Upload
others
View
6
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Füsun KUCUKBAY, Enis YAKUT , The Macrotheme Review 7(1), Spring 2018
36
The Macrotheme Review A multidisciplinary journal of global macro trends
An Integrated Methodology For The Financial Improvement Of The
Banks With The Help Of Quality Function Deployment
Füsun KUCUKBAYand Enis YAKUT
Manisa Celal Bayar University, Business Administration Faculty,Economy and Finance Department, Manisa , TURKEY
Abstract
The banks have vital and important roles in the economic system. Their financial
improvements are very essential for the sustainability of all economic system. In this
study we have set out this fact and try to find actions that help the banks to improve their
financial performance. The study has two main aims. Firstly, it is aimed to group the
banks in Turkey into less successful, successful and very successful groups with respect to
their financial performance. Secondly it is also aimed to find the best actions that
improve the financial performance of the banks. By that way the banks in the less
successful and successful groups will pass to upper classes. In this paper, the banks are
grouped with the help of Multimoora Sort technique which is an extension of a well-
known multi moora method. The proposed methodology constructs a road for improving
the financial performance of the banks based on Quality Function Deployment. A
numerical example is also presented to show the applicability of the proposed
methodology.
Keywords: Financial ratios, financial performance, quality function deployment, multimoora sort
1. INTRODUCTION
A financial failure of a bank influences the whole ecosystem negatively. This research is based
on the theoretical framework that “a financial failure which occurs as a result of strategic and
operational bank decisions can be predictable and even be preventable by taking the appropriate
actions; unless the failure happened as a result of global crisis and/or unexpected circumstances”.
The preventability of the financial failure has been investigated in finance literature frequently
and numerous corroborative studies have been conducted. The measures that have to be taken to
prevent the financial failure and the order of these measures, have to be specific to the bank and
also have to be determined according to the level of the financial success of the bank.
Financial failure concept focuses on failure prediction models, comparison of these models and
the success rates of the predictions in general. There are also studies where successful and
unsuccessful companies are compared; the reasons of financial failures are investigated; and the
prediction models are examined in terms of sectorial differences and newly established banks.
Nevertheless, the broad national and international impacts of financial success and failure require
a deeper and extensive investigation of the concept. This research topic is selected because of the
Füsun KUCUKBAY, Enis YAKUT , The Macrotheme Review 7(1), Spring 2018
37
mentioned gap in the literature. This study is different from previous financial failure studies in
terms of identification of the reasons behind the failure and presenting case specific solutions to
the problems which cause failures. Quality Function Deployment method will be used to prepare
a failure prevention map.
When we examine the literature on Quality Function Deployment (QFD), studies are in
marketing field and they mainly focus on product development and customer satisfaction. One of
these studies was conducted by Chan and Wu (2005) and suggests a systematic and functional
approach to QFD process. Components of House of Quality (HOQ) are explained and analyzed in
detail, and a process is presented to establish a house of quality. Also, applicable methods of
gathering and analyzing information from consumers and technical staff are discussed. Karsak, et
al., (2003)’ s product development study, on the other hand, presents an approach which
combines two decision making techniques (Analytic Network Process (ANP) and 0-1 Goal
Programming (ZOGP)) in order to determine the product technical requirements in the product
design process.
There are many product development studies which focus on Fuzzy Logic such as Kwong and
Bai (2002)’s which uses Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process, Khoo and Ho (1996)’ study which
emphasizes that voice of the customer cannot be understood because of its ambiguity and variety;
and another study where researchers developed an integrated fuzzy theoretical approach and
aimed to solve the QFD problems. (Kim, Moskowitz, Dhingra, & Evans, 2000).
Some other studies on quality function deployment concentrated on how to integrate QFD with
some other methods. In their study, Matzler and Hinterhuber (1998) focused on how to integrate
Kano’s customer satisfaction model with QFD; Tan and Shen (2000), combined Kano’s model
with QFD planning matrices, and presented an integrated approach for a deeper and accurate
understanding of “voice of the customer”; Bouchereau ve Rowlands (2000) summarized how to
integrate technics, such as fuzzy logic, artificial neural networks and Taguchi method with QFD,
in order to solve the deficiencies in QFD.
