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TARGETED INVESTMENTS IN COLLEGE AFFORDABILITY Days 3-4 STRATEGIC PROGRAMS AND INVESTMENTS TO EXPAND ACCESS AND COLLEGE SUCCESS FOR ALL OREGONIANS BEN CANNON, Executive Director, HECC BOB BREW, Executive Director, OSAC Campus Representatives SOU PRESENTED TO: JOINT COMMITTEE ON WAYS AND MEANS, SUBCOMMITTEE ON EDUCATION

TARGETED INVESTMENTS IN COLLEGE AFFORDABILITY · Total: $143.3M LAB=Legislatively Adopted Budget, GRB=Governor’s Recommended Budget, GF=General Funds, OF=Other Funds, FF=Federal

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Page 1: TARGETED INVESTMENTS IN COLLEGE AFFORDABILITY · Total: $143.3M LAB=Legislatively Adopted Budget, GRB=Governor’s Recommended Budget, GF=General Funds, OF=Other Funds, FF=Federal

TARGETED INVESTMENTS

IN COLLEGE AFFORDABILITY

Days 3-4

STRATEGIC PROGRAMS AND INVESTMENTS TO EXPAND ACCESS AND COLLEGE SUCCESS FOR ALL OREGONIANS

BE N C A N N O N, E x ecu t i v e D i r ec t o r, H E C C

BO B BR E W, E x ecu t i v e D i r ec t o r, O S A C

C am p u s R ep r e s en t a t i ve s

SOU

PRESENTED TO:

JOINT COMMITTEE ON WAYS AND MEANS, SUBCOMMITTEE ON EDUCATION

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2

The Affordability Challenge

in Oregon

Day 3 , JO INT COMMITTEE ON WAYS AND MEANS , SUBCOMMITTEE ON EDUCATION

BEN CANNON, Executive Director, HECC

CCWD

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3

OREGON OPPORTUNITY GRANT REQUEST POP 131, HB 2407

Activity Budget Items 2013-15 LAB 2015-17 GRB

Financial Aid: Oregon

Opportunity Grant

Oregon Opportunity Grant POP 131: Expansion

(See also HB 2407: OOG redesign)

$113.9M

GF/LF/OF --

Total: $113.9M

$117.3M GF/LF/OF + $25.9M GF/LF/OF

Total: $143.3M

LAB=Legislatively Adopted Budget, GRB=Governor’s Recommended Budget, GF=General Funds, OF=Other Funds, FF=Federal Funds

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4

FACTORS IN AFFORDABILITY: A STUDENT PERSPECTIVE

What did I spend?

What did I get?

How did it pay off?

Page 5: TARGETED INVESTMENTS IN COLLEGE AFFORDABILITY · Total: $143.3M LAB=Legislatively Adopted Budget, GRB=Governor’s Recommended Budget, GF=General Funds, OF=Other Funds, FF=Federal

5

A SIMPLIFIED VIEW

*Cost = Price (tuition) plus living expenses, minus grants and scholarships

Cost* Outcome Earnings

Student 1

Student 2

Student 3

Student 4

Cost* Outcome Earnings Affordable?

Student 1

Student 2

Student 3

Student 4

Cost* Outcome Earnings Affordable?

Student 1 high no degree low

Student 2

Student 3

Student 4

Cost* Outcome Earnings Affordable?

Student 1 high no degree low no

Student 2

Student 3

Student 4

Cost* Outcome Earnings Affordable?

Student 1 high no degree low no

Student 2 high degree high

Student 3

Student 4

Cost* Outcome Earnings Affordable?

Student 1 high no degree low no

Student 2 high degree high yes

Student 3

Student 4

Cost* Outcome Earnings Affordable?

Student 1 high no degree low no

Student 2 high degree high yes

Student 3 low degree high

Student 4

Cost* Outcome Earnings Affordable?

