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The San Francisco Luxury Condo, Co-op & TIC Market Data from sources deemed reliable, but may contain errors and subject to revision. All numbers should be considered approximate.

The San Francisco Luxury Condo, Co-op & TIC Market...Homes Sold, $2.5m+: No Price Reduction Homes Sold, $2.5m+: 1+ Price Reductions No price cut prior to sale No price cut prior to

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Page 1: The San Francisco Luxury Condo, Co-op & TIC Market...Homes Sold, $2.5m+: No Price Reduction Homes Sold, $2.5m+: 1+ Price Reductions No price cut prior to sale No price cut prior to

The San Francisco Luxury Condo, Co-op & TIC Market

Data from sources deemed reliable, but may contain errors and subject to revision. All numbers should be considered approximate.

Page 2: The San Francisco Luxury Condo, Co-op & TIC Market...Homes Sold, $2.5m+: No Price Reduction Homes Sold, $2.5m+: 1+ Price Reductions No price cut prior to sale No price cut prior to

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Jan-05

Jul-05

Jan-06

Jul-06

Jan-07

Jul-07

Jan-08

Jul-08

Jan-09

Jul-09

Jan-10

Jul-10

Jan-11

Jul-11

Jan-12

Jul-12

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Jul-13

Jan-14

Jul-14

Jan-15

Jul-15

Jan-16

Jul-16

Jan-17

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Jan-18

Jul-18

Jan-19

Jul-19

Luxury Condos, Co-ops, TICs - $2m+

Luxury House Sales - $3m+

All Home Sales - $5m+

San Francisco Luxury Home Sales

12-Month Rolling Sales Figures, since 2005

Sales reported to MLS only. Not all sales in this price segment are reported – many new project condo sales,for example. Data from sources deemed reliable, but may contain errors and subject to revision. Allnumbers should be considered approximate.

Sales reported to MLS per Infosparks though 8/31/19

Each data point reflects 12 months of MLS sales: Average monthly sales volumes = 1/12 of these compiled figures. Does not include

new luxury condo project sales unreported to MLS.

▼ Financial markets crash

▲Market recovery begins2008 market peak▲

Page 3: The San Francisco Luxury Condo, Co-op & TIC Market...Homes Sold, $2.5m+: No Price Reduction Homes Sold, $2.5m+: 1+ Price Reductions No price cut prior to sale No price cut prior to

17

21

35

35

62

50

4

7

11

17

15

28

1

4

18

20

22

4

7

5

Hayes Valley/ NoPa/ Alamo Sq./Lower Pacific Heights (D6)

Lake Street/ Jordan Park/Richmond Dist/Lone Mtn (D1)

Noe, Eureka & Cole Valleys/Ashbury & Corona Heights (D5)

Russian, Nob & TelegraphHills/ Financial District (D8)

So. Beach/ SoMa/ Yerba Buena/Mission/ Potrero Hill (D9)

Pacific & Presidio Heights/Cow Hollow/ Marina (D7)

$2m - $2.49 million $2.5m - $2.99m $3m - $4.99 million $5 million+

* 14 months sales reported to MLS through 9/15/19 – many new luxury condo projects do not report all sales.Neighborhood groupings correspond to SF Realtor districts, which include other neighborhoods as well. Data fromsources deemed reliable but may contain errors and subject to revision. All numbers are approximate.

San Francisco Luxury Condo Market

Condos, Co-ops & TICs, Sales Prices of $2 Million+*

▲Avg. $1564/sq.ft.

▲Avg. $1218/sq.ft.

▲Avg. $1330/sq.ft.

◄Avg. $1471/sq.ft.

Average $/Sq.Ft.

◄Avg. $1028/sq.ft.

Unit Sales by Price Segment

By Property Type – 14 Months Sales• 337* Condos• 20 Co-ops• 26 TICs

By # Bedrooms, Median Sq.Ft.• 125 2-bedroom, 1525 sq.ft.• 204 3-bedroom, 1980 sq.ft.• 52 4-bedroom, 2410 sq.ft.• 2 5+ bedroom◄Avg. $1210/sq.ft.

14 months sales reported to MLS 7/15/18 through 9/15/19

Page 4: The San Francisco Luxury Condo, Co-op & TIC Market...Homes Sold, $2.5m+: No Price Reduction Homes Sold, $2.5m+: 1+ Price Reductions No price cut prior to sale No price cut prior to

San Francisco Luxury Home Sales since 2015

House Sales, $3 Million+ & Condo Sales, $2 Million+, by Quarter

40 66 42 49 35 63 40 73 46 68 51 75 52 78 57 83 51 9865 95 53 59 48 70 51 64 56 102 48 89 81 103 66 80 58 12220

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House Sales, $3 Million+ Condo, Co-op, TIC Sales, $2m+

Sales reported to MLS, per Infosparks. Condo sales include co-ops and TICs. Many new project condo sales are not reported to MLS. Data from sources deemed reliable, but subject to error and revision. All numbers are approximate.

