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THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

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Page 1: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

THE USE OF ECONOMIC

INSTRUMENTS FOR

ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD

COUNTRIESNils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

Page 2: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

Why use environmental taxes?

They provide economic incentives to change environmentally harmful behaviour.

They equalise marginal costs of compliance => Least-cost instruments (Static efficiency).

They provide incentives for continued technological development (Dynamic efficiency).

They raise revenues that can be recycled, be used to reduce distorting taxes (e.g. on labour) or be used to strengthen public finances.

2

Page 3: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

Environmentally related taxes

OECD defines environmentally related taxes as any compulsory, unrequited payment to general government levied on tax-bases deemed to be of particular environmental relevance (e.g., energy use, motor vehicles, measured emissions, hazardous chemicals).

“Unrequited”: benefits provided by government to taxpayers are not normally in proportion to payments.

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Page 4: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

4

Revenues from environmentally related taxes in OECD countries, Per cent of GDP, 2013

Mex

ico

Uni

ted

Stat

esCa

nada

Chile

New

Zea

land

Japa

nSl

ovak

Rep

ublic

Swit

zerl

and

Spai

nPo

land

Fran

ceIc

elan

dBe

lgiu

mG

erm

any

Aus

tral

iaN

orw

ayLu

xem

bour

gA

ustr

iaKo

rea

Port

ugal

Irel

and

Swed

enEs

toni

aU

nite

d Ki

ngdo

mG

reec

e H

unga

ryCz

ech

Repu

blic

Ital

yIs

rael

Finl

and

Net

herl

ands

Den

mar

kTu

rkey

Slov

enia

Wei

ghte

d av

erag

e

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

Other Motor vehicles Energy

% o

f GD

P

Revenues from the Carbon Pricing Mechanism was equal to 0.38% of GDP in fiscal year 2013.

Page 5: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

5

Taxes on petrol and diesel in selected countries01.01.2014

Uni

ted

Sta

tes

Aus

tral

ia

Chi

le

Japa

nLu

xem

bour

g

Por

tuga

l

Irel

and

Sw

itzer

land

Fra

nce

Ger

man

y

Gre

ece

Fin

land

Uni

ted

Kin

gdom

Net

herla

nds

Tur

key

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9Petrol Diesel

EU

R p

er l

itre

Page 6: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

Taxing Energy Use

Energy use is important to modern economies, but it also has important environmental consequences Taxing Energy Use: A Graphical Analysis (2013)

Systematically described taxes on all energy use in OECD countriesAnalysed tax patterns for different fuels & users

Taxing Energy Use 2015: OECD and Selected Partner EconomiesCross-country analysis for all 41 countriesDetailed country chapters for Argentina, Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Russia & South AfricaCountry chapters & graphical profiles of energy use & taxation

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Page 7: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

0 100000000 200000000 300000000 400000000

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

World energy use

Total energy use (EJs)

% of world energy use

0 100000000 200000000 300000000 400000000

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

OECD

USA JPN

DE

UC

AN

FR

AK

OR

Re

st o

f OE

CD

Rest of world

Total energy use (EJs)

% of world energy use

0 100000000 200000000 300000000 400000000

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

OECD SPE

Rest of worldUSA JPN

DE

UC

AN

FR

AK

OR

Re

st o

f OE

CD

CHN IND RUS

BR

AID

NZ

AF

AR

G

Total energy use (EJs)

% of world energy use

World energy use

Source | Taxing Energy Use 2015: OECD & Selected Partner Economies (OECD, 2015)

Page 8: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

8

Taxes on energy use in selected countries EUR per tonne of CO2, energy use of 2009, tax rates as of 01.05. or 01.07.2012 (Australia).

