8
The Prognostic Value of CD38 Expression and its Quantification in B Cell Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia (B-CLL) TRYFONIA MAINOU-FOWLER*, HELEN M. DIGNUM, STEPHEN J. PROCTOR and GEOFFREY P. SUMMERFIELD Haematological Sciences, School of Clinical and Laboratory Sciences, The Medical School, Leech Building, Framlington Place, Newcastle upon Tyne NE2 4HH, UK (Received 11 September 2003) A large number of prognostic factors are available to help predict the outcome of patients who present with B-cell chronic lymphocytic leukemia (B-CLL). These include clinical stage, leukemic cell morphology, lymphocyte doubling time, the pattern of infiltration in bone marrow trephine biopsies, cytogenetic abnormalities, p53 function and serum factors such as beta-2 microglobulin. Two recently described major prognostic factors are immunoglobulin heavy chain variable region (IgVH) mutation status and cell membrane expression of CD38. These are both highly significant independent prognostic factors, but are not closely correlated. Whereas IgVH mutational status is a time consuming and demanding technique, only available in a limited number of centres, CD38 expression by flow cytometry is relatively simple and rapidly obtained in most diagnostic laboratories. The predictive value of CD38 expression is enhanced by measurement of antigen density in terms of antibody binding capacity (ABC) rather than as the percentage of cells expressing the antigen. ABC correlates closely with relative median fluorescence (RMF), a parameter which is even more simply and cheaply obtained by flow cytometry. One of these methods of determining CD38 expression should be employed routinely. Recent work suggests that membrane ZAP-70 expression determined by flow cytometry will prove to be an accurate proxy for IgVH mutational status and this assay will be within the reach of any laboratory skilled in flow cytometry. The combination of ZAP-70 expression, CD38 antigen density, p53 function and the concentration of serum factors such as soluble CD23, is likely to provide extremely accurate prognostic information in future studies. This will assist in identifying Stage A patients who may benfit from early and/or more intensive treatment, as well as Stage B and C patients who may require alternative treatment strategies at the outset. Keywords: Chronic lymphocytic leukemia; CD38 quantification INTRODUCTION B-cell chronic lymphocytic leukemia (B-CLL) is the commonest leukemia in the developed world, accounting for about 40% of all leukemias [1]. It is a malignant B-cell proliferation with a wide clinical spectrum of disease, course and prognosis. The disease is characterized by the clonal accumulation in the peripheral blood and bone marrow of small, mature-looking CD5 + B-lymphocytes with a distinct immunophenotype [2,3]. Originally, B- CLL was considered to be a disease of antigen- inexperienced (pre- germinal center) or naı¨ve B-lympho- cytes. Sequence analysis of the immunoglobulin (Ig) variable heavy (VH) region genes of leukemic cells from patients with B-CLL showed that these cells bear the germline configuration [4,5]. However, recent data suggest that in some B-CLL cases the B-cells may arise from post-germinal centre, memory B-cells. Sequence analysis of VH and light chain variable regions of the Ig genes showed that 57% of IgG + CD5 + [6] and about 50% of IgM + cases [7] possess somatic mutations. These findings indicate that depending on the mutational status of the Ig VH genes, patients with B-CLL can be divided into two groups; those with unmutated (pre-germinal center) and those with mutated genes (post-germinal center). *Corresponding author. Tel.: + 44 (0)191 282 0641/282 0451. Fax: + 44 (0)191 222 5524. E-mail: [email protected] Leukemia & Lymphoma, March 2004 Vol. 45 (3), pp. 455–462 ISSN 1042-8194 print/ISSN 1029-2403 online # 2004 Taylor & Francis Ltd DOI: 10.1080/1042819032000141275 Leuk Lymphoma Downloaded from informahealthcare.com by University of Ulster at Jordanstown on 11/13/14 For personal use only.

