KPMG 2016 Budget Commentary2016 Budget
Forward-thinking anticipating change
Passionate going the distance
Table of Contents
© 2015 KPMG, a Trinidad and Tobago partnership and a member firm of
the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated
with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss
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October 5, 2015
BUDGET OVERVIEW 2 1
KPMG PROFILE 13
CONTACT US 15
Managing Partner’s Message October 5, 2015
© 2015 KPMG, a Trinidad and Tobago partnership and a member firm of
the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated
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entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Trinidad and Tobago.
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4
KPMG is pleased to present our annual analysis and commentary on
the 2016 budget statement for your consideration. The first of the
newly re-elected PNM Government announced by the Honourable Colm
Imbert, Minister of Finance on October 5, 2015. Given the very
short period that the Government has had to put its thoughts
together, the emerging realities of the country’s financial
situation, and the very extensive series of consultations that are
expected to follow, we consider this to be an aspirational, interim
budget. We expect that the mid-year budget, announced and
referenced several times during the Minister’s presentation, will
be much more informed and reflective of what is possible. The theme
of the national budget was entitled “Restoring Confidence and
Rebuilding Trust: Let’s Do This Together”, an obvious reference to
the Government’s claim that the previous regime succeeded only in
eroding confidence and trust in the political directorate during
its tenure. Based cautiously on an oil price of US$45.00 per barrel
and a mix of gas prices to reflect our markets, including Henry Hub
of US$2.75 per mmBtu and Indonesia of US$8.00 per mmBtu, the
Minister sought to elucidate the underpinnings of the budget and
highlighted the planned approach to managing Trinidad and Tobago’s
economy during this period of stagnation. The Minister projected
another fiscal deficit of approximately $2.76 billion, which he
indicated will only be possible if the revenue mobilisation
measures are successful. These measures are wide ranging and, in
many cases, success is dependent on factors outside of the
Government’s control, so we view them with cautious optimism with
the hope that they materialise to begin the process of revitalising
our twin- island economy. We hope that our commentary provides you,
our readers, with some insight into the significant issues that
affect you and we welcome and look forward to your feedback on our
publication.
Robert Alleyne
Managing Partner
October 5, 2015
© 2015 KPMG, a Trinidad and Tobago partnership and a member firm of
the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated
with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss
entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Trinidad and Tobago.
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After approximately one month in power, the newly elected
government, represented by the Honourable Minister Colm
Imbert, has delivered its budget for fiscal year 2016 – reflecting
on the commitments made to the Trinidad and Tobago
population in the PNM election manifesto.
During several pre-budget interviews, the Minister had indicated
that the budget was not going to be cast in stone since
it was more or less prepared by the previous government and it was
often referred to as a “holding budget”, as the new
government would not have a lot of time to make any fundamental or
drastic changes. These sentiments were in fact
reflected throughout the budget presentation, since the approach
and strategies of dealing with many of the hot topic
issues seemed fairly vague and wide, followed by promises to hold a
series of consultations with various stakeholders
within the next six months, making the budget presentation appear
to be more of an interim one. This emphasises the
need for the government to assess the true state of the national
economy before formulating a mid-year budget update
to put into effect their own plans and policies.
The combination of falling oil prices, sluggish domestic economic
performance and the deceleration of the global
economy (particularly China), embedded the fear of a possible
recession into the minds of the general public, with
many predicting a budget for challenging times, if not significant
austerity measures. Keeping these debilitating
conditions in mind, it is no surprise that the Minister projected
another fiscal deficit of $2.8 billion, or an estimated 1.7%
of GDP, but a notable improvement compared to the 2015 revised
budget deficit of $7.0 billion or 4.2% of GDP.
Predicated conservatively on an oil price of US$45.00 per barrel,
compared to the Economist Intelligence Unit’s July
2015 WTI forecast for 2016 of US$63.60, sets the tone that total
projected oil revenue of $5.45 billion may turn out to
be significantly understated, indicating the new government’s
commitment to fiscal prudence. Bearing this in mind, it
seems quite ironic that even though the oil price assumption is
low, total expenditure net of capital repayments and
sinking fund contribution of $60.29 billion appears to be one of
the highest levels since 2008, with the exception of
2015 at $63.05 billion. The new administration apparently plans to
spend a similar considerable amount of money in
the current financial year to the previous administration, but one
must consider whether the appropriate foundations
are being laid to rebuild the economy of Trinidad and Tobago.
