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  • Welcome to Excel Session

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    January 80February 86March 54April 62May 48June 96July 47August 72September 70October 21November 65December 71

    Month UnitsCondition 1:Cell Value Is greater than 75 (Green Fill)

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    Actuary

    From Wikipedia, the free encyclopediaJump to: navigation, searchActuaryHurricane katrina damage gulfport mississippi.jpgDamage from Hurricane Katrina in 2005. Actuaries need to estimate long-term levels of such damage in order to accurately price property insurance, set appropriate reserves, and design appropriate reinsurance and capital management strategies.OccupationNamesOccupation typeActivity sectorsDescriptionCompetenciesEducation requiredRelated jobs

    An actuary is a business professional who deals with the measurement and management of risk and uncertainty (BeAnActuary 2011a). Actuaries provide assessments of financial security systems, with a focus on their complexity, their mathematics, and their mechanisms (Trowbridge 1989, p. 7). The name of the corresponding profession is actuarial science. Since many events, such as death, cannot be avoided, it is helpful to take measures to minimize their financial impact when they occur. These risks can affect both sides of the balance sheet, and require asset management, liability management, and valuation skills (BeAnActuary 2011b). Analytical skills, business knowledge, and understanding of human behavior and the vagaries of information systems are required to design and manage programs that control risk (BeAnActuary 2011c).

    The profession has consistently ranked as one of the most desirable (Nemko 2006). The annual CareerCast study, which uses five key criteria to rank jobsenvironment, income, employment outlook, physical demands, and stresshas had actuary ranked number one at least three times since 2010 (Needleman 2010, Thomas 2012, Weber 2013, CareerCast 2014, CareerCast 2015).

    While the actual steps needed to become an actuary are usually country-specific, almost all processes share a rigorous schooling or examination structure and take many years to complete (Feldblum 2001, p. 6, Institute and Faculty of Actuaries 2014).

    Contents

    1 Disciplines2 History2.1 Need for insurance2.2 Early attempts2.3 Development of theory2.4 Early actuaries2.5 Development of the modern profession3 Responsibilities3.1 Traditional employment3.2 Non-traditional employment3.3 Remuneration4 Credentialing and exams4.1 Exam support4.2 Pass marks and pass rates5 Notable actuaries6 Fictional actuaries7 See also8 References9 External links

    Disciplines[edit]

    Most traditional actuarial disciplines fall into two main categories: life and non-life.

    Life actuaries, which include health and pension actuaries, primarily deal with mortality risk, morbidity risk, and investment risk. Products prominent in their work include life insurance, annuities, pensions, short and long term disability, health insurance, health savings accounts, and long-term care insurance (Bureau of Labor Statistics 2015). In addition to these risks, social insurance programs are influenced by public opinion, politics, budget constraints, changing demographics, and other factors such as medical technology, inflation, and cost of living considerations (GAO 1980, GAO 2008).

  • Non-life actuaries, also known as property and casualty or general insurance actuaries, deal with both physical and legal risks that affect people or their property. Products prominent in their work include auto insurance, homeowners insurance, commercial property insurance, workers' compensation, malpractice insurance, product liability insurance, marine insurance, terrorism insurance, and other types of liability insurance (AIA 2014).

    Actuaries are also called upon for their expertise in enterprise risk management (Bureau of Labor Statistics 2015). This can involve dynamic financial analysis, stress testing, the formulation of corporate risk policy, and the setting up and running of corporate risk departments (Institute and Faculty of Actuaries 2011b). Actuaries are also involved in other areas of the financial services industry, such as analysing securities offerings or market research (Bureau of Labor Statistics 2015).

    History[edit]

    Mathematician Nathaniel Bowditch was one of America's first insurance actuaries.

    Need for insurance[edit]

    The basic requirements of communal interests gave rise to risk sharing since the dawn of civilization. For example, people who lived their entire lives in a camp had the risk of fire, which would leave their band or family without shelter. After barter came into existence, more complex risks emerged and new forms of risk manifested. Merchants embarking on trade journeys bore the risk of losing goods entrusted to them, their own possessions, or even their lives. Intermediaries developed to warehouse and trade goods, which exposed them to financial risk. The primary providers in extended families or households ran the risk of premature death, disability or infirmity, which could leave their dependents to starve. Credit procurement was difficult if the creditor worried about repayment in the event of the borrower's death or infirmity. Alternatively, people sometimes lived too long from a financial perspective, exhausting their savings, if any, or becoming a burden on others in the extended family or society (Lewin 2007, p. 3).

    Early attempts[edit]

    In the ancient world there was not always room for the sick, suffering, disabled, aged, or the poorthese were often not part of the cultural consciousness of societies (Perkins 1995). Early methods of protection, aside from the normal support of the extended family, involved charity;religious organizations or neighbors would collect for the destitute and needy. By the middle of the 3rd century, 1,500 suffering people were being supported by charitable operations in Rome (Perkins 1995). Charitable protection remains an active form of support in the modern era (GivingUSA 2009), but receiving charity is uncertain and is often accompanied by social stigma. Elementary mutual aid agreements and pensions did arise in antiquity (Thucydides). Early in the Roman empire, associations were formed to meet the expenses of burial, cremation, and monumentsprecursors to burial insurance and friendly societies. A small sum was paid into a communal fund on a weekly basis, and upon the death of a member, the fund would cover the expenses of rites and burial. These societies sometimes sold shares in the building of columbria, or burial vaults, owned by the fundthe precursor to mutual insurance companies (Johnston 1903, 475476). Other early examples of mutual surety and assurance pacts can be traced back to various forms of fellowship within the Saxon clans of England and their Germanic forbears, and to Celtic society (Loan 1992).

    Non-life insurance started as a hedge against loss of cargo during sea travel. Anecdotal reports of such guarantees occur in the writings of Demosthenes, who lived in the 4th century BCE (Lewin 2007, pp. 34). The earliest records of an official non-life insurance policy come from Sicily, where there is record of a 14th century contract to insure a shipment of wheat (Sweeting 2011, p. 14). In 1350, Lenardo Cattaneo assumed "all risks from act of God, or of man, and from perils of the sea" that may occur to a shipment of wheat from Sicily to Tunis up to a maximum of 300 florins. For this he was paid a premium of 18% (Lewin 2007, p. 4).

    Development of theory[edit]

    2003 U.S. mortality (life) table, Table 1, Page 1

    During the 17th century, a more scientific basis for risk management was being developed. In 1662, a London draper named John Graunt showed that there were predictable patterns of longevity and death in a defined group, or cohort, of people, despite the uncertainty about the future longevity or mortality of any one individual. This study became the basis for the original life table. Combining this idea with that of compound interest and annuity valuation, it became possible to set up an insurance scheme to provide life insurance or pensions for a group of people, and to calculate with some degree of accuracy each member's necessary contributions to a common fund, assuming a fixed rate of interest. The first person to correctly calculate these values was Edmond Halley (Heywood 1985). In his work, Halley demonstrated a method of using his life table to calculate the premium someone of a given age should pay to purchase a life-annuity (Halley 1693).

    Early actuaries[edit]

    James Dodson's pioneering work on the level premium system led to the formation of the Society for Equitable Assurances on Lives and Survivorship (now commonly known as Equitable Life) in London in 1762. This was the first life insurance company to use premium rates which were calculated scientifically for long-term life policies, using Dodson's work. After Dodson's death in 1757, Edward Rowe Mores took over the leadership of the group that eventually became the Society for Equitable Assurances. It was he who specified that the chief official should be called an actuary (Ogborn 1956, p. 235). Previously, the use of the term had been restricted to an official who recorded the decisions, or acts, of ecclesiastical courts, in ancient times originally the secretary of the Roman senate, responsible for compiling the Acta Senatus (Ogborn 1956, p. 233). Other companies which did not originally use such mathematical and scientific methods most often failed or were forced to adopt the methods pioneered by Equitable (Bhlmann 1997, p. 166).

    Development of the modern profession[edit]

    Main article: Actuarial science

    In the 18th and 19th centuries, computational complexity was limited to manual calculations. The actual calculations required to compute fair insurance premiums are complex. The actuaries of that time developed methods to construct easily used tables, using sophisticated approximations called commutation functions, to facilitate timely, accurate, manual calculations of premiums (Slud 2006). Over time, actuarial organizations were founded to support and further both actuaries and actuarial science, and to protect the public interest by ensuring competency and ethical standards (Hickman 2004, p. 4). Since calculations were cumbersome, actuarial shortcuts were commonplace.

    Non-life actuaries followed in the footsteps of their life compatriots in the early 20th century. In the United States, the 1920 revision to workers' compensation rates took over two months of around-the-clock work by day and night teams of actuaries (Michelbacher 1920, pp. 224, 230). In the 1930s and 1940s, rigorous mathematical foundations for stochastic processes were developed (Bhlmann 1997, p. 168). Actuaries began to forecast losses using models of random events instead of deterministic methods. Computers further revolutionized the actuarial profession. From pencil-and-paper to punchcards to microcomputers, the modeling and forecasting ability of the actuary has grown exponentially (MacGinnitie 1980, pp. 5051).