Student 1 high no degree low no

Student 2 high degree high yes

Student 3 low degree high yes

Student 4

Cost* Outcome Earnings Affordable?

Student 1 high no degree low no

Student 2 high degree high yes

Student 3 low degree high yes

Student 4 low no degree low

Cost* Outcome Earnings Affordable?

Student 1 high no degree low no

Student 2 high degree high yes

Student 3 low degree high yes

Student 4 low no degree low no

Page 6: TARGETED INVESTMENTS IN COLLEGE AFFORDABILITY · Total: $143.3M LAB=Legislatively Adopted Budget, GRB=Governor’s Recommended Budget, GF=General Funds, OF=Other Funds, FF=Federal

6

AFFORDABILITY: NUMEROUS FACTORS

Student or family resources

Full college costs, including tuition

Financial Aid (state, federal, institutional,

private)

Completion Time to

completion

Type of degree/certificate/major

Earnings after graduation

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7

Low-income Oregonians from the high school class of 2006 were about half as likely to earn a bachelor’s degree by 2012 as their peers—even when we compare students who achieve similarly on a key measure of academic proficiency.

THE AFFORDABILITY BARRIER

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8

Students with lowest HS Math Scores Students with highest HS Math Scores

The ten pairs of red/gray bars above show all Oregon students divided into 10 equal-sized groups based on their high school math scores. The vertical bars show the

Bachelors degree completion rate for students eligible for free/reduced price lunch vs. those who are not eligible.

Bach

elo

r’s

Deg

ree C

om

ple

tio

n R

ate

Higher

income

students

Lower

income

students

Source: ECONorthwest longitudinal analysis using matched ODE, OUS, CCWD, and NSC records

STUDENTS IN POVERTY COMPLETE COLLEGE AT LOWER RATES REGARDLESS OF THEIR ACADEMIC SKILL LEVEL

Page 9: TARGETED INVESTMENTS IN COLLEGE AFFORDABILITY · Total: $143.3M LAB=Legislatively Adopted Budget, GRB=Governor’s Recommended Budget, GF=General Funds, OF=Other Funds, FF=Federal

9

TUITION INCREASES OUTPACE CPI AND OPPORTUNITY GRANTS

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15

Tuition and Fees and Oregon Opportunity Grant versus CPI for Two- and Four-Year Public Colleges and Universities

Comm College T & F Pub Univ T & F

OR Opp Grant Consumer Price IndexSource: Oregon postsecondary institutions, OSAC, and Department of Labor

Page 10: TARGETED INVESTMENTS IN COLLEGE AFFORDABILITY · Total: $143.3M LAB=Legislatively Adopted Budget, GRB=Governor’s Recommended Budget, GF=General Funds, OF=Other Funds, FF=Federal

10

PER STUDENT STATE FUNDED GRANT AID

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

$1,400

$1,600

$1,800

$2,000

NH

WY

AL

AZ

UT

HI

ID SD KS

MT

CT

NE

MS

RI

MI

IA

OH

MA

CO

OR

ME

MO

ND

MD

AK

WI

DE

VT

VA

OK FL

TX

MN

USA IL

NV

NM IN PA

NC

CA

KY

NY

WV

LA

AR

NJ

WA

GA

TN SC

Sta

te F

un

ded

Gra

nt

Aid

State Funded Grant Aid Per Resident Undergraduate Student (2012-13)

Source: NASSGAP Annual Survey, 2012-13, Table 12.

