The future perspectives of applications of artificial neural networks for diagnostics, modeling, and control in science and industry (methods, results,

The future perspectives of applications of The future perspectives of applications of artificial neural networks for diagnostics, artificial neural networks for diagnostics,

modeling, and control in science and industry modeling, and control in science and industry (methods, results, demonstrations & hands-(methods, results, demonstrations & hands-

on)on)

Victor S. Abrukov(2008)

e-mail: [email protected]

Chuvash State University, RussiaChuvash State University, Russia

Department of Thermo PhysicsDepartment of Thermo Physics

OutlineOutline

1. Conclusions!? What do we know?2. Introduction to the 3d-Seminar. Ex-1: Marriage and Dissolving of Marriage (Marriage and Dissolving of Marriage (with support with support

of Russian Foundation for Basic Research, grant 07-06-of Russian Foundation for Basic Research, grant 07-06-0027700277))

Ex-2: Tasks that have been solved by BasegroupLabEx-3: Future. Educational SystemsFuture. Educational SystemsEx-4: Future. Terrorism ModelingFuture. Terrorism Modeling3. Conclusions!! R&D Projects

Conclusions!? What do we know?

ANN can solve the inverse and direct problem easy and fast in spite of incompleteness of your data.

ANN can solve problems of modeling, recognition, predictions, and control in science and engineering.

Conclusions!? What you must know!

There are examples of many other ANN applications: condition monitoring, There are examples of many other ANN applications: condition monitoring, fault diagnosis, industrial control, medical and diagnostic systems; image fault diagnosis, industrial control, medical and diagnostic systems; image processing, adaptive filtration and recognition; smart machine and computer processing, adaptive filtration and recognition; smart machine and computer vision, vision, authentification systems, authentification systems, environmental monitoring, power environmental monitoring, power electronics and drives, high voltage systems, electronics and drives, high voltage systems, electronic noses, electronic noses, engine control engine control and vehicle applications, "smart Landers", searching of specific attributes and vehicle applications, "smart Landers", searching of specific attributes and elimination of noise in complex electrical signals, engine control, and elimination of noise in complex electrical signals, engine control, tracking system of a state of equipment, intelligent flight control system, tracking system of a state of equipment, intelligent flight control system, solving of adaptive nonlinear filtering of aircraft movement parameters for solving of adaptive nonlinear filtering of aircraft movement parameters for processing the radar-tracking information at a knot, detection and support of processing the radar-tracking information at a knot, detection and support of movement trajectories, control scheme for industrial hard-coal combustion movement trajectories, control scheme for industrial hard-coal combustion process in a power plant, accurate determination of an unmanned underwater process in a power plant, accurate determination of an unmanned underwater vehicle's hydrodynamic parameters, self-sufficiency (autonomy) of space vehicle's hydrodynamic parameters, self-sufficiency (autonomy) of space vehicle flight in conditions of supernumerary situations, for diagnostics of vehicle flight in conditions of supernumerary situations, for diagnostics of petroleum, for determination of a velocity profile of a fluid flow in cross-petroleum, for determination of a velocity profile of a fluid flow in cross-section of the pipe line with the help of a ultrasonic method, for section of the pipe line with the help of a ultrasonic method, for segmentation of the complex images. segmentation of the complex images.

About smart sensors and MEMS, see, please About smart sensors and MEMS, see, please on on http://www.sensorsportal.com/http://www.sensorsportal.com/

Conclusions!? What you must believe in!

ANN technologies could be ANN technologies could be considered as a powerful tool, which considered as a powerful tool, which supports high contact of experiment, supports high contact of experiment,

theory, computer simulation and theory, computer simulation and calculation.calculation.

Introduction. What we do not know else?

How do ANN work in socio economical How do ANN work in socio economical areas.areas.

The goalThe goal

The goal of the seminar is: The goal of the seminar is: Share an experience Share an experience Discuss recent and future ANN Discuss recent and future ANN

application in socio economic areas application in socio economic areas And of course - Learn how ANN can And of course - Learn how ANN can

be applied to your data (if you have be applied to your data (if you have it) it)

Introduction (main!)