The market for luxury homes fluctuates by season,with spring (Q2) typically the dominant selling period.Q2 2019 saw luxury home sales hit new highs.

Sales reported to MLS

Page 5: The San Francisco Luxury Condo, Co-op & TIC Market...Homes Sold, $2.5m+: No Price Reduction Homes Sold, $2.5m+: 1+ Price Reductions No price cut prior to sale No price cut prior to

Interactive, auto-updating market charts for the luxury condo, co-op and TIC market, by Infosparks using MLS reported activity.

Longer-Term TrendsNew Listings Coming on Market, 6-month rolling: http://sfar.stats.10kresearch.com/infoserv/s-v1/F4yF-mxzActive Listings on Market, 6-month rolling:http://sfar.stats.10kresearch.com/infoserv/s-v1/F4yR-Jg2Sales, 6-month rolling: http://sfar.stats.10kresearch.com/infoserv/s-v1/F4yw-0cdAverage Days on Market, 6-month rolling:http://sfar.stats.10kresearch.com/infoserv/s-v1/F4yO-VbV% of Listings Sold over Final List Price, 6-month rolling:http://sfar.stats.10kresearch.com/infoserv/s-v1/F4yA-iUEMedian % of Sales Price to Final List Price, 6-month rolling:http://sfar.stats.10kresearch.com/infoserv/s-v1/F4y3-mDTMonths Supply of Inventory, 6-month rolling:http://sfar.stats.10kresearch.com/infoserv/s-v1/F4yX-nnv

Year-over-Year Comparisons, 3-month rollingActive Listings for Sale: http://sfar.stats.10kresearch.com/infoserv/s-v1/F4yD-SisListings Pending Sale: http://sfar.stats.10kresearch.com/infoserv/s-v1/F4yL-rUBSales: http://sfar.stats.10kresearch.com/infoserv/s-v1/F4yM-ua2Avg. Days on Market: http://sfar.stats.10kresearch.com/infoserv/s-v1/F4yi-qb3% Selling over Final LP: http://sfar.stats.10kresearch.com/infoserv/s-v1/F4y5-C3OMedian % of SP to LP: http://sfar.stats.10kresearch.com/infoserv/s-v1/F4yW-bzMonths Supply of Inventory: http://sfar.stats.10kresearch.com/infoserv/s-v1/F4yz-y2u

Luxury Condo/Co-op Market Seasonality, Month by MonthNew Listings: http://sfar.stats.10kresearch.com/infoserv/s-v1/F4yv-Y9fActive Listings: http://sfar.stats.10kresearch.com/infoserv/s-v1/F4yn-sndListings Going Pending Sale: http://sfar.stats.10kresearch.com/infoserv/s-v1/F4yc-E5ySales: http://sfar.stats.10kresearch.com/infoserv/s-v1/F4Xd-iRZAverage Days on Market: http://sfar.stats.10kresearch.com/infoserv/s-v1/F4X2-YB8% of Listings Sold over LP: http://sfar.stats.10kresearch.com/infoserv/s-v1/F4X7-hm1

Luxury Condo/Co-op Trends by Selected DistrictsDistrict Sales, 12-month rolling: http://sfar.stats.10kresearch.com/infoserv/s-v1/F4XY-7tgActive Listings, 12-month rolling: http://sfar.stats.10kresearch.com/infoserv/s-v1/F4XF-UBVAverage Dollar/Square Foot: http://sfar.stats.10kresearch.com/infoserv/s-v1/F4XR-heV

The Ultra-Luxury Condo & Co-op Market, $3m+Active Listings, 6-month rolling: http://sfar.stats.10kresearch.com/infoserv/s-v1/F4Xw-gAnSales, 6-month rolling: http://sfar.stats.10kresearch.com/infoserv/s-v1/F4XO-mVeAvg. Days on Market: http://sfar.stats.10kresearch.com/infoserv/s-v1/F4XA-nm7% of Listings Selling over Final LP: http://sfar.stats.10kresearch.com/infoserv/s-v1/F4X3-E2v

Page 6: The San Francisco Luxury Condo, Co-op & TIC Market...Homes Sold, $2.5m+: No Price Reduction Homes Sold, $2.5m+: 1+ Price Reductions No price cut prior to sale No price cut prior to

0

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20

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Feb

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Mar

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Ap

r-1

6

May

-16

Jun

-16

Jul-

16

Au

g-1

6

Sep

-16

Oct

-16

No

v-1

6

De

c-1

6

Jan

-17

Feb

-17

Mar

-17

Ap

r-1

7

May

-17

Jun

-17

Jul-

17

Au

g-1

7

Sep

-17

Oct

-17

No

v-1

7

De

c-1

7

Jan

-18

Feb

-18

Mar

-18

Ap

r-1

8

May

-18

Jun

-18

Jul-

18

Au

g-1

8

Sep

-18

Oct

-18

No

v-1

8

De

c-1

8

Jan

-19

Feb

-19

Mar

-19

Ap

r-1

9

May

-19

Jun

-19

Jul-

19

Au

g-1

9

Sept.2018

Mid-Winter

Sept.2017Oct.

