Upload
others
View
7
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
2
A more detailed discussion of
the assumptions, risks and
mitigating strategies is described
in a separate paper on the
theory of change for the
Strategic Plan, which will be
presented to the Executive
Board for information at its 2017
second regular session
(Details for each outcome ToC provided in subsequent slides)
Realizing the rights of every child,
especially the most disadvantaged
SP Impact
Outcome
to
impact level ToC
Output to
outcome
level ToC
Strategic Plan ToC
Strategies
(HOW) to
outputs ToC
UNICEF delivers change by combining high-quality programmes at scale, harnessing innovation
and collecting evidence, in partnership with Governments, other United Nations partners, civil
society, the private sector, communities and children. It uses these to leverage wider change
nationally and globally through advocacy, communications and campaigning. UNICEF also builds
public support around the world to volunteer, advocate and mobilize resources for the cause of
children, and works with partners to achieve an even greater impact.
.
Internal
effectiveness
and efficiency
factors (ENABLERS)
a) internal governance is accountable and transparent; b) management is results-based, efficient,
effective and collaborative; c) the workforce is versatile, diverse, empowered and mobile; and d)
knowledge and information systems support performance across the organization.
If a) children, especially the most vulnerable and those affected by humanitarian crisis, have access
to high-impact Health, Nutrition, HIV and ECD interventions from pregnancy to adolescence, enabling
them to survive and thrive, and if b) they are provided with inclusive and equitable quality education
and learning opportunities, and if c) they are protected from all forms of violence, exploitation, abuse
and harmful practices, and if d) we ensure the sustained use of safe water and sanitation services,
adoption of hygiene practices and strengthened systems for a clean and safe environment for them,
and if e) they are provided with an equitable chance in life regardless of gender, disability or any
other factor; then significant progress will be made by 2021 on realizing the rights of every child.
Key Assumptions in the Strategic Plan ToC
• The following slides present a summary of some of
the main assumptions, risks and mitigating measures
underlying the ToC.
• Specific assumptions, risks and mitigating measures
for each outcome are provided in the graphic on each
outcome ToC. Details are described in a separate
paper on the Strategic Plan Theory of Change, which
will be posted in July for the Second Regular Session in
September 2017
Key Assumptions in the Strategic Plan ToC
• The SDGs are adequately resourced, particularly those related to child
rights.
• UNICEF is adequately resourced to contribute to the SDGs.
• Relative global economic, political and social stability, including
adequate support to address various types of humanitarian crises
• Partner capacity is enhanced to scale up implementation of the SDGs.
• Increased capacity to support children in humanitarian situations and
to enhance humanitarian-development integration
• Adequate focus on results for the most vulnerable among United
Nations partners working together
• Increased support for the cause of children around the world
• Timely availability of quality data and evidence to inform programme
strategies
Key Risks to the Strategic Plan
1. Complexity of socio-political environment
2. Unpredictable humanitarian crises and their lasting
effects on children
3. Siloed operations and siloed funding arrangements
4. Insufficient resources to implement the 2030 Agenda
5. Rapidly evolving technological requirements
6. A varying focus on results for the most vulnerable among
United Nations partners working together
7. Challenges related to results-based budgeting in a
decentralized organization
8
The Change Strategies and Enablers are designed to
help to mitigate the risks
• Enhanced UN coordination, especially at the country level and
involving results groups will help accelerate the implementation
of the SDGs
• Flexible funding will allow UNICEF and partners to leverage and
commit resources where they are most needed.
• Harnessing the power of business and markets will help broaden
the partnerships landscape and mitigate the risk of insufficient
resource mobilization.
• Building movements and alliances of concerned citizens who
champion the cause of children will promote accountability for
the implementation of the SDGs.
• Limited capacity among some partners to monitor results can be
overcome with continued investment in systems to gather, analyse
and use evidence.
9
The Change Strategies and Enablers are designed to
help to mitigate the risks
• A mobile, versatile workforce will strengthen implementation
capacity where it is most needed, including in sudden-onset
emergencies
• Flexibility in business operations will increase interoperability with
partners, including key United Nations partners.
• Robust ICT systems will be essential to achieving this flexibility,
and to keeping pace with the risks and opportunities posed by
rapidly evolving technology. They will also be vital for strong
performance management systems that ensure resources are properly
aligned to results.
• The new budget formulation tool will strengthen results-based
budgeting, as will guidance on value for money.
Outcome 1: Theory of Change statement
Theory of Change Statement
If mothers and newborns receive an essential package of quality maternal and
newborn care services at scale, including prenatal and postnatal home visit
support, and if there is achieved and sustained immunization coverage at
national and district levels towards the realization of Universal Health Care, and if
children under five receive treatment for curative services for pneumonia,
diarrhea, malaria, and other child health conditions, and if girls and boys receive
services for the prevention of stunting and other forms of malnutrition, and if
they receive services for the treatment of severe acute malnutrition, and if girls
and boys under five have increased access to quality early childhood
development services, and if there is enhanced country action in support of
gender-responsive adolescent health and nutrition, and if girls boys and pregnant
women receive comprehensive prevention interventions to reduce HIV incidence,
and if girls and boys living with HIV receive treatment and care to reduce AIDs-
related morbidity and deaths; then girls and boys, especially those that are
marginalized and those living in humanitarian conditions, have the chance to
survive and thrive in their communities.
Outcome 1: Theory of Change graphic
* As explained in previous slides, the Change Strategies and Enablers manage risks to the ToC and ensure effectiveness.
Outcome 2: Theory of Change statement
Theory of Change Statement
If access to education for girls and boys from early childhood
to adolescence, including children with disabilities and
minorities and other vulnerable groups is increased and
sustained; and if the quality of teaching and learning
outcomes is improved; and if girls and boys especially from
vulnerable groups are provided with increased opportunities
to develop the skills they need for learning, personal
empowerment, active citizenship and employability; then
every child, especially the most vulnerable and marginalized,
will be provided with inclusive and equitable quality
education and learning opportunities.
Outcome 3: Theory of Change statement
Theory of Change Statement
If girls and boys receive prevention and response
services for violence against children, including
gender based violence, and if girls receive
prevention and care to address harmful practices
such as FGM/C and child marriage, and if girls and
boys that come into contact with the law are treated
in accordance with international standards, then
girls and boys will be better protected from violence
and exploitation.
Outcome 4: Theory of Change statement
Theory of Change Statement
If children, their families and communities have access to safe drinking water, if open defecation is ended and people have access to adequate sanitation and hygiene; if national and local governments seek to anticipate and mitigate the risk arising from natural disaster or conflict; if national, subnational and municipality plans developed in ways that are risk informed and sensitive to needs of children; and ifcountries monitor and plan ahead for a child-friendly sustainable environment, then children will be able to grow and develop in a safe and secure environment.
Outcome 5: Theory of Change statement
Theory of Change Statement
If an increased number of boys and girls are supported to overcome gender discriminatory roles, expectations, and practices; and if adolescents can influence decisions affecting their lives and communities; and if multidimensional poverty for children is reduced; and if most disadvantaged girls and boys receive social protection support; and ifchildren with disabilities are reached by accessible and inclusive programmes and services, then most vulnerable children have an equitable chance in life.