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The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish touch) Martin Tunér

The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

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Page 1: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

The future of combustion enginesA historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today

(With a Swedish touch)

Martin Tunér

Page 2: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

2

Explore

ExplainApply

Page 3: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

What do we mean with state of the art?

Page 4: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

World’s largest combustion engine?

Wärtsilä-Sulzer RTA96-C

2300 ton, 109.000 hp

Page 5: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

World’s smallest engine?

Most liquid hydrocarbon fuels hold over 300 times more energy per unit weight

than a NiCad battery and 100 times more than a Li-ion battery. A micro-engine

would have the potential to release the energy from the fuels and possibly replace

batteries in portable devices.

It would not only last much longer than a battery of the same weight (about 20

times at 10% efficiency), but also requires little time to change its fuel capsule.

Read more at: http://phys.org/news/2006-01-micro-engines.html#jCp

11.2 W

Page 6: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

World’s most common engine?Toyota 2ZR-FE, 1.8 liter, gasoline,

136 hp

Husqvarna manufactures around 6.5 million engines yearly

Page 7: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

Most sensual engine?

Ducati –sings in Italian!

Page 8: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

State of art depends on the application

• Functionality

• Affordability

• Scalability

And more recently:

• Sustainability

Page 9: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

Isaac de Rivaz 1802-1813

• Built a car

• 5x2 m

• 3m / stroke

• 1 stroke / 5s (car stops inbetween)

• 12% uphill!

• Atmospheric/ballistic motor

• Manually controlled combustion

• Town-gas as fuel

• Considered net of gas generators

every km

• Electric ignition

Functional?

Affordable?

Scalable?

Sustainable?

Page 10: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

1885 Benz Patent-Motorwagen: The patented automobile

1885-1886 (93)

0.9 hp

16 km/h

265 kg

1 gear

Belt drive

No body

Solid

rubber

tyres

Hand brake

working on belt

Steering

Clutch, differential

twin chain drive

single cyl,

0.954 l Otto-

engine

Start it up!

Functional?

Affordable?

Scalable?

Sustainable?

Page 11: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

Most common car year 1900 – the electric car

Page 12: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

Functional?

Affordable?

Scalable?

Sustainable?

Page 13: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

So, how come gasoline became dominant?• Combustion engine cars cost 1/3 of electric

cars

• Ethanol is considered, but…• Oil is available in large amounts and makes

gasoline available and relatively cheap

• Gasoline has very high volumetric energy

content and is easy to distribute - easy to

carry “700 km" in the car

• “Charging” takes minutes – transfer rate is

~20MW!

• The number of cars, roads and gas stations is

increasing rapidly hand in hand Functional?

Affordable?

Scalable?

Sustainable?

Page 14: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

Heavy engines

Page 15: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

First trucks in Sweden 1902 (first sold 1903)Tidaholm 1.5 ton payload, 10 hp, 15km/h. It is shortly after returned

since there are no roads.

Functional?

Affordable?

Scalable?

Sustainable?

Scania and Vabis sell first trucks 1907.

Page 16: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

Jonas Hesselman 1901Technical genius Jonas Hesselman increases diesel engine output 100% by new

piston shape - Boss expects ”all major problems should be solved as cheaply”

Jonas Hesselman

Functional?

Affordable?

Scalable?

Sustainable?

Page 17: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

The Hesselman engine 1927• Gasoline is expensive and so is developing a new diesel type engine of reasonable size and power suitable

for trucks…• Hesselman adapts the gasoline type engine with a special injection-system. World´s first DISI!

• Multifuel capability: diesel, gasoline, alcohol and more

• Used by Volvo until 1947

• Should be run red hot

Functional?

Affordable?

Scalable?

Sustainable?

Page 18: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

Why are Volvo and Scania global players?Sweden is after all a small country

Fierce competition Scania-Vabis and Volvo: Both use Hesselman and gasoline engines but shift to even more efficient in-house diesel engines:

• Scania first diesel engine in production 1937. Volvo 1944.

• DI (V 1949, S 1952) 20% less consumption, longer life

• Turbocharging in production engines (S 1953, V 1954)

• Scania V8 low rpm philosophy (1969) strongest in Europe 350hp, Volvo counters: 385hp (1973)

• Intercooler (V 1979, S 1982)

• 4 valve (V 1987 465hp)

• Turbo compound (S 1990) give 46% total efficiency

• Today top models >700hp and >3000Nm

Functional?

Affordable?

Scalable?

Sustainable?

Page 19: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

Coming back to lighter engines

Page 20: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

Turbo in gasoline engines

Per Gillbrand

Functional?

Affordable?

Scalable?

Sustainable?

Increased power output

Heat recovery

Refinement – bling factor

Page 21: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

Cleaner engines

Emissions regulations demand better engine technology!