Quality Function Deployment also used in marketing in order to answer the consumer needs. For
example, Trappey, Trappey and Hwang (1996) focused on the retailing sector, and aimed to
develop an appropriate QFD procedure in order to improve the retailing sector in their study; Lu
and Kuei (1995), used QFD in strategic market planning process and aimed to create a system to
ensure customer satisfaction; Morris and Morris (1999) handled the context from marketing
education point of view, and aimed to present an education module which can use QFD process
and House of Quality model, in marketing classes; Griffin and Hauser (1992) examined the
communication differences between two product development groups; Mohr-Jackson (1996)
focused on how to adapt QFD process in marketing field in order to create customer oriented
programs.
Even though there are studies which concentrate on QFD from different perspectives, such as
environmentally friendly designs (Masui, Sakao, Kobayashi, & Inaba, 2003), tourism service
sector (Jeong & Oh, 1998), sports industry (Partovi & Corredoira, 2002); a study with a financial
point of view- especially on financial failure- has not been encountered.
As mentioned above, quality function deployment management has not been explored in the
financial management field. Quality function deployment management establishes a relationship
between the desired outcome and the independent variables which ensure to reach that outcome.
Füsun KUCUKBAY, Enis YAKUT , The Macrotheme Review 7(1), Spring 2018
38
In this study, since the aim is preventing the financial failure; QFD will be used in to examine the
relationship between several financial actions which affect the financial failure, such as investing
into new projects, increasing or decreasing the receivables, making financial planning.
Recommendations for success will be made to the banks by considering the relationship between
financial actions and financial success.
2. METHOD
The suggested method consists of four main stages:
1. Determining the financial success criteria and actions that influence the financial success.
2. Classification of the banks according to the financial success criteria by using multi
criteria decision analysis technique (Multimoora sorting method)
3. Determining he financial actions for preventing financial failure by employing house of
quality:
The steps of the house of quality is shown belw;
a- Determining relationship between financial success criteria and actions that influence
the financial success
b- Determining the relationship among the actions that influence the financial success
c- Determining the required actions in order to move a specific bank to the upper level
success group; and assessing the order of importance of those actions
Füsun KUCUKBAY, Enis YAKUT , The Macrotheme Review 7(1), Spring 2018
39
Flowchart of the suggested integrated method is shown on Figure 1:
Figure 1: The Suggested Integrated Method
Application
In the application part the banks operating in Turkey will be sorted due to their performance.
Bank sorting example is taken from Küçükbay (2016) study.
3. Criteria
The banks are classified according to their financial performance. In the classification 9 financial
ratio are used. These abbreviations of the ratios, their formulas and the preferences of the ratios
are given in table 1.
Füsun KUCUKBAY, Enis YAKUT , The Macrotheme Review 7(1), Spring 2018
40
Table 1: Selected Criteria
Abbreviation Financial Ratio Preference
X1
Net Interest Income After Specific Provisions / Total
Assets Max.
X2 Shareholders' Equity / Total Assets Max.
X3
Shareholders' Equity / (Total Deposits+Non Deposit
Funds) Max.
X4
Loans Under Follow-up (gross) / Total Loans and
Receivable Min.
X5 Liquid Assets / Short-term Liabilities Max.
X6 Permanent Assets / Total Assets Min.
X7 Other Operating Expenses / Total Assets Min.
X8 Total Income/ Total Expenditures Max.
X9 Interest Expenditures / Total Assets Min.
4. Sorting Turkish banks according to their financial performance
The banks are sorted with the help of Mmoora sort method. This method is using the basic steps
of Multimoora. Different from Multimoora the profile limits are used to sort the banks in to most
successful, successful and unsuccessful bank groups. The selected financial ratios for fictive
profile limits can be seen in table 2.
