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1 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved. Top Trends in Management Accounting and Enterprise Performance Management (EPM) Methods Gary Cokins, CPIM Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC Cary, North Carolina USA www.garycokins.com 919 720 2718 [email protected] SAP Switzerland March 18, 2014 Geneva, Switzerland Copyright 2013 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

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Page 1: Top Trends in Management Accounting and Enterprise ... Trends in... · Top Trends in Management Accounting and Enterprise ... Eras of management accounting and cost model ... ABC/M

1 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

Top Trends in Management Accounting and Enterprise Performance Management

(EPM) Methods

Gary Cokins, CPIM Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

Cary, North Carolina USA

www.garycokins.com

919 720 2718

[email protected]

SAP Switzerland

March 18, 2014

Geneva, Switzerland

Copyright 2013 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

Page 2: Top Trends in Management Accounting and Enterprise ... Trends in... · Top Trends in Management Accounting and Enterprise ... Eras of management accounting and cost model ... ABC/M

2 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

About Gary Cokins Founder, Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

B.S. Industrial Engineering & Operations Research; Cornell

University, 1971

M.B.A. Finance & Accounting; Northwestern University,

Kellogg Graduate School of Management, 1974

Previous Associations:

- FMC Corporation

- Consultant with: Deloitte,

KPMG Peat Marwick,

Electronic Data Systems [EDS, now HP]

- SAS Copyright 2012 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

Page 3: Top Trends in Management Accounting and Enterprise ... Trends in... · Top Trends in Management Accounting and Enterprise ... Eras of management accounting and cost model ... ABC/M

3 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

Managers who have previously struggled at

promoting FP&A, enterprise performance

management (EPM) and integrating business

analytics (BA) into their decision support systems.

Who will benefit from this presentation?

Managers who intend to “champion” any or all EPM

and BA improvement techniques and need a

compelling call to action.

Copyright 2012 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

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4 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

Key questions

What? So what? Then what?

Copyright 2013 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

Page 5: Top Trends in Management Accounting and Enterprise ... Trends in... · Top Trends in Management Accounting and Enterprise ... Eras of management accounting and cost model ... ABC/M

5 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

Drowning in data but starving for information.

Copyright 2012 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

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6 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

AGENDA

Eras of management accounting and cost model stages of maturity

#7 Why is the adoption rate for EPM so slow?

Top Trends:

1. The expansion from product to channel and customer profitability analysis.

2. Integration of mgmt. accounting with EPM / CPM.

3. The shift from historic to predictive accounting.

4. Imbedding analytics into mgmt. accounting and EPM

5. Debates over costing methods (e.g., lean, TDABC)

6. Managing IT as a business (chargebacks, SLAs).

7. Recognition that “change management” is critical.

Copyright 2013 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

Page 7: Top Trends in Management Accounting and Enterprise ... Trends in... · Top Trends in Management Accounting and Enterprise ... Eras of management accounting and cost model ... ABC/M

7 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

Six Eras of Managerial Accounting

20,000 BC 1492 1910 1930 1980 2015

Stone

Age

Medieval

Industrial

Regulatory

Compliance

Consumer

Predictive

Analytics

Era

Of

Costing

Maturity

A shift of

emphasis from

a historical to a

predictive view

of strategy and

operations

precious metal

and paper

money piles,

ultimately

leading to

double-entry

bookkeeping

(Luca Pacioli,

1496).

standard cost

accounting (to

reflect

Frederick

Winslow

Taylor’s

manufacturing

scientific

methods, 1910)

The USA’s

Great

Depression

resulted in

regulatory

reforms to

protect

investors

(1930s).

“Causal” cost

tracing of

increasingly

diverse types

of products,

services,

channels and

customers

Rocks and

stone piles.

Copyright 2013 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

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8 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

AGENDA

Eras of management accounting and cost model stages of maturity

Why is the adoption rate for EPM so slow?

