Thayer Vietnam and the Major Powers: International Defence Cooperation

8/15/2019 Thayer Vietnam and the Major Powers: International Defence Cooperation

1/48

!"#$%&' &%) $*# +&,-. /-0#.12+3454&$#.&4"1"%6 7%$#.%&5-%&4 8#9#%:#

&%) ;#:3."$< =-->#.&5-%

?'#."$31 /.-9#11-. =&.4


2/48

!"#$ K&'2 L-.#"6% M#4&5-%1

• Multilaterialisation and diversification•

7th National Party Congress (1991)

• China a friend, US strategic enemy•

Resolution No. 3 (July 2002)

• !" i tác – cooperate/!" i t #$ ng – struggle• Resolution No. 8 (July 2003 revised 2013)

•

Independence, self-reliance, co-

operation and development


3/48

!"#$"

&'((')*+,-.'/ 0'/121'*3

NOIAP

Q"44"-%13.>4310"$* $*# R;

!"#$ K&'

=*"%& S R;B.&)#M#4&5-%1


4/48

T*"$# /&>#. HIIPE JUA

Vietnam’s Security Concerns

• Illegal drug and weaponstrafficking

• Piracy

• Transnational crime

•

Terrorism• Illegal immigration and

migration

• Environmentaldegradation

•

Pandemics• Climate change

Democratic freedom,religious freedom, andhuman rights have beenabused by hostile forces toundermine the great

national solidarity and toincite violence andseparatism in some areasof the country… disputesover sovereignty, sovereignrights and jurisdiction over

the territories in the EastSea… non-traditionalsecurity issues such as:


5/48

M311"&

HIIJ

7%)"&HIIG

F&>&%HIIU

=*"%&HIIP

R;@

HIJO VietNam

;$.&$#6": &%)

=-'>.#*#%1"V#

/&.$%#.1*>1


6/48

=&' M&%* W&< 7%$#.%&5-%&4 /-.$ V"1"$#) Q<

%&V&4 1*">1 9.-' ;"%6&>-.#E F&>&%E L.&%:# &%)7%)"& "% HIJGA =*"%& "%V"$#) +&.:* HIJGA


7/48

/#.:#%$&6# -9 X-V#.%'#%$ ;>#%)"%6

-% 8#9#%:#


8/48

X.-0$* "% 8#9#%:# ;>#%)"%6 YVY

X.-0$* "% X8/ Z&%%3&4 [ :*&%6#\


9/48

;-3.:#2 8#9#%:# 7%$#44"6#%:# ].6&%"1&5-%E !"#$ &$'#(' )*+*,'* -'.,./#' 01*,2" 3456

Vietnam’s 2014 defence budget was₫91tr (US$4.2bn), represenng a 3.4 per cent

real increase on the 2013 defence budget.

Since January 2014, Vietnam has received the

first three of six KILO"class submarines, with

the remainder to be delivered by 2016. In

May and September, Vietnam took delivery of

its third and fourth TT400TP"class patrol

boats. In July, it was reported that Vietnammay be acquiring three Airbus C295 transport

aircra, and Vietnam’s navy received two

indigenously made MOLNIYA"class corvees.

In August 2013, Vietnam purchased 12 Sukhoi

Su"30MK2 fighter jets from Russia, which

were to be delivered in 2014–2015.


10/48

!"#$%&'YM311"&% L#)#.&5-%

;$.&$#6": /&.$%#.1*"> ZHIIJ\

?"6*$ @.#&1 -9 =-->#.&5-%

JA /-4"5:&4Y)">4-'&5:E

37 8#9#:$1; */*,: $,2 :*'?,.9.@;A

OA ]"4 &%) 6&1 :-->#.&5-%E

^A

?%#.6< :-->#.&5-% 9-. *-0#.E

_A B.&)# &%) "%V#1$'#%$E

GA ;:"#%:# &%) $#:*%-4-6


11/48

X.&)3&4 L-.:# +-)#.%"1&5-%

/.-,#:$ JH^J +-4%"&.) X3")#)

