TRANSPORTATION M&SFOR THE DTS

PROVIDING END-TO-END FORCEPROJECTION ANALYSIS

TRANSPORTATION M&SFOR THE DTS

PROVIDING END-TO-END FORCEPROJECTION ANALYSIS

R. KEITH SEAMANSTRANSCOM TCJ5

3 JUNE 1999

R. KEITH SEAMANSTRANSCOM TCJ5

3 JUNE 1999

Briefing to:The Modeling and Simulation Community

Briefing to:The Modeling and Simulation Community

REPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGE Form Approved OMB No.0704-0188

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1. REPORT DATE (DD-MM-YYYY)03-06-1999

2. REPORT TYPEBriefing

3. DATES COVERED (FROM - TO)xx-xx-1999 to xx-xx-1999

4. TITLE AND SUBTITLETransportation M&S for the DTS Providing End-to-End Force Projection AnalysisUnclassified

5a. CONTRACT NUMBER5b. GRANT NUMBER5c. PROGRAM ELEMENT NUMBER

6. AUTHOR(S)Seaman, R. K. ;

5d. PROJECT NUMBER5e. TASK NUMBER5f. WORK UNIT NUMBER

7. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME AND ADDRESSSTRANSCOM TCJ5xxxxx, xxxxxxx

8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORTNUMBER

9. SPONSORING/MONITORING AGENCY NAME AND ADDRESSUnited States Department of DefenseDefense Modeling and Simulation Office1901 N. Beauregard St., Suite 500Alexandria, VA22311-1705

10. SPONSOR/MONITOR'S ACRONYM(S)11. SPONSOR/MONITOR'S REPORTNUMBER(S)

12. DISTRIBUTION/AVAILABILITY STATEMENTAPUBLIC RELEASE,13. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES14. ABSTRACTMOBILITY MODELING AND MOBILITY MODELING AND SIMULATION OVERVIEW SIMULATION OVERVIEW ? M&SANALYSIS M&S ANALYSIS ? MOBILITY REQUIREMENTS STUDY 2005 MOBILITY REQUIREMENTS STUDY 2005 ? M&SDEVELOPMENT M&S DEVELOPMENT ? END-TO-END FORCE PROJECTION MODELING END-TO-END FORCE PROJECTIONMODELING ? M&S MANAGEMENT FOR THE DTS M&S MANAGEMENT FOR THE DTS ? USTRANSCOM M&S MASTER PLANUSTRANSCOM M&S MASTER PLAN ? M&S FUTURE INITIATIVES M&S FUTURE INITIATIVES ? ACTD?S ACTD?S ? ALP ?JSIMS ? JWARS ? TPFDD-IN-AN-HOUR ? ALP ? JSIMS ? JWARS ? TPFDD-IN-AN-HOUR15. SUBJECT TERMS16. SECURITY CLASSIFICATION OF: 17. LIMITATION

OF ABSTRACTPublic Release

18.NUMBEROF PAGES29

19. NAME OF RESPONSIBLE PERSONFenster, Lynnlfenster@dtic.mil

a. REPORTUnclassified

b. ABSTRACTUnclassified

c. THIS PAGEUnclassified

19b. TELEPHONE NUMBERInternational Area CodeArea Code Telephone Number703767-9007DSN427-9007

Standard Form 298 (Rev. 8-98)Prescribed by ANSI Std Z39.18

MOBILITY MODELING ANDMOBILITY MODELING ANDSIMULATION OVERVIEWSIMULATION OVERVIEW

•• M&S ANALYSISM&S ANALYSIS•• MOBILITY REQUIREMENTS STUDY 2005MOBILITY REQUIREMENTS STUDY 2005

•• M&S DEVELOPMENTM&S DEVELOPMENT•• END-TO-END FORCE PROJECTION MODELINGEND-TO-END FORCE PROJECTION MODELING

•• M&S MANAGEMENT FOR THE DTSM&S MANAGEMENT FOR THE DTS•• USTRANSCOM M&S MASTER PLANUSTRANSCOM M&S MASTER PLAN

•• M&S FUTURE INITIATIVESM&S FUTURE INITIATIVES•• ACTD’S ACTD’S … ALP … JSIMS … JWARS … TPFDD-IN-AN-HOUR… ALP … JSIMS … JWARS … TPFDD-IN-AN-HOUR

KEY RESPONSIBILITIESKEY RESPONSIBILITIES

MILITARY TRAFFICMILITARY TRAFFICMANAGEMENT COMMANDMANAGEMENT COMMAND

AIR MOBILITY AIR MOBILITY COMMAND COMMAND

MILITARY SEALIFT MILITARY SEALIFT COMMAND COMMAND

Single Manager for the Defense Transportation SystemSingle Manager for the Defense Transportation System

