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www.pepperjam.com
The Pepperjam A�iliate Marketing Sales Index
Updated through May 9, 2020
Vertical Status for Week Ending in 5/9
Surging+499% YoY Gifts & Flowers
+352% YoY Food & Drink+114% YoY Sports & Fitness+100% YoY Health & Beauty
Significantly increasing+69% YoY Home & Garden
+65% YoY Accessories & Jewelry
+59% YoY Clothing & Apparel
+50% YoY Art, Photo & Music
Decreasing-14% YoY Computers & Electronics
Significantly decreasing-85% YoY Travel
02The PAMSI data is not intended as a proxy for overall affiliate marketing activity, e-commerce activity overall, or the performance of any individual business, including Pepperjam.
In developing the Pepperjam A�iliate Marketing Sales Index we measured the gross merchandise sales directly attributable to a�iliate marketing promotions for the period beginning March 1st through May 9th and compared them against the a�iliate gross merchandise sales for the same period in 2019.
We analyzed performance in 10 retail categories comprised of ~700 retail brands as tracked in the Pepperjam Ascend™ A�iliate Cloud Platform. Additionally, commission trends, publisher activity and customer behavior were also examined.
Introduction
Gross Revenue YoY Growth
Weekly Revenue TrendsYTD revenue momentum continued into May.
YoY revenue growth experienced its highest point in week ending 5/9.
Gifts & Flowers observed the largest YoY increase across verticals, indicating a greater number of Mother’s Day purchases were made online this year versus last year. (see page 8)
**In this version of the PAMSI and future versions hereafter, gross revenue data will be used, and will be independent of return data, to reflect true demand
30%
40%
50%
60%
20%
70%
10%
0%
3.142.15 2.22 2.29 3.7 3.21 4.43.28 4.11 4.18
25%
10%12%
8%
4%
16%
24%
36%
53%
76%
4.25
74%
5.2
72%
5.9
79%
03
Clicks YoY AOV YoY Conversion Rate YoY
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
40%
20%
0%
-20%
YoY
Gro
wth
Rat
e
18%
1%4%
2.15
12%
2%
-4%
2.22
12%
-3%
10%
-8%
7%
-14%
7%
-25%
28%
-21%
19%
-15%-11%
2.29
7%
3.7
14%
3.14
44%
3.21
22%
3.28
33%
4.4
45%
29%
-15%
61%
4.11 4.18
34%
-21%
65%
4.25
98%
-18%
7%
5.2
140%
-17%
-10%
5.9
4%
19%
Drivers of Weekly Revenue GrowthIn week ending 5/9, YoY clicks decreased, but conversion rates experienced highest YoY growth YTD, primarily due to conversion drops
for the same time period in 2019. AOV continued its downward YoY trend for week ending 5/9.
04
Variable Commission YoYTotal Commission YoY
Weekly Commission Trends
30%
YoY
Gro
wth
Rat
e
40%
50%
60%
70%
10%
20%
0%
-10%
72%
18%
27%
15%
2.292.15 2.22 3.7 3.14 3.21
18%
12%
27%
15%14%
-5%
5%
31%
21%23%
3.28 4.4
62%
37%
4.11
48%
59%
4.18
64%
69%
4.25
68%
31%
5.2
55%59%
5.9
65%
3%
•
•
•
•
Commissions paid to publishers are comprised of two types: 1. “Variable Commission” is defined as a percentage of revenue or conversion2. “Bonus Commission” is defined as a flat amount typically associated with paid placements or media buys
“Total Commission” is defined as the total of “Variable commission” plus “Bonus commission”
In week ending 5/9, we observed a 65% increase YoY in “Variable Commission” and 59% increase in “Total Commission”.
These continued upward trends suggest greater brand investment and favor into the affiliate channel's pay for performance model.
We’ve provided views with and without bonuses to illustrate that spend is strong even without bonuses.
05
06Variable commission rate 2020Variable commission rate YoY
Weekly Variable Commission Rates Trends“Variable Commission” rate growth continued to decrease YoY into week ending 5/9.
