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7/31/2019 Transatlantic Mining Corporations in the Age of Resource Nationalism
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p a p e r s e r i e s
TransaTlanTic Mining corporaTions
in The age of resource naTionalisM
David Humphreys
Bosch Public Policy Fellow
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2012 Transatlantic Academy. All rights reserved.
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About the Transatlantic Academy
The Transatlantic Academy was created in 2007 as a partnership between the German Marshall
Fund of the United States (GMF) and the ZEIT-Stiftung Ebelin und Gerd Bucerius. The Robert
Bosch Stiftung and the Lynde and Harr y Bradley Foundation joined as full partners beginning in
2008, and the Fritz Thyssen Foundation joined as a full partner in 2011. The Compagnia di San
Paolo joined in providing additional support in May 2009, as did the Joachim Herz Stiftung and the
Volkswagen Stifung in 2011. In addition, the Academy received startup funding from the Trans-
atlantic Program of the Government of the Federal Republic of Germany through funds of the
European Recovery Program (ERP) of the Federal Ministry of Economics and Technology.
About the Bosch Public Policy Fellowship
Chosen from the fields of public policy, business administration, economics, journalism, and NGOs/
civil society, Bosch Public Policy Fellows are in residence at the Transatlantic Academy for up to
two months. During their fellowship, they interact with the Academys long-term fellows, conduct
their own research, write a short paper for the Academy website, and make presentations to audi-
ences of analysts and government officials in the Washington area. The Bosch Public Policy Fellow-
ship is made possible by a grant from the Robert Bosch Stiftung of Stuttgart, Germany.
On the cover: Bucket wheel excavator at a steel plant jaap-willem kleijwegt
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Transatlantic Mining Corporationsin the Age of Resource Nationalism
Transatlantic Academy Paper Series
May 2012
Dv H1
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C S M I . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
C S M I. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
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C . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
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Transatlantic Mining Corporations in the Age of Resource Nationalism 1
Introduction
The ability of the
large Western
miners to expan
out beyond the
English-speaking
regions is being
constrained by
a resurgence
of resource
nationalism.
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7/31/2019 Transatlantic Mining Corporations in the Age of Resource Nationalism
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Transatlantic Academy2
vb E N
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b .
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Transatlantic Mining Corporations in the Age of Resource Nationalism 3
Current Structure
of the Mining Industry1
Much of the
wealth of the
worlds mining
industry is
concentrated on
a relatively few,
very large, long
life deposits,
and getting
hold of these
deposits is the
key to enduring
business succes
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7/31/2019 Transatlantic Mining Corporations in the Age of Resource Nationalism
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Transatlantic Academy4
Source: Raw Materials Group 2012
A v , w x
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Rank Company Country
Share of world
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. V Bz 8.
. BHP B A 5.7
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8. C N R U S .9
9. G C .8
. ENRC U.K. .8
Table 1. Worlds Largest Mining Companies, by value of metalproduction 2010
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Transatlantic Mining Corporations in the Age of Resource Nationalism 5
Since the 1970s
there has been
a significant
reduction of the
United States as
a force in global
mining and a
diminution of
New York and
San Francisco
as centers of
mining finance.
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Changes in the Structure
of the Mining Industry2
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Transatlantic Academy6
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Figure 1. Global Distribution of Mineral Reserves
Source: USGS, Mineral Commodity Summaries, January 2011
The third major
change that
is evident in
the structure
of the industry
is the growing
prominence
of companies
based out of
emerging market
economies.
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Transatlantic Mining Corporations in the Age of Resource Nationalism 7
The exact scale
and form of
Chinas large
company
involvement in
overseas mining
is not easy
to gauge with
precision since
the companies
concerned are
complex and
not particularly
transparent.
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http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-04-01/vale-s-main-shareholders-group-seeking-replacement-for-ceo-roger-agnelli.htmlhttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-04-01/vale-s-main-shareholders-group-seeking-replacement-for-ceo-roger-agnelli.htmlhttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-04-01/vale-s-main-shareholders-group-seeking-replacement-for-ceo-roger-agnelli.htmlhttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-04-01/vale-s-main-shareholders-group-seeking-replacement-for-ceo-roger-agnelli.htmlhttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-04-01/vale-s-main-shareholders-group-seeking-replacement-for-ceo-roger-agnelli.htmlhttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-04-01/vale-s-main-shareholders-group-seeking-replacement-for-ceo-roger-agnelli.html7/31/2019 Transatlantic Mining Corporations in the Age of Resource Nationalism
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Transatlantic Academy8
w
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b v xv. A,
bv , v A,
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bk w
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C N M M C (CNMC),
Table 2. Selected Chinese Companies Involved in Overseas Mining
* With Jiangxi Copper Corp (JCC)
Source: Authors compilation
Company Country Commodity Mine/Project
C P C T
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J G A Nk A M et al
Zb Nk Ab
DR C C-b R
Zb C Cb
K M Kw
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Transatlantic Mining Corporations in the Age of Resource Nationalism 9
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C ,
C v
v, A. Lk ,
wv, k b x
v. Ov,
b b
k b.