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Page 1: The Prognostic Value of CD38 Expression and its Quantification in B Cell Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia (B-CLL)

The Prognostic Value of CD38 Expression and

its Quantification in B Cell Chronic Lymphocytic

Leukemia (B-CLL)

TRYFONIA MAINOU-FOWLER*, HELEN M. DIGNUM, STEPHEN J. PROCTOR andGEOFFREY P. SUMMERFIELD

Haematological Sciences, School of Clinical and Laboratory Sciences, The Medical School, Leech Building, Framlington Place, Newcastle uponTyne NE2 4HH, UK

(Received 11 September 2003)

A large number of prognostic factors are available to help predict the outcome of patients who presentwith B-cell chronic lymphocytic leukemia (B-CLL). These include clinical stage, leukemic cellmorphology, lymphocyte doubling time, the pattern of infiltration in bone marrow trephine biopsies,cytogenetic abnormalities, p53 function and serum factors such as beta-2 microglobulin. Two recentlydescribed major prognostic factors are immunoglobulin heavy chain variable region (IgVH) mutationstatus and cell membrane expression of CD38. These are both highly significant independentprognostic factors, but are not closely correlated.

Whereas IgVH mutational status is a time consuming and demanding technique, only available in alimited number of centres, CD38 expression by flow cytometry is relatively simple and rapidlyobtained in most diagnostic laboratories. The predictive value of CD38 expression is enhanced bymeasurement of antigen density in terms of antibody binding capacity (ABC) rather than as thepercentage of cells expressing the antigen. ABC correlates closely with relative median fluorescence(RMF), a parameter which is even more simply and cheaply obtained by flow cytometry. One of thesemethods of determining CD38 expression should be employed routinely.

Recent work suggests that membrane ZAP-70 expression determined by flow cytometry will proveto be an accurate proxy for IgVH mutational status and this assay will be within the reach of anylaboratory skilled in flow cytometry. The combination of ZAP-70 expression, CD38 antigen density,p53 function and the concentration of serum factors such as soluble CD23, is likely to provideextremely accurate prognostic information in future studies. This will assist in identifying Stage Apatients who may benfit from early and/or more intensive treatment, as well as Stage B and C patientswho may require alternative treatment strategies at the outset.

Keywords: Chronic lymphocytic leukemia; CD38 quantification

INTRODUCTION

B-cell chronic lymphocytic leukemia (B-CLL) is the

commonest leukemia in the developed world, accounting

for about 40% of all leukemias [1]. It is a malignant B-cell

proliferation with a wide clinical spectrum of disease,

course and prognosis. The disease is characterized by the

clonal accumulation in the peripheral blood and bone

marrow of small, mature-looking CD5+ B-lymphocytes

with a distinct immunophenotype [2,3]. Originally, B-

CLL was considered to be a disease of antigen-

inexperienced (pre- germinal center) or naı̈ve B-lympho-

cytes. Sequence analysis of the immunoglobulin (Ig)

variable heavy (VH) region genes of leukemic cells from

patients with B-CLL showed that these cells bear the

germline configuration [4,5]. However, recent data

suggest that in some B-CLL cases the B-cells may arise

from post-germinal centre, memory B-cells. Sequence

analysis of VH and light chain variable regions of the Ig

genes showed that 57% of IgG+ CD5+ [6] and about

50% of IgM+ cases [7] possess somatic mutations. These

findings indicate that depending on the mutational status

of the Ig VH genes, patients with B-CLL can be divided

into two groups; those with unmutated (pre-germinal

center) and those with mutated genes (post-germinal

center).

*Corresponding author. Tel.: +44 (0)191 282 0641/282 0451. Fax: +44 (0)191 222 5524. E-mail: [email protected]

Leukemia & Lymphoma, March 2004 Vol. 45 (3), pp. 455–462

ISSN 1042-8194 print/ISSN 1029-2403 online # 2004 Taylor & Francis LtdDOI: 10.1080/1042819032000141275

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Page 2: The Prognostic Value of CD38 Expression and its Quantification in B Cell Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia (B-CLL)

B-CLL is predominantly a disease of the middle-aged

and elderly, but a proportion of patients are of an age

when more intensive treatment, even potentially curative

high dose therapy, can be considered. The clinical course

of B-CLL is highly variable. Most patients present with

stable non-progressive disease and survive for prolonged

periods without requiring treatment. In others, the

disease progresses rapidly and patients die despite

aggressive treatment [8]. The two staging systems that

were introduced almost three decades ago have been

effective in classifying patients with B-CLL into different

prognostic groups [9,10]. While both systems are useful in

assessing prognosis, they fail to identify the subsets of

early stage patients (Rai 0 and 1, Binet A) that may

progress rapidly and therefore benefit from early or more

intensive therapy. The clinical management of CLL

therefore requires the identification of clinically useful

prognostic markers to guide therapy.

