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r random in 0 ↔1. Test to STOP. The Simulator. (AT FIXED METALLICITY). Random Extraction of Mass-Age pair. Place Synthetic Star on HRD. Convert (L,Teff) into (Mag,Col). Apply Photometric Error. NO. YES. Notify: Astrated Mass, # of WDs,BHs,TPAGB. EXIT. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Lectures on Stellar PopulationsJune 2006
The Simulator
Random Extraction of Mass-Age pair
(AT FIXED METALLICITY)
Place Synthetic Star on HRD
Convert (L,Teff) into (Mag,Col)
Apply Photometric Error
Test to STOP
y
y
r
r nn
dyyndrrn )()(
r random in 0↔1
x
n
n
y
y
y
y
dyyn
dyyn
r
)(
)(
EXITYESNO Notify: Astrated Mass,
# of WDs,BHs,TPAGB..
Lectures on Stellar PopulationsJune 2006
Interpolation between tracks: lifetimes
Lectures on Stellar PopulationsJune 2006
Interpolation between Tracks: L and Teff of low mass stars
Lectures on Stellar PopulationsJune 2006
Interpolation between Tracks:L and Teff of intermediate mass stars
Lectures on Stellar PopulationsJune 2006
Photometric Error: Completeness
NGC 1705(Tosi et al. 2001)
Completeness levels:0.95 % thick0.75 % thin0.50 % thick0.25% thin
Lectures on Stellar PopulationsJune 2006
Photometric errors: σDAO and Δm
Lectures on Stellar PopulationsJune 2006
Crowding
..erjj Sn
2jn
2''..
5
..
..2
104.2 Mpcsq
erjjerj
erj dSnNn
Nncrow
# of stars j in one resolution element (r.e.)
jS
2.. )5.0( er
where Sj is the srf density of j stars and σr.e. is the area intercepted
Probability of j+j blend is
Degree of Crowding in the frameWith Nr.e resolution elements is
depends on SFH:
In VII Zw 403 (BCD) we detect with HST 55 RSG, 140 bright AGB and 530 RGT(1) stars/Kpc2
Observed with OmegaCAM we get crow=0.1 at 17,10 and 5.6 Mpc for the 3 kinds resp.
In Phoenix (DSp) we detect >4200 RC stars/Kpc2: with OmegaCAM crow is 0.1 already at 2 Mpc
Lectures on Stellar PopulationsJune 2006
Another way to put it:(Renzini 1998)
..2
erj Nn
jj tLBn )(
..
222
..2
.. ))((er
framejerjer N
LtBNtLB
# of blends in my frame is
# of j stars in my frame (if SSP) is where L is the lum sampledby the r.e.
# of blends in my frame becomes
# of blends increases with the square of the Luminosity and decreaseswith the number of resolution elements
Lectures on Stellar PopulationsJune 2006
Pixels and Frames: Example
)mod(4.010 BoBB MABL 11102.2)15( GyrBBbol LL 5.2
MyrtLPV 25.0 MyrtRGBT 5
(2)(3)
(1)
(4)
(1) A.O.: σ(r.e.) ≈ 0.14x0.14 ….. nRGT ≈ 8 in one r.e.(2) HST: σ(r.e.) ≈ 0.06x0.06…..nRGTxnRGT≈2e-04 … N(r.e.)≈1e+05(3) …………………………………………≈ 2e-05…..(4) GB : σ(r.e.)≈0.3 sq.arcsec….n RGTxnRGT≈0.044…N(r.e.)≈1.3e+04
Lectures on Stellar PopulationsJune 2006
How Robust is the Result?The statistical estimator does not account for systematic errors
Theoretical Transformed Errors Applied
EACH STEP BRINGS ALONG ITS OWN UNCERTAINTIESTHE SYSTEMATIC ERROR IS DIFFUCULT TO GAUGE
Lectures on Stellar PopulationsJune 2006
Why and How Well does the Method Work?
Think of the composite CMD as a superposition of SSPs,
each described by an isochrone
The number of stars in is proportional to the Mass that went into stars at τ ≈0.1 GyThis is valid for all the PMS boxes, with different proportionality factors
)( 0 starsboxj MN
Perform the exercise for all isochrones
)(starsM
Lectures on Stellar PopulationsJune 2006
Methods for Solution: Blind Fit
used by Hernandez, Gilmore and Valls GabaudHarris and Zaritsky (STARFISH)
Cole; Holtzman; Dolphin
Dolphin 2002, MNRAS 332,91: Review of methods and description of Blind fit
•Generate a grid of partial model CMD with stars in small ranges of ages and metallicities•Construct Hess diagram for each partial model CMD•Generate a grid of models by combining partial CMDs according to SFR(t) and Z(t)
DATA PURE MODEL PARTIAL CMD
Ages: 1112 Gyr[M/H]:-1.75 -1.65
Lectures on Stellar PopulationsJune 2006
•Use a statistical estimator to judge the fit: mi is the number of synthetic objects in bin i ni is the number of data points in bin i
i i
iiii
ii
n
i i
i
m
nnnmPLRfit
mnn
mPLR
i
)ln(2ln2
)exp(
•Minimize fit -- get best fit + a quantitative measure of the quality of the fit
Lectures on Stellar PopulationsJune 2006
My prejudice:
•The model CMDs may NOT contain the solution
If wrong Z is used, the blind method will give a solution,but not THE SOLUTION
•The method requires a lot of computing: Does this really improve the solution? (apart from giving a quantitative estimate of the quality of the fit)
Dolphin: “ The solution with RGB+HB was extremely successful, measuring…the SFH with nearly the sameaccuracy as the fit to the entireCMD.”
Lectures on Stellar PopulationsJune 2006
Methods for Solution: Tailored Fit
Count the stars in the diagnostic boxes:Their number scales with the mass inStars in the corresponding age range
Younger than 10 Myr
Between 10 and 50 Myr
Between 50 Myr and 1 Gyr
Construct partial CMD constrained to reproducethe star’s counts within the boxes.The partial CMDs are coherently populated alsowith stars outside the boxes
Lectures on Stellar PopulationsJune 2006
• Compare the total simulation to the data
Use your knowledge ofStellar evolution to improvethe fit AND decide where you cannot improve, andwhere you need a perfectmatch
The two methods shouldbe viewed as complementary
Lectures on Stellar PopulationsJune 2006
Simulation
Lectures on Stellar PopulationsJune 2006
What have we learnt
When computing the simulations we should pay attention to
• The description of the details in the shape of the tracks, and the evolutionary lifetimes (use normalized independent variable)• The description of photometric errors, blending and completeness (evaluate crowding conditions: if there is more than 1 star per resolution element the photometry is bad; crowding condition depends on sampled luminosity, size of the resolution element and star’s magnitude)
Different methods exist to solve for the SFH:
the BLIND FIT is statistically good, but does not account for systematic errors; it seems too complicated on one hand,
could miss the real target of measuring the mass in stars on the other;
the TAILORED FIT goes straight to the point of measuring the mass in stars of the various components of the stellar population; it’s unfit for automatic use; the solution reflects the prejudice of the modeler; the quality of the fit is judged only in a rough way.