1
We ran our radiative transfer model (SMART) for over 2500 combinations of optical depth and particle size and placed a CO 2 ice cloud in the atmospheric region of condensation. We then determined if the cloud produced a net warming or cooling effect compared to the clear sky case, as shown in the figure to the right. CO 2 ice cloud effects in our multi-stream model atmosphere show clouds may be warming or cooling depending on the effective particle size and cloud optical depth, which match the results of Kitzmann et al (2013). The outer edge of the habitable zone has been defined by the maximum greenhouse effect, a clear-sky case where greenhouse warming by additional CO 2 is balanced by additional Rayleigh scattering. The radiative effects of CO 2 clouds hve been ignored because they were thought to always warm the surface (Forget & Pierrehumbert 1997). However, recent work by Kitzmann et al (2013) and Kitzmann (2016) used multi-stream radiative transfer to show that the early 2-stream approximations exaggerated the warming effect. We now know that the previously neglected radiative effects of CO 2 clouds must be considered when taking into account the outer edge of the habitable zone. Left: Extinction efficiency of CO 2 ice particles of radii 1 µm (blue) and 17 µm (purple), scaled stellar spectra of the Sun (yellow) and AD Leo (red), and a 273 K blackbody (black). Larger particles (purple) interact with stellar (yellow/red) and thermal (black) wavelengths, while the smallest particles have reduced extinction at thermal wavelengths and so predominantly interact with stellar wavelengths. This implies that larger particles may have a mild warming effect as concluded by previous studies, while smaller particles can scatter most of the incoming stellar energy and cool the surface. Right: Illustration of how clouds composed of different particle sizes can interact with incoming and outgoing stellar and thermal radiation. Depending on the fraction of radiation transmitted and the ratio of upward scattered solar and downward scattered thermal flux, these clouds could either cool or warm the surface. OUR CLIMATE MODEL THE EFFECT OF CO 2 ICE CLOUD CONDENSATION ON THE HABITABLE ZONE Andrew Lincowski 1,2 , Victoria S. Meadows 1,2 , Tyler D. Robinson 2,3 , David Crisp 2,4 1 University of Washington Astronomy & Astrobiology, 2 NASA Astrobiology Institute Lead Team, 3 NASA Ames Research Center, 4 Jet Propulsion Laboratory/California Institute of Technology This work was performed as part of the NASA Astrobiology Institute's Virtual Planetary Laboratory, supported by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration through the NASA Astrobiology Institute under solicitation NNH12ZDA002C and Cooperative Agreement Number NNA13AA93A. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS IN THE TRADITIONAL HABITABLE ZONE THE RADIATIVE EFFECTS OF CLOUDS HAVE BEEN IGNORED Spectral Mapping and Atmospheric Radiative Transfer (Meadows & Crisp, 1996) Terrestrial validations: Venus: Arney et al (2014) Earth: Robinson et al (2011) Mars: Tinetti et al (2005) Line-by-line Multi-stream Multiple scattering Vertically-resolved atmospheric layers Computes spectra and layer-resolved heating rates 10 -1 10 0 10 1 optical depth (τ) at 0.1µm 10 0 10 1 effective particle radius (a eff [µm]) Scattering Effect of CO 2 Ice Clouds 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 F cld /F clr warming cooling larger particles backscatter thermal energy to surface smaller particles backscatter solar energy to space WARMING OR COOLING BY CLOUDS IS DETERMINED BY THE INTERPLAY BETWEEN WAVELENGTH AND PARTICLE SIZE FUTURE WORK We will soon investigate non-spherical particles since ices are likely not well-approximated by spheres, which most climate models use when they compute aerosol scattering. We will conclude this work with both CO 2 and H 2 O cloud condensation together with their radiative effects treated self-consistently. Arney et al (2014) Charnay et al (2015) Colaprete & Toon (2003) Forget & Pierrehumbert (1997) Forget et al (2013) Kasting et al (1993) Kitzmann et al (2013) Kitzmann (2016) Kopparapu et al (2013) Manabe & Strickler (1964) Meadows & Crisp (1996) Robinson et al (2011) Tinetti et al (2005) REFERENCES VALIDATION OF KITZMANN ET AL (2013): CO 2 ICE CLOUDS MAY BE WARMING OR COOLING DEPENDING ON PARTICLE PROPERTIES PRELIMINARY CONCLUSIONS Using our new climate model with self consistent CO 2 ice cloud condensation and multi-stream, multi- scattering radiative transfer, our results suggest that the true outer edge of the habitable zone is likely the CO 2 first condensation limit, as originally suggested from qualitative arguments by Kasting et al (1993), not the maximum greenhouse limit, which neglects the radiative properties of clouds. We have a new generalized terrestrial climate model that we can apply to exoplanet studies, which has been validated for Earth, Mars, and Venus, which includes sophisticated radiative transfer with convection, condensation, and cloud treatment. MODEL ATTRIBUTES: CONVECTION simple convective adjustment (Manabe & Strickler, 1964) simple or turbulent mixing length theory with eddy diffusion exchange of sensible heat PHASE CHANGES condensation & evaporation adjustment of condensate vapor mixing ratios exchange of latent heat CLOUD FORMATION tracking of condensate mass sedimentation (rainout) full radiative/scattering treatment w/evolution of optical depth freezing point of water equatorial open ocean OUR RADIATIVE TRANSFER MODEL: SMART Using SMART as the core, we have developed a generalized 1D radiative-convective equilibrium (RCE) climate model for terrestrial exoplanets with secondary outgassed atmospheres. The model includes bulk thermodynamics and simple cloud microphysics, which allows us to self-consistently determine cloud properties and radiative effects for a range of condensates. CO 2 CLOUDS LOWER SURFACE TEMPERATURE AND TRUNCATE THE OUTER EDGE OF THE HABITABLE ZONE Right: Planetary surface temperature vs insolation relative to Earth for planetary atmospheres with 7 bar CO 2 and 1 bar N 2 orbiting the Sun and M dwarf AD Leo. Initially, we ran the clear sky case with radiative transfer and convective adjustment. Once the clear sky case indicated CO 2 condensation, subsequent runs used self-consistently determined cloud mass and optical depth, and used mixing length theory for convection. Each model was then iterated and evolved, allowing the radiative and convective processes to affect the atmospheric/surface temperature and cloud properties. Even though the larger CO 2 ice particles locally warm the atmosphere, there is insufficient warming to maintain a surface temperature above the freezing point of water. These preliminary results using our multi-stream, multi-scattering 1D RCE climate model indicate that the first condensation limit of CO 2 represents the outer edge of the habitable zone, as originally argued qualitatively by Kasting et al (1993). Sun max greenhouse AD Leo maximum greenhouse classic M0 1st condensation classic Sun 1st condensation 10 -1 10 0 10 1 10 2 Wavelength (µm) 0 1 2 3 4 5 1µm Q ext 17µm Q ext Planck (scaled) Sun (scaled) AD Leo (scaled) small particles predominantly absorb & scatter solar radiation large particles absorb solar and thermal interaction Extinction efficiency Q ext = Q scat + Q abs

