Upload
others
View
3
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Weather Action™ © & Piers Corbyn accept no liability for any loss howsoever arising from use of forecast information. Application of forecasts is entirely at the user’s risk. None of this forecast may be published or circulated in media or web or used in production of other forecasts without agreement of Weather Action & Piers Corbyn. Media use is welcome but may only be from specific issued quotes to the newspaper or media concerned or issued displays on www.weatheraction.com
EUROPE NOVEMBER 2013 Wild Changes & Contrasts Mostly cold first week espec North; From 2nd week South & Mid parts mild or even summery while Scandinavia & Russia have memorable blizzards. SE Europe cold & often snowy ● Main stormy/unsettled /blizzardy in parts spells: 4-6 (R5); 9-10 (R5); 17-19 (R3); 21-23 (R4); 24-26 (R5).
● Basic approx Pressure developments - Details p 2-9: ~1-8th Low pressure towards South then also in North with a partial Arctic Block ~ 9-30th High pressure domination of continental Europe and South devlelops while Scandinavia often lower pressure and mobile. ~White Sea and ~Black sea / Turkey: Cold Low pressure with snow/blizzards (espec Russia and East Scandinavia) through the month.
● Wild Jet Stream changes - characteristic of the Mini-Ice-Age – are very marked this November:- blocked/very south for first week or so then Split/partly blocked/normal with more mobility in North.
The changes in circulation giving these often extreme weather patterns will be driven by changes in the Solar-Lunar factors which govern the behavior of the Jet stream and are predictable by WeatherAction’s revolutionary Solar-Lunar-Action-Technique (SLAT9A) months ahead and nothing to do with CO2 changes - the ‘Climate Change’ ‘theory’ of which is delusional and fraudulent. The wild extremes are consequences of the Wild Jet Stream / ‘Mini Ice Age (ie on average significantly colder) Climate decades the world is now entering. Standard Meteorology will run into serious problems this month in SLAT main Red (R4 & R5) periods during which short range standard Meteorology forecasts for precipitation will generally need to be doubled and strong wind / tornado /thunder risk enhanced.
EUROPE Regional Weathermaps Forecast NOV 2013 SLAT9A Prod 30 October www.weatheraction.com +442079399946 +447908734296
Piers’ Oct Storm “Great success” ● Everything Piers Corbyn warned about his* UK-Euro storm from 6 weeks to 6 hours ahead was confirmed while UK MetO knew nothing or dithered – under-forecasting storm strength and failing to issue enough Red Warnings. *Named by WeatherAction subscribers.
● Piers' "End Game" special forecast 2days ahead that the detailed storm track would move to further South than the Standard Models were then saying was confirmed. This had major implications for danger risk in S England, The Channel, France & Low countries. See http://www.weatheraction.com/docs/WANews13No45.pdf ● The Storm ramped up in the Low countries, Denmark & beyond (+29th) which with destruction in UK confirmed WeatherAction warning of (possible) ‘damage on a par with The Great Storm 16 Oct 1987’ despite as we expected UK winds mostly not reaching Oct 1987 levels. ● Simultaneous storm hits both sides of Atlantic – Piers’ Storm in Britain, Ireland and NW Europe, predicted 6 weeks ahead came along with ~simultaneous extreme storm events specifically predicted and well confirmed for USA (see http://www.weatheraction.com/docs/WANews13No46.pdf ) and associated storms across the world around WeatherAction’s Top Red R5 period 27-30 Oct This R5 was preceded by extreme solar activity - remarkable for its strength and magnetic interconnectedness (See Link). In terms of short range timing the Standard Met /UKMO forecast was very good but the truth is their models UNDER-FORECASTED strength, as we warned they would since it was in an R5 period - until they Now-casted too late, for example, to remove or make safe the crane which crashed into the Cabinet Office roof, http://bit.ly/19rwAPN Piers says: "We are very pleased with our success - which follows on confirmed success for significant 'warm-up' storms of major rain/flooding and/or severe gales/storms this month on 17/18th mainly in Ireland and 21-23rd (208th Anniversary of the 'Trafalgar Night Storm 1805) and confirms the superiority of our solar-lunar based forecasting.