2016

Mid-Winter

Condos, co-ops and TICs listed for $2m+. Does not include new project condo listings not listed in MLS. Data from sources deemed reliable but may contain errors and subject to revision. All

numbers should be considered approximate.

As reported to MLS, per Infosparks

San Francisco Luxury Condo Market Seasonality

New Listings Coming on Market: Priced $2 Million & Above

Spring 2016

Luxury condo, co-op and TIC listings typically jump in thebeginning of the year through the spring months, drop insummer, spike up in early autumn, and plunge in mid-winter.

Jan. 2017

Early 2018

Jan. 2019

Mid-Winter

Page 7: The San Francisco Luxury Condo, Co-op & TIC Market...Homes Sold, $2.5m+: No Price Reduction Homes Sold, $2.5m+: 1+ Price Reductions No price cut prior to sale No price cut prior to

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20

25

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35

40

Jan

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Feb

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Mar

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Ap

r-1

6

May

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Jun

-16

Jul-

16

Au

g-1

6

Sep

-16

Oct

-16

No

v-1

6

De

c-1

6

Jan

-17

Feb

-17

Mar

-17

Ap

r-1

7

May

-17

Jun

-17

Jul-

17

Au

g-1

7

Sep

-17

Oct

-17

No

v-1

7

De

c-1

7

Jan

-18

Feb

-18

Mar

-18

Ap

r-1

8

May

-18

Jun

-18

Jul-

18

Au

g-1

8

Sep

-18

Oct

-18

No

v-1

8

De

c-1

8

Jan

-19

Feb

-19

Mar

-19

Ap

r-1

9

May

-19

Jun

-19

Jul-

19

Au

g-1

9

Autumn 2016

Autumn 2017

Autumn2018

Condos, co-ops and TICs. Does not include activity unreported to MLS, such as many new-project condo transactions. Data from sources deemed reliable but may contain errors and subject to revision. All numbers

should be considered approximate.

Spring 2017

San Francisco Luxury Condo Market Seasonality

Listings Accepting Offers: Priced $2 Million & Above

Spring 2016

Spring 2018

Condos, co-ops & TICs as reported to MLS, per Infosparks

Spring 2019

Page 8: The San Francisco Luxury Condo, Co-op & TIC Market...Homes Sold, $2.5m+: No Price Reduction Homes Sold, $2.5m+: 1+ Price Reductions No price cut prior to sale No price cut prior to

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

Jan

-17

Feb

-17

Mar

-17

Ap

r-1

7

May

-17

Jun

-17

Jul-

17

Au

g-1

7

Sep

-17

Oct

-17

No

v-1

7

De

c-1

7

Jan

-18

Feb

-18

Mar

-18

Ap

r-1

8

May

-18

Jun

-18

Jul-

18

Au

g-1

8

Sep

-18

Oct

-18

No

v-1

8

De

c-1

8

Jan

-19

Feb

-19

Mar

-19

Ap

r-1

9

May

-19

Jun

-19

Jul-

19

Au

g-1

9

Winter

June 2017

Nov. 2017

May 2018

Winter

Winter

Oct. 2018

Summer

Summer

Closed sales in one month generally reflect new listings and accepted-offer activity in previous months.

April2019

Summer

Does not include sales not reported to MLS, such as many new-project, luxury condo sales. Data fromInfosparks deemed reliable but may contain errors and subject to revision. All numbers are approximate.

Condo, co-op & TIC sales reported to MLS

San Francisco Luxury CONDO & CO-OP Market Seasonality

Unit Sales by Month, Sales Prices $2 Million+

Page 9: The San Francisco Luxury Condo, Co-op & TIC Market...Homes Sold, $2.5m+: No Price Reduction Homes Sold, $2.5m+: 1+ Price Reductions No price cut prior to sale No price cut prior to

0

10

20

30

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50

60

70

80

90

Q2

20

19

Q1

20

19

Q4

20

18

Q3

20

18

Q2

20

18

Q1

20

18

Q4

20

17

Q3

20

17

Q2

20

17

Q1

20

17

Q4

20

16

Q3

20

16

Q2

20

16

Q1

201

6

These analyses were performed in good faith with data derived from sources deemed reliable, but they may contain errors and subject to revision. All numbers should be considered approximate.

MLS sales, per Broker Metrics

# Expired/Withdrawn (No-Sale) Listings

San Francisco Luxury Condo, Co-op & TIC Market

Q4 typically sees the most luxury homespulled off the market for the mid-winterholiday period. Many will be re-listed,often at a lower price, in the new year.

