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TELECOM ITALIA
Telecom Italia: 9M06 Financial Highlights
Barcelona, 15th November 2006Morgan Stanley 6th TMT Conference
ENRICO PARAZZINI
1
TELECOM ITALIA
TI Group - Key Financial Results
€ mln
9M ‘06reported
YoYreported
Revenues
Ebit
23,104
5,621
3,299 +97
+5.2%
-1.8pp
+3.0%
-4.9%
9,786
42.4%
+0.8% +1.1%
-0.8pp
24.3% -2.1pp
39,504 - 1.8 blnvs. June ‘06
YoYOrganic*
Ebitda
Ebitda margin
Ebit margin
Capex
Net Debt
-2.5pp
-4.5%
2,376 -9.5%
* Excluding changes in consolidation area, exchange rate impact and other non organic items
Net Income(post minorities)
3Q ‘06reported
Yoreported
Y
7,769
1,820
1,083
3,268
42.1%
23.4%
+49
+4.6%
-1
+3.8%
-2.4%
+1.5% +2.7%
-0.5pp
-1.5pp
YoYOrganic*
.2pp
-2
-4
+3.5%
.3pp
.7%
880+11.9% excludingDisc. Operations
+20.1% excludingDisc. Operations
2
TELECOM ITALIA
Update on Convergence Synergies
€ mln
2005 vs2004
IH 2006 vs2005
cum 05- IH 06 3Q 06 vs 3Q 05 cum 05- 9M 06
Operational Costs (116) (122) (238) (67) (305)
Marketing & Sales (205) (68) (273) (70) (343)
Purchasing, G&A (66) (42) (108) (77) (185)Personnel (51) (23) (74) (27) (101)
TOT Domestic Ops (438) (255) (693) (241) (934)
Central Functions (30) (121) (151) (45) (196)
TI Media (3) (3) 0 (3)TOT. OPEX (471) (376) (847) (286) (1.133)
TOT. CAPEX (178) 0 (178) (155) (333)
TOT. OPEX + CAPEX (649) (376) (1.025) (441) (1.466)
3
TELECOM ITALIA
Debt structure as of September 30, 2006
Current Liabilities659
Other Non Current Liabilities (*)of which approximately € 6.0 bn revolving
facility and € 2.0 bn long rent/leasing12.777
Bonds (*)34.509
(2) Liquidity Nominal Position, represented by cash and marketable securities, stands at € 7.4 bn.
€ mln
26,6%1,4%
72,0%
Total gross debt: € 47,945 mln(1)
Cost of debt: approximately 5%
Gross Debt € 47,945
Financial Assets €( 8,441)(2)
Net Financial Position € 39,504
(1) Including € 1.473 mln of IAS adj of which € 450 mln on bonds.
€ 7,4 bn liquidity position grants full coverage of forthcoming debt maturities up to 1Q 2008
Average bond maturity: 8.66
Fixed rate portion on debt still approximately 70%
37,2% of outstanding bonds is denominated in USD and GBP (fully hedged)
Maturities and risk management
(*) including the current portions of non current liabilities (maturing within 12 months) for € 5.201 mln (of which bonds € 4.336 mln and other € 865 mln).
4
TELECOM ITALIA
Medium-long term debt Maturity Profile as of Sept. 30, 2006
€ mln Bonds Loans and Long rent and op. leasing (€ 2,009) Drawn bank facility
Within 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010Beyond2011
Total M/L term debt
1.058
4.031
4.212
4.626
2011
3.768
5.410
22.753 43,858(1)Matched by a:
7.4 bn 6.5 bn 13.9 bn=+
Liquidity nominal
position (out of € 8,4 bn
total Financial assets)
of which revolving facilitymaturing
- March 2007 € 3,5 bn- August 2012 € 3,0 bn
Liquidity
Margin
(1) € 45,858 mln is the nominal amount of outstanding medium-long term debt; by adding IAS adjustments (€ 1.309 mln), deferred incomes “AVEA” (€ 119 mln) and current liabilities (€ 659 mln), the gross debtfigure of € 47.945 mln is reached.
(NB) Maturities are net of € 140 mln (face value) of repurchased own bonds.