This data suggests that while brands continue to invest in affiliate marketing, they are more cautious with the variable rate paid to publishers.
6%
5%
7%
4%Pu
blis
her V
aria
ble
Com
mis
sion
Rat
e
YoY
Gro
wth
Rat
e
3%
2%
1%
0%
20%
15%
25%
10%
5%
0%
-5%
-10%4.113.72.15 4.18 4.25 5.2 5.92.22 2.29 3.14 3.283.21 4.4
Variable commission rate 2019
07
30%
25%
20%
35%
15%
5%
10%
0%3.72.15 2.22 2.29 3.14 3.283.21 4.4 4.11 4.18 4.25 5.2 5.9
% M
obile
Rev
enue
YoY
20%
15%
25%
30%
35%
10%
5%
0%
% M
obile
Rev
enue
in 2
020
% Mobile Revenue 2020% Mobile Revenue YoY
Weekly Mobile Revenue ShareIn week ending 5/9, 35% of revenue was attributed to a mobile device, as consumers continue to spend greater time on their personal devices.
The % of mobile revenue held steady at 31% YoY growth.
400%
500%
300%
200%
100%
0%
-100%
Accessories & Jewelry
Art, Photo & Music
Clothing & Apparel
Computer & Electronics
Food & Drinks Gifts & Flowers Health & Beauty Home & Garden Sports & Fitness Travel
Mother’s Day spike
Revenue Growth by Advertiser Vertical
4.254.18 5.2 5.94.1108
30%
40%
20%
50%
10%
0%3.72.15 2.22 2.29 3.14 3.283.21 4.4 4.11 4.18 4.25 5.2 5.9
51%
% New Customer 2020% New Customer YoY
Weekly New Customer Revenue ShareNew customer revenue share has exceeded 50% for 5 consecutive weeks indicating a sustained increase over 2020 YTD trend in new to file
transactions attributable to the affiliate channel. Revenue from New Customers for content publishers (see page 10).
09
10LoyaltyCoupon/Value Propositions OtherContent
40%
30%
50%
60%
20%
10%
0%4.42.15 2.22 2.29 3.7 3.14 3.21 3.28 4.11 4.254.18 5.2 5.9
% o
f Rev
enue
from
New
Cus
tom
ers
in 2
020
64%
New Customer Revenue by Publisher CategoryShare of revenue from new customers acquired from content publishers was 64% for week ending 5/9.
This constitutes a 39% increase over the same period prior year.
For customers acquired via coupon publishers, the % of revenue from new customers remained unchanged at 51%; while loyalty publishers increased WoW to 39%.
Content Publisher Share of Variable Commission
Content Publisher YoY Revenue and Commission Trends
Content Publisher Revenue YoY Growth Rate
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
YoY
Gro
wth
Rat
e by
Fis
cal W
eek
and
Vert
ical
93%
104%101%
53%
2.15
40%
2.22
38%
2.29
30%
3.7
35%
3.14
64%
3.21
31%
3.28 4.4 4.11 4.18
119%
4.25
98%
5.2
107%
5.9 2.15 2.22 2.29 3.7 3.14 3.21 3.28 4.4 4.11 4.18 4.25 5.2 5.90%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Con
tent
Pub
lishe
r Sha
re o
f Var
iabl
e C
omm
issi
on
Con
tent
Pub
lishe
r Sha
re o
f YoY
Var
iabl
e C
omm
issi
on G
row
th
2019YoY 2020
Content publishers continue to offset losses from Amazon Associates commission cuts by working directly with brands whose affiliate programs offer competitive commission rates, as evidenced by increased Ascend™ application volume (see page 12). This is an opportunity for brands to diversify their publisher mix, and reach new customers through discovery-oriented publisher destinations.
The last 6 weeks have shown extremely high revenue growth YoY for content partners.
This growth is primarily at the expense of loyalty partners. Content partner Share of Spend was 36% in week ending 5/9, a 60% YoY increase over the same period in 2019.