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%0

100

200

300

400

500

SWE

KORJPN

NZL

CHN

AUS

Effective tax rate (EUR per tonne CO2)

Cumulative carbon emissions from energy use

Page 9: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

0

40

80

120

160

200

GB

R

Oil products Coal Natural gas Combustibles, biofuels & waste Economy-wide

Tax rate (EUR per tonne CO2)Size of bubbles represents each fuel’s share in total emissions from energy use

0

40

80

120

160

200

CH

L

DN

K

FR

A

DE

U

ITA

JP

N

KO

R

ME

X

NLD

SW

E

CH

E

GB

R

US

A

=>

AR

G

=>

BR

A

=>

CH

N

=>

IND

=>

IDN

=>

RU

S

=>

ZA

F

Oil products Coal Natural gas Combustibles, biofuels & waste Economy-wide

Tax rate (EUR per tonne CO2)Size of bubbles represents each fuel’s share in total emissions from energy use

0

40

80

120

160

200

Oil products Coal Natural gas Combustibles, biofuels & waste Economy-wide

Size of bubbles represents each fuel’s share in total emissions from energy useTax rate (EUR per tonne CO2)

Effective tax rates on CO₂ from different energy sources

Page 10: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

COMPETITIVENESS IMPACTS OF ENERGY TAXES

Page 11: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

Carbon prices increase abatement.No effects of carbon and energy taxes on various competitiveness indicators, one small negative effect of energy taxes on employment.Generally no effects of the EU ETS on various indicators of competitiveness

slight decreases in employment found in one sectorincreased profitability for power generators.

Evaluations of energy price fluctuations identify slight increases in imports as a response to increased energy prices.Most estimations are based on schemes which include exemptions.Industry sometimes claims that it is the exemptions that “save them”.

Survey of all ex post studies suggestsOECD Environment Working Paper, No. 87.

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Page 12: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

Tax introduced in steps from 1999 to 2003.Full rate: EUR 20.5 per MWh from 2003.

wholesale electricity price ~ EUR 30 – 65 per MWh.

effective tax on carbon content EUR 44.4 per MWh.

Reduced rates for firms in manufacturing sector.Apply above certain thresholds of electricity use.

Resulting variation used to identify effect of reduced electricity tax rates.

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German tax on electricityOECD Environment Working Paper, No. 88.

Page 13: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

13

Effect of reduced marginal tax rate on

Source: Based on Flues and Lutz (2014)

Page 14: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

THE DISTRIBUTIONAL EFFECTS OF ENERGY TAXES

Page 15: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

Methodology:

Calculate energy taxes with a micro-simulation model based on Household Budget Survey (HBS) expenditure micro-data

Assess income (or expenditure share) spent on energy taxes as percentage of net income (or pre-tax expenditure) across income (or expenditure) deciles.

Possible measures of distributional effects:

Share of net income by income deciles

Share of pre-tax expenditure by expenditure deciles

Money spent on energy taxes by income or expenditure deciles

15

IntroductionOECD Taxation Working Papers, No. 23.

Page 16: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

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Transport fuels

Page 17: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

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Heating fuels

Page 18: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

Heating fuel taxes are slightly regressiveCounteracting effects

More heating by poorer households required

Older houses with poorer insulation

Less heating by poorer households required

Fewer square metres

Apartment blocks instead of detached houses

Potentially more vigilant.

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Heating fuels

Page 19: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

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Electricity

Page 20: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

Electricity taxes are more regressive than heating fuel taxes

Likely difficult for poorer households to conserve on electricity use

Fixed amount needed for, e.g., fridge and freezer

Substitutes for fuel use

Transport fuels: public transport, ride sharing, bicycle

Heating fuels: fewer m2, apartment blocks, increased vigilance

Electricity ???

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Electricity

Page 21: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

Distributional effects ~ relative expenditures on energy (as % of income or total expenditure).

Energy affordability ~ absolute expenditures on energy. Any additional spending on energy may be a challenge poor households.

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Energy affordability & distributional effects

Page 22: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

A third of the revenues is distributed back to households via

A targeted cash-transfer, or

A lump-sum transfer

Two reform scenarios are analysed

No behavioural adjustments assumed

Households adjust energy use in response to reform

The reform increases prices on heating fuels and electricity in most, but not all countries – as the simulated reform replaces any pre-existing taxes.