Top Trends:

1. The expansion from product to channel and customer profitability analysis.

2. Integration of MA with EPM / CPM.

3. The shift from historic to predictive accounting.

4. Imbedding analytics into MA and EPM

5. Debates over costing methods (e.g., lean, TDABC)

6. Managing IT as a business (chargebacks, SLAs).

7. Recognition that “change management” is critical.

Copyright 2013 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

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9 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

Products and standard service-lines are not the only

thing for which accountants should compute costs.

What about costs that have nothing to do with products

and standard service-lines?

The problem with traditional accounting’s gross margin

reporting is you don’t see the bottom half of the picture.

BIG TREND #1: The shift from product-centric to customer-centric profitability analysis.

Copyright 2013 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

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10 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

A simple explanation of ABC.

Mistrust of the managerial

accounting system … … for accuracy and transparency lead to

applying activity-based costing (ABC).

Copyright 2013 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

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11 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

Insurance Claims Processing Department

The General Ledger View is Structurally Deficient for Decision Analysis.

Salaries Equipment Travel expense Supplies Use and occupancy Total

$621,400

161,200

58,000

43,900

30,000

$914,500

$600,000

150,000

60,000

40,000

30,000

$880,000

$(21,400)

(11,200)

2,000

(3,900)

––

$(34,500)

Plan Actual Favorable/

(unfavorable)

Chart-of-Accounts View

When managers get this kind of report, they are

either happy or sad, but they are rarely any smarter!

Copyright 2012 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

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12 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

#of

Activity-Based View

To: ABC Data Base

Key/scan claims

Analyze claims

Suspend claims

Receive provider inquiries

Resolve member problems

Process batches

Determine eligibility

Make copies

Write correspondence

Attend training

Total

$ 31,500

121,000

32,500

101,500

83,400

45,000

119,000

145,500

77,100

158,000

$914,500

Claims Processing Dept

Salaries Equipment Travel expense Supplies Use and occupancy Total

$621,400

161,200

58,000

43,900

30,000

$914,500

$600,000

150,000

60,000

40,000

30,000

$880,000

$(21,400)

(11,200)

2,000

(3,900)

––

$(34,500)

Plan Actual Favorable/

(unfavorable)

Claims Processing Department

Chart-of-Accounts View

From: General Ledger Activity

cost

drivers

#of #of #of #of #of #of #of #of

#of

$914,500

Each Activity Has Its Own Cost Driver

Copyright 2012 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

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13 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

Multiple-Stage Cost Assignment Tracing

Simple ABM

Expanded ABM

Resources

Resources

Activities

Objects

Objects

Activities

Copyright 2013 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

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14 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

ABC/M Cost Assignment Network

Salary, Fringe

Benefits

Direct

Material

Phone,

Travel

Supplies Depreciation

Rent,

Interest,

Tax

Customers

Business

Sustaining

Products,

Services

Resources (general ledger view)

Work

Activities (verb-noun)

Final

Cost

Objects

Suppliers

(1)

Dem

and

s O

n W

ork

C

ost

s (2

)

“C

ost

s M

easu

re t

he

Eff

ects

Support

Activities

Equipment

Activities

People

Activities

“cost-to-serve”

paths

Copyright 2013 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

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15 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

# 1- Customer retention versus acquisition costs.

# 2 – Sources of Competitive Advantage –

Commoditization leading to service-differentiation.

Why Do Customer-related Costs Matter?

# 3 – From mass selling to one-to-one customer

relationships.

# 4 – The internet’s irreversible shift of power from

sellers to buyers.

Copyright 2012 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

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16 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

Copyright 2013 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

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17 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

CUSTOMER: XYZ CORPORATION (CUSTOMER #1270)

Sales $$$ Margin $ Margin

(Sales - Costs) % of Sales

Product-Related

Supplier-Related costs (TCO) $ xxx $ xxx 98%

Direct Material xxx xxx 50%

Brand Sustaining xxx xxx 48%

Product Sustaining xxx xxx 46%

Unit, Batch* xxx xxx 30%

Distribution-Related

Outbound Freight Type* xxx xxx 28%

Order Type* xxx xxx 26%

Channel Type* xxx xxx 24%

Customer-Related

Customer-Sustaining xxx xxx 22%

Unit-Batch* xxx xxx 10%

Business Sustaining xxx xxx 8%

Operating Profit xxx 8%

* Activity Cost Driver Assignments use measurable quantity volume of Activity Output

