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1
THE FUTURE OF
AFRICAN CITIES
GAETAN SIEW
Governing Council, UN HABITAT
Chair, Port Louis Development Initiative
Past President, International Union of Architects
2
THE WORLD ASSEMBLED
54Countries
4.2%GDP Growth
Rates (2018)
Diversification
Competitiveness
Access to services
Employment
Exports
Indicators on the rise
CONTEXT
2,000Languages
20.4%Africa Covering
total land area of
the earth
Indicators on the fall
Crime
Political unrest
Rural population
Inflation
External Debt
3
INFRASTRUCTURE COMING TO TERM
CLIMATE CHANGE
LAND OWNERSHIP
FOOD / WATER /
ENERGY
AFRICAN CHALLENGES
BUILDING WAKANDA
DOING BUSINESS
CHALLENGES
4
THE NEED TO CONNECT
Colonial times
• Looting of resources
• Slave trade
Today
• Sharing of resources
• Collaboration for regional gains
• Cross border trading as the new barter system
TH
E S
CA
RS
OF
CO
LO
NIA
LIS
M
CO
LO
NIA
L R
AIL
WA
Y M
AP
UBUNTU DIPLOMACY
where all sectors and countries belong as
partners, where all participate as stakeholders,
and where all succeed together, not
incrementally but exponentially.
CHALLENGES
5
A (DIS)CONNECTED WORLD
People (Climate, War , Work)
Goods
Services
Ideas – Information - Knowledge
Capital
CHALLENGES & CONNECTIONS
6
AFRICAN MEGACITIES
Six of the world’s 41 megacities will be in
Africa by 2030
2.5 BNProjected population in 2050
1.2 BNPopulation in Africa today
DA
KA
R
CA
IRO
JO
HA
NN
ES
BU
RG
LA
GO
S
KIN
SH
AS
A
AB
IDJ
AN
LU
AN
DA
DA
R E
S S
AL
AA
M
AN
TA
NA
RIV
O
1.0 BNYoung People in 2050
CHALLENGES & CONNECTIONS
7
LESS BARRIERS –MORE CONNECTIONS
4MRails
4BInternet
Connections
40MAir Flighs
2MPipelines
64MRoads
0.5MK M o f B o r d e r s
CHALLENGES & CONNECTIONS
8
1,000,000,000YOUNG PEOPLE BY 2050
YOUTH
RISING MIDDLE
CLASS
PEOPLE AS ASSETS
SILVER ECONOMY
ASSETS
9MINING RESOURCES
RA
RE
EA
RT
HS
GO
LD
IRO
N O
RE
‘Poverty in the
land of riches’
-Matsime Simon Mohapi
ASSETS
CO
BA
LT
PH
OS
PH
AT
E
UR
AN
IUM
CO
PP
ER
10
Chaos in the world brings uneasiness, but it also allows the opportunity for creativity and growth.
“Tom Barrett
APPROACH
11
CULTURE AS A DRIVER
CONNECT CULTURES
CELEBRATE CITIES
SHARE EXPERIENCES
3. APPROACH
CREATIVECULTURAL INDUSTRIES$2250 BN / Y + 29.5 M JOBSAFRICA $ 624 BN -2015 – 2.4 M JOBS
ASSETS 11
12
TAPPING INTO AN INCREASING MARKETBY 2050 HALF OF THE WORLD POPULATION WILL RESIDE IN THE TROPICS
$ 2.3 TRILLION/YEARFOR INFRASTRUCTURAL NEEDS
POTENTIAL MARKETS
ENERGY, WATER, WASTE, MOBILITY, FOOD, …
TINA
13
JUGAAD
Noun - Indian Origin
A flexible approach to problem-solving that uses
limited resources in an innovative way.
SURVIVAL + INNOVATION
TINA 13
14
LEAPFROGGING INTO THE FUTURE
Information Technology as
the connecting thread to
weave a sustainable and
economically resilient
fabric
To Address
• Internet penetration in
Africa : 13.5% (2011)
• Education in IT
• Digital Infrastructure
M PESA
Mobile
Money
BLOCKCHAI
N public
ledger
BIT PESA
Cryptocurrency
TINA
15
TRADE & WORKFORCE
Increased population and
displacement in trade routes and
geopolitical factors can be an
opportunity for Africa to tap into
its increasing workforce to affirm
its position in the emerging world
AM
ER
ICA
S
2.5 Bn
1.2 Bn
5.3 Bn
PR
OJE
CT
ED
WO
RL
DP
OP
UL
AT
ION
BY
CO
NT
INE
NT
(20
50
)
AS
IA
AF
RIC
A
TINA
16
In times of crisis the wise build bridges, while the foolish build barriersKing T’Challa of Wakanda, Black Panther
Thank you.