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July 2009 Leading International Property Advisors Tokyo Residential Market Report For:

Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

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Page 1: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

July 2009

Leading International Property Advisors

Tokyo Residential Market Report

For:

Page 2: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Tokyo: The World’s Largest City by GDP in 2005 and also in 2020

• Tokyo’s GDP was the largest in the world in 2005 worth around 1.2 trillion dollars

• It is expected to be at the top of the table in 2020, with a GDP worth 1.6 trillion dollars

(Source: United Nations, PwC, Savills Research & Consultancy)

0200400600800

1,0001,2001,4001,6001,800

TokyoNew

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San Fran

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ttleBeiji

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($1 Billion at PPPs) 2005 2020 (estimate)

Page 3: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Population of Tokyo: Growth Expected

(Source: National Institute of Population and Social Security Research, Savills Research & Consultancy)

Tokyo’s population (including its exterior cities) is projected to increase until 2020, peaking at 13.05 millionTokyo’s population will not decrease to its 2005 level until after 2035

100.0

105.0

110.0

115.0

120.0

125.0

130.0

2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

(Million)(Million)

12.312.412.512.612.712.812.913.013.113.2

Japan (LHS) Tokyo (RHS)

Page 4: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Tokyo Residential: Beginning Transaction Cap Rate

•Residential cap rates reached its lowest level in 2007/2H•Currently, beginning transaction cap rates are expected to be between 50 ~100 basis points higher than its 2007/2H level

4.24.44.64.85.05.25.45.65.86.06.26.46.66.87.07.2

2003/102003/12

2004/22004/42004/62004/82004/102004/12

2005/22005/42005/62005/82005/102005/12

2006/22006/42006/62006/82006/102006/12

2007/22007/42007/62007/82007/102007/12

2008/22008/42008/62008/82008/102008/12

2009/22009/4

(%)Studio Residential Family Residential Luxury Residential (Low Rise) Luxury Residential (Tower)

(Source: Japan Real Estate Institute, Savills Research & Consultancy)

Page 5: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Tokyo Residential - Major Investment Transactions

Property Lietocourt Arx Tower Cosmos Nishiojima Grand Stage

Concieria Shibakoen J-Flats Sangenjaya

Purchasing Price

Price per Tsubo

Location

¥13,000,000,000

¥1,808,660

3-8-1, MInato, Chuo Ward, Tokyo

¥710,000,000

NA

3-5-20,21, Kitasuna, Koto Ward, Tokyo

¥4,000,000,000

NA

6-15-1, Shimbashi, Minato Ward, Tokyo

¥871,130,000

NA

2-16-9, Sangenjaya, Setagaya Ward, Tokyo

Cap Rate (estimate) 5.4% 7.8% 6.0% 5.2%

Transaction Date February 2009 January 2009 December 2008 December 2008

Purchaser St. Martins Star Mica Sumitomo Forestry Joint REIT

(Source: Real Capital Analytics, Savills Research & Consultancy)

Page 6: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Tokyo 23 Wards: Chiyoda, Chuo, Minato, Shinjuku Shibuya, Shinagawa, Meguro, Ota, Setagaya, Nakano, Suginami, Bunkyo, Toshima, Nerima, Itabashi, Kita, Koto, Sumida, Arakawa, Adachi, Katsushika, Edogawa

(Source: National Institute of Population and Social Security Research, Savills Research & Consultancy)

Area (sq.km) 587Population (persons) 7,654,272Day Time Population (persons) 11,143,712No. of Households 4,352,894Population Density persons/sq.km 13,031

Dwellings by Type of BuildingTotal

Detached Houses 996,250Tenament Houses 68,050Apartments 2,754,9401-2 Stories 669,0903-5 Stories 1,078,4606-10 Stories 564,25011 Stories and Over 442,620Other 23,170

Page 7: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Population of Tokyo 23 Wards:

(Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs, at home, Savills Research & Consultancy)

•Population of Tokyo’s 23 wards is expected to grow continuously until around 2020

•Tokyo 23 wards’ population is expected to decrease to below 2005 levels by 2035

8,400,000

8,450,000

8,500,000

8,550,000

8,600,000

8,650,000

8,700,000

8,750,000

8,800,000

2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

(Persons) Tokyo 23 Wards

Page 8: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

•Rental Levels peaked in 2008/1H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2005/2HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→0.16%- Number of Units→30.94%

Tokyo 23 Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

11,00011,50012,00012,50013,00013,50014,00014,50015,00015,500

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 9: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Tokyo 23 Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

•Rental Levels in 2008/2H was the highest in the past 5 years. Rental levels increased by 2.89% on a Y-o-Y basis.

•Number of contracted units peaked in 2006/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H was

40.40%

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

8,500

9,000

9,500

10,000

10,500

11,000

11,500

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 10: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Tokyo 23 Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 or smaller

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/2H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2005/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→28.21%- Number of Units→51.60%

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

20,000

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 11: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Central 5 Wards: Chiyoda, Chuo, Minato, Shinjuku, ShibuyaArea (sq.km) 75.47Population (persons) 825,627Day Time Population (persons) 3,722,952No. of Households 482,090Population Density persons/sq.km 52,530

Dwellings by Type of BuildingTotal

Detached Houses 56,760Tenament Houses 8,870Apartments 347,0301-2 Stories 43,4303-5 Stories 106,3106-10 Stories 92,25011 Stories and Over 105,030Other 7,990

Shinjuku Ward

Shibuya Ward

Chiyoda Ward

Minato Ward

Chuo Ward

(Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs, at home, Savills Research & Consultancy)

Page 12: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Central 5 Wards: Population of Chiyoda, Chuo, Minato, Shinjuku & Shibuya Wards

•Population of the central 5 wards is expected to grow continuously until around 2025

•The population of Chiyoda Ward is expected to grow continuously until around 2030

•The population of Chuo and Minato wards is expected to grow continuously until around 2035

(Source: National Institute of Population and Social Security Research, Savills Research & Consultancy)

050,000

100,000150,000200,000250,000300,000350,000

2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

(Persons)(Persons)

780,000800,000820,000840,000860,000880,000900,000920,000940,000

Chiyoda (LHS) Chuo (LHS) Minato (LHS)Shinjuku (LHS) Shibuya (LHS) Total (RHS)

Page 13: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

•Rental Levels peaked in 2008/1H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2006/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→9.28%- Number of Units→48.91%

Chiyoda Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0102030405060708090100

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

Page 14: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Chiyoda Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

•Rental Levels peaked in 2008/1H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2006/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→6.98%- Number of Units→61.54%

11,500

12,000

12,500

13,000

13,500

14,000

14,500

15,000

15,500

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

50

100

150

200

250

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

Page 15: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Chiyoda Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 or smaller

•Rental Levels peaked in 2006/1H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2005/2HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→2.46%- Number of Units→60.49%

12,200

12,400

12,600

12,800

13,000

13,200

13,400

13,600

13,800

14,000

14,200

14,400

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

Page 16: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Chuo Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/1H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2008/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→10.23%- Number of Units→34.29%

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 17: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Chuo Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/2H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2008/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→4.07%- Number of Units→26.78%

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

10,000

10,500

11,000

11,500

12,000

12,500

13,000

13,500

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 18: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Chuo Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. or Smaller

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/2H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2005/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→3.92%- Number of Units→61.62%

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

12,60012,80013,00013,20013,40013,60013,80014,00014,20014,40014,600

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 19: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Minato Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

•Rental levels peaked in 2008/1H•Number of units contracted peaked in 2007/H1•Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H • - Rental Level→6.13%• - Number of Units→11.42%