+"11"4# L."6&$#;YOII /+RJ Z;@YJI X.3'Q4#\


12/48

X.&)3&4 L-.:# +-)#.%"1&5-%

Bastion Anti-Ship Missile;3YOI +bb


13/48

Gradual Force Modernisation

Vietnam has taken delivery offive Enhanced Kilo-classsubmarines: HQ 182 Hanoi , HQ183 Ho Chi Minh City, HQ 184Hai Phong, HQ 185 Khanh Hoaand HQ 186 Da Nang; the sixthHQ 187 Vung Tau Ba Ria to bedelivered this year


14/48

@.'1 /.-:3.#'#%$1

• J W/;Y_II L&1$ @a&:D

=.&c

• J^ /.-,#:$ JH^J

B&.&%$34 L@=

• JH ;3YHU; L4&%D#. W

• ` /.-,#:$ JI^JH

;V#$4&.) L."6&$#1

• G /.-,#:$ GOG? b"4-

13Q'&."%#1

• @%5Y1*"> '"11"4#1

–

/YJ_+d;;YKYH= – b*YO_ R.&%d;;YKYH_

– b*YOJ @Jd@;YJU

– C&D*-%$Ad;;YKYHG

– O+Y_^ b43Qd;;YKYHU

•

O+YJ^? b43Q e@=+


15/48

!"#$%&'YM311"&2 =-'>.#*#%1"V#

;$.&$#6": /&.$%#.1*"> ZHIJH\

• HIJO ?f:*&%6# V"1"$1 -9 8#9#%:# +"%"1$#.1

– +&.:*2 &6.##'#%$ -9 '"4"$&.< $#:*%-4-6-%1E ,-"%$V#%$3.# 1#.V":#E 1&4# -9 JH ;3D*-" ;3YOI+b1


16/48

!"#$%&'YM311"&

=-'>.#*#%1"V# /&.$%#.1*">

• 8#9#%:# +"%"1$#. ;*-"6- V"1"$1 =&' M&%* W&< ZOdHIJO\ – M311"&% 1>#:"&4 &::#11 $- =&' M&%* W&<

– M311"&% 74U` .#93#4"%6 $&%D#.1 ZHIJ^\

– ;*"> V"1"$1 %-59< >."-. $- &.."V&4 ZK-V HIJ^\

•

K#0 8#9#%:# +"%"1$#. K6- h3&% e":* '&D#1 g.1$V"1"$ $- +-1:-0 "% @>."4 HIJG – L34g44 )#9#%:# &6.##'#%$1 &4.#&)< 1"6%#)

– +3$3&4 13>>-.$ "% "%$#.%&5-%&4 9-.&

– =-->#.&5-% "% '"4"$&.< $.&"%"%6

– M#4< -% M311"& 9-. 0#&>-%.


17/48


18/48

!"#$%&' &%) 7%)"&

+]R 8#9#%:# =-->#.&5-% HIIU

• 8#9#%:# ;$.&$#6< 8"&4-63#

• =-->#.&5-% "% %&5-%&4 )#9#%:#

– K&V-.$


19/48

!"#$%&' &%) 7%)"&

8#9#%:# =-->#.&5-%

• 8#9#%:# :-Y>.-)3:5-% :.3"1# '"11"4#1

• M#:">.-:&4 4&%63&6# $.&"%"%6

• k@d8M &%) ;@M

•

F-"%$ $.&"%"%6 ,3%64# &%) '-3%$&"% 0&.9&.#• L&:"4"5#1 9-. .#>&".E '&"%$#%&%:# &%) 93#4

• NJII' e"%# -9 =.#)"$ 9-. 9-3. ]/!1

• /"4-$ :-%V#.1"-% $.&"%"%6E ;3YOI1

•

;&4# -9 W.&*+-1l


20/48

/."'# +"%"1$#. +-)"Z]:$-Q#. HIJ^\

• ]3. )#9#%:# :-->#.&5-% 0"$* !"#$%&' "1 &'-%6-3. '-1$ "'>-.$&%$ -%#1A 7%)"& .#'&"%1:-''"a#) $- $*# '-)#.%"j&5% -9 !"#$%&'m1)#9#%:# &%9 1#:3."$< 9-.:#1A B*"1 0"44 "%:43)#

