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Document of The World Bank FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Report No: 66052-IN PROJECT PAPER ON A PROPOSED ADDITIONAL CREDIT IN THE AMOUNT OF SDR 32.6 MILLION (US$50.00 MILLION EQUIVALENT) TO THE REPUBLIC OF INDIA FOR A ASSAM AGRICULTURAL COMPETITIVENESS PROJECT February 3, 2012 Agriculture and Rural Development Unit South Asia Sustainable Development Department This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorization. Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized

The World Bank FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLYdocuments.worldbank.org/curated/pt/756631468044369259/...AH&VSD Animal Husbandry & Veterinary Services Department ARIAS Assam Rural Infrastructure

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Document of

The World Bank

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

Report No: 66052-IN

PROJECT PAPER

ON A

PROPOSED ADDITIONAL CREDIT

IN THE AMOUNT OF SDR 32.6 MILLION

(US$50.00 MILLION EQUIVALENT)

TO THE

REPUBLIC OF INDIA

FOR A

ASSAM AGRICULTURAL COMPETITIVENESS PROJECT

February 3, 2012

Agriculture and Rural Development Unit

South Asia Sustainable Development Department

This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the

performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World

Bank authorization.

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CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS

(Exchange Rate Effective December 31, 2011)

Currency Unit = INR

INR 50 = US$1

US$ 1 = SDR 1.5353

FISCAL YEAR

April 1 – March 31

ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS

AACP Assam Agricultural Competitiveness

AF Additional Financing

AH&VSD Animal Husbandry & Veterinary Services Department

ARIAS Assam Rural Infrastructure and Agricultural Services

ASG Agro Service Group

ATMA Agricultural Technology Management Agency

CAS Country Assistance Strategy

CIG Common Interest Group

DOEF Department of Environment and Forests

DOF Department of Fisheries

EMF Environmental Management Framework

EOP End of Project

ERR Economic Rate of Return

FMR Financial Management Report

FPO Farmer Producer Organization

GOA Government of Assam

GOI Government of India

IFR Interim Financial Report

M&E Monitoring and Evaluation

MIS Management Information System

PAD Project Appraisal Document

PCU Project Coordination Unit

PIP Project Implementation Plan

PWD Public Works Department

R&R Resettlement and Rehabilitation

SOE Statement of Expense

STW Shallow Tube Well

Vice President: Isabel Guerrero

Country Director: Roberto Zagha

Sector Director: John Henry Stein

Sector Manager: Simeon K. Ehui

Task Team Leader / Co-Task Team Leader: Manivannan Pathy / Bekzod Shamsiev

iii

INDIA

ASSAM AGRICULTURAL COMPETITIVENESS PROJECT

CONTENTS

Project Paper Data Sheet…………………………………………………………………..1

Project Paper………………………………………………………………………………3

I. Introduction………………………………………………………………………..3

II. Background and Rationale for Additional Financing……………………………..3

III. Proposed Changes.………………………………………………………………...7

IV. Appraisal Summary.…………..…………………………….……………………10

Annexes

1. Annex 1: Results Framework and Monitoring Indicators……..…………………14

2. Annex 2: Operational Risk Assessment Framework…………………….…….…20

1

COUNTRY

PROJECT NAME

ADDITIONAL FINANCING DATA SHEET

Basic Information - Additional Financing (AF)

Country Director: Roberto Zagha

Sector Director/Manager: John Henry

Stein / Simeon K. Ehui

Team Leader: Manivannan Pathy /

Bekzod Shamsiev

Project ID: P129686

Expected Effectiveness Date: April 15,

2012

Lending Instrument: Specific Investment

Loan

Additional Financing Type: Scaling Up

Sectors: General Agriculture / Agriculture

Markets, Extension & Research, Animal

Production, irrigation and drainage

Themes: Rural Services and Infrastructure, Rural

Markets, Rural Policies and Institutions, minor

irrigation and drainage

Environmental category: B

Expected Closing Date: March 15, 2015

Joint IFC: Not Applicable

Joint Level: Not Applicable

Basic Information - Original Project

Project ID: P084792 Environmental category: B

Project Name: Assam Agricultural

Competitiveness Project (AACP)

Closing Date: March, 15, 2012

Lending Instrument: Specific Investment Loan Joint IFC: Not Applicable

Joint Level: Not Applicable

AF Project Financing Data

[ ] Loan [X ] Credit [ ] Grant [ ] Guarantee [ ] Other:

Proposed terms:

AF Financing Plan (US $ m)

Source Total Amount (US $m)

Total Project Cost:

Cofinancing:

Borrower:

Beneficiaries

Total Bank Financing:

IBRD

IDA

New

Recommitted

76.27

NA

12.50

13.77

50.00 (IDA)

Client Information

Recipient: Republic of India

Responsible Agency: Assam Rural Infrastructure & Agricultural Services Society, Department of

Agriculture, Government of Assam

Contact Person: Mr. K.C. Samria, Commissioner & Secretary to Department of Agriculture

Telephone No.: +91-361-2332125

Fax No.: +91-361-2332564

Email: [email protected]

2

AF Estimated Disbursements (Bank FY/US$m)

FY 2012 2013 2014 2015

Annual 2.00 15.00 15.00 17.00

Cumulative 2.00 17.00 33.00 50.00

Project Development Objective and Description

Original project development objective: The project development objective (PDO) would remain the

same as in the original project: is to increase the productivity and market access of targeted farmers

and community groups. Key performance indicators (KPI) are increased yields of crops, fish and

livestock products complemented by an increase in the proportion of marketed surplus.

Revised project development objective: No change to the original project PDO

Project description: The proposed additional financing is intended to be allocated to scale up the three

components of the original project, namely Component A: Investment Grant Scheme; Component B:

Agricultural Services and Market Chain Development; and Component C: Infrastructure

Development.

