9
The Epidemiology Of Lung Cancer: An Overview Denise M. Oleske L UNG CANCER is now the leading cause of cancer mortality. However, most of these deaths are preventable. Nurses are increasingly in- volved in the planning and implementation of pre- vention strategies, and in order to accomplish this goal, an understanding of epidemiology is neces- sary. Epidemiologic studies give us insight into who is at risk for developing lung cancer and what factors are associated with its occurrence. This knowledge base serves to guide prevention and early detection efforts aimed at eliminating this public health problem. PAl-FERNS AND TRENDS IN THE INCIDENCE AND MORTALITY OF LUNG CANCER To understand the epidemiology of lung cancer, a closer look at the descriptive patterns derived from morbidity and mortality rates is helpful. When these rates are considered in conjunction with individual and group characteristics, geo- graphic location, and time, more specific patterns of risk factors emerge. Lung cancer is recognized as a worldwide prob- lem that commonly occurs in both sexes and in industrialized as well as in developing nations. (Fig 1). The highest incidence is observed in males in the United Kingdom (89.5 per 100,000 age-adjusted population), l In the United States, the incidence of lung cancer is also high, increas- ing by 13% between 1973 and 1981. The mortality rate during the same time interval demonstrated a similar trend (Table 1). Since the 1950s, the death rate for men has exceeded that for any other cancer (Fig 2A). While this markedly high mortal- ity among males has been noted for some time, it was only within the last decade that the steep in- cline in lung cancer mortality was observed among females (Fig 2B). Although the absolute level is not as high as in males, the rate of increase for lung cancer mortality among females has been ac- celerating more rapidly than in males. It is esti- mated that in 1987, 136,000 deaths from lung cancer will occur in the United States (92,000 in men and 44,000 in women). Of all cancer deaths in men, 36% will be due to lung cancer and in women, 20% are expected to be due to lung cancer. 3 Racial differences in lung cancer incidence and mortality are also found (Table 1). Both incidence and mortality rates for lung cancer were higher among whites than nonwhites until around 1960. Since that time the mortality rate for nonwhite males has exceeded that of white males. 2 Smoking has been identified as a contributing factor. Recent studies have shown that the prevalence of smoking among blacks is higher than among whites. 4 Fur- thermore, the ratio of non filter to filter users is 2.4 among black males but only 1.0 among white males. In addition, blacks are less likely to quit smoking than whites. These variations in exposure to risk factors help explain the differential lung cancer mortality and incidence rates between the races and sexes. Lung cancer mortality and inci- dence rates may also be influenced by other envi- ronmental factors (eg, employment in hazardous workplace, poor nutrition). However, the influ- ence of these upon racial and sex-specific varia- tions independent of smoking requires further study. Devesa and Diamond 5 found a significant in- verse association between both income and educa- tion and age-adjusted lung cancer incidence rates among white and black males, with the lowest so- cioeconomic status being associated with the high- est rates. 5 Among females, a U-shaped pattern was identified with the higher lung cancer rates being found in the lower and upper income groups, and the lower and higher education groups. This pattern was largely attributable to white females, as the lung cancer incidence and socioeconomic relationships of black females tends to parallel that of the black males. Geographic variation of lung cancer mortality rates is most obvious among white males with in- creased mortality in the northeast, but the highest rates are clustered along the Gulf of Mexico, par- ticularly in Louisiana, and along the southeast At- From the Department of Health Systems Management and the Department of Preventive Medicine, Rush-Presbyterian St. Luke's Medical Center, Chicago. Address reprint requests to Denise M. Oleske, PhD, RN, Department of Health Systems Management, Rush-Presbyte- rian St. Luke's Medical Center, Chicago, IL 60612. © 1987 by Grune & Stratton, Inc. 0749-208118710303-0001505.00/0 Seminars in Onco/ogyNursing, Vol 3, No 3 (August), 1987: pp 165-173 165

The epidemiology of lung Cancer: An overview

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The Epidemiology Of Lung Cancer: An Overview

Denise M. Oleske

L UNG CANCER is now the leading cause of cancer mortality. However, most of these

deaths are preventable. Nurses are increasingly in- volved in the planning and implementation of pre- vention strategies, and in order to accomplish this goal, an understanding of epidemiology is neces- sary. Epidemiologic studies give us insight into who is at risk for developing lung cancer and what factors are associated with its occurrence. This knowledge base serves to guide prevention and early detection efforts aimed at eliminating this public health problem.