A large number of studies have been performed in

recent years to identify factors of prognostic value in B-

CLL (reviewed by Zwiebel and Cheson [8]). Clinical (11)

and hematological parameters including morphological

variants and type of pattern of bone marrow infiltration

[12], kinetic variables [13,14], immunological markers

[15 – 21] and genetic abnormalities (reviewed by Stilgen-

bauer et al.) [22] are useful independent prognostic

factors, with some of them being able to identify patients

who present with low tumor load but have a poor

outcome [19 – 21]. However, while most of these have

proven to be valuable indicators of poor prognosis, they

do not always provide useful information for all patients

and remain imperfect in individual cases. Recently,

studies have reported that both the mutational status of

Ig VH genes and the phenotypic expression of CD38 by

the leukemic clone are powerful prognostic factors in B-

CLL.

THE CD38 ANTIGEN

The human CD38 antigen, initially described as a T-cell

differentiation antigen (T10) [23], is a non-lineage

restricted type II glycoprotein involved in lymphocyte

activation [24]. The molecule consists of a single chain of

46 kDa spanning the membrane with its carboxyl

terminus located in the extra-cellular compartment [25].

Its ligand has recently been identified as the platelet

endothelial cell adhesion molecule-1 (CD31) [26].

The CD38 antigen is a member of the family of the

leukemic multi-lineage markers [23] and has a multi-

functional activity [27]. It mediates several diverse

functions including signal transduction, cell adhesion, in

particular adhesion to endothelium, and plays an

important role in lymphocyte homing [28]. CD38

specifically interacts with the CD31 molecule, a cell

surface glycoprotein expressed on hemopoietic and

endothelial cells [26]. Ligation of CD38 has been reported

to inhibit normal human B-cell lymphopoiesis [29] while

CD38 signaling mediated by agonistic antibodies prevents

apoptosis of germinal centre B cells [30]. This finding

suggests that the level of CD38 expression may affect the

overall survival of B-cell clones. In addition, CD38 has

enzymatic properties; it is an ecto-enzyme whose extra-

cellular domain has activities which lead to synthesis and

hydrolysis of cyclic adenosine di-phosphate – ribose [31].

Expression of the CD38 antigen is not restricted to a

specific lineage nor to a discrete activation stage. It is

expressed on CD34+ precursor cells, un-stimulated pre-

germinal center B-cells, germinal center B-cells, myeloid

precursors, peripheral blood NK cells, activated T and B

lymphocytes and terminally differentiated cells including

plasma cells [32,33].

Although the exact function of the CD38 antigen

remains unclear, its expression has been used as a marker

to study leukocyte activation and differentiation [32].

Analysis of CD38 and Ig gene expression has been used to

assign B-cells to various stages of differentiation from

naı̈ve to memory cell [34]. Also CD38 expression has been

useful in the systemic classification of T- and B-cell

malignancies [23]. It has been reported that leukemias

which result in immortalization of early differentiation

stages are CD38+, while differentiated phenotypes are

CD38– [32]. In recent years, expression of CD38 has been

associated with disease progression and outcome in many

different types of leukemia, including B-CLL [35 – 37].