No Life without Neural Networks !

Data Base

You know there are three ways for creation Data Base:

1. Real experiment2. Numeral experiment3. Analytical Solution

Item 2 and 3 may not be used directly because math equations do not reflect a real life, because there are too many variables that reflect a real life.

Data Analysis

What is the best way for analysis of real What is the best way for analysis of real experimental data you know!experimental data you know!

It is Artificial Intelligence (Knowledge It is Artificial Intelligence (Knowledge Discovery Data Base, Data Mining, Discovery Data Base, Data Mining, Artificial Neural Networks)Artificial Neural Networks)

Ex-1: Marriage and Dissolving of Ex-1: Marriage and Dissolving of MarriageMarriage

Ex-1: Marriage and Dissolving of Ex-1: Marriage and Dissolving of MarriageMarriage

Ex-1 Ex-1

Ex-1Ex-1

Ex-1Ex-1

Ex-1Ex-1

Ex-1Ex-1

Ex-2: BasegroupLab Ex-2: BasegroupLab DevelopmentDevelopment

Credit scoring solutions (risk assessment)Credit scoring solutions (risk assessment) Analysis of Moscow real estate market. Analysis of Moscow real estate market.

The goal is to estimate the investment The goal is to estimate the investment attractiveness of the projectsattractiveness of the projects

Ex - 2Ex - 2

Forecasting the Financial Markets Forecasting the Financial Markets Market segmenting methodsMarket segmenting methods Market behavior modeling Market behavior modeling Analysis of the Ryazan city mass-media Analysis of the Ryazan city mass-media

market with the help of Kohonen self-market with the help of Kohonen self-organizing maps organizing maps

Future. Educational SystemFuture. Educational System

Diagnostics of a modern state, analysis, and Diagnostics of a modern state, analysis, and forecasting of dynamics of a system of education forecasting of dynamics of a system of education (on a level of an University, and a level of a region, (on a level of an University, and a level of a region, and of the level of Russia. and of the level of Russia.

From the point of view of ANN, a main condition is From the point of view of ANN, a main condition is a good Data Base. It is a very much difficult task a good Data Base. It is a very much difficult task requiring of usage of the advanced technologies of requiring of usage of the advanced technologies of collecting (Data Warehouse). But even this collecting (Data Warehouse). But even this technology can not ensure the solution of a set of technology can not ensure the solution of a set of problems problems

Future. Ed-System - 1Future. Ed-System - 1

Alongside with the DW, it is necessary to use and Alongside with the DW, it is necessary to use and other ideas. other ideas.

Here, from the point of view of learning of separate Here, from the point of view of learning of separate sub processes in an Ed-System, usage of sub processes in an Ed-System, usage of mathematical models of different mechanical, mathematical models of different mechanical, physical and chemical phenomena is perspective physical and chemical phenomena is perspective

Future. Ed-System - 2Future. Ed-System - 2

For example, an interesting model of self-For example, an interesting model of self-organizing of a system during a transition of slow organizing of a system during a transition of slow combustion to detonation exists in a combustion combustion to detonation exists in a combustion science. science.

This model consists of both positive and negative This model consists of both positive and negative feedback, both a recovering and destruction of a feedback, both a recovering and destruction of a system. It can be utilized for creation of invented system. It can be utilized for creation of invented Data Base for modeling of self-organizing (self-Data Base for modeling of self-organizing (self-recovering and self-destruction) of a system of recovering and self-destruction) of a system of educationeducation

Future. Terrorism ModelingFuture. Terrorism Modeling TTerrorism prevention problems: discovering of dangerous errorism prevention problems: discovering of dangerous

situations, forecasting of them as well as their management are situations, forecasting of them as well as their management are in in the the center of world community attention center of world community attention for all XX century for all XX century and XXI alsoand XXI also