•• Aeromedical Aeromedical Regulating Regulating•• Air Refueling Air Refueling•• Joint Operational Joint Operational Support Airlift Support Airlift Scheduling Scheduling

•• Transportation Working Transportation Working Capitol Fund Capitol Fund

•• Defense Courier Service Defense Courier Service

UNITED STATES TRANSPORTATION COMMANDUNITED STATES TRANSPORTATION COMMANDDIRECTORATE OF PLANS AND POLICYDIRECTORATE OF PLANS AND POLICY

(ISSUES)(ISSUES)

“GETTING TO THE FIGHT. . .“GETTING TO THE FIGHT. . .7 Procurement7 Procurement Modernization Modernization

rastructurerastructure Route BasingRoute BasingAAD AttacksD Attacks

N:Future AnalysisN:Future Analysisnn vs vs ActualActualiningining

eater Airliftater Airlifthnologyhnology

FDD AnalysisFDD Analysis

MOBILITY MODELING ANDMOBILITY MODELING ANDSIMULATION REQUIREMENTSSIMULATION REQUIREMENTS

•• PROGRAMMATIC ANALYSISPROGRAMMATIC ANALYSIS•• MRS-05 … QDRMRS-05 … QDR

•• DELIBERATE PLANNINGDELIBERATE PLANNING•• REFINEMENT CONFERENCEREFINEMENT CONFERENCE

•• EXERCISESEXERCISES•• USFK EXEVAL99 … TURBO CHALLENGES … AGILE LIONUSFK EXEVAL99 … TURBO CHALLENGES … AGILE LION

•• WARGAMESWARGAMES•• FOCUSED LOGISTICS WARGAME (FLOW) … PW … GEIVFOCUSED LOGISTICS WARGAME (FLOW) … PW … GEIV

•• EXECUTION ANALYSISEXECUTION ANALYSIS•• MCC ANALYSIS SUPPORT (DESERT STORM LIKE)MCC ANALYSIS SUPPORT (DESERT STORM LIKE)