Herengracht Canal Amsterdam 28th Oct. - 16 people were killed across UK+NW Europe in Piers’ Storm which gave record high winds in places. http://bit.ly/17DkDa8
2013 NOV (3-30d) ahead fc Europe detail SLAT9A prod 30 Oct. First detailed look was 16th Oct (SLAT9A) for Brit & Ire. General reportage welcome but any publication of details in media or web must be agreed through www.weatheraction.com
Confidential. © Weather Action (+44/0)2079399946
European Forecast Noted Areas Map SLAT 9A NOVEMBER 2013 for: 1st – 3rd November Confidence: BC = 70%
From Forecast Pressure Maps main choices of 16th October Timing to 1 day. Likely success rate of weather periods is 8 or 9 basically successful out of every 10
Weather Action™ © & Piers Corbyn accept no liability for any loss howsoever arising from use of forecast information. Application of forecasts is entirely at the user’s risk. None of this forecast may be published or circulated in media or web or used in production of other forecasts without agreement of Weather Action & Piers Corbyn. Media use is welcome but may only be from specific issued quotes to the newspaper or media concerned or issued displays on www.weatheraction.com
Key Weather Development Notes: 1-3rd NOVEMBER 2013 Solar-Lunar Factors: R3 1–3rd Thunder Risk: Moderate / Low Jet Stream: Blocked / South Key Development: Low pressure centred just W/S of Ireland/SW England fills and retreats somewhat. Higher pressure over Scandinavia and N Scotland extending to Greenland. Azores High pushed south and extending into South Iberia. Lowish pressure France, but higher pressure over ScandinaviaLow pressure over Turkey and the Eastern Mediterranean Main Uncertainties: Mobility of lows / Scotland
For Brit & Ireland see B&I Separate Forecast
Mostly dry, cloudy
Wet + Cold
Showery + mild Heavy showers with hail; getting
colder
Cold, snow showers /
flurries
Cold + snowy Heavy snow + Thundersnow
Wintry showers, getting colder
Heavy rain, wintry in
North parts
Dry + bright
cc
2013 NOV (3-30d) ahead fc Europe detail SLAT9A prod 30 Oct. First detailed look was 16th Oct (SLAT9A) for Brit & Ire. General reportage welcome but any publication of details in media or web must be agreed through www.weatheraction.com
Confidential. © Weather Action (+44/0)2079399946
European Forecast Noted Areas Map SLAT 9A NOVEMBER 2013 for: 4th – 8th November Confidence: AB = 80%
From Forecast Pressure Maps main choices of 16th October Timing to 1 day. Likely success rate of weather periods is 8 or 9 basically successful out of every 10
Weather Action™ © & Piers Corbyn accept no liability for any loss howsoever arising from use of forecast information. Application of forecasts is entirely at the user’s risk. None of this forecast may be published or circulated in media or web or used in production of other forecasts without agreement of Weather Action & Piers Corbyn. Media use is welcome but may only be from specific issued quotes to the newspaper or media concerned or issued displays on www.weatheraction.com
Extremely cold, northerly
blast, blizzards &
thundersnow
Key Weather Development Notes: 4-8th NOVEMBER 2013 Solar-Lunar Factors: R5 4-6th R3 7-8th Thunder Risk: Very high Thundersnow Jet Stream: Very south Key Development: Greenland-N Scandinavia North High block connected to High pressure Icelamd-Scotland / NI. Siberia Low. Atlantic low Attacks Ireland. Separate polar-type Low in N’ly airstream in South Scandinavia/low countries. Low corridor Spain, Italy, Greece, Black Sea. Main Uncertainties: Relative power of West attack & polar type low
For Brit & Ireland see B&I Separate Forecast
Rain / sleet, thunderstorm, large hail. Snow on higher
ground later Rain, sleet, thunderstorms, local floods, large hail
Heavy snow & thundersnow, drifts
later, transport standstill
Mostly dry, mildish
Rain / sleet, perhaps snow
later
Snow showers, increasingly cold
Very heavy snow,
thundersnow & blizzards.
