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Source: IRENA
The Impact of Power Generation Emissions on Ambient PM2.5 Pollution and Human Health in China and India
Meng Gao ([email protected])
John Evans Yang Liu
1
and many others
Michael B. McElroy
SO2
India
Power Plant Emissions in China and India
China NOx PM2.5
MIX emission inventory 2010
2
Mortality Estimation Equations
𝑹𝑹(𝑪) ={█𝟏+𝜶(𝟏− 𝒆↑−𝜷(𝑪− 𝑪↓𝟎 )↑𝜸 ), &𝑪≥ 𝑪↓𝟎 𝟏, &𝑪< 𝑪↓𝟎
𝑷𝑨𝑭= 𝑹𝑹(𝑪)−𝟏/𝑹𝑹(𝑪)
𝜟𝑴= 𝑷𝐀𝐅 × 𝐁𝐚𝐬𝐞 × 𝐏𝐨𝐩
GPW v4
GBD 2015 1000 pairs of IER (Integrated Exposure
Response model) parameters
Burnett et al., EHP, 2014 Cohen et al., Lancet, 2017
3
Global Health Data Exchange
PAF=Population Attributable Fraction
4
PM2.5 Concentrations
[Annual Mean Surface PM2.5, µg/m3]
(a) (b) All Emissions Included Power Emissions Excluded
Mortality due to Power Plants in China and India
5
Stroke
IHD COPD LC LRI Total
All 366k 388k 345k 150k 82k 1.3m
Power 0.5m
(×1000 deaths)
(×1000 deaths)
Stroke
IHD COPD LC LRI Total
All 123k 191k 301k 18k 170k 0.8m
Power 0.27m
Total Power
6