PAl-FERNS AND TRENDS IN THE INCIDENCE AND MORTALITY OF LUNG CANCER

To understand the epidemiology of lung cancer, a closer look at the descriptive patterns derived from morbidity and mortality rates is helpful. When these rates are considered in conjunction with individual and group characteristics, geo- graphic location, and time, more specific patterns of risk factors emerge.

Lung cancer is recognized as a worldwide prob- lem that commonly occurs in both sexes and in industrialized as well as in developing nations. (Fig 1). The highest incidence is observed in males in the United Kingdom (89.5 per 100,000 age-adjusted population), l In the United States, the incidence of lung cancer is also high, increas- ing by 13% between 1973 and 1981. The mortality rate during the same time interval demonstrated a similar trend (Table 1). Since the 1950s, the death rate for men has exceeded that for any other cancer (Fig 2A). While this markedly high mortal- ity among males has been noted for some time, it was only within the last decade that the steep in- cline in lung cancer mortality was observed among females (Fig 2B). Although the absolute level is not as high as in males, the rate of increase for lung cancer mortality among females has been ac- celerating more rapidly than in males. It is esti- mated that in 1987, 136,000 deaths from lung cancer will occur in the United States (92,000 in men and 44,000 in women). Of all cancer deaths in men, 36% will be due to lung cancer and in women, 20% are expected to be due to lung cancer. 3

Racial differences in lung cancer incidence and

mortality are also found (Table 1). Both incidence and mortality rates for lung cancer were higher among whites than nonwhites until around 1960. Since that time the mortality rate for nonwhite males has exceeded that of white males. 2 Smoking has been identified as a contributing factor. Recent studies have shown that the prevalence of smoking among blacks is higher than among whites. 4 Fur- thermore, the ratio of non filter to filter users is 2.4 among black males but only 1.0 among white males. In addition, blacks are less likely to quit smoking than whites. These variations in exposure to risk factors help explain the differential lung cancer mortality and incidence rates between the races and sexes. Lung cancer mortality and inci- dence rates may also be influenced by other envi- ronmental factors (eg, employment in hazardous workplace, poor nutrition). However, the influ- ence of these upon racial and sex-specific varia- tions independent of smoking requires further study.

Devesa and Diamond 5 found a significant in- verse association between both income and educa- tion and age-adjusted lung cancer incidence rates among white and black males, with the lowest so- cioeconomic status being associated with the high- est rates. 5 Among females, a U-shaped pattern was identified with the higher lung cancer rates being found in the lower and upper income groups, and the lower and higher education groups. This pattern was largely attributable to white females, as the lung cancer incidence and socioeconomic relationships of black females tends to parallel that of the black males.

Geographic variation of lung cancer mortality rates is most obvious among white males with in- creased mortality in the northeast, but the highest rates are clustered along the Gulf of Mexico, par- ticularly in Louisiana, and along the southeast At-

From the Department of Health Systems Management and the Department of Preventive Medicine, Rush-Presbyterian St. Luke's Medical Center, Chicago.

Address reprint requests to Denise M. Oleske, PhD, RN, Department of Health Systems Management, Rush-Presbyte- rian St. Luke's Medical Center, Chicago, IL 60612.

© 1987 by Grune & Stratton, Inc. 0749-208118710303-0001505.00/0

Seminars in Onco/ogyNursing, Vol 3, No 3 (August), 1987: pp 165-173 165

166 DENISE M. OLESKE

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lantic coast. The highest lung cancer rates for nonwhite males tend to be in the urban areas of the south. Racial and geographic variations over time among females is minor. 6 Regardless of geograph- ic region, mortality from lung cancer is greater in urban than in rural counties. The rates are lowest in farming areas.