THE EFFECT OF CO2 ICE CLOUD CONDENSATION ON THE … · 2016-08-18 · ice cloud effects in our multi-stream model atmosphere show clouds may be warming or cooling depending on the

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Page 1: THE EFFECT OF CO2 ICE CLOUD CONDENSATION ON THE … · 2016-08-18 · ice cloud effects in our multi-stream model atmosphere show clouds may be warming or cooling depending on the

We ran our radiative transfer model (SMART) for over 2500 combinations of optical depth and particle size and placed a CO2 ice cloud in the atmospheric region of condensation. We then determined if the cloud produced a net warming or cooling effect compared to the clear sky case, as shown in the figure to the right. CO2 ice cloud effects in our multi-stream model atmosphere show clouds may be warming or cooling depending on the effective particle size and cloud optical depth, which match the results of Kitzmann et al (2013).

The outer edge of the habitable zone has been defined by the maximum greenhouse effect, a clear-sky case where greenhouse warming by additional CO2 is balanced by additional Rayleigh scattering. The radiative effects of CO2 clouds hve been ignored because they were thought to always warm the surface (Forget & Pierrehumbert 1997).

However, recent work by Kitzmann et al (2013) and Kitzmann (2016) used multi-stream radiative transfer to show that the early 2-stream approximations exaggerated the warming effect. We now know that the previously neglected radiative effects of CO2 clouds must be considered when taking into account the outer edge of the habitable zone.

Left: Extinction efficiency of CO2 ice particles of radii 1 µm (blue) and 17 µm (purple), scaled stellar spectra of the Sun (yellow) and AD Leo (red), and a 273 K blackbody (black). Larger particles (purple) interact with stellar (yellow/red) and thermal (black) wavelengths, while the smallest particles have reduced extinction at thermal wavelengths and so predominantly interact with stellar wavelengths. This implies that larger particles may have a mild warming effect as concluded by previous studies, while smaller particles can scatter most of the incoming stellar energy and cool the surface.

Right: Illustration of how clouds composed of different particle

sizes can interact with incoming and outgoing stellar and thermal radiation. Depending on the fraction of radiation transmitted and the ratio of upward scattered solar and downward scattered thermal flux, these clouds could either cool or warm the surface.

OUR CLIMATE MODEL

THE EFFECT OF CO2 ICE CLOUD CONDENSATIONON THE HABITABLE ZONEAndrew Lincowski1,2, Victoria S. Meadows1,2, Tyler D. Robinson2,3, David Crisp2,4

1University of Washington Astronomy & Astrobiology, 2NASA Astrobiology Institute Lead Team, 3NASA Ames Research Center, 4Jet Propulsion Laboratory/California Institute of Technology

Climate Model

Feb 23, 2016Andrew Lincowski 1

𝝏𝝏𝑭𝑭𝝏𝝏𝑻𝑻

𝑻𝑻(𝒛𝒛)

multiple scattering

convection & condensation

+ SMART multipleup-welling

&down-welling

streams

This work was performed as part of the NASA Astrobiology Institute's Virtual Planetary Laboratory, supported by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration through the NASA Astrobiology Institute under solicitation NNH12ZDA002C and Cooperative Agreement Number NNA13AA93A.

