sale. By %mrketf?

    I mean the combinedbid and askedpriceat the moment. The last saleis

    not the market;thntis markethistory.

    Copyright193$?by Mdaixrd D, V&ckoff TR Smtion 11 Page 1

  • Most of the prinaipa,l dailypapercthroughoutthe countrycarry

    in theirMonday editions a completelist of transnctlonsfor tho prevf.ouo

    mx!k. Such a tableshowsquicklywhic!hstockhad tha widest SWin&l and

    the grwatestvolumeof trading$ Thesewere the loadersfor tho pretious

    mwk. This flheetcun be premrved as your wdcly recordand the fiveor

    ton leadersn$arkedwith a blackor coloredpencil.

    Leadershipis constantlychanging. Past rtico~dsaro no guar-

    snteefar ths future. It is best to takeoffa list of the leaderseach

    week in orderto hmne thembeforeyou for the comingweek but thisis

    onlyyour background.Tha tapewill constantlyt~llyou which stocks

    are affordin~the best tradingopportunities.Of coursethereare many

    stocksout$iduthe lo:~derawhichhave closenarkets. Watchfor these.

    Belov#isa Wxil@ion of the averagedailyrango (difference

    betweenhigh and low) of fivel~adingactivestockshatingclosemarkets

    duringfour mnnthsin 1932:

    !wsdQL AA&4uMu &k?AwL Q#uaAil .Mi!aLMarch 3 2-5/8 2 l-3//4 l-3/4

    klpril 2-3/4 3 2-3/8 ~ 1-1/2

    May 2-1/4 2-3/8 l-7/8 L-718 1-3/8

    June-Ma u&%!Q

    4Mos. Average 2-3/4 2-5/8 2-1/8 1-7/8 1-1/2

    The dtilyrangeof thesestockssometimesamountedto from4 to

    7 points,whichmnde tradingoperationson thosedays more profitableif

    a tradm were on the rightside. The dove averageshouldnot be con-

    sideredan inucation of the future,but just e.comparison.

    Duringthisperiodthcuwwem many days on whichthe nest active

    Copyright193$! by RJ.chmd D. V&ckoff TR Section1.1Page2

  • of these,Tclaphone,quieteddown to a pointand a smallfraction. The

    sameis trw af the other$tocks;someat timeswere dovm to less than

    a pointbetweanhigh and low for the day. But on the averagethesefive

    gavepbnty of activity-- enoughto enabletradersto get in and out,

    oftenmore thqn onceon tha samedtny,with a profitaboveovdmad.

    Auburnhas not been includedin this groupbecauseit is in a

    clast3by it~ekt. At timesit has a fairlyclosemarkut-- in its per-

    iods of preparationfor importantmoves,or in its restingBpells. But

    one nevercan tellwhan the next saleis going to be 1/2$1, 2$ 3 or 5

    pointsaway fron the last sale. It has the reputationof beinga dang@r-

    ous stockto tradein. I considerit no more d.nngerousthan any other

    if you Understandits peculiaritiesand regul.atoyour tradingto fit them.

    The stockmerelyrequiresa differmt techniquefrom the otherleaders.

    Everyone+is not qualifiedto tradein it. We cannotadviseanyoneto do

    so withoutmuch practiceon paper. He will thusbwome accu~tomedto

    the erraticchangesin tkds stock. These are clue to its smallcapit

  • In a word,

    the tinder

    fartherhe

    Auburn

    Al. Chin.

    Am. can

    Am. Tel.

    con. (MM

    U. S. Steel

    Totah

    Approx.%Ofltc)lopt. mhgs

    1

    1

    1

    tradewith the assurancethatit would go far enoughto

    eventhoughthiswem not accomplishedin a singlesession,

    permmtige of 3 to 5 pointswingsis worthwh?l.le.After

    toks a position,if he estimates

    ladonly to movo hia stopand let

    Nmber of wings of from1 to 10cm the full figures,withoutafor abmt sightweeks in May

    thatWly SwingshouldfJO

    him profitrun.

    consecutivepoints,1 pointrevwmil.,and June,1932.