Page 10: The San Francisco Luxury Condo, Co-op & TIC Market...Homes Sold, $2.5m+: No Price Reduction Homes Sold, $2.5m+: 1+ Price Reductions No price cut prior to sale No price cut prior to

San Francisco High-Price Homes: Pricing Analysis

Home Sales, $2.5 Million+, With & Without Price Reductions

103% of LP

30

100%

88%

97 days

89%

Avg. Sales Price to OriginalList Price Percentage

Avg. Days on Marketto Offer Acceptance

Dollar per Square FootDifferential

Homes Sold, $2.5m+: No Price Reduction Homes Sold, $2.5m+: 1+ Price Reductions

No price cut prior to sale

No price cut prior to sale

No price cut prior to sale

The sales price to list price and days on market analyses were based upon 3 years of sales through Q1 2019, averaging Broker Metrics quarterly data. The dollar per square foot analysis was based on an analysis of 12 months sales ending 6/21/19. Data from sources deemed reliable, but may contain errors and subject to revision. All numbers are approximate.

House, condo and co-op sales reported to MLS, per Broker Metrics

Price cut prior to sale

Price cut prior to sale

High-price homes requiring price reductionbefore selling averaged a sales price 12%below original list price, while those sellingwithout reduction averaged 3% over list price.

No Sale

High-price homes requiring pricereduction averaged over 9 weekslonger on market to acceptance of offer.

High-price homes requiring pricereduction before selling averaged a dollarper square foot value 11% below thoseselling without price reduction.

Price cut prior to sale

Page 11: The San Francisco Luxury Condo, Co-op & TIC Market...Homes Sold, $2.5m+: No Price Reduction Homes Sold, $2.5m+: 1+ Price Reductions No price cut prior to sale No price cut prior to

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New Condo Listings, $2m - $2.99 Million

New Condo Listings, $3 Million+

*Does not include new-project, luxury condo listings not listed in MLS. Data from sources deemed reliable but may contain errors and subject to revision. All numbers should be considered approximate.

As reported to MLS, per Infosparks through 8/31/19

San Francisco Luxury Condo Market Dynamics

New Listings Coming on Market, since 2005, 12-Month Rolling Figures

“Condo” includes Co-op and TIC listings. Each data point reflects 12 monthsof MLS listing activity: Average monthly listing volumes = 1/12 of thesecompiled figures. Does not include new-project condos not listed in MLS.

| 2012 market recovery begins

Page 12: The San Francisco Luxury Condo, Co-op & TIC Market...Homes Sold, $2.5m+: No Price Reduction Homes Sold, $2.5m+: 1+ Price Reductions No price cut prior to sale No price cut prior to

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Jul-19

$2,000,000 to $2,999,999 $3,000,000 or More

Active Luxury Condo Listings for Sale at End of Month

San Francisco, 12-Month Rolling Averages since 2005

Chart lines & columns reflect listings in MLS, per Infosparks; many new-project condos are not listed

in MLS. Data from sources deemed reliable, but may contain errors and subject to revision.

Co-op and TIC listings included. Over the past 3 years, besides thecondos listed in MLS, new-project luxury condos not listed in MLSwould add substantially to the number of active listings delineated.

Each data point reflects the average number of active MLS listings at the end of the month,for the previous 12 month period. Co-op and TIC listings are included in the condo numbers.

As reported to MLS, per Infosparks through 8/31/19

Page 13: The San Francisco Luxury Condo, Co-op & TIC Market...Homes Sold, $2.5m+: No Price Reduction Homes Sold, $2.5m+: 1+ Price Reductions No price cut prior to sale No price cut prior to

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Jan-05

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Jan-15

Jul-15

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Jul-16

Jan-17

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Jul-18

Jan-19

Jul-19

Condo Sales

TIC Sales

Co-op Sales

San Francisco Luxury Condo, Co-op, TIC Sales

12-Month Rolling Sales Figures, $2 Million+, since 2005

Sales reported to MLS only. Not all sales in this price segment are reported – many new project condo sales, for example. Data

from sources deemed reliable, but may contain errors and subject to revision. All numbers should be considered approximate.

Sales data reported to MLS per Infosparks through 8/31/19

Each data point reflects 12 months of MLS sales: Average monthly sales volumes = 1/12 of these compiled figures.

▼ Financial markets crash

Market recovery begins →

Financial markets volatility

causes luxury sales drop

Page 14: The San Francisco Luxury Condo, Co-op & TIC Market...Homes Sold, $2.5m+: No Price Reduction Homes Sold, $2.5m+: 1+ Price Reductions No price cut prior to sale No price cut prior to

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90

Jan-05

Jul-05

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Jan-09

Jul-09

Jan-10

Jul-10

Jan-11

Jul-11

Jan-12

Jul-12

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Jul-14

Jan-15

Jul-15

Jan-16

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Jul-17

Jan-18

Jul-18

Jan-19

Jul-19

Each data point reflects 12 months of MLS sales: Averagemonthly sales volumes = 1/12 of these compiled figures.

San Francisco Ultra-Luxury Condo, Co-op & TIC Sales

12-Month Rolling Sales, Sales Prices of $3 Million+, since 2005

Chart reflects sales reported to MLS only. Some ultra-luxury house sales and some new-condo projects do notreport their sales to MLS. Data from sources deemed reliable, but may contain errors and subject to revision. Allnumbers should be considered approximate.