558
5.799
3.199
3.820
2.114
4.330
17.126
3.000
3.0006.000
2.627
296
296
392
798
8322.970
500
34.059
5
TELECOM ITALIA
Telecom Italia: solid foundations for an evolvingbusiness model
Barcelona, 15th November 2006Morgan Stanley 6th TMT Conference
RICCARDO RUGGIERO
6
TELECOM ITALIA
9M 2006 financial performance and business overview
Evolution of TI’s business model
Agenda
7
TELECOM ITALIA
€ Mln., %, Organic Growth
9M 06 Δ Δ%
Ebitda %
Ebit %
Revenues
Ebitda
Ebit
27.6%
45.7%
12,633
5,767
3,491
9M 05
28.8%
46.1%
12,825
5,908
3,693
-1.2pp
-0.4pp
-192
-141
-202
-1.5%
-2.4%
-5.5%
9M 06 Δ Δ%
European Project
-16.0%
+6.0%
662
40
-106
9M 05*
-19.6%
-1.9%
465
-9
-91
+3.6pp
+8.0pp
+197
+49
-15
+42.4%
n.m.
-16.5%
9M 06
Total BU Wireline
9M 05
25.5%
43.7%
13,295
5,807
3,385
27.1%
44.4%
13,290
5,899
3,602
-1.6pp
-0.7pp
+5
-92
-217
+0.0%
-1,6%
-6.0%
Broadly Stable domestic margin. Increasing weight of European Project on Wireline revenues and profitability (EBITDA margin at 11.1% in 3Q 06, from 5.4% in 2Q 06 and 1.0% in 1Q 06)
-0.5% excluding F2M cut (~128 € mln.)
Δ Δ%
* Including Liberty Surf from 1/1/05
Wireline: 9M 06 Domestic and European Project
Domestic
8
TELECOM ITALIA
13,200
7,614
1,061
1,305
2,604
7,052
1,123
1,290
2,936
377 13,295
239 232
-562 +62 -15 +332 -7662
+285
Voice
Business Data
Internet
Subs., Adj. & Other
EuropeanProject
Wholesale -7.4% -1.1% -2.9%+5.8% +12.7% +75.6%(+42.4% org.)
+0.7%(0.0% organic)
+95 mln. €
9M 069M 05 Voice Internet Business Data Wholesale Subs., Adj. & Other
EuropeanProject
€ Mln, %
Revenue growth analysis (reported data)
9
TELECOM ITALIA
540 712
548 816
190
605
657
209
655
745
196
540
548
225
Wireline KPIs – 9M 2006Domestic Wireline: Traffic market share% on total traffic volume (voice + online)
Market share maintained close to 70%
Domestic Wireline: Total BroadBand Portfolio‘000 lines
European Project – BB Customer Portfolio(‘000)
‘000 linesDomestic Wireline: Retention campaigns
1Q 05 1Q 06 2Q 05 2Q 06 3Q 05
9M 05: 728 9M 06: 918+26%
3Q 06
319355
244
196
282249
ResidentialBusiness
(10,4%)
Sep 05 Sep 06
+0.2 pp
Sep 04
+0.8pp
71.8% 72.8%72.0%
Wholesale
Retail
Total Domestic
+565
+750
+185
Dec ’05
890
4,817
5,707
Sep ’06
1,075
5,382
6,457
Dec ’04
599
3,411
4,010
D Sep vsDec ‘05
1,313
Dec 05 Sep 06
1,7181,471
Mar 06
1,596
Jun 06
+158k +122k+125kNet additions
Total clients: 2,014k (190k NL; 839 D; 985 F)
The Netherlands
Germany
France
157
263
198
277
179 184
39
56
84
78
71 60
10
TELECOM ITALIA
Leading position in European BB achieved in 3 years
The European BB Project 2004-06
Germany. End 2003: Hansenet acquisition (75k BB
customers). Sep 06 816k BB customers. Close to #2 operator
(15% mkt share) after AOL acquisition. EBITDA positive since
’03 and FCF>0 since 2Q ‘06.
France. End 2004 start-up. Sep 2006: ca 1 mln customers
(72% BB). Expected to be EBITDA positive from ’08 and FCF
breakeven from ’09.
The Netherlands. Started up in 2000. DSL wholesale provider.
~40% EBITDA margin.
Proportionate* retail BB customers (Mil.) – Sep ‘06
6.8
8.28.2
3.9 (**)
Int’l
DomesticRetail
Source: Company Data
(*) Based on Equity stakes. TI includes AOL D
(**) TEF June 06.
(***) Including AOL Germany customers
European Project’s EBITDA breakeven reached in 1Q 2006. Double digit EBITDA margin (11.1%) achieved in 3Q
2006-07 Germany and France focus on: subscriber growth; coverage extension; integration of AOL with Hansenet; strengthening of TI’s position in France
Free cash flow breakeven expected in 2008: in line with objectives and with the standard cash profile of BB startups
Business model (Alice brand, focus on ULL, service and IT platforms) can be replicated in other countries (Plug and Play Model),should any opportunities arise.