Ig VH GENE MUTATIONS IN B-CLL

In 1999, the pivotal studies of Hamblin et al. [38] and

Damle et al. [37] mutually demonstrated that the

mutation status of the Ig VH genes predicts the natural

history of B-CLL. Both studies showed that the presence

of unmutated VH genes was associated with inferior

clinical course, even within the group of patients with

Binet Stage A [38] or Rai intermediate risk group [37]. By

contrast, patients with mutated genes followed a more

indolent course of B-CLL [37,38]. Others have since

confirmed these findings [39 – 45]. Collectively these

studies have shown that patients with B-CLL can be

divided into two prognostic groups; those with unmu-

tated genes who have a poorer prognosis and require

more treatment while patients with mutated genes

experience a more indolent course. In addition, some of

these studies have provided new important information

regarding patients’ survival in relation to mutation status.

Retaining responsiveness to IgM ligation has been

suggested to contribute to the poor prognosis associated

with the unmutated group [46]. Oscier and colleagues

reported that the unmutated Ig VH genes were associated

with previously known adverse abnormalities including

complex karyotype, atypical cell morphology, stage and

unfavorable genetic defects such as trisomy 12 and

deletion 11q23 [40]. The more favorable genetic aberra-

tion 13q14 was over represented in the mutated group

[40]. This finding was confirmed by Krober et al. who also

456 T. MAINOU-FOWLER et al.

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Page 3: The Prognostic Value of CD38 Expression and its Quantification in B Cell Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia (B-CLL)

demonstrated that the high-risk genetic alterations 17p

and 11q23 are almost exclusively found in patients with

unmutated genes [43].

It is clear from these studies that the relative lack of Ig

VH gene mutations is linked to a poorer disease outcome.

Thus, knowledge of the mutational status at diagnosis

could prove valuable in identifying patients whose disease

is destined to progress and, consequently, to clinically

manage these patients more efficiently. Investigating Ig

VH gene mutations as part of the routine diagnostic work

up of B-CLL could be problematic; the procedure is

complex and expensive and not all laboratories are

suitably equipped. The identification of a phenotypic

surrogate marker for mutational status would prove

valuable.

PROGNOSTIC SIGNIFICANCE OF CD38

EXPRESSION IN B-CLL

In 1999, Damle et al. in their pivotal study found a strong

correlation between VH gene mutations and phenotypic

CD38 expression in B-CLL [37]. They demonstrated that:

(1) leukemic clones from patients with unmutated

genes almost always express CD38 at a level

5 30%.

(2) identified the group of patients with inferior

clinical course and

(3) were able to segregate the Rai intermediate risk

group who followed a more aggressive course

from those with indolent disease.

Damle et al. proposed that the VH gene mutation status

and CD38 expression should be used as prognostic

indicators of disease progression and outcome in B-

CLL [37]. In addition, CD38 expression, a phenotypic

marker easily measured in the clinical setting, could be

used as a surrogate for the Ig VH gene mutation state.

In their follow-up study, Hamblin et al. were unable to

confirm the above findings [41]. Hamblin et al. reported

an association between the percentage of CD38 expres-

sion and VH Ig gene mutations, but the results were

discordant in about 30% of cases [41]. In a multivariate

analysis, CD38 expression and mutational status were

shown to be independent prognostic factors [41].

Similarly, other studies have since reported that CD38

expression is not a good predictor of Ig gene mutational

status [42,43,45,47 – 49]. In addition, while some of these

studies have reported CD38 expression to have indepen-

dent prognostic value [42,43,45,48], others were unable to

demonstrate such a finding [40, 47]. Nevertheless, recent

studies have provided evidence to confirm that CD38

expression is an important prognostic factor in B-CLL.

CD38+ B-cell percentage positivity was shown to

predict for overall survival [37,50 – 57], progression-free

survival [50,53], event-free survival after first-line therapy

[58], requirement for treatment [37,55,59], time to first

treatment [51,53,56] and response to therapy [50]. In one

study, measurement of CD38 expression identified a sub-

group of patients with either better or poorer prognosis

within the poor or good prognostic groups, respectively

[52]. Recently, CD38 positivity in association with

increased expression of its ligand CD31, has been

reported to identify a subset of cases with inferior

outcome than CD38 alone [60]. Moreover, the percentage

of CD38 positivity was reported to be significantly

associated with known factors of poor prognosis,

including gender, stage, lymphocyte doubling time,

lymphadenopathy, atypical morphology, diffuse pattern

of bone marrow infiltration and serum levels of beta-2

microglobulin (b2M) and soluble CD23 [50,52 – 55,59,61].