(Other ActvityAssignments traced based on informed (subjective) %s)

Product-

related

costs

Channel &

Customer-

related

costs

A Customer Profit & Loss Statement

Copyright 2013 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

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18 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

High (Creamy)

Low (Low Fat)

Low High

Cost-to-Serve

Product Mix Margin

Very

Profitable

Very

unprofitable

Types of Customers

Migrating Customers to Higher Profitability

Copyright 2013 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

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19 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

The CFO must now help Sales and

Marketing … to better target customers.

Segmentation, predictability, churn, offers, deals,

risk and uncertainty must be understood in the

language of money.

A Shift in the CFO’s Emphasis

Copyright 2013 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

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20 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

Vision & Mission

Balanced Scorecard

Strategy Mapping

A Vision statement answers

“where do we want to go?

Strategy maps and scorecards answer,

“How will we get there?”

The strategy map and scorecard are mechanical.

They help realize the vision and mission. Copyright 2012 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

BIG TREND #2: Integration of management accounting with enterprise performance management (EPM)

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21 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

Vision & Mission

Exceed shareholder expectations

Improve profit margins

Increase sales volume

Diversify income stream

Increase sales to existing customers

Diversify customer base

Test new products

Target profitable market segments

develop new products

Optimize internal processes

Attract new customers

Develop employee skills

Integrate systems

Learning

& Growth

Internal

Process

Customer

Financial

Copyright 2012 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

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22 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

Vision & Mission

Exceed shareholder expectations

Improve profit margins

Increase sales volume

Diversify income stream

Increase sales to existing customers

Diversify customer base

Test new products

Target profitable market segments

develop new products

Optimize internal processes

Attract new customers

Develop employee skills

Integrate systems

Learning

& Growth

Internal

Process

Customer

Financial

A learning environment

stimulates

Process excellence

Customer intimacy

Financial value

leads to

creating

Copyright 2012 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

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23 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

KPIs (strategic context)

Must have

targets

PIs (operational)

With

targets

Without

targets

- Trends

- Upper / lower

thresholds

Project-based

KPIs

Process-based

KPIs

Scorecard

(inter-related

measures with

cause-and-effect

correlations)

Dashboard

(measures in isolation)

Budget &

Resource

Planning

Strategy

Diagram Measurements

$ $

Frequency of

reporting

quarterly

monthly

weekly

daily

hourly

real-time

Without

targets

- drill-down analysis

- alert messages

What is the difference between KPIs and PIs?

Copyright 2012 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

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24 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

(1) Traditional budgeting

--> EPM-based budgeting

--> Rolling financial forecasts

(2) Customer Lifetime Value (CLV) (for business-to-consumer, B2C)

BIG TREND #3: Predictive Accounting Trends

Copyright 2013 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

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25 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

(1) Traditional budgeting

-> EPM-base budgeting

-> Rolling financial forecasts

(2) Customer Lifetime Value (CLV) (for business-to-consumer, B2C)

BIG TREND #3: Predictive Accounting Trends

Copyright 2013 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

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26 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

Why is the budgeting process broken?

The budget is typically a fiscal exercise by the accountants that is: -- disconnected from the executive team’s strategy. -- not based on future driver volumes.

Copyright 2013 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

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27 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

Current Year Budget Year

Wages 400,000.00$ Formula = Column B * 1.05

Supplies 50,000.00$

Rent 20,000.00$ Copy down

Computer 40,000.00$

Travel 30,000.00$

Phone 20,000.00$

Total 560,000.00$

a b c

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

Sheet 1

Spreadsheet Budgeting – It is Incremental !!