• Catalytic converter

• Unleaded fuel (hardened valve seats)

• Electronic fuel injection

• Lambda sensor

• Four valve pent-roof (Directly from race engines)

Low fuel consumption – low emissions – high specific power

Engines became better not worse!!!

Ford Cosworth DFV (1967)

Functional?

Affordable?

Scalable?

Sustainable?

Page 22: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

Flex-Fuel

Functional?

Affordable?

Scalable?

Sustainable?

Page 23: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

State of the art today

The internal combustion engine was always a compromise between

performance and cost that could be evolved when needed over 100

years…

Per Gillbrand use to say that you have to time the development steps

- Too early = too expensive = bankrupt

- Too late = lost market shares = bankrupt

Proved by that Volvo and Scania still exist!

Page 24: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

Volvo Cars

Page 25: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

Roadmap approaches to 55% BTE are outlined.DOE AMR 6/16

Daimler (2015) Navistar

Volvo

Cummins

Page 26: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

SAE INTERNATIONAL

DCEE Concept layout

2015-01-1260 26

HP cylinder

CAC (V = 30 L)

Crossover channelLP cylinder

Inlet valve AOutlet valve

Exhaust valve A

Exhaust valve B

Inlet valve B

Inlet port from cross-over

Not to scale!

Page 27: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

28

Shamun et al.

Methanol PPC meet EURO VI w/o EATS (steady state)

Page 28: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

29

Values can vary with operating conditions

Page 29: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

State of art in the future?

Page 30: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

The energy source has dominant influence on GHGSeveral fuels and powertrain combinations relevant!

Functional?

Affordable?

Scalable?

Sustainable?

Page 31: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

7 TW

14 TW

7 TW

44 TW

72 TW

85.000 TW

Page 32: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

Continued domination of fossil energy in transportation by year 2040 – less than 3% electric energy?

biodiesel

e85

Page 33: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

34

H2

Page 34: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

35

H2

?

Functional?Affordable?Scalable?

Sustainable?

Page 35: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

LIQUIDS: DISTRIBUTION & STORAGE EASIER

36

€ 250 € 10.000 € 25.000

Page 36: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

CANDIDATE FUELS? Simple molecules are preferred

Production is more efficient Conversion (end-use) can be controlled more easily (h, emissions)

Abundantly available building blocks: C, H, O, N, … Thus, most simple fuels:

Hydrogen, H2 (at patm, liquid at 20K) Methane, CH4 (at patm, liquid at 91K) Ammonia, NH3 (at Tatm, liquid at 8.6 bar) Methanol, CH3OH (liquid) Dimethylether (DME), CH3OCH3 (liquid at 5.3 bar) …

37

LIQUID

Page 37: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

AN INTEGRATED SYSTEM

38

CH3OH

n(-CH2-)Transport

Liquid storage

Grid Electricity

H2

H2O

CH4

CO2

Gas storage

Heat

Waste Heat

…And this can be brought into play quicklyusing GEM blends in existing E85/gasoline

flex-fuel vehicles

“Renewable Power Methane”, now supported by Audi as E-gas; however, vehicle fuel tanks still

expensive because CH4 is not a liquid…

Massive storage of renewable energy makes

investment in it viable

Remember!Transportation accounts for

25% of global GHG

75%-Chemicals

-Domestic use-Heat and Power

Page 38: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

Huge demand for “green” chemicals!

39

Source: Hexaresearch

Page 39: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

Electric drive• Refined, effective, no tailpipe

• Battery is expensive and dirty

• Charging infrastructure?

• Case for range extender engines

• Combining the best of two worlds

• Electric roads

Page 40: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

Forecast energy-mixes with powertrain development

41

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040

CO2

eq g

/km

WTW CO2 Trends for various powertrains

ICE => HEV Fossil Fuels

EV World Average Electricity

ICE => HEV World Average Fuels

Data: Bloomberg, Mazda, JEC-2014, Ricardo, Corning, EIA 2017

Page 41: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

Discussion• History tells us that functionality, scalability, affordability but also timing are key factors for success

• Sustainability is the new additional challenge

• Engine efficiencies of 60% are getting closer

• Electric drive makes combustion engines better

Future scenarios

• Long term future seems to depend on solar power and hydrogen – it will take long time to build such

infrastructure

• Biofuels seems to be especially valuable in the transition period

– Case for low cost alcohol engines – low cost cars for emerging markets – upper end hybrid cars

– Case for advanced alcohol engines – trucks, marine vessels, gen-sets

Lot of unknowns

• Clean battery production?

• Resource efficiency improvements, and recycling schemes? Energy intensity of recycling rare earth materials etc.?

• How low emissions are low enough?

• How will demand drive price for biomass and electricity

• Energy security?

Page 42: The future of combustion engines - SVEA FORDON · The future of combustion engines A historical reflection on internal combustion engines up to state of the art today (With a Swedish

Conclusion

We need to combine resources and technologies that offer best sustainability, scalability, affordability and functionality

Electric drive + engines on sustainable fuels