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Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy Solutions Marco Golinelli, Director Energy Solutions X Conferenza Nazionale per l’Efficienza Energetica

Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy ... · Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy Solutions Marco Golinelli, Director Energy Solutions X Conferenza

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Page 1: Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy ... · Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy Solutions Marco Golinelli, Director Energy Solutions X Conferenza

Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy Solutions

Marco Golinelli, Director Energy Solutions

X Conferenza Nazionale per l’Efficienza Energetica

Page 2: Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy ... · Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy Solutions Marco Golinelli, Director Energy Solutions X Conferenza

CLEAN ENVIRONMENTA future without emissionsor pollution MARKET SHAPING

& INNOVATIONA union of new technologyand business models

ENERGY INTELLIGENCEAn optimised way of producingand using energy

WÄRTSILÄ’S PURPOSEis to enable sustainable societies with smart technology.

THIS IS WÄRTSILÄA global leader in smart technologies and complete lifecycle solutions for the marine and energy markets

Page 3: Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy ... · Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy Solutions Marco Golinelli, Director Energy Solutions X Conferenza

© Wärtsilä PUBLIC

Smart Energy Vision

The energy landscape is in transition towards more flexible and sustaintable energy systems. We envision a 100% renewable energy future.

Wärtsilä is leading the transition as the Energy System Integrator – we understand, design, build and serve optimal power systems for future generations.

We provide all the essential technologies, lifecycle services and optimised solutions for future energy systems.

3 29 November 2018 Corporate presentation 2018

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© Wärtsilä PUBLIC

ENERGY SOLUTIONS MARKET TRENDS & DRIVERS

RAPIDLY INCREASING

RENEWABLES

DECLININGINFLEXIBLEBASE LOAD

GENERATION

EMERGINGDISRUPTIVE STORAGE

TECHNOLOGY

THE ROLEOF GAS IS

INCREASING

ECONOMIC GROWTH,

ELECTRIFICATION AND IMPROVING

STANDARDOF LIVING

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© Wärtsilä PUBLIC 29 November 2018 Corporate presentation 20185

BLOOMBERG NEW ENERGY FINANCE

● Solar and wind dominate future electricity investment and capacity● Solar and wind costs fall rapidly, due to fundamentally new technologies● Coal-fired power collapses in Europe and the U.S., more mixed in Asia● Gas plays a key role, but not as most people imagine● Batteries and new sources of flexibility support reach of renewables

Source: Bloomberg NEF.

Page 6: Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy ... · Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy Solutions Marco Golinelli, Director Energy Solutions X Conferenza

© Wärtsilä PUBLIC 29 November 2018 Corporate presentation 20186

THE FUTURE OF ELECTRICITY: MORE SUN, WIND AND FLEXIBLE CAPACITY

Page 7: Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy ... · Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy Solutions Marco Golinelli, Director Energy Solutions X Conferenza

© Wärtsilä PUBLIC7

VRE COST

Page 8: Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy ... · Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy Solutions Marco Golinelli, Director Energy Solutions X Conferenza

© Wärtsilä PUBLIC 29 November 2018 Corporate presentation 20188

WIND PPA PRICES: RECORD LOW

Page 9: Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy ... · Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy Solutions Marco Golinelli, Director Energy Solutions X Conferenza

© Wärtsilä PUBLIC 29 November 2018 Corporate presentation 20189

IMPACT ON COAL PLANT - TEXAS

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© Wärtsilä PUBLIC 29 November 2018 Corporate presentation 201810

RENEWABLE IMPACT

Page 11: Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy ... · Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy Solutions Marco Golinelli, Director Energy Solutions X Conferenza

© Wärtsilä PUBLIC 29 November 2018 Corporate presentation 201811

RENEWABLE IMPACT

Page 12: Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy ... · Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy Solutions Marco Golinelli, Director Energy Solutions X Conferenza

© Wärtsilä PUBLIC 29 November 2018 Corporate presentation 201812

RENEWABLE IMPACT

Page 13: Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy ... · Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy Solutions Marco Golinelli, Director Energy Solutions X Conferenza

© Wärtsilä PUBLIC 29 November 2018 Corporate presentation 201813

NEW MIX

1 RENEWABLESPROVIDEMAJORITY OFENERGY

2 MARKETPROVIDESTHE SOURCEFORBALANCING

3 FLEXIBILITYPROVIDESTHESECURITY

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© Wärtsilä PUBLIC 29 November 2018 Corporate presentation 201814

RENEWABLE DENTON

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© Wärtsilä PUBLIC 29 November 2018 Corporate presentation 201815

AUSTRALIA

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© Wärtsilä PUBLIC16

• Increased renewablesThe UK government is committed to decarbonising the electricity network, as a key step towards decarbonising the wider economy. The UK is legally bound by emissions reduction targets of 34% by 2020 and 80% by 2050. Renewables will play a key role in this decarbonisation: the UK government has targeted that 30% of electricity generation will come from renewable sources by 2020, primarily wind turbines.

