The 8.6 Year Cycle and the Forces of Mother Nature 91509

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    A C K N O W L E D G E M E N T SI would like to thank the many people who havebeen writing from around the world. It is encouragingto know that there are so many people who are interestedin uncovering the truth. I have also special thanks forso many providing valuable insight into trends around

    the world from China, Soviet Republics, South Africa,Brazil, Australian, and India. I believe we can survivethe folly of governments even if they refuse to listen.The key is understanding the nature of events, and thatallows us to correctly make the decision to be on theopposite side.I would like to also thank all my old friend andformer clients for their support and to know that theyhave continued to gather information that serves us allin times of crisis.We are standing on the precipice of a new era inglobal-social-economics. How we enter this new age is

    of critical importance. Government is incapable to doinganything for any reform of its own abuse of power is notup for negotiation. We must weather the storm, and to doso we need to understand its nature. Just as the 1930sGreat Depression set in motion profound changes that wereeven manifest in geopolitical confrontations, we have nowreached such a crossroads. A debt crisis has its tentaclesdeeply embedded into-every sector right into government.This is the distinction from a mere stock market crash thatnever alters the economy long-term. We are seriously stillover-leveraged and some banks are still trying to be hedgefunds and have to speculate to make a profit. That is a keywarning sign that the worse is yet to come.

    Comments, Suggestions & QuestionsPlease mail to:

    Martin A. ArmstrongFCI Fort Dix Camp, #12518-050PO Box 2000Fort Dix, NJ 08640

    PTJ5ASE REGISTER YOOR EMAIL ADDRESSFCR FUTORS UPDATED NEWS CRITICAL TO COR SORVTVALAiinstrongEcoixii!ics@Qy5ail. Q C M

    Copyright, ?fertn A. Armstrong, all rights reservedThis Report may be forwarded as you like without charge to individuals or governments around theworld. It is provided as a Public Service at this time without cost because of the critical factsthat we now faced economically. The contents and designs of the systems are in fact copyrighted.At a future date, a new edition of the 198B The Greatest Bull Market In History will be releasedand a new book' will soon be published on the model itself - The Gecnsetry of Time. It is vital thatwe do not forget this is a world economy and the arrogance that any nation can dictate to the world

    ..-is. just-insanity,-Every nation effects all others no.._diff_srsat_,than_.if_.one nation were to pour allits toxic waste into the ocean. Everything is interlinked and solutions are never isolated events.

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    All VariablesBlentd Together to create the Economic Cbnf dence Model

    My discovery came in two parts. FIRSTI like Darwan and Adam Smith, "observed"what was a "contagion" that seemed to spreadfrom one market to another as if it were adisease. This is what I began with, not thevision of cycles. However, because I beganto work in. a gold bullion/rare coin storewhen I was about 13, I was exposed to thecollapse of the Bretton Woods accord andhad a front row seat to the collapse of thefixed rate currency system and the cherishedgold standard. Thus, I knew what things werein. value in the 1960s. So when my historyteacher put on in class one day an old filmin black & white named - Toast of the Townabout the attempt to corner the market ongold in 1869 that led to a Panic and thedragging of bankers out to the streets andhanging them, they were forced to send inthe troops. That is what "Black Friday" hadtruly meant - death on Wall Street.

    Therefore, the SEOOMD phase was nowunderstanding that gold was $35 and watchingthat movie with Carry Grant quoting gold toJames Fisk from the ticker tape saying $162,this hit me that prices were not linear pro-gressions of always stepping higher as ifthey were ascending a staircase. Combiningthis realization with the observation of the"contagion" is what led me to the field ofcycles.

    These realizations merged with my loveof history. I then explored the rise andfall of civilization and tried to under-stand what was going on. This exposed me tounderstand that natural events also playeda role. Where perhaps others did not thinkabout their study fromCyCiical views, Iat least accepted the possibility.

    Looking at history, I saw waves of and dark ages like those between the GreHeroic period where there was the battleTroy, and the second period in which Homlived to write about the first age. Thisthe period of Athens & Sparta wars, the of Alexander the Great - the Hellenistic What happened between the two? This was dark age that seems to have been creatednatural events of weather. It appears thwas a decline in the energy output of ththat wiped out agriculture and their ecoThis was the driving force behind migrat~

    Go to Belize, formerly British Hondand you will discover cities intact, thajust abandoned. There is no sign of war oeven an earthquake. There is only the cuexplanation that if the weather changed acrops failed, they too may have just pickand migrated.Instead of being a flat model, we wedealing with a multitude of variables thacombine to create the Economic ConfidencModel. What we have today was set in motiby the 1906 San Francisco Earthquake thatled to the 1907 Panic. Insurance companiewere on the east coast and the claims weron the west. The capital flowed west arid

    failed because there was a shortage of cain the east.The Congressional hearings that begainvestigate the causes, led them to underthe cash flow problem. That gave birth toFederal Reserve in 1913. Our monetary systoday was set in motion by the earthquake

    San Francisco in 1906. We cannot extract event from the data. It is part of us tod

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