Füsun KUCUKBAY, Enis YAKUT , The Macrotheme Review 7(1), Spring 2018
41
Table 2. Financial Ratios for Fictive Profile Limits
Financial
Ratios
Profile 1
Alternative
Profile 2
Alternative
X1 2,60 3,10
X2 10,50 11,50
X3 13,00 15,00
X4 4,00 3,00
X5 50,00 60,00
X6 3,00 2,00
X7 3,00 2,00
X8 135,00 150,00
X9 4,00 3,00
The banks are grouped according to their financial performance with the help of MMoora sort. In
the table 3 the success group of the banks can be seen. The banks in C3 group is the most
successful group, the banks in C2 group is in the successful group, the banks in C1 group is in the
unsuccessful group.
Füsun KUCUKBAY, Enis YAKUT , The Macrotheme Review 7(1), Spring 2018
42
Table 3. Sorting the Banks According to Their Success Groups
MMOORA
MMOORA
SORT
BANK ID Ranking Sorting
Deutsche Bank A.Ş. a20 1 C3
Arap Türk Bankası A.Ş. a15 2 C3
Bank of Tokyo-
Mitsubishi UFJ Turkey
A.Ş. a16 3 C3
Citibank A.Ş. a18 4 C3
Turkish Bank A.Ş. a9 5 C3
Akbank T.A.Ş. a4 6 C3
Profile 2 a27 7
Türkiye Cumhuriyeti
Ziraat Bankası A.Ş. a1 8 C2
Türkiye Garanti Bankası
A.Ş. a11 9 C2
Turkland Bank A.Ş. a25 10 C2
Türkiye İş Bankası A.Ş. a12 11 C2
Fibabanka A.Ş. a6 12 C2
Yapı ve Kredi Bankası
A.Ş. a13 13 C2
ING Bank A.Ş. a23 14 C2
Tekstil Bankası A.Ş. a8 16 C2
Odea Bank A.Ş. a24 15 C2
Türk Ekonomi Bankası a10 16 C2
Füsun KUCUKBAY, Enis YAKUT , The Macrotheme Review 7(1), Spring 2018
43
A.Ş.
Türkiye Vakıflar
Bankası T.A.O. a3 17 C2
Türkiye Halk Bankası
A.Ş. a2 18 C2
Anadolubank A.Ş. a5 19 C2
Profile 1 a26 20
Burgan Bank A.Ş. a17 21 C1
Denizbank A.Ş. a19 22 C1
Alternatifbank A.Ş. a14 23 C1
Finans Bank A.Ş. a21 24 C1
HSBC Bank A.Ş. a22 26 C1
Şekerbank T.A.Ş. a7 27 C1
In the study we have two aims first aim is to group the banks due to their financial performance
and this aim is realized in table 3 with the help of Multimoora sort. The second aim is
determining the actions to prevent the financial failures. To achieve the second aim the financial
ratios of the banks in group C1 (Şekerbank, HSBC, Finansbank, Alternatifbank, Denizbank and
Burganbank) are evaluated. After the evaluation the most important financial ratios in the failure
of C1 group are determined as Loans Under Follow-up (gross) / Total Loans and Receivable
(X4), Liquid Assets / Short-term Liabilities (X5), Permanent Assets / Total Assets (X6), Other
Operating Expenses / Total Assets (X7) and Net Interest Income After Specific Provisions / Total
Assets (X1).
After determining the financial success criteria and sorting the banks based on their financial
performances, a set of actions that may have possible positive impact on the financial
performance of unsuccessful banks are determined as follows:
Füsun KUCUKBAY, Enis YAKUT , The Macrotheme Review 7(1), Spring 2018
44
No Actions
A1 Increase the investment in current assets
A2 Selling permanent assets
A3 Decrease short term liability
A4 Finding long term funds with low interest rates
A5 Increase the efficiency of workers
A6 Using scoring system in the credit evaluation system
A7 Increasing the customer visits
A8
Perodically updating the financial data of credit
customers
In order to determine the relationship between financial performances and actions that influence
the financial success, a well known QFD matrix, named as House of Quality, is constructed.