Safeguard and Exception to Policies

Safeguard policies triggered:

Environmental Assessment (OP/BP 4.01)

Natural Habitats (OP/BP 4.04)

Forests (OP/BP 4.36)

Pest Management (OP 4.09)

Physical Cultural Resources (OP/BP 4.11)

Indigenous Peoples (OP/BP 4.10)

Involuntary Resettlement (OP/BP 4.12)

Safety of Dams (OP/BP 4.37)

Projects on International Waterways (OP/BP 7.50)

Projects in Disputed Areas (OP/BP 7.60)

[ X ]Yes [ ] No

[ X ]Yes [ ] No

[ X]Yes [ ] No

[ X ]Yes [ ] No

[ ]Yes [X] No

[ ]Yes [ X] No

[X]Yes [ ] No

[ ]Yes [ X] No

[ ]Yes [X ] No

[ ]Yes [ X ] No

Does the project require any waivers of Bank policies?

Have these been endorsed or approved by Bank management?

[ ] Yes [ X ] No

[ ] Yes [ ] No

Conditions and Legal Covenants:

Financing

Agreement

Reference:

Section IV B

Description of Condition/Covenant:

Notwithstanding the provisions of Part A of this Section, withdrawal

shall only be made for payments made under Category (1) once the

Association has received satisfactory evidence, that Assam has

duly made all Resettlement Payments due under the Original Project

in accordance with the provisions of the relevant social mitigation

and/or resettlement plan prepared under the Resettlement and

Rehabilitation Policy.

Date Due:

March 15,

2012

3

I. Introduction

1. This Project Paper seeks the approval of the Executive Directors to provide an additional

Credit in an amount of SDR 32.6 million (US$ 50.00 million equivalent) to the India: Assam

Agricultural Competitiveness Project (AACP) (Cr. 4013-IN).

2. The proposed Additional Financing (AF) will scale up the project’s impact and

development effectiveness through (i) promotion of policy initiatives that build synergies and

convergence with ongoing schemes of the Government of Assam (GOA) and the Government of

India (GOI); establishing a system for sustainable use of groundwater; and mainstreaming

project collaboration with the private sector; as well as (ii) scaling up investments in irrigation,

mechanization extension advice, rural haats and market access roads to increase production,

productivity and market access in selected districts. The proposed activities would help to scale

up the impact of the original project in districts where the demand for investment during the

original project was pronounced, support the delivery of agriculture and marketing services, rural

road connectivity, produce aggregation and development of farmer producer organizations in

these districts.

3. The proposed additional financing is consistent with the development objective of the

ongoing Assam Agricultural Competitiveness Project (AACP). No major changes are proposed

to the Project Development Objective, design or implementation arrangements of the original

project.

II. Background and Rationale for Additional Financing in the amount of US$ 50.00 million

Original Project Background and Design:

4. Government of India (GoI) received an IDA Credit of SDR105 million (equivalent to

about US$ 154 million) for the on-going project, which was approved by the Board on January

15, 2005 and became effective on February 24, 2005. The project development objective (PDO)

of the on-going AACP is to increase the productivity and market access of targeted farmers and

community groups. Key performance indicators (KPI) are increased yields of crops, fish and

livestock products complemented by an increase in the proportion of marketed surplus. Although

the over-riding objective is to stimulate growth of Assam’s agricultural economy, project

activities would be predominantly pro-poor, directed primarily at small and marginal

landholders, poor fishing communities and the landless.

5. Project takes a holistic approach to raising farmer incomes. The multiple components

include rural roads, irrigation, fisheries, livestock, dairy, mechanization, community forestry,

demand-driven extension, research, market information and investment in rural market places.

Project has also contributed to mainstream some of the best practices that were emerging from

the project (e.g. community procurement) into the operations of various schemes managed by

government departments.

4

Table 1: Key Project Data

Project AACP

Loan No 4013-IN

Board Date January 15, 2005

Effectiveness date February 24, 2005

Original closing date March 31, 2010

Revised closing date March 15, 2012

Project age

Original IDA Amount

Total Amount Disbursed

(as on Dec, 2011)

6 years and 10 months

SDR 105 million

SDR 83.01 million

Project’s implementation record and project performance:

6. The original project is on track to achieve the stated project development objectives. The

work on the Roads upgradation scheme is at 98%. The physical progress on 1000 Km road

rehabilitation scheme (i.e. gravel roads) is around 75%. The project has completed 87% of the

targeted investments in irrigation and has achieved the targets under the farm mechanization and

fisheries component. The M&E data indicates that (a) the high yields achieved in paddy,

vegetables, and fish is sustained; (b) marketable surplus are increasing; (c) cropping intensity are

continuing to improve in the years after the supply of the irrigation pumps; and (d) operational

hours for tractors and power tillers is increasing year on year.

7. AACP has directly mobilized more than 300,000 beneficiaries in more than 63,000

beneficiary groups across the fishery, agriculture, dairy, forestry, and livestock sectors.

Implementation and monitoring data demonstrate that project interventions are heavily skewed

toward the most disadvantaged; and the socioeconomic screening, targeting and beneficiary

mobilization process has allowed significant participation of small and marginal farmers, and the

landless. Of the more than 300,000 beneficiaries mobilized upto September 2011, 44% are

marginal farmers, 33% are small farmers and 22% are landless; as opposed to less than 1%

medium farmers1. More than 50% of the projects beneficiaries are Scheduled Castes (SC),

Scheduled Tribes (ST) and Other Backward Castes (OBC), and 20% are women. The AF will

continue its strong focus on small and marginal farmers, and landless, and strengthen the

participation of women and tribal groups in project interventions.

8. The AF will build on a very strong momentum in project implementation, despite a slow

start and low disbursement levels at the outset of the project. Over the last two years the project

implementation have seen further acceleration as the most of the issues hampering project

implementation in the early years of the project in most of the components and management

activities have been resolved. Original project performance after midterm review has been

strong, and is in full compliance with all covenants. The original project has thus far been rated

“Satisfactory” on its implementation and achievement of its development objectives. Given

improved project implementation capacity further simplification and streamlining in project

1 Small farmers own 1-2 ha of land, marginal farmers own 0.5-1 ha, landless own 0-0.5 ha and semi-medium

farmers own 2-4 ha of land.

5

implementation procedures is planned for additional financing. Additional actions and staffing

arrangements are foreseen for better safeguards compliance.