Adjusting for demographic influences, the im- pact of industrial factors upon the geographic vari- ation in lung cancer rates becomes more pro- nounced. Mortality among white males was elevated in counties with paper, chemical, and pe- troleum manufacturing industries. To a lesser ex-

tent, counties that have transportation as the pre- dominant industry also have shown excess lung cancer mortality, primarily in communities en- gaged in shipbuilding. 6 Numerous carcinogens have been found to be associated with these indus- tries including polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (present in crude petroleum, coal, tars, and com- bustion products of most organic materials) asbes- tos (shipbuilding), low level ionizing radiation (nuclear shipyards), and wood preservatives. 7,8

Variations in the distribution of lung cancer cell type has been demonstrated by autopsy studies, review of pathology materials, and mortality and

EPIDEMIOLOGY OF LUNG CANCER 167

Table 1. Average Annual Age-Adjusted Lung Cancer Incidence and Mortality Rates per 100,000 Population by

Race and Sex

1973-1977 1978-1981

Age-adjusted incidence rates Males

Total 76.7 82.5 Whites 75.9 81.0 Blacks 103.7 119.0

Females Total 21.8 28.1 Whites 21.7 28.2 Blacks 23.2 30.5

Total 45.7 51.5 Age-adjusted mortality rates

Males Total 65.4 70.7 Whites 64.3 61.3 Blacks 80.3 91.4

Females Total 15.3 20.1 Whites 15.4 20.2 Blacks 15.1 20.1

Total 37.0 41.7

Data from Horm et al. ~ Data excludes Puerto Rico.

incidence data. 9"~2 Squamous cell carcinoma is overwhelmingly the predominant histologic form among men in all age groups (53.6%), whereas adenocarcinoma (30.6%) is the most common form in women until age 60 after which squamous and small cell types predominate. 9 Studies have shown that regardless of histologic type, over 80% of the men and women who develop lung cancer were smokers. 9

RISK F A C T O R S A S S O C I A T E D W I T H

L U N G C A N C E R

Although risk of disease can be evaluated through incidence and mortality rates, these data can usually only provide us with information on how risk ~,aries in absolute terms and only for broad demographic or geographic categories. Ana- lytic epidemiologic studies are conducted when detailed information is sought concerning disease risk that may be attributable to specific social, be- havioral, environmental, or biologic factors. The analytic approach commonly used in cancer epide-

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168 DENISE M. OLESKE

miology to identify risk factors are case-control studies, cohort studies, and clinical trials. Epide- miologists use a combination of these methods to refine knowledge concerning risk factors and to attempt to establish a causal association between the suspect risk factor and the disease under inves- tigation. A risk factor is said to be causal when a statistical association is established between it and the disease under investigation and the criteria for causality (strength, consistency, dose-response, specificity, temporality, coherence, plausability) are met. The model for this purpose is illustrated with the examination of evidence in the relation- ship of cigarette smoking and lung cancer. Other risk factors associated with lung cancer are also highlighted.

Cigarette Smoking

The primary risk factor associated with lung cancer is cigarette smoking, and the work done to date is said to have established a causal associa- tion. The evidence to support this conclusion is summarized herein.

Causality is first suggested by trends and pat- terns of incidence data. Historically, the increased relative risk of lung cancer among smokers as compared to nonsmokers was identified as early as 1939.13 However, it was not until the 1950s when the relationship was statistically confirmed in three independent retrospective studies. 14-16 Of the 35 retrospective studies conducted on the relation- ship of cigarette smoking and lung cancer between 1939 and 1970, 19 demonstrated that the relative risk of lung cancer was over five times greater among smokers than nonsmokers . 17 By the mid-1950s results of prospective studies found the relative risk of lung cancer associated with ciga- rette smoke ranged from 3.8 to 14.2 in males and 2.0 to 5.0 in females. ~7 Subsequently, other pro- spective studies in Sweden, Japan, and Canada yielded similar results. 17 Thus, both strength of association and consistency of the association were demonstrated.