Oregon

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11

COST TRENDS: DEBT

$18,102 $16,094

$14,742 $15,257 $15,466

$19,387 $18,280

$20,712 $21,607

$20,001

$23,044 $23,673

$27,782 $26,631

$21,498

$0

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

$25,000

$30,000

AmericanIndian/

Alaska Native

Asian/Pacific

Islander

Black/African

American

Hispanic/Latino

White

Graduate in 4 Years Graduate in 5 Years Graduate in 6 Years 2 0 0 2 - 0 3 F a l l F i r s t - T i m e F r e s h m a n C o h o r t c o m p l e t i n g b y S e p t e m b e r 2 0 0 8 S o u r c e : O U S I n s t i t u t i o n a l R e s e a r c h

Debt at Graduation for OUS Students Graduating in 4, 5, and 6 Years by Race/Ethnicity, 2002-03 Cohort

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12

UNDERGRADUATE DEBT, 2011-12 GRADUATES

BA (48%) AA (36%) Certificate (16%)

No Debt 30% 50% 34%

Less than $10,000 10% 19% 30%

$10,000 to $19,999 13% 14% 25%

$20,000 to $29,999 18% 9% 6%

$30,000 to $39,999 12% 4% 3%

$40,000 or more 18% 4% 2%

Source: National Postsecondary Student Aid Study, 2012

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13

GRADUATE SCHOOL DEBT, 2011-12 GRADUATES

All Graduate

Degrees

No Debt 27%

$1-$19,999 12%

$20,000-$39,999 14%

$40,000-$59,999 12%

$60,000-$79,999 11%

$80,000-$99,999 8%

$100,000+ 16%

Source: National Postsecondary Student Aid Study, 2012

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14

OUTCOME TRENDS: GRADUATION RATES

60.3%

50%

54%

58%

62%

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Six

-Year

Gra

duation R

ate

0%

Six-year graduation rate of OUS entering Freshman Fall Cohort, 1996-2007

Source: Oregon University System Office of Institutional Research

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15

D i s t r i b u t i o n i s e x p r e s s e d f o r a l l i n c o m e - e a r n e r s a g e s 3 5 - 4 4 .

S O U R C E S : U . S . C e n s u s B u r e a u , 2 0 1 2 .

N O T E : P e r c e n t a g e s m a y n o t s u m t o 1 0 0 b e c a u s e o f r o u n d i n g .

EARNINGS TRENDS: BY DEGREE (U.S.)

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16

Tuition is not the entire story

Financial aid, particularly need-based aid, matters

Outcomes and earnings matter

KEY TAKEAWAYS

Student or family

resources

Full college costs, including tuition

Aid (state, federal,

institutional, private)

Completion Time to

completion

Type of degree/certificate/major

Earnings after graduation

Page 17: TARGETED INVESTMENTS IN COLLEGE AFFORDABILITY · Total: $143.3M LAB=Legislatively Adopted Budget, GRB=Governor’s Recommended Budget, GF=General Funds, OF=Other Funds, FF=Federal

17

Affordability Priorities:

Expanding and

Restructuring Need-Based

Financial Aid

Days 3 -4 , JO INT COMMITTEE ON WAYS AND MEANS , SUBCOMMITTEE ON EDUCATION

BOB BREW, Executive Director, OSAC

Page 18: TARGETED INVESTMENTS IN COLLEGE AFFORDABILITY · Total: $143.3M LAB=Legislatively Adopted Budget, GRB=Governor’s Recommended Budget, GF=General Funds, OF=Other Funds, FF=Federal

18

OREGON OPPORTUNITY GRANT REQUEST POP 131, HB 2407

Activity Budget Items 2013-15 LAB 2015-17 GRB

Financial Aid: Oregon

Opportunity Grant

Oregon Opportunity Grant POP 131: Expansion

(See also HB 2407: OOG redesign)

$113.9M

GF/LF/OF --

Total: $113.9M

$117.3M GF/LF/OF + $25.9M GF/LF/OF

Total: $143.3M

LAB=Legislatively Adopted Budget, GRB=Governor’s Recommended Budget, GF=General Funds, OF=Other Funds, FF=Federal Funds

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19

HECC AFFORDABILITY PRIORITIES: AN INTEGRATED APPROACH

Expansion and strategic redesign of the Oregon Opportunity Grant, by targeting more state financial aid grants to thousands of Oregon’s highest-need students who are on track to succeed academically but struggling with college costs.

