Transnational Threats in Asia: Diseases

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    Transnational Threats in Asia: DiseasesSophal Ear, Ph.D.

    Assistant ProfessorNaval Postgraduate School

    24 June 2010

    Disclaimer: Material contained herein is made available for the purpose of peer review and discussion anddoes not necessarily reflect the views of the Department of the Navy or the Department of Defense.

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    Myriad Problems

    Poor to non-existentsurveillance

    Poor diagnostic

    laboratory capability Disincentive to report

    (bad publicity, bad for

    business) Viral sovereignty (in

    Indonesias case)

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    Page 213:

    In 2006, Indonesia claimed viral

    sovereignty over samples of

    H5N1 collected within its bordersand announced that it would not

    share them until the WHO and

    developed countries established

    an equitable means of sharing the

    benefits (e.g., vaccine) that couldderive from such viruses.

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    Page 3:

    in the poorest countries per capita expenditure on all

    aspects of health care [is] 3%

    expenditure in high-income

    countries staff in over 90%

    not familiar with quality

    assurance principles more

    than 60% of laboratory

    equipment is outdated or

    not functioning

    August 2001: the more

    things change

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    TimelineContextHuman Pandemic Flu Timeline

    Spanish (H1N1) HK flu H3N2 HPAI H5N1 H7N2 H7N3 H10N7

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    Downside of Globalization:

    Global Reach of Diseases

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    Quality of Health Care, 2002

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    H5N1: Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza

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    Avian influenza

    situation in China

    8 June 2010 -- 22-year-old pregnant woman died

    on 3 June exposed to sick and dead poultry.

    Of the 39 cases confirmed to date in China, 26

    have been fatal: mortality rate of 66%!

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    Indonesia Case Study

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    After FOUR

    decades, the

    Naval Area

    MedicalResearch Unit-

    2 (Namru-2) is

    kicked-out ofIndonesia

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    And all because of one woman?

    Maybe not.

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    Issues Raised in Indonesia

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

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    Cambodia Case Study

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    Lucky guy, thanks to Namru-2...

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    Issues Raised in Cambodia

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    35%

    40%

    45%

    Low Staff

    Compensation

    Donor Dependence

    Pathologies

    Poor staff

    management/HR

    Patronage networks

    detrimental to workenvironments

    No compensation for

    culling

    Differing host and

    donor priorities

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    Goal: reduce pandemic potential that could

    strike donor countries themselves

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    TimelineMoments

    Start: SARS (2002), A Wake-up Call; Enter HPAI (2004)

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    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YeL3pM8L8DA

    16 minute video

    Available in two parts on

    YouTube under the title:

    Cambodia: THE BIRD FLU

    "PANDEMIC" HOAX!

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    But lets end where we started, with

    Indonesia and Cambodia

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    Dateline: 11 April 2010

    Namru-2 Jakarta is shuttingdown. I have been verysad. Not only because Iam losing my job, but

    more than that, Indonesiawill loss [sic] anestablished laboratoryresearch coz [sic] ofpolitical reasons

    --Senior Indonesian scientist

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    The end or the beginning?

    25 June 2010: Director ofNamru-2 Phnom Penh steps

    down

    Former Namru-2 Jakarta

    Commanding Officer will

    head Namru-2 Phnom Penh

    Lessons learned from

    Indonesia should be applied

    to Cambodia