• Decreased conventional generation Conventional thermal generation (coal, gas, oil) is set to reduce, primarily due to emissions regulations. Conventional plant currently provide some flexibility, and their reduction will lower system flexibility

• Increased nuclear by 2030The government is committed to a new generation of nuclear generators to replacing the UK’s ageing nuclear reactors. Nuclear generators are inflexible, and will not contribute to system flexibility

TRENDS IN GB GENERATION TECHNOLOGIES

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© Wärtsilä PUBLIC17

• System “flexibility” allows supply and demand to be balanced more easily than by conventional thermal power plant

• Sources of flexibility included:• Flexible generation• Demand Side Response (DSR)• Electricity storage• Interconnection• Smarter networks

• Different source of flexibility have different characteristics and constraints on operation. For example:• Storage and Demand Side Response shift demand that has to be recovered at another point

in time • Interconnectors depend on adequate flexibility in interconnected markets• Flexible generation can be used at any time and does not rely on other forms of flexibility

• The different sources of flexibility operate over different time-frames, both in terms of response time and duration.

THE DEFINITION OF “FLEXIBILITY”

Page 18: Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy ... · Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy Solutions Marco Golinelli, Director Energy Solutions X Conferenza

© Wärtsilä PUBLIC 29 November 2018 Corporate presentation 201818

…Capable of producing enough power to meet the needs of 100,000 homes, the 50MW* facilities have been designed to respond to peaks in demand within two minutesThe new plants have been built on land adjacent to Centrica’s existing gas-fired power plants and each consist of five reciprocating gas engines that will typically run for a few hours a day…Mark Futyan, Distributed Power Systems Director at Centrica Business Solutions, said: “We’re pleased to open our first two peaking plants, which will help meet the UK’s changing energy needs and ultimately support the transition to a low carbon future by providing an important back up to renewable generation.“We’re seeing increasing demand for flexible power so this is an important demonstration of how we can help our customers to navigate the new energy landscape and deliver a variety of end-to-end solutions including onsite generation, demand side response and energy storage.”The engines have been supplied by Wärtsilä.

*The plants each comprise 5 x 9.8MW engines, delivering a total capacity of 49MW.

CENTRICA COMPLETES TWO 50MW FAST-RESPONSE PLANTS IN BRIGG AND PETERBOROUGH

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© Wärtsilä PUBLIC 29 November 2018 Corporate presentation 201819

Page 20: Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy ... · Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy Solutions Marco Golinelli, Director Energy Solutions X Conferenza

© Wärtsilä PUBLIC 29 November 2018 Corporate presentation 201820

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© Wärtsilä PUBLIC 29 November 2018 Corporate presentation 201821

Page 22: Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy ... · Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy Solutions Marco Golinelli, Director Energy Solutions X Conferenza

© Wärtsilä PUBLIC 29 November 2018 Corporate presentation 201822

CENTRICA’S PLANT BRIGG

Page 23: Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy ... · Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy Solutions Marco Golinelli, Director Energy Solutions X Conferenza

© Wärtsilä PUBLIC 29 November 2018 Corporate presentation 201823

STRENGTH IN NUMBERS

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© Wärtsilä PUBLIC

50 MW plant range

Under the scope:• GE LM6000 PF• Siemens SGT 800-50• 5x Wärtsilä 20V34SG

Comparison

Page 25: Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy ... · Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy Solutions Marco Golinelli, Director Energy Solutions X Conferenza

© Wärtsilä PUBLIC

EFFICIENCY VS. TEMPERATURE

5 15 25 35 45

Net

effi

cien

cy (%

)

Ambient temperature (°C)

1 x LM 6000 PF (new and clean)

1 x SGT 800-50 (new and clean)

5 x Wärtsilä 20V34SG

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© Wärtsilä PUBLIC

PLANT NET EFFICIENCY VS. LOAD

50 60 70 80 90 100

Part

-load

effi

cien

cy (%

)

Load (%)

1 x LM 6000 PF (newand clean)

1 x SGT 800-50 (newand clean)

5 x Wärtsilä20V34SG

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© Wärtsilä PUBLIC

LOADING SEQUENCES FOR DIFFERENT POWER PLANTS

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 mins

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

90

100

Load %

55

Coal Fired power plant

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

90

100

Load %

Combined Cycle power plant (GTCC)

Industrial GT power plant (GTSC)

Aeroderivative GT power plant (GTSC)

Combustion engine power plant

Note: Start up times from warm stand-by!

2 minutes to full load!2 minutes to full load!