    Another modern development is the convergence of modern financial theory with actuarial science (Bhlmann 1997, pp. 169171). In the early 20th century, actuaries were developing techniques that can be found in modern financial theory, but for various historical reasons, these developments did not achieve much recognition (Whelan 2002). In the late 1980s and early 1990s, there was a distinct effort for actuaries to combine financial theory and stochastic methods into their established models (D'arcy 1989). In the 21st century, the profession, both in practice and in the educational syllabi of many actuarial organizations, combines tables, loss models, stochastic methods, and financial theory (Feldblum 2001, pp. 89), but is still not completely aligned with modern financial economics (Bader & Gold 2003).

    Responsibilities[edit]

    Actuaries use skills primarily in mathematics, particularly calculus-based probability and mathematical statistics, but also economics, computer science, finance, and business. For this reason, actuaries are essential to the insurance and reinsurance industry, either as staff employees or as consultants; to other businesses, including sponsors of pension plans; and to government agencies such as the Government Actuary's Department in the United Kingdom or the Social Security Administration in the United States of America. Actuaries assemble and analyze data to estimate the probability and likely cost of the occurrence of an event such as death, sickness, injury, disability, or loss of property. Actuaries also address financial questions, including those involving the level of pension contributions required to produce a certain retirement income and the way in which a company should invest resources to maximize its return on investments in light of potential risk. Using their broad knowledge, actuaries help design and price insurance policies, pension plans, and other financial strategies in a manner which will help ensure that the plans are maintained on a sound financial basis (Bureau of Labor Statistics 2015, Government Actuary's Department 2015).

    Traditional employment[edit]

    On both the life and casualty sides, the classical function of actuaries is to calculate premiums and reserves for insurance policies covering various risks (Institute and Faculty of Actuaries 2014). On the casualty side, this analysis often involves quantifying the probability of a loss event, called the frequency, and the size of that loss event, called the severity. The amount of time that occurs before the loss event is important, as the insurer will not have to pay anything until after the event has occurred. On the life side, the analysis often involves quantifying how much a potential sum of money or a financial liability will be worth at different points in the future. Since neither of these kinds of analysis are purely deterministic processes, stochastic models are often used to determine frequency and severity distributions and the parameters of these distributions. Forecasting interest yields and currency movements also plays a role in determining future costs, especially on the life side (Tolley, Hickman & Lew 2012).

    Actuaries do not always attempt to predict aggregate future events. Often, their work may relate to determining the cost of financial liabilities that have already occurred, called retrospective reinsurance, or the development or re-pricing of new products.

    Actuaries also design and maintain products and systems. They are involved in financial reporting of companies' assets and liabilities. They must communicate complex concepts to clients who may not share their language or depth of knowledge. Actuaries work under a code of ethics that covers their communications and work products (ASB 2013), but their clients may not adhere to those same standards when interpreting the data or using it within different kinds of businesses.

    Non-traditional employment[edit]

    As an outgrowth of their more traditional roles, actuaries also work in the fields of risk management and enterprise risk management for both financial and non-financial corporations (D'arcy 2005). Actuaries in traditional roles study and use the tools and data previously in the domain of finance (Feldblum 2001, p. 8). The Basel II accord for financial institutions (2004), and its analogue, the Solvency II accord for insurance companies (to come into effect in 2016), require institutions to account for operational risk separately, and in addition to, credit, reserve, asset, and insolvency risk. Actuarial skills are well suited to this environment because of their training in analyzing various forms of risk, and judging the potential for upside gain, as well as downside loss associated with these forms of risk (D'arcy 2005).

  • Actuaries are also involved in investment advice, asset management , general business managers, and financial officers (Mungan 2002, Stefan 2010). They analyze business prospects with their financial skills in valuing or discounting risky future cash flows, and apply their pricing expertise from insurance to other lines of business. For example, insurance securitization requires both the actuarial and finance skills (Krutov 2006). Actuaries also act as expert witnesses by applying their analysis in court trials to estimate the economic value of losses such as lost profits or lost wages (Wagner 2006).

    Remuneration[edit]

    As there are relatively few actuaries in the world compared to other professions, actuaries are in high demand, and are highly paid for the services they render (Hennessy 2003, Kurtz 2013). As of 2014[update], in the United States, newly credentialed actuaries on average earn around $100,000 per year, while more experienced actuaries can earn over $150,000 per year (Ezra Penland 2014). Similarly, a 2014[update] survey in the United Kingdom indicated a starting salary for a newly credentialed actuary of about GBP 50,000; actuaries with more experience can earn well in excess of 100,000 (Crail 2014).

    Credentialing and exams[edit]

    Main article: Actuarial credentialing and exams

    Becoming a fully credentialed actuary requires passing a rigorous series of professional examinations, usually taking several years. In some countries, such as Denmark, most study takes place in a university setting (Norberg 1990, p. 407). In others, such as the US, most study takes place during employment through a series of examinations (SOA 2015, CAS 2015). In the UK, and countries based on its process, there is a hybrid university-exam structure (Institute and Faculty of Actuaries 2011a).

    Exam support[edit]

    As these qualifying exams are extremely rigorous, support is usually available to people progressing through the exams. Often, employers provide paid on-the-job study time and paid attendance at seminars designed for the exams (BeAnActuary 2011d). Also, many companies which employ actuaries have automatic pay raises or promotions when exams are passed. As a result, actuarial students have strong incentives for devoting adequate study time during off-work hours. A common rule of thumb for exam students is that, for the Society of Actuaries examinations, roughly 400 hours of study time are necessary for each four-hour exam (Sieger 1998). Thus, thousands of hours of study time should be anticipated over several years, assuming no failures (Feldblum 2001, p. 6).

    Pass marks and pass rates[edit]

    Historically, the actuarial profession has been reluctant to specify the pass marks for its examinations (Muckart 2010,Prevosto 2000). To address concerns that there are pre-existing pass/fail quotas, a former Chairman of the Board of Examiners of the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries stated that "[a]lthough students find it hard to believe, the Board of Examiners does not have fail quotas to achieve. Accordingly pass rates are free to vary (and do). They are determined by the quality of the candidates sitting the examination and in particular how well prepared they are. Fitness to pass is the criterion, not whether you can achieve a mark in the top 40% of candidates sitting." (Muckart 2010). In 2000, the CAS decided to start releasing pass marks for the exams it offers (Prevosto 2000). The CAS's policy is also not to grade to specific pass ratios, which was affirmed by the CAS board in 2001, which stated that "[t]he Board further affirms that the CAS shall use no predetermined pass ratio as a guideline for setting the pass mark for any examination. If the CAS determines that 70% of all candidates have demonstrated sufficient grasp of the syllabus material, then those 70% should pass. Similarly, if the CAS determines that only 30% of all candidates have demonstrated sufficient grasp of the syllabus material, then only those 30% should pass."(CAS 2001).

    Notable actuaries[edit]

    Nathaniel Bowditch Early American mathematician remembered for his work on ocean navigation. In 1804, Bowditch became what was probably the United States of America's second insurance actuary as president of the Essex Fire and Marine Insurance Company in Salem, Massachusetts (Seltzer & Alin 1969).

    Harald Cramr Swedish actuary and probabilist notable for his contributions in the area mathematical statistics, such as the CramrRao inequality (Cramr 1946). Professor Cramr was an Honorary President of the Swedish Actuarial Society (Kendall 1983).

    James Dodson Head of the Royal Mathematical School, and Stone's School, Dodson built on the statistical mortality tables developed by Edmund Halley in 1693 (Lewin 2007, p. 38).

    Edmond Halley While Halley actually predated much of what is now considered the start of the actuarial profession, he was the first to mathematically and statistically rigorously calculate premiums for a life insurance policy (Halley 1693).

    James C. Hickman Notable American actuarial educator, researcher, and author (Chaptman 2006).

    David X. Li Canadian qualified actuary who in the first decade of the 21st century pioneered the use of Gaussian copula models for the pricing of collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) (Salmon 2009).

    Edward Rowe Mores First person to use the title 'actuary' with respect to a business position (Ogborn 1956).

    William Morgan Morgan was the appointed Actuary of the Society for Equitable Assurances in 1775. He expanded on Mores's and Dodson's work, and may be considered the father of the actuarial profession in that his title became applied to the field as a whole (Ogborn 1973).

    Frank Redington British actuary who developed the Redington Immunization Theory (The Actuary 2003).

    Isaac M. Rubinow Founder and first president of the Casualty Actuarial Society (CASF 2008).

  • Elizur Wright American actuary and abolitionist, professor of mathematics at Western Reserve College (Ohio). He campaigned for laws that required life insurance companies to hold sufficient reserves to guarantee that policies would be paid (Stearns 1905).