With estimated current revenue contracting sharply in 2016 to $41.6
billion, the new administration plans to implement
and revise a number of fiscal measures such as broadening the VAT
base, reviving a property taxation system,
increasing business and green fund levy and introducing a tax
regime for the gaming industry. The Minister expects
these tax measures, and the first phase in its reform of the fuel
subsidy through the announced increases in Super and
Diesel pump prices, to plug approximately $5.5 billion of the
revenue deficit. The Minister then went on to talk about
supplementary revenue of $13.4 billion from an asset sale programme
– more privatisations? - and the receipt of what
he called extraordinary dividends. Of course, an element of this
would be the proceeds from the recent T&TNGL IPO
– which can be accounted for in Fiscal 2016.
However, one must consider if these measures paired with fiscal
discipline is sufficient to “generate a revival in growth
and more resources” as well as “restore our international
reputation”. It is with cautious optimism that we anticipate
an
improvement of our twin-island economy through the initiatives
detailed in the budgetary allocations as outlined by the
Honourable Minister, subject to budgetary adjustments at the
mid-year review carded for March 2016.
Economic Overview
October 5, 2015
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the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated
with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss
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BUDGET 2016 – “The Numbers”
The Minister assumed a prudent oil price of US$45 per barrel for
2016 and indicated that total revenue for 2016 is estimated
at $60.287 billion while total expenditure net of capital
repayments and sinking fund contributions is estimated at
$63.048
billion – resulting in a projected deficit of $2.761 billion.
Source:
Oil Price/Barrel - Average Annual Cushing, OK WTI Spot Price FOB
(Dollars per Barrel)
Revenue - Trinidad and Tobago Estimates of Revenue 2008 - 2016
(Revenue comprised of tax and non-tax revenue sources)
Expenditure - Trinidad and Tobago Estimates of Expenditure 2008 -
2016 net of capital repayments and sinking fund contributions
$50
$57
$77
A c
tu a
l A
n n
u a
l A
v e
ra g
e P
ri c
e o
f O
il /B
a rr
e - Estimated
Economic Overview
October 5, 2015
© 2015 KPMG, a Trinidad and Tobago partnership and a member firm of
the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated
with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss
entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Trinidad and Tobago.
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October 5, 2015
© 2015 KPMG, a Trinidad and Tobago partnership and a member firm of
the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated
with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss
entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Trinidad and Tobago.
5
October 5, 2015
© 2015 KPMG, a Trinidad and Tobago partnership and a member firm of
the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated
with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss
entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Trinidad and Tobago.
6
AND PROSPERITY
HIGHLIGHTS OF PROPOSALS AND STATUS
PROPOSALS STATUS UPDATE Manufacturing: Effective January 1, 2015
increase rebate from 15% to 20% in production expenditure rebate
programme as well as increase the cap from US$3 million to US$8
million (Ref. pg. 74 Budget Statement 2015)
Regional & international producers are privy to a 35% cash
rebate on production expenditure capped at US$8M. An additional
rebate of 20% on labour costs incurred for hiring nationals of
Trinidad & Tobago is also available.
Mutual Fund Industry: Amendment of the UTC Act 1981 to the
Securities Act 2012 which includes but is not limited to: - income
allocated for distribution will now exclude realised and
unrealised capital gains from the requirement to distribute not
less than 90% of such income;
- the 10% concentration and control investment restriction
governing unit schemes will now only be applicable to equity
securities;
- the power of the Corporation to restrict its
borrowing to a term not exceeding 90 days is being modified to
extend the payback period to 180 days;
(Ref. pg. 75-76 Budget Statement 2015)
Amended via the Finance Act, No. 2 of 2015, assented on January 27,
2015.