    Qi$t 2!#QuEMEaikE EMQiwlLik3L!3uEi&hli MJaQXwAadakuI&) 111 72 43 25 U 11 8 6 k 4636642 2912 3 1 1 - - - 154

    59 25 1.4 9 4 - - - - - 111

    58 36 22 12 5 5 3 2 -- U3

    4726 Q 9 5 3 1 - - -lo5

    JiLJL A-JL=LuL~~~ ~Ji4k

    @J+ 253 159

    K@ 25 15

    With tie exceptionof

    leadms are interruptedaftm

    91 43 24 16 10 6 4 1030

    9 4 2.4 1.6 1 .6 .4 100%

    Auburn,most of the movesin the five

    theyhave run five or six points. This

    my be only a J.or 2 pointmverm move,and a tabulationof the swings

    with one suchinterruptiontightmake anotherinterestingpicture.

    For three

    1932)attractive;

    triggmr,and tiqy

    who like to tradain a fastmoverAuburnis now (June,

    thatis$ if theirtradingfacultiesare on a hair-

    CUl qmmtii$ withoutfaar of havingStOp# caughtfrm

    1 to 5 points away from thdx stoppricm. The tmblashowsthatin the

    Copyright1932,,by RichardD. Wyckoff TR Section 11 Page 4

  • 1 to 10 pointmovesAuburntravelledaboutnine timesas many points

    as U. S. St@l; fourand a half timesas many as Can and Con. GM

    and threeti#wsas many as Telmphoneand AlliedChemicalduringthe

    pwiod mmtibmd. This cmnot alwaysbe expected,forhhiyand June

    markedone @ it~ charactml,sticallywide swings.

  • STOPOIUERSAND OTHERVITALPOINTS.

    QQ$m of ImQQJ@3xsa Stopordersshouldbe regardedas

    inmuranceagainstlarge10s80s. They shouldbe placedimmediately

    aftera tradeis made.

    We amnnotemphasi~etoo stronglythe absolutenecessityof a

    stoporderin wary caseJfor thiswholemethodof activetradingde-

    pmds more om the limitationof risk and the controlof lossesthanon

    any otheronm factor.

    Sto~ can be: (1)placedon the floor;(2) leftwith the order

    clerk,or (3)kapt in your own hands.

    A strepon the floor nwms thatit will be executedthe instant

    a tmnsactio~is made by anotherbuyerand sellcuat your stopprice;

    your stipthm becomesa marketorder.

    If yDu leavea stopwith the orderclerkin your broker~s

    officesyou instructhim to executeit pt thq mwks$ , as soonas he

    seeHa tranmction on the tickerat your atopprice. This form of

    stop is a littleslower,but,in somacases,may work out more satis-

    fadOIi&. ~ry it and SW.

    If you keep the s40pin your own handstt is calleda mental

    stop;thatis, you decidayou will give the orderto the orderclerk

    whfmlthe priceon the tickerreachesa certainfigure. You must deter-

    mine to carryout your dmcisionwithouthesitatingfor a moment$for

    if you do th$ chancesamyou will Qithtm hed.tatetoo long or you will

    Cc$pyri&ht1932 by R%chardD. Wyckoff TR Section3.2 Page 1

  • mm ywr mqtal atop MWwr away from the price at whioh you madetb trade. ?Mt is a fwlamental error in this form of tradtng, tha

    whol~ purposq of which is to J&@& and H th risk. If you make

    this error yqu will not M Utiting your r%$k, and you will be increas-

    ing it.

    At the first sign of danger, your stop should always be brought

    clooe or tho trade closod out at #o market. If the danger pas$em and

    you are kickdd mat, you can always get in again.

    Stop# should Mwum room for normal rallies and reactions, so

    -t the treds is opm fox furtbr pomible profit~. But if a rally

    or mmmtim %$ more than ~omal, ym shmld mmisa your forecmt and

    act ao@XCMn@y.

    Hem? carxy a trade overn%ght without a stop. Yma may be de-

    layed or be @aken ill the next morning and an adverse market might cause

    a 10SH of smtwml points.

    Am awtamatic ~top is cm in which you instruct your brokor to

    mova it continually within a certain fraction or number of points from

    the htghe$t cm lowest mmrltet price remmded.

    In6tmuctycmr broker in writing and get his acknowlodgm$nt that

    all of your atip~ are to M conaidmed good ti&l countermanded.

    WnckrallConditiqml? play S?lfo. Do not see what chanms you can

    telw without ,gmtting caught, but with what mall risk you can trade.