Table3: Project Performance

ISR Period: May 2010 Dec 2010 May 2011 Nov 2011

Progress towards achievement of PDO S S S S

Overall IP rating S S S S

Financial Management MS MS MS MS

Project Management S S S S

Counterpart Funding S S S S

Procurement S S S S

Monitoring & Evaluation MS MS S S

Overall Safeguard compliance MS MS MU MU

Rational for Additional Finance

9. The proposed Additional Financing (AF) is required to scale up the project’s impact and

development effectiveness through (i) promotion of policy initiatives that build synergies and

convergence with ongoing schemes of the Government of Assam (GOA) and the Government of

India (GOI); establishment a system for sustainable use of groundwater; and mainstreaming

project collaboration with the private sector; as well as (ii) enhancing investments in irrigation,

drainage, mechanization, extension advice, rural haats and market access roads to increase

production, productivity and market access in selected districts. The proposed activities would

help to scale up the impact of the original project in districts where the demand for investment

during the original project was pronounced support the delivery of agriculture and marketing

services, rural road connectivity, produce aggregation and development of farmer producer

organizations in these districts.

10. Finance Plus: The additional financing will support consolidation of the activities

undertaken in original project, enhance the long term sustainability of sector institutions and

project outcomes, and as such provide for the Bank with a credible strategy in exiting from this

operation. This would be done through –

a) Mainstreaming management approaches and best practices acquired under the AACP in

to agricultural operations funded by GoA by strengthening the Assam Rural Infrastructure

and Agricultural Services (ARIAS) Society that implements the parent project; and by

applying the best practices developed under the AACP in managing and monitoring ongoing

agricultural schemes funded by GoA and Government of India (GoI). As a first step, ARIAS

Society would initiate mainstreaming AACP approaches through the GoI supported

Agriculture Technology Management Agency (ATMA)2 program, and based on the

experience gathered in managing this scheme, add other schemes progressively for

mainstreaming. This approach would result in better aligning the many different public

2 ATMA (Agricultural Technology Management Agency) fosters a decentralized, market-led extension system and

was implemented from 1999-2005 under the World Bank assisted National Agricultural Technology Project. Based

on the success of these pilots, GOI is supporting the scaling up of the ATMA method of extension nationally

6

agricultural schemes operated in the State with the aim to better exploit synergies, save

management costs and reduce inter-scheme competition. ARIAS Society will be designated

as the State Nodal Agency for the implementation of GoI ATMA; and the State Project

Director of ARIAS Society will also be designated as the State Nodal Officer responsible for

ATMA in Assam.

b) Establishing a system supporting sustainable groundwater use whereby investments in

shallow tube well irrigation are coupled with a comprehensive monitoring of groundwater

use. The AF will support setting up of automatic groundwater level measuring and recording

systems, and its on-going monitoring. This will enable the Department of Agriculture to take

a more strategic view on future shallow tube well (STW) programs, water recharge structures

and water demand measures such as micro-irrigation system. The groundwater monitoring

would specifically support setting-up the density of STW with respect to hydro-geological

regions and planning water related activities to balance recharge and discharge such as for

fishponds which work as water recharge structures, and agriculture based interventions to

better manage the water demand thereby leading to sustainable use of resources. The

Directorate of Geology and Mining or any other suitable agency will have the overall

responsibility of monitoring the groundwater program and would be involved in the analysis

of the data collected. Department of Agriculture will use this data to maintain the density of

STW within the permissible limits. GoA would designate the Directorate of Geology and

Mining or any other suitable agency for the Ground Water Monitoring Program.

c) Encourage collaboration with the private sector with the aim to promote investments in

agribusiness, foster backward and forward linkages across value chains for agricultural

products, and to provide alternative marketing channels for farmer groups established under

the AACP. The AF will continue to leverage the collaboration with agribusiness enterprises

for value chain development and market linkage; and with International Finance Corporation

(IFC) as a partner, the ARIAS Society will promote the establishment of Farmer Producer

Organizations (FPOs) and development of the SME agribusiness with support of the AF.

d) AF will assist ARIAS to strengthen the existing legal framework in the fisheries sector to

provide an enabling environment for the fishing communities to gain long-term leased access

to their local water bodies with the aim of achieving significantly higher income while also

sustainably managing these water bodies.

11. Scaling up of successful investments: The proposed AF will deepen original operation’s

development impacts in districts where the demand for investment during the original project

was pronounced, support the delivery of agriculture and marketing services, rural road

connectivity, produce aggregation and development of farmer producer organizations in these

districts. Investments will focus on increased crop production through a combination of

increased irrigated Boro rice production, crop diversification, improved extension advice,

expanded use of micro-nutrients, and opening out of additional production areas through

drainage.

a) Increase Agriculture Productivity (crop, fisheries and livestock) – provide additional funding

to agriculture productivity enhancing activities with proven impact and support selected new

7

activities which show a lot of promise. Such activities include: Shallow tube well, farm

mechanizations, fisheries, and livestock. To make stronger impact, additional activities will

be concentrated in selected districts with the highest agriculture growth potential;

b) Improve Market Access – expand project support to improving market access, both by

providing additional funding to successful activities and extension of the some of the

previously more geographically limited programs – state-wide. These activities would

include: support for institutional building through farmer producer organizations, rural haat

markets, expansion of the AACP’s ATMA’s philosophy and training programs to the rest of

the state; rural roads; and partnering with the private sector with IFC linkages.

12. Relationship to CAS: The proposed additional financing activities, as described above,

are consistent with the India Country Assistance Strategy (2009-2012) which calls for achieving

rapid, inclusive growth by expanding agriculture productivity and ensuring sustainable

development through improved natural resources management (particularly water).

III. Proposed Changes

13. The Project Development Objective, design and institutional arrangements would remain

the same as the original project except fine-tuning some aspects of the of the original project.

