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The Danish Wood Pellet Survey By Peter Dal, DEA Third meeting in the Oslo Group on energy statistics Vienna, 4-6 February 2008

The Danish Wood Pellet Survey By Peter Dal, DEA Third meeting in the Oslo Group on energy statistics Vienna, 4-6 February 2008

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Page 1: The Danish Wood Pellet Survey By Peter Dal, DEA Third meeting in the Oslo Group on energy statistics Vienna, 4-6 February 2008

The Danish Wood Pellet Survey By Peter Dal, DEA

Third meeting in the Oslo Group on energy statistics

Vienna, 4-6 February 2008

Page 2: The Danish Wood Pellet Survey By Peter Dal, DEA Third meeting in the Oslo Group on energy statistics Vienna, 4-6 February 2008

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Background• After a “moderate” increase in the consumption

of wood pellets from 1990 to late 90’ies the increase became explosive

• Drivers: “The green wave” and a tax free fuel

• Revision of the potential Danish consumption:

Constant domestic production of wood pellets but fast increase in imports (big players)

• The transformation sector already well covered by DEA’s annual survey “Electricity and heat production” (production and fuel data etc).

• Necessary to replace estimates of final consumptions by a complete survey

Page 3: The Danish Wood Pellet Survey By Peter Dal, DEA Third meeting in the Oslo Group on energy statistics Vienna, 4-6 February 2008

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Preparation of the Survey• Biannual survey (2002, 2004, 2006)• The surveys and reports are prepared by FORCE

Technology for DEA (expert assistance needed)• Planning of the survey - Voluntary survey

- Definition of product - Calorific value

- Identification of respondents (in 2007:207) - Design of the questionnaire

- Dissemination and receipt of questionnaires- Consistency check- Reminder letter- Response: 30 out of business, response rate 56,5%- Preparing of statistics - Reports on DEA’s homepage in Danish and English- Reports to respondents

Page 4: The Danish Wood Pellet Survey By Peter Dal, DEA Third meeting in the Oslo Group on energy statistics Vienna, 4-6 February 2008

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Definition of Wood Pellets

Pellets made from shavings, sawdust etc. from production of wooden products. Size 8-10 mm diameter. The wood fibres are uncontaminated; a national Danish regulation determines the distinction between uncontaminated wood fuels and waste.

Pellets made from waste e.g. MSW in not included in the definition. However, as it is difficult to determine the origin of a specific supply of pellets, it is possible that some data-sources might include smaller fractions of pellets made from other materials than uncontaminated wood fibres (straw, MSW etc.) in figures and estimates.

Page 5: The Danish Wood Pellet Survey By Peter Dal, DEA Third meeting in the Oslo Group on energy statistics Vienna, 4-6 February 2008

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Calorific Value – Heating Value

The lower heating value (LHV) of wood pellets is based on an average LHV for wood of 19.0 GJ/ton dry matter. This figure is based on a number of laboratory determinations of heating values for uncontaminated wood samples.

The water content of the pellets is determined in different studies to be between 6 % and 8 %.

Thus a heating value of 17.5 GJ/tons based on 7 % water content has been calculated using the formula:19.0 • 0.93 – 2.45 • 0.07 = 17.5 GJ/ton

This figure 17.5 GJ/ton wood pellets covers the markets average in terms of water content and dry matter heating value. The figure has been used continuously in the energy statistics since 1986.

Page 6: The Danish Wood Pellet Survey By Peter Dal, DEA Third meeting in the Oslo Group on energy statistics Vienna, 4-6 February 2008

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The Wood Pellet Questionnaire 2006

• Stocks of wood pelletsOpening stocks ……….. tonsClosing stocks ……….. tons

• Supply of wood pelletsOwn production ……….. tonsDomestic purchase ……….. tonsImports (+ by country) ……….. tons

• Sales of wood pelletsExports (+ by country) ……….. tonsSales to other inland sales company ……….. tonsSales to final consumer

Electricity and heat plants ……….. tonsIndustry ……….. tonsPublic sector ……….. tonsHouseholds ……….. tons

• Own consumption of wood pellets ……….. tons

Page 7: The Danish Wood Pellet Survey By Peter Dal, DEA Third meeting in the Oslo Group on energy statistics Vienna, 4-6 February 2008

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Strong increase in imports of wood pellets