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

IN THE TRADITIONAL HABITABLE ZONE THE RADIATIVE EFFECTS OF CLOUDS HAVE BEEN IGNORED

Spectral Mapping and Atmospheric Radiative Transfer (Meadows & Crisp, 1996)

Terrestrial validations:Venus: Arney et al (2014)

Earth: Robinson et al (2011)Mars: Tinetti et al (2005)

Line-by-lineMulti-stream

Multiple scatteringVertically-resolved atmospheric layers

Computes spectra and layer-resolved heating rates

10-1100101

optical depth (τ) at 0.1µm

100

101

effe

ctive

part

icle

radi

us(a

eff

[µm

])

Scattering Effect of CO2 Ice Clouds

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

F cld

/Fclr

warming

cooling

melting snow

a ~ 20 μm

clear sky warming cooling

a ~ 1 μm

larger particles backscatter thermal energy to surface

smaller particles backscatter solar energy to space

WARMING OR COOLING BY CLOUDS IS DETERMINED BY THE INTERPLAY BETWEEN WAVELENGTH AND PARTICLE SIZE

FUTURE WORKWe will soon investigate non-spherical particles since ices are likely not well-approximated by spheres, which most climate models use when they compute aerosol scattering. We will conclude this work with both CO2 and H2O cloud condensation together with their radiative effects treated self-consistently.

Arney et al (2014)Charnay et al (2015)Colaprete & Toon (2003)Forget & Pierrehumbert (1997)Forget et al (2013)Kasting et al (1993)Kitzmann et al (2013)

Kitzmann (2016)Kopparapu et al (2013)Manabe & Strickler (1964)Meadows & Crisp (1996)Robinson et al (2011)Tinetti et al (2005)

REFERENCES

VALIDATION OF KITZMANN ET AL (2013): CO2 ICE CLOUDS MAY BE WARMING OR COOLING DEPENDING ON PARTICLE PROPERTIES

PRELIMINARY CONCLUSIONSUsing our new climate model with self consistent CO2 ice cloud condensation and multi-stream, multi-scattering radiative transfer, our results suggest that the true outer edge of the habitable zone is likely the CO2 first condensation limit, as originally suggested from qualitative arguments by Kasting et al (1993), not the maximum greenhouse limit, which neglects the radiative properties of clouds.

We have a new generalized terrestrial climate model that we can apply to exoplanet studies, which has been validated for Earth, Mars, and Venus, which includes sophisticated radiative transfer with convection, condensation, and cloud treatment.

MODEL ATTRIBUTES:CONVECTION

simple convective adjustment (Manabe & Strickler, 1964) simple or turbulent mixing length theory with eddy diffusion exchange of sensible heat

PHASE CHANGES condensation & evaporation adjustment of condensate vapor mixing ratios exchange of latent heat

CLOUD FORMATIONtracking of condensate mass

sedimentation (rainout) full radiative/scattering treatment w/evolution of optical depth

freezing point of water

equatorial open ocean

OUR RADIATIVE TRANSFER MODEL: SMART

Using SMART as the core, we have developed a generalized 1D radiative-convective equilibrium (RCE) climate model for terrestrial exoplanets with secondary outgassed atmospheres. The model includes bulk thermodynamics and simple cloud microphysics, which allows us to self-consistently determine cloud properties and radiative effects for a range of condensates.

CO2 CLOUDS LOWER SURFACE TEMPERATURE AND TRUNCATE THE OUTER EDGE OF THE HABITABLE ZONERight: Planetary surface temperature vs insolation relative to Earth for planetary atmospheres with 7 bar CO2 and 1 bar N2 orbiting the Sun and M dwarf AD Leo. Initially, we ran the clear sky case with radiative transfer and convective adjustment. Once the clear sky case indicated CO2 condensation, subsequent runs used self-consistently determined cloud mass and optical depth, and used mixing length theory for convection. Each model was then iterated and evolved, allowing the radiative and convective processes to affect the atmospheric/surface temperature and cloud properties. Even though the larger CO2 ice particles locally warm the atmosphere, there is insufficient warming to maintain a surface temperature above the freezing point of water.

These preliminary results using our multi-stream, multi-scattering 1D RCE climate model indicate that the first condensation limit of CO2 represents the outer edge of the habitable zone, as originally argued qualitatively by Kasting et al (1993).

Sun

max

gre

enho

use

AD L

eo m

axim

um g

reen

hous

eclass

ic M

0 1

st c

onde

nsat

ion

class

ic Su

n 1s

t co

nden

satio

n

10 -1 10 0 10 1 10 2

Wavelength (µm)

0

1

2

3

4

5

1µm Qext17µm QextPlanck (scaled)Sun (scaled)AD Leo (scaled)

small particles predominantly

absorb & scatter solar radiation

large particles absorb solar and thermal interaction

Extin

ctio

n ef

ficien

cy Q

ext =

Qsc

at +

Qab

s