    Fictional actuaries[edit]

    Main article: Fictional actuaries

    The 2002 movie, About Schmidt, represented actuaries as "mathobsessed, socially disconnected individuals with shockingly bad combovers." Many actuaries were unhappy with this stereotypical portrayal, expressing concern that the movie badly misrepresented actuaries. Others, though, have claimed that the portrayal, while somewhat exaggerated, is representative of a sizeable cohort of actuaries (Coleman 2003).

    See also[edit]

    Category:Actuarial associations

    References[edit]

    Actuarial Standards Board (March 2013). Introductory Actuarial Standard of Practice (PDF) (Report). Retrieved April 27, 2015. "The Greatest British Actuary ever". The Actuary (Institute and Faculty of Actuaries). 2003. Retrieved May 1, 2015. American Insurance Association (2014). Property-Casualty Insurance Basics (PDF) (Report). Retrieved April 29, 2015. Bader, Lawrence N.; Gold, Jeremy (2003). "Reinventing Pension Actuarial Science" (PDF). Pension Forum 14 (2). pp. 139. Retrieved September 14, 2008. "What Do We Do?". BeAnActuary. 2011. Retrieved April 29, 2015. "The Problems Actuaries Solve". BeAnActuary. 2011. Retrieved April 29, 2015. "What is an Actuary?". BeAnActuary. 2011. Retrieved April 29, 2015. "About Actuarial Examinations". BeAnActuary. 2011. Retrieved April 29, 2015. Bhlmann, Hans (November 1997). "The actuary: The role and limitations of the profession since the mid-19th century" (PDF). ASTIN Bulletin 27 (2): 165171. doi:10.2143/ast.27.2.542046. Retrieved June 28, 2006. "Actuaries". Occupational Outlook Handbook, 2014-15 Edition. Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor. January 8, 2014. Retrieved April 29, 2015. CareerCast (2014). "Best Jobs of 2014: 4. Actuary". CareerCast. Retrieved April 26, 2015. CareerCast (2015). "The Best Jobs of 2015: No. 1 Actuary". CareerCast. Retrieved April 27, 2015. "Policy For Setting Pass Marks". Exams & Admissions. Casualty Actuarial Society. March 2, 2001. Retrieved June 12, 2013. "History". CAS Overview. Casualty Actuarial Society. 2008. Retrieved August 14, 2011. "Syllabus of Basic Education". Exams & Admissions. Casualty Actuarial Society. 2015. Retrieved April 29, 2015. Chaptman, Dennis (September 13, 2006). "James C. Hickman, former business school dean, dies". News. University of WisconsinMadison. Retrieved January 11, 2008. Coleman, Lynn G. (Spring 2003). "Was "About Schmidt" about actuaries?". The Future Actuary 12 (1). Archived from the original on 2015. Retrieved August 29, 2006. Crail, Mark (2014). "What can an actuary earn?". Institute and Faculty of Actuaries. Retrieved April 26, 2015. Cramr, Harald (1946). Mathematical Methods of Statistics. Princeton, NJ: Princeton Univ. Press. ISBN 0-691-08004-6. OCLC 185436716. D'arcy, Stephen P. (May 1989). "On Becoming An Actuary of the Third Kind" (PDF). Proceedings of the Casualty Actuarial Society. LXXVI (145): 4576. Retrieved June 28, 2006. D'arcy, Stephen P. (November 2005). "On Becoming An Actuary of the Fourth Kind" (PDF). Proceedings of the Casualty Actuarial Society XCII (177): 745754. Retrieved July 5, 2007. "Actuarial Salary Surveys". Ezra Penland. 2014. Retrieved April 26, 2015. Feldblum, Sholom (2001) [1990]. "Introduction". In Robert F. Lowe (ed.). Foundations of Casualty Actuarial Science (4th ed.). Arlington, Virginia: Casualty Actuarial Society. ISBN 0-9624762-2-6. LCCN 2001088378. "U.S. charitable giving estimated to be $307.65 billion in 2008" (PDF). Giving USA. Giving USA Foundation. June 10, 2009. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2015. Retrieved August 4, 2011. Government Accountability Office (February 26, 1980). An Actuarial and Economic Analysis of State and Local Government Pension Plans (Report) (PAD-80-1). Retrieved April 29, 2015. Government Accountability Office (July 10, 2008). State and Local Government Pension Plans: Current Structure and Funded Status (Report) (GAO-08-983T). Retrieved April 29, 2015. "About us". Government Actuary's Department. Gov.uk. 2015. Retrieved April 29, 2015. Halley, Edmond (1693). "An Estimate of the Degrees of the Mortality of Mankind, Drawn from Curious Tables of the Births and Funerals at the City of Breslaw; With an Attempt to Ascertain the Price of Annuities upon Lives" (PDF). Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London 17 (192206): 596610. doi:10.1098/rstl.1693.0007. Retrieved June 21, 2006. Hennessy, Kathleen (February 16, 2003). "Actuaries". Wage slaves: careers profiled. The Guardian. Retrieved May 4, 2015. Heywood, Geoffrey (1985). "Edmond Halley: astronomer and actuary" (PDF). Journal of the Institute of Actuaries (Institute and Faculty of Actuaries) 112 (2): 279301. doi:10.1017/S002026810004213X. Retrieved April 29, 2015. Hickman, James (2004). "History of Actuarial Profession" (PDF). Encyclopedia of Actuarial Science. John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. p. 4. Archived from the original (PDF) on August 4, 2004. Retrieved 2006-06-28. "Our qualifications". Student. Institute and Faculty of Actuaries. 2011. Retrieved February 27, 2012. "Actuaries in Risk Management Actuarial Profession Survey 2010/2011" (PDF). Institute and Faculty of Actuaries. May 2011. Retrieved February 27, 2012. "Practice areas" (PDF). The official guide to Becoming an Actuary (Institute and Faculty of Actuaries). September 26, 2014. Retrieved 2015-04-27. Johnston, Harold Whetstone (1932) [1903]. "Burial places and funeral ceremonies". The Private Life of the Romans. Revised by Mary Johnston. Chicago, Atlanta: Scott, Foresman and Company. pp. 475476. ISBN 0-8154-0453-0. LCCN 32007692. Retrieved June 26, 2006. Early in the Empire, associations were formed for the purpose of meeting the funeral expenses of their members, whether the remains were to be buried or cremated, or for the purpose of building columbria, or for both.If the members had provided places for the disposal of their bodies after death, they now provided for the necessary funeral expenses by paying into the common fund weekly a small fixed sum, easily within the reach of the poorest of them. When a member died, a stated sum was drawn from the treasury for his funeral . If the purpose of the society was the building of a columbrium, the cost was first determined and the sum total divided into what we should call shares (sorts virls), each member taking as many as he could afford and paying their value into the treasury. Kendall, David (1983). "A Tribute to Harald Cramer". Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A (General) (Oxford, England: Blackwell Publishing) 146 (3): 211212. ISSN 0035-9238. JSTOR 2981652. Krutov, Alex (2006). "Insurance Linked Securities". Financial Engineering News magazine (48). Retrieved November 30, 2006. Kurtz, Annalyn (April 25, 2013). "The best job you never thought of". Money. CNN. Retrieved May 4, 2015.