The Additional Financing would use the same approach and strategy of community driven

development. The proposed additional financing is intended to be allocated to scale up the three

components of the original project, namely Component A: Investment Grant Scheme;

Component B: Agricultural Services and Market Chain Development; and Component C:

Infrastructure Development.

a) Investment Grant Scheme: this component would promote income generating farm

investments by small farmer groups in irrigation, mechanization and fish ponds, and

community investments in micro-watershed drainage and community tank and beel (open

water bodies / Oxbow lake) fisheries. The Additional Finance would finance civil works and

equipment; farmer group and community group mobilization by NGOs; the matching grant

portion of investment costs; extension and training activities and associated incremental

operating costs. Specific investments would include –

o Groundwater monitoring: As per international norms, density of water level and water

quality monitoring stations will be established. This will include installation of

piezometers, digital water-level recorders and water quality sensors (at selected

locations) coupled with telemetric stations. The telemetric system will allow

monitoring at required frequency; Directorate of Geology and Mining or any other

suitable agency will have the overall responsibility for groundwater monitoring

program and would be involved in the analysis of the data collected. The directorate

will be strengthened with modeling facilities for proper groundwater assessment; and

the data will be shared with concerned agencies such as department of Agriculture

who will use it for planning the investment and particularly decide the density of

STW with respect to geological regions.

o Irrigation development would involve formation of 30,000 irrigation groups of 3-5

farmers acquiring Shallow Tube Wells (STW) to irrigate about 75,000 hectares;

o Farm mechanization activities would foster formation of about 900 Agro Service

8

Groups (ASG) made up of 10-20 small farmers acquiring tractors, for own use and

provision of custom hiring service;

o Fish production activities would assist small and marginal farmers to rehabilitate

existing farm ponds covering 800 ha; community groups to undertake similar

development of 300 ha of community owned tanks; and community beel groups to

develop 700 ha of beels; and

o Micro-watershed drainage activities would assist flood plain communities restore

natural drainage lines and reduce annual water logging and crop loss on 15,000 ha.

b) Agricultural Services and Market Chain Development: to address the constraints of

inadequate market linked technology transfer; and absence of producer organizations with

links to markets, this component would support

o Consolidating the ATMA institutions promoted by AACP (in 12 districts) and GOA /

GOI (14 districts) and further strengthen these advisory services by making them

more market oriented. All ATMAs of the state will be brought under the supervision,

monitoring and management under ARIAS Society and the proposed additional

financing will provide necessary support for undertaking this activity. ARIAS Society

shall be designated as the State Nodal Agency for the implementation of GOI ATMA

and may open a separate bank account for the receipt of GOI funds. The State Project

Director of ARIAS Society shall also be designated as the State Nodal Officer for the

implementation of GOI ATMA. ATMA support would include strengthening staff

capacity to deliver marketing extension, preparation of training materials, provision

of need based information technology and other equipment and the establishment of

farmer information and advisory centers and development of Assamese script SMSs

and introduce two-way SMS –based interaction between the line department and with

farmers;

o Under the livestock (dairy, pig, goat) project would support to improve productivity

and market access of targeted farmers and community groups and this would include

procurement of superior parent stock, husbandry and marketing; outsourcing of AI

services to private sector service provider and formation marketing groups; and

o Project will also support those members of agriculture, fisheries and livestock groups

that are undertaking productive activities to form Farmer Producer Organizations.

The project will provide technical and investment support for these institutions to

develop their productive activities and access profitable markets. Project support will

be available based on eligibility criteria that emphasize the demand and the capacity

of the FPOs.

c) Infrastructure Development: to improve rural market infrastructure thereby supporting

efforts towards increased crop production and diversification, to improve market connectivity

by expanding rural road network, and to provide marketing alternative for producers in the

project area, this component will support

o investments in rural roads (about 113 km), covering areas not covered by the PMGSY

in selected districts; demonstration of low-cost road construction and innovative

bridge designs in conjunction with better quality monitoring through independent

9

consultants. The low-cost construction technologies will be used to connect smaller

habitations and linking agriculture production with markets in a cost-effective manner

; and

o This subcomponent will improve basic infrastructure of about 25 wholesale haats

(markets) and about 30 retail haats (village markets) in selected districts where

agriculture production is concentrated. The AF will also support development of

model haats on a pilot basis in three districts.

14. Project cost: The exchange rate adjusted original credit amount for the original project is

US$ 164 million. Of this US$ 128 million has been utilized. As per the latest assessment of

GOA, a further US$ 11 million is likely to be utilized by the current credit closing date of March

15, 2012. Thus, there will be a credit saving of about US$ 25 million as of closing date of the

original credit. This saving is proposed to be utilized during the extended three year project

period, consequent to the proposed additional financing, to take up –scaled activities.

Project Costs3 by component

(In US$ million)

Component Original

project cost

Changes with

AF

Revised

project cost

1: Investment Grant Scheme 66.23 32.17 98.40

2: Agricultural Services and

Market Chain Development 32.22 11.39 44.61

3: Infrastructure Development 115.88 32.17 148.59

Total 214.33 76.27 290.60

Allocation of Additional Financing Credit proceeds by component

(In US$ million)

Component Original credit

allocation

Changes with

AF

Revised

credit

allocation

1: Investment Grant Scheme 23.13 14.72 37.85

2: Agricultural Services and

Market Chain Development 27.67 9.11 36.78

3: Infrastructure Development 103.20 26.17 128.54

Total 154.00 50.00 204.00

15. The implementation arrangements under the proposed additional financing would remain

the same as that of the original project. The ARIAS society will continue to be the Project

Coordination Unit (PCU) and will continue to monitor and coordinate the implementation of the

project. The relevant line Departments of GOA would act as implementing agencies for all

project activities falling within their area of responsibility: Departments of Agriculture (DOA);

Animal Husbandry and Veterinary (AH&VD); Fisheries (DOF); Environment and Forests

(DOEF); Dairy Development Directorate; and the Public Works Department (PWD).

Implementing agencies would make extensive use of NGOs, wherever farmer interest or

community groups are to be formed - following the pattern of the original project.

3 Project Cost includes the contribution from Beneficiaries, GOA and IDA Credit.

10

16. The proposed additional financing activities, as described above, are consistent with the

India Country Assistance Strategy (2009-2012) which calls for achieving rapid, inclusive growth

by expanding agriculture productivity and ensuring sustainable development through improved

natural resources management (particularly water).