Financial ratios of the banks are stated on the left side of the matrix as shown below. For each
financial ratio, the decision maker priorities, using a 1 to 5 rating, are assigned. The priorities are
determined for each bank individually based on the bank’s strong or weak criteria. Then the
relationships between the financial ratios and the actions by using symbols for strong, medium
and weak relationships. We also determine potential positive and negative interactions between
the actions planned using symbols for positive or negative relationships. Eventually, we
calculated the weighted importance ratings by assigning a weighting factor to relationship
symbols 5-3-1, respectively.
The following example shows the house of quality for Sekerbank which is already classified into
the unsuccessful banks category. It should be noted that the QFD matrix suggests actions “Selling
permanent assets”, “Using scoring system in the credit evaluation system”, “Increasing the
customer visits” and “Periodically updating the financial data of credit customers” are selected as
the highest priority. In figure 2 the house of quality for the banks in the unsuccessful can be seen.
Füsun KUCUKBAY, Enis YAKUT , The Macrotheme Review 7(1), Spring 2018
45
Figur 2: House of Quality for the Banks in the Unsuccessful Bank Group
5. Conclusion
The study has two phases according to its aim. In the first phase, the banks is classified according
to the determined measures with the help of multi criteria decision making method called as
Multimoora sort. Each bank determines its relative position in the group.
In the second part of the study, a prevention map is tried to be prepared which helps to prevent
the failures of unsuccessful banks. In the preparation phase of the prevention map, quality
function deployment method is used. The relationship between the financial ratios and the
financial action that affect the financial ratios are analyzed with the help of quality function
deployment. With the consideration of this relation, the prevention map helps to decide which
financial action will be taken for making the banks to pass the upper class.
Relations
● Weak Relation
○ Medium Relation
▲ Strong Relation
Interactions
8 Positive
Negative
Relative Importance (%)
Direction of Improvement
Financial Ratios
Importance
13 139 13
55 55
10 21 10 11
44 87 43 45 39 55
○ ● ●
○ ○
X9:Interest Expenditures / Total Assets 4 ●
● ○
● ●
X6:Permanent Assets / Total Assets 5 ○ ▲
▲ ▲ ● ●
▲ ▲
X5:Liquid Assets / Short-term Liabilities 5 ▲ ▲
● ● ▲
● ●
X4:Loans Under Follow-up (gross) / Total Loans and Receivable 4 ●
● ●
● ●
X3:Shareholders' Equity / (Total Deposits+Non Deposit Funds) 2 ○
● ●
Pero
dic
ally
updatin
g the fin
ancia
l data
of cre
dit
custo
mers
X2:Shareholders' Equity / Total Assets 2 ○
○ ▲ ●
Incre
asin
g the c
usto
mer
vis
its
X1:Net Interest Income After Specific Provisions / Total Assets 2
Rela
tive I
mp
ort
an
ce o
r W
eig
ht
Incre
ase the in
vestm
ent in
curr
ent assets
Selli
ng p
erm
anent assets
Decre
ase s
hort
term
liabili
ty
Fin
din
g lo
ng term
funds w
ith lo
w in
tere
st ra
tes
Incre
ase the e
ffic
iency o
f w
ork
ers
Usin
g s
coring s
yste
m in
the c
redit
evalu
atio
n s
yste
m
8 8
8 8
8
A
cti
on
s
8 8 8
X8:Total Income/ Total Expenditures 2 ○ ●
▲ ○ ○ ○
● ● ●
X7:Other Operating Expenses / Total Assets 3 ▲
Füsun KUCUKBAY, Enis YAKUT , The Macrotheme Review 7(1), Spring 2018
46
This study makes contribution to the field of the prevention of financial failures and helps the
banks to pass to upper success class. As a failure of a bank affects whole economic system
negatively, it is thought that this study will have positive effects on the whole economy. Beside
of this benefit the study will contribute to literature by examining the prevention of financial
failure which is not studied before. Research institutions, universities and banks will be able to
use of the study’s findings.
References
Akgüç, Ö. 1994. Finansal Yönetim (6. basım). İstanbul: Avcıol Basım-Yayım.
Aktaş, R., Doğanay, M., & Yıldız, B. 2003. ''Mali Başarısızlığın Öngörülmesi: İstatiksel
Yöntemler ve Yapay Sinir Ağı Karşılaştırması'', Ankara Üniversitesi SBF Dergisi, 58(4), 1-24.