  • Lewin, Chris (June 14, 2007). "Actuarial History". Institute and Faculty of Actuaries. Retrieved February 27, 2012. Loan, Albert (Winter 19911992). "Institutional Bases of the Spontaneous Order: Surety and Assurance". Humane Studies Review 7 (1). Retrieved June 26, 2006. MacGinnitie, James (November 1980). "The Actuary and his Profession: Growth, Development, Promise" (PDF). Proceedings of the Casualty Actuarial Society. LXVII (127): 4956. Retrieved June 28, 2006. Michelbacher, Gustav F. (1920). "The Technique of Rate Making as Illustrated by the 1920 National Revision of Workmen's Compensations Insurance Rates" (PDF). Proceedings of the Casualty Actuarial Society VI (14): 201249. Retrieved June 28, 2006. Muckart, Richard (2010). "Q&A: Making the grade". The Actuary. Retrieved June 13, 2013. Mungan, Kenneth P. (2002). "The Practicing Investment Actuary" (PDF). The Record (Society of Actuaries) 28 (3): 127. Retrieved May 4, 2015. Needleman, Sarah E. (January 5, 2010). "The Best and Worst Jobs". Wall Street Journal. Retrieved January 7, 2010. Nemko, Marty (2006). "Best Careers 2007". U.S. News & World Report. Archived from the original on December 26, 2007. Retrieved 2008-09-14. Norberg, Ragnar (1990). Actuarial Statistics The European Perspective (PDF). International Conference on the Teaching of Statistics 3, Dunedin, New Zealand (Auckland, New Zealand: International Association for Statistical Education): 405410. Retrieved February 27, 2012. Ogborn, M.E. (December 1956). "The Professional Name of Actuary" (PDF). Journal of the Institute of Actuaries (Faculty and Institute of Actuaries) 82: 233246. Retrieved April 27, 2011. Ogborn, M.E. (July 1973). "Catalogue of an exhibition illustrating the history of actuarial science in the United Kingdom" (PDF). Journal of the Institute of Actuaries (Faculty and Institute of Actuaries) 100: 78. Retrieved April 27, 2011. Perkins, Judith (August 25, 1995). The Suffering Self; Pain and Narrative Representation in the Early Christian Era. London, England: Routledge. ISBN 0-415-11363-6. LCCN 94042650. Prevosto, Virgnia R. (December 2000). "CAS Board of Directors Approves New Pass Mark Disclosure Policy" (PDF). Future Fellows (Casualty Actuarial Society). Retrieved May 4, 2015. Salmon, Felix (March 2009). "Recipe for Disaster: The Formula That Killed Wall Street". Wired Magazine 17 (3). Retrieved May 1, 2015. Seltzer, Frederic; Alin, Steven I. (1969). "The First American Actuary" (PDF). The Actuary (Society of Actuaries) 3 (8). Retrieved May 1, 2015. Sieger, Richard (March 1998). "What is an Actuary?". Future Fellows 4 (1). Retrieved June 22, 2006. Slud, Eric V. (2006) [2001]. "6: Commutation Functions, Reserves & Select Mortality" (PDF). Actuarial Mathematics and Life-Table Statistics (PDF). pp. 149150. Retrieved June 28, 2006. The Commutation Functions are a computational device to ensure that net single premiums ... can all be obtained from a single table lookup. Historically, this idea has been very important in saving calculational labor when arriving at premium quotes. Even now...company employees without quantitative training could calculate premiums in a spreadsheet format with the aid of a life table. "Admission Requirements to the SOA". Education & Exams. Society of Actuaries. 2015. Retrieved April 29, 2015. Stearns, Frank Preston (1905). "Elizur Wright". Cambridge sketches (TEXT) (1st ed.). Philadelphia, Pennsylvania: J. B. Lippincott Company. LCCN 05011051. Retrieved January 15, 2007. This danger could only be averted by placing their rates of insurance on a scientific basis, which should be the same and unalterable for all companies. ... After two or three interviews with Elizur Wright the presidents of the companies came to the conclusion that he was exactly the man that they wanted, and they commissioned him to draw up a revised set of tables and rates which could serve them for a uniform standard. Stefan, Michael (2010). "Careers: Breaking the actuarial ceiling". The Actuary (Institute and Faculty of Actuaries). Retrieved April 27, 2015. Sweeting, Paul (2011). Financial Enterprise Risk Management. International Series on Actuarial Science. Cambridge University Press. ISBN 978-0-521-11164-5. LCCN 2011025050. Thomas, David (2012). "Be happy: Become an actuary". Retrieved April 18, 2012. Thucydides (2009) [c. 431 BCE]. "VI Funeral Oration of Pericles". The History of the Peloponnesian War. Translated by Richard Crawley. Greece. ISBN 0-525-26035-8. Retrieved October 28, 2014. My task is now finished. ... those who are here interred have received part of their honours already, and for the rest, their children will be brought up till manhood at the public expense: the state thus offers a valuable prize, as the garland of victory in this race of valour, for the reward both of those who have fallen and their survivors. Tolley, H. Dennis; Hickman, James C.; Lew, Edward A. (2012). "Actuarial and Demographic Forecasting Methods". In Manton, Kenneth G.; Singer, Burton; Suzman, Richard M. Forecasting the Health of Elderly Populations. Springer Series in Statistics. Springer Science & Business Media. p. 42. ISBN 9781461393320. LCCN 92048819. Trowbridge, Charles L. (1989). "Fundamental Concepts of Actuarial Science" (PDF). Revised Edition. Actuarial Education and Research Fund. Retrieved June 28, 2006. Wagner, Darryl G. (2006). "Is Serving as an Expert Witness in Your Future? You be the Judge". Society of Actuaries. Retrieved April 26, 2015. Whelan, Shane (December 2002). "Actuaries' contributions to financial economics". The Actuary (Staple Inn Actuarial Society). pp. 3435. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2015. Retrieved June 28, 2006. Weber, Lauren (2013). "Dust Off Your Math Skills: Actuary Is Best Job of 2013". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved April 24, 2013.

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  • Damage from Hurricane Katrina in 2005. Actuaries need to estimate long-term levels of such damage in order to accurately price property insurance, set appropriate reserves, and design appropriate reinsurance and capital management strategies.

    ActuaryProfessionInsurance, Reinsurance, Pension plans, Social welfare programs

    Mathematics, finance, analytical skills, business knowledgeSee Credentialing and examsUnderwriter

    An actuary is a business professional who deals with the measurement and management of risk and uncertainty (BeAnActuary 2011a). Actuaries provide assessments of financial security systems, with a focus on their complexity, their mathematics, and their mechanisms (Trowbridge 1989, p. 7). The name of the corresponding profession is actuarial science. Since many events, such as death, cannot be avoided, it is helpful to take measures to minimize their financial impact when they occur. These risks can affect both sides of the balance sheet, and require asset management, liability management, and valuation skills (BeAnActuary 2011b). Analytical skills, business knowledge, and understanding of human behavior and the vagaries of information systems are required to design and manage programs that control risk (BeAnActuary 2011c).

    The profession has consistently ranked as one of the most desirable (Nemko 2006). The annual CareerCast study, which uses five key criteria to rank jobsenvironment, income, employment outlook, physical demands, and stresshas had actuary ranked number one at least three times since 2010 (Needleman 2010, Thomas 2012, Weber 2013, CareerCast 2014, CareerCast 2015).

    While the actual steps needed to become an actuary are usually country-specific, almost all processes share a rigorous schooling or examination structure and take many years to complete (Feldblum 2001, p. 6, Institute and Faculty of Actuaries 2014).

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    Life actuaries, which include health and pension actuaries, primarily deal with mortality risk, morbidity risk, and investment risk. Products prominent in their work include life insurance, annuities, pensions, short and long term disability, health insurance, health savings accounts, and long-term care insurance (Bureau of Labor Statistics 2015). In addition to these risks, social insurance programs are influenced by public opinion, politics, budget constraints, changing demographics, and other factors such as medical technology, inflation, and cost of living considerations (GAO 1980, GAO 2008).

  • Non-life actuaries, also known as property and casualty or general insurance actuaries, deal with both physical and legal risks that affect people or their property. Products prominent in their work include auto insurance, homeowners insurance, commercial property insurance, workers' compensation, malpractice insurance, product liability insurance, marine insurance, terrorism insurance, and other types of liability insurance (AIA 2014).

    Actuaries are also called upon for their expertise in enterprise risk management (Bureau of Labor Statistics 2015). This can involve dynamic financial analysis, stress testing, the formulation of corporate risk policy, and the setting up and running of corporate risk departments (Institute and Faculty of Actuaries 2011b). Actuaries are also involved in other areas of the financial services industry, such as analysing securities offerings or market research (Bureau of Labor Statistics 2015).

    The basic requirements of communal interests gave rise to risk sharing since the dawn of civilization. For example, people who lived their entire lives in a camp had the risk of fire, which would leave their band or family without shelter. After barter came into existence, more complex risks emerged and new forms of risk manifested. Merchants embarking on trade journeys bore the risk of losing goods entrusted to them, their own possessions, or even their lives. Intermediaries developed to warehouse and trade goods, which exposed them to financial risk. The primary providers in extended families or households ran the risk of premature death, disability or infirmity, which could leave their dependents to starve. Credit procurement was difficult if the creditor worried about repayment in the event of the borrower's death or infirmity. Alternatively, people sometimes lived too long from a financial perspective, exhausting their savings, if any, or becoming a burden on others in the extended family or society (Lewin 2007, p. 3).

    In the ancient world there was not always room for the sick, suffering, disabled, aged, or the poorthese were often not part of the cultural consciousness of societies (Perkins 1995). Early methods of protection, aside from the normal support of the extended family, involved charity;religious organizations or neighbors would collect for the destitute and needy. By the middle of the 3rd century, 1,500 suffering people were being supported by charitable operations in Rome (Perkins 1995). Charitable protection remains an active form of support in the modern era (GivingUSA 2009), but receiving charity is uncertain and is often accompanied by social stigma. Elementary mutual aid agreements and pensions did arise in antiquity (Thucydides). Early in the Roman empire, associations were formed to meet the expenses of burial, cremation, and monumentsprecursors to burial insurance and friendly societies. A small sum was paid into a communal fund on a weekly basis, and upon the death of a member, the fund would cover the expenses of rites and burial. These societies sometimes sold shares in the building of columbria, or burial vaults, owned by the fundthe precursor to mutual insurance companies (Johnston 1903, 475476). Other early examples of mutual surety and assurance pacts can be traced back to various forms of fellowship within the Saxon clans of England and their Germanic forbears, and to Celtic society (Loan 1992).