Page 8: The Danish Wood Pellet Survey By Peter Dal, DEA Third meeting in the Oslo Group on energy statistics Vienna, 4-6 February 2008

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Wood Pellets 2002-2006

Unit: Tons 2002 2004 2006

Domestic production 173.073 187.458 137.080

Imports 200.871 470.588 841.132

Exports 0 795 17.948

Stock changes 27.347 73.883 -64.468

Total consumption 401.291 731.134 895.796

Page 9: The Danish Wood Pellet Survey By Peter Dal, DEA Third meeting in the Oslo Group on energy statistics Vienna, 4-6 February 2008

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Wood Pellet Consumption in Denmark

0

100.000

200.000

300.000

400.000

500.000

600.000

700.000

800.000

900.000

1.000.000

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

ton

Public buildings

Industry

Private

District heating

CHP plants

Source: FORCE Technology

Page 10: The Danish Wood Pellet Survey By Peter Dal, DEA Third meeting in the Oslo Group on energy statistics Vienna, 4-6 February 2008

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Imports by Country in 2006

Source: FORCE Technology

Belarus2%

Rumænien2%

Norway2%

Russia3%

UK3%Sweden

4%Finland5%

Canada6%

Germany9%

Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania

50%

Poland14%

Page 11: The Danish Wood Pellet Survey By Peter Dal, DEA Third meeting in the Oslo Group on energy statistics Vienna, 4-6 February 2008

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Big Importers DominateImportører < 10.000 ton

5%

Importører ml. 10.000 og 20.000

7%

Importører > 20.000 ton

88%

Source: FORCE Technology

Page 12: The Danish Wood Pellet Survey By Peter Dal, DEA Third meeting in the Oslo Group on energy statistics Vienna, 4-6 February 2008

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Report 2006 on Wood Pelletshttp://www.ens.dk/sw20916.asp?lsearchdataid=90962

Methods on Biomass• Wood pellets• Wood chips• Firewood• Wood waste• Straw http://www.ens.dk/sw48948.asp

Page 13: The Danish Wood Pellet Survey By Peter Dal, DEA Third meeting in the Oslo Group on energy statistics Vienna, 4-6 February 2008

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Production and Imports of Wood Pellets

0,0

2,0

4,0

6,0

8,0

10,0

12,0

14,0

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006

PJ

ProductionImports

Page 14: The Danish Wood Pellet Survey By Peter Dal, DEA Third meeting in the Oslo Group on energy statistics Vienna, 4-6 February 2008

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Consumption of Wood Pellets by SectorIn final consumption households are very dominating

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2000 2002 2004 2006

PJ

Transformation sector Final consumption

Page 15: The Danish Wood Pellet Survey By Peter Dal, DEA Third meeting in the Oslo Group on energy statistics Vienna, 4-6 February 2008

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Energy Consumption in Households

Climate adjusted

175

180

185

190

195

200

2000 2002 2004 2006

PJ

Final energy consumption

Wood pellets: Constant 2000-level

Wood pellets and firewood: Constant 2000-level

Page 16: The Danish Wood Pellet Survey By Peter Dal, DEA Third meeting in the Oslo Group on energy statistics Vienna, 4-6 February 2008

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Conclusion

• The energy statistics will give a false picture of the development of energy consumption if wood pellets and firewood are not treated correctly.

• This is especially important for households.

• Without surveys on wood pellets and firewood the Danish consumption of biomass in households had been seriously underestimated.

• The energy consumption in households has increased in recent years, not decreased. Instead of savings we have seen fuel shifts.

Page 17: The Danish Wood Pellet Survey By Peter Dal, DEA Third meeting in the Oslo Group on energy statistics Vienna, 4-6 February 2008

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Other European Pellet MarketsWhat does the national statistics tell?

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

1000 t

onnes/

year

2004 180 205 70 1256 732 37 230 47 210 23

2005 330 310 411 1490 800 169 270 59 275 71

2006 480 515 716 1685 880 269 320 100 340 120

DE NL BE SE DK UK IE IT Fi AT

Source: FORCE Technology

Page 18: The Danish Wood Pellet Survey By Peter Dal, DEA Third meeting in the Oslo Group on energy statistics Vienna, 4-6 February 2008

Thank you for your attention

If you have questions, please contact me at:

[email protected]