Balance targeted grant aid with increased institutional funding, by empowering community colleges and public universities to intentionally focus on student success and keep tuition levels manageable.

Help prospective students and families to plan for postsecondary success, and how to pay for it, through continuation and expansion of successful pre-college outreach.

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20

OREGON OPPORTUNITY GRANT

Oregon’s only state-funded, need-sensitive grant program that helps low- and middle-income Oregonians achieve academic success.

Goal: To help Oregon students who have demonstrated financial need pay for college.

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21

The OOG is a successful program for the students it reaches.

• OOG recipients demonstrate higher university graduation rates than those who did not receive the grant.

FACTORS IN REDESIGN AND EXPANSION

Graduation Rates at

Oregon Public

Universities

OOG

recipients

64.1%

No OOG 59.6%

Difference + 4.5%

S o u r c e : O r e g o n U n i v e r s i t y S y s t e m , G r a d u a t i o n R a t e b y F i r s t T i m e F r e s h m a n C o h o r t 2 0 0 6 - 0 7 , f a l l t e r m , i n c l u d e s i n t e r - O US t r a n s f e r s .

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22

This successful program, however, is severely underfunded.

• In 2013–14, the grants reached only 23.5% of more than 145,000 eligible students.

The program does not have a mechanism to strategically prioritize limited funds.

• As a result, grants are currently awarded on a first-come-first-served basis to students/families with annual incomes of up to $70,000.

FACTORS IN REDESIGN AND EXPANSION

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23

The HECC proposes expanding the OOG by 25.8% and redesigning the program to ensure that highest need students receive the necessary financial support to both consider entry and then successfully complete.

Increasing the state’s investment to $143.3M will:

• Expand the program to serve approximately 16,000 additional Oregon students facing affordability challenges.

• Target the grant to serve students with the highest financial need who are on track academically.

• Improve predictability by creating an extended, rolling application period.

• Improve predictability by guaranteeing the grant in second year to eligible students who receive it their first year.

PROPOSED EXPANSION

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24

OREGON OPPORTUNITY GRANT

• General Fund = $111.2M (97.6% of total)

• Lottery Funds = $2.5M (2.2% of total)

• Other Funds = $.16M (.014% of total)

Source of funds 2013-15

• Estimated Total Recipients = 70,240

• Estimated Total Funds to Students = $113.9M

Projections for 2013-15

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25

17,123

14,686

2,530 # Recipients

$24 million

$26.3 million

$4.5 million

Total $ Disbursed

CC

OUS

IND

OREGON OPPORTUNITY GRANT – 2013-14

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26

OOG ELIGIBLE APPLICANTS VS. RECIPIENTS

2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-142014-15

YTD

OOG Eligible 41,874 74,694 98,206 117,592 155,855 155,800 145,909 131,195

Fall Recipients 27,356 38,467 43,136 12,969 28,914 32,924 34,329 35,911

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

180,000

# S

tud

en

ts

OOG Eligible Applicants vs. Recipients 2007-08 to 2014-15

Source: OSAC

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27

Other Federal, State,

and Campus

Affordability Programs

Day 4 , JO INT COMMITTEE ON WAYS AND MEANS , SUBCOMMITTEE ON EDUCATION

Bob Brew, Executive Director, OSAC

Campus Representatives

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28

Other Government Programs

CHAFEE EDUCATION & TRAINING GRANT (FEDERAL) – For 2013-14, 227 students applicants received a total of $539,421. For 2014-15, $542,940 has been awarded to 190 students to-date.

SCHOLARSHIPS FOR CHILDREN OF DECEASED OR DISABLED PUBLIC SAFETY OFFICERS (STATE) – Up to full tuition & fees at public Oregon institution or tuition & fees at UO if at 4-year private Oregon institution. In 2013-14, 11 student received $70,071.