The resolution of the General Assembly of the United Nations The resolution of the General Assembly of the United Nations and the Resolution of Security Council 1368 and 1373 dated and the Resolution of Security Council 1368 and 1373 dated September, 12 and 28, 2001 called all the countries - members September, 12 and 28, 2001 called all the countries - members of the United Nations to cooperation in struggle against the of the United Nations to cooperation in struggle against the international terrorisminternational terrorism

There is the special NATO Science Program [1] dealing with There is the special NATO Science Program [1] dealing with these problems. But we can mark here that many scientific these problems. But we can mark here that many scientific meetings dealing with these problems are focused on particular meetings dealing with these problems are focused on particular concrete problems and strategies rather than general problems concrete problems and strategies rather than general problems and strategies related to terrorismand strategies related to terrorism

Future. Terrorism ModelingFuture. Terrorism Modeling

But we have no solutions till nowBut we have no solutions till now What is the reasons?What is the reasons? May be the methods we have used

before for modeling are insufficient? Terrorism is a complex socio economic system (SES). Terrorism is a complex socio economic phenomenon (SEP)

involving political, religious, socio, economic, cultural as well as others aspects

Therefore a solving of terrorism prevention Therefore a solving of terrorism prevention problems problems demands a development of new methods of data revealing demands a development of new methods of data revealing and collection as well as and collection as well as modelingmodeling of terrorism by means of of terrorism by means of most modern methods most modern methods ((KDD, DMKDD, DM, ANN), ANN) as as well as well as Artificial Intelligence (AI) as a wholeArtificial Intelligence (AI) as a whole

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Among concrete tasks we can mark here as the first the data Among concrete tasks we can mark here as the first the data collection (Data Warehouse) through literature sources collection (Data Warehouse) through literature sources (news articles, Internet materials, technical analyses, expert (news articles, Internet materials, technical analyses, expert experience in particular from a point of a creation of experience in particular from a point of a creation of intended scenarios of terroristic attacks, etc.). intended scenarios of terroristic attacks, etc.).

During that, simultaneously with that, we need to develop During that, simultaneously with that, we need to develop new AI terrorism models, explicate consistent, logical, and new AI terrorism models, explicate consistent, logical, and rigorous relationships between all aspects of terrorism, rigorous relationships between all aspects of terrorism, reveal roots of terrorism, its contemporary trends, create reveal roots of terrorism, its contemporary trends, create models of terrorist organizations, uncover early indicators models of terrorist organizations, uncover early indicators of future terrorist actions, etcof future terrorist actions, etc


The construction of terrorism models is very The construction of terrorism models is very hard work and an enough long way. hard work and an enough long way.

But, unfortunately, as it would think, we But, unfortunately, as it would think, we cannot hope to win the terrorism in a cannot hope to win the terrorism in a nearest future. nearest future.

Therefore, in the long run, real success in the Therefore, in the long run, real success in the war on terror requires building of real war on terror requires building of real working terrorism models.working terrorism models.

Conclusions! R&D Projects - 1

The creation of a global ANN model for The creation of a global ANN model for automatic and fast (in real-time) solution of automatic and fast (in real-time) solution of “Inverse and direct problems of optics” for all “Inverse and direct problems of optics” for all integral optical and non-optical methods of integral optical and non-optical methods of diagnostics, testing, and control by means of diagnostics, testing, and control by means of one-point measurementone-point measurement

Application area is everywhere were optical and Application area is everywhere were optical and non-optical techniques is usingnon-optical techniques is using

Devices will become simpler and fasterDevices will become simpler and faster

R&D Projects - 1We need.We need. To create a `Data Base of input and output values of “Inverse and To create a `Data Base of input and output values of “Inverse and

direct problems of optics” by means of solution of direct task, direct problems of optics” by means of solution of direct task, based on simple numeral calculation of integral equations. That based on simple numeral calculation of integral equations. That have to be done for all possible symmetry of objects. have to be done for all possible symmetry of objects.

After that we will be able to create the global ANN model for After that we will be able to create the global ANN model for automatic and fast (in real-time) diagnostics, testing, and control automatic and fast (in real-time) diagnostics, testing, and control by means of one-point measurement of signal to be registered for by means of one-point measurement of signal to be registered for various optical and non-optical methods. various optical and non-optical methods.