•
•
•
11
20%
40%
60%
80%
-20%
-40%
0%
3.142.8 2.15 2.22 2.29 3.7 3.21 4.43.28 4.11 4.18
17%
1.11 1.18 1.25 2.1
14%
23%27%
8%
-31%-27%
9%
50%
88%
4.25
89%
5.2
92%
5.9
82%
7%6%8%
3% 5%
Part
ner A
pplic
atio
n G
row
th Y
oYPublisher Application Growth YoY
12
In Q1, average growth rates YoY in Ascend™ publisher partner applications were ~13%. Beginning in week ending 3/21 applications volume declined. However, once the Amazon Associate program commission rate cuts were announced on 4/14, Ascend™ YoY application growth accelerated,
suggesting publisher partners were in search of alternate revenue streams. Pepperjam’s Ascend platform enables brands to quickly identify publishers that have utilized Amazon Associates as a monetization source, and easily recruit them into their program at a competitive rate.
13Content Coupon Loyalty Other Social Media
% of Approved Publisher Sign Ups by TypeYTD publisher applications have largely been from content partners.
However, in recent weeks, we have observed an increase in publishers classified as ‘Social media’, suggesting that more influencers are turning to affiliate marketing to monetize their content.
60%
50%
100%
90%
80%
70%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
1.11 1.11 1.29 2.1 2.8 2.15 2.22 2.29 3.7 3.14 3.21 3.28 4.4 4.11 4.18 4.25 5.2 5.9
14
Average Publisher Connections per AdvertiserConnection” is defined as an active relationship between an advertiser and a publisher partner.
In the month of April, we’ve observed a 51% increase YoY in the average number of connections per advertiser, suggesting advertisers are seeking to create new relationships in the affiliate channel.
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%January AprilFebruary March
500
400
300
200
100
0%
Aver
age
Part
ner C
onne
ctio
ns p
er A
dver
tiser
YoY
Gro
wth
Average Connections 2020Average Connections YoY Average Connections 2019
15
Average Revenue Generating Connections per AdvertiserNot only did we see an increase in the number of relationships established between advertisers and publishers; but we also observed a 36% increase in the number of advertiser-publisher connections that are generating revenue.
This suggests that a mutual interest from both advertisers and publishers to speed activation and time to revenue within the affiliate channel.
January AprilFebruary March
25%
30%
35%
40%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
YoY
Gro
wth
Revenue Generating Connections 2020Revenue Generating Connections YoY Revenue Generating Connections 2019
Insights by vertical.
+52%
+44%
+36%
+36%
+59%
4/4:
4/11:
4/18:
4/25:
5/2:
Clothing & Apparel
+16%
+27%
+11%
+7%
-14%
Computer & Electronics
+11%
+80%
+97%
+85%
+65%
4/4:
4/11:
4/18:
4/25:
5/2:
Accessories & Jewelry
+3%
+12%
+23%
+46%
+50%
Art, Photo & Music
Weekly Revenue YoY Trends by Vertical
4/11:
4/18:
4/25:
5/2:
5/9:
4/11:
4/18:
4/25:
5/2:
5/9:
17
+67%
+197%
+141%
+204%
+100%
Health & Beauty
+78%
+95%
+66%
+62%
+69%
Home & Garden
+406%
+451%
+343%
+346%
+352%
Food & Drinks
+200%
+110%
+285%
+258%
+499%
Gifts & Flowers
Weekly Revenue YoY Trends by Vertical
4/11:
4/18:
4/25:
5/2:
5/9:
4/11:
4/18:
4/25:
5/2:
5/9:
4/11:
4/18:
4/25:
5/2:
5/9:
4/11:
4/18:
4/25:
5/2:
5/9:
18
+95%
+157%
+307%
+186%
+114%
Sports & Fitness
-91%
-91%
-88%
-85%
-85%
Travel
Weekly Revenue YoY Trends by Vertical
4/11:
4/18:
4/25:
5/2:
5/9:
4/11:
4/18:
4/25:
5/2:
5/9:
19
Interested in learning more with a Pepperjam expert? Contact us at [email protected]
pepperjam.com