Travel disruption,
getting colder, bitter
wind
Heavy snow, very cold, moderate wind
Snow shower / flurries, very
cold
2013 NOV (3-30d) ahead fc Europe detail SLAT9A prod 30 Oct. First detailed look was 16th Oct (SLAT9A) for Brit & Ire. General reportage welcome but any publication of details in media or web must be agreed through www.weatheraction.com
Confidential. © Weather Action (+44/0)2079399946
European Forecast Noted Areas Map SLAT 9A NOVEMBER 2013 for: 9th – 12th November Confidence: B = 75%
From Forecast Pressure Maps main choices of 16th October Timing to 1 day. Likely success rate of weather periods is 8 or 9 basically successful out of every 10
Weather Action™ © & Piers Corbyn accept no liability for any loss howsoever arising from use of forecast information. Application of forecasts is entirely at the user’s risk. None of this forecast may be published or circulated in media or web or used in production of other forecasts without agreement of Weather Action & Piers Corbyn. Media use is welcome but may only be from specific issued quotes to the newspaper or media concerned or issued displays on www.weatheraction.com
Key Weather Development Notes: 9-12th NOVEMBER 2013 Solar-Lunar Factors: RS 9–10th NSF/Q 11-12th Thunder Risk: Top (very high) 9–10th Jet Stream: Blocked / Very south Key Development: Deep Atlantic low attacks Ireland + W Britain (and weakens later), while Scandinavia/N Europe high holds firm. Deep low in Med. Azores high non existent/ pushed to Madeira/ Canaries. Greenland/Scandinavia block starts to break. Low Siberia (retreats to Arctic later) Main Uncertainties: Speed of advance of Atlantic low.
For Brit & Ireland see B&I Separate Forecast
Mostly dry, snow showers
Heavy rain + thunderstorms Mostly dry,
drizzle at first, less later. Cloudy
Cold showers
Heavy snow / sleet turning to rain + hail + thunderstorms
Heavy snow, very extreme drifting
Torrential rain, turning mild, then
very mild
Rain / sleet turning to rain showers + milder
Catastrophically heavy + deep snow + blizzards
with thundersnow likely, turning to rain +
floods later
Snow showers
Heavy snow, huge drifts,
extremely cold
Snow showers Snow showers
2013 NOV (3-30d) ahead fc Europe detail SLAT9A prod 30 Oct. First detailed look was 16th Oct (SLAT9A) for Brit & Ire. General reportage welcome but any publication of details in media or web must be agreed through www.weatheraction.com
Confidential. © Weather Action (+44/0)2079399946
European Forecast Noted Areas Map SLAT 9A NOVEMBER 2013 for: 13th – 16th November Confidence: A = 85%
From Forecast Pressure Maps main choices of 16th October Timing to 1 day. Likely success rate of weather periods is 8 or 9 basically successful out of every 10
Weather Action™ © & Piers Corbyn accept no liability for any loss howsoever arising from use of forecast information. Application of forecasts is entirely at the user’s risk. None of this forecast may be published or circulated in media or web or used in production of other forecasts without agreement of Weather Action & Piers Corbyn. Media use is welcome but may only be from specific issued quotes to the newspaper or media concerned or issued displays on www.weatheraction.com
Key Weather Development Notes: 13–16th NOVEMBER 2013 Solar-Lunar Factors: R2 13-14th NSF/Q 15-16th Thunder Risk: Low Jet Stream: Flips to blocked / Normal Key Development: Greenland-Scandinavia block breaks and “normal” low pressures track Atlantic-Iceland-N Scandinavia. Large high pressure S Europe and higher pressure East Europe. Low Siberia. Azores LOW not High. Siberia low fills later. Greenland pressure decreases Main Uncertainties: Mobility (N) Scandinavia
For Brit & Ireland see B&I Separate Forecast
Dry, fine. Becoming very warm and sunny; an amazing
burst of “Indian Summer”
Variable sky at first + mostly dry. Becoming
dry, fine, warm and sunny
Snow showers (prob sleet at times in S Finland)
A few showers, variable sky
becoming fine
