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DNV GL © 2013 JAPAN-NORWAY MARITIME WORKING MEETING 3 JUNE 2015 SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER DNV GL © 2013 JAPAN-NORWAY MARITIME WORKING MEETING 3 JUNE 2015 Terje Sverud, Head of Section Environment Advisory Emission reducing fuels - the way forward

Terje Sverud, Head of Section Environment Advisory · CATCH fordelt på tiltakstyper for skip med operasjon i norske farvann (2015‐2040) Baseline: 11,5 millioner tonn CO2 per år

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  • DNV GL © 2013 JAPAN-NORWAY MARITIME WORKING MEETING 3 JUNE 2015 SAFER, SMARTER, GREENERDNV GL © 2013

    JAPAN-NORWAY MARITIME WORKING MEETING 3 JUNE 2015Terje Sverud, Head of Section Environment Advisory

    Emission reducing fuels - the way forward

  • DNV GL © 2013 JAPAN-NORWAY MARITIME WORKING MEETING 3 JUNE 2015

    The industry is now at the start of two major “revolutions”

    For the first time in 100 years, the shipping industry is now considering alternative fuels

    In the span of 5 years, shipping has gone from being one of the least transparent industries to being one of the best monitored

    2

  • DNV GL © 2013 JAPAN-NORWAY MARITIME WORKING MEETING 3 JUNE 2015

    LNG fuelled ship projects – where are we heading?

    3

    Updated 07.05.2015Excluding LNG carriers and inland waterway vessels

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    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

    Nu

    mb

    er o

    f sh

    ips

    Year of delivery

    Development of LNG fuelled fleet

    Ships in operation Ships on order

  • DNV GL © 2013 JAPAN-NORWAY MARITIME WORKING MEETING 3 JUNE 2015

    Maritime battery systems – where are we heading?

    4

    Eidesvik: Viking Lady, hybrid supply vessel, retrofit in Norway 2013

    Østensjø: Edda Ferd, hybrid supply vessel, built by Astilleros in Spain 2013

    Østensjø: large hybrid offshore construction vessel, built by Kleven in Norway 2016

    Fafnir Offshore: hybrid supply vessel, built by Havyard Ship Technology, Norway

    Selfa Arctic: hybrid fishing boat, built in Norway 2014

    SVITZER: 4 battery hybrid tugboats, built by ASL Marine, Singapore

    KOTUG: RT Adriaan, hybrid tugboat in Rotterdam, retrofit 2012

    Foss: Carolyn Dorothy hybrid tug of LA, built by Foss' Rainier Shipyard, USA 2009

    Scandlines: 4 battery hybrid ferries, retrofit 2013

    Foss: Campbell Foss hybrid tug of LA, retrofit by Foss' Rainier Shipyard, USA 2012

    NORLED: Finnøy, hybrid ferry, retrofit, Norway 2013

    NORLED: Folgefonn, hybrid/pure battery ferry in Norway 2014

    Fjord1: Fannefjord LNG, hybrid hybrid ferry, retrofit

    Scottish Government: Hybrid ferry in Scotland, built by Ferguson in Glasgow

    University of Victoria: Tsekola II, hybrid research vessel, retrofit in Canada

    NORLED: 100 % battery ferry, new build Fjellstrand in Norway 2015

  • DNV GL © 2013 JAPAN-NORWAY MARITIME WORKING MEETING 3 JUNE 2015

    The way forward – in Norway

    Environmentally friendly fuels, measures, and means towards 2040: Detailed analysis of the characteristics of maritime traffic, fuel

    usage, and emissions from shipping in Norwegian waters Analysis of the emission reduction potentials and cost-benefit of

    alternative fuels towards 2040, covering:- Biofuels- Electricity- LNG

    5

    The Norwegian Government aims to contribute to a transition towards use of green fuels in the maritime sector