The known favorable chromosomal deletion 13q14 was

shown to occur mainly in the CD38– group [54] while

trisomy 12 was detected in the CD38+ group [54]. By

contrast, 17p and 11q23 deletions were undetectable in

the CD38– cases [62]. In addition, recently it has been

reported that the combination of CD38 positivity and/or

evidence of p53 dysfunction identifies poor risk cases

more effectively than Ig VH mutation alone [39].

Unmutated Ig VH with normal p53 function and CD38

expression of 5 20% showed no survival disadvantage

compared to mutated Ig VH cases. Dysfunction of p53

and/or CD38 positivity 4 20% correctly identified all

poor risk patients, and was more specific than the Ig VH

mutation [39]. There was no significant correlation

between p53 dysfunction and CD38 positivity [39].

Collectively, all the above studies show that the

percentage of CD38 expression is an excellent indepen-

dent prognostic marker and measurement of CD38

should be used in the routine work up of B-CLL to

identify the poor risk cases. However, despite the

usefulness in predicting for poor outcome, investigating

CD38 expression can be problematic.

CD38 expression can change with time and under

different conditions. The percentage of CD38 expression

may increase with disease progression [41,63] or during

infections; chemotherapy selectively eliminates the

CD387 clone [41]. Moreover, depending on the cut off

levels chosen, some patients could be classified to different

prognostic groups at different time points according to

the level of CD38 expression [43]. It is important

therefore for the accurate assessment of the prognostic

significance of CD38 positivity to ensure that only

samples close to or at the time of presentation are tested.

The cut off level that predicts for poor outcome has

been disputed. Although the 30% cut off point in the

study by Damle et al. [37] was selected arbitrarily, this

was subsequently identified as a statistically valid cut off

level for predicting disease progression and outcome

[41,51]. Other studies also used the 30% cut off point

[40,42,47,48,50,51,53 – 55,61], while some reported that

the lower levels of 20% [39,56,57] or 15% [59] predicted

for poor outcome. None of these studies has reported any

modifications of the findings if different cut off levels are

used. By contrast Hamblin et al. [41] and Domingo-

457PROGNOSTIC VALUE OF CD38 EXPRESSION

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Page 4: The Prognostic Value of CD38 Expression and its Quantification in B Cell Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia (B-CLL)

Domenech et al. [55] reported no alterations in their

results between the two cut off points of 20% and 30%.

Similarly, in another study, both 20% and 30% CD38

positivity were significant predictors of progression-free

survival, albeit the latter had a slightly better predictive

value [42]. In this study, the optimal cut off point was 7%.

The sensitivity and specificity of this level, however, were

greatly reduced [42]. When 30% CD38 expression was

used to predict Ig VH mutational status, the specificity

also fell significantly [42]. A level of 7% of CD38

positivity has since been reported to be a better predictor

of inferior outcome than the 30% cut off point [43].

Recently, Ghia et al. [45] were unable to demonstrate

the predictive value of CD38 expression based on the

percentage positivity. They reported a bimodal expression

of CD38 [45]. In their elegant studies, these authors

showed that the presence of a distinct CD38+ population

within the leukemic clone, irrespective of its size,

identified the cases with progressive disease rather than

the numerical cut off definitions used by others [45].

Bimodal CD38 expression was previously reported by

Jelinek et al. [42] who, in addition, demonstrated that the

CD38+ and CD387 cells belonged to the same clone.

The greatest value of CD38 expression and other

factors of prognostic value in B-CLL is to assess the

likelihood of future disease progression in early stage

patients. To date, few studies have shown that the

percentage of CD38 positivity can identify early stage

patients that are likely to progress or die from B-CLL.