Addition.Addition. In the framework we can solve a task of remote sensing by means In the framework we can solve a task of remote sensing by means

of laser scattering technique (for example for ecological of laser scattering technique (for example for ecological monitoring of environment), because the approach to be used is monitoring of environment), because the approach to be used is the samethe same

R&D Projects - 2

The development of an automatic system The development of an automatic system for features extraction and recognition for features extraction and recognition oscillograms (patterns, waveforms) for oscillograms (patterns, waveforms) for automatic and fast (in real-time) automatic and fast (in real-time) diagnostics, testing, and control of diagnostics, testing, and control of engineering devices, for smart sensors, soft engineering devices, for smart sensors, soft sensors, smart watch by means of ANN sensors, smart watch by means of ANN (Data Mining tools)(Data Mining tools)

R&D Projects - 2

We need.We need. To create a Data Base of a set of input parameters (set of To create a Data Base of a set of input parameters (set of

examples) that correspond to various state of a device to be examples) that correspond to various state of a device to be diagnosed, tested and controlled. That has to be done for an diagnosed, tested and controlled. That has to be done for an every kinds of device during its working. every kinds of device during its working.

After that we will be able to create the ANN model for automatic After that we will be able to create the ANN model for automatic and fast (in real-time) diagnostics, testing, and control by means and fast (in real-time) diagnostics, testing, and control by means of well-known procedures of ANN training. of well-known procedures of ANN training.

After that we will be able to make an ANN based chip to After that we will be able to make an ANN based chip to diagnostics, testing and control. diagnostics, testing and control.

Addition.Addition. In a case of PC-based ANN we will be able to make an ANN In a case of PC-based ANN we will be able to make an ANN

based tool to diagnostics, testing and control that can be adapt based tool to diagnostics, testing and control that can be adapt during life cycle of device.during life cycle of device.

The first results of R&D - 2The first results of R&D - 2

Other R&D ProjectsOther R&D Projects

The NUS as a exclusive Asia The NUS as a exclusive Asia representative of BasegroupLab representative of BasegroupLab

(students, postgraduate students, and (students, postgraduate students, and professionals teaching as well as professionals teaching as well as

promotion) in the areas of science and promotion) in the areas of science and engineering, banking and financial engineering, banking and financial

activity, market and actuary activity, market and actuary


Development of DDT control system for Development of DDT control system for PDE as well as for other devices (engines) PDE as well as for other devices (engines) and areas where special kind of electrical and areas where special kind of electrical

discharges (with a stabilization upon discharges (with a stabilization upon current or voltage) could be usedcurrent or voltage) could be used


There are a very large Data Base of There are a very large Data Base of propellant combustion experimental data (in propellant combustion experimental data (in Russia). There are other Data Base like above Russia). There are other Data Base like above (USA, Japan)(USA, Japan)

But it have no Artificial Intelligence (Data But it have no Artificial Intelligence (Data Fusor, Data Mining, ANN, etc)Fusor, Data Mining, ANN, etc)

If we could do that the price of the Data Base If we could do that the price of the Data Base grows on 2 orders! grows on 2 orders!

The scientific values on 3 orders!The scientific values on 3 orders!


Development of nano size devices Development of nano size devices and coverings based on line-chain and coverings based on line-chain carbon for microelectronic (carbon for microelectronic (Field

Emission Displays, X-ray tubes, Light Emitting Devises, etc) as well as

Medicine

Now your practice?Now your practice?

Do you have own data?Do you have own data?

ConclusionConclusion

Thank you very much for your attention!Thank you very much for your attention!

See you later!See you later!

P.S. Do you like play? Play with your Artificial P.S. Do you like play? Play with your Artificial Neural Networks Life Device. You have no it? Neural Networks Life Device. You have no it?

Create! It help you to live! Have a nice day!Create! It help you to live! Have a nice day!

Documents

The future perspectives of applications of artificial neural networks for diagnostics, modeling, and control in science and industry (methods, results,