Copyright 2012 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

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28 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

Match the Budget Method to its Category

Demand-

driven

Project-

driven

Integrated

Budget (Rolling

Financial Forecasts)

Copyright 2012 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

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29 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

Customers and Service-recipients

Resources

Process Costs

Output & Outcome Costs

inputs

Resource

expenses can

be calculated

with

“backwards

ABC/M”

Start Here.

Copyright 2012 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

Recurring Expenses // Future Volume & Mix

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30 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

Accounting Treatments and Behavior of Capacity (expenses)

Now Past Future

Descriptive

Predictive

unused

used

sunk

fixed (unavoidable)

variable (adjustable

capacity;

avoidable)

Traceable to

products,

channels,

customers,

sustaining

unused

Predictive Accounting

Copyright 2012 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

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31 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

High

Low

Low High

Severity of impact on

event occurrence and

achievement

of objectives

probability of an event occurring

Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) Assessment Grid

8

10 3

4

5

6

7

1 9

2

Do not budget

Budget

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32 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

Recurring expenses

Non-recurring expenses

Demand- driven

Project- driven

volume & mix

of drivers

production and

ABP/B

strategy map and risk grid

Integrated Budget

(rolling financial

forecasts)

Budget method

Strategic & risk

mitigation projects

Match the Budget Method to its Category

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33 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

Define and adjust

strategy and risk, and

create strategy map

Create balanced

scorecard

Identify and

manage strategic

initiatives

Approve strategy

risk and capital

budget

Managerial

Accounting (e.g., Activity-based

Costing)

Derived budget

(and rolling

financial forecasts)

Strategy methods

(e.g., SWOT)

Manage and

improve core

processes

Financial Modeling

KPI dashboard

feedback

(2) capital budget

(3) strategy budget

(4) risk budget

Operational Modeling (by employee teams) Strategic

objectives

knowledge

= financial information (e.g. $)

Strategy Modeling (by executives)

priority projects and processes

Forecast drivers (e.g. sales) ;

develop production plan

Traditional and

driver-based

budgeting (e.g. PBB)

Capacity

resource plan

Driver volumes and mix

Results and outcomes

Changes and responses

e.g., hours, Pounds,

# employees

(1) Operational budget

KPI targets

Driver consumption rates

Acceptable?

Revise

plan

OK

No

Yes

Linking Strategy and Risk to the Budget

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35 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

Marginal / Incremental Expense Analysis

Most savvy managers know that some expenses are

fixed short-term and variable long term.

They want to know the financial impact of a decision.

Decision examples:

• Adding / dropping products, channels, or customers

• Make versus buy

• Outsourcing or not

• Capital investment justification

• Budgeting / rolling financial forecasts

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36 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

(1) Traditional budgeting

-> EPM-base budgeting

-> Rolling financial forecasts

(2) Customer Lifetime Value (CLV) (for business-to-consumer, B2C)

BIG TREND #3: Predictive Accounting Trends

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37 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

Who is more important to pursue with the scarce

resources of our marketing spend budget?

Our most profitable customers?

Or our most valuable customers?

What is the difference?

The “customer lifetime value” is intended to

answer this question.

Customer Value Management

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38 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

Dentist A

Sales = $750,000

profits = $100,000

Age 61

Dentist B

Sales = $375,000

profits = $40,000

Age 25

Which is more profitable?

Which is more valuable?

Imagine you are pharmaceutical supplier. Which Customer is more Important?

Copyright 2013 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

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39 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

BIG TREND #4 … Analytics: Work backwards with the end in mind.

Regardless how Business Analytics should be defined,

there should be no argument as to its purpose:

Better decisions. Better actions.

BA’s goal should be to gain insights and solve problems,

to make better and quicker decisions with more accurate

and fact-based data, and to take actions.

Copyright 2013 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

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40 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

Improving Performance by Unifying EPM and BA

-- BI Reporting consumes stored information.

-- Analytics produces new information.

-- Enterprise Performance Management deploys Analytics.

It is not about monitoring the dials on a dashboard,

but rather moving the dials.

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41 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

Queries simply answer questions. Business analytics

creates questions.

Further, analytics then stimulate more questions, more

complex questions, and more interesting questions.