Damle et al. were the first to report that CD38 positivity

5 30% identified those cases in the Rai intermediate risk

group with inferior course of disease [37]. Similarly,

others have reported that the percentage CD38 of 5 30%

or 5 20% identified the patients that belonged to Rai

stage 0 – I [55] or 0 – III [52] respectively, who had a

poorer outcome. By contrast, other investigators were

unable to show a significant association between CD38

positivity and inferior clinical course in the Binet Stage A

group. Heintel et al. [61] reported discordant findings

between risk factors including b2M, sCD23, lymphocyte

doubling time, time to therapy, and WBC in the CD38+

Binet Stage A patients. None of these patients progressed

to higher Binet stage [61]. Our group also reported that

5 30% CD38 expression did not predict for survival or

treatment requirement for Binet Stage A or younger

patients [51]. We found, however, that quantification of

CD38 by flow cytometry significantly improved the

prognostic value of percentage CD38 expression [51].

QUANTIFICATION OF CD38 AND ITS

SIGNIFICANCE IN B-CLL

Despite the usefulness of flow cytometric evaluation of

CD38 in the prognostication of B-CLL, the subjective

determination of positive percentages may result in

ambiguity of the test. In addition, controversy exists

between different centers in connection with the predictive

cut off levels. Ghia and colleagues have overcome this

problem by evaluating the CD38 positive cell population

within the leukemic clone [45]. However, the distinction

between positive and negative populations is not always

as clear as these authors have indicated and, conse-

quently, discordant cases will add ambiguity to the

method. Moreover, if evaluation of CD38 expression is

to enter the clinical arena, a reproducible method must

exist that gives similar results in different laboratories.

Quantification of CD38 antigen overcomes the problem

of subjectivity and also has the potential to yield less

variation [64,65] and therefore more reproducible results.

Several methods for antigen quantification have been

described [66,67]. The majority of studies have used beads

coated with known amounts of antibody conjugated with

a specific fluorochrome which serves as a control for the

immunofluorescence analysis. The quantiBRITE system

makes use of a fluorochrome antibody reagent that has a

1:1 fluorochrome to protein ratio and also uses multi-

leveled calibrated beads with known and incremental

fluorochrome fluorescence [67]. This method measures

absolute levels of antigen as antibodies bound per cell.

The quantum simply cellular (QSC) antibody binding

capacity employs a cocktail of five highly uniform

microbead populations, one blank and four coated with

a defined and different quantity of anti-mouse polyclonal

antibody which has balanced reactivity against all Ig

isotypes [67]. The beads by having incremental antibody

binding capacity, can place a check on the degree of

compensation across the entire range of fluorescence

intensity. Also, the beads are labeled with the same

antibody/conjugate as the cells. This provides a high

degree of spectral matching. The intensity of the antigen

is expressed as antibody binding capacity (ABC).

Recently, Hsi et al. reported that the intensity of CD38

expression, evaluated using the quantiBRITE system,

identified a higher percentage of CD38 positive patients

than percentage expression alone [68]. Moreover, these

authors provided evidence to suggest that a subgroup of

B-CLL patients with 5 30% CD38 and poor overall

survival could only be identified by CD38 quantification

[68]. In addition, in an earlier study, CD38 intensity in

association with the percentage CD38 positivity had a

higher predictive power for overall survival than the

positive percentage alone [57]. Our group used QSC ABC

to show that the intensity of CD38 expression and not the

percentage positivity predicted for disease-specific survi-

val and time to treatment of Binet Stage A patients and

also for disease-specific survival of patients under 60 years

[51].

Quantification of CD38 expression using commercially

available beads involves an added expense and complex-

ity in the day to day clinical work up of B-CLL. Antigen

expression can also be quantified using relative median

fluorescence (RMF) [69]. RMF can be defined as the ratio

of median value of the fluorescence of the test over that of

the control; these values are based on flow cytometer

readings. RMF may not be as accurate as quantification

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Page 5: The Prognostic Value of CD38 Expression and its Quantification in B Cell Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia (B-CLL)

using beads but is easy to perform and involves no

expense. Our group has recently completed a study to

investigate whether the intensity of CD38 expression

evaluated using RMF has a predictive value similar to

that of ABC. We found that only the intensity by either

ABC or RMF predicted for:

(1) disease-specific survival of Binet Stage A patients

(Fig. 1)

(2) survival of Binet Stage A patients under 60 years

(Fig. 2) and

(3) time to treatment for patients in Binet Stage A and

under 60 years (Fig. 3).