#f>&%1"-% -9 -3. $.&"%"%6 >.-6.&'E 0*":* "1&4.#&)< V#.< 13Q1$&%5&4E ,-"%$ #f#.:"1#1 &%):-->#.&5-% "% )#9#%:# #n3">'#%$A T# 0"44n3":D4< ->#.&5-%&4"j# $*# JII '"44"-% )-44&.1 e"%#

-9 =.#)"$ $*&$ 0"44 #%&Q4# !"#$%&' $- &:n3".# %#0%&V&4 V#11#41 9.-' 7%)"&A


21/48

!"#$%&'YF&>&%

;$.&$#6": /&.$%#.1 HIIP

• HIIP ;$.&$#6": /&.$%#.1*">

• HIJJ +]Rd/4&% -9 @:5-%

– ]>#% 8#9#%:# @a&:*# ]o:#1

•

@%%3&4 8#9#%:# /-4":< 8"&4-63#• H%) 8#9#%:# /-4":< 8"&4-63# @36 HIJ^ *#4) "% B-D


22/48

8#9#%:# =-->#.&5-%

p

8#9#%:# ?f:*&%6#1p k"6*Y4#V#42 8#9#%:# +"%"1$#.1E =*"#91 -9

;$&qE ;#.V":# =*"#91E #f>#.$Y4#V#4

p

K&V&4 /-.$ !"1"$1p k3'&% M#1-3.:# 8#V#4->'#%$

p +&."5'# ;#:3."$< &%) ;&9#$<

p +-)#.%"j# !"#$%&' =-&1$ X3&.) $*.-36*

)-%&5-% -9 1"f ZrH\ V#11#41 ZK-V HIJ_\p RK /#&:#D##>"%6 ]>#.&5-%1


23/48

8#9#%:# =-->#.&5-%

p

+"4"$&.< &V"&5-% S>"4-$ $.&"%"%6E 1&9#$<

p K-%Y$.&)"5-%&4 1#:3."$<

p k@d8ME ;@ME :-3%$#.Y$#..-."1'E &%5Y>".&:


24/48

Normalization

21'*345',/ 637

• =&'Q-)"&% =-%s":$ JPUPYPJ

• JPPIYPJ K-.'&4"j&5-%• JPPPYHIII =-'>.#*#%1"V#

=-->#.&5-% "% $*# K#0 =#%$3.#.&5V#>&.$%#.1*">

• HIJI K-V#'Q#. J1$ ;$.&$#6":

8#9#%:# ;#:3."$< 8"&4-63#

8*'/,+ 9/3/,:45',/ 637

• !"#$%&' T&. JPG_YU_

• JPP_ K-.'&4"j&5-%• HIIJ W"4&$#.&4 B.&)# @6.'A

•

HIIO #f:*&%6# -9 )#9#%:#'"%"1$#.1

• HII^ &%%3&4 )#9#%:# )"&4-63#

• HII` J1$ /-4"5:&4E ;#:3."$< &%)8#9#%1# 8"&4-63#

• HIJI @3631$ J1$ 8#9#%1#

/-4":< 8"&4-63#


25/48

!"#$%&'Y=*"%&

;$.&$#6": /&.$%#.1*"> HII`

• HII` S ;$.&$#6": /&.$%#.1*">

• HIIP S =-'>.#*#%1"V# ;$.&$#6": /&.$%#.1*">

• HIJO S =-'>.#*#%1"V# ;$.&$#6": =-->#.&5V#

/&.$%#.1*">• ]:$ HIJ^ S +"%"1$#. 9-. K&5-%&4 8#9#%:# X#%#.&4

/*3%6 t3&%6 B*&%* V"1"$1 W#","%6 &c#. k8 P`J – k-$ 4"%# Q#$0##% )#9#%:# '"%"1$."#1

• @36 HIJ_ _$* ;$.&$#6": 8#9#%:# 8"&4-63# – !":# '"%"1$#."&4 4#V#4


26/48

W-.)#. =-->#.&5-%

• HIJO +]R W-.)#. +#:*&%"1' &$ O 4#V#41

– W-.)#. X3&.) &%) +"%"1$.< -9 /3Q4": ;#:3."$<

• HIJ^ L".1$ W-.)#. 8#9#%:# L."#%)1*">

?f:*&%6# /.-6.&' – HIJ^YJ_ 9-.$&$.-41

• +&< HIJ_ H%) W-.)#. 8#9#%:# ?f:*&%6#

– L".1$ '##5%6 Q< )#9#%:# '"%"1$#.1 &$ Q-.)#.