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

14,00014,50015,00015,50016,00016,50017,00017,50018,00018,50019,00019,500

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 20: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Minato Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

•Rental levels peaked in 2007/2H •Number of units contracted peaked in 2007/H1•Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H • - Rental Level→6.82%• - Number of Units→12.43%

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

12,500

13,000

13,500

14,000

14,500

15,000

15,500

16,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

01002003004005006007008009001,000

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 21: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Minato Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

•Rental levels peaked in 2008/1H•Number of units contracted peaked in 2005/1H•Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H• - Rental Levels→4.42%• - Number of Units→48.61%

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

13,80014,00014,20014,40014,60014,80015,00015,20015,40015,60015,80016,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 22: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Shinjuku Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

•Rental levels peaked in 2007/1H•Number of units contracted peaked in 2005/1H•Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H • - Rental Level→9.66%• - Number of Units→41.30%

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0102030405060708090100

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 23: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Shinjuku Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

•Rental levels peaked in 2007/1H•Number of units contracted peaked in 2007/1H•Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H • - Rental Level→2.10%• - Number of Units→28.42%

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

050100150200250300350400450

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 24: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Shinjuku Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

•Rental levels peaked in 2007/1H•Number of units contracted peaked in 2005/1H •Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H• - Rental Level→4.76%• - Number of Units→52.44%

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

11,80012,00012,20012,40012,60012,80013,00013,20013,40013,60013,800

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0200400

6008001,0001,200

1,4001,600

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 25: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Shibuya Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

•Rental levels peaked in 2008/1H •Number of units contracted peaked in 2003/2H•Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H• - Rental Level→6.64%• - Number of Units→37.50%

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

13,000

13,500

14,000

14,500

15,000

15,500

16,000

16,500

17,000

17,500

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

50

100

150

200

250

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 26: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Shibuya Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

•Rental levels in 2008/2H was the highest in the past 5 years. Rental levels increased by 5.06% on a Y-o-Y basis

•Number of units contracted peaked in 2005/1H•Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H was 45.22%

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

11,50012,00012,50013,00013,50014,00014,50015,00015,50016,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 27: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Shibuya Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

•Rental levels in 2008/2H was the highest in the past 5 years. Rental levels increased by 0.35% on a Y-o-Y basis

•Number of units contracted peaked in 2005/2H•Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H was 51.76%

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

12,500

13,000

13,500

14,000

14,500

15,000

15,500

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 28: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Jyonan District: Shinagawa, Meguro, Ota & Setagaya WardsArea (sq.km) 154.96Population (persons) 2,093,228Day Time Population (persons) 2,169,603No. of Households 1,096,464Population Density persons/sq.km 13,508

Dwellings by Type of BuildingTotal

Detached Houses 252,510Tenament Houses 17,780Apartments 694,0201-2 Stories 196,1203-5 Stories 320,4506-10 Stories 117,07011 Stories and Over 59,670Other 2,660

(Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs, at home, Savills Research & Consultancy)

Setagaya Ward

Meguro Ward

Shinagawa Ward

Ota Ward

Page 29: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Jyonan District: Population of Shinagawa, Meguro, Ota & Setagaya Wards

(Source: National Institute of Population and Social Security Research, Savills Research & Consultancy)

•Population of the Jyonan District is expected to grow continuously until around 2020

•Population of Meguro and Setagaya wards is expected to peak at around 2025

•Population of Shinagawa and Ota wards is expected to peak before 2015

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

900,000

2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

(Persons)(Persons)

2,100,000

2,120,000

2,140,000

2,160,000

2,180,000

2,200,000

Shinagawa (LHS) Meguro (LHS) Ota (LHS) Setagaya (LHS) Total (RHS)

Page 30: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Shinagawa Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

•Rental levels peaked in 2007/2H•Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H was 7.54%•Number of units contracted peaked in 2006/1H •Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H was 81.08%

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

02,0004,0006,0008,000

10,00012,00014,00016,00018,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 31: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Shinagawa Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 - 80 sq.m.