    ***

    The objective in this form of trad-

    ing i~ to mak@a lon$ smies of trades in uniform number of $hmm from

    which we dwWa profi.t~ in mcms of losmes. We never know whcmwe make

  • a tradehow ~t is gcd.ngt@ turnout;we cen but we our

    and continuallytry to imprmw our judgmentso thatthsi

    net profitincraams atwlily.

    best judgment

    percentageof

    The @mwming stickby whichgoodresultsor bad may be judged

    is the perc~tage of profitout of each@O worthof ~

    _ That mmM3 this: If you make two trades,one with a net 10ss

    of $25 and tlw otherwith a net profitof $75,

    i!!!75. You add the profitto the loss,making

    your percentageof profit

    $100,and three-quarters

    of your total

    pro~aming.

    runningdowns

    is on the profitside. By thismeansyou judgohow you are.

    Wheneveryou findyour percentageof profiton clomd trades

    or runninglow, go back to papertradingand studyyour

    lossestillyour judgmentimproves.

    ***

    All your commitmentsshouldbe for the

    samemumborof shar~sin a~ch trade,so that the percentageof profit

    and loss willnot be disturbmdby tradesin largeror smalleramounts

    thanyour stendmrd.

    Whan you increasethe sizeof your trades,the mm uniformity

    shouldbe preflwrved,for the

    Rewordswill hot be accurate

    same reason. Mn.iltsare measuredin points.

    unlesothe lots are the samein all cases.

    -X--M*

    Thaaeare now beimgpostedin many broker-

    The ebb ad flow of pricesmay

    in form similmrto tha Wave Chartin caseyour attendencoat

    Copyri@t 193E by RichardD. W@mff TR Section

    be recordod

    the ticker

  • is interrupted.The hnlt-huurlyprioeswill.not, of course,corres-

    pondwith tho hngth of thw buyingand sellingwaves, Thorof&e,

    thasee,vwrag@Iare not a substitutefor the latter;but th~yhave a

    cmtain advambge whioh it wouldbo WCLI.to test.

    ***

    ,,on MWW. Whenyou firstbegintradingon thisMethod,

    do not use m@. mon~y. Trade on paperumtil.you thoroughlyunderstand

    it* Whenyou dwide to mnke a papertrade,write it down

    reoordjusta$ if ~ou ware givingan orderto your broker

    fair prim, aooordingto the tqe$ at.whichthe ordorshoul~be ox-

    @outWI. Giveyourselfthe worst of thesatrmsactians,in 03s0of

    any doubt,so thatyour racordwill be conservativeand youwi.11not

    be foolimgyaqrself.Rememberit is not importantthatyoumdm money

    at first;but it is very importantto make a goodbaginningso that when

    you Onoe

    inoz%)ase

    capital,

    be at

    stand

    lwmi how to txvuhand realizenet profitn,

    the #i$eofyourtredes withoutat enytim

    you can go on and

    jCq3mrdizingyWr

    yrdiei,lirt M% m .

    tb marlmt. A limited

    +++(-+$

    In nearlyeverycam your ordersshould

    ordorehouldrawly be wed.

    When W is tim to tako a poaiticmor closoa trade,

    1233fractions~gti in or out at the market.

    copyr*t lWW by Mdmrdl$. w@off TR %ction 12

    never

    why you

    Page 4

  • shtmld stay h a iamdo

    po@iti9nw am tdwm on

    tdmld giva them tmta

    which does not act rightor gotw std.e. Your

    WM$$tratlgth

    UJEitl!d t$lrw

    ?30t mtkh good, YOU Skdd

    fmwd Y* stops up alme

    wqy op43nfop more profit.

    either

    to the

    of cC@xLn ln41catiowS and you

    inwhiohtowwkolxt. If-

    CMM tlmm out at the market,

    market ~ZiC@, thm h!ci?ing the

    indications shown on the Wave

    you tit for theme to make

    Do mot @i* $hmw

    h daorti im@tectd

    $Oidiifh??zjay.

    Xtx? mMd

    trodoandwlOyby

    that Sitwlmm M

    end hop#B* OIM,y the tape l If it %eU@ YOU YOU skuld

    M MMq(get sort 08 a bulge. TM* m trgidmg

    no opition when you are coxuatantly being told what

    th~ ?lCt&OXl Of th mmrkd. hd WhOll tw ti~e SQYS

    douMfM, clam out all WOB amd eit still in a

    ***

    A maccfMMUL spmmlator poasemes sdf-

    courage~ caution amd matal flexibility.

    c)wmthimkhgj form your own Conolwions,

  • Never ask advice. The informationyou will durivcfrom the

    tapeand from your chartsis far more v.?dLu3ble thanany thatyou can

    get from any othersource.