– @6.##'#%$ Q-.)#. :-->#.&5-% O 4#V#41


27/48

W-.)#. =-->#.&5-%

• ]:$ HIJ_ O.) '##5%6 !"#$%&'Y=*"%& W-.)#.

X&$# +&%&6#'#%$ =-->#.&5-% =-''"a##

• +&. HIJG O.) W-.)#. 8#9#%:# L."#%)1*">

?f:*&%6# – 8#9#%:# '"%"1$#.1 '##$

• @>."4 HIJG JJ$* ,-"%$ >&$.-4 "% B-%D"% X349

•

+&< HIJG H

%)

W-.)#. L."#%)1*"> ?f:*&%6#/.-6.&' Z=&'Q-)"&E =*"%&E e&-1 u !"#$%&'\


28/48

8#9#%:# =-->#.&5-%

•

RK /#&:#D##>"%6 ]>#.&5-%1 – +"4"$&.< k-1>"$&4 JU_de#V#4 H L"#4) k-1>"$&4

• +"4"$&.< M#6"-% HY=*#%6)3 +"4"$&.< M#6"-%#f:*&%6#1

•

C-3%6 ]o:#. ?f:*&%6#1• /#.1-%%#4 $.&"%"%6

– h" @% /-4"5:&4 @:&)#'


29/48

!"#$%&'YR%"$#) ;$&$#1

=-'>.#*#%1"V# /&.$%#.1*"> ZHIJO\

p

HIIO 1$&.$ -9 $."#%%"&4 #f:*&%6# V"1"$1 Q< 8#9#%:#+"%"1$#.1 -% &4$#.%&$# Q&1"1

p

HIIP g.1$ %&V&4 >-.$ V"1"$

p HIJI J1$ 8#9#%:# /-4":< 8"&4-63# &$ )#>3$< )#9#%:#'"%"1$#. 4#V#4

p 8#9#%:# +]R ZHIJJ\

p HIJO =-'>.#*#%1"V# /&.$%#.1*">

p HIJ^ 7B@M2 1&4# -9 4#$*&4 0#&>-%1 -% :&1#YQ4#$# 4"c"%6 -9 7B@M .#1$.":5-%1


30/48

USS George Washington Aug 2010

USS John D. Stennis

April 2009

USS Jacksonville (SSN 699),

Pacific Command, Dec 2009

USS George H.W. Bush Aug 2010

;


