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© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affili ates. This publication may not be reproduced or di stributed in any form without Gartner's prior written permission. If you are authorized to access this publicati on, your use of it is subj ect to the Usage Guidelines for Gartner Services posted on gartner.com. The information contained in this publication has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Gartner di sclaims all warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information and shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in such information. This publication consists of the opinions of Gartner's research organization and should not be construed as statements of fact. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without n otice. Although Gartner research may include a discussion of related legal issues, Gartner does not provide legal advice or services and its research should not be construed or used as such. Gartner is a public company, and its shareholders may include firms and funds that have financial interests in entiti es covered in Gartner research. Gartner's Board of Directors may include senior managers of these firms or funds. Gartner research is produced independently by i ts research organization without input or influence from these firms, funds or their managers. For further information on the independence and integrity of Gartner research, see "Guiding Principles on Independence and Objectivity ." Betsy Burton The Future of EA in the Digital Business of 2025

The Future of EA in the Digital Business of 2025

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© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affili ates. This publication may not be reproduced or di stributed inany form without Gartner's prior written permission. If you are authorized to access this publicati on, your use of it is subj ect to theUsage Guidelines for Gartner Services posted ongartner.com. The information contained in this publication has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Gartner di sclaims all warranties as to the accuracy, completenessor adequacy of such information and shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in such information. This publication consists of the opinions of Gartner's researchorganization and should not be construed as statements of fact. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without n otice. Although Gartner research may include adiscussion of related legal issues, Gartner does not provide legal advice or services and its research should not be construed or used as such. Gartner is a public company, and its

shareholders may include firms and funds that have financial interests in entiti es covered in Gartner research. Gartner's Board of Directors may include senior managers of thesefirms or funds. Gartner research is produced independently by i ts research organization without input or influence from these firms, funds or their managers. For further informationon the independence and integrity of Gartner research, see "Guiding Principles on Independence and Objectivity."

Betsy Burton

The Future of EA in the DigitalBusiness of 2025

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© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.#GartnerSYM

 Your Digital Business Strategy Is YourBusiness Strategy

• Digital business is focused on the broader business opportunity

to compete (or serve).• Digital business is about the peer exchange between business

people and physical things as equal entities.

• Digital businesses are digitalizing their physical and virtual assets.

"Digital business" reflectsan emerging trend oforganizations creatingnew business designs

by blurring the physicaland digital worlds.

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Journey to Digital Business: EveryPerson, Business and Thing Is a Peer

E-Business Digital Marketing Digital Business Autonomous

Focus

TransformSalesChannel

Exploits Nexusto Drive Efficiency

ExpendsPotentialCustomersto "Things"

Smart,SemiautonomousThings BecomePrimary Customers

OutcomesOptimize

Channel

Optimize

Interactions

BuildNew Business

Models

MaximizeRelationships

With Things

EntitiesPeopleBusiness

PeopleBusiness

PeopleBusinessThings

PeopleBusinessThings

Disruptions

 Automation

of BusinessOperations

Deeper Customer

Relationship Analytics

Creationof New Value

With Things asCustomers

Smart Machines

and Things asCustomers

Technologies EDI Mobile BI, Big Data SocialSensors, 3DPrinting SmartMachines

Robotics,Smarter Machines,

 Automation

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Does Your Organization Have a DigitalBusiness Strategy?

52% of CEOs and Senior Executives Say That

They Currently Have a Digital Business Strategy

4% 4% 5%18%

51%

25%

41%

75%

45%

18%

16%

11%

14%

19%

14%

20%

23%

43%

28%

49%

26%

7%

30%

41%

22%8% 10% 11% 18%

Mfg./+Resources(n = 149)

FinServ/Insurance(n = 71)

Services(n = 63)

HealthcareProviders(n = 27*)

Comm./Media

(n = 28*)

Retail(n = 20*)

Wholesale/Trade

(n = 22*)

We have nothing werecognize as digitalstrategy

We have some strategyin that area, but not calledout as digital

We have a digital strategy,separate to our mainbusiness strategy

Digital strategy is anintegrated part of our main business strategy

Our digital strategy isour business strategy

Survey of CIOs:

8 out of 10 digital

business leadersadmit they will need

adaptation and learning,in order to be effective

in the new world 

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Key Issues

1. Perspective — How is EA evolving to respondto the disruptions of digital business?

2. Engagement — What is the future of EA

in 2025?3. Capabilities — What can organizations do

today to prepare for the future?