    It ie an old saying: The tapeneverlies.

    Your judgmentshouldbe basedon soundprcxnises. You have cdl

    the factsbeforeyou; assemblethesecnd make yourdiagnosis. Decide

    what the sitw.ti.oncil.lsfor; thenUSQ cour:~gein actingupon your

    decision. Be courageous,and somewhatbold,but with a certainmeas-

    ure of prudence-- alertnessand watchfulnesscombinodwith caution,

    Allowfor the Unforeseenand the incalculable.

    Learn to thinkand act promptly. Your decisionbecomesa

    commandto trade. Havingplacedyour order,neverfear to reviso

    your opinion. You must have flexibility;the mereholdingof a cer-

    tainpositionis no ruasw for your holdingit; ilev~~ be bullishor

    bearishjust becauseyou are in a trade.

    The ~rket tellsyou what to do; it continuallyconfims or

    cancels its previousindications.It te~.ltiYOLI: Get in. Get out.

    Move your stop. Closeout. Stayneutral. Wait for a betterchance.

    All thesethingsthe marketis continuallyimpressingupon you, and you

    must get into the frameof mind whcnwyou.are in re.ditiy takingyour

    ordersfrom the actionof the marketitsdf -- from the tape.

    Your judgmentwill becomepoorerfrom the very timewhen

    you decidethatyou know more aboutthe marketthanthe marketic

    tellingyou. From thatmomentyourresultswill be unsatisfactory,

    for in this tradingbusinessthe tapois tho boss. You must l-camto

    oboyits orders,doingexactlywhat it tellsyou. Whenyou can accomplish

    this,you are on the highroad to successin your stocktrading.

    Copyright1952 by RichardD. P&ckof.f TR Section12 Pago 6

  • When the priceof a stockis in approximateequilibrium,

    your bid or offorat the marketwill have a tendmcy to raiseor

    dqmma the priceam ei@th of a pointor more. Hence,if your

    otieris to $u, you WIU maceive1/8 pointless than the priceof

    the last trde; and if ywr order is to buy,you KU ~ l/8 point

    more thmm th~ priceof * laat trada. Thisvazztmtionin priceis

    (Wled the %nvialbleE&gbth.~~ W&n a atookis dxmdlng still,the

    prioeis, W, 53+% bid$ cM#Qti at 1/4. 3f you buy,you uswally

    have to pay thm offeredprioeMawe thereis someoneahead of you

    biddtng1/8. If you hold it say W au hour and the bid and cmkod

    am the WMNBtyou wouldMve to ueU it at 5>~8. Tkks combination

    of bid and amod pticeis the realm@rkW. Do not Comfwe thisWith

    the I.@stALiBJyou cannottradeat the last salebut only on the bid

    and aakodm@k@% ptiO& For theserewnm, it is beat to allowa part

    of your overkeadto coverthe imvM.ble 1/8.

    ++**

    ~ If a tradeonce goes againatyou, it proves

    your judgmentwas wrongwhen you readsit. To averagathe trademeana

    thatyou inm$stupon beingmorewrongthanyou were in the firstplace.

    Co-@t 1932 hy Rl@ard D. Wgckdl TR Section 32 Page 7

  • Your profitd~es net dopkticm any one trade,but on the net aVEWage

    of Q long Suqwmim of trades. W average.

    ***

    UnlQssyou have a steadyincomefromyour

    busirmss,pruf%ssionor your investxwnts,it is best to providein

    advamoeand qot asideyoux livingexpensesso thatin trdingyouwlll

    not be ccmcenne(iwith thiovitalmutterand your jud~ent thereby

    impaired. It is a mistakoto attemptto make moneybocausoyou need

    it, or Mve $o haveit for somespecialpurpose,for in such cases

    your judgmentis nwar~ 03ways@o biumd by your necessitythatyou

    do tha wrong thing.

    It i8 betterto tradeon paperuntilyou are in suchftnencial

    conditiontJW your mind 2s properlypoised. Itis betterto test

    your judgmentwith 10 $harelots of actualstocksratherthanlarger

    lotsif you have to use mqm+yrequiredelwxdwre. Allowfor the

    pcmlbility af sevemiicqsecutive losses.

    When you find thatyou have made many papertradesand

    establisheds successfulrecord,beginin a smellway makingactual

    trades,but, If you continueto make realmoneyon these,do not be

    misledinto irmreasingtha si%eof your tradestoo soon. You are

    buildingfor the future;therefore,make each stepwithcaution,par-

    ticularlyin the matterof incrwwing the sizoof your trading.