•Rental levels peaked in 2008/1H •Number of units contracted peaked in 2007/1H •Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H

- Rental Level→6.38%- Number of Units→48.85%

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 32: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Shinagawa Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

•Rental levels peaked in 2008/1H•Number of units contracted peaked in 2007/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→2.87%- Number of Units→54.12%

11,00011,20011,40011,60011,80012,00012,20012,40012,60012,80013,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 33: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Meguro Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

•Rental levels peaked in 2008/1H •Number of units contracted peaked in 2005/1H •Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H

- Rental Level→0.17%- Number of Units→51.67%

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 34: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Meguro Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

•Rental levels peaked in 2008/1H•Number of units contracted peaked in 2005/1H •Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H

- Rental Level→5.33%- Number of Units→28.57%

10,000

10,500

11,000

11,500

12,000

12,500

13,000

13,500

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

Page 35: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Meguro Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

•Rental levels peaked in 2008/1H •Number of units contracted peaked in 2005/1H •Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H

- Rental Level→1.56%- Number of Units→52.42%

11,80012,00012,20012,40012,60012,80013,00013,20013,40013,60013,80014,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 36: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Ota Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

•Rental Levels in 2008/2H was the highest in the past 5 years. Rental levels increased by 6.17% on a Y-o-Y basis

•Number of contracted units peaked in 2005/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Number of units→48.39%

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 37: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Ota Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/2H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2006/1H•Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H

- Rental Level→4.04%- Number of Units→57.22%

7,800

8,000

8,200

8,400

8,600

8,800

9,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 38: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Ota Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/2H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2005/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→3.14%- Number of Units→51.23%

10,000

10,200

10,400

10,600

10,800

11,000

11,200

11,400

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 39: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

Setagaya Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

•Rental Levels peaked in 2008/1H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2005/2HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→1.08%- Number of Units→65.37%

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 40: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Setagaya Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

•Rental levels in 2008/2H was the highest in the past 5 years. Rental levels increased by 4.25% on a Y-o-Y basis

•Number of units contracted peaked in 2004/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Number of Units→53.28%

8,6008,8009,0009,2009,4009,6009,800

10,00010,20010,40010,60010,800

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

01002003004005006007008009001,000

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

Page 41: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Setagaya Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/2H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2004/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→1.88%- Number of Units→65.25%

11,000

11,200

11,400

11,600

11,800

12,000

12,200

12,400

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 42: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Jyosai District: Nakano & Suginami

Area (sq.km) 49.61Population (persons) 826,197Day Time Population (persons) 725,015No. of Households 465,962Population Density persons/sq.km 16,654

Suginami Ward

Nakano Ward

Dwellings by Type of BuildingTotal

Detached Houses 103,130Tenament Houses 11,120Apartments 298,3201-2 Stories 128,4603-5 Stories 119,9406-10 Stories 39,68011 Stories and Over 9,840Other 1,830

(Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs, at home, Savills Research & Consultancy)

Page 43: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Jyosai District: Population of Nakano & Suginami

•Population of the Jyosai District is expected to peak at around 2015

•Population of Nakano Ward is expected to peak at around 2010

•Population of Suginami Ward is expected to peak at around 2015

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,000

500,000

550,000

600,000

2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

(Persons)(Persons)

790,000

800,000

810,000

820,000

830,000

840,000

850,000

860,000

Nakano (LHS) Suginami (LHS) Total (RHS)

(Source: National Institute of Population and Social Security Research, Savills Research & Consultancy)

Page 44: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Nakano Ward: Rental Level 80 sq.m. Or Larger

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

•Rental Levels peaked in 2005/1H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2005/2HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→6.24%- Number of Units→54.17%

7,000

7,500

8,000

8,500

9,000

9,500

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 45: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Nakano Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

