Transatlantic Mining Corporations in the Age of Resource Nationalism

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    p a p e r s e r i e s

    TransaTlanTic Mining corporaTions

    in The age of resource naTionalisM

    David Humphreys

    Bosch Public Policy Fellow

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    2012 Transatlantic Academy. All rights reserved.

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    This publication can be downloaded for free at www.transatlanticacademy.org.

    Transatlantic Academy Paper Series

    The Transatlantic Academy Paper Series presents research on a variety of transatlantic topics by

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    About the Transatlantic Academy

    The Transatlantic Academy was created in 2007 as a partnership between the German Marshall

    Fund of the United States (GMF) and the ZEIT-Stiftung Ebelin und Gerd Bucerius. The Robert

    Bosch Stiftung and the Lynde and Harr y Bradley Foundation joined as full partners beginning in

    2008, and the Fritz Thyssen Foundation joined as a full partner in 2011. The Compagnia di San

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    atlantic Program of the Government of the Federal Republic of Germany through funds of the

    European Recovery Program (ERP) of the Federal Ministry of Economics and Technology.

    About the Bosch Public Policy Fellowship

    Chosen from the fields of public policy, business administration, economics, journalism, and NGOs/

    civil society, Bosch Public Policy Fellows are in residence at the Transatlantic Academy for up to

    two months. During their fellowship, they interact with the Academys long-term fellows, conduct

    their own research, write a short paper for the Academy website, and make presentations to audi-

    ences of analysts and government officials in the Washington area. The Bosch Public Policy Fellow-

    ship is made possible by a grant from the Robert Bosch Stiftung of Stuttgart, Germany.

    On the cover: Bucket wheel excavator at a steel plant jaap-willem kleijwegt

    http://-/?-mailto:TA%40gmfus.org?subject=mailto:TA%40gmfus.org?subject=http://-/?-
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    Transatlantic Mining Corporationsin the Age of Resource Nationalism

    Transatlantic Academy Paper Series

    May 2012

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    Transatlantic Mining Corporations in the Age of Resource Nationalism 1

    Introduction

    The ability of the

    large Western

    miners to expan

    out beyond the

    English-speaking

    regions is being

    constrained by

    a resurgence

    of resource

    nationalism.

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    Transatlantic Academy2

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    Transatlantic Mining Corporations in the Age of Resource Nationalism 3

    Current Structure

    of the Mining Industry1

    Much of the

    wealth of the

    worlds mining

    industry is

    concentrated on

    a relatively few,

    very large, long

    life deposits,

    and getting

    hold of these

    deposits is the

    key to enduring

    business succes

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    Transatlantic Academy4

    Source: Raw Materials Group 2012

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    Rank Company Country

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    . ENRC U.K. .8

    Table 1. Worlds Largest Mining Companies, by value of metalproduction 2010

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    Transatlantic Mining Corporations in the Age of Resource Nationalism 5

    Since the 1970s

    there has been

    a significant

    reduction of the

    United States as

    a force in global

    mining and a

    diminution of

    New York and

    San Francisco

    as centers of

    mining finance.

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    Changes in the Structure

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    Transatlantic Academy6

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    Figure 1. Global Distribution of Mineral Reserves

    Source: USGS, Mineral Commodity Summaries, January 2011

    The third major

    change that

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    prominence

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    based out of

    emerging market

    economies.

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    Transatlantic Mining Corporations in the Age of Resource Nationalism 7

    The exact scale

    and form of

    Chinas large

    company

    involvement in

    overseas mining

    is not easy

    to gauge with

    precision since

    the companies

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    Transatlantic Academy8

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    Table 2. Selected Chinese Companies Involved in Overseas Mining

    * With Jiangxi Copper Corp (JCC)

    Source: Authors compilation

    Company Country Commodity Mine/Project

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    Transatlantic Mining Corporations in the Age of Resource Nationalism 9

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    Transatlantic Academy10

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    Rise of Resource Nationalism

    3

    In a survey of

    industry opinion

    published in

    August 2011 by

    one of the worlds

    large accounting

    firms, resource

    nationalism

    was identified

    as the largest

    risk facing the

    mining industry.

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    Transatlantic Mining Corporations in the Age of Resource Nationalism 11

    Reflecting

    an important

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    the practices

    of the 1970s,

    however, this

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    commodities

    boom has given

    more of an

    emphasis to

    indigenization o

    minerals control

    rather than state

    ownership.

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    Transatlantic Mining Corporations in the Age of Resource Nationalism 13

    From a

    geopolitical

    perspective,

    however, this

    is a world that

    is becoming

    increasingly

    challenging for

    Western miners.

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    Implications for Western Miners

    4

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    Transatlantic Academy14

    Africa may be

    one of the new

    frontiers for global

    miners but, for

    all the regime

    changes of recentyears, there are

    still only a handful

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    contemplate

    a billion dollar

    investment.

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    Transatlantic Mining Corporations in the Age of Resource Nationalism 15

    Figure 2. Africas Geopolitical Landscape

    Source: Brian Menell, 20111

    B M, R w , Mines & Money conference, L, Db 6, .

    Democracy

    Flawed Democracy

    Authoritarian

    In Transition

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    Transatlantic Academy16

    Although few of

    the emerging

    market companies

    are yet in the

    biggest league,

    they do have

    some significant

    strengths.

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    Competition from Emerging

    Market Miners5

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    Transatlantic Academy18

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    Transatlantic Mining Corporations in the Age of Resource Nationalism 19

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    3 N R C,Minerals, Critical Minerals, and

    the U.S. Economy, T N A P, W

    DC, 8. U.S. D E, Critical Minerals

    Strategy, . E C,

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    .

    These responses prompt two rather importantquestions. Are Western governments concerns about

    mineral supplies matched by an understanding

    of what is required to generate and secure those

    supplies? And, what happens if the world is moving

    inexorably away from rules-based systems and

    Western countries are losing their power to insist on

    observance of such systems?

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    Policy Perspectives:

    The Transatlantic Dimension6

    What happens

    if the world is

    moving inexorab

    away from rules-

    based systems

    and Western

    countries are

    losing their

    power to insist

    on observance o

    such systems?

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    Transatlantic Academy20

    The well spring

    of resource

    nationalism is

    not necessarily

    hostile to the

    transatlantic

    community,

    although it can

    easily become so.

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    disproportionate focus has been placed on a handful

    of exotic, but economically relatively minor, mineralsrather than on the systemic challenge to the supply

    of all minerals posed by the changing dynamics

    of global mineral markets and the rise of resource

    nationalism.

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    The domestic

    mineral industrie

    of Europe and

    the United State

    have been subje

    to neglect over

    many years.

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    Transatlantic Academy22

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    Conclusion

    7

    But what

    if resource

    nationalism is

    here to stay?

    What if the export

    of minerals is

    increasingly

    deemed a

    sovereign matter?

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