17. Outcome indicators: The key outcome indicators would remain unchanged and while

there are changes in the intermediate results indicators. These are captured in the Annex 1

Results Framework. GOA is in the process of rolling out the Performance Management scheme

developed at the Union level in the next few months, for ensuring a greater accountability

mechanism. The scheme is formalized through Results Framework Documents to be drafted and

disclosed by departments. The task team will explore the possibility of ARIAS society helping

Department of Agriculture, GOA in drafting and operationalize the results framework during the

additional financing period.

18. The Closing Date for the original project would be extended; and the revised Closing

Date for both the original project and the additional financing would be March 15, 2015.

IV. Appraisal Summary

19. Economic Analysis: The AF proposes to enhance investments in irrigation,

mechanization, fisheries, extension advice, rural haats and rural roads to increase production,

productivity and market access in rural areas of selected districts. PAD projected ERR for the

original investments are 39.1% for agriculture and irrigation; 18.9% for rural roads; and 20.7%

for fisheries. For overall project the estimated ERR was 21.4% as against the FRR of 19.9%. The

project has met the physical targets (in most of the key investments) and also exceeded the

productivity targets in some of the key interventions. As per the progress reports of M&E

consultants, the project has so far achieved and/or exceeded the EOP targets by about 20% in

respect of crop productivity, fish productivity and crop diversification. Hence, the projected ERR

will not only be realized, but likely to be exceeded by EOP. AF is focusing on enhancing the

investments that are already generating much higher returns than originally projected in PAD.

Estimated ERR for the AF investments are 23% for fisheries, 43.4% for agriculture and irrigation

and 49% for micro watershed drainage. Overall ERR for the AF investment for AACP is

estimated at 24.5%. The projected benefits are quiet robust, as demonstrated by sensitivity

analysis. With 20% reduction in benefits and 20% increase in costs considered together, overall

ERR for the AF still remained above 15%.

20. Financial Management: The financial management arrangements for the additional

financing will largely remain the same. The financial management arrangements have been

moderately satisfactory, primarily due to (i) large number of accounting centers across

departments and (ii) weak capacity and delays in reporting by Community Interest Groups

(CIGs) resulting in delays in financial reporting. In order to address this the following measures

have been agreed - PCU will contract directly district level finance consultants (who would be

provided with laptops with TALLY customized as per revised chart of accounts) who will be

responsible for (i) updating the monthly accounts from the manual cash book and ledgers being

maintained by the line department accounting centers and send the reports to PCU for

consolidation on a monthly basis and (ii) also support/train on financial management aspects the

various community groups under fishery & forestry. This combined with the reduction in number

11

of districts to 17 from 27 and reduction in disbursement categories (see below) is expected to

ensure timely submission of IFRs. An acceptable audit report for FY 2010-11has been submitted

by the project and the additional audit assurance by way of sample verification of community

assets/ CIGs will be continued.

21. Report-based Disbursement: Disbursement under the on-going project is based on SOE

and there are 7 disbursement categories with varying reimbursement percentage which imposes

considerable transaction cost on the project. It is proposed to shift to quarterly report based

disbursement (quarterly IFRs) for both the on-going project (w.e.f April 1, 2012) and for

additional financing and also consolidate the disbursement categories to two with a common

reimbursement percentage. The following table specifies the categories of Eligible Expenditures

that may be financed out of the proceeds of the Financing (“Category”), the allocations of the

amounts of the Financing to each Category, and the percentage of expenditures to be financed for

Eligible Expenditures in each Category:

Category Amount of the

Financing Allocated

(expressed in SDR)

in million

Percentage of

Expenditures to be

Financed

(inclusive of Taxes)

in million

(1) Goods, works, non-

consulting services, consultants’

services, training and operating

costs

25.600 80%

(2) Grants

7.000

80% of the amounts

disbursed by GoA

under a Sub-project

TOTAL AMOUNT 32.600

22. Procurement: The Project has established a robust procurement management system

with dedicated staff at the PCU and two committees headed by the State Project Director and the

Agriculture Production Commissioner with delegated financial authorities respectively, for

reviewing and approving procurement activities based the contract value. For procurement of

hand pumps and other items used at community level, an elaborate community procurement

process is followed which is now recognized as a good practice innovation across the sector. The

project has established a procurement monitoring and impact assessment system using

independent auditors and NGOs for the community procurement and the reports from these

sources acts as the data used for used for triangulating the process and beneficiary details which

are uploaded on line by district and sub district level project MIS. Progress on procurement plan

has been satisfactory and most of the items listed in the first phase of the project are completed.

Except for minor deviations reported, post procurement reviews have not revealed any

significant systemic or capacity constraint in procurement implementation in the project. Rural

Roads and markets construction would be undertaken by the Assam PWD, the e-Procurement

12

solution recently cleared by the World Bank based on an assessment for the Assam State Roads

Project will be used.

23. Procurement of all goods, works and non-consulting services required for and to be

financed from the additional financing project shall be in accordance with the requirements set

forth or referred to in Section I of the “Guidelines: Procurement under IBRD Loans and IDA

Credits” (dated January 2011). Procurement of consulting services shall be in accordance with

“Guidelines: Selection and Employment of Consultants by World Bank Borrowers” (January

2011) and the provisions stipulated in the Financing Agreement. Based on the above assessment,

the following methods and value thresholds are proposed for the project based on a Moderate

risk rating:

Category Prior Review

Thresholds (USD

mill)*

Procurement Method Thresholds Proposed (USD million)

ICB NCB Shopping QCBS QBS CQS LCS/

FBS SSS

Goods 0.5

≥0.5 <0.5 <0.05 (0.01 for all

Direct Contracts) Works 10 ≥10 <10 <0.10

Consulting

Services

0.5 for firm

NA NA NA default TBD <0.1 <0.2 TBD

0.05 for

Individuals

(0.01 for all

SSS)

Operating expenditures are not subject to Procurement and Consultant Guidelines;

In case of a slice and package arrangement, the prior review threshold is determined

based on the aggregate value of individual contracts (including all taxes and duties

payable under the contract) to be awarded.