•Rental Levels in 2008/2H was the highest in the past five years. Rental levels increased by 5.29% on a Y-o-Y basis

•Number of contracted units peaked in 2004/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Number of units→63.06%

8,6008,8009,0009,2009,4009,6009,800

10,00010,200

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 46: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Nakano Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

•Rental Levels peaked in 2008/1H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2004/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→0.70%- Number of Units→62.90%

10,600

10,800

11,000

11,200

11,400

11,600

11,800

12,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

01002003004005006007008009001,000

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 47: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Suginami Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

•Rental levels in 2008/2H was the highest in the past 5 years. Rental levels increased by 12.72% on a Y-on-Y basis

•Number of contracted units peaked in 2004/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Number of Units→83.02%

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 48: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Suginami Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

•Rental levels in 2008/2H was the highest in the past 5 years. Rental levels increased by 3.77% on a Y-on-Y basis

•Number of contracted units peaked in 2004/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Number of Units→71.72%

8,400

8,600

8,800

9,000

9,200

9,400

9,600

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

050100150200250300350400450

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 49: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Suginami Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/2H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2005/2HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→2.04%- Number of Units→66.35%

11,100

11,200

11,300

11,400

11,500

11,600

11,700

11,800

11,900

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 50: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Jyohoku District: Bunkyo, Toshima, Nerima, Itabashi, Kita & Taito

(Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs, at home, Savills Research & Consultancy)

Area (sq.km) 135.32Population (persons) 2,110,284Day Time Population (persons) 2,312,486No. of Households 1,083,801Population Density persons/sq.km 97,010

Dwellings by Type of BuildingTotal

Detached Houses 261,370Tenament Houses 18,260Apartments 690,1301-2 Stories 176,1903-5 Stories 267,3906-10 Stories 136,94011 Stories and Over 109,620Other 6,210

Nerima Ward

Itabashi Ward

Toshima Ward

Kita Ward

Bunkyo Ward

Taito Ward

Page 51: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Jyohoku District: Population of Bunkyo, Toshima, Nerima, Itabashi & Kita

(Source: National Institute of Population and Social Security Research, Savills Research & Consultancy)

•Population of the Jyohoku District is expected to peak at around 2020

•Population of Bunkyo and Nerima wards is expected to peak at around 2025

•Population of Toshima, Itabashi, Kita and Taito wards is expected to peak between 2010 - 2015

100,000200,000300,000400,000500,000600,000700,000800,000

2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

(Persons)(Persons)

2,000,000

2,050,000

2,100,000

2,150,000

2,200,000

2,250,000

Bunkyo (LHS) Toshima (LHS) Nerima (LHS) Itabashi (LHS)

Kita (LHS) Taito (LHS) Total (RHS)

Page 52: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Bunkyo Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/2H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2003/2HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→9.39%- Number of Units→51.28%

9,4009,6009,800

10,00010,20010,40010,60010,80011,00011,20011,400

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

051015202530354045

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 53: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Bunkyo Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 Sq.m.

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

•Rental Levels in 2008/2H was the highest in the past 5 years. Rental levels increased by 4.30% on a Y-o-Y basis.

•Number of contracted units peaked in 2006/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Number of Units→63.80%

8,500

9,000

9,500

10,000

10,500

11,000

11,500

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 54: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Bunkyo Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

•Rental levels peaked in 2008/1H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2005/1H•Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H• - Rental Levels→2.09%

- Number of Units→65.92%

11,60011,70011,80011,90012,00012,10012,20012,30012,40012,50012,600

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 55: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Toshima Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

•Rental Levels and number of contracted units both peaked in 2007/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→22.97%- Number of Units→69.23%

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 56: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Toshima Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

•Rental Levels peaked in 2005/2H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2007/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→2.19%- Number of Units→41.67%

8,2008,4008,6008,8009,0009,2009,4009,6009,800

10,00010,200

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 57: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Toshima Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

