48
The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

  • Upload
    jock

  • View
    36

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

DESCRIPTION

The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is). Selwyn’s career goal #__: What does the asthenosphere have to do with earthquakes, crustal motions, and mantle convection?. Upper crust. Upper crust. Lower crust. Lower crust. Upper mantle. Upper mantle. Figures courtesy of Liz Hearn. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Citation preview

Page 1: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

Page 2: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)
Page 3: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

Selwyn’s career goal #__: What does the asthenosphere have to do with earthquakes, crustal

motions, and mantle convection?

Page 4: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

Upper crust

Lower crust

Upper mantle

Upper crust

Lower crust

Upper mantle

Figures courtesy of Liz Hearn

Page 5: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

Figures courtesy of Liz Hearn

Page 6: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

crust

mantle (asthenosphere)

Page 7: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

crust

mantle (asthenosphere)

Page 8: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

crust

mantle (asthenosphere)

Page 9: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

crust

mantle (asthenosphere)

Page 10: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

crust

mantle (asthenosphere)

Page 11: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

Time (years)

Elastic crust

Viscoelastic asthenosphere

Viscoelastic upper mantle

Steve Cohen

Cohen (1992)

Far field

Near field

Horizontal Stress

Page 12: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

“Physics says that the lower crust and upper mantle have to relax the coseismic stresses imparted by an earthquake”

Page 13: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

“A significant correlation is found, in both space and time, between the intraplate (land) and interplate (sea, thrust zone only) earthquakes in Tohoku, NE Japan that has persisted since the times of reliably reported events in AD 1600. The correlation peaks at a land-lead of about 36 yr...”

Earthquake-pattern inference of rheology

Rydelek and Sacks (1990)

Paul Rydelek

Page 14: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

Rydelek and Sacks (1990)

7.5-7.9

7.5-7.9

6.5-6.9

6.5-6.9

Magnitude

7.0-7.4

7.0-7.4

Page 15: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

Rydelek and Sacks (1990)

Page 16: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

Post-earthquake mantle relaxation(1896 Riku-U eq.)

Rydelek and Sacks (1990)

Page 17: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

Paradigm shift in Earth’s continental tectonics, from

Time-independent crustal deformation, punctuated only by crustal earthquakes and associated localized brittle/plastic deformation, to…

Time-dependent crustal deformation,involving deep-seated, ductile flow and associated broadscale deformation

Page 18: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

Pollitz, F. F., and I. S. Sacks, Modeling of postseismic relaxation following the Great 1857 Earthquake, southern California, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 82, 454-480, 1992.

Pollitz, F. F., and I. S. Sacks, Fault model of the 1891 Nobi earthquake from historictriangulation and leveling, J. Phys. Earth, 42, 1-43, 1994.

Pollitz, F. F., and I. S. Sacks, Consequences of stress changes following the 1891 Nobi earthquake, Japan, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 85, 796-807, 1995.

Pollitz, F. F., and I. S. Sacks, Viscosity structure beneath northeast Iceland, J. Geophys. Res, 101, 17,771-17,793, 1996.

Pollitz, F. F., and I. S. Sacks, The 1995 Kobe, Japan earthquake: A long-delayed aftershock of the offshore 1944 Tonankai and 1946 Nankaido earthquakes, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 87, 1- 10, 1997.

Pollitz, F. F., and I. S. Sacks, Stress triggering of the 1999 Hector Mine earthquake by transient deformation following the 1992 Landers earthquake, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 92, 1487-1496, 2002.

Page 19: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)
Page 20: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)
Page 21: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

“Asthenosphere relaxation must lead to long-range transfer of crustalstress from one fault to another”

Page 22: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)
Page 23: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

M6.8 Kobe earthquake

Page 24: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)
Page 25: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

Reducedfriction 1995earthquaketriggering

Page 26: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

1944/1646 to 1995 postseismic stress change bars

Page 27: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

Pollitz and Sacks (1997) Heinze and Sacks (1979)

Page 28: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

Geodetic inference of rheology

Page 29: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

1999 M7.1Hector Mine earthquake

Page 30: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

Freed and Burgmann (2004)

Post-earthquake (M7.1 1999 Hector Mine eq.)

Andy Freed(Purdue Univ.)

Page 31: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

Post-earthquake (M7.5 1959 Hebgen Lake, Idaho, earthquake)

Nishimura and Thatcher (2003)

Page 32: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

Post-lake-filling(1935: Lake Mead, Nevada)

Kaufmann and Amelung (2000)

200 mm subsidencefrom 1935-1950

Page 33: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

Gourmelen and Amelung (2005)

Post-earthquake(1915-1954; Central Nevada Seismic Zone)

Page 34: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

Post-earthquake(1915-1954; Central Nevada Seismic Zone)

Elastic thickness (km) Lower crust viscosity (Pa s)Und

erly

ing

laye

r visc

osity

(Pa

s)

Gourmelen and Amelung (2005)

Page 35: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

Geologic inference of rheology

Page 36: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

Figures courtesy of Bruce Bills

Page 37: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

Post-lacustrine unloading (Paleolake Lahontan, Nevada)

Page 38: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

Post-lacustrine unloading (Paleolake Lahontan, Nevada)

2m

4m

Adams et al. (1999),Bills et al. (2007)

Up to 15m upliftsince 15 kyrBP

Page 39: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

Bills et al. (2007)

Post-lacustrine unloading (Paleolake Lahontan, Nevada)

High-viscosity crust

Low-viscosity mantle

Page 40: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

Bills et al. (1994)

Post-lacustrine unloading (Paleolake Bonneville, Utah)

Page 41: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

James et al. (2000)

Post-glacial rebound

Page 42: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

Modified from Dixon et al. (2004)

Jacqueline Dixon Tim Dixon

Page 43: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

Goes and van der Lee (2002)

Page 44: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

Paradigm shift in Earth’s continental tectonics, from

Time-independent crustal deformation, punctuated only by crustal earthquakes and associated localized brittle/plastic deformation, to…

Time-dependent crustal deformation,involving deep-seated, ductile flow and associated broadscale deformation

Page 45: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

“Rheology of the Lower Crust and Upper Mantle: Evidence from Rock Mechanics, Geodesy and Field Observations”, Annu. Rev. Earth

Planet. Sci. (2008)

Roland BurgmannGeorg Dresen

Page 46: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

American Geophysical Union 2010 Fall Meeting

Linking Geodetic Observations to Mechanical Properties of the Lithosphere: New Methods and Models I, II

Wayne Thatcher Liz Hearn Eric Hetland Sylvain Barbot Yuri Fialko

Page 47: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)

SCEC Workshop on Ductile Rheology of the Southern California Lithosphere (May 1-2, 2013)

Wayne Thatcher Liz Hearn Greg Hirth

Page 48: The power of intuition (Selwyn’s that is)