12-month rolling MLS data per Infosparks through 8/31/19

Page 15: The San Francisco Luxury Condo, Co-op & TIC Market...Homes Sold, $2.5m+: No Price Reduction Homes Sold, $2.5m+: 1+ Price Reductions No price cut prior to sale No price cut prior to

20

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60

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100

Jan-08

Apr-08

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Apr-15

Jul-15

Oct-15

Jan-16

Apr-16

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Oct-16

Jan-17

Apr-17

Jul-17

Oct-17

Jan-18

Apr-18

Jul-18

Oct-18

Jan-19

Apr-19

Jul-19

San Francisco Luxury Condo Market Dynamics

Average Days on Market, Sales Prices of $2 Million - $2.99 Million

Chart reflects listings and sales of condos, co-ops and TICs reported to MLS only. Many new-project condo salesare not reported. Data from sources deemed reliable, but may contain errors and subject to revision. All numbersshould be considered approximate.

Average Days on Market (DOM) measures the average amount of

time between a listing going on market and accepting an offer

(for those listings that accept offers). Generally speaking, the

lower the average DOM figure, the stronger the buyer demand.

6-month rolling MLS data per Infosparks for condos, co-ops and TICs through 8/31/19

Page 16: The San Francisco Luxury Condo, Co-op & TIC Market...Homes Sold, $2.5m+: No Price Reduction Homes Sold, $2.5m+: 1+ Price Reductions No price cut prior to sale No price cut prior to

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Jan-07

May-07

Sep-07

Jan-08

May-08

Sep-08

Jan-09

May-09

Sep-09

Jan-10

May-10

Sep-10

Jan-11

May-11

Sep-11

Jan-12

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Sep-12

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Jan-15

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May-16

Sep-16

Jan-17

May-17

Sep-17

Jan-18

May-18

Sep-18

Jan-19

May-19

San Francisco Ultra-Luxury Condo Market Dynamics

Average Days on Market, Sales Prices of $3 Million+

Chart reflects listings and sales of condos, co-ops and TICs reported to MLS only. Many new-project condo sales

are not reported. Data from sources deemed reliable, but may contain errors and subject to revision. All numbers

should be considered approximate.

6-month rolling MLS data per Infosparks for condos, co-ops and TICs through 8/31/19

Average Days on Market (DOM) measures the average amount of

time between a listing going on market and accepting an offer

(for those listings that accept offers). Generally speaking, the

lower the average DOM figure, the stronger the buyer demand.

More expensive homes typically have longer average days on

market figures than the general market.

Page 17: The San Francisco Luxury Condo, Co-op & TIC Market...Homes Sold, $2.5m+: No Price Reduction Homes Sold, $2.5m+: 1+ Price Reductions No price cut prior to sale No price cut prior to

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Apr-13

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Oct-13

Jan-14

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Jul-14

Oct-14

Jan-15

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Jan-19

Apr-19

Jul-19

MSI - Ultra-Luxury Condos, $3 Million+

MSI - Luxury Condos, $2m - $2.99m

San Francisco Luxury Condo Market Dynamics

Months Supply of Inventory (MSI), Listings & Sales of $2 Million+

Chart reflects listings and sales reported to MLS only. Many new-project condo sales are not reported. Data from sourcesdeemed reliable, but may contain errors and subject to revision. All numbers should be considered approximate.

6-month rolling MLS data per Infosparks for condos, co-ops and TICs through 8/31/19

MSI measures how long it would take to sell theinventory of active listings at the existing annual rate ofsale. The lower the MSI, the stronger the buyer demandas compared to the supply of listings on market.

Softer market ▲Stronger market ▼

Page 18: The San Francisco Luxury Condo, Co-op & TIC Market...Homes Sold, $2.5m+: No Price Reduction Homes Sold, $2.5m+: 1+ Price Reductions No price cut prior to sale No price cut prior to

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Jan-05

Jul-05

Jan-06

Jul-06

Jan-07

Jul-07

Jan-08

Jul-08

Jan-09

Jul-09

Jan-10

Jul-10

Jan-11

Jul-11

Jan-12

Jul-12

Jan-13

Jul-13

Jan-14

Jul-14

Jan-15

Jul-15

Jan-16

Jul-16

Jan-17

Jul-17

Jan-18

Jul-18

Jan-19

Jul-19

% of Luxury House Sales over List Price

% of Luxury Condo-Co-op Sales over LP

Percentage of Luxury Home Sales over Final List Price

12-Month Rolling Data since 2005

Condo-co-op percentage includes sales of TICs. Data from sources deemedreliable, but may contain errors and subject to revision. All numbers approximate.

12-month rolling sales data reported to MLS, per Infosparks through 8/31/19

Each data point reflects 12 months of sales.

Previous market boom

Market crash & recession

2012 – present recovery

Houses selling for $3m+; Condos, co-ops, TICs, $2m+

Percentages have not been adjusted for previous price reductions.Nor does this statistic adjust for those listings that do not sell at all.

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0

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10

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30

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50

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70

Jan-05

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Jan-09

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Jan-12

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Jan-14

Jul-14

Jan-15

Jul-15

Jan-16

Jul-16

Jan-17

Jul-17

Jan-18

Jul-18

Jan-19

Jul-19

Average Monthly # of Active Listings at End of Month

Average # of Monthly Sales

Each data point is the monthly average for the rolling 12-month period.