5,4
3,2
2,8
0,75,45,5
1,42,7
TI (***) FT DT TEF
11
TELECOM ITALIA
+5.3% excluding termination cut (340 mln€)
Revenues
EbitdaEbitda %
EbitEbit %
CapexCapex/Rev.
Organic*
Δ Abs Δ %
Reported Data
9M 06 9M 05 Δ Abs Δ %
+3.1% excluding termination cut (171 mln€)
9M 06 9M 05
€ Mln, %
7,507 58 0.8%7,565
52.5%51.0% -1.5pp3,942 -83 -2.1%3,859
3,037 -203 -6.7%40.5%
2,83437.5% -3.0pp
680 581 99 17.0%
7,507 58 0.8%7,565
3,925 -50 -1.3%52.3%
3,87551.2% -1.1pp
3,020 -170 -5.6%40.2%
2,85037.7% -2.5pp
7.7%9.0% -1.3pp
TIM Italy: Main Results 9M 06 vs 9M 05
* Excluding exceptional items
12
TELECOM ITALIA
41.9% 39.4% 39.7% 40.0%
7.6%
2,170
5.9%
1,613
40.5%
11.3%
3,421
40.3%
10.0%
2,979
+1,080SIM, ‘000
40.3%
12.4%
3,892
Market Share TIM EoY (%)
UMTS penetration (%)
UMTS* Customers
* UMTS customers that generated traffic on TIM’s 3G network in the last 90 days
- 142
+1,322+1,137
+1,088+744
Dec '04 Jun '05 Sep '05 Dec '05 Mar '06 Jun '06 Sep '06
TIM Italy: strong customer base trend
Success of new offers continues:
TIM Tribu: over 2,1 mln lines
TIM Relax: ~2 mln lines
TIM Famiglia (F/M family net): over 1,2mln lines
Welcome Home (ethnic): ~0,7mln lines
Contribution of Business customers to net adds (222k) remains strong, in spite of 3Q’s seasonal bias towards consumers
31.48830.408
26.259 26.11727.254
28.57629.664
13
TELECOM ITALIA
Service revenues (YoY % chg) Service rev. before F2M cut (YoY % chg)
EBITDA (organic YoY % chg) EBITDA margin (Organic YoY pp chg)
1Q 06 2Q 06 3Q 06 1Q 06 2Q 06 3Q 06
1Q 06 2Q 06 3Q 06 1Q 06 2Q 06 3Q 06
The new commercial
strategy generates
increasing volumes
and leads to a
positive impact on
margin in the third
quarter of 2006
Further acceleration
in revenue and
EBITDA growth
expected in 4Q 06
TIM Italy: revenue and margin turnaround
+0.4 pp
-1.9 pp-1.8 pp
+5.4%
+3.9%+4.0%
+0.9%
-1.0%-1.1%
-2,8%
1,1%
-2,0%
14
TELECOM ITALIA
Δ % YoY
Outgoing Voice revenue trend
Voice revenues continue to grow, confirming price elasticity effect
1Q4Q3Q 2Q 3Q
Outgoing traffic prices down ~6% YoY on average Flat prices
2005 vs.2004 2006 vs.2005
Total traffic* volume % chg YoY
+1% +4% +8% +5%+7%
Outgoing price flat (vs. heavy promotions in
3Q 05)
* Incoming + outgoing, excluding visitors (10.8 bln in 3Q 06)
Outgoing traffic price chg
5.3%
1.6%1.0%
3.6%
-2.2%
15
TELECOM ITALIA
TIM Brasil: Main Results 9M 06 vs 9M 05
Data Reported - EuroMillion Euro, %
Data Reported - ReaisMillion R$, %
9M 06 9M 05
Revenues
EbitdaEbitda %
EbitEbit %
CAPEXCAPEX/Revs
9M 06 9M 05Δ Abs Δ % Δ Abs Δ % Δ %
Service Revenues: +24.2%(+18.5% net of Bill&Keep)
Organic Growth%
21.5%
86.5%
77.9%
7,595 6,251 1,344 21.5%
1,644 877 767 87.5%21.6% 14.0% 7.6 p.p.
-128 -567 439 77.4%-1.7% -9.1% 7.4 p.p.
895 1,465 -570 -38.9%11.8% 23.4% -11.6 p.p.
21.8% margin
2,792 1,985 807 40.7%
604 279 325 116.5%21.6% 14.0% 7.6 p.p.
-47 -180 133 73.9%-1.7% -9.1% 7.4 p.p.
329 465 -136 -29.2%11.8% 23.4% -11.6 p.p.