Dose-response gradients between smoking and lung cancer were discerned in both retrospective and prospective studies. This is illustrated in Table 2 where the relative risk of lung cancer increases with the daily amount of cigarettes smoked. Mea- sures of exposure have included number of ciga- rettes smoked per day, age at which smoking began, depth of inhalation, duration of smoking,

Table 2. Relative Risk for Smokers and Nonsmokers Among

Male Lung Cancer Patients and Matched Control Patients

With Other Diseases

Relative Risk Daily of Different

Average Patients Categories Cigarettes Smokers to Smoked Lung Cancer Controls Nonsmokers

None 7 61 1.0

1-4 55 129 3.7 5-14 489 570 7.5

15-24 475 431 9.6 25-49 293 154 16.6 50 + 38 12 27.6

The different levels of cigarette smoking are compared with

nonsmokers. Data from Wynder et al. 14

and duration of cessation. The specificity of the association has been examined by Hammond and Horn 18 in a prospective study. Death rates from lung cancer were found to be highest among those whose smoking habit consisted only of cigarettes (127.2 per 100,000), followed by pipes only (38.5 per 100,000), and cigars only (13. I per 100,000). In addition, the specificity has also been examined by comparing the ratios of death rates of smokers to that of nonsmokers among the various anatomic sites of cancer. The greatest ratio has consistently been identified for lung cancer. The temporality of the association has been supported in all the major prospective studies done to date on this risk factor. Indirect evidence of a temporal association also exists. Per capita cigarette consumption per adult in 1950 in 20 different countries was correlated with lung cancer death rates in the mid-1970s, rep- resenting that generation as it entered middle age (Fig 3), and a strong positive correlation was found. 19 Several studies have demonstrated that changes in smoking prevalence precede changes in lung cancer mortality, usually by about 15 to 20 years. 20,21

The classic evidence in support of coherence is provided by Auerbach et a122 who showed that the amount of cigarette smoking is positively correlat- ed with the frequency and intensity of pathologic changes (loss of cilia, basal cell hyperplasia, pres- ence of atypia) in the epithelial lining of the tra- cheobronchial tree. Cigarette consumption pat- terns in the context of lung cancer mortality compared in different populations also supports the coherence of the association. For example,

EPIDEMIOLOGY OF LUNG CANCER 169

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among Mormons, a religious group that advocates abstention from the use of tobacco, lung cancer incidence is significantly less than in the non- Mormon population of the same state. 23 The low lung cancer mortality of Mexican-American women is about half that of Anglo women. 24 This is attributable to the fact that fewer Mexican- American women smoke and that those who do smoke, smoke less.

Laboratory studies provide evidence for plausa- bility. Over 3,000 chemicals have been identified in tobacco smoke, and a number of these are mu- tagens and/or carcinogens (including nicotine and benzo(a)pyrene). When smoking habits changed to include a higher use of filter and low tar ciga- rettes, the incidence of lung cancer decreased by 20%. This was largely due to the reduction of nic- otine and tar. However, if a smoker of a low tar, filter-tipped cigarette compensates for this nicotine and tar reduction by increasing the number of cig- arettes smoked, the toxicity of tobacco smoke is similar for both nonfiltered and filtered ciga- rettesY Given the extensive evidence (only some of which was described) on the association be- tween cigarette smoking and lung cancer, the most effective control measure for this public health problem is curtailment of cigarette smoking.

Passive Smokh~g

Concern over the health consequences attribut- able to passive smoking has arisen as there has been a decline in the prevalence of smokers. Table 3 lists the major studies published to date on the risk of lung cancer from passive smokers. Side-

stream smoke contains many of the carcinogens found in inhaled tobacco smoke and it is postulat- ed that greater concentrations of some carcinogen- ic substances may be present. Current data sug- gests a positive association between passive smoking and lung cancer. However, interpretation of this association should be done with caution. In the United States, spouses' smoking habits (the standard exposure in these studies) may not be an adequate measure of the total exposure to passive smoking. Workplace passive smoking pollution could make a significant contribution to exposure, particularly among those heavily exposed (eg, barmaids, bartenders, waitresses). Early life expo- sure may also have some role. Significantly in- creased levels of urinary cotinine (a stable metabo- lite of nicotine) has been found in infants whose caretakers smoke. 32 The specific mechanism for health effects of passive smoking still need to be understood.