    Non-life insurance started as a hedge against loss of cargo during sea travel. Anecdotal reports of such guarantees occur in the writings of Demosthenes, who lived in the 4th century BCE (Lewin 2007, pp. 34). The earliest records of an official non-life insurance policy come from Sicily, where there is record of a 14th century contract to insure a shipment of wheat (Sweeting 2011, p. 14). In 1350, Lenardo Cattaneo assumed "all risks from act of God, or of man, and from perils of the sea" that may occur to a shipment of wheat from Sicily to Tunis up to a maximum of 300 florins. For this he was paid a premium of 18% (Lewin 2007, p. 4).

    During the 17th century, a more scientific basis for risk management was being developed. In 1662, a London draper named John Graunt showed that there were predictable patterns of longevity and death in a defined group, or cohort, of people, despite the uncertainty about the future longevity or mortality of any one individual. This study became the basis for the original life table. Combining this idea with that of compound interest and annuity valuation, it became possible to set up an insurance scheme to provide life insurance or pensions for a group of people, and to calculate with some degree of accuracy each member's necessary contributions to a common fund, assuming a fixed rate of interest. The first person to correctly calculate these values was Edmond Halley (Heywood 1985). In his work, Halley demonstrated a method of using his life table to calculate the premium someone of a given age should pay to purchase a life-annuity (Halley 1693).

    James Dodson's pioneering work on the level premium system led to the formation of the Society for Equitable Assurances on Lives and Survivorship (now commonly known as Equitable Life) in London in 1762. This was the first life insurance company to use premium rates which were calculated scientifically for long-term life policies, using Dodson's work. After Dodson's death in 1757, Edward Rowe Mores took over the leadership of the group that eventually became the Society for Equitable Assurances. It was he who specified that the chief official should be called an actuary (Ogborn 1956, p. 235). Previously, the use of the term had been restricted to an official who recorded the decisions, or acts, of ecclesiastical courts, in ancient times originally the secretary of the Roman senate, responsible for compiling the Acta Senatus (Ogborn 1956, p. 233). Other companies which did not originally use such mathematical and scientific methods most often failed or were forced to adopt the methods pioneered by Equitable (Bhlmann 1997, p. 166).

    In the 18th and 19th centuries, computational complexity was limited to manual calculations. The actual calculations required to compute fair insurance premiums are complex. The actuaries of that time developed methods to construct easily used tables, using sophisticated approximations called commutation functions, to facilitate timely, accurate, manual calculations of premiums (Slud 2006). Over time, actuarial organizations were founded to support and further both actuaries and actuarial science, and to protect the public interest by ensuring competency and ethical standards (Hickman 2004, p. 4). Since calculations were cumbersome, actuarial shortcuts were commonplace.

    Non-life actuaries followed in the footsteps of their life compatriots in the early 20th century. In the United States, the 1920 revision to workers' compensation rates took over two months of around-the-clock work by day and night teams of actuaries (Michelbacher 1920, pp. 224, 230). In the 1930s and 1940s, rigorous mathematical foundations for stochastic processes were developed (Bhlmann 1997, p. 168). Actuaries began to forecast losses using models of random events instead of deterministic methods. Computers further revolutionized the actuarial profession. From pencil-and-paper to punchcards to microcomputers, the modeling and forecasting ability of the actuary has grown exponentially (MacGinnitie 1980, pp. 5051).

    Another modern development is the convergence of modern financial theory with actuarial science (Bhlmann 1997, pp. 169171). In the early 20th century, actuaries were developing techniques that can be found in modern financial theory, but for various historical reasons, these developments did not achieve much recognition (Whelan 2002). In the late 1980s and early 1990s, there was a distinct effort for actuaries to combine financial theory and stochastic methods into their established models (D'arcy 1989). In the 21st century, the profession, both in practice and in the educational syllabi of many actuarial organizations, combines tables, loss models, stochastic methods, and financial theory (Feldblum 2001, pp. 89), but is still not completely aligned with modern financial economics (Bader & Gold 2003).

    Actuaries use skills primarily in mathematics, particularly calculus-based probability and mathematical statistics, but also economics, computer science, finance, and business. For this reason, actuaries are essential to the insurance and reinsurance industry, either as staff employees or as consultants; to other businesses, including sponsors of pension plans; and to government agencies such as the Government Actuary's Department in the United Kingdom or the Social Security Administration in the United States of America. Actuaries assemble and analyze data to estimate the probability and likely cost of the occurrence of an event such as death, sickness, injury, disability, or loss of property. Actuaries also address financial questions, including those involving the level of pension contributions required to produce a certain retirement income and the way in which a company should invest resources to maximize its return on investments in light of potential risk. Using their broad knowledge, actuaries help design and price insurance policies, pension plans, and other financial strategies in a manner which will help ensure that the plans are maintained on a sound financial basis (Bureau of Labor Statistics 2015, Government Actuary's Department 2015).

    On both the life and casualty sides, the classical function of actuaries is to calculate premiums and reserves for insurance policies covering various risks (Institute and Faculty of Actuaries 2014). On the casualty side, this analysis often involves quantifying the probability of a loss event, called the frequency, and the size of that loss event, called the severity. The amount of time that occurs before the loss event is important, as the insurer will not have to pay anything until after the event has occurred. On the life side, the analysis often involves quantifying how much a potential sum of money or a financial liability will be worth at different points in the future. Since neither of these kinds of analysis are purely deterministic processes, stochastic models are often used to determine frequency and severity distributions and the parameters of these distributions. Forecasting interest yields and currency movements also plays a role in determining future costs, especially on the life side (Tolley, Hickman & Lew 2012).

    Actuaries do not always attempt to predict aggregate future events. Often, their work may relate to determining the cost of financial liabilities that have already occurred, called retrospective reinsurance, or the development or re-pricing of new products.

    Actuaries also design and maintain products and systems. They are involved in financial reporting of companies' assets and liabilities. They must communicate complex concepts to clients who may not share their language or depth of knowledge. Actuaries work under a code of ethics that covers their communications and work products (ASB 2013), but their clients may not adhere to those same standards when interpreting the data or using it within different kinds of businesses.

    As an outgrowth of their more traditional roles, actuaries also work in the fields of risk management and enterprise risk management for both financial and non-financial corporations (D'arcy 2005). Actuaries in traditional roles study and use the tools and data previously in the domain of finance (Feldblum 2001, p. 8). The Basel II accord for financial institutions (2004), and its analogue, the Solvency II accord for insurance companies (to come into effect in 2016), require institutions to account for operational risk separately, and in addition to, credit, reserve, asset, and insolvency risk. Actuarial skills are well suited to this environment because of their training in analyzing various forms of risk, and judging the potential for upside gain, as well as downside loss associated with these forms of risk (D'arcy 2005).

  • Actuaries are also involved in investment advice, asset management , general business managers, and financial officers (Mungan 2002, Stefan 2010). They analyze business prospects with their financial skills in valuing or discounting risky future cash flows, and apply their pricing expertise from insurance to other lines of business. For example, insurance securitization requires both the actuarial and finance skills (Krutov 2006). Actuaries also act as expert witnesses by applying their analysis in court trials to estimate the economic value of losses such as lost profits or lost wages (Wagner 2006).

    As there are relatively few actuaries in the world compared to other professions, actuaries are in high demand, and are highly paid for the services they render (Hennessy 2003, Kurtz 2013). As of 2014[update], in the United States, newly credentialed actuaries on average earn around $100,000 per year, while more experienced actuaries can earn over $150,000 per year (Ezra Penland 2014). Similarly, a 2014[update] survey in the United Kingdom indicated a starting salary for a newly credentialed actuary of about GBP 50,000; actuaries with more experience can earn well in excess of 100,000 (Crail 2014).

    Becoming a fully credentialed actuary requires passing a rigorous series of professional examinations, usually taking several years. In some countries, such as Denmark, most study takes place in a university setting (Norberg 1990, p. 407). In others, such as the US, most study takes place during employment through a series of examinations (SOA 2015, CAS 2015). In the UK, and countries based on its process, there is a hybrid university-exam structure (Institute and Faculty of Actuaries 2011a).

    As these qualifying exams are extremely rigorous, support is usually available to people progressing through the exams. Often, employers provide paid on-the-job study time and paid attendance at seminars designed for the exams (BeAnActuary 2011d). Also, many companies which employ actuaries have automatic pay raises or promotions when exams are passed. As a result, actuarial students have strong incentives for devoting adequate study time during off-work hours. A common rule of thumb for exam students is that, for the Society of Actuaries examinations, roughly 400 hours of study time are necessary for each four-hour exam (Sieger 1998). Thus, thousands of hours of study time should be anticipated over several years, assuming no failures (Feldblum 2001, p. 6).