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b k .
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v- . T v
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9 E & Y, Business risks facing mining and metals 2011-
2012, .
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S-Ak M, Securing access to critical raw
materials: What role for the WTO in tackling export
restrictions?T A P S, Db
.
A B, L Hk J C, F
C , FT.com, M 3,
Rise of Resource Nationalism
3
In a survey of
industry opinion
published in
August 2011 by
one of the worlds
large accounting
firms, resource
nationalism
was identified
as the largest
risk facing the
mining industry.
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Transatlantic Mining Corporations in the Age of Resource Nationalism 11
Reflecting
an important
departure from
the practices
of the 1970s,
however, this
more recent
commodities
boom has given
more of an
emphasis to
indigenization o
minerals control
rather than state
ownership.
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http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/mining-energy/rio-tinto-reaches-deal-on-simandou/story-e6frg9df-1226043722542http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/mining-energy/rio-tinto-reaches-deal-on-simandou/story-e6frg9df-1226043722542http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/mining-energy/rio-tinto-reaches-deal-on-simandou/story-e6frg9df-1226043722542http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/mining-energy/rio-tinto-reaches-deal-on-simandou/story-e6frg9df-1226043722542http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/mining-energy/rio-tinto-reaches-deal-on-simandou/story-e6frg9df-1226043722542http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/mining-energy/rio-tinto-reaches-deal-on-simandou/story-e6frg9df-12260437225427/31/2019 Transatlantic Mining Corporations in the Age of Resource Nationalism
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v
b. I R, v
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, vb : ://www..//v//
k.
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Transatlantic Mining Corporations in the Age of Resource Nationalism 13
From a
geopolitical
perspective,
however, this
is a world that
is becoming
increasingly
challenging for
Western miners.
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Implications for Western Miners
4
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Africa may be
one of the new
frontiers for global
miners but, for
all the regime
changes of recentyears, there are
still only a handful
of countries in
Africa where
mining majors
could seriously
contemplate
a billion dollar
investment.
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.
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Transatlantic Mining Corporations in the Age of Resource Nationalism 15
Figure 2. Africas Geopolitical Landscape
Source: Brian Menell, 20111
B M, R w , Mines & Money conference, L, Db 6, .
Democracy
Flawed Democracy
Authoritarian
In Transition
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Although few of
the emerging
market companies
are yet in the
biggest league,
they do have
some significant
strengths.
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Competition from Emerging
Market Miners5
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Transatlantic Academy18
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Transatlantic Mining Corporations in the Age of Resource Nationalism 19
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Strategy, . E C,
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These responses prompt two rather importantquestions. Are Western governments concerns about
mineral supplies matched by an understanding
of what is required to generate and secure those
supplies? And, what happens if the world is moving
inexorably away from rules-based systems and
Western countries are losing their power to insist on
observance of such systems?
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Policy Perspectives:
The Transatlantic Dimension6
What happens
if the world is
moving inexorab
away from rules-
based systems
and Western
countries are
losing their
power to insist
on observance o
such systems?
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Transatlantic Academy20
The well spring
of resource
nationalism is
not necessarily
hostile to the
transatlantic
community,
although it can
easily become so.
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disproportionate focus has been placed on a handful
of exotic, but economically relatively minor, mineralsrather than on the systemic challenge to the supply
of all minerals posed by the changing dynamics
of global mineral markets and the rise of resource
nationalism.
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Transatlantic Mining Corporations in the Age of Resource Nationalism 21
The domestic
mineral industrie
of Europe and
the United State
have been subje
to neglect over
many years.
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Transatlantic Academy22
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The Chinese
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governments
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champion their
companies when
they go investing
overseas, with
supporting visits
from political
leaders.
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Transatlantic Mining Corporations in the Age of Resource Nationalism 23
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Transatlantic Academy24
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Conclusion
7
But what
if resource
nationalism is
here to stay?
What if the export
of minerals is
increasingly
deemed a
sovereign matter?
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Transatlantic Mining Corporations in the Age of Resource Nationalism 25
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