Role of Nutrition

The association between vitamin A deficiency and lung cancer has been identified by a number of investigators throughout the world. 33-36 The identification of this association in both retrospect- ive and prospective epidemiologic studies suggests that this is not a chance finding. In these studies, the relative risk of lung cancer associated with a low vitamin A diet has been found to be as low as 1.0 and as high as 4.8, even after statistical ad- justments are made for age, smoking habits, and socioeconomic status. The increased risk has been found for squamous cell and small cell carcinoma in me n Y The role of this dietary factor in women has not been confirmed. A consumption of a diet low in vitamin A (<7,500 mg/wk or <74,000 IU/mo) and a low blood retinol (<56 I.tg/dL) have been isolated in these studies as specific risk fac- tors. Although there are many sources of vitamin A in our diet, including milk, eggs, and liver, one recommendation for reducing the risk of lung cancer by dietary measures is to encourage the daily consumption of green/yellow vegetables. No other dietary factor to date, including vitamin C, has been found to have a etiologic role in lung cancer.

Occupational Risk Factors

With respect to occupation, certain high risk groups have been identified. These are listed in

170 DENISE M. OLESKE

Table 3. Epidemiologic Studies of Involuntary Smoking and Lung Cancer

Measure of Study Type Smoking Relative

Reference Country (and Gender) Exposure Risk

Hirayama z6 Japan Cohort Husband

Tricholpoulos et a127 Greece (Athens)

Garfinke128 United States

Correa et al z9 United States (New Orleans)

Sandier et al ~ United States (North Carolina)

Garfinkel et al zl United States

(women) Nonsmoker 1.00 <20 cigarettes 1.60 ---20 clgarettes 2.08

Case-control Husband (women) Nonsmoker 1.00

<1 pack 2.40 :>1 pack 3.40

Cohort Husband (women) Nonsmoker 1.00

<40 cigarettes 1.37(NS) ---40 cigarettes 1.04(NS)

Case-control Spouse (both sexes) Nonsmoker 1.00

<40 cigarettes 1.48 ->40 cigarettes 3.11

Case-control Parents (both sexes) Maternal Smoking

Nonsmoker 0.60(NS) Smoker 2.90(NS) Paternal Smoking Nonsmoker 1.00(NS) Smoker 1.30(NS)

Case-control Husband (women) Nonsmoker 1.00

<10 cigarettes 1.15(NS) 10-19 cigarettes 1.08(NS) ->20 cigarettes 2.11(NS)

Results are statistically significant (P < .05) unless otherwise indicated.

Table 4. Specific industrial processes are difficult to incriminate in the etiology of lung cancer due to complex chemical reactions occurring in many workplaces and intervening variables (eg, humidi- ty, temperature, worker fatigue). In addition, workers commonly rotate through different depart- ments within the same plant. Such exposure may contribute to a synergistic effect of unknown mag- nitude by often unknown carcinogens. Similarly, cigarette smoking in the workplace is also noted to produce a synergistic risk of lung cancer. The synergistic effect of cigarette smoking and occu- pational environment at high risk for lung cancer has been demonstrated in several worker groups including shipyard workers, asbestos workers, and uranium miners. 55-57

Approximately 35% of the employed female workforce smokes. The highest prevalence is among those working as waitresses, managers, salespersons, machine operators, and in crafts. 12 The prevalence of smoking among nurses has been

reported to be declining in the last few years to approximately 25%. 58 However, this is still nearly twice that which has been reported for physi- cians. 59 Nurses still need to make progress in re- ducing their smoking levels if they wish not to be in conflict with their primary role as health care promoters.