    Historically, the actuarial profession has been reluctant to specify the pass marks for its examinations (Muckart 2010,Prevosto 2000). To address concerns that there are pre-existing pass/fail quotas, a former Chairman of the Board of Examiners of the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries stated that "[a]lthough students find it hard to believe, the Board of Examiners does not have fail quotas to achieve. Accordingly pass rates are free to vary (and do). They are determined by the quality of the candidates sitting the examination and in particular how well prepared they are. Fitness to pass is the criterion, not whether you can achieve a mark in the top 40% of candidates sitting." (Muckart 2010). In 2000, the CAS decided to start releasing pass marks for the exams it offers (Prevosto 2000). The CAS's policy is also not to grade to specific pass ratios, which was affirmed by the CAS board in 2001, which stated that "[t]he Board further affirms that the CAS shall use no predetermined pass ratio as a guideline for setting the pass mark for any examination. If the CAS determines that 70% of all candidates have demonstrated sufficient grasp of the syllabus material, then those 70% should pass. Similarly, if the CAS determines that only 30% of all candidates have demonstrated sufficient grasp of the syllabus material, then only those 30% should pass."(CAS 2001).

    Early American mathematician remembered for his work on ocean navigation. In 1804, Bowditch became what was probably the United States of America's second insurance actuary as president of the Essex Fire and Marine Insurance Company in Salem, Massachusetts (Seltzer & Alin 1969).

    Swedish actuary and probabilist notable for his contributions in the area mathematical statistics, such as the CramrRao inequality (Cramr 1946). Professor Cramr was an Honorary President of the Swedish Actuarial Society (Kendall 1983).

    Head of the Royal Mathematical School, and Stone's School, Dodson built on the statistical mortality tables developed by Edmund Halley in 1693 (Lewin 2007, p. 38).

    While Halley actually predated much of what is now considered the start of the actuarial profession, he was the first to mathematically and statistically rigorously calculate premiums for a life insurance policy (Halley 1693).

    Canadian qualified actuary who in the first decade of the 21st century pioneered the use of Gaussian copula models for the pricing of collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) (Salmon 2009).

    Morgan was the appointed Actuary of the Society for Equitable Assurances in 1775. He expanded on Mores's and Dodson's work, and may be considered the father of the actuarial profession in that his title became applied to the field as a whole (Ogborn 1973).

  • American actuary and abolitionist, professor of mathematics at Western Reserve College (Ohio). He campaigned for laws that required life insurance companies to hold sufficient reserves to guarantee that policies would be paid (Stearns 1905).

    The 2002 movie, About Schmidt, represented actuaries as "mathobsessed, socially disconnected individuals with shockingly bad combovers." Many actuaries were unhappy with this stereotypical portrayal, expressing concern that the movie badly misrepresented actuaries. Others, though, have claimed that the portrayal, while somewhat exaggerated, is representative of a sizeable cohort of actuaries (Coleman 2003).

    Actuarial Standards Board (March 2013). Introductory Actuarial Standard of Practice (PDF) (Report). Retrieved April 27, 2015. "The Greatest British Actuary ever". The Actuary (Institute and Faculty of Actuaries). 2003. Retrieved May 1, 2015. American Insurance Association (2014). Property-Casualty Insurance Basics (PDF) (Report). Retrieved April 29, 2015. Bader, Lawrence N.; Gold, Jeremy (2003). "Reinventing Pension Actuarial Science" (PDF). Pension Forum 14 (2). pp. 139. Retrieved September 14, 2008.

    Bhlmann, Hans (November 1997). "The actuary: The role and limitations of the profession since the mid-19th century" (PDF). ASTIN Bulletin 27 (2): 165171. doi:10.2143/ast.27.2.542046. Retrieved June 28, 2006. "Actuaries". Occupational Outlook Handbook, 2014-15 Edition. Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor. January 8, 2014. Retrieved April 29, 2015.

    "Policy For Setting Pass Marks". Exams & Admissions. Casualty Actuarial Society. March 2, 2001. Retrieved June 12, 2013.

    "Syllabus of Basic Education". Exams & Admissions. Casualty Actuarial Society. 2015. Retrieved April 29, 2015. Chaptman, Dennis (September 13, 2006). "James C. Hickman, former business school dean, dies". News. University of WisconsinMadison. Retrieved January 11, 2008. Coleman, Lynn G. (Spring 2003). "Was "About Schmidt" about actuaries?". The Future Actuary 12 (1). Archived from the original on 2015. Retrieved August 29, 2006. Crail, Mark (2014). "What can an actuary earn?". Institute and Faculty of Actuaries. Retrieved April 26, 2015. Cramr, Harald (1946). Mathematical Methods of Statistics. Princeton, NJ: Princeton Univ. Press. ISBN 0-691-08004-6. OCLC 185436716. D'arcy, Stephen P. (May 1989). "On Becoming An Actuary of the Third Kind" (PDF). Proceedings of the Casualty Actuarial Society. LXXVI (145): 4576. Retrieved June 28, 2006. D'arcy, Stephen P. (November 2005). "On Becoming An Actuary of the Fourth Kind" (PDF). Proceedings of the Casualty Actuarial Society XCII (177): 745754. Retrieved July 5, 2007.

    Feldblum, Sholom (2001) [1990]. "Introduction". In Robert F. Lowe (ed.). Foundations of Casualty Actuarial Science (4th ed.). Arlington, Virginia: Casualty Actuarial Society. ISBN 0-9624762-2-6. LCCN 2001088378. "U.S. charitable giving estimated to be $307.65 billion in 2008" (PDF). Giving USA. Giving USA Foundation. June 10, 2009. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2015. Retrieved August 4, 2011. Government Accountability Office (February 26, 1980). An Actuarial and Economic Analysis of State and Local Government Pension Plans (Report) (PAD-80-1). Retrieved April 29, 2015. Government Accountability Office (July 10, 2008). State and Local Government Pension Plans: Current Structure and Funded Status (Report) (GAO-08-983T). Retrieved April 29, 2015.

    Halley, Edmond (1693). "An Estimate of the Degrees of the Mortality of Mankind, Drawn from Curious Tables of the Births and Funerals at the City of Breslaw; With an Attempt to Ascertain the Price of Annuities upon Lives" (PDF). Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London 17 (192206): 596610. doi:10.1098/rstl.1693.0007. Retrieved June 21, 2006. Hennessy, Kathleen (February 16, 2003). "Actuaries". Wage slaves: careers profiled. The Guardian. Retrieved May 4, 2015. Heywood, Geoffrey (1985). "Edmond Halley: astronomer and actuary" (PDF). Journal of the Institute of Actuaries (Institute and Faculty of Actuaries) 112 (2): 279301. doi:10.1017/S002026810004213X. Retrieved April 29, 2015. Hickman, James (2004). "History of Actuarial Profession" (PDF). Encyclopedia of Actuarial Science. John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. p. 4. Archived from the original (PDF) on August 4, 2004. Retrieved 2006-06-28.

    "Actuaries in Risk Management Actuarial Profession Survey 2010/2011" (PDF). Institute and Faculty of Actuaries. May 2011. Retrieved February 27, 2012. "Practice areas" (PDF). The official guide to Becoming an Actuary (Institute and Faculty of Actuaries). September 26, 2014. Retrieved 2015-04-27. Johnston, Harold Whetstone (1932) [1903]. "Burial places and funeral ceremonies". The Private Life of the Romans. Revised by Mary Johnston. Chicago, Atlanta: Scott, Foresman and Company. pp. 475476. ISBN 0-8154-0453-0. LCCN 32007692. Retrieved June 26, 2006. Early in the Empire, associations were formed for the purpose of meeting the funeral expenses of their members, whether the remains were to be buried or cremated, or for the purpose of building columbria, or for both.If the members had provided places for the disposal of their bodies after death, they now provided for the necessary funeral expenses by paying into the common fund weekly a small fixed sum, easily within the reach of the poorest of them. When a member died, a stated sum was drawn from the treasury for his funeral . If the purpose of the society was the building of a columbrium, the cost was first determined and the sum total divided into what we should call shares (sorts virls), each member taking as many as he could afford and paying their value into the treasury. Kendall, David (1983). "A Tribute to Harald Cramer". Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A (General) (Oxford, England: Blackwell Publishing) 146 (3): 211212. ISSN 0035-9238. JSTOR 2981652. Krutov, Alex (2006). "Insurance Linked Securities". Financial Engineering News magazine (48). Retrieved November 30, 2006. Kurtz, Annalyn (April 25, 2013). "The best job you never thought of". Money. CNN. Retrieved May 4, 2015.