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Simulation of an energy tax reform I

Page 23: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

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Effects of reform on high domestic energy expenditure share

Percentage change in share of households with high domestic energy expenditure,accounting for behavioural adjustments

Page 24: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTIVENESS

Page 25: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

Impacts of the Danish tax on SO2

Million kg 1995 2000 2005 2010 2013

Energy Industries 110.7 12.7 8.0 3.9 3.6

Industries and construction 12.9 7.9 6.6 3.7 2.8

Transport 7.4 2.2 2.4 1.6 1.4

Non-industrial combustion 8.0 4.5 4.2 3.0 2.6

Fugitive emissions from fuels 3.2 1.0 0.6 1.3 0.7

Industrial processes 3.5 3.4 3.4 1.3 2.0

Waste 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6

Total 146.5 32.4 25.8 15.3 13.6

The tax give incentives to (1) shift to fuels with less sulphur, (2) remove sulphur from fuels (3) invest in equipment, which clean smoke (4) use less fuels.

Tax rate = 1.5 Euro per kg. Introduced in 1996Power plants were included from 2000.

Page 26: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

The Swedish NOx tax: Emissions

260

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

0.35

0.4

0.45

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10

kt N

Ox p

er T

Wh

Kt

NO

x e

mit

ted

& T

Wh

en

erg

y p

rod

uc

ed

kt NOx emitted

TWh useful energy

kt NOx per TWh (right axis)

Page 27: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

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Changes in revenues due to sulphur-differentiation of fuel tax rates in the United Kingdom

0

2 000

4 000

6 000

8 000

10 000

12 000

14 000

16 000

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

GB

P m

illio

ns

- Uneaded petrol

- Leaded petrol

- Ultra-low sulphur petrol

- Diesel

- Ultra-low sulphur diesel

Reduced tax rate for ultra-low sulphur petrol

Reduced tax rate for ultra-low sulphur diesel

Page 28: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

EFFECTIVE CARBON PRICES

Page 29: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

Effective carbon prices

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OECD published the book Effective Carbon Prices in November 2013

The book looked at the amount of GHG abatement different policy instruments contribute to; the costs to society of achieving this abatement; and, hence, the costs to society per tonne of CO2eq abated.

Covers electricity generation, road transport, pulp & paper, cement, as well as households’ domestic energy use in 15 Countries, including Australia.

Keep in mind: A high effective carbon price can stem from an ambitious policy – or from an inefficient policy.

www.oecd.org/env/tools-evaluation/carbon-prices.htm

Page 30: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

The highest costs per tonne of CO2 abated are associated with subsidies for renewables, energy-efficient appliances, etc., and feed-in tariff systems.

The lowest costs per tonne were found for trading systems.

The costs were particularly low when the trading systems addressed the environmental externality as directly as possible – like with a trading system for GHG emission allowances (rather than indirectly, such as e.g. “tradable renewables certificates”).

This confirms “textbook suggestions” that trading systems (and broad-based fuel taxes) are the most economically efficient policy tools to mitigate climate change.

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Electricity generation

Page 31: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

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Average effective carbon prices in the electricity sector, by instrument category, EUR2010 per tonne CO2

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

2010

EU

R pe

r to

nne

of C

O 2ab

ated Min

MaxSimple average

Page 32: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

There are clear differences in effective carbon prices:within a given sector, across the countries covered;

across the different sectors, within each country;

across the different instrument types, across all the countries covered.

The study demonstrates clearly that taxes and emission trading systems are much more cost-effective than other policy instruments that countries apply.

Many of the other instruments countries apply to limit GHG emissions (feed-in tariffs and other subsidies to renewables, various subsidies for low-emission product alternatives, etc.) are very costly per tonne of CO2eq abated.