Recently, evidence has begun to accumulate which suggests that cell type variation exists among some occupational groups. Stayner and Wegman 6° found that squamous cell carcinoma is statistically associated with blue collar jobs, even after adjustments for age and smoking habits are made. Oat cell carcinoma is associated with trans- portation operators. 6t There does not appear to be any cell type variation unique to asbestos expo- sure. 62 The epidemiologic relation of specific cell type to occupational exposure is an important area of future investigation and may have legal impli- cations when a worker claims that his lung cancer is due to exposure to a particular occupational en-

EPIDEMIOLOGY OF LUNG CANCER

Table 4. Occupational Groups Identified as High Risk for Lung Cancer

171

Occupational Group Suspect Etiologic Agent(s) Reference

Atomic energy workers Ionizing radiation Mancuso et al 3~ Automobile maintenance workers Asbestos Nicholson et al zs Asbestos workers Asbestos Selikoff et al ~ Chemical workers Arsenic, sulfur dioxide Bond et aP 1 Chloromethyl ethyl workers Chloromethylethyl (ether) Figueroa et a142 Copper smelter workers Arsenic Lubin et al ¢~ Gas workers Temperature of carbonization Doll et al ~ Glass, pottery, and linoleum workers Chromium Davis et al 4s Foundry workers Polynuclear aromatic hydrocarbons Gibson et al 4s Insecticide workers Arsenic Davis et al 4s Insulation workers Asbestos Davis et al 4s Nickel workers Nickel Pederson et a147 Metal material workers Not identified Hirayama 4s Petroleum workers Arsenic, polynuclear aromatic Gottlied et al ~

hydrocarbons Shipyard workers Asbestos Blot et al ~°

Nuclear radiation Najarian et al sa Spray painters Chromium Dalager et a152 Steel workers Polynuclear aromatic hydrocarbons Blot et a153 Uranium miners Radon BEIR Ill s4

vironment. Lastly, knowing occupational groups at risk for lung cancer can help identify appro- priate control measures at the worksite and guide decision-making regarding the return to work sub- sequent to a diagnosis of lung cancer. Control measures for the reduction of risk to lung cancer in the workplace include a knowledge of the chemi- cals being used, no smoking at the work site, rota- tion of employees from fumed work sites, respira- tory protection (masks, respirators, exhaust ventilation, etc), and the maintenance of exposure records by the company.

Air Pollution

The study of the relationship between air pollu- tion and lung cancer is wrought with many of the same methodologic issues facing the study of oc- cupation and lung cancer. Previous studies of air pollution as a cause of lung cancer have not con- sidered the smoking status of the population stud- ied or their occupation. Further, because there is typically a higher proportion of urban than rural smokers, it is often difficult to estimate how much of the excess lung cancer in urban areas is actually due to noncigarette-smoking-related factors and indoor pollution (particularly passive smoking).

Vena 63 has conducted one of the few attempts to separate and evaluate the effects of air pollution, cigarette smoking, and occupation. A synergistic relationship was identified between exposure to

cigarette smoking and air pollition. Although the concentration of suspended particulates served as the index of health effects in this study, the role of other suspect urban air pollutants such as sulfur dioxide, 3,4 benzopyrene, as well as size of par- ticulate matter, are topics for future studies.

FUTURE RESEARCH

Although over 80% of lung cancer is estimated to be caused by cigarette smoking, many questions still need to be answered. Future epidemiologic investigations are likely to focus on refining knowledge concerning exposure. For example, scientists will continue to probe for the existence of additional carcinogens in the workplace that could be responsible for lung cancer and deter- mine which may act synergistically with cigarette smoke. More precise quantification of the nature and type of air pollutants found in a community as well as passive smoking exposure situations are necessary, particularly to help determine what is the threshold effect for lung cancer given minimal exposure. Efforts to improve the reliability and va- lidity of dietary information, particularly in the identification of usage patterns of food supple- ments and through an understanding of food prep- aration practices, are required to explore degrees of protection (or risk) from lung cancer associated with different consumption levels of various nutri-

172 DENISE M. OLESKE

t iona l subs t ances such as v i t a m i n A. Las t ly , addi-

t i ona l c l in ical t r ia ls f ocus ing o n nu t r i t ion in te rven-

t i o n s in l u n g c a n c e r p r e v e n t i o n a n d o n n e w

a t t e m p t s a i m e d at s m o k i n g p r e v e n t i o n m e t h o d s

wi l l he lp e luc ida te t he role o f d ie tary and b e h a v -

iora l fac tors in the d e v e l o p m e n t o f lung cance r .

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