TRANSPORTATION ANALYSISTRANSPORTATION ANALYSIS

TIME

TIME

REQUIREMENT

DELIVERYRISK

AIRLIFTSEALIFTPREPOINFRASTRUCTURE

CARGO

REQUIREMENTS BASED

REQUIREMENT

CAPABILITY

REDUCE REQUIREMETSDELAY REQUIREMENTS

CARGO

CAPABILITY BASED

JFASTJFAST

AMP

A M PCONUS - STRATEGIC - THEATER

MULTIPLE OPERATIONS

THEATER(S)THEATER(S)STRATEGICSTRATEGIC

CONUSCONUS

1994 ...PART OF GTN FUTURE OPERATIONS CAPABILITY

FORCE PROJECTION BUSINESSFORCE PROJECTION BUSINESSPROVIDING END-TO-END ANALYSISPROVIDING END-TO-END ANALYSIS

1991 … DOD LACKS TOOLS FOR “END-TO-END” MOBILITY MODELING

PROACTIVEPROACTIVE PREDICTIVEPREDICTIVE TRANSPORTATIO TRANSPORTATIOREQUIREMENTSREQUIREMENTS

TARGET-TPEDIT

CONUSCONUS

INTRA-INTRA-THEATERTHEATERJRSO&IJRSO&I

MODEL INTEGRATION OVERVIEWMODEL INTEGRATION OVERVIEWAMP / FPMAMP / FPM

REQUIREMENTSREQUIREMENTS

POEPOE

INS T AL L AT IONINS T AL L AT ION

ICODES / ALMICODES / ALM

PORTSIMPORTSIM

TRANSCAPTRANSCAP

PODPOD

COMBATCOMBATMODELMODEL

CONUS

ELIST

ICODES / ALMICODES / ALM

PORTSIMPORTSIMCITMCITM

TPFDDTPFDDX-TPFDDX-TPFDD

OCONUSELIST

ALYSISALYSISLANNINGLANNING

TRAINING TRAINING EXECUTIONEXECUTION

STRATEGICSTRATEGIC

JFAST

MIDAS

FOXHOL EFOXHOL E

PBD 870

TRANSPORTATION ANALYSIS,TRANSPORTATION ANALYSIS,MODELING & SIMULATIONMODELING & SIMULATION

TAMSTAMSTAMS

ROUNDTABLEVISION

DOD

Modeling

and Simulation

Master Plann19961996

TRANSPORTATION ANALYSIS, MODELING & SIMULATIONTRANSPORTATION ANALYSIS, MODELING & SIMULATION

“As-Is” System Data Collection“As-Is” System Data Collection

ORIGINORIGIN POEPOE PODPOD FOXHOLEFOXHOLEPREDEPLOYPREDEPLOY

MASSMASSMASS

GDASGDASGDAS

FDEFDE

SEASTRATSEASTRATSEASTRAT

FPMFPMFPM

TARGETTARGETTARGET STAFLO STAFLO STAFLO

MIDAS MIDAS MIDAS

JFASTJFASTJFAST

FIND IT / FLOW ITFIND IT / FLOW ITFIND IT / FLOW IT

AMCACAADCSLOGFORSCOMFORT LEEJOINT STAFFMSC MTMCOSD PA&EUSTRANSCOM

BRACEBRACEBRACE

PORTSIM PORTSIM PORTSIM

AMPAMPAMP

FORCEFLO FORCEFLO FORCEFLO

MIMI-/MADCAPMIMI-MIMI-//MADCAPMADCAP

BRACEBRACEBRACE

PORTSIM PORTSIM PORTSIM TRANSCAP TRANSCAP TRANSCAP

FORCEFLO-E FORCEFLO-E FORCEFLO-E

STRADS STRADS STRADS

CONUS ELIST CONUS ELIST CONUS ELIST

SMARTBRIDGE SMARTBRIDGE SMARTBRIDGE

TRANSNET TRANSNET TRANSNET

SMARTBRIDGE SMARTBRIDGE SMARTBRIDGE

ELIST ELIST ELIST

SUMMITS SUMMITS SUMMITS

DAMMS-MPM DAMMS-MPM DAMMS-MPM

TRANSPORTATION ANALYSIS, MODELING & SIMULATION

DEVELOP END-TO-END ALTERNATIVE

WAR GAMINGWAR GAMINGGENERAL MODEL REQUIREMENTS

EXISTING MODELS EXISTING MODELSEXISTING MODELS

ALTERNATIVES FOR COMMON MODEL SUITEALTERNATIVES FOR COMMON MODEL SUITE

ORIGIN TO POEORIGIN TO POE

PREDEPLOYMENTPREDEPLOYMENT

POE to PODPOE to POD

POD TO FOXHOLEPOD TO FOXHOLE

SEAPORTSEAPORTAERIAL PORTAERIAL PORT

UNFILLED REQUIREMENTSUNFILLED REQUIREMENTS

GENERAL MODEL REQUIREMENTS

FEASIBILITYFEASIBILITYPROGRAMMATICPROGRAMMATICGENERAL MODEL REQUIREMENTS

DOD

Modeling

and Simulation

Master Plan

USTC Business RulesUSTC Business Rules

USTC Strategic PlanUSTC Strategic Plan

JWARSJWARS

JSIMSJSIMS

GTNGTNTAMSTAMS

VV&AVV&A

SecuritySecurity

Data Standards & Data Standards & QualityQuality

Advanced Technology InitiativesAdvanced Technology InitiativesDOD MSMPDOD MSMP

HLAHLA

TCC Requirements & CapabilitiesTCC Requirements & Capabilities

TAFIMTAFIM

JTAJTA

DII COEDII COESHADESHADE

USTC M&S DRIVERSUSTC M&S DRIVERS

OSD StudiesOSD Studies

ExercisesExercisesWargamesWargames

MSMP DEVELOPMENTMSMP DEVELOPMENT APPROACH APPROACH

ROCESS

RODUCT

Goalsandatesission

ValuesVision

StrategicIssues

ResourcingPlan

(CRP, POM)

lan forhe Plan

SWOTAnalysis

Initiatives Metrics

FormulateStrategy

ReassessImplement

Stakeholder&

MissionAnalysis

We Are

Here

CURRENT ENVIRONMENTCURRENT ENVIRONMENTTAMS MODELS

ELIST

CONUSELIST

MIDAS

AMC Models MASS, AMSIM,

BRACE, CAMPS

SEASTRATSTRADS

Execution Exercise

GT

N

MTMC Models PORTSIM, ICODES,

TRANSCAP,TARGET

Single, Focused M&S Vision for the DTS: Single, Focused M&S Vision for the DTS: single M&S environment of interoperable, collaborative models and execution systems capable single M&S environment of interoperable, collaborative models and execution systems capable

of providing accurate and consistent answers at the required breadth and depth of the DTS domain.”of providing accurate and consistent answers at the required breadth and depth of the DTS domain.”