OREGON STUDENT CHILDCARE GRANT (STATE) – For 2013-14, 87 students received a total of $439,287. For 2014-15, expect 82 students to receive $478,671. Amounts vary depending on ages and number of children needing care.

OTHER GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

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29

Other Government Programs

JOBS PLUS INDIVIDUAL EDUC. ACCOUNT (STATE) – Each year, around 100 TANF clients earn funds to use for postsecondary training. In 2013-14, 94 clients redeemed $63,289 from their IEAs.

OREGON YOUTH CONSERVATION CORPS (STATE) – Each year, 26 to 60 recipients redeem scholarship vouchers totaling $20,000 to $50,000. In 2013-14, 33 students received $25,763.

BARBER AND HAIRDRESSER GRANT (STATE) – Grants based on interest earnings, vary from current low of $225 to maximum of $1000 per participant.

FEDERAL AND STATE PROGRAMS

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30

More than $18 million in private scholarships were awarded to nearly 3,500 students. (Average ≈ $5,300)

OSAC added 33 new scholarships to its portfolio of private scholarships.

OSAC’s online Scholarship Catalog lists eligibility criteria and other details (GPA, enrollment, FAFSA requirements, additional essays, etc.). Applicants can use filters to search online or print entire document.

PRIVATE SCHOLARSHIP PROGRAM NEARLY 500 SCHOLARSHIP FUNDS AVAILABLE

OSAC Scholarships 2013-14: OSAC administers nearly 500 private scholarship funds.

Oregon is one of two state agencies in the U.S. that provide central scholarship services.

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31

Award more scholarship dollars to students

Maintain a diverse portfolio of scholarship types to reach ALL Oregon students

Develop new partnerships to increase scholarship opportunities

Provide outreach at college fairs, college nights, and websites to reach more students

SCHOLARSHIP PROGRAM GOALS

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32

SCHOLARSHIP PROGRAMS

► Scholarship Partners

• Scholarships administered in partnership with foundations, financial institutions, employers, membership organizations, unions, civic clubs, professional associations, and private individuals.

• Major partners are The Oregon Community Foundation and The Ford Family Foundation.

► Types of Programs

• Scholarship programs for foster youth, single parents, dislocated workers, merit scholars, students who have faced adversity, specific career field, specific college major(s), and more based on the intent of the donor.

Scholarship Application

Requirements

• Student profile

• 4 Personal Statements

• Activities Chart

• Transcripts

• Scholarship-specific essays and other documents may be required

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33

PRIVATE SCHOLARSHIP PROGRAM: AWARDEES

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34

PRIVATE SCHOLARSHIP PROGRAM: AWARD DOLLARS

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35

DISBURSEMENTS TO STUDENTS

General Fund (Grants)

80%

Lottery Funds (to Oregon

Opportunity Grant)

9%

Other Funds (to Oregon

Opportunity Grant)

1%

Other Funds (Scholarships)

10%

2015-17 Governor's Balanced Budget Disbursements to Students

General Fund (Grants) $128,111,514 80.0% Lottery Funds (to Oregon Opportunity Grant) $13,888,486 8.7% Other Funds (to Oregon Opportunity Grant) $1,263,213 0.8% Other Funds (Scholarships) $16,797,810 10.5%

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36

RESULTS FOR OREGON STUDENTS: PROPOSED KEY PERFORMANCE MEASURES, AFFORDABILITY

Measure

Percentage of resident enrolled students who are incurring unaffordable costs

Percentage of resident enrolled students who are incurring unaffordable costs

adjusted with institutional aid

Average debt amount of Bachelor’s graduates

Default rates

Average cost of attendance for resident undergraduates minus grant aid as a % of

median income

Tuition and fees

- Average statewide less grant aid

- Net per resident undergraduate FTE

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37

Public comment

Day 5, JOINT COMMITTEE ON WAYS AND MEANS, SUBCOMMITTEE ON EDUCATION