Heritage and Stabilization Fund:
Establish this fund as a legal body
Indemnity protection for its Board of Governors
Increase in the floor of the fund from US$1.0 billion to US$4.0
billion
(Ref. pg. 76-77 Budget Statement 2015)
Cabinet approval received but Parliament term closed before
implementation.
Tax Administration:
Amnesty for outstanding tax up to 2013, deadline date March 31,
2015
(Ref. pg. 77-78 Budget Statement 2015)
Tax Amnesty was implemented
October 5, 2015
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the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated
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October 5, 2015
PROPOSALS STATUS UPDATE
Capital Market Tax-deductible Bonds: Introduction of savings bonds
for small investors and pensioners in smaller denominations: this
will be tax deductible up to $5,000 per annum for 5years (Ref. pg.
78 Budget Statement 2015)
No changes noted
Social Safety Net:
Increase in disability grant by $300, new grant is $1,800 per
month
Public assistance grant increased by $300
Personal allowance for individuals age 60 and above from $60,000 to
$72,000
Servol Adolescent Programme allocation increased by 12%.
Baby grant of $500 for underprivileged parents for 1 year (Ref. pg.
78-79 Budget Statement 2015)
All fiscal measures listed are in effect.
Families of deceased Security Personnel: A new fund of $1.0 million
to be paid to the estate of state protective services killed in the
line of duty (Ref. pg. 79 Budget Statement 2015)
This scheme is in effect, however the Police Social & Welfare
Association is pleading for proper documented policies to guide
this new development.
Fair-Share Programme: Increase in procurement value from
$1.0million to $1.5million (Ref. pg. 79 Budget Statement
2015)
No changes noted.
Pensions:
Senior citizens and public officers pensions increased by $500, now
$3,500
Government to inject $41.0 million into NIS to meet liability to
now include self-employed persons in the NIS scheme ($2.0 million
in first year)
(Ref. pg. 80-82 Budget Statement 2015)
Pensions were increased to $3,500, while the self- employed
initiative has not been implemented.
Agriculture
Fines for praedial larceny to be increased by 50%
Cost for approved agro-processing commodities will be subject to a
50% rebate up to a maximum of $100,000
Refurbishing of agro-processing commodities will be subject to a
50% rebate up to a maximum of $50,000
40% rebate for cost of Hazard Analysis and Critical control points
for Agro-processors up to $150,000
Allocation to the ADB of $75.0 million (Ref. pg. 82-83 Budget
Statement 2015)
Fines for praedial larceny increased as stated and the allocation
to the ADB has been received. However, no other proposal has been
implemented to date.
2016 Fiscal Measures and Comments
October 5, 2015
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the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated
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8 8
Property Tax
Summary of Proposal
Implementing the existing Property Tax Act 2009 using the old
levels and rates as a starting point.
KPMG’s view
This has always been a very controversial tax locally but globally
it is a well- established revenue generating tax and in principle
there ought not to be any objection to its reintroduction. All fair
minded citizens must appreciate that in times of plenty, the
Government could have forgone this tax but we are all now keenly
aware that with the reduction in taxes collected from our main
sector, the energy sector, revenue from all other sources such as
property must be maximized.
We are heartened that the Minister also mentioned that special
provisions would be put in place to ensure that the elderly and
indigent with low fixed income would not be disadvantaged.
Who is affected
Value Added Tax
Summary of Proposal
Charging VAT on non-essential luxury goods
Increasing the threshold for VAT registration from $360,000 to
$500,000
KPMG’s view
While the reduction in the rate of tax would be most welcomed by
consumers, the same consumers may frown upon its introduction on
hitherto exempt or zero- rated goods.
Increasing the threshold for registration is likely to reduce the
tax compliance burden on both taxpayers and the Board of Inland
Revenue who administers the tax. This measure is also likely to
increase the costs of inputs of small suppliers.
It is uncertain how those who are currently registered and are
below the new $500,000 threshold would be dealt with. Would the VAT
registration automatically be cancelled?
Who is affected
All consumers
Positive
Negative
October 5, 2015
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the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated
with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss
entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Trinidad and Tobago.