  • Lewin, Chris (June 14, 2007). "Actuarial History". Institute and Faculty of Actuaries. Retrieved February 27, 2012. Loan, Albert (Winter 19911992). "Institutional Bases of the Spontaneous Order: Surety and Assurance". Humane Studies Review 7 (1). Retrieved June 26, 2006. MacGinnitie, James (November 1980). "The Actuary and his Profession: Growth, Development, Promise" (PDF). Proceedings of the Casualty Actuarial Society. LXVII (127): 4956. Retrieved June 28, 2006. Michelbacher, Gustav F. (1920). "The Technique of Rate Making as Illustrated by the 1920 National Revision of Workmen's Compensations Insurance Rates" (PDF). Proceedings of the Casualty Actuarial Society VI (14): 201249. Retrieved June 28, 2006.

    Mungan, Kenneth P. (2002). "The Practicing Investment Actuary" (PDF). The Record (Society of Actuaries) 28 (3): 127. Retrieved May 4, 2015. Needleman, Sarah E. (January 5, 2010). "The Best and Worst Jobs". Wall Street Journal. Retrieved January 7, 2010. Nemko, Marty (2006). "Best Careers 2007". U.S. News & World Report. Archived from the original on December 26, 2007. Retrieved 2008-09-14. Norberg, Ragnar (1990). Actuarial Statistics The European Perspective (PDF). International Conference on the Teaching of Statistics 3, Dunedin, New Zealand (Auckland, New Zealand: International Association for Statistical Education): 405410. Retrieved February 27, 2012. Ogborn, M.E. (December 1956). "The Professional Name of Actuary" (PDF). Journal of the Institute of Actuaries (Faculty and Institute of Actuaries) 82: 233246. Retrieved April 27, 2011. Ogborn, M.E. (July 1973). "Catalogue of an exhibition illustrating the history of actuarial science in the United Kingdom" (PDF). Journal of the Institute of Actuaries (Faculty and Institute of Actuaries) 100: 78. Retrieved April 27, 2011. Perkins, Judith (August 25, 1995). The Suffering Self; Pain and Narrative Representation in the Early Christian Era. London, England: Routledge. ISBN 0-415-11363-6. LCCN 94042650. Prevosto, Virgnia R. (December 2000). "CAS Board of Directors Approves New Pass Mark Disclosure Policy" (PDF). Future Fellows (Casualty Actuarial Society). Retrieved May 4, 2015. Salmon, Felix (March 2009). "Recipe for Disaster: The Formula That Killed Wall Street". Wired Magazine 17 (3). Retrieved May 1, 2015. Seltzer, Frederic; Alin, Steven I. (1969). "The First American Actuary" (PDF). The Actuary (Society of Actuaries) 3 (8). Retrieved May 1, 2015.

    Slud, Eric V. (2006) [2001]. "6: Commutation Functions, Reserves & Select Mortality" (PDF). Actuarial Mathematics and Life-Table Statistics (PDF). pp. 149150. Retrieved June 28, 2006. The Commutation Functions are a computational device to ensure that net single premiums ... can all be obtained from a single table lookup. Historically, this idea has been very important in saving calculational labor when arriving at premium quotes. Even now...company employees without quantitative training could calculate premiums in a spreadsheet format with the aid of a life table. "Admission Requirements to the SOA". Education & Exams. Society of Actuaries. 2015. Retrieved April 29, 2015. Stearns, Frank Preston (1905). "Elizur Wright". Cambridge sketches (TEXT) (1st ed.). Philadelphia, Pennsylvania: J. B. Lippincott Company. LCCN 05011051. Retrieved January 15, 2007. This danger could only be averted by placing their rates of insurance on a scientific basis, which should be the same and unalterable for all companies. ... After two or three interviews with Elizur Wright the presidents of the companies came to the conclusion that he was exactly the man that they wanted, and they commissioned him to draw up a revised set of tables and rates which could serve them for a uniform standard. Stefan, Michael (2010). "Careers: Breaking the actuarial ceiling". The Actuary (Institute and Faculty of Actuaries). Retrieved April 27, 2015. Sweeting, Paul (2011). Financial Enterprise Risk Management. International Series on Actuarial Science. Cambridge University Press. ISBN 978-0-521-11164-5. LCCN 2011025050.

    Thucydides (2009) [c. 431 BCE]. "VI Funeral Oration of Pericles". The History of the Peloponnesian War. Translated by Richard Crawley. Greece. ISBN 0-525-26035-8. Retrieved October 28, 2014. My task is now finished. ... those who are here interred have received part of their honours already, and for the rest, their children will be brought up till manhood at the public expense: the state thus offers a valuable prize, as the garland of victory in this race of valour, for the reward both of those who have fallen and their survivors. Tolley, H. Dennis; Hickman, James C.; Lew, Edward A. (2012). "Actuarial and Demographic Forecasting Methods". In Manton, Kenneth G.; Singer, Burton; Suzman, Richard M. Forecasting the Health of Elderly Populations. Springer Series in Statistics. Springer Science & Business Media. p. 42. ISBN 9781461393320. LCCN 92048819. Trowbridge, Charles L. (1989). "Fundamental Concepts of Actuarial Science" (PDF). Revised Edition. Actuarial Education and Research Fund. Retrieved June 28, 2006. Wagner, Darryl G. (2006). "Is Serving as an Expert Witness in Your Future? You be the Judge". Society of Actuaries. Retrieved April 26, 2015. Whelan, Shane (December 2002). "Actuaries' contributions to financial economics". The Actuary (Staple Inn Actuarial Society). pp. 3435. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2015. Retrieved June 28, 2006. Weber, Lauren (2013). "Dust Off Your Math Skills: Actuary Is Best Job of 2013". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved April 24, 2013.

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  • Damage from Hurricane Katrina in 2005. Actuaries need to estimate long-term levels of such damage in order to accurately price property insurance, set appropriate reserves, and design appropriate reinsurance and capital management strategies.

    An actuary is a business professional who deals with the measurement and management of risk and uncertainty (BeAnActuary 2011a). Actuaries provide assessments of financial security systems, with a focus on their complexity, their mathematics, and their mechanisms (Trowbridge 1989, p. 7). The name of the corresponding profession is actuarial science. Since many events, such as death, cannot be avoided, it is helpful to take measures to minimize their financial impact when they occur. These risks can affect both sides of the balance sheet, and require asset management, liability management, and valuation skills (BeAnActuary 2011b). Analytical skills, business knowledge, and understanding of human behavior and the vagaries of information systems are required to design and manage programs that control risk (BeAnActuary 2011c).

    The profession has consistently ranked as one of the most desirable (Nemko 2006). The annual CareerCast study, which uses five key criteria to rank jobsenvironment, income, employment outlook, physical demands, and stresshas had actuary ranked number one at least three times since 2010 (Needleman 2010, Thomas 2012, Weber 2013, CareerCast 2014, CareerCast 2015).

    While the actual steps needed to become an actuary are usually country-specific, almost all processes share a rigorous schooling or examination structure and take many years to complete (Feldblum 2001, p. 6, Institute and Faculty of Actuaries 2014).

    Life actuaries, which include health and pension actuaries, primarily deal with mortality risk, morbidity risk, and investment risk. Products prominent in their work include life insurance, annuities, pensions, short and long term disability, health insurance, health savings accounts, and long-term care insurance (Bureau of Labor Statistics 2015). In addition to these risks, social insurance programs are influenced by public opinion, politics, budget constraints, changing demographics, and other factors such as medical technology, inflation, and cost of living considerations (GAO 1980, GAO 2008).

  • Non-life actuaries, also known as property and casualty or general insurance actuaries, deal with both physical and legal risks that affect people or their property. Products prominent in their work include auto insurance, homeowners insurance, commercial property insurance, workers' compensation, malpractice insurance, product liability insurance, marine insurance, terrorism insurance, and other types of liability insurance (AIA 2014).

    Actuaries are also called upon for their expertise in enterprise risk management (Bureau of Labor Statistics 2015). This can involve dynamic financial analysis, stress testing, the formulation of corporate risk policy, and the setting up and running of corporate risk departments (Institute and Faculty of Actuaries 2011b). Actuaries are also involved in other areas of the financial services industry, such as analysing securities offerings or market research (Bureau of Labor Statistics 2015).

    The basic requirements of communal interests gave rise to risk sharing since the dawn of civilization. For example, people who lived their entire lives in a camp had the risk of fire, which would leave their band or family without shelter. After barter came into existence, more complex risks emerged and new forms of risk manifested. Merchants embarking on trade journeys bore the risk of losing goods entrusted to them, their own possessions, or even their lives. Intermediaries developed to warehouse and trade goods, which exposed them to financial risk. The primary providers in extended families or households ran the risk of premature death, disability or infirmity, which could leave their dependents to starve. Credit procurement was difficult if the creditor worried about repayment in the event of the borrower's death or infirmity. Alternatively, people sometimes lived too long from a financial perspective, exhausting their savings, if any, or becoming a burden on others in the extended family or society (Lewin 2007, p. 3).

