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LD4D Community of Practice Meeting • 4-6 February 2020 • Rome
Tools for future livestock planningTimothy Robinson FAO
Title
LD4D Community of Practice Meeting • 4-6 February 2020 • Rome
Intensification MovementStructural change
Growing demand for livestock products
Livestock sector transformation
Concerns over sustainability
Drivers
Population growth Urbanization GlobalizationGDP growth
Shaping the future of livestock - GFFA
Title
LD4D Community of Practice Meeting • 4-6 February 2020 • Rome
Inefficiencies in livestock production
Grass &
Leaves
42%
Fodder crops
6%Crop
residues
7%
Oil seed
cakes
18%
By-products
7%
Other non-
edible
7%
Grains
11%
Other edible
2%
120 million tonnes of N in animal feed
Numbers of live, farmed animals in millions
N in animal-source
foods
6.7 1.4 3.7
Million tonnes
(11.8 in total)
1,398 197 1,127 965 972 20,187
N in
manure
99.5
Million tonnes
The fate of the nitrogen fed to farmed animals
83%10%
N in non-food
products
8.7
Million tonnes
7%
Title
LD4D Community of Practice Meeting • 4-6 February 2020 • Rome
GLEAM: Workflow for livestock emissions
Aggregated emissions
Mitigation potential
Emission intensities
Emission sources
Regional Results
Livestock distributions
Feed ration and intake
Livestock production systems
Herd and flock models
Manure emissions
Animal production and emissions
Feed emissions
Allocation
Energy and post-farm emissions
Title
LD4D Community of Practice Meeting • 4-6 February 2020 • Rome
Aggregated emissions
Gt CO2 eq. per year
Title
LD4D Community of Practice Meeting • 4-6 February 2020 • Rome
Emission intensities
Kg CO2 eq. per kg protein
Title
LD4D Community of Practice Meeting • 4-6 February 2020 • Rome
Different gasses, systems and measures
Title
LD4D Community of Practice Meeting • 4-6 February 2020 • Rome
Different gasses, systems and sources
Title
LD4D Community of Practice Meeting • 4-6 February 2020 • Rome
Regional results
Emission intensitiesKg CO2 eq. per kg of protein
Total emissionsKg CO2 eq. per year x 1 million
Title
LD4D Community of Practice Meeting • 4-6 February 2020 • Rome
Sources of error in livestock emissions
Livestock numbers and distributions
Herd and flock models
Livestock production systems
Livestockemissions Manure emissionsEmission
factorsEnergy and post-farm emissionsFeed emissions
Feed rations and intake
Production parameters
Title
LD4D Community of Practice Meeting • 4-6 February 2020 • Rome
Five practical actions towards low-carbon livestock
Action 1. Boosting efficiency of livestock production and resource use
Action 2. Intensifying recycling efforts and minimizing losses for a circular bio-economy
Action 3 Capitalizing on nature-based solutions to ramp up carbon offsets
Action 4. Striving for healthy, sustainable diets and accounting for protein alternatives
Action 5. Developing policy measures to drive change
Title
LD4D Community of Practice Meeting • 4-6 February 2020 • Rome
Tackling livestock emissions .. a systems approach
• Need to account for the diversity of livestock production systems
• Appreciating diverse roles that livestock play in different contexts .. motivation
• The sources of emissions vary for different livestock systems
• Different GHGs work differently and these vary for different systems
• Mitigation approaches need to be tailored to different environments
• Need to enhance synergies• productivity• Adaptation to climate change
• Enhanced resilience
• Need to manage tradeoffs with other sustainability objectives• Food and nutrition security
• Livelihoods and economic growth
• Animal health and welfare (also as it relates to public health)• Climate and natural resource use