9 9
Green Fund Levy
Summary of Proposal
KPMG’s view
This is a nominal increase in absolute terms and should be met with
little resistance
Who is affected
All companies carrying on business in Trinidad & Tobago whether
exempt from corporation tax or not, though we suspect the increase
would be passed on to consumers.
Timing
Business Levy
KPMG’s view
This is a nominal tax on gross sales or receipts and is not likely
to cause major financial disruption to any business. It is really
meant to tax companies that are making tax losses and not paying
corporation tax in any given year, though we suspect the increase
would be passed on to consumers.
Who is affected
All business that are making tax losses after 3 years of
registration as a business in Trinidad and Tobago
Timing
Gaming
Summary of Proposal
Fast-tracking the passage of the Gambling (Gaming and Betting)
Control Bill 2015 with appropriate amendment after consultation to
generate taxes.
KPMG’s view
The Government believes that it is not collecting its fair share of
taxes from this sector despite the size of the industry, the number
of people employed and the amount of revenue generated. It is
unfortunate that the Government did not provide the relevant
statistical data to support its position. If it is indeed as the
Government believes, this measure could very well enhance the
Government‘s revenue collection significantly.
Who is affected
Timing
October 5, 2015
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the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated
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10 10
National Insurance
Summary of Proposal
Introduction of legislation to increase all earnings class limit by
13.5%
Increasing the maximum insurable earnings class from $12,000 to
$13,600
Increasing contribution rates from 12% to 13.2%
Increasing the cap on joint income received by retirees in respect
of National Insurance and Old Age pension from $4,500 to
$5,000.
KPMG’s view
These measures are part of the safety net meant to insure those who
would not otherwise be insured against mishaps or cater for
retirement. They may be absolutely necessary given that we that we
are an aging population with a significant percentage of persons
over the age of 40 years and the low annual birth rate. These
measures are a step in the right direction
Who is affected
Timing
To be implemented on July 04, 2016. Except cap in the increase in
old age pension to be effected December 01, 2015
Item Commentary Impact on Tax Payer
Fuel Subsidy
Reforming the fuel subsidy regime after national dialogue
Increasing the price of super gasoline by 15% from $2.70 per litre
to $3.11 per litre
Increasing the price of diesel by 15% from $1.50 per litre to $1.72
per litre
KPMG’s view
We have all boasted that the cost of fuel is relatively cheap in
Trinidad & Tobago by international standards. We may have been
led to believe that it’s our right to share in the country’s
resources so the prices must be kept low. In the recent past
however, we have noted that another oil rich country such as United
Arab Emirates has removed its subsidy. Saudi Arabia and Nigeria are
also considering doing the same, so it is to be expected that we
would follow suit soon especially now as global oil prices are low
and expected to be so in the short to medium term. The overall
effect is an increase in the cost of the travelling public, and
increased costs of goods, but also a decrease in the cost of the
subsidy by the Government.
Who is affected
The travelling public.
Timing
October 5, 2015
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the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated
with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss
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11 11
Transfer Pricing
KPMG’s view
We await the introduction of the legislation but it should be noted
that there are existing anti-tax avoidance provisions based on the
arms-length principle in our current tax laws, which with proper
construction and application could minimize perceived leakages. It
is hoped however with specific legislation on the issues that there
would be more certainty in the applicability of the
principle.
Who is affected
Cross-border transactions between related entities. For example,
subsidiaries and branches of multinational corporations carrying on
business in Trinidad and Tobago.
Timing
Other Measures
Summary of Proposals
Retirees Benefits Programme - free drivers’ permit and passports
for retirees over 60 years.
Discount in utility bills for other categories of retirees.
Re-introduction of a 10 year validity passport for adults over 18
years.
Removing the requirement for citizens to complete immigration forms
at all official ports of entry.
Increasing by 20% the stipends paid to young persons under the On
The Job Training Programme.
Introduction of a Graduate Recruitment Programme in all 23
Ministries.
Introducing tax incentives for construction after consultation with
stakeholders.