  • DNV GL © 2013 JAPAN-NORWAY MARITIME WORKING MEETING 3 JUNE 2015

    We need to know where are before we decide where to go

    6

    AIS data for 2013:• Every 6th min• 6700 different vessels• Millions of records

  • DNV GL © 2013 JAPAN-NORWAY MARITIME WORKING MEETING 3 JUNE 2015

    Where are we today – traffic and emissions in Norwegian waters

    7

    AIS data for 2013 16 %

    55 %

    22 %

    Separation of traffic types:

    Transit traffic

    Foreign traffic

    Domestic traffic

    Emissions from domestic traffic 2013:

    CO2 4.1 mill. ton 9 % of Norw. emissions

    NOx 52 000 ton 34 % of Norw. emissions

    SOx 4 500 ton 25 % of Norw. emissions

    PM 2 300 ton

  • DNV GL © 2013 JAPAN-NORWAY MARITIME WORKING MEETING 3 JUNE 20158

    0

    100000

    200000

    300000

    400000

    500000

    600000

    Fuel consumption (ton) in Norwegian waters  ‐ 2013

    Transit Domestic In port Foreign

    Where are we today – Fuel consumption in Norwegian waters

  • DNV GL © 2013 JAPAN-NORWAY MARITIME WORKING MEETING 3 JUNE 2015

    The way forward – Emission reduction potentials

    9

    Without measures, CO2emissions could grow by 60% from 2015 to 2040

    The challenge is to cut emissions to 40% below

    current level

    Calculations show that this can be realised by introducing green fuels on 2700 ships (1/3 of the fleet) by 2040:

    - Cargo ships and fishing vessels use sustainable biofuels

    - Passenger vessels use electric propulsion

    - Offshore vessels use LNG

    20402015

    CO2

    Emissions of NOx, SOx, and PM can also be cut through use of green fuels

  • DNV GL © 2013 JAPAN-NORWAY MARITIME WORKING MEETING 3 JUNE 201510

    The figure illustrate findings that are valid across fuel-price scenarios:• LNG and biofuels is cost effective in a business perspective for many ship segments• Electric power comes at a cost, but the cost is not high• The major contributions to CO2 reduction comes from electric power and biofuel

    ‐200

    ‐100

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    0 700 000 1 300 000 2 000 000 2 600 000 3 300 000 4 000 000CATCH

     per to

    nn CO2 redu

    sert [N

    OK/tonn

     CO2]

    CO2‐redusert [tonn per år]

    CATCH fordelt på tiltakstyper for skip med operasjon i norske farvann (2015‐2040)Baseline: 11,5 millioner tonn CO2 per årReduksjon: 4,2 millioner tonn CO2 per år

    LNG

    Biogass

    Biodiesel

    Vegetabilsk olje

    Hybrid elektrisk

    Fullelektrisk

    Landstrøm

    Vegetable oil

    Electric power

    LNG

    CO2 reduction (ton per year)

    Cos

    t ef

    fect

    iven

    ess

    (NO

    K/t

    on C

    O2)

    Cost effectiveness of alternative fuels

    The way forward – Cost effectiveness of CO2 reduction measures

  • DNV GL © 2013 JAPAN-NORWAY MARITIME WORKING MEETING 3 JUNE 2015

    Summing up

    11

    • AIS-data and better analytical methods have given new insight in fuel consumption and emissions – including the ability to separate domestic, foreign and transit traffic

    • Using green fuel to reduce 2040 CO2 emissions to levels below those of 2015 requires the use of zero-emission options such as biofuels and electricity

    • Several measures will give cost-effective CO2 reductions. The cost effectiveness will vary with fuel price for all measures

    • Norway has formed a basis for further work with policy instruments to encourage the transition towards green fuels

  • DNV GL © 2013 JAPAN-NORWAY MARITIME WORKING MEETING 3 JUNE 2015

    SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER

    www.dnvgl.com

    Emission reducing fuels – the way forward

    12

    Contact:[email protected]