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World of Digital Business:Car Crash Scenario

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• Smartphone Car Crash Technology

• Fire and Law Enforcement• Sanitary and Cleanup Services

• First Responders• Emergency Rooms

• Insurance (P&C)• Banks (Loan Risks)

• Damage Control Sensors• Safety Deployment

• SMART Clothing

New Partnerships, Technologies, andPeople as Peers

Consumer Electronics

Government

Healthcare

Financial Services

Automotive

Retailers

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Traditional EA: Inside-out Perspective

Business

IT

Focus on ITsystems andon delivering

business valueby providing amore stable IT

foundation.

Goal to manage,consolidate,standardizeand simplifythe IT landscapeto supportthe business.

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EA for Digital Business: Outside-outPerspective

Interactions with and across known andunknown customers, constituencies,

partners and stakeholders.

Focus on architecting your enterprise from anoutside-out perspective – as well as outside-in andinside-out - perspective to competitively capitalize

on emerging digital business opportunities.

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Key Issues

1. Perspective — How is EA evolving to respondto the disruptions of digital business?

2. Engagement — What is the future of EAin 2025?

3. Capabilities — What can organizations dotoday to prepare for the future?

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Gartner 2011 Prediction:Future of EA 2020

IT Architecture

Integralto Business

& IT Strategy

No LongerSupports EA

 AbsorbedInto Business

Strategy

Not a Distinct Discipline

 A Distinct Discipline

Businessand IT Strategy

Only ITDecisions Focus

   S  c  o  p  e

4% Probability 55% Probability

40% Probability1% Probability

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Gartner 2011 Prediction:Future of EA 2020

IT Architecture

Integralto Business

& IT Strategy

No LongerSupports EA

 AbsorbedInto Business

Strategy

Not a Distinct Discipline

 A Distinct Discipline

Businessand IT Strategy

Only ITDecisions Focus

   S  c  o  p  e

4% Probability 55% Probability

40% Probability1% Probability

By 2020, the majority of organizations will support EAas integral to business & IT strategy.

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Gartner 2014 Prediction:Future of EA 2025

OrchestrateBusiness

Biosphere

InfluenceBusiness

Ecosystem

Optimize

Operations

Maximize

BusinessOutcomes

60% probability35% probability

4% probability1% probability

Inside-out

Outside-out

HighLowChange Impact

   P  e  r  s

  p  e  c   t   i  v  e

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Gartner 2014 Prediction:Future of EA 2025

OrchestrateBusiness

Biosphere

InfluenceBusiness

Ecosystem

Optimize

Operations

Maximize

BusinessOutcomes

60% probability35% probability

4% probability1% probability

Inside-out

Outside-out

HighLowChange Impact

   P  e  r  s

  p  e  c   t   i  v  e

By 2025, enterprise architects will predominantlyfocus on delivering business outcomes from the

 perspectives of their business ecosystem. 

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Gartner 2014 Prediction:Future of EA 2025

OrchestrateBusiness

Biosphere

InfluenceBusiness

Ecosystem

Optimize

Operations

Maximize

BusinessOutcomes

60% probability35% probability

4% probability1% probability

Inside-out

Outside-out

HighLowChange Impact

   P  e  r  s

  p  e  c   t   i  v  e

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Gartner 2014 Prediction:Future of EA 2025

OrchestrateBusiness

Biosphere

InfluenceBusiness

Ecosystem

Optimize

Operations

Maximize

BusinessOutcomes

60% probability35% probability

4% probability1% probability

Inside-out

Outside-out

HighLowChange Impact

   P  e  r  s

  p  e  c   t   i  v  e

 

By 2016, 30% of organizations willestablish a clear role distinction between

foundational and vanguardenterprise architects.

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The Evolution of Enterprise Architecture

Focus Technology Business OutcomesDigital Business

Ecosystem

CapabilitiesReference

architectures, policies &standards

Business architecture,strategy execution

Business Designs,Innovation, Scenario

Planning

EngagementWithin the IT

organization, ‘back

office’ 

Treat business peers ascustomers, focused onhow to execute on their

strategy

Treat businesscolleagues as partners,

engageexternal customers

Business

OutcomesBroad technology

capabilitiesMeasurable, business

strategy and operations

Measurable impactdigital business

innovation

Inside-Out Outside-In Outside-out

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Business Outcome-driven EA FuelsDigital Business Strategy