Growth and development of technical and operational aspects of
public- private partnerships.
Exemption from duties and taxes on inputs into the agricultural
sector.
Introduction of video conferencing system at the Remand Yard.
KPMG’s view
These measures appear to be all practical and popular in the
current economic climate but we reserve further comments until
details are provided.
Who is affected
Timing
2016 Fiscal Measures and Comments
October 5, 2015
© 2015 KPMG, a Trinidad and Tobago partnership and a member firm of
the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated
with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss
entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Trinidad and Tobago.
12 12
Introduction of the Revenue Authority
Summary of Proposal
KPMG’s view
Provided it is managed properly it is hoped that revenue collection
would be more efficient to prevent leakages
Who is affected
The Administrators of Tax and all companies and individuals who
interact with the local tax authorities (e.g. The Board of Inland
Revenue and Customs Department)
Timing
Item Commentary Impact on Tax Payer
Individual Taxation
Summary of Proposal
Increasing the personal income tax exemption limit from $60,000 to
$72,000
KPMG’s view
While this change would have the effect of putting more money in
the hands of individuals it must be balanced with the Government’s
intention to remove certain items from the VAT Exemption Schedule
or VAT Zero-Rating Schedule. The extra money in the hands of
individuals may very well be collected in VAT, so we caution
individuals to be discerning in their discretionary spending.
Who is affected
All resident individuals
Home and Business Security
Summary of Proposal
Incentives and concession to encourage citizens to install CCTV and
alarm systems in homes and businesses
KPMG’s view
Unfortunately the times we live in require all of us to take all
necessary precautions for our safety. Perhaps this measure is all
part of the Government’s much touted crime fighting
initiatives.
Who is affected
Timing
KPMG Profile
October 5, 2015
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the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated
with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss
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13 13
• Anguilla
• Dominica
• Grenada
• Montserrat
Offices in
• Antigua & Barbuda • St. Lucia • St. Vincent & the
Grenadines
• Jamaica
• Guyana
KPMG in Trinidad and Tobago
KPMG is a global network of professional services firms providing
Audit, Tax and Advisory Services which has been operating in
Trinidad and Tobago for over 46 years.
KPMG in Trinidad and Tobago is locally owned and operated, and
comprises of over 100 outstanding professionals whose
aim is to represent the best firm to work with for our clients, our
people and our communities.
KPMG in Trinidad and Tobago is a member of the KPMG Caricom
grouping which belongs to a sub-region of the Europe-
Middle East-Africa region. We have strong operating relationships
with KPMG’s other English-speaking Caribbean and
island practices based in Antigua, the Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda,
the British Virgin Islands, the Cayman Islands, the
Channel Islands, Isle of Man, Jamaica, Malta, the Netherland
Antilles, St. Lucia, St. Vincent & the Grenadines, and the
Turks
& Caicos Islands.
KPMG Profile
October 5, 2015
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Principal areas of business
KPMG’s Audit practice delivers high quality financial statement
audits and other assurance services and provide
management and boards with in-depth industry insight and valuable
perspectives on salient business issues.
KPMG’s Tax practice provides tax services to clients in all
business sectors on the broad range of taxes in Trinidad
and Tobago. This includes advising domestic and international
clients on all aspects of taxation to assist our clients to
remain tax-compliant and take advantage of all the tax allowances
provided for in the various taxing statutes.
KPMG’s Advisory practice is designed to help clients manage growth,
manage risk and governance and improve
performance so they can focus on their core business. From
developing business strategies to information risk
management, we combine our industry knowledge with experience to
deliver result-focused strategies and approaches
that add value to clients.
Contact Us
October 5, 2015
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the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated
with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss
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15 15
Robert Alleyne Managing Partner
69-71 Edward Street Port of Spain Trinidad and Tobago, T (868) 623
1081 ext. 4113 E
[email protected]
Robert has over 32 years of professional experience serving both
tax and audit clients and is ultimately responsible for all
services delivered to large audit and tax clients. For the majority
of that time he has served as Lead Engagement Partner, Engagement
Quality Control Reporting Partner, IFRS Reviewing Partner on
several of the firm’s audit engagements.