•Rental Levels peaked in 2008/1H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2006/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→1.59%- Number of Units→58.82%

10,70010,80010,90011,00011,10011,20011,30011,40011,50011,60011,70011,800

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 58: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Nerima Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

•Rental Levels peaked in 2003/2H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2005/2HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→14.40%- Number of Units→91.67%

01,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,0007,0008,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 59: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Nerima Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

•Rental Levels peaked in 2006/1H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2006/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→1.79%- Number of Units→61.09%

6,7006,8006,9007,0007,1007,2007,3007,4007,5007,600

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 60: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Nerima Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/2H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2005/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→4.02%- Number of Units→64.71%

9,6009,7009,8009,900

10,00010,10010,20010,30010,40010,50010,600

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

01002003004005006007008009001,000

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 61: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Itabashi Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/1H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2005/2HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→9.51%- Number of Units→75.00%

01,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,0007,0008,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

02468101214

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 62: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Itabashi Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

•Rental Levels peaked in 2008/1H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2004/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→5.85%- Number of Units→61.38%

6,000

6,500

7,000

7,500

8,000

8,500

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

050100150200250300350400

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 63: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Itabashi Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/2H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2006/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→2.08%- Number of Units→51.01%

9,000

9,200

9,400

9,600

9,800

10,000

10,200

10,400

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

01002003004005006007008009001,000

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 64: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Kita Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

•Rental Levels peaked in 2005/1H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2007/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→24.56%- Number of Units→73.68%

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

5

10

15

20

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 65: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Kita Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

Rental Levels and number of contracted units both peaked in 2008/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H

- Rental Level→3.84%- Number of Units→67.50%

6,500

7,000

7,500

8,000

8,500

9,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

50

100

150

200

250

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 66: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Kita Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/2H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2004/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→4.58%- Number of Units→60.45%

9,600

9,800

10,000

10,200

10,400

10,600

10,800

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 67: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Taito Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

02,0004,0006,0008,000

10,00012,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

05101520253035

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

•Rental Levels peaked in 2005/2H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2006/2HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→41.28%- Number of Units→96.88%

Page 68: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Taito Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

7,500

8,000

8,500

9,000

9,500

10,000

10,500

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

•Rental Levels in 2008/2H was the highest in the past 5 years. Rental levels increased by 1.22% on a Y-o-Y basis.

•Number of contracted units peaked in 2006/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Number of Units→41.83%

Page 69: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Taito Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

10,00010,20010,40010,60010,80011,00011,20011,40011,600

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0100200300400500600700800

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/1H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2006/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→1.82%- Number of Units→53.31%

Page 70: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Jyoto District: Koto, Sumida, Arakawa, Adachi, Katsushika & Edogawa

(Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs, at home, Savills Research & Consultancy)

Area (sq.km) 172.02Population (persons) 1,798,936Day Time Population (persons) 2,213,656No. of Households 1,224,577Population Density persons/sq.km 273,145

Dwellings by Type of BuildingTotal

Detached Houses 322,480Tenament Houses 12,020Apartments 725,4401-2 Stories 124,8903-5 Stories 264,3706-10 Stories 178,31011 Stories and Over 158,460Other 4,480

Adachi Ward

Arakawa Ward

Koto Ward

Katsushika Ward

Edogawa Ward

Sumida Ward

Page 71: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Jyoto District: Population of Koto, Sumida, Arakawa, Adachi, Katsushika & Edogawa

(Source: National Institute of Population and Social Security Research, Savills Research & Consultancy)

•Population of the Jyoto District is expected to peak at around 2015

•Population of Koto, Sumida, and Arakawa wards is expected to peak at around 2020

•Population of Adachi and Katsushika wards is expected to peak before 2010

•Population of Edogawa Ward is expected to peak at around 2035

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

(Persons)(Persons)