Distributed Agent Environment

M&S AGENT ARCHITECTURE

● Flexible Plug-in Environment– No Hard Interfaces to Maintain (4 Agents in lieu of 6 Interfaces)

– Knowledge Base (KB) provides Rules to Translate b/w Global Agent Modeland Domain Models

● Agent Behaviors– Intelligent Data Retrieval, Mediation, Aggregation

– Remote Invocation of Models (Setup, Run, Return Results)

KB

KB KB

KBPORTSIM

Agent

JWARSAgent

GTNAgent

JFASTAgent

AGENT COMMS(CORBA)

NATIVE PROTOCOLS

AGENT

Execution Exercise

GT

N

SEASTRATSTRADS

MTMC

PORTSIM

BRINGING IT ALL TOGETHERBRINGING IT ALL TOGETHERTAMS Models

ALM

PORTSIM

BRACEExecution

Exercise

AMCModels

AMP 2000

GT

N

S SINGLE MANAGER OF THE DTS, CINCTRANS CHARGED WITH INTEGRATINS SINGLE MANAGER OF THE DTS, CINCTRANS CHARGED WITH INTEGRATINDTS OPERATIONS, PROCEDURES, AND PROCESSESDTS OPERATIONS, PROCEDURES, AND PROCESSES

FUTURE DTS ENVIRONMENT

•• FOCUSED ON FORT TOFOCUSED ON FORT TOFOXHOLEFOXHOLE

•• RESPONSIVE ANDRESPONSIVE ANDFLEXIBLEFLEXIBLE

•• USE BEST BUSINESSUSE BEST BUSINESSPRACTICESPRACTICES

CRISIS CRISIS RESPONSERESPONSE

JOINT OPERATIONS PLANNINGJOINT OPERATIONS PLANNING

GLOBALGLOBAL ENGAGEMENT ENGAGEMENT 2 MTWS 2 MTWS

FOCUSEDFOCUSED LOGISTICSLOGISTICS

JOINT VISION 2010JOINT VISION 2010

• Advanced Logistics Project➤ Push the limits of technology➤ Cause a fundamental change

in the way we do business

• Advanced Logistics Project➤ Push the limits of technology➤ Cause a fundamental change

in the way we do business

* Key USTRANSCOM Role

Joint Health ServicesSupport

Joint Health ServicesJoint Health ServicesSupportSupport

InformationFusion *

InformationInformationFusion *Fusion *

Joint Deployment & Rapid

Distribution *Joint Deployment & RapidJoint Deployment & Rapid

Distribution Distribution **

MultinationalLogistics

MultinationalMultinationalLogisticsLogistics

Agile InfrastructureAgile InfrastructureAgile Infrastructure

Joint Theater LogisticsCommand & Control

Joint Theater LogisticsJoint Theater LogisticsCommand & ControlCommand & Control

TENETS OF FOCUSED LOGISTICSTENETS OF FOCUSED LOGISTICS

GLOBAL VIEW OFTRANSPORTATION

GlobalInformationExchange

GlobalAwareness

DynamicPlanning &Execution

AT2000 VISION:AT2000 VISION:TRANSPORTATION COP (TCOP)TRANSPORTATION COP (TCOP)

ransportation Capability Mgr. Transportation Performance Ins

Weather Overlay at Installationeployment Performance Monitor

Planning the pipeline

• Collaboratively analyze tradeoffs ofmultiple Logistics COAs

• Globally optimize• Executable detail

• Detect plan deviation• Identify affected plan components• Notify key players• Execute IAW Plan• Manage flow• Create plan sentinels

• Redirected flow• Locally optimal fixes• Done in time to matter

Develop Plan Monitor Execution Replan

– Managing the pipeline – Visibility into the process

Overarching issue: Logistical control

VISIONARY CONCEPTVISIONARY CONCEPT

J3 J4

We couldn’t shipon time

TRANSCOM

DLA

Service &DLA Depots

Services

Units

We need bottledwater, spare

tires...