31/48

+#'-.&%)3' -9 R%)#.1$&%)"%6 @)V&%:"%6

W"4&$#.&4 8#9#%1# =-->#.&5-% HIJJ

L"V# @.#&1 -9 =-->#.&5-%

JA

+&."5'# ;#:3."$<

HA

;#&.:* &%) M#1:3#

OA

R%"$#) K&5-%1 /#&:#D##>"%6 ]>#.&5-%1

^A k3'&%"$&."&% &%) 8"1&1$#. M#4"#9

_A

W#$0##% )#9#%1# 3%"V#.1"5#1 &%) .#1#&.:*

"%15$3$#1


32/48

=-'>.#*#%1"V# /&.$%#.1*"> HIJO

8#9#%:# &%) ;#:3."$<

• RA;AY!"#$%&' 8#9#%1# /-4":< 8"&4-63#

• /-4"5:&4E ;#:3."$


33/48

F-"%$ !"1"-% ;$&$#'#%$ -%

8#9#%:# =-->#.&5-% F3%# JE HIJ_

JH @.#&1 &%) L-.'1 -9 =-->#.&5-%

JA =-->#.&5V# &:5V"5#1 $- #%*&%:# $.31$ &%)'3$3&4 3%)#.1$&%)"%6

HA =-44&Q-.&$# "% '3454&$#.&4 9-.& &%)-.6&%"j&5-%1 0*#% "$ "1 "% $*#". :-''-%"%$#.#1$ Z@;?@K\

OA ;$.#%6$*#% :&>&Q"4"5#1 -9 )#9#%:# "%15$35-%1&%) '"4"$&."#1 $- #%*&%:# :-->#.&$-"%E >.-'-$#

1#:3."$


34/48

F-"%$ !"1"-% ;$&$#'#%$ -%

8#9#%:# =-->#.&5-% F3%# JE HIJ_

JH @.#&1 &%) L-.'1 -9 =-->#.&5-%

^A ?f>&%) )#9#%1# $.&)#E >-$#%5&44< "%:43)"%6

:-->#.&5-% "% >.-)3:5-% -9 %#0

$#:*%-4-6"#1 &%) #n3">'#%$ 0#.# >-11"Q4#3%)#. :3..#%$ 4&0 &%) .#1.":5-%1

_A ?f>&%) :-44&Q-.&5-% "% '&."5'# 1#:3."$<

&%) '&."5'# )-'&"% &0&.#%#11E >-.$ V"1"$1E

V-&". V"1"$1 &%) 9&:"4"5#1


35/48

F-"%$ !"1"-% ;$&$#'#%$ -%

8#9#%:# =-->#.&5-% F3%# JE HIJ_

JH @.#&1 &%) L-.'1 -9 =-->#.&5-%

GA ?f>&%) $.&"%"%6 &%) #)3:&5-% ->>-.$3%"5#1

&$ '"4"$&.< &:&)#'": "%15$35-%1

UA

;#&.:* &%) .#1:3# E &%) k@d8M

`A =&>&:"$< Q3"4)"%6 9-. RK/b]

PA 7%9-.'&5-% #f:*&%6#1 &%) Q#1$ >.&:5:#1E

1:"#%:# &%) )#9#%:# $#:*%-4-6< #f:*&%6#1


36/48

F-"%$ !"1"-% ;$&$#'#%$ -%

8#9#%:# =-->#.&5-% F3%# JE HIJ_

JH @.#&1 &%) L-.'1 -9 =-->#.&5-%

JIA ]V#.:-'# 4#6&:"#1 -9 $*# 0&.

@6#%$ ].&%6# Z)"-f"%\E Rh?

JJA

;$.&$#6":Y4#V#4 )"1:311"-%1 Q< 1#%"-.4#&)#.1*"> 9.-' )#9#%:# '"%"1$."#1 -%

"%$#.%&5-%&4 1#:3."$< "113#1

JHA M#634&. #f:*&%6#1 -9 )#9#%:# 4#&)#.1*"> $-

#&:* :-3%$.<


37/48

F-"%$ !"1"-% ;$&$#'#%$ -%

8#9#%:# =-->#.&5-% F3%# JE HIJ_

R; 8]8u!"#$%&'

+K8

8#9#%1# /-4":< 8"&4-63#

.#V"#0 &%) 63")&%:#

W"4&$#.&4 8#9#%1# 8"&4-63#

"'>4#'#%$&5-%

@%%3&4 ;#.V":# e#V#4 $&4D1

#f#:35-%


38/48


39/48

R; +&."5'# ;#:3."$< 7%"5&5V#

• LC HIJ_YJG R; $- >.-V")# !"#$%&' N^IAJ

'"44"-% $- &11"1$ 0"$* '&."5'# 7;M &%)

=-''&%) &%) =-%$.-4 "% '&."5'#

#%9-.:#'#%$ &6#%:"#1 – /3.:*&1# -9 '&."5'# )#9#%:# #n3">'#%$

– ;3>>-.$ $.&"%"%6

– W"4&$#.&4 k@d8M #f#.:"1#1 $- >.-'-$#

"%$#.->#.&Q"4"$<


40/48

F-"%$ ;$&$#'#%$ +&< HOE HIJG

/.#1")#%$1 B.&% 8&" t3&%6 &%) ]Q&'&

/."-."5#1 -9 8#9#%:# =-->#.&5-%

• k3'&%"$&."&% :-->#.&5-%

•

T&. 4#6&:<• +&."5'# ;#:3."$<

• RK /#&:#D##>"%6E &%)

•

k3'&%"$&."&% &11"1$&%:# &%) )"1&1$#..#4"#9


41/48

F-"%$ ;$&$#'#%$ +&< HOE HIJG

;$.#%6$*#% =-->#.&5-%

• ;#:3."$<

• =-'Q&w%6 $.&%1%&5-%&4 :."'#E &%)

•

=


42/48

F-"%$ ;$&$#'#%$ +&< HOE HIJG

]$*#. @.#&1 -9 =-->#.&5-%

• !"#$%&' &%) RK/b]

• k3'&%"$&."&% ZR; +7@ &::-3%5%6\

•

T&. e#6&:<

– 3%#f>4-)#) -.)%&%:#

– 8"-f"% Z@6#%$ ].&%6#\ .#'#)"&5-%\

• L"%&4 >*&1# 8& K&%6 7%$#.%&5-%&4 @".>-.$

• W"#% k-& @". W&1#


43/48

RA;A e"c1 @44 7B@M M#1$.":5-%1 -%

;&4# -9 e#$*&4 T#&>-%1


44/48

=-%:431"-%

• +3454&$#.&4#.&4"1&5-% &%) 8"V#.1"g:&5-% -9#f$#.%&4 .#4&5-%1

• 7%$#.%&5-%&4 )#9#%:# :-->#.&5-%

•

;$.&$#6": /&.$%#.1*"> @6.##'#%$1 –

+#:*&%"1' $- "'>4#'#%$

– /4&% -9 @:5-%

– =-'>.#*#%1"V# .#4&5-%1

– 8#9#%:# &%) 1#:3."$< :4&31# –

;-'# 3>6.&)#)d#4#V&$#)


45/48

=-%:431"-%

•

k"6*Ye#V#4 #f:*&%6#1

• +"%"1$#.1E =8L1E ;#.V":# =*"#91E -$*#.1

• ;$.&$#6": 8#9#%:# /-4":< 8"&4-63#1

•

/.-9#11"-%&4 '"4"$&.< #)3:&5-% &%) $.&"%"%6• *3'&% .#1-3.:# )#V#4->'#%$dRK /b]

• K&V&4 >-.$ V"1"$1E %&V&4 )."441

• K&5-%&4 )#9#%:# "%)31$.< :-->#.&5-%

•

@.'1 1&4#1 –

B.&%19#. '"4"$&.< $#:*%-4-6.-)3:5-%


46/48

=-%:431"-%

• e#V#.&6# .#4&5-%1

• X&"% 1$.&$#6": &>>.#:"&5-%

• +-)#.%"1# &.'#) 9-.:#1

–

/.-9#11"-%&4 '"4"$&.< #)3:&5-% &%) $.&"%"%6

– ?n3">'#%$E >4&x-.'1 &%) 0#&>-%1

– B#:*%-4-6<

– =-Y>.-)3:5-%

• 8"V#.1"9< 1-3.:#1 -9 13>>4<


47/48

=-%:431"-%

•

!"#$%&' 1##D1 $- 6"V# #&:* '&,-. >-0#.#n3"$< "% !"#$%&'m1 1$&Q"4"$< &%) )#V#4->'#%$"% -.)#. $- #%13.# !"#$%&'m1 %-%Y&4"6%'#%$&%) 1$.&$#6": &3$-%-'-0#.1 )#V#4-> "%$#.#1$1 "% $*#"..#4&5-%1 0"$* !"#$%&' &%) "9 $*#< )-%m$:-%5%3# $- #%6&6# $*#< 0"44 4--1# -3$ $-&%-$*#. '&,-. >-0#. $*&$ 0"44 6&"% &%

&)V&%$&6#A


48/48

!"#$%&' &%) $*# +&,-. /-0#.12+3454&$#.&4"1"%6 7%$#.%&5-%&4 8#9#%:#

&%) ;#:3."$< =-->#.&5-%

?'#."$31 /.-9#11-. =&.4

Documents

Thayer Vietnam and the Major Powers: International Defence Cooperation