IAS/IFRS
16
TELECOM ITALIA
TIM Brasil: market position
mln Lines
TIM Brasil Customer Portfolio
Market Share 22.2% 22.9%21.3%
Mar 05 Jun 05 Sep 05
16,818,3
20,2
23.4%
Dec 05
23.5%
Mar 06
21,0
% GSM 69%
14,6
75%79%
82%85%
22,3
87%
24.3%
Jun 06
24,1
25.1%
Sep 06
89%
Market continues to grow and penetration reaches 51% (~65% of pop. above the poverty line)
Net adds in 3Q remain strong at 1.8 mln, with post-paid stable at 21% of customer base
Improving TIM Market Positioning on Customer Base YoYvs main Competitors:
from -13.2 pp to –4.9 pp vs Vivofrom +1.1 pp to +2.0 pp vs Claro
Outperformance vs. n. 1 competitor continues
Benchmarking (R$, BRL GAAP)
EBITDA marginARPUVivoTIM Brasil
3Q 05 3Q 06
+16% +20%
MoU
3Q 05 3Q 06
+20% +22%
3Q 05 3Q 06
-12pp -1pp
Service revenues market share
3Q 05 3Q 06
-11pp -1pp
17
TELECOM ITALIA
Agenda
9M 2006 financial performance and business overview
Evolution of TI’s business model
18
TELECOM ITALIA
2005: the “One company Model”
In order to:face structural discontinuities and high competition in the Fixed and Mobile marketsprotect growth and profitability of the Group
Telecom Italia decided to implement an integrated management of the fixed and mobile business through the development of a “one company model”The fixed and mobile convergence allowed us to:
generate about 1.5 Bln. euro (2005-9M06) efficiency from integrationmaintain the leadership in offer innovationmaintain European leadership in profitability*
*Based on 1H06 EBITDA margins of both domestic fixed and domestic mobile
Market Scenario Trend Telecom Italia objectives
Fixed:Voice market under pressure, increased competition Internet and broadband the only market drivers
Mobile:SIM growth rates still strong (in spite of high penetration at ~110%)high pressure on pricing and handset subsidy
New ultrabroadband technologies(VDSL2, WiMax/WiBro/LTE, etc.) start to appear
Telecom/media/ICT convergence paves the way for new market growth trends
Telecom Italia pursues growth in the “pure TLC” market, through:
Fixed market: maintaining leadership in voice services and broadbandMobile market: regaining leadership in the competitive positioning
19
TELECOM ITALIA
Fixed
Mobile
The development of:Ultrabroadband, “All IP” Networks, both fixed (FTTx/VDSL2) and mobile (4G) Content and ICT services distribution platforms,
Enables the evolution of telecom services
Mainly Voice and Internet access servicesBandwidth up to 20MBps (best effort)
Integrated Voice + Internet + HDTV + VAS + ICT servicesUltrabroadband access (50 Mbpsguaranteed) Market driven coverage
Predominantly VoiceNarrowband Internet access (128Kbps)VAS = SMS/MMS
Integrated, IP-Based Voice and DataUltrabroadband (10 MBps)VAS include interactive TV contentdistribution
Today Tomorrow
Evolution of the Convergence model: Fixed and Mobile Ultra-BB; Telecom – Media – ICT Convergence
20
TELECOM ITALIA
Evolution of Telecom Italia’s Convergence Model
Objectives of the current strategic framework:
facilitate the definition of the regulatory framework
gain more flexibility to face new market challenges
Development of Fixed (NGN2/VDSL2) and Mobile (4G) Ultrabroadband technologies
Development of Fixed and Mobile convergent offers
Distribution of TV Content and ICT solutions
identify further cost efficiency sources and allow new investments
One Company ModelUltrabroadband Convergent
Telecom-Media-ICTCompany
21
TELECOM ITALIA
Reshaping our relationship with the NRA
Driving the regulatory framework towards greater flexibility for TI in the development of retail and wholesale offers, with particular reference to:
Flexibility in pricing for Top business clientsAsymmetry in the customer acquisition/win-back proceduresTraffic reverse termination pricing Constraints on bundled/convergent offers
Broadband will become the standard fixed and mobile access over the next few years
Telecom Italia wants to invest and transform its network developing an All-IP, Ultra-broadband infrastructure (Next Generation Network)
It is key for TI to have the maximum visibility on returns, on both the retail and the wholesale markets.
Telecom Italia has started negotiations with Italy’s NRA (AgCom) setting a path towards a regulatory environment that further opens the telecoms market to free, fair and symmetric competition while stimulating additional investments in next generation infrastructures.
Issues to be addressed
Framework and objectives
A further effort to guarantee all operators equal conditions of access to T.I. network (local loop), both from an economic and operating point of view
The access network separation could be envisaged with independent management, including the creation of a separate unit
Our proposal