    In the ancient world there was not always room for the sick, suffering, disabled, aged, or the poorthese were often not part of the cultural consciousness of societies (Perkins 1995). Early methods of protection, aside from the normal support of the extended family, involved charity;religious organizations or neighbors would collect for the destitute and needy. By the middle of the 3rd century, 1,500 suffering people were being supported by charitable operations in Rome (Perkins 1995). Charitable protection remains an active form of support in the modern era (GivingUSA 2009), but receiving charity is uncertain and is often accompanied by social stigma. Elementary mutual aid agreements and pensions did arise in antiquity (Thucydides). Early in the Roman empire, associations were formed to meet the expenses of burial, cremation, and monumentsprecursors to burial insurance and friendly societies. A small sum was paid into a communal fund on a weekly basis, and upon the death of a member, the fund would cover the expenses of rites and burial. These societies sometimes sold shares in the building of columbria, or burial vaults, owned by the fundthe precursor to mutual insurance companies (Johnston 1903, 475476). Other early examples of mutual surety and assurance pacts can be traced back to various forms of fellowship within the Saxon clans of England and their Germanic forbears, and to Celtic society (Loan 1992).

    Non-life insurance started as a hedge against loss of cargo during sea travel. Anecdotal reports of such guarantees occur in the writings of Demosthenes, who lived in the 4th century BCE (Lewin 2007, pp. 34). The earliest records of an official non-life insurance policy come from Sicily, where there is record of a 14th century contract to insure a shipment of wheat (Sweeting 2011, p. 14). In 1350, Lenardo Cattaneo assumed "all risks from act of God, or of man, and from perils of the sea" that may occur to a shipment of wheat from Sicily to Tunis up to a maximum of 300 florins. For this he was paid a premium of 18% (Lewin 2007, p. 4).

    During the 17th century, a more scientific basis for risk management was being developed. In 1662, a London draper named John Graunt showed that there were predictable patterns of longevity and death in a defined group, or cohort, of people, despite the uncertainty about the future longevity or mortality of any one individual. This study became the basis for the original life table. Combining this idea with that of compound interest and annuity valuation, it became possible to set up an insurance scheme to provide life insurance or pensions for a group of people, and to calculate with some degree of accuracy each member's necessary contributions to a common fund, assuming a fixed rate of interest. The first person to correctly calculate these values was Edmond Halley (Heywood 1985). In his work, Halley demonstrated a method of using his life table to calculate the premium someone of a given age should pay to purchase a life-annuity (Halley 1693).

    James Dodson's pioneering work on the level premium system led to the formation of the Society for Equitable Assurances on Lives and Survivorship (now commonly known as Equitable Life) in London in 1762. This was the first life insurance company to use premium rates which were calculated scientifically for long-term life policies, using Dodson's work. After Dodson's death in 1757, Edward Rowe Mores took over the leadership of the group that eventually became the Society for Equitable Assurances. It was he who specified that the chief official should be called an actuary (Ogborn 1956, p. 235). Previously, the use of the term had been restricted to an official who recorded the decisions, or acts, of ecclesiastical courts, in ancient times originally the secretary of the Roman senate, responsible for compiling the Acta Senatus (Ogborn 1956, p. 233). Other companies which did not originally use such mathematical and scientific methods most often failed or were forced to adopt the methods pioneered by Equitable (Bhlmann 1997, p. 166).

    In the 18th and 19th centuries, computational complexity was limited to manual calculations. The actual calculations required to compute fair insurance premiums are complex. The actuaries of that time developed methods to construct easily used tables, using sophisticated approximations called commutation functions, to facilitate timely, accurate, manual calculations of premiums (Slud 2006). Over time, actuarial organizations were founded to support and further both actuaries and actuarial science, and to protect the public interest by ensuring competency and ethical standards (Hickman 2004, p. 4). Since calculations were cumbersome, actuarial shortcuts were commonplace.

    Non-life actuaries followed in the footsteps of their life compatriots in the early 20th century. In the United States, the 1920 revision to workers' compensation rates took over two months of around-the-clock work by day and night teams of actuaries (Michelbacher 1920, pp. 224, 230). In the 1930s and 1940s, rigorous mathematical foundations for stochastic processes were developed (Bhlmann 1997, p. 168). Actuaries began to forecast losses using models of random events instead of deterministic methods. Computers further revolutionized the actuarial profession. From pencil-and-paper to punchcards to microcomputers, the modeling and forecasting ability of the actuary has grown exponentially (MacGinnitie 1980, pp. 5051).

    Another modern development is the convergence of modern financial theory with actuarial science (Bhlmann 1997, pp. 169171). In the early 20th century, actuaries were developing techniques that can be found in modern financial theory, but for various historical reasons, these developments did not achieve much recognition (Whelan 2002). In the late 1980s and early 1990s, there was a distinct effort for actuaries to combine financial theory and stochastic methods into their established models (D'arcy 1989). In the 21st century, the profession, both in practice and in the educational syllabi of many actuarial organizations, combines tables, loss models, stochastic methods, and financial theory (Feldblum 2001, pp. 89), but is still not completely aligned with modern financial economics (Bader & Gold 2003).

    Actuaries use skills primarily in mathematics, particularly calculus-based probability and mathematical statistics, but also economics, computer science, finance, and business. For this reason, actuaries are essential to the insurance and reinsurance industry, either as staff employees or as consultants; to other businesses, including sponsors of pension plans; and to government agencies such as the Government Actuary's Department in the United Kingdom or the Social Security Administration in the United States of America. Actuaries assemble and analyze data to estimate the probability and likely cost of the occurrence of an event such as death, sickness, injury, disability, or loss of property. Actuaries also address financial questions, including those involving the level of pension contributions required to produce a certain retirement income and the way in which a company should invest resources to maximize its return on investments in light of potential risk. Using their broad knowledge, actuaries help design and price insurance policies, pension plans, and other financial strategies in a manner which will help ensure that the plans are maintained on a sound financial basis (Bureau of Labor Statistics 2015, Government Actuary's Department 2015).

    On both the life and casualty sides, the classical function of actuaries is to calculate premiums and reserves for insurance policies covering various risks (Institute and Faculty of Actuaries 2014). On the casualty side, this analysis often involves quantifying the probability of a loss event, called the frequency, and the size of that loss event, called the severity. The amount of time that occurs before the loss event is important, as the insurer will not have to pay anything until after the event has occurred. On the life side, the analysis often involves quantifying how much a potential sum of money or a financial liability will be worth at different points in the future. Since neither of these kinds of analysis are purely deterministic processes, stochastic models are often used to determine frequency and severity distributions and the parameters of these distributions. Forecasting interest yields and currency movements also plays a role in determining future costs, especially on the life side (Tolley, Hickman & Lew 2012).

    Actuaries do not always attempt to predict aggregate future events. Often, their work may relate to determining the cost of financial liabilities that have already occurred, called retrospective reinsurance, or the development or re-pricing of new products.

    Actuaries also design and maintain products and systems. They are involved in financial reporting of companies' assets and liabilities. They must communicate complex concepts to clients who may not share their language or depth of knowledge. Actuaries work under a code of ethics that covers their communications and work products (ASB 2013), but their clients may not adhere to those same standards when interpreting the data or using it within different kinds of businesses.

    As an outgrowth of their more traditional roles, actuaries also work in the fields of risk management and enterprise risk management for both financial and non-financial corporations (D'arcy 2005). Actuaries in traditional roles study and use the tools and data previously in the domain of finance (Feldblum 2001, p. 8). The Basel II accord for financial institutions (2004), and its analogue, the Solvency II accord for insurance companies (to come into effect in 2016), require institutions to account for operational risk separately, and in addition to, credit, reserve, asset, and insolvency risk. Actuarial skills are well suited to this environment because of their training in analyzing various forms of risk, and judging the potential for upside gain, as well as downside loss associated with these forms of risk (D'arcy 2005).

  • Actuaries are also involved in investment advice, asset management , general business managers, and financial officers (Mungan 2002, Stefan 2010). They analyze business prospects with their financial skills in valuing or discounting risky future cash flows, and apply their pricing expertise from insurance to other lines of business. For example, insurance securitization requires both the actuarial and finance skills (Krutov 2006). Actuaries also act as expert witnesses by applying their analysis in court trials to estimate the economic value of losses such as lost profits or lost wages (Wagner 2006).

    As there are relatively few actuaries in the world compared to other professions, actuaries are in high demand, and are highly paid for the services they render (Hennessy 2003, Kurtz 2013). As of 2014[update], in the United States, newly credentialed actuaries on average earn around $100,000 per year, while more experienced actuaries can earn over $150,000 per year (Ezra Penland 2014). Similarly, a 2014[update] survey in the United Kingdom indicated a starting salary for a newly credentialed actuary of about GBP 50,000; actuaries with more experience can earn well in excess of 100,000 (Crail 2014).

    Becoming a fully credentialed actuary requires passing a rigorous series of professional examinations, usually taking several years. In some countries, such as Denmark, most study takes place in a un