The port’sdamaged

Ops Log

4,000

3,5 00

3 ,000

2,5 00

2 ,000

1,5 00

1 ,000

5 00

0

Dry

Ca

rgo

Se

ali

ft

(Tho

usan

ds o

f Sh

ort

Tons

)

C+30C+45

C+75 C+120 C+215 3/10/91

C+0 8/7/90

MRC 1 MRC 2 Air War Ground War

Operation Desert Shield/Storm

Days

20 0 1Re qui reme nt

Du al M RC s

Carg o E nroute

Re tr ograde

IN-STORAGEIN-STORAGE IN-PROCESSIN-PROCESS IN-TRANSITIN-TRANSIT IN-THEATERIN-THEATER

Joint Logistics Advanced ConceptTechnology Demonstration (JL-ACTD)

• Develop Joint Logistics DecisionSupport Tools

–Common User Query–Access to all Data Sources–Transparent Applications and Services–Any User/Any Box

• Implement a Flexible ExperimentalEnvironment for Assessing TechnologyImpact on Logistics OperationalCapability

• Work Trade-Offs, Users DeriveRequirements

DISN Backbone(ATM SIPRnet and NIPRnet)

GCSS

UsersUsers

Joint DecisionJoint DecisionSupport ToolsSupport Tools

GTN, JTAV,JPAV, ...

Visualization, Query,Execution Monitor, Plan,...

AF, Army, Navy, DLA,Marines, TRANSCOM,

CINCsDataData

CommercialData SourcesGoalsGoals

LogisticsAnchor Desk(LAD) Phase

I

Joint DecisionSupport Tools

Phase II

Real-TimeFocusedLogisticsPhase III

FY 96 - 97 FY 98 - 99 FY 00 - 02

JWARSJWARS MISSION

• JOINT STAFF• SERVICES• CINCs• OSD• JTFs• Other DoD org’s• Industry

• DEVELOP STATE-OF-THE-ART CLOSED-FORM SIMULATION ANALYSIS TOODEVELOP STATE-OF-THE-ART CLOSED-FORM SIMULATION ANALYSIS TOO

•• JOINT, CAMPAIGN-LEVEL WARFARE JOINT, CAMPAIGN-LEVEL WARFARE•• REPRESENT UNIQUE JOINT FUNCTIONS & PROCESSES REPRESENT UNIQUE JOINT FUNCTIONS & PROCESSES•• ADDRESS JOINT DOCTRINE ADDRESS JOINT DOCTRINE•• MODEL FUTURE WARFARE MODEL FUTURE WARFARE

1.

2.

3.

4.

Planning and executionDeliberate planning

Crisis action planningForce assessment

System effectiveness and trade offanalysisConcept and doctrine developmentand assessment

JSIMS TRAINING ENVIRONMENT

TailorableComposableEfficient

MultipleSides &Factions

TrainingAudience

C4I systems- GTN CSDB 1Q FY99- GTN Rel. 5 FY01

ExerciseControl

JSIMS

A joint, distributed, synthetic battlespace for all DoD players

TPFDD IN AN HOUR

AN ENABLER FOR A

. . . More ResponsiveMore Responsive

JointJoint Deployment Deployment

Process Process

SHIFT

M R E OIL

FORCE PROJECTIONFORCE PROJECTIONFUTUREFUTURE

RE-DEPLOYRE-DEPLOY

• TREND ANALYSIS...PREDICTIVE ANALYSIS…TPFDD HRTREND ANALYSIS...PREDICTIVE ANALYSIS…TPFDD HR

•• VISIBILITY OF ASSETS AND REQUIREMENTS VISIBILITY OF ASSETS AND REQUIREMENTS

•• COLLABORATIVE PLAN & EXECUTE COLLABORATIVE PLAN & EXECUTE

•• INFLUENCE DECISIONS & REDUCE UNCERTAINTY INFLUENCE DECISIONS & REDUCE UNCERTAINTY

OPERATIONAL OUTPUT

SHIFTSHIFT

DEPLOYDEPLOY

DTS 2010 . . . on the wayDTS 2010 . . . on the wayDTS 2010 . . . on the way

TRANSPORTATION ANALYSIS, MODELING &TRANSPORTATION ANALYSIS, MODELING &SIMULATIONSIMULATION

SYSTEM RECOMMENDATIONSSYSTEM RECOMMENDATIONS

GRATIONSTEMS

CAMPSCE MASS

STASTSIMGETNSCAPT (CONUS)T (OCONUS)

CAMPS/CAMPS/MASSMASS PORTSIMPORTSIM

INSTALLATIONINSTALLATION

POEsPOEs PODsPODs

THEATERTHEATER

AMPAMP

TARGETTARGET

TAATAA ELIST ELISTHomeHome

Station Station

TRANSCAP

GTN Future Operations

ELIST ELIST

= MIGRATION SYSTEMS= SUPPORTING SYSTEMS

POEPOE

JFAST JFAST

PORTSIMPORTSIM

PODPOD

MIDASMIDAS

BRACEBRACE BRACEBRACE