2,400,000

2,450,000

2,500,000

2,550,000

2,600,000

2,650,000

Sumida (LHS) Koto (LHS) Arakawa (LHS) Adachi (LHS)

Katsushika (LHS) Edogawa (LHS) Total (RHS)

Page 72: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Koto Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/1H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2007/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→7.19%- Number of Units→68.89%

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

05101520253035404550

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 73: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Koto Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

•Rental Levels peaked in 2008/1H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2005/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→2.24%- Number of Units→36.46%

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 74: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Koto Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

Rental levels in 2008/2H was the highest in the past 5 years. Rental levels increased by 8.22% on a Y-o-Y basis.Number of contracted units peaked in 2008/1H

Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Number of Units→18.14%

9,500

10,000

10,500

11,000

11,500

12,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0100200300400500600700800

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 75: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Sumida Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

012345678

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

•Rental Levels peaked in 2008/1H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2006/2HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→45.05%- Number of Units→71.43%

Page 76: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Sumida Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Rental levels in 2008/2H was the highest in the past 5 years. Rental levels increased by 9.76% on a Y-o-Y basis.Number of contracted units peaked in 2006/1H

Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Number of Units→30.68%

Page 77: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Sumida Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

9,000

9,500

10,000

10,500

11,000

11,500

12,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0100200300400500600700

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

•Rental Levels peaked in 2008/1H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2007/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→4.77%- Number of Units→46.50%

Page 78: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Arakawa Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

•Rental Levels peaked in 2008/1H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2007/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→9.25%- Number of Units→80.00%

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

024681012

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 79: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Arakawa Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

•Rental Levels peaked in 2004/2H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2004/2HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→4.83%- Number of Units→54.66%

7,0007,2007,4007,6007,8008,0008,2008,400

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

50

100

150

200

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 80: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Arakawa Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

•Rental Levels and number of contracted units both peaked in in 2005/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→7.83%- Number of Units→35.08%

9,000

9,500

10,000

10,500

11,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

050100150200250300350

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

Page 81: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Adachi Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

01,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,0007,0008,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

01020304050607080

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/2H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2007/2HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→9.34%- Number of Units→98.63%

Page 82: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Adachi Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

5,2005,4005,6005,8006,0006,2006,4006,6006,800

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

050100150200250300350

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/2H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2007/2HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→5.93%- Number of Units→62.86%

Page 83: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Adachi Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

7,8008,0008,2008,4008,6008,8009,0009,200

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

100

200

300

400

500

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

•Rental Levels peaked in 2006/2H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2005/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→1.66%- Number of Units→49.36%

Page 84: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Katsushika Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

01,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,0007,0008,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

2

4

6

8

10

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/2H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2005/2HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→37.57%- Number of Units→75.00%

Page 85: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Katsushika Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

5,9006,0006,1006,2006,3006,4006,5006,600

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

•Rental Levels peaked in 2008/1H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2006/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→3.24%- Number of Units→65.00%

Page 86: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Katsushika Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

8,0008,2008,4008,6008,8009,0009,2009,400

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

050100150200250300350

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/1H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2006/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→2.41%- Number of Units→61.59%

Page 87: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Edogawa Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

5

10

15

20

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

•Rental Levels peaked in 2005/1H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2007/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→24.56%- Number of Units→73.68%

Page 88: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Edogawa Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

6,500

7,000

7,500

8,000

8,500

9,000

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

50

100

150

200

250

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

•Rental Levels and number of contracted units both peaked in 2008/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→3.84%- Number of Units→67.50%

Page 89: Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

Edogawa Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

9,600

9,800

10,000

10,200

10,400

10,600

10,800

2003/2H 2004/1H 2004/2H 2005/1H 2005/2H 2006/1H 2006/2H 2007/1H 2007/2H 2008/1H 2008/2H

(Yen)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS) No. of Units (RHS)

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/2H•Number of contracted units peaked in 2004/1HRate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H- Rental Level→4.58%- Number of Units→60.45%