Additional power fromWärtsilä plant

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© Wärtsilä PUBLIC

Combined Cycle power plant (GTCC)

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 mins

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

90

100

Load %

UNLOADING SEQUENCES FOR DIFFERENT POWER PLANTS

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

90

100

Load %

Industrial GT power plant (GTSC)

Combustion engine power plant

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© Wärtsilä PUBLIC

LOADING AND UNLOADING OF A WÄRTSILÄ 34 GAS POWER PLANT

0 1 2 3 / 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 mins

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

90

100

Load %

8

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

90

100

Load %

Wärtsilä 34 gas power plant

(*) A power plant with e.g. 10 gensets can correspondlingly operate at 3 % of its total nominal output.

Note: Start-up times from hot stand-by!

2 min tofull load2 min tofull load

0,5 min tosynchronisation0,5 min tosynchronisation

Min. up-time: 0 minMin. up-time: 0 min

1 min fullunloading1 min fullunloading

Min. down-time: 5 minMin. down-time: 5 min

Cycle #1 Cycle #2

Non-spinning reserves•Available in 30 sec & full output in 2 min•No fuel consumption & no emissions•No wear

Min. load per genset: 30 % (*)Min. load per genset: 30 % (*)

Spinning reserves•Ramp rate >100 % / min•Frequency balancing

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© Wärtsilä PUBLIC

CYCLING OF A WÄRTSILÄ 34 GAS POWER PLANT

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 mins

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

90

100

Load %

11

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

90

100

Load %

Wärtsilä 34 gas power plant

Note: Start-up times from hot stand-by!

1 min from 30%load to full load1 min from 30%load to full load

No maintenance impactfrom frequent cyclingNo maintenance impactfrom frequent cycling

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© Wärtsilä PUBLIC

DYNAMIC CHARACTERISTIC

Produzione media tra avviamento e spegnimento, avviamento a caldo (hot start)Cash Flow ( 4 ore tra avviamento e spegnimento)

Tempo da pieno carico in minuti

Page 32: Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy ... · Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy Solutions Marco Golinelli, Director Energy Solutions X Conferenza

© Wärtsilä PUBLIC© Wärtsilä 29 November 2018 W20V31SG32

WARTSILA POWER PLANTS

The next generation of• Efficiency• Operational flexibility• Reliability & Serviceability

Page 33: Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy ... · Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy Solutions Marco Golinelli, Director Energy Solutions X Conferenza

© Wärtsilä PUBLIC 29 November 2018 Corporate presentation 201833

NUMBERSThe highest efficiency internal combustion engine

The biggest internal combustion engine running on gas

Page 34: Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy ... · Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy Solutions Marco Golinelli, Director Energy Solutions X Conferenza

© Wärtsilä PUBLIC

FIRST COMPANY IN THE WORLD TO OFFER UTILITY-SCALE HYBRID POWER PLANTS THAT UNITE LARGE FUEL-BASED POWER STATIONS WITH UTILITY-SCALE SOLAR PV POWER PLANTS

ENERGY SOLUTIONS THE LEADING ENERGY SYSTEM INTEGRATOR

ENGINE POWER PLANTSUltra-flexible internal combustion engine based power plants

RENEWABLES

Utility-scale solar power plants, solar-engine, storage+ hybrid solutions

ENERGY STORAGEAND INTEGRATIONUtility-scale energy storage solutions and advanced software

LNG INFRASTRUCTURESmall and medium scale liquefaction plants, terminals and distribution

WE HAVE BUILT THE LARGEST LNG TERMINAL IN THE NORDIC REGION

67 GW INSTALLED POWER PLANT CAPACITY IN 177 COUNTRIES

OVER 70+ GLOBAL ENERGY STORAGE SYSTEMS INSTALLED

Page 35: Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy ... · Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy Solutions Marco Golinelli, Director Energy Solutions X Conferenza

© Wärtsilä PUBLIC 29 November 2018 Corporate presentation 201835

CONCLUSION

1 RENEWABLESARE THE NEW BASELOAD

2 MARKETVOLATILITY WILL INCREASE

3 FLEXIBILITYENABLES THE SYSTEM FEASIBILITY (and the winning strategy)

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© Wärtsilä PUBLIC 29 November 2018 WÄRTSILÄ HYBRID POWER PLANTS36

CONCLUSIONS

Italian target 2030 = renewable x2Flexibility support efficiency, security , environmentTechnology available (Italian technology!)Investors (theoretically) ready……

Page 37: Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy ... · Towards a 100% renewable energy future: WÄRTSILÄ Energy Solutions Marco Golinelli, Director Energy Solutions X Conferenza

THANK YOU

Marco A. G. GolinelliDirector, Energy Solutions Italia

[email protected]