A contract that is post review will be subject to prior review if the price of the lowest

evaluated responsive bid exceeds the prior review threshold at the bid evaluation stage.

For consultants, it is the financial offer of the selected firm that determines whether the

contract is subject to prior review.

Community Participation in Procurement (as per provisions para 3.19 of the guidelines)

will be the method followed for items identified to be procured with community

participation.

Force account will be the method followed for repairs and minor works subject to a

maximum ceiling of US $ 10,000 per activity.

24. Safeguards: The social safeguard performance of AACP is moderately unsatisfactory

primarily due to delay in providing rehabilitation assistance to 10 project affected persons

(PAPs) adversely affected by rural roads up gradation. The Social Management Unit (SMU) of

AACP has prepared a remedial Social Safeguard Action Plan for Rural Roads, and a social

13

mitigation plan for the 10 PAPs. All PAPs will be provided applicable resettlement assistance by

15 March 2012. Notwithstanding the provisions of Part A of this Section, withdrawal shall only

be made for payments made under Category (1) once the Association has received satisfactory

evidence, that Assam has duly made all Resettlement Payments due under the Original Project

in accordance with the provisions of the relevant social mitigation and/or resettlement plan

prepared under the Resettlement and Rehabilitation Policy.

25. The SMU has taken several steps and completed several important follow up actions: re-

orientation of project staff and NGOs on R and R policy provisions, strengthened consultations

and documentation of voluntary land donation, rapid socioeconomic impact assessment and

preparation of mitigation plan. A fulltime social development specialist (SDS) and dedicated R

and R nodal staff in SMU and PWD are now available to implement the plan. The action plan

will also ensure strengthened consultations and information sharing, proper documentation on

land donation process, training for project staff and NGOs, external audit and strengthened

monitoring support through Bank STC during AF. A policy learning workshop on R and R and

an external audit will also be held during the AF

26. On the environmental safeguards, the project is making efforts to complete the mandatory

testing for presence of Arsenic and Fluoride in shallow tube wells (STW) water samples, as the

gap between installed STW and samples tested is increasing. The project will complete testing of

all samples by March 15, 2012. It has been agreed that the 20,000 samples tested until now

would be mapped to identify sensitive and safe blocks with respect to presence of Arsenic and

the maps would be updated once all samples have been tested. The Bank team was assured that

sample collection would restart to cover the gap. Based on this mapping, the Bank would review

the mandatory condition for testing all STW samples and may consider diluting this for the safe

blocks. Further scaling up of STW distribution would be based on the findings of the on-going

updating of the Safe Yield of Groundwater study, which is likely to be completed by November

30, 2011 for the six target districts. The external audit on EMF implementation has revealed

some shortcomings. The AF will include a time bound action plan comprising consultancy,

training, external audit and monitoring support for safeguards, in addition to having a full time

social development specialist. The Environment and Social cells in ARIAS would continue to be

fully staffed during the AF. The implementation of these plans will monitored during project

supervision by Bank task team members with the appropriate skills.

14

Annex 1: Results Framework and Monitoring

INDIA: ASSAM AGRICULTURAL COMPETITIVENESS PROJECT (AACP) (CR. 4013-IN)

Results Framework

Revisions to the Results Framework Comments/

Rationale for Change

PDO

Current (PAD) Proposed

To increase the productivity

and market access of targeted

farmers and community

groups.

No Change

PDO indicators

Current (PAD) Proposed change*

Increased Crop Productivity

(i) Paddy

(ii) Mustard

(iii) Vegetables (Cabbage

& Cauliflower)

Increase in Crop Productivity

(i) Boro season Paddy - revised

(ii) Mustard

(iii) Vegetables (Cabbage &

Cauliflower)

Since Boro season paddy is an

additional crop due to project

intervention (STW) its impact

needs to be tracked separately.

Cropping Intensity in project

area.

No Change

Gross Cropped Area (in

STW/LLP farms)

Cereals

Oil Seeds

Fruits

Vegetables

Total non foods

grains

No Change

Percentage marketed surplus

to production:

Paddy

Mustard

Vegetables

Milk

Fish

No Change

Increased Fish Productivity

(i) Ponds

(ii) Beels

(iii) Tanks

No Change

Increased Milk Productivity

(i) Cross Bred Cows

(ii) Local Cows

No Change

Project Beneficiaries New Core indicator added

Intermediate Results indicators

Current (PAD) Proposed change*

Number of STW Area irrigated by STWs - Revised Indicator revised to track the

additional area that is brought

under assured irrigation

Drained area brought under New This will help the project to track

15

Revisions to the Results Framework Comments/

Rationale for Change cultivation the Micro-watershed drainage

activities

Increase in crop productivity

in drained lands under

cultivation

New To track productivity of the

reclaimed area under the Micro-

watershed drainage activities

Fishery groups reporting

increased fish productivity

New Help in tracking the number of

groups that are having high levels

of productivity and also if these

yields are sustainable.

Farmers participating in

ATMA demonstrations adopt

at least 50% of the

technologies demonstrated

New Will determine the adoption rates

of the improved technologies

demonstrated by ATMA

Improved progeny produced

through AI (outsourcing)

New Outsourcing is being piloted under

the AF

* Indicate if the indicator is Dropped, Continued, New, Revised, or if there is a change in the end of project target value

16

REVISED PROJECT RESULTS FRAMEWORK

Project Development Objective (PDO): To increase productivity and market access of targeted farmers and community groups. (No Change)

PDO Level Results Indicators4

Co

re

UOM5

Baseline

Original

Project

Start

(2006)

Progress

To Date

(July

2011)6

Cumulative Target Values7 #

Frequency Data Source/

Methodology

Responsibility

for Data

Collection

Comments 2012 2013 2014 2015 @

(by

March)

1. Increase in Crop Productivity

(i) Boro Season Paddy

(Revised)

(ii) Mustard

(iii) Vegetables (Cabbage &

Cauliflower)

