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Coastal Preservation Adapting to a new world order Chad Nelsen October 18, 2014 [email protected]

Third National Climate Assessment, Draft 2013

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Page 1: Third National Climate Assessment, Draft 2013

Coastal Preservation

Adapting to a new world order

Chad NelsenOctober 18, 2014

[email protected]

Page 2: Third National Climate Assessment, Draft 2013
Page 3: Third National Climate Assessment, Draft 2013

Coastal Preservation• For 30 years Surfrider has: • Poorly planned development• Shoreline armoring• Beach Fill (“replenishment or nourishment”• Storm response• Surf protection

• Global warming puts an exclamation point on all of those issues

Page 4: Third National Climate Assessment, Draft 2013

Climate Change Drivers

• Carbon Dioxide (CO2)• Current: 397.8 ppm • 2050 Projected: ~550 ppm

• Temperature increase (U.S.)• Current (since 1895): 1.5°• 2050 Projected: 5-10°

Page 5: Third National Climate Assessment, Draft 2013

Third National Climate Assessment, Draft 2013

Page 6: Third National Climate Assessment, Draft 2013

Coastal Climate Change Impacts• Sea Level Rise• Current global rise (since 1901): 7.4 inches

• 2100 projected (U.S.): 8 inches to 6.6 feet

Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Final Draft Underlying Scientific-Technical Assessment.

Page 7: Third National Climate Assessment, Draft 2013

Coastal Climate Change Impacts• Rising Sea levels• Higher tide lines and

extreme coastal high water levels

• More extreme storms• Stronger Hurricanes• Altered ocean

currents• Intensifying Pacific

Ocean El Niños• Increased Wave

height

• Increased sea surface temperature

• Altered ocean salinity

• Beach Erosion

• Ocean acidification

• Reduced ecosystem health and increased vulnerability

• Loss of coral reefs

• Potential loss of surfing waves

Page 8: Third National Climate Assessment, Draft 2013

Third National Climate Assessment, Draft 2013

Page 9: Third National Climate Assessment, Draft 2013

Third National Climate Assessment, Draft 2013

Page 10: Third National Climate Assessment, Draft 2013

How Are We AddressingClimate Change Impacts Now?

Reactive• After damage occurs• Often uses rebuilding

restrictions, retrofits for resilience• Often uses structural

approaches • sea walls • armoring

Proactive• Before damage

occurs• Involves planning,

pre-emptive mitigation• Often uses non-

structural approaches• Land use• Green infrastructure• Incentives

Page 11: Third National Climate Assessment, Draft 2013

Coastal Adaptation Report

• Report & Executive Summary are on ChapterNET• Coastal Adaptation Forum

Page 12: Third National Climate Assessment, Draft 2013

Next Steps• Coastal Adaptation Forum kick off• Tuesday, August 19th at 3 PM Pacific.

• ChapterNET: Coastal Adaptation• Information resources on Beachapedia• Communication / Talking points• National Policy • Other?

Page 13: Third National Climate Assessment, Draft 2013

Surfrider Strategy

1. Outreach & Education2. Tools & Resources3. Vertical Connections• Local <-> National

4. Horizontal Connections•Partners

5. Transparency & Communication

Page 14: Third National Climate Assessment, Draft 2013

Thank you!Chad [email protected]

Page 15: Third National Climate Assessment, Draft 2013

Tools & Resources“Providing the tools to succeed”

• Information resources•Adaptation guides•Case Studies•Model Campaign plans•Staff support

Page 16: Third National Climate Assessment, Draft 2013

Local groups

Other State

Agencies

National NGOs

Local Allies

Horizontal Connections“Connecting people with each other”

Regional/State

National

Chamber of

Commerce

Rotary

Surf Clubs

Partner Orgs (TNC)

Funders

Etc.

Smarter Safer

Smarter Safer

Page 17: Third National Climate Assessment, Draft 2013

Transparency & Communication

•Clear objectives•Regular communications•Activist activities

Page 18: Third National Climate Assessment, Draft 2013

Local Issues

Regional/State Issue

Federal Issues

Chapters

Vertical Connections“Connecting people with process”

Regional Staff

National Staff

National Flood Insurance Program

Coastal Management Program (DLCD/Parks)

Local Land Use Plans

Page 19: Third National Climate Assessment, Draft 2013

Outreach & Education“Connecting people with information”

•Shared information•Talking points•Beachapedia articles•Handouts•Videos •Activist activities