2013 NOV (3-30d) ahead fc Europe detail SLAT9A prod 30 Oct. First detailed look was 16th Oct (SLAT9A) for Brit & Ire. General reportage welcome but any publication of details in media or web must be agreed through www.weatheraction.com
Confidential. © Weather Action (+44/0)2079399946
European Forecast Noted Areas Map SLAT 9A NOVEMBER 2013 for: 17th – 19th November Confidence: AB = 80%
From Forecast Pressure Maps main choices of 16th October Timing to 1 day. Likely success rate of weather periods is 8 or 9 basically successful out of every 10
Weather Action™ © & Piers Corbyn accept no liability for any loss howsoever arising from use of forecast information. Application of forecasts is entirely at the user’s risk. None of this forecast may be published or circulated in media or web or used in production of other forecasts without agreement of Weather Action & Piers Corbyn. Media use is welcome but may only be from specific issued quotes to the newspaper or media concerned or issued displays on www.weatheraction.com
Key Weather Development Notes: 17-19th NOVEMBER 2013 Solar-Lunar Factors: R5 17-19th Thunder Risk: Very high Jet Stream: Normal / partially blocked Key Development: Major dartboard low/with sub lows developing attacks Ireland and West but is largely blocked in Atlantic by large firm high pressure centred over (central) Europe. Azores high collapsed, pushed to Canaries/Iberia. Very deep low Siberia. Partial blocking Norway Sea. Active low central Med. Atlantic lows blocked out of Continental Europe + Scandinavia Main Uncertainties: Penetration of Atlantic fronts to NW Brit + possibly Scandinavia
For Brit & Ireland see B&I Separate Forecast
Tremendous blizzards + thundersnow. Transport
lockdown, huge snowdrifts
Mainly dry & dull, low cloud
Major thunderstorm, rain, large hail, sleet, snow
Variable sky / high cloud, dry, bright + warm by day. Showers / wintry showers on edge of area
Dry, humid quite warm. Variable sky, low cloud
but probably no rain Rain / sleet then blizzards. Thunder becoming thundersnow
with extensive drifting
Wet + windy
Showery
2013 NOV (3-30d) ahead fc Europe detail SLAT9A prod 30 Oct. First detailed look was 16th Oct (SLAT9A) for Brit & Ire. General reportage welcome but any publication of details in media or web must be agreed through www.weatheraction.com
Confidential. © Weather Action (+44/0)2079399946
European Forecast Noted Areas Map SLAT 9A NOVEMBER 2013 for: 20th – 23rd November Confidence: B = 75%
From Forecast Pressure Maps main choices of 16th October Timing to 1 day. Likely success rate of weather periods is 8 or 9 basically successful out of every 10
Weather Action™ © & Piers Corbyn accept no liability for any loss howsoever arising from use of forecast information. Application of forecasts is entirely at the user’s risk. None of this forecast may be published or circulated in media or web or used in production of other forecasts without agreement of Weather Action & Piers Corbyn. Media use is welcome but may only be from specific issued quotes to the newspaper or media concerned or issued displays on www.weatheraction.com
Key Weather Development Notes: 20-23rd NOVEMBER 2013 Solar-Lunar Factors: NSF/Q 20th R4 21-23rd Thunder Risk: High 21-23 Jet Stream: Blocked - North Key Development: Firm high pressure France and S/E England. Active lows in Atlantic largely blocked. No Azores high, instead France high extends to Spain, Madeira and Canaries. Deep lows Siberia, Arctic and NW Russia. Uncertainty in penetration of fronts from Atlantic. Low (deeper later) East Mediterranean / S Turkey Main Uncertainties: Black Sea
For Brit & Ireland see B&I Separate Forecast
Snow showers, heavy later
Showery then intense thunderstorm, large hail,
local tornadoes likely
Dry & bright then more high cloud + some showers (heavy in parts later)
Dry + bright. More cloud later
Showers heavy and thundery with large hail
Dry, fine, very mild – Indian Summery. Warm at first + sunny, cloud increasing (mostly high cloud) later.