Periodic Survey External M&E

agency

Measured as t/ha of

crop yield in the new

STW irrigated

command area

t/ha 1.5 5.7 - 4.5 - 5.0

t/ha 0.6 0.8 - 0.7 - 0.8

t/ha 7.0 10.5 - 7.0 - 8.5

2. Increase in Fish Productivity

(i) Ponds

(ii) Tanks

(iii) Beels

Periodic Survey External M&E

agency

Fish productivity

measured as t/ha of

WSA from new CIGs

for ponds, new CTGs

for tanks and new

Beels

t/ha 0.485 3.00 - 2.50 - 2.75

t/ha 0.850 2.50 - 1.75 - 2.25

t/ha 0.480 1.00 - 0.60 - 0.75

3. Increase in cropping intensity % 130 180 - 165 - 195 Periodic Survey External M&E

agency

Measured as % of

gross cropped area to

the net area in new

STW commands

4. Increase in crop diversification

(i) Area under cereals

(ii) Area under high value crops

%

Periodic Survey External M&E

agency

Measured as a

proportion of gross

cropped area in new

STW commands

83 78 - - - 80

17 22 - - - 20

4 Please indicate whether the indicator is a Core Sector Indicator (for additional guidance – please see http://coreindicators). 5 UOM = Unit of Measurement. 6 For new indicators introduced as part of the additional financing, the progress to date column is used to reflect the baseline value. 7 Target values should be entered for the years data will be available, not necessarily annually. Target values should normally be cumulative. If targets refer to annual values, please indicate

this in the indicator name and in the “Comments” column.

# Targets are for the project interventions completed during the first year. Same targets apply for the project interventions in subsequent years.

@ All the indicator values realized in 2011 are due to sustained project interventions through infrastructure (irrigation/ponds/tanks/beels/markets/rural roads) development, mechanization,

and extension (ATMA) approaches spreading over five seasons covering 104,692 ha until 2011. During AF period (2012 to March 2015), new areas (120,308 ha) are projected to come under

similar project interventions. But these new areas will fully go through only three seasons (2012/13, 2013/14 and 2014/15). Even here, the impact of the third season (2014/15) will not be

captured in the EOP Impact Assessment, since the project is ending in March 2015. Now only with two seasons available for the new areas, it is not feasible to realize the same indicator

values as recorded in 2011. It will be lower than the current levels but higher than the PAD projected levels (for the parent project) since current levels (2011) for most of the indicators are

higher than the PAD projected targets.

17

5. Increase in marketed surplus

(i) Paddy

(ii) Mustard

(iii) Vegetables

Periodic Survey External M&E

agency

Measured as a percent

of production sold by

the farmers.

% 18 47 - 30 - 45

% 17 61 - 30 - 45

% 28 89 - 45 - 65

Project Development Objective (PDO): To increase productivity and market access of targeted farmers and community groups. (No Change)

PDO Level Results Indicators C

ore

UOM8

Baseline

Original

Project

Start

(2006)

Progress

To Date

(July

2011)9

Cumulative Target Values10 Frequency Data Source/

Methodology

Responsibility

for Data

Collection

Comments

6. Beneficiaries11

Project beneficiaries (new) Number Not

recorded 300000 - - - 410000

End of

Project PIU/Survey PCU/PIU/M&E

Of which female (beneficiaries)

(new) Number

Not recorded

60000 - - - 82000 End of

Project PIU/Survey PCU/PIU/M&E

8 UOM = Unit of Measurement.

9 For new indicators introduced as part of the additional financing, the progress to date column is used to reflect the baseline value.

10 Target values should be entered for the years data will be available, not necessarily annually. Target values should normally be cumulative. If targets

refer to annual values, please indicate this in the indicator name and in the “Comments” column. 11

All projects are encouraged to identify and measure the number of project beneficiaries. The adoption and reporting on this indicator is required for

investment projects which have an approval date of July 1, 2009 or later (for additional guidance – please see http://coreindicators).

18

Intermediate Results and Indicators

Intermediate Results Indicators

Co

re Unit of

Measur

ement

Baseline

Original

Project

Start

(2006)

Progress

To Date

(July

2011)12

Cumulative Target Values

Frequency Data Source/

Methodology

Responsibility

for Data

Collection

Comments 2012 2013 2014 2015 @

(by

March)

Intermediate Result 1: Investment Grant Scheme

1. STWs installed and operated Number 100 41877 60000 75000 90000 - Annual PIU/Survey PCU/PIU/M&E Cumulative

2. Area irrigated by STWs - Revised Ha - 104,692 150,000 187,50

0 - 225000 Annual PIU/Survey PCU/PIU/M&E Cumulative

3. Drained area brought under

cultivation - (new) Ha - 15000 15000 22500 - 30000 Annual PIU/Survey PCU/PIU/M&E Cumulative

4. Increase in crop productivity in

drained lands under cultivation -

(new)

t/ha - 1 - - 1.5 2.0 Annual PIU/Survey PCU/PIU/M&E Cumulative

5. ASGs operating at financially

sustainable levels % - 70 - 75 80 85 Annual PIU/Survey PCU/PIU/M&E

Measured as a % of

ASGs operating

above breakeven

point levels of 750

hrs per year

6. Fishery groups reporting

increased fish productivity - (new)

CIGs

CTGs

Beels

Annual PIU/Survey PCU/PIU/M&E

By at least 200% for

CIGs and CTGs and

at least 100% for

beels over the

baseline

% - 80 - 80 85 85

% - 70 - 70 75 80

% - 60 - 60 65 70

Intermediate Result 2: Agricultural Services and Market Chain Development

7. Farmers participating in ATMA

demonstrations adopt at least 50% of

the technologies demonstrated -

% 0 15 - 25 40 50 Annual PIU/Survey PCU/PIU/M&E

Measured as % of

ATMA farmers

adopting at least

12

For new indicators introduced as part of the additional financing, the progress to date column is used to reflect the baseline value.

19

Intermediate Results and Indicators

Intermediate Results Indicators

Co

re Unit of

Measur

ement

Baseline

Original

Project

Start

(2006)

Progress

To Date

(July

2011)12

Cumulative Target Values

Frequency Data Source/

Methodology

Responsibility

for Data

Collection

Comments 2012 2013 2014 2015 @

(by

March)

(new) 50% of the

technologies to

which they are

exposed

8. Number of Dairy cooperative

working Number 35 90 110 130 155 175 Annual Survey

External M&E

agency

Measured as

number of DCS

collecting at least

100 lits of milk per

day one year after

formation

Intermediate Result 3: Infrastructure Development

9. Villages connected with improved

rural roads Number 189 - - - - 1350

End of

Project Survey

External M&E

agency

To be done at end of

project assessment.

10.Increase in traffic density on

completed roads by 200%

Number

of

vehicles

/day

96 - - - - 285 End of

Project Survey

External M&E

agency

To be done at end of

project assessment.

11.Increase in trading volume of

improved markets by 30% Tons 393 - - - - 510

End of

Project Survey

External M&E

agency

To be done at end of

project assessment.

20

ANNEX 2: OPERATIONAL RISK ASSESSMENT FRAMEWORK (ORAF)

Board Package Version13

Project Development Objective(s)

The project development objective (PDO) of the on-going AACP is to increase the productivity and market access of targeted farmers and

community groups.

PDO Level Results Indicators: 1. increased yields of crops, fish and livestock products

2. increase in the proportion of marketed surplus

Risk Category

Risk

Rating

Risk Description Proposed Mitigation Measures

Project Stakeholder Risks

Low All the stakeholders need to come together to

enable ARIAS in the coordination,

management and monitoring of various

government’s agriculture schemes.

The Bank has already held multiple rounds of

meetings with GoA where this was discussed in

detail. There is a strong political and

administrative support for ARIAS managing the

government scheme. All government schemes

would not be taken at a time. As a first step

ARIAS would start the support for ATMA

program funded by Government of India and

progressively other schemes would be added.

Implementing Agency Risks

Medium

Non compliance with the project accounting

requirements and delays in financial reporting.

The number of accounting centers is proposed to

be reduced; the financial management

requirement for CIGs has been simplified and the

finance capacity in PCU will be strengthened

further.

13

This is the version that should be used for Negotiations and submission for Board Approval.

21

Low

Non compliance with agreed procurement

arrangements and project not maintaining the

required procurement capacity in the project.

Poor implementation capacity of the user

groups.

While the original project is successful, by

scaling up with expanded scope of work will

place additional demands on the PCU and the

implementing agencies and may dilute the

quality of implementation or the agency’s

capacity to monitor this quality in the field.

External interference in selection of the of

project districts and the beneficiaries

The assets supplied to CIGs may not be

utilized / misused or be disposed off by

beneficiaries

Poor procurement outcomes, delays and non

utilization of the items

Prior and post review arrangements and regular

supervision from Bank.

Project will provide support through NGOs for

social mobilization, training, technical and

management support to the user groups.

Adequate capacity to implement the existing

project has been built at State and District levels,

however, the ARIAS is revisiting its

organizational structure and staffing capacity, to

ensure that this is adequate and sufficiently

responsive to meet the additional demands of

expansion.

Project Implementation Plan (PIP) for the

implementation will include the responsibilities

of implementing agency, service standards,

eligibility criteria, eligible proposals, selection

criteria, and negative list for funding, funds flow,

procurement arrangement and other rules of the

game. The project districts for Additional

Financing would be identified during the

preparation phase

Sample verification of assets delivered to CIG

will be continued under additional financing.

Mandatory disclosures and Complaint

management mechanism to be used for potential

F&C Indicators

22

Project Risks

Design

Low

Low adoption rate of new technologies and

technical advice by farmers and user groups.

Increase in crop production due to project

intervention may not have sufficient markets

for sale / storage of excess production

ATMA approach will be followed which takes a

bottom up approach for the identification of

farmer’s technology needs, based on which the

extension plans for both production and

marketing will be developed and implemented.

Project will assist the communities in identifying

new markets and establishing new contacts,

based on the experience gained from the

collaboration made with Private Sector under

original credit.

Social and

Environmental

Substantial

The Rural Roads component could result in

small to moderate level adverse impacts in

some packages.

Delay in testing for presence of Arsenic and

Fluoride in shallow tube well water samples

prior to installation.

The social management unit (SMU) will be

strengthened with fulltime social development

specialist, refresher training programme for staff

and NGO partners, and additional consultant

support for implementing and monitoring the R

and R/ social action plan more effectively and

regular reporting of social performance.

Over 40,000 results of water samples tested

would be mapped block-wise to identify sensitive

and safe blocks with 100% testing to be

continued in sensitive blocks. At least 20,000

samples would be mapped by Nov 30, 2011.

Guwahati University would be provided with

appropriate financial resources to ensure

adequate human resources for timely testing of

collected samples.

Program and Donor

NA NA

Delivery Quality

Low

Group / community assets will not be

maintained or their use will be captured by

local elites.

Project has already developed a well functional

transparent beneficiary selection procedures

including the scorecard – this will be further

23

Medium

Lack of coordination among the Implementing

agencies can adversely impact the project

implementation.

strengthened and this will be followed with

extensive use of NGOs to effect social

mobilization; Non selected groups would be

informed in writing with reason for non selection

within a specified time frame of 15 days.

Effective Training would be organized for the

Agricultural Service Group (ASG) members

owning tractors and power tillers and Area

Groups in land development under the project.

Implementation arrangements under the proposed

additional financing would remain the same as

for the original project. The ARIAS society will

continue to be the Project Coordination Unit and

will continue to monitor and coordinate the

implementation of the project. The society has

build capacity in the project coordination. This

will be further strengthened during the additional

financing. Project has also setup a Governing

Body, chaired by the Agricultural Production

Commissioner and with active participation of

the Commissioners and Secretaries of

implementing line Departments, along with the

Finance and the Planning and Development

Departments, under the overall guidance of the

Chief Secretary.

Overall Risk Rating at

Preparation

Overall Risk Rating During

Implementation Comments

Medium Medium

The proposed Additional Financing is on a solid

base of knowledge and capacity on implementing

successful original project. This risk template would

be reviewed and updated throughout preparation.