↑SUPPLY

↑DEMAND

San Francisco Luxury Condo, Co-op & TIC Market since 2005

Average Monthly Listings vs. Sales, Priced $2m - $2,999,999

Chart reflects condo, coop and TIC sales reported to MLS only. Many luxury new project condos are not listed on

MLS and their sales are often not reported to MLS. Data from sources deemed reliable, but may contain errors

and subject to revision. All numbers are approximate.

12-month rolling MLS data per Infosparks through 8/31/19

Active condo, co-op & TIC listings (at end of month) and sales, priced $2m to $2.999m: 12-month rolling averages.

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0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

Jan-05

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May-13

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Jan-14

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Jan-15

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May-16

Sep-16

Jan-17

May-17

Sep-17

Jan-18

May-18

Sep-18

Jan-19

May-19

Average Monthly # of Active Listings at End of Month

Average # of Monthly Sales

Each data point is the monthly average for the rolling 12-month period.

San Francisco Ultra-Luxury Condo & Co-op Market since 2005

Average Monthly Listings vs. Sales, Priced $3 Million & Above

Chart reflects condo, coop and TIC sales reported to MLS only. Many ultra-luxury new project condos are notlisted on MLS and their sales are often not reported to MLS. Data from sources deemed reliable, but may containerrors and subject to revision. All numbers are approximate.

12-month rolling MLS data per Infosparks through 8/31/19

Active condo and co-op listings (at end of month) and sales, priced$3 million and above: 12-month rolling averages. Does not includenew-project condo listings and sales unreported to MLS

SUPPLY

DEMAND

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Ratio of Expired/Withdrawn (No Sale) Listings to Sold ListingsSan Francisco Ultra-Luxury Condo & Co-op Market – Prices $3 Million+

104%

120%

253%

160%

85%76%

148%147%

41%47%

150%

106%

61%

0%

50%

100%

150%

200%

250%

Q2

20

19

Q1

20

19

Q4

20

18

Q3

20

18

Q2

20

18

Q1

20

18

Q4

20

17

Q3

20

17

Q2

20

17

Q1

20

17

Q4

20

16

Q3

20

16

Q2

20

16

Sales reported to MLS, per Broker Metrics. Data from sources deemed reliable, but may contain errors and subject to revision. All numbers are approximate.

This chart compares the number of ultra-luxury condo/co-oplistings pulled off the market without selling, to the number soldin the quarter. So, for example, in Q2 2019, for every 10 ultra-luxury condo/co-op sales, 10 listings priced $3m+ expired or werewithdrawn without selling (i.e., a ratio of 104%).

Many of these percentages would be considered extremely high.

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20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Jan-12

Mar-12

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Mar-13

May-13

Jul-13

Sep-13

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Jan-14

Mar-14

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Jan-15

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Sep-15

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Mar-17

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Jul-17

Sep-17

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Mar-18

May-18

Jul-18

Sep-18

Nov-18

Jan-19

Mar-19

May-19

Jul-19

San Francisco Luxury Condo Sales by District

12-Month Rolling Sales Figures, Sales $2 Million+

Neighborhood descriptions refer to larger districts. Includes sales of condos, co-ops and TICs reported to MLS. Some new-condo projects do not report sales to MLS . Data from sources deemed reliable, but may contain

errors and subject to revision.

District 7 condo, co-op and TIC sales data reported to MLS per Infosparks

Each data point reflects 12 months of MLS sales: Averagemonthly sales volumes = 1/12 of these compiled figures.

Sales in Pacific & Presidio Heights, Cow Hollow & Marinaby month since 2012

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10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Jan-12

Mar-12

May-12

Jul-12

Sep-12

Nov-12

Jan-13

Mar-13

May-13

Jul-13

Sep-13

Nov-13

Jan-14

Mar-14

May-14

Jul-14

Sep-14

Nov-14

Jan-15

Mar-15

May-15

Jul-15

Sep-15

Nov-15

Jan-16

Mar-16

May-16

Jul-16

Sep-16

Nov-16

Jan-17

Mar-17

May-17

Jul-17

Sep-17

Nov-17

Jan-18

Mar-18

May-18

Jul-18

Sep-18

Nov-18

Jan-19

Mar-19

May-19

Jul-19

Sales in Russian, Nob & Telegraph Hills; North Beach & Financial District

by month since 2012

San Francisco Luxury Condo Sales by District

12-Month Rolling Sales Figures, Sales $2 Million+

Neighborhood descriptions refer to larger districts. Includes sales of condos, co-ops and TICs reported to MLS. Some new-condo projects do not report sales to MLS . Data from sources deemed reliable, but may contain

errors and subject to revision.

District 8 condo, co-op and TIC sales data reported to MLS per Infosparks

Each data point reflects 12 months of MLS sales: Averagemonthly sales volumes = 1/12 of these compiled figures.