Most importantly, business analytics also has the

power to answer the questions.

Business Analytics automates the “shortcuts”

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42 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

Time-Driven ABC (TDABC) is an alternative method

for activity drivers … and applies under conditions: • highly repetitive activities,

• less interest in indirect expenses,

• concerns about unused capacity costs.

Lean accounting can co-exist with one or more other

costing methods. Be wary of its anti-ABC zealots.

Resource consumption accounting (RCA) is justified

“if the higher climb is worth a better view.”

BIG TREND #5: Debates about Costing Methods

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43 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

Managing IT as a business is now an imperative. No longer can IT

be seen as a technology supplier – it must be seen to be adding

value to the organization and providing strategic capability. IT

performance management enables IT to become service oriented,

aligning itself with the organization to provide internal customer-

driven solutions to problems.

BIG TREND #6

Managing IT as a business

But … it is difficult to maximize returns from IT when the products

and services appear to be free to internal customers.

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45 Copyright © 2010 SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.

IT ABC Cost Assignment Network People

(Salary, Fringe

Benefits) Hardware

Software Network

Customers

Business

Sustaining

IT Services,

Products

Resources

Work Activities

Final

Cost

Objects In later

years

(1)

Dem

an

ds O

n W

ork

Costs

(2

)

“Costs

Me

asu

re t

he

Eff

ects

Support

Activities

Business cost objects New

systems

(future

value) Current

systems /

facilities

(current

value)

IT cost

objects

R&D Develop Replace Support Operate

equipment

Resources

Activities

Final

cost objects

IT charge into

other ABC/M

models

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AGENDA

Eras of management accounting and cost model stages of maturity

#7 Why is the adoption rate so slow?

Top Trends:

1. The expansion from product to channel and customer profitability analysis.

2. Integration of mgmt. accounting with EPM / CPM.

3. The shift from historic to predictive accounting.

4. Imbedding analytics into mgmt. accounting and EPM

5. Debates over costing methods (e.g., lean, TDABC)

6. Managing IT as a business (chargebacks, SLAs).

7. Recognition that “change management” is critical.

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BIG TREND #7 – the need for “change management Why is the adoption rate so slow? What are the barrier categories?

(1) Technical barriers include IT related issues.

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Remove the wall between IT and Users

IT’s view of

Business

Business’ view of IT

- competitor

- solve but don’t operate

- IT resource intensive

- risky; low concern for

governance and control

- a mystery of what they do

- obstructionists

- controlling

- uncooperative

- bureaucrats

- less skilled than us

- just a service center

BA provides IT the opportunity to drive value, but

IT will need to be more tolerant and flexible.

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Why is the adoption rate so slow? What are the barrier categories?

(1) Technical barriers include IT related issues.

(3) Design deficiencies include poor measurements or

their calculations and weak models and assumptions.

(4) Organizational behavior barriers involve resistance to

change, culture, and leadership.

(2) Perception barriers are excess complexity and

affordability.

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To create change, you need to create the need for change! How?

Change only occurs and continues only when:

(D x V x F) > R

the product of 3 factors

is greater than R

esistance to change

Dissatisfaction

with how

things are

Vision of what

“better” would look like

First

practical

steps

Overcoming Resistance to Change

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The Complete Vision of Analytics-based Performance Management

Make the RPM of the PM and BA gears spin …

… better, faster, cheaper … and smarter and safer

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The Institute of Management Accountants (IMA) at

www.imanet.org recorded brief 3 minute podcasts of

me introducing these 7 top trends.

Here is the overview: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gRyW2_Ay2Cw&hq_e=el&hq_m=1655061&hq_l=

12&hq_v=bd6554f22c

Here is the first one on trend #1: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lCj4-gvH1WQ&feature=youtu.be

Podcasts of the 7 Top Trends

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From Theory to Practice

Your success depends

on how well and how fast

the right information and

intelligence gets to the

right people.

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Thank You

Gary Cokins, CPIM

Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC

Cary, North Carolina USA

www.garycokins.com

919 720 2718

[email protected]

Copyright 2012 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC