Thayer Vietnam Results of Politburo Vote of Confidence

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  • 8/10/2019 Thayer Vietnam Results of Politburo Vote of Confidence

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    1

    Background Briefing:

    Vietnam: Analysis of Politburoand Secretariat Vote of

    Confidence1

    Carlyle A. Thayer

    January 19, 2015

    C C C (C)

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    Thayer ConsultancyABN # 65 648 097 123

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    149 30 179 18 197

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    144 33 177 20 197

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    127 62 189 8 197

    126 49 175 22 197

    122 50 172 25 197

    116 73 189 8 197

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    110 46 156 41 197

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    H C 100 (51%) 152 (77%)

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    D 77.15 11.17 88.32 11.88 75.63 15.22 90.86 9.14

    73.60 20.81 91.42 5.58

    73.10 16.75 89.85 10.15

    D 69.54 16.75 86.29 13.71

    D 69.03 22.34 91.37 8.63

    68.53 20.3 88.83 11.17

    64.97 28.93 93.91 6.09

    H 64.47 31.47 95.94 4.06

    H 63.95 24.87 88.83 11.17

    D H 61.93 25.38 87.31 12.69 58.88 37.06 95.94 4.06

    58.88 23.35 82.23 17.77

    H A 56.85 32.49 89.34 10.66

    H 55.84 23.35 79.19 20.81

    50.76 32.49 83.25 16.75

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    , ,

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  • 8/10/2019 Thayer Vietnam Results of Politburo Vote of Confidence

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    Background Briefing:

    Vietnam: Analysis of Politburoand Secretariat Vote of

    Confidence - Supplement

    Carlyle A. Thayer

    January 19, 2015

    : A

    C, ,

    .

    C (C) C

    C C 10.

    1 152

    2 149

    3 145

    4 144

    5 137

    6 136

    7 135

    8 128

    9 12710 126

    11 122

    12 116

    13 116

    14 A 112

    110

    100

    Total

    Thayer ConsultancyABN # 65 648 097 123

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    2

    ( 1 ), (

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    1 127 62 189

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    8 A 112 64 176

    9 135 40 175

    10 126 49 175

    11 152 22 174

    12 122 50 172

    13 137 33 170

    14 100 64 164

    15 116 46 16216 110 46 156

    (//...///

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  • 8/10/2019 Thayer Vietnam Results of Politburo Vote of Confidence

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    3

    1 189 8 181

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    5 180 17 163

    6 179 18 161

    7 177 20 157

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    9 175 22 153

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    1 11 11 8 7.75

    7 9 9 9 8.5

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    5 13 13 11 10.5

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