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The RP perspective: challenges and opportunities …
Dave Smith
External Affairs Manager (London) National Housing Federation
The RP perspective: challenges and opportunities
3 specific areas we should look at…
3 broader challenges to the sector…
Challenge:
1. Boroughs v Boris
“Whether there ought to be a federal government intrusted with the care of the common defense, is a question in the first instance, open for discussion; but the moment it is decided
in the affirmative, it will follow, that that government ought to be clothed with all the powers requisite to complete execution of its trust.”
Opportunity:
1. A Mature Relationship
Challenge:
2. Planning & NIMBYism
Opportunity:
2. Planning Zones & Willing
1990-91
1991-92
1992-93
1993-94
1994-95
1995-96
1996-97
1997-98
1998-99
1999-00
2000-01
2001-02
2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-120
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
London Completions(all tenures)
Source: DCLG Live Table 232
Completions
Challenge:
3. Green Belt
Opportunity:
3. Honest Assessment Of Land Holdings…
“The reality is that a child in Haringey gets no welfare from the fact that five miles away in Barnet, there are 2,380 hectares of greenbelt land; or in Havering another 6,010 hectares...What greenbelts really seem to be is a very British form of discriminatory zoning, keeping the urban unwashed out of the Home Counties - and of course helping to turn houses into investment assets instead of places to live.
Building on greenbelt land would only have to be very modest to provide more than enough land for housing for generations to come: there is enough greenbelt land just within the confines of Greater London – 32,500 hectares – to build 1.6 million houses at average densities.”
Prof. Paul Cheshire LSE
3 Broader Considerations…
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues IndexWhat do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Unemployment
NHS Crime/ Law & Order
Race / immigration
Economy
1. This Graph…
1. This Graph…
May1997
May1998
May1999
May2000
May2001
May2002
May2003
May2004
May2005
May2006
May2007
May2008
May2009
May2010
May2011
May2012
May2013
May2014
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70Economy
Housing
Housing was not an election issue for most people in 2010
DefenceHousing
IraqPublic transport/ roads
AfghanistanProtect nat env./climate change
PenionsBenefits
Care for older peopleCrime/ law and order
UnemploymentTaxation
Asylum and immigrationEducation/ schools
HealthcareManaging the economy
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%3%3%3%3%
5%5%5%
7%7%
8%11%
12%14%
23%26%
32%
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
VOTE for Housing…
2. This Misconception…
Real London Lives
3. This phrase…“RPs”
Profit for Purpose Vehicles for change…
Dave SmithExternal Affairs Manager (London)