DigitalDisruptions

BusinessOutcomes

ImpactOpportunities

and Threats

Future StateScenarios

Signature-ready Deliverables

Digital Business Strategy

Set actionable direction forleveraging digital business

to deliver outcomes 

Guides whereand howto invest 

Definessignposts,

indicators ofchange 

Identifiesimplications,

risks, constraintsand touchpoints 

Explores theworld of possible

disruptions 

Guide decisions

and investmentsand drivesexecution 

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Key Issues

1. Perspective — How is EA evolving to respondto the disruptions of digital business?

2. Engagement — What is the future of EAin 2025?

3. Capabilities — What can organizations dotoday to prepare for the future?

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Five Key Capabilities for EA Emerge

Role Capability

Digital Business

Innovation

Providing the future focused business andIT leadership to seek out new opportunitiesand threats

Digital Business

Leadership

Providing the insight, structure and process

to benefit from digital innovation

Digital ExecutionGuides and informs both investmentdecisions, including people, businessprocess, information and technology

Delivering Business

Outcomes

Ensuring strategy and business outcomes

are efficiently achieved

Technology InnovationLeverage developments in technology andservices to innovate the operating model

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Di it l L d hi Ri f E t i

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#GartnerSYM

Digital Leadership: Rise of EnterpriseArchitect as Digital Strategist

Strategist 

Catalyst Visionary 

Di it l B i E ti

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#GartnerSYM

Gap

Digital Business Execution:Develop Your Business Road Map

Deliver Personalized Customer Experience

SupportPersonalizedCampaigns

OnboardCustomers

ContextualizedInteractions

Create andMaintain

Reputation

PersonalizedRisk,

Reputation &Fraud Mgmt.

ManageCustomer

Identify andPreferences

Proactively Detect and Resolve Risk

DetectFraud

ModelNew Fraud

EvaluateRisk

BalanceTransparency

ManageInformation

Security

ManagePrivacyMaxims

Create "Next Payments" R&D

DevelopRisk Models

Develop NewInnovationChannels

CreateSandbox

Create RapidPOC Cycle

CrowdsourceInnovation

DevelopCustomer

as Innovator

By 2017, 20% of purchases over $1000 at retailers and automobile dealers will befunded by competitive instant loans obtained using mobile devices.

Capabilities Gap

Assessment Business People Process Information Technology Priority

Develop Risk Models 3 3 2 2 2 High

Manage CustomerIdentify andPreferences

5 5 5 3 4 Medium

Model New Fraud 5 3 5 5 5 High

Onboard Customer 1 2 2 3 3 Low

* gap assessment high (1) to low (5)

D li i B i O t

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#GartnerSYM

Delivering Business Outcomes:Line of Sight to Digital Business Strategy

Integrate sensors, beacons and devices into ournew line of products to increase our competitive

wins by 5% by end of year 2015.

Leverage use of smart devices in banking tocreate custom products that reduce risk by 10%.

Improve situational awareness by 20% forenvironmental events by incorporatingsmart machines and sensors.

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#GartnerSYM

Recommendations

Invest at least 20% of EA team time in understanding emergingbusiness designs and technologies, with a specific focus onshort-term and long-term strategic value and impact.

• Use the definitions and future state scenario in this note todetermine your organization’s future state for EA.

- Determine what focus for EA will be needed to support your businessin the next ten, five and two years.

- Compare these future states with your current focus for EA.

• Identify and focus the resources and operations EA into twogroups, including:

Vanguard - Fast-paced, leading-edge EA efforts required toexplore digital business opportunities

Foundational - From the more stability and reliably focused EAefforts, required to support ongoing business operations.

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#GartnerSYM

Recommended Gartner Research

Leveraging Enterprise Architecture to Lead theEnterprise Response to Disruptive TechnologiesBrian Burke, Betsy Burton, Mike J. Walker andDavid W. Cearley (G00266770)

Seven Best Practices for Using EnterpriseArchitecture to Power Digital Business Marcus Blosch and Betsy Burton (G00263326)

Cool Vendors in Digital Business, 2014 

Betsy Burton and others (G00262558) Hype Cycle for Enterprise Architecture, 2014 

Betsy Burton and Philip Allega (G00261507) 

For more information, stop by Gartner Research Zone.

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Recommended Gartner Research

Seven Ways to Build Your Business Ecosystemfor Greater Impact on Business and IT Planning Marcus Blosch (G00260466)

Master the Six Essential Elements of a

Digital Strategy Stephen Prentice and Ken McGee (G00247641)

Combine Adaptive Sourcing andEnterprise Architecture to Drive SustainableDigital Transformation 

Marcus Blosch and others (G00260467)

For more information, stop by Gartner Research Zone.