The RMF was as good a predictive marker as the ABC

(Figs. 1 – 3).

It is clear from the above studies that quantification of

CD38 expression is a better method to identify higher risk

cases. We recommend the adoption of CD38 quantifica-

tion wherever CD38 positivity is currently measured as

part of the assessment of B-CLL patients. Trials could

verify the predictive value of quantification by using

either ABC or RMF or any other antigen quantification

method.

CONCLUSIONS AND FUTURE DIRECTIONS

The expression of CD38 is an excellent prognostic marker

in B-CLL and it should be used clinically in the routine

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FIGURE 1 Disease-specific survival of Binet Stage A patients. (A)RMF: median survival: RMF 4 3: 103 months; RMF 5 3: undefined.(B) ABC: median survival: ABC 4 250: 214 months; ABC 5 250:undefined. (C) Percentage CD38: median survival: CD38 4 30%:undefined; CD 38 5 30%: undefined. n=158 ; the cut off level forRMF was 3 (Fisher’s Exact test).

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FIGURE 2 Disease-specific survival of Binet Stage A patients less than60 years. (A) RMF: median survival: RMF 4 3: 102 months; RMF 5 3:undefined. (B) ABC: median survival: ABC 4 250: 102 months; ABC5 250: undefined. (C) Percentage CD38: median survival: CD38 4 30%:undefined; CD 38 5 30%: undefined. n=158; the cut off level for RMFwas 3 (Fisher’s Exact test).

459PROGNOSTIC VALUE OF CD38 EXPRESSION

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Page 6: The Prognostic Value of CD38 Expression and its Quantification in B Cell Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia (B-CLL)

work up of CLL. Quantification of the CD38 antigen by

flow cytometry greatly improves the prognostic value of

the percentage expression, especially for the early stage

and younger patients. Trials should be performed in

different centers to evaluate the prognostic significance of

quantification of CD38. Furthermore, if the expression of

CD38 should enter the clinical field, it is advisable that

other parameters including type of reagents, methodology

and instrumentation are evaluated in order to minimize

the inter-laboratory variation.

Recently, studies have suggested that the expression of

the tyrosine kinase ZAP-70 may be a better surrogate for

the Ig VH mutational status than the expression of CD38.

Gene expression profiling in patients with B-CLL, has

shown that ZAP-70 expression predicts the mutational

status of the Ig VH genes [70 – 72]. Furthermore, recently

it has been reported that the expression of ZAP-70 is

associated with increased signalling though the B cell

receptor [73] and identifies patients in the poor risk group

[71,72,74].

Clearly, ZAP-70 expression has a great potential.

However, until the prognostic value of this marker is

assessed in different centers, and a method suitable for its

routine evaluation is developed, measurement of CD38

antigen density on the leukemic cell surface is likely to

retain its prognostic utility in B-CLL.

It is suggested that measurement of CD38 and ZAP-70

expression in association with other factors of prognostic

value including serum CD23 [19] and p53 expression [39]

are used to develop a prognostic profile that will assist in

treatment decisions for patients with this common

lymphoproliferative disorder.

Acknowledgements

Dr T. Mainou-Fowler has been supported by The

Tyneside Leukaemia Research Association and the

Leukaemia Research Fund.

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FIGURE 3 Time to treatment of Binet Stage A patients less than 60years. (A) RMF: median time to treatment: RMF 4 3: 44 months; RMF5 3: 116 months. (B) ABC: median time to treatment: ABC 4 250: 33months; ABC 5 250: 116 months. (C) Percentage CD38: median time totreatment: CD38 4 30%: 54 months; CD 38 5 30%: 116 months.n=158; the cut off level for RMF was 3 (Fisher’s Exact test).

460 T. MAINOU-FOWLER et al.

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Page 7: The Prognostic Value of CD38 Expression and its Quantification in B Cell Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia (B-CLL)

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461PROGNOSTIC VALUE OF CD38 EXPRESSION

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