Dry, increasingly
cloudy & humid later. Very mild
2013 NOV (3-30d) ahead fc Europe detail SLAT9A prod 30 Oct. First detailed look was 16th Oct (SLAT9A) for Brit & Ire. General reportage welcome but any publication of details in media or web must be agreed through www.weatheraction.com
Confidential. © Weather Action (+44/0)2079399946
European Forecast Noted Areas Map SLAT 9A NOVEMBER 2013 for: 24th – 26th November Confidence: A = 85%
From Forecast Pressure Maps main choices of 16th October Timing to 1 day. Likely success rate of weather periods is 8 or 9 basically successful out of every 10
Weather Action™ © & Piers Corbyn accept no liability for any loss howsoever arising from use of forecast information. Application of forecasts is entirely at the user’s risk. None of this forecast may be published or circulated in media or web or used in production of other forecasts without agreement of Weather Action & Piers Corbyn. Media use is welcome but may only be from specific issued quotes to the newspaper or media concerned or issued displays on www.weatheraction.com
Key Weather Development Notes: 24-26th NOVEMBER 2013 Solar-Lunar Factors: R3 24-26th Thunder Risk: TOP Jet Stream: Normal / more bendy Key Development: Sudden change to more mobility. Very active Atlantic lows and sublows head NE, centre/sub centre tracks over Scotland/north of Scotland. Azores high partly recovers connected to high Spain and Med-S/E Europe. Pressure somewhat recovers Norway Sea later as deep low moves ENE 26/27th Main Uncertainties: Greece / Turkey
For Brit & Ireland see B&I Separate Forecast
Windy / stormy, increasingly cold. A “BLIZZARD OF
BLIZZARDS”. Thundersnow + gigantic snow drifts
Very wet, windy / stormy. Major thunderstorms,
tornadoes likely, huge hail, becoming colder
Dry / some wintry showers later. Cloudy
Heavy rain + hail + thunder
Dry, increasing (high) cloud, very mild, less mild later
Humid + thundery. Mild
2013 NOV (3-30d) ahead fc Europe detail SLAT9A prod 30 Oct. First detailed look was 16th Oct (SLAT9A) for Brit & Ire. General reportage welcome but any publication of details in media or web must be agreed through www.weatheraction.com
Confidential. © Weather Action (+44/0)2079399946
European Forecast Noted Areas Map SLAT 9A NOVEMBER 2013 for: 27th – 30th November Confidence: AB = 80%
From Forecast Pressure Maps main choices of 16th October Timing to 1 day. Likely success rate of weather periods is 8 or 9 basically successful out of every 10
Weather Action™ © & Piers Corbyn accept no liability for any loss howsoever arising from use of forecast information. Application of forecasts is entirely at the user’s risk. None of this forecast may be published or circulated in media or web or used in production of other forecasts without agreement of Weather Action & Piers Corbyn. Media use is welcome but may only be from specific issued quotes to the newspaper or media concerned or issued displays on www.weatheraction.com
Key Weather Development Notes: 27th–30th NOVEMBER 2013 Solar-Lunar Factors: NSF 27th R2 28-30th Thunder Risk: Low Jet Stream: ~ Normal Key Development: “Almost Classical Normal” mobile flow: Icelandic low, European high except Azores high although largely recovered is still weak. Lowish pressure Siberian Arctic. High central S Europe, Italy and Romania/Black Sea. Low pressure East Mediterranean / South Turkey Main Uncertainties: Recovery of Azores High + position of BI block
For Brit & Ireland see B&I Separate Forecast
Cold, mostly cloudy. Snow showers later
Dry, bright, mostly cold, getting colder
Dry, bright, quite mild
Dry, sunny, very mild /
warm
Heavy showers, cold
Some showers, variable sky