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0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Jan-12

Mar-12

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Nov-12

Jan-13

Mar-13

May-13

Jul-13

Sep-13

Nov-13

Jan-14

Mar-14

May-14

Jul-14

Sep-14

Nov-14

Jan-15

Mar-15

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Sales in South Beach, Yerba Buena, Mission Bay, SoMa, Inner Mission, Potrero Hill

San Francisco Luxury Condo Sales by District

12-Month Rolling Sales Figures, Sales $2 Million+

Neighborhood descriptions refer to larger districts. Includes sales of condos, co-ops and TICs reported to MLS.

Some new-condo projects do not report sales to MLS . Data from sources deemed reliable, but may contain

errors and subject to revision.

District 9 condo, co-op and TIC sales data reported to MLS per Infosparks

Each data point reflects 12 months of MLS sales: Averagemonthly sales volumes = 1/12 of these compiled figures.

Financial markets volatility, increased supply fromnew construction and issues at Millennium Towercaused a large, temporary drop in sales ↓↓↓

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0

5

10

15

20

25

30

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Jan-12

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Jul-19

Sales in Noe, Eureka & Cole Valleys; Ashbury, Corona & Parnassus Heights; Mission Dolores

San Francisco Luxury Condo Sales by District

12-Month Rolling Sales Figures, Sales $2 Million+

Neighborhood descriptions refer to larger districts. Includes sales of condos, co-ops and TICs reported to MLS.

Some new-condo projects do not report sales to MLS . Data from sources deemed reliable, but may contain

errors and subject to revision.

District 5 condo, co-op and TIC sales data reported to MLS per Infosparks

Each data point reflects 12 months of MLSsales: Average monthly sales volumes =1/12 of these compiled figures.

Page 26: The San Francisco Luxury Condo, Co-op & TIC Market...Homes Sold, $2.5m+: No Price Reduction Homes Sold, $2.5m+: 1+ Price Reductions No price cut prior to sale No price cut prior to

San Francisco Luxury Condo SalesSales by Era of Construction, Sales Prices $2 Million+

115

3129

9

41

53

2000 - 2017

1980 - 1999

1960 - 1979

1940 - 1959

1920 - 1939

1919 & earlier

Built 1920 - 1939

Built 1980 - 1999

Built 1940 - 1959

Built 1960 - 1979

* Includes estimate of new-project sales not reported to MLS. Based on data from sources deemedreliable, but may contain errors and subject to revision. All numbers to be considered approximate.

Estimated condo, co-op and TIC sales in 2017

Era of Construction

Built 1919 & earlier

Built 2000 – 2017*

Of the luxury condos, co-ops & TICs soldin the 12-month period, about 15% -20% were newly built condos.* For theMLS sales, the avg. $/sq.ft. was $1582.

41 sales did not specifyyear of construction.

Victorian & Edwardian

The avg. $/sq.ft. for all 293 salesreported to MLS was $1380.

Page 27: The San Francisco Luxury Condo, Co-op & TIC Market...Homes Sold, $2.5m+: No Price Reduction Homes Sold, $2.5m+: 1+ Price Reductions No price cut prior to sale No price cut prior to

$0

$200

$400

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$1,000

$1,200

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Sotheby'sIntl.

Vanguard Zephyr ColdwellBanker

McGuire KellerWilliams

Sale

s in

Mill

ion

s o

f D

olla

rs

San Francisco High-Price Home Sales*Top 7 Brokerages, Sales Prices of $2 Million+

Seller Representation Buyer Representation

12 months residential sales reported to MLS through 2/28/19*

*12 months dollar volume sales by transaction sides reported to MLS through 2/28/19, combining the merged company totals of Compass, Pacific Union, Paragon, Alain Pinel, Hill & Mark Co., per Broker Metrics.

Home Sales in Millions of DollarsHomes Selling for $2,000,000+

Page 28: The San Francisco Luxury Condo, Co-op & TIC Market...Homes Sold, $2.5m+: No Price Reduction Homes Sold, $2.5m+: 1+ Price Reductions No price cut prior to sale No price cut prior to

$0

$100

$200

$300

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Sotheby'sIntl.

Vanguard ColdwellBanker

McGuire Zephyr KellerWilliams

Sale

s in

Mill

ion

s o

f D

olla

rs

San Francisco Luxury Home Sales*Top 7 Brokerages, Sales Prices of $3 Million+

Seller Representation Buyer Representation

12 months residential sales reported to MLS through 2/28/19*

*12 months dollar volume sales by transaction sides reported to MLS through 2/28/19, combining the merged company totals of Compass, Pacific Union, Paragon, Alain Pinel, Hill & Mark Co., per Broker Metrics.

Luxury Home Sales in Millions of DollarsHomes Selling for $3,000,000+

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$0

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Sotheby's Coldwell Banker Vanguard McGuire Zephyr

Sale

s in

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s o

f D

olla

rs

San Francisco Ultra-Luxury Home Sales*Top 7 Brokerages, Sales Prices of $5 Million+

Seller Representation Buyer Representation

12 months residential sales reported to MLS through 2/28/19*

*12 months dollar volume sales by transaction sides reported to MLS through 2/28/19, combining the merged company totals of Compass, Pacific Union, Paragon, Alain Pinel, Hill & Mark Co., per Broker Metrics.