Almamy, J., Aston, J., & Ngwa, L. N. 2016. ''An evaluation of Altman's Z-score using cash flow
ratio to predict corporate failure amid the recent financial crisis: Evidence from the UK'', Journal
of Corporate Finance, 36, 278-285.
Altaş, D., & Giray, S. 2005. ''Mali başarısızlığın çok değişkenli istatistiksel yöntemlerle
belirlenmesi: Tekstil sektörü örneği'', Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi(2), 13-28.
Altman, E. I. 1968. ''Financial Ratios, Discriminant Analysis and The Prediction of Corporate
Bankruptcy'', The Journal of Finance, 23(4), 589-609.
Altman, E. I., & Hotchkiss, E. 2006. ''Corporate Financial Distress and Bankruptcy: Predict and
Avoid Bankruptcy, Analyze and Invest in Distressed Debt'' (3. basım). Hoboken, New Jersey:
John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
Altman, E. I., Zhang, L., & Yen, J. 2007. ''Corporate Financial Distress Diagnosis in China'', New
York University Salomon Center, Working Paper , 1-30.
Beaver, W. H. 1966. ''Financial Ratios As Predictors of Failure'', Journal of Accounting Research,
4, 71-111.
Beaver, W. H. 1968. ''Market Prices, Financial Ratios, and the Prediction of Failure'', Journal of
Acounting Research, 6(2), 179-192.
Bouchereau, V., & Rowlands, H. 2000. ''Methods and techniques to help quality function
deployment (QFD)'', Benchmarking: An International Journal, 7(1), 8-20.
Chan, L.-K., & Wu, M.-L. 2002. ''Quality Function Deployment: A Literature Review'', European
Journal of Operational Research, 143(3), 463-497.
Chan, L.-K., & Wu, M.-L. 2005. ''A systematic approach to quality function deployment with a
full illustrative example'', Omega, 33(2), 119-139.
Edmister, R. O. 1972. ''An Empirical Test of Financial Ratio Analysis for Small Business Failure
Prediction'', The Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 7(2), 1477-1493.
Elmas, B., Yakut, E., & Alkan, Ö. 2011. ''İşletmelerin Mali Başarısızlığının Yapay Sinir Ağları ve
Lojistik Regresyon Modeli ile Tahmin Edilmesi'', Finans Politik & Ekonomik Yorumlar, 48(560),
45-55.
Garcia-Gallego, A., & Mures-Quintana, M.-J. 2012. ''Business Failure Prediction Models: Finding
the Connection between Their Results and The Sampling Method'', Economic Computation &
Economic Cybernetics Studies & Research, 46(3), 157-168.
Füsun KUCUKBAY, Enis YAKUT , The Macrotheme Review 7(1), Spring 2018
47
Griffin, A., & Hauser, J. R. (1992). Patterns of communication among marketing, engineering and
manufacturing—A comparison between two new product teams. Management science, 38(3),
360-373.
Gutman, A. 2014. ''Failing Economy, Failing Health'', Harvard Public Health(Spring), 15-25.
Huang, C., Dai, C., & Guo, M. 2015. ''A hybrid approach using two-level DEA for financial
failure prediction and integrated SE-DEA and GCA for indicators selection. Applied Mathematics
and Computation'', 251(15), 431-441.
İçerli, M. Y., & Akkaya, G. C. 2006. ''Finansal Açıdan Başarılı Olan İşletmelerle Başarısız Olan
İşletmeler Arasında Finansal Oranlar Yarıdmıyla Farklılıkların Tespiti'', Atatürk Üniversitesi
İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 20(1), 413-421.
Jeong, M., & Oh, H. 1998. ''Quality function deployment: An extended framework for service
quality and customer satisfaction in the hospitality industry. International Journal of Hospitality
Management'', 17(4), 375-390.
Karacan, S., & Savcı, M. 2011. ''Kriz Dönemlerinde işletmelerin Mali Başarısızlık Nedenleri'',
Kocaeli Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 21(1), 39-54.