    Whenyou mah monay,do not put all of your profitsinto your

    tradingfund. Use only half of thmj with the otherhalf pay yourself

    baokyour ori~mil capitaluntilyour tradingftmdis sll.velvet.

    Followthisidea continuallyso thatyou will alwqm have a reserve

    over the monqyyou are using as margin.

    ***

    Copyrkght193? My Makrd D. V&@knff TRs@ctioll32 Page 8

  • QC9W mm ts wa~ If you can realizean averageprofit

    of $50 on 100 aharcmper d~y, the totalwill amountto $1,000in 20

    tradingdays. I mentionthisin orderto show that when you are trad-

    ing continuously,you do not need to secureve~ largeprofitsin

    orderto makeyour eftortapay. Eut thereis no reasonwhy you should

    comeout with wucha smallaverageprofitas 1/2 per day if you con-

    tinueto study,practice,Wain your judgwentend dewlop your intuit-

    ion. This?&Mod gets awqyfrom the big profitidea and teachesyou

    to rollup snwllnet profitsuntil theyaggregatea largesum.

    The way to increasothe averagesiseof your profitswill be

    foundin thatpart of our Courseof Instructionwhichexplainshow

    to tradefor the 10P 20 and 30 pointmoves. With thatincludedin

    your tradingMnowledge~you can use the presentinstructionsin tuki.ng

    your positional.md,whom indicationsfavor,hold thosepositionsfor

    the ilnportuntswings. Your originalrisk of 1/2 to 1 pointtakenon

    the basisof TapeWading Ohartindicationsmay thus resultin profits

    whichare Iar@ein proportionto your risk.

    Whenyou are able to judgethe approximatenumberof points

    that a stock@houldtravalin a certaindirection,it givesyou the

    courageto go in, ~ramid ad hold on untilthat stockmalwsgood,

    or warm you ?@@ it

    fap will do xore to

    That part of

    will mot. And this one factorof knowingthow

    increaseyour averageprofitthan any other.

    the Coursealso givesplansfor pyramidingat

    certainlevelsand under certainconditions,by whichyou can derive

    morenet profitsout of somemovesthan the totalnumberof points

    fromhigh to 30W.

    WMre,to ,- As soonas you can arrangeit, have a little

    privateoffic~of your own whereyou can installa tickerand a private

    oopyright1932~ M&lsadI).WyOkoii TR Section12 Page 9

  • tdephane to your brokerl~ordorclerk. It is bestnot to let your

    friendsknow wherethey can findyou so theywill not botheryou dur$ng

    the day and you cm concentrateon the tape in brderto get the best

    results.

    If yQu ccnnotdev~teall your time to the tapeduringmarket

    hours,perhnpsyou can have a youngman or womanassistantkeep your

    chartsfor yau so thatyou can go in at convenienttimesduringthe day

    and find Wf@@lin~ up to date. You will find this nrr,nmgementvery

    helpfulin gattingthe best results.

    If tl&eamountof your tradingwarrantsit, your brokerwill

    probablybe glad to provideyou with a smallprivateoffice,ticker

    and telephonq. If not,you can make a startin his customers room,

    end, as you WJd up your accountyou willundoubtedlyfindit profit-

    able to get into a sacludodplacewhereyou will.not hear the board

    room gossipand willnot he botheredby peoplewho want to giveyou

    tips and so-aalledin~ormation.Of course,that sortof thingmay not

    confhe you but it is a handicapto most people.

    Keep as many chartsas your timawill permit,or your assistant

    con keep for you. The largerthe numberofcharts,the greaterthe

    varietyyou have to selectfrom,and the more opportunitiesyou can

    takeadvantagoof if you have the necessaryworkingcapital. Thisis

    particularlyadvisablewhanyou are tradingon paper. Ten chartswill

    giveyou far more practicoand experiencethanone chart,and one

    hundredchartsten timesmore than ten.

    ***

    Ch~i(waof broker~ Your brokershouldbe able to giveyou

    Copyright1932by RichardD. Wyckoff TR Sectioq12 Page 10

  • promptand satisi!a&rymecu~on of

    halfminutesfromthe tiswyou place

    orciem,within

    the8eorders.

    one or one and a

    Executionstaking

    longerthan thismmtimo$ xwsul.tfrom congestedconditionof the