Ultra-Luxury Home Sales in Millions of DollarsHomes Selling for $5,000,000+

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$0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

$5,000

$6,000

Coldwell Banker Intero GG Sotheby's Sotheby's Intl. KellerWilliams

SerenoGroup

Sale

s in

Mill

ion

s o

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olla

rs

Bay Area Luxury Home Sales – Prices $3 Million+Top 7 Brokerages by Dollar Volume Sales

San Francisco, San Mateo, Santa Clara, Alameda, Contra Costa, Marin, Napa & Sonoma Counties

Homes Selling for $3,000,000 & AboveTotal Sales in Millions of Dollars*

*12 months dollar volume sales by transaction sides reported to MLS by 2/28/19, combining the merged company totals of Compass, Alain Pinel, Hill, Pacific Union and Paragon, per Broker Metrics.

Residential sales reported to MLS, per Broker Metrics*

$3 Billion in Sales

$5 Billion in Sales

$1 Billion in Sales

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$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

Coldwell Banker GG Sotheby's Sotheby's Intl. Deleon Keller Williams Intero

Sale

s in

Mill

ion

s o

f D

olla

rs

Bay Area Luxury Home Sales - Prices $5 Million+Top 7 Brokerages by Dollar Volume Sales

San Francisco, San Mateo, Santa Clara, Alameda, Contra Costa, Marin, Napa & Sonoma Counties

Homes Selling for $5,000,000 & AboveTotal Sales in Millions of Dollars*

*12 months dollar volume sales by transaction sides reported to MLS by 2/28/19, combining the merged company totals of Compass, Alain Pinel, Hill, Pacific Union and Paragon, per Broker Metrics.

Residential sales reported to MLS, per Broker Metrics*

$1 Billion in Sales

$2 Billion in Sales

$500 Million in Sales

$1.5 Billion in Sales

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$0

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

$600

$700

Coldwell Banker GG Sotheby's Sotheby's Intl. Deleon GreenBanker

KellerWilliams

Sale

s in

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ion

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olla

rs

Bay Area Luxury Home Sales - Prices $10 Million+Top 7 Brokerages by Dollar Volume Sales

San Francisco, San Mateo, Santa Clara, Alameda, Contra Costa, Marin, Napa & Sonoma Counties

Homes Selling for $10,000,000 & AboveTotal Sales in Millions of Dollars*

*12 months dollar volume sales by transaction sides reported to MLS by 2/28/19, combining the merged company totals of Compass, Alain Pinel, Hill, Pacific Union and Paragon, per Broker Metrics.

Residential sales reported to MLS, per Broker Metrics*

Page 33: The San Francisco Luxury Condo, Co-op & TIC Market...Homes Sold, $2.5m+: No Price Reduction Homes Sold, $2.5m+: 1+ Price Reductions No price cut prior to sale No price cut prior to

Median Sales Price is that price at which half the properties sold for more and half for less. It may be affected by economic events, bychanges in inventory and buying trends – especially in the new construction and luxury home segments – as well as by changes in fairmarket value. The median sales price for an area will often conceal an enormous variety of sales prices in the underlying individual sales.

Dollar per Square Foot is based upon the home’s interior living space and does not include garages, unfinished attics and basements,rooms built without permit, patios, decks or yards (though all those can add value to a home). These figures are usually derived fromappraisals or tax records, but can be measured in different ways, are sometimes unreliable (especially for older homes) or unreportedaltogether. The calculation can only be made on those home sales that reported square footage. Generally speaking, all things beingequal, a larger home will sell at a lower dollar per square foot value.

Typically, the fewer the sales, the less reliable the statistic. This is especially true of areas with sales across a very wide range of individualsales prices, such as is often the case in the most expensive market segments. Statistics in these areas can sometimes fluctuatedramatically without great significance. Longer term trends are more meaningful than short term fluctuations.

How these statistics apply to the fair market value of any particular home is impossible to know without a specific comparativemarket analysis.

Data from MLS sales. It may contain errors and is subject to revision. All numbers in this analysis should be considered approximate.

Compass is a real estate broker licensed by the State of California, DRE 01527235. Equal Housing Opportunity. This report has beenprepared solely for information purposes. The information herein is based on or derived from information generally available to the publicand/or from sources believed to be reliable. No representation or warranty can be given with respect to the accuracy or completeness ofthe information. Compass disclaims any and all liability relating to this report, including without limitation any express or impliedrepresentations or warranties for statements contained in, and omissions from, the report. Nothing contained herein is intended to be orshould be read as any regulatory, legal, tax, accounting or other advice and Compass does not provide such advice. All opinions aresubject to change without notice. Compass makes no representation regarding the accuracy of any statements regarding any referencesto the laws, statutes or regulations of any state are those of the author(s). Past performance is no guarantee of future results.