Chris Hornby Partner Audit and Tax
69-71 Edward Street Port of Spain Trinidad and Tobago, T (868) 623
1081 ext. 4112 E
[email protected]
Chris is an audit and tax partner with KPMG in Trinidad and Tobago,
where he is head of energy services. Chris relocated to Trinidad in
March 2010 after spending 5 years as a partner in KPMG Saudi
Arabia, and before that he served KPMG’s clients in East Africa.
Chris qualified as a UK Chartered Accountant and has over 35 years
professional experience spanning four continents.
Gillian Wolffe-O’Neil Director Tax Services
69-71 Edward Street Port of Spain Trinidad and Tobago, T (868) 623
1081 ext. 4246 E
[email protected]
Gillian is an attorney-at-law by profession having been admitted in
1989 to the practice of law in all courts in Trinidad and Tobago.
Gillian has over 25 years’ experience in tax which includes 9 years
at the Inland Revenue Division where she was responsible for
representing the BIR in the local courts to address complex tax
issues. Gillian is responsible for advising local and international
clients in various sectors on efficient tax structuring of
cross-border transactions, tax planning and regulatory
procedure.
Nicole Joseph Director Tax Services
69-71 Edward Street Port of Spain Trinidad and Tobago, T (868) 623
1081 ext. 4247 E
[email protected]
Nicole has 17 years tax experience advising clients across all
business sectors. She also assist KPMG audit in the review of large
companies tax provisions and deferred tax calculations. Nicole is
currently a Council member of ICATT and also serves as Chair of
ICATT’s Taxation Committee.
We can help KPMG can help you assess the effect of the proposed tax
changes in this year’s Budget and point out ways to take
advantage of their benefits or lessen their impact. We will keep
you abreast of the progress of these proposals as they
make their way into law.
October 5, 2015
© 2015 KPMG, a Trinidad and Tobago partnership and a member firm of
the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated
with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss
entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Trinidad and Tobago.
16 16
Dushyant Sookram Partner Advisory
69-71 Edward Street Port of Spain Trinidad and Tobago T (868) 623
1081 ext.
4117 E
[email protected]
Dushyant, as Partner in KPMG in Trinidad and Tobago, with
engagement responsibility for the delivery of Audit and Advisory
engagements in Trinidad and Tobago and has over 23 years of
professional experience, 19 of those with KPMG and four years at
senior levels in finance and accounting departments in the private
sector.
Stacy-Ann Golding Partner Audit
69-71 Edward Street Port of Spain Trinidad and Tobago T (868) 623
1081 ext.
4141 E
[email protected]
Stacy-Ann is an Audit Partner and has over 18 years’ professional
experience in the provision of audit services and recently
appointed CARICOM Risk Management Partner. She is also the Partner
responsible for Professional Development for KPMG Caricom and
Corporate Social Responsibility in Trinidad and Tobago.
Abigail De Freitas Director Advisory
69-71 Edward Street Port of Spain Trinidad and Tobago T (868) 623
1081 ext.
4630 E
[email protected]
Abigail is a Director of Advisory Services at KPMG in Trinidad and
Tobago. She has over 13 years consulting experience providing a
range of services including strategic business planning, business
process improvement, IT advisory and human resource services.
Marissa Quashie Director Audit
69-71 Edward Street Port of Spain Trinidad and Tobago, T (868) 623
1081 ext.
4118 E
[email protected]
Marissa is a Director of Audit and has been with our firm for over
18 years including 20 months at KPMG’s Manchester, UK office.
Marissa has considerable experience in serving a wide variety of
clients across varying industries. She also serves on the Auditing
and Accounting Standards Committee of the Institute of Chartered
Accountant of T&T (ICATT).
Caveat
The information contained herein is of a general nature and is not
intended to address the circumstances of any particular individual
or
entity. Although we endeavour to provide accurate and timely
information, there can be no guarantee that such information is
accurate
as of the date it is received or that it will continue to be
accurate in the future. No one should act on such information
without appropriate
professional advice after a thorough examination of the particular
situation.