Karsak, E. E., Sozer, S., & Alptekin, S. E. 2003. ''Product planning in quality function deployment
using a combined analytic network process and goal programming approach'', Computers &
Industrial Engineering, 44(1), 171-190.
Khoo, L. P., & Ho, N. C. 1996. ''Framework of a Fuzzy Quality Function Deployment System'',
International Journal of Production Research, 34(2), 299-311.
Kim, K.-J., Moskowitz, H., Dhingra, A., & Evans, G. 2000. ''Fuzzy Multicriteria Models for
Quality Function Deployment'', European Journal of Operational Research, 121(3), 504-518.
Kurtaran Çelik, M. 2010. ''Bankaların Finansal Başarısızlıklarının Geleneksel ve Yeni
Yöntemlerle Öngörüsü'', Yönetim ve Ekonomi, 17(2), 129-143.
Küçükbay Füsun (2016). Finansal Sınıflandırma Problemleri İçin Yeni Bir Yöntem:
MULTIMOORA Class”. 20. Finans Sempozyumu, (Yayın No:2862694)
Kwong, C. K., & Bai, H. 2002. ''A fuzzy AHP approach to the determination of importance
weights of customer requirements in quality function deployment'', Journal of Intelligent
Manufacturing, 13(5), 367-377.
Laitinen, E., & Lukason, O. 2014. ''Do firm failure processes differ across countries: evidence
from Finland and Estonia'', Journal of Business Economics and Management, 15(5), 810-832.
Lu, M. H., & Kuei, C.-H. 1995. ''Strategic marketing planning: a quality function deployment
approach'', International Journal of Quality & Reliability Management, 12(6), 85-96.
Masui, K., Sakao, T., Kobayashi, M., & Inaba, A. 2003. ''Applying quality function deployment to
environmentally conscious design'', International Journal of Quality & Reliability Management,
20(1), 90-106.
Matzler, K., & Hinterhuber, H. H. 1998. ''How to make product development projects more
successful by integrating Kano’s model of customer satisfaction into quality function
deployment''. Technovation, 18(1), 25-38.
Mohr-Jackson, I. 1996. ''Quality function deployment: A valuable marketing tool'', Journal of
Marketing Theory and Practice, 4(3), 60-67.
Füsun KUCUKBAY, Enis YAKUT , The Macrotheme Review 7(1), Spring 2018
48
Morris, L. J., & Morris, J. S. 1999. ''Introducing Quality Function Deployment in the Marketing
Classroom'', Journal of Marketing Education, 21(2), 131-137.
Ohlson, J. A. 1980. ''Financial Ratios and the Probabilistic Prediction of Bankruptcy'', Journal of
Accounting Research, 18(1), 109-131.
Partovi, F. Y., & Corredoira, R. A. 2002. ''Quality function deployment for the good of soccer'',
European journal of operational research, 137(3), 642-656.
Tan, K. C., & Shen, X. X. 2000. ''Integrating Kano’s model in the planning matrix of quality
function deployment'', Total Quality Management, 11(8), 1141-1151.
Trappey, C. V., Trappey, A. J., & Hwang, S.-J. 1996. ''A computerized quality function
deployment approach for retail services'', Computers & Industrial Engineering, 30(4), 611-622.
Uzun, E. 2005. ''İşletmelerde Finansal Başarısızlığın Teorik Olarak İrdelenmesi'', MUFAD
Muhasebe ve Finansman Dergisi(27), 158-168.
Vatansever, K., & Aydın, S. 2014. ''Finansal Başarısızlığın Öngörülmesinde Çok Kriterli Karar
Verme Analizine Dayalı Bir Araştırma'', Dumlupınar Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi(41),
163-176.
Wetter, E., & Wennberg, K. 2009. ''Improving Business Failure Prediction for New Firms:
Benchmarking Financial Models with Human and Social Capital'', The Journal of Private Equity,
Spring, 30-37.
Zmijevski, M. E. 1984. ''Methodological Issues Related to the Estimation of Financial Distress
Prediction Models'', Journal of Accounting Research, 22, 59-82.