It will be very difficult to reach more ambitious, and urgently needed, abatement objectives if countries continue to focus their efforts on such inefficient instruments. 3

2

To sum up …

Page 33: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

STEPS TOWARDS SETTING TAX RATES THAT REFLECT MARGINAL DAMAGES

Page 34: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

Textbooks in environmental economics suggest internalising environmental externalities through “Pigouvian” tax rates – using tax rates that reflect the marginal external costs to society.

In practical policy making, this is easier said than done – e.g. due to a lack of knowledge about the magnitude of these marginal social costs.

There will always be “gaps” to fill in this regard, but recent and on-going OECD work should allow some further steps to be taken.

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Introduction

Page 35: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

This 2014 book combined estimates of mortalities caused by outdoor air pollution from the 2010 GBD study with VSL figures based on an OECD meta-analysis of VSL estimates.

Outdoor air pollution cost OECD countries alone almost USD 1.6 trillion in 2010; China USD 1.3 trillion and India USD 0.5 trillion.

Somewhat lower 2013 GDB mortality estimates have just been published, but the cost in OECD countries nevertheless were USD 1.5 trillion.

VSL in China has been increased 15%.

A very recent study by KCL indicates that NO2 cause more mortalities (in London, UK) than what PM2.5 does. 3

5

The Cost of Air Pollution

Page 36: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

For setting “Pigouvian” tax rates it is necessary to know how much each of the taxable goods or services contributes at the margin to the total air pollution costs.

This requires information about how much of the pollution is caused per litre of transport fuels; per tonne of different fuels used per kWh of electricity generated; etc.

The book estimated that on average in OECD countries, road transport caused approximately 50% of the air pollution.

Estimates for individual countries are lacking, as earlier indications on the shares of different pollution sources in total emissions have not been updated.

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The Cost of Air Pollution

Page 37: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

The Cost of Air Pollution added 10% to reflect social costs of morbidity impacts of outdoor air pollution.

Recent empirical evidence indicate such an order of magnitude, but more work is needed.

An upcoming ENV Working Paper will provide a more in-depth discussion of morbidity costs of outdoor air pollution.

Agrees that the greatest impacts are from increased mortality in adults attributable to long-term exposure to outdoor PM, …

…but both PM and ozone also cause a wide range of less serious health outcomes.

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Social costs of morbidity impacts of outdoor air pollution I

Page 38: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

Many projects and public policies in various sectors can have large impacts on GHG emissions.

It is thus important how countries take these impacts into account in their assessments, ex ante and ex post.

This is of relevance for any attempt to set “Pigouvian” tax rates in relation to energy use and transport.

An upcoming ENV Working Paper discusses the range of approaches which can be employed to value changes in GHG emissions in policy and project appraisals, and presents a survey of current practice in OECD countries.

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Monetary carbon values in policy appraisalOECD Environment Working Papers, No. 92

Page 39: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

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Summary of questionnaire responses

  Transport investments

Energy investments

New policy assessments

Ex post assessments

Are there clear criteria for how to include GHG emission changes in CBAs?

Yes 63% 40% 24% 13%No 37% 60% 76% 87%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100%

What is the share of cases in the last 3-5 years where impacts on GHG emissions have been part of the CBAs?

All 6% 7% 7% 0%Most 41% 21% 14% 20%Some 12% 29% 7% 0%A few 18% 7% 21% 10%Not known 12% 14% 36% 30%None 12% 21% 14% 40%Total 100% 100% 100% 100%

What is the unweighted average of the values of a tonne of CO2eq that have been reported – in USD in 2014 money value?

2014 57 38 56 532020 66 47 82 682030 99 67 115 1042050 164 153 237 2482100 349 467 467 467Average 147 154 191 188

Page 40: THE USE OF ECONOMIC INSTRUMENTS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY IN OECD COUNTRIES Nils Axel Braathen, Principal Administrator, OECD’s Environment Directorate

www.oecd.org/env/policies/database

www.oecd.org/env/tools-evaluation/

www.oecd.org/greengrowth/greening-transport/transport-and-environment.htm

[email protected]

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Further information