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Source: IRENA The Impact of Power Generation Emissions on Ambient PM 2.5 Pollution and Human Health in China and India Meng Gao ([email protected]) John Evans Yang Liu 1 and many others Michael B. McElroy

The Impact of Power Generation Emissions on Ambient PM2.5 … · 2018. 8. 4. · e IHD COPD LC LRI Total All 123k 191k 301k 18k 170k 0.8m Power 0.27m Total Power . 6 Leading ... No

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Page 1: The Impact of Power Generation Emissions on Ambient PM2.5 … · 2018. 8. 4. · e IHD COPD LC LRI Total All 123k 191k 301k 18k 170k 0.8m Power 0.27m Total Power . 6 Leading ... No

Source: IRENA

The Impact of Power Generation Emissions on Ambient PM2.5 Pollution and Human Health in China and India

Meng Gao ([email protected])

John Evans Yang Liu

1

and many others

Michael B. McElroy

Page 2: The Impact of Power Generation Emissions on Ambient PM2.5 … · 2018. 8. 4. · e IHD COPD LC LRI Total All 123k 191k 301k 18k 170k 0.8m Power 0.27m Total Power . 6 Leading ... No

SO2

India

Power Plant Emissions in China and India

China NOx PM2.5

MIX emission inventory 2010

2

Page 3: The Impact of Power Generation Emissions on Ambient PM2.5 … · 2018. 8. 4. · e IHD COPD LC LRI Total All 123k 191k 301k 18k 170k 0.8m Power 0.27m Total Power . 6 Leading ... No

Mortality Estimation Equations

𝑹𝑹(𝑪) ={█𝟏+𝜶(𝟏− 𝒆↑−𝜷(𝑪− 𝑪↓𝟎 )↑𝜸  ), &𝑪≥ 𝑪↓𝟎  𝟏, &𝑪< 𝑪↓𝟎   

𝑷𝑨𝑭= 𝑹𝑹(𝑪)−𝟏/𝑹𝑹(𝑪) 

𝜟𝑴= 𝑷𝐀𝐅 × 𝐁𝐚𝐬𝐞 × 𝐏𝐨𝐩

GPW v4

GBD 2015 1000 pairs of IER (Integrated Exposure

Response model) parameters

Burnett et al., EHP, 2014 Cohen et al., Lancet, 2017

3

Global Health Data Exchange

PAF=Population Attributable Fraction

Page 4: The Impact of Power Generation Emissions on Ambient PM2.5 … · 2018. 8. 4. · e IHD COPD LC LRI Total All 123k 191k 301k 18k 170k 0.8m Power 0.27m Total Power . 6 Leading ... No

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PM2.5 Concentrations

[Annual Mean Surface PM2.5, µg/m3]

(a) (b) All Emissions Included Power Emissions Excluded

Page 5: The Impact of Power Generation Emissions on Ambient PM2.5 … · 2018. 8. 4. · e IHD COPD LC LRI Total All 123k 191k 301k 18k 170k 0.8m Power 0.27m Total Power . 6 Leading ... No

Mortality due to Power Plants in China and India

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Stroke

IHD COPD LC LRI Total

All 366k 388k 345k 150k 82k 1.3m

Power 0.5m

(×1000 deaths)

(×1000 deaths)

Stroke

IHD COPD LC LRI Total

All 123k 191k 301k 18k 170k 0.8m

Power 0.27m

Total Power

Page 6: The Impact of Power Generation Emissions on Ambient PM2.5 … · 2018. 8. 4. · e IHD COPD LC LRI Total All 123k 191k 301k 18k 170k 0.8m Power 0.27m Total Power . 6 Leading ... No

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