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C&F Offshore Wind, April 2009 1
The role of offshore wind in the
European Renewable Industry
Philip Wolfe
Renewable Energy Association
C&F Offshore Wind, April 2009 22
Renewable Energy AssociationSome 600 members
> Multinationals to high-tech start-ups
> Energy suppliers to energy users
Renewable heat, power, fuel & CHP
All technologies:> Biomass
> Bioenergy
> Solar
> Wind
> Marine
> Hydro
> Heat pumps
Trade Association Forum; 5th February 2009
C&F Offshore Wind, April 2009 3
Lilligrund © Vattenfall
Topics
Offshore wind in Europe today
Policy context for the future
Projected future trends
Infrastructure issues
Recession and recovery
C&F Offshore Wind, April 2009 4
Wind energy in Europe
Source: EWEA
C&F Offshore Wind, April 2009 5
European offshore wind sites
Source: EWEA
C&F Offshore Wind, April 2009 6
UK offshore wind sites
Rounds
1 & 2
Round 3
Source: The Crown Estate
C&F Offshore Wind, April 2009 7Mittelgrunden © LM Glasfiber
Policy drivers
C&F Offshore Wind, April 2009 8C&F Offshore Wind, April 2009 8
The 2020 EU targets – “20-20-20”
Emissions reductions Binding
> 20% unilateral, or
> 30% if multilateral
Energy conservation Non-binding
> 20% below current projections
Renewables Binding
> 20% of total energy
> 10% of transport fuels
total energy
C&F Offshore Wind, April 2009 9C&F Offshore Wind, April 2009 9
Eleven years to 2020
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
2015
2017
2019
Belgium
Bulgaria
Czech Republic
Estonia
Ireland
Greece
Spain
Italy
Cyprus
Latvia
Lithuania
Luxembourg
Hungary
Malta
Netherlands
Austria
Poland
Portugal
Romania
Slovenia
Slovak Republic
Finland
Sweden
Denmark
France
Germany
United Kingdom
C&F Offshore Wind, April 2009 10
© Vattenfall
C&F Offshore Wind, April 2009 10
Future developments
C&F Offshore Wind, April 2009 11
Contribution to renewables
Source: EREC
To be
updated
C&F Offshore Wind, April 2009 12
Future on- and off-shore wind
C&F Offshore Wind, April 2009 12
Source: EWEA
C&F Offshore Wind, April 2009 13C&F Offshore Wind, April 2009 13
UK government scenario for 2020
Source: BERR
C&F Offshore Wind, April 2009 14
Transport Heat Power
Today Onboard OnshoreOnsite On farm NearshoreOffshore Fossil & nuclear
REA UK scenario for 2020
C&F Offshore Wind, April 2009 15
© Multibrid
C&F Offshore Wind, April 2009 15
Infrastructure contribution
C&F Offshore Wind, April 2009 16
„Offshore Super-grid‟
Source: Airtricity
C&F Offshore Wind, April 2009 17
Updating the vision for 2020
New EU-funded project (REPAP 2020)
Evolves national industry roadmaps
Supports governments in producing National Renewable Energy Action Plans
Critiques the NREAPs for the EC
Coincidentally in all 27 member states, so:
> Shared best practice
> Cross-fertilisation of ideas
C&F Offshore Wind, April 2009 18
Nysted © DONG
C&F Offshore Wind, April 2009 18
Sustainable recovery
C&F Offshore Wind, April 2009 19C&F Offshore Wind, April 2009 19
Green New Deal
Recession – recovery must be sustainable
Stimulus packages – 20% should be ‘green’1
> USA 12%; China 37%; Germany 13%2
Energy efficiency & renewables a major part
Renewables in EU & UK stimulus packages
1 Professor Lord Stern
2 HSBC
C&F Offshore Wind, April 2009 20
EU stimulus package (part)Project Capacity Location Contribn.
1) Grid integration of offshore wind energy
Baltic I and II - Kriegers Flak I, II, III 1.5 GW Denmark, Sweden,
Germany, Poland € 150m
North sea grid 1 GW UK, Netherlands,
Germany, Ireland,
Denmark€ 150m
2) New turbines, structures and components, optimisation of manufacturing capacities
Alpha Ventus / Bard Offshore 1 New 6-7 MW turbines in deeper waters (up to 40m)
0.5 GW Germany, Poland € 150m
Aberdeen offshore wind farm(European testing centre)
0.25 GW UK€ 40m
Thornton Bank5 MW turbines in deep waters (up to 30m) with low visual
impact (up to 30 km).
90MW Belgium
€ 10m
TOTAL € 500m
C&F Offshore Wind, April 2009 21C&F Offshore Wind, April 2009 21
REA‟s Green New Energy Deal
Centralised energy
> Offshore wind
Decentralised Energy
> Bridges to tariffs
Energy infrastructure, including:
> Smart metering, distribution networks
Skills, research and awareness
Budget 2009
2 ROCs £525m
£70m
£0 new
part of £260m
Supply chain & manufacturing £405m
C&F Offshore Wind, April 2009 22
The role of offshore wind in the